1Bobby Dazzler▲K. Trotman · C. O'HaganTrotman · O'HaganC78 64 82►@trip 7810-1Fair 12-17%
► Steady78 64 82@trip 78C▲ Last fig 78 at/above par 78Card model 7% · Fair odds 12-1 · Our #4 · Tier C · Form ► Steady · Best fig at today's trip 78 (2 tries) · Last 3 figs 78 64 82
▲ Last fig 78 at/above par 78Jockey Keimar Trotman 27% career 4-for-35 on dirt this meet (11%) · Trainer Colleen O'Hagan 21% career 1-for-12 on dirt this meet (8%)Also today · Jockey R2: Where's The Pumps 10-1, R4: Caravalla 15-1, R7: Thiscatsgotspeed 15-1, R8: Hyperfocus 12-12/4 board hereLast out was 3rd, a head behind the winner, in a 9-horse optional claiming race at CTD. A 90 in its last five clears the 78 par for this level.
PACE HELPS Sits just off the speed with pace in front to run at.WORKS LIGHT Few works lately, 0 works in 30d and the last 85 days agoRECORD 1 win, 2 on the board from 4 starts hereLast three races
Date Trk Dist Class Finish Fig Odds Eq Trip 10/10 CTD 7½f D OC 25k n4l 3rd/9 by hd 78 13-1 b L Met bids;yielded late 9/26 CTD 7½f D Alw nc 7th/7 -6½L 64 15-1 b L Showed little 9/4 CML 1 1/16 D Alw n$y 3rd/8 -3¼L 82 11-1 b L Swung4-5w;closed 2Crusher Royale▲L. Steadman · G. AndersonSteadman · AndersonB79 64 85▲+5@trip 7920-1Fair 20-14%
▲ Up +579 64 85@trip 79B▲ Last fig 79 at/above par 78Card model 4% · Fair odds 20-1 · Our #7 · Tier B · Form ▲ Up +5 · Best fig at today's trip 79 (1 tries) · Last 3 figs 79 64 85
▲ Last fig 79 at/above par 78Jockey Linton Leon Steadman 22% career 4-for-27 on dirt this meet (15%) · Trainer Gonzalo Anderson 33% career 6-for-54 on dirt this meet (11%)Also today · Jockey R4: Ah Touche 7-2, R5: Frostedbird 5-1, R7: Quinto Sol 6-1, R8: Vector 8-1 +2 more · Trainer R4: Ah Touche 7-2, R5: Frostedbird 5-1, R7: Quinto Sol 6-1, R8: Vector 8-1 +2 moreCLASS DROPRaises its level, optional claiming last time and allowance optional claiming now. Figure of 90 on the record sits above the 78 par.
PACE HELPS Sits just off the speed with pace in front to run at.TROUBLED TRIP Chart note from last time: Sttld; bid5w; rallied2nd. A trip worth forgiving, though the number already carries it.WORKS LIGHT Light on works against these rivals (0 works in 30d, last 42d back)Last three races
Date Trk Dist Class Finish Fig Odds Eq Trip 10/10 CTD 7½f D OC 17k n3l 2nd/7 -2¼L 79 5.8-1 b L Sttld;bid5w;rallied2nd 9/25 CTD 6½f D OC 25k n4l 6th/8 -8L 64 3.9-1 b L Offered little 7/13 CML 1 1/16 D CtyMileH Stk 6th/8 by nk 85 7.2-1 b L 4w;rallied3w;gaveway 3Fireman DanB. Boodramsingh · J. ConeyBoodramsingh · ConeyA77 96 93▼▼-168-5Fair 2-133%
▼▼ Big drop -1677 96 93A1Card model 33% · Fair odds 2-1 · Our #1 · Tier A · Form ▼▼ Big drop -16 · Last 3 figs 77 96 93
Jockey Brian Boodramsingh 30% career 6-for-49 on dirt this meet (12%) · Trainer Jason Coney 29% career 1-for-17 on dirt this meet (6%)Also today · Jockey R3: Pump The Brakes 8-1, R4: B B Beth 3-1, R7: Jump The Queue 6-1, R8: Drinking Again 2-1 +1 more · Trainer R9: Eitherinorintheway 6-1★ FASTEST WORKShortens up to 7½ furlongs after going 1 1/8 miles. Purse drops from $50,000 to $21,500 against its last start.
