1Big FantasyJ. Flores · F. MartinezFlores · MartinezB71 78 73▼-5≡@trip 798-1Fair 20-14%
▼ Down -571 78 73 ≡@trip 79BCard model 4% · Fair odds 20-1 · Our #7 · Tier B · Form ▼ Down -5 · ≡ Steady figures 71–78 · Best fig at today's trip 79 (1 tries) · Last 3 figs 71 78 73
Also today · Jockey R3: Mr Frankie 15-1, R4: Zoomin Thru Juarez 12-1, R6: Jessys Sugar Daddy 10-1, R10: Lil Perry Wagon 7-2 +1 moreA step up in company: $15,000 claiming before, allowance today. Prime Power, the Brisnet rating, puts it on top of this field.
PACE CHALLENGE Running style isn't established yet, so the pace read is a blank for this one.TROUBLED TRIP Ran into trouble last out (Brushed st; good try), and the figure already reflects it.WORKS SHARP Fit-looking prep next to these rivals: 1 work in 30d, last 15d agoLast three races
Date Trk Dist Class Finish Fig Odds Eq Trip 9/17 ALB 1.59091f D sClm15000n2l 4th/10 -2¾L 71 15-1 b Brushed st; good try 8/13 ALB 1.59091f D sAlw33700n2l 9th/10 -3¼L 78 23-1 b Evenly; second flight 4/10 SRP 1.59091f D sAlw31780n2l 7th/10 -2L 73 12-1 b No threat 2Hs Danger WeaponE. Martinez · A. DominguezMartinez · DominguezB58 78 87▼▼-20↕@trip 834-1Fair 7-112%
▼▼ Big drop -2058 78 87 ↕@trip 83BCard model 12% · Fair odds 7-1 · Our #4 · Tier B · Form ▼▼ Big drop -20 · ↕ Up-and-down figures 58–87 · Best fig at today's trip 83 (5 tries) · Last 3 figs 58 78 87
Trending the wrong way on speed, 87 to 78 to 58. Moves up from allowance to allowance.
PACE CHALLENGE Running style isn't established yet, so the pace read is a blank for this one.WORKS LIGHT Few works lately, 0 works in 30d and the last 87 days agoLast three races
Date Trk Dist Class Finish Fig Odds Eq Trip 9/20 ALB 1.81818f D sAlw35800n2l 4th/9 -1½L 58 6.6-1 b L Clear path; no rally 8/13 ALB 1.59091f D sAlw33700n2l 10th/10 -3½L 78 5.5-1 b L Never threatened 8/29 ALB 1.59091f D sAlw29600n2l 3rd/10 -½L 87 7.0-1 b L Away well; late bid 3Love TruckenA. Medellin · A. CardenasMedellin · CardenasA85 81 87►≡@trip 855-1Fair 6-115%
► Steady85 81 87 ≡@trip 85A3Card model 15% · Fair odds 6-1 · Our #3 · Tier A · Form ► Steady · ≡ Steady figures 81–87 · Best fig at today's trip 85 (4 tries) · Last 3 figs 85 81 87
WON LASTWinner of a 10-horse maiden special weight race at ALB last time. Worked 1F in :11.40 on Jan 6, 3rd of 14 at the distance.
PACE CHALLENGE No style on record, so the setup says little about it.WORKS LIGHT Light on works against these rivals (0 works in 30d, last 85d back)Last three races
Date Trk Dist Class Finish Fig Odds Eq Trip 10/3 ALB 1.81818f D sMdSpWt Won/10 85 2.6-1 b L Clear winner 9/7 ALB 1.81818f D sMdSpWt 2nd/9 -1L 81 4.0-1 b L Clear path; chased 3/21 SUN 1½f D sMdSpWt 5th/9 -1½L 87 5.2-1 L Even effort 4Mi CapitanF. Zamora · W. GilesZamora · GilesA70 69 87▼▼-10@trip 873-1Fair 5-229%
▼▼ Big drop -1070 69 87@trip 87A1Card model 29% · Fair odds 5-2 · Our #1 · Tier A · Form ▼▼ Big drop -10 · Best fig at today's trip 87 (5 tries) · Last 3 figs 70 69 87
Also today · Jockey R1: Wall Street Logic 7-2, R2: Daddies Diamond 20-1, R6: Ciao Fore Now 6-1, R7: Jm Famousberry 15-1 +4 more · Trainer R2: Chasing Venus 6-1, R3: Cartel Fire Chick 10-1, R4: Holdmyhailo 6-1, R5: Thats Amoree 8-1 +5 moreTops the field on speed figures, a 96 against 95 for the next best. Runs for $62,000 today after a $430,627 race last time.