PACE HELPS The pocket behind pressure is the useful spot, and this type fits it.WORKS SHARP Posted the morning's best 5F on Oct 2; 1 work in 30dLast three races
Date Trk Dist Class Finish Fig Odds Eq Trip 10/10 CTD 1⅛m D DonGettyH50k 3rd/6 77 2.8-1 b L Pace;yielded;grdgnngly 8/22 CML 1¼m D SpdSprChm Stk Won/12 96 6.3-1 b L Set pace;easy victory 7/13 CML 1 1/16 D CtyMileH Stk 2nd/8 by hd 93 7.5-1 b L Svd4w;needed more 4NewhartS. Morales · M. SnowMorales · SnowB77 85 92▼▼-8@trip 7715-1Fair 30-14%
▼▼ Big drop -877 85 92@trip 77BCard model 4% · Fair odds 30-1 · Our #8 · Tier B · Form ▼▼ Big drop -8 · Best fig at today's trip 77 (1 tries) · Last 3 figs 77 85 92
Jockey Silvino Morales 32% career 1-for-19 on dirt this meet (5%) · Trainer Mel Snow 23% career ★ 5-for-24 on dirt this meet (21%)Figures have slipped: 92, 85, 77 over its last three. Has run 92 against a 78 par for the class.
PACE HELPS The pocket behind pressure is the useful spot, and this type fits it.TROUBLED TRIP Swung 4-5w; gaining last out; the speed figure already reflects it.WORKS SHARP Fastest work of the morning on Apr 10 (3F in :35.40), 0 works in 30dLast three races
Date Trk Dist Class Finish Fig Odds Eq Trip 10/10 CTD 7½f D OC 25k n4l 4th/9 -4L 77 12-1 b L Swung 4-5w;gaining 10/2 CTD 1 1/16 D OC 25k n4l 3rd/7 -4L 85 8.0-1 b L 3w;chsd;worndown 9/7 CML 1 1/16 D OC 17k n3l Won/8 by 4 92 8.7-1 b L Along in time 5Pacheco▲K. Carter · C. ReidCarter · ReidB85 82 76▲+6≡30-1Fair 50-12%
▲ Up +6 · career best85 82 76 ≡B▲ Last fig 85 at/above par 78Card model 2% · Fair odds 50-1 · Our #10 · Tier B · Form ▲ Up +6 · career best · ≡ Steady figures 76–85 · Last 3 figs 85 82 76
▲ Last fig 85 at/above par 78Jockey Kyle Carter 25% career 1-for-19 on dirt this meet (5%) · Trainer Colton Reid 28% career 0-for-10 on dirt this meet (0%)Also today · Jockey R2: Stay Up 8-1, R4: Texas Humor 9-2, R7: Ameer 15-1, R8: Thompson 20-1 · Trainer R2: H K Mimi 20-13/3 board hereHas won 2 of 5 going today's distance. Has moved up each time out, 76 to 82 to 85.
PACE HELPS Sits just off the speed with pace in front to run at.WORKS Steady, unremarkable work pattern: 1 work in 30d, last 14d backRECORD On the board in all 3 starts here (1 win)Last three races
Date Trk Dist Class Finish Fig Odds Eq Trip 10/2 CTD 1 1/16 D OC 25k n4l 2nd/7 -8L 85 15-1 L Unhurried;closed late 9/12 CML 1 1/16 D sAlbertaBrH60k 2nd/8 by nk 82 18-1 L Bump; wide; rallied 8/22 CML 1 1/16 D OC 17k n3l 6th/10 -6L 76 41-1 L Lagged;mild rally 6FlashfordaniA. Perez · K. KingstonPerez · KingstonC68 84 88▼▼-17@trip 6812-1Fair 12-17%
▼▼ Big drop -1768 84 88@trip 68CCard model 7% · Fair odds 12-1 · Our #5 · Tier C · Form ▼▼ Big drop -17 · Best fig at today's trip 68 (1 tries) · Last 3 figs 68 84 88
Jockey Amadeo Perez 32% career ★ 19-for-73 on dirt this meet (26%), #2 of 18 · Trainer Karline Kingston 23% career ★ 6-for-26 on dirt this meet (23%)Also today · Jockey R2: Just Scarlett 8-5, R3: Border Song 7-5, R5: All Run 8-1, R7: St. Elmo 4-1 +2 more · Trainer this race: Kauai Dan 5-2, R8: Lansdowne 6-1★ FASTEST WORK3/4 board hereDropped in well back early last out, 7th of 7 at the first call. The Sep 5 work, 4F in :46.00, was the best time at that distance that morning.
PACE HELPS Sits just off the speed with pace in front to run at.WORKS SHARP Posted the morning's best 4F on Sep 5; 1 work in 30dRECORD 0 wins, 3 on the board from 4 starts hereLast three races
Date Trk Dist Class Finish Fig Odds Eq Trip 9/26 CTD 7½f D Alw nc 6th/7 -4½L 68 9.2-1 L Mild interest late 9/12 CML 1 1/16 D sAlbertaBrH60k Won/8 84 1.8-1 L Bump; wide; clear 7/25 CML 1 1/16 D Alw n$y 4th/5 -2½L 88 9.7-1 L Svd ground;lacked bid 7Attack▲N. Prescod · C. SmithPrescod · SmithA79 82 78▼-3≡@trip 799-2Fair 7-112%
▼ Down -379 82 78 ≡@trip 79A▲ Last fig 79 at/above par 783Card model 12% · Fair odds 7-1 · Our #3 · Tier A · Form ▼ Down -3 · ≡ Steady figures 78–87 · Best fig at today's trip 79 (1 tries) · Last 3 figs 79 82 78
▲ Last fig 79 at/above par 78Jockey N'Rico Prescod 28% career 2-for-34 on dirt this meet (6%) · Trainer Craig Robert Smith 32% career 6-for-58 on dirt this meet (10%)Also today · Jockey R2: Crown Of Cairo 6-1, R7: Barberry Bandit 20-1 · Trainer R3: Sandini 12-1, R5: American Farmer 7-2, R7: Classy City 15-1, R9: Green Amazon 20-1 +1 moreWorked 4F in :47.40 on Jun 6, 2nd of 7 at the distance. Has run 92 against a 78 par for the class.
PACE HELPS Sits just off the speed with pace in front to run at.WORKS LIGHT Few works lately, 0 works in 30d and the last 56 days agoLast three races
Date Trk Dist Class Finish Fig Odds Eq Trip 10/10 CTD 7½f D OC 25k n4l 2nd/9 79 3.7-1 b L Stalked;vied;outfinish 9/16 ASD 1⅛m D GoldCup51k 5th/8 -5½L 82 11-1 b L Svd grd; lacked rly 8/22 CML 1¼m D SpdSprChm Stk 11th/12 -10L 78 14-1 b L Fan4w;faded gradually 8Kauai DanJ. Asencio · K. KingstonAsencio · KingstonA72 79 86▼▼-8@trip 795-2Fair 3-124%
▼▼ Big drop -872 79 86@trip 79A2Card model 24% · Fair odds 3-1 · Our #2 · Tier A · Form ▼▼ Big drop -8 · Best fig at today's trip 79 (2 tries) · Last 3 figs 72 79 86
Jockey Jose Mariano Asencio 36% career 5-for-38 on dirt this meet (13%) · Trainer Karline Kingston 23% career ★ 6-for-26 on dirt this meet (23%)Also today · Jockey R1: El Bonita Cara 5-2, R3: Squalotoro 10-1, R5: Writ In Stone 10-1, R7: Parking Permit 5-1 +2 more · Trainer this race: Flashfordani 12-1, R8: Lansdowne 6-1★ FASTEST WORK3/3 board hereTurns back in 7 days. A longer trip: 6 furlongs last out, 7½ furlongs today.