PACE CHALLENGE No style on record, so the setup says little about it.WORKS LIGHT Thin work schedule next to this field: 0 works in 30d, last one 58d agoLast three races
Date Trk Dist Class Finish Fig Odds Eq Trip 10/11 ALB 1.81818f D sNMSFrDbRG2 G2 9th/9 -4¾L 70 58-1 b L Bmp brk;no bid 9/19 ALB 1.81818f D sDbyTrl 10000 3rd/9 by hd 69 14-1 b L Bid; up for show 7/4 ALB 1.81818f D sDbyTrl 10000 2nd/8 -½L 87 36-1 b L No match for winner 5Ima Gonna B Famous★J. Enriquez · R. WilsonEnriquez · WilsonA78 72 78▼-4↕@trip 957-2Fair 3-126%
▼ Down -478 72 78 ↕@trip 95A★ Best at the trip 952Card model 26% · Fair odds 3-1 · Our #2 · Tier A · Form ▼ Down -4 · ↕ Up-and-down figures 72–95 · Best fig at today's trip 95 (7 tries) · Last 3 figs 78 72 78
★ Best at the trip 95Also today · Jockey R2: Big Avery 3-1, R3: Jess Good Times 4-1, R4: Suspicious Rizzler 10-1, R5: Acrylic 8-5 +5 more · Trainer R2: Big Avery 3-1, R3: Jess Good Times 4-1, R4: Suspicious Rizzler 10-1, R4: Mw Big Daddy Issues 15-1 +5 more★ FASTEST WORKRuns for $62,000 today after a $430,627 race last time. The May 7 work, 1F in :12.40, was the best time at that distance that morning.
PACE CHALLENGE No style on record, so the setup says little about it.WORKS SHARP Fastest work of the morning on May 7 (1F in :12.40), 0 works in 30dLast three races
Date Trk Dist Class Finish Fig Odds Eq Trip 10/11 ALB 1.81818f D sNMSFrDbRG2 G2 7th/9 -2¾L 78 35-1 b L Drift;no threat 9/19 ALB 1.81818f D sDbyTrl 10000 4th/9 by nk 72 12-1 b L Bid; not enough 7/18 ALB 1.81818f D sZiaDby RG2 G2 10th/10 -4¾L 78 74-1 b L Broke slow; no threat 6Don YuyoO. Andrade Jr. · H. AldavazAndrade Jr. · AldavazC56 75 55▼▼-16↕@trip 568-1Fair 20-15%
▼▼ Big drop -1656 75 55 ↕@trip 56CCard model 5% · Fair odds 20-1 · Our #6 · Tier C · Form ▼▼ Big drop -16 · ↕ Up-and-down figures 55–87 · Best fig at today's trip 56 (1 tries) · Last 3 figs 56 75 55
Also today · Jockey R1: Political Mystery 5-2, R2: Sonuva Butch 9-5, R3: Toppa The Moon 5-1, R4: Brookman 4-1 +5 more · Trainer R1: Wall Street Logic 7-2◆ NOTE · TRIP TROUBLE6th last time, 2¼ lengths back, in a field of 9. 2nd of 23 at 1F on Aug 10, in :11.60.
PACE CHALLENGE No running style on file yet, so the pace shape can't be applied to it.TROUBLED TRIP Ran into trouble last out (Bumped; crowded start), and the figure already reflects it.WORKS LIGHT Thin work schedule next to this field: 0 works in 30d, last one 176d agoLast three races
Date Trk Dist Class Finish Fig Odds Eq Trip 9/20 ALB 1.81818f D sAlw35800n2l 6th/9 -2¼L 56 22-1 b L Bumped; crowded start 8/28 ALB 1.59091f D sAlw33700n2l 8th/10 -4¼L 75 32-1 b L No bid 7/31 ALB 1.59091f D sAlw33700n2l 10th/10 -7¾L 55 12-1 b L Faded 7FranciscanC. Cardenas · G. GarciaCardenas · GarciaB80 66 73▲+6@trip 818-1Fair 10-19%
▲ Up +680 66 73@trip 81BCard model 9% · Fair odds 10-1 · Our #5 · Tier B · Form ▲ Up +6 · Best fig at today's trip 81 (4 tries) · Last 3 figs 80 66 73
Also today · Jockey R2: Eye Have Class 15-1, R3: Rr Maka Miracle 30-1, R5: Jg Coby 2 15-1, R7: Sofi 20-1 +2 more · Trainer R7: Jess Paid 6-1★ FASTEST WORKWON LASTWon last out in a 9-horse maiden special weight race at ALB. Fastest 1F work of its morning on Jun 10 (:11.60), a sign it is training forwardly.