EVEN PACE Real pressure up front should bring the pace back to it.TROUBLED TRIP Brushd; dueled; outfnsh last out; the speed figure already reflects it.WORKS SHARP Posted the morning's best 4F on Aug 17; 1 work in 30dRECORD On the board in all 3 starts here (2 wins)Last three races
Date Trk Dist Class Finish Fig Odds Eq Trip 10/24 CTD 6f D OC 25k n4l 2nd/6 72 1.4-1 b L Brushd;dueled;outfnsh 10/10 CTD 7½f D OC 25k n4l Won/9 by 1 79 6.5-1 b L Bid 3w;responded;held 8/24 ASD 6f D OC 22k b 3rd/6 -4L 86 12-1 b L 4-5-wd; fin well 9Wandalita▲LSK. Santo · G. OlaldeSanto · OlaldeC71 80 82▼▼-1120-1Fair 20-15%
▼▼ Big drop -1171 80 82C▲ Lone speed on early paceLSCard model 5% · Fair odds 20-1 · Our #6 · Tier C · Form ▼▼ Big drop -11 · Last 3 figs 71 80 82
▲ Lone speed on early paceLSLongshot read: 20-1 on the morning line, and the model has it at 5% against a line of 4%. A read, not a bet.
Jockey Kimal Santo 28% career 7-for-56 on dirt this meet (12%) · Trainer Geovani Olalde 14% career ★ 4-for-15 on dirt this meet (27%)Also today · Jockey R3: Sandini 12-1, R4: Aintafraidtodream 12-1, R5: Concrete Cowboy 3-1, R7: Somthing Elusive 3-1 +2 moreCarries 119 pounds, 6 less than last time. Trending the wrong way on speed, 82 to 80 to 71.
PACE CHALLENGE Pressured on the lead; getting clear early matters. (early-speed points: 4)WORKS SHARP One of the busier work schedules here: 1 work in 30d, last 7d agoLast three races
Date Trk Dist Class Finish Fig Odds Eq Trip 9/25 CTD 7f D OC 25k n4l 2nd/8 71 4.4-1 b L Stalked;outkicked 9/7 CML 7f D Clm 32k 3rd/6 by hd 80 3.0-1 b L Bumped;ral3w;weakened 8/8 CML 7f D OC 25k n4l 2nd/9 82 2.4-1 L Settled;outkicked 10We the Fringe▲O. Foster · S. BiggsFoster · BiggsC68 69 85▼▼-830-1Fair 50-12%
▼▼ Big drop -868 69 85C▲ Rider upgrade (30% vs 17%) cutting back to a sprintCard model 2% · Fair odds 50-1 · Our #9 · Tier C · Form ▼▼ Big drop -8 · Last 3 figs 68 69 85
▲ Rider upgrade (30% vs 17%) cutting back to a sprintJockey Orlando Foster 30% career 1-for-7 on dirt this meet · Trainer Seymour Biggs 20% career 3-for-22 on dirt this meet (14%)Also today · Jockey R1: She's A Rowski 9-2, R2: H K Mimi 20-1, R4: Everything To Gain 20-1, R5: Victoria's Chief 20-1 +1 more · Trainer R1: Porter's Princess 20-1, R1: She's A Rowski 9-2, R2: Stay Up 8-1, R4: Texas Humor 9-2 +1 more2/3 board hereRuns for $21,500 today after a $50,000 race last time. Cuts back from 1 1/8 miles to 7½ furlongs.