PACE CHALLENGE Style isn't established yet, so how it fits this shape is open.WORKS SHARP Fastest work of the morning on Jun 10 (1F in :11.60), 0 works in 30dLast three races
Date Trk Dist Class Finish Fig Odds Eq Trip 10/10 ALB 1.81818f D sMdSpWt Won/9 80 7.7-1 b L Good speed; held well 9/17 ALB 1½f D MCL 15k 4th/9 -¾L 66 3.1-1 b L Broke out; lugged out 8/29 ALB 1.59091f D MCL 15kc 7th/10 -3L 73 1.0-1 b L Failed to fire
▲ / ▼ angle for / against · ★ best figure at the trip · LS longshot read · 1 2 3 = our top three · A B C tiers · ▲ ► ▼ form · ≡ ↕ steady / up-and-down. Tap a row for its notes, a name for the horse's page. Analysis only. Pace: hard to project, too many first-time starters.
How to read these marks
- 1 2 3
- Our top three by the card model's win chance. Tap “Our order” to sort by it.
- Win %, Fair
- The card model's chance to win, and the odds that chance works out to with no takeout. Fair is green when the model rates the horse above its morning line (the line scaled to add up to 100%).
- Tier A B C ?
- The field ranked on recent speed figures and the morning line together: A = top three, B = next three, C = the rest, ? = no figures yet.
- 71 60 72
- Last three speed figures, newest first. “@trip 75” = best figure at today's distance (within 30 yards) on this surface.
- ▲▲ ▲ ► ▼ ▼▼
- Form: last figure against the average of the three before it. ▲ = up 3 or more, ▲▲ = up 8 or more, ► = within 3, ▼ / ▼▼ = down. The number is the difference.
- ≡ ↕
- ≡ steady: the last four figures sit close together. ↕ up-and-down: they swing widely.
- ★
- Best figure in the field at today's distance and surface, from two or more tries, not tied. When that horse isn't in our top three it gets a “Distance horse” note above the field.
- ▲ ▼ chips
- Handicapping angles for or against the horse. LS = longshot read: 8-1 or more on the morning line and the model rates it higher than that line.
These marks describe the past performances. None of them is proven to beat the odds: in our test of 100 handicapping angles, nothing did better than the final odds, and the morning-line favourite wins more races than our top-ranked horse. Read them as notes, not as a reason to bet.
Race conditions and our readpace, conditions, story
ZIA · RACE 8
UPCOMINGState-Bred Allowance · $62,000 purse
Allowance, for 5-year-olds, restricted to state-bred (registered) horses, that have not won two races lifetime.
Allowance race — a step above claiming. No horses are for sale; written conditions limit the field to horses of similar experience.
● Breed: Quarter Horse
● Track record at 400 Yards: 18.78
The shape is the story here: the early pace looks honest rather than contested — expect a fairly run race where class and trip decide it, not pace collapse.
Our number tops on #4 Mi Capitan (a tactical type, M/L 3-1). Recent figures: 70 · 69 · 87. It needs to turn the form around after a flat last start. Backup is #5 Ima Gonna B Famous at 7-2. Use #3 Love Trucken in exotic structures.
What would change our mind: a key scratch that reshapes the early pace, a sharp turf-to-dirt or surface switch off the rail, or live money showing up on a horse the board had dismissed. Watch the tote late.
At a glance: model vs the morning line
At a glance
- Market favourite #4 MI CAPITAN (3-1) — our number agrees.
- #4 MI CAPITAN — our top number on the card, about right at the windows (24.0% to their 21.3%).
- #5 IMA GONNA B FAMOUS — our #2 number, about right at the windows (21.3% to their 19.0%).
- #2 HS DANGER WEAPON — our #4 number, about right at the windows (15.4% to their 17.1%).
Model vs the morning line
- The model and the morning line roughly agree on this field.
Pacewho goes to the front
Pace
Pace Vacuum. No real early speed. Whoever shows up first is likely uncontested. Pressers benefit.
and works against #1 Big Fantasy, #2 Hs Danger Weapon, #3 Love Trucken.
Number = last-race early-pace figure. Green border = the shape helps; red = it works against.
Early speed and closing figures, horse by horse
Closing Kick · late-pace figure
Bet types offeredwager menu
Bet types
Wagers offered on this race.
$1 EXACTA / .50 TRIFECTA / .10 SUPERFECTA/ 1ST LEG .50 PICK 4
BET OPTIONS
WinPlaceShowExactaTrifectaSuperfecta