PACE CHALLENGE Pressured on the lead; getting clear early matters. (early-speed points: 2)WORKS LIGHT Light on works against these rivals (0 works in 30d, last 55d back)RECORD 0 wins, 2 on the board from 3 starts hereLast three races
Date Trk Dist Class Finish Fig Odds Eq Trip 10/10 CTD 1⅛m D FndrDstH50k 3rd/5 -6L 68 27-1 L Prssd2w;passd for 2nd 9/25 CTD 7f D OC 25k n4l 3rd/8 -2L 69 11-1 L Traffic;3w;late bid 9/12 CML 1 1/16 D fsFllClscDfH60k 2nd/4 -½L 85 17-1 L Vied; 2nd best
▲ / ▼ angle for / against · ★ best figure at the trip · LS longshot read · 1 2 3 = our top three · A B C tiers · ▲ ► ▼ form · ≡ ↕ steady / up-and-down. Tap a row for its notes, a name for the horse's page. Analysis only. Pace: fast and contested (5 early types). Helps stalkers and closers.
How to read these marks
- 1 2 3
- Our top three by the card model's win chance. Tap “Our order” to sort by it.
- Win %, Fair
- The card model's chance to win, and the odds that chance works out to with no takeout. Fair is green when the model rates the horse above its morning line (the line scaled to add up to 100%).
- Tier A B C ?
- The field ranked on recent speed figures and the morning line together: A = top three, B = next three, C = the rest, ? = no figures yet.
- 71 60 72
- Last three speed figures, newest first. “@trip 75” = best figure at today's distance (within 30 yards) on this surface.
- ▲▲ ▲ ► ▼ ▼▼
- Form: last figure against the average of the three before it. ▲ = up 3 or more, ▲▲ = up 8 or more, ► = within 3, ▼ / ▼▼ = down. The number is the difference.
- ≡ ↕
- ≡ steady: the last four figures sit close together. ↕ up-and-down: they swing widely.
- ★
- Best figure in the field at today's distance and surface, from two or more tries, not tied. When that horse isn't in our top three it gets a “Distance horse” note above the field.
- ▲ ▼ chips
- Handicapping angles for or against the horse. LS = longshot read: 8-1 or more on the morning line and the model rates it higher than that line.
These marks describe the past performances. None of them is proven to beat the odds: in our test of 100 handicapping angles, nothing did better than the final odds, and the morning-line favourite wins more races than our top-ranked horse. Read them as notes, not as a reason to bet.
Race conditions and our readpace, conditions, story
CTD · RACE 6
UPCOMINGOptional Claiming $25,000
Claiming $25,000, for 3-year-olds and up, that have not won four races lifetime.
Claiming race — every starter can be bought for the claiming price out of the race, so owners risk losing a horse that's clearly best. That keeps the field evenly matched on ability.
● Track record at 7 1/2 Furlongs: 88.9
The shape is the story here: the early pace looks honest rather than contested — expect a fairly run race where class and trip decide it, not pace collapse.
Our number tops on #3 Fireman Dan (a presser/stalker, M/L 8-5). Recent figures: 77 · 96 · 93. It hit the board last time and stays in form. Backup is #8 Kauai Dan at 5-2. Use #7 Attack in exotic structures.
What would change our mind: a key scratch that reshapes the early pace, a sharp turf-to-dirt or surface switch off the rail, or live money showing up on a horse the board had dismissed. Watch the tote late.
At a glance: model vs the morning line
At a glance
- Market favourite #3 FIREMAN DAN (8-5) — our number agrees.
- #3 FIREMAN DAN — our top number on the card, about right at the windows (30.9% to their 31.0%).
- #8 KAUAI DAN — our #2 number, about right at the windows (23.8% to their 23.0%).
- #7 ATTACK — our #3 number, about right at the windows (13.8% to their 14.6%).
Model vs the morning line
- The model and the morning line roughly agree on this field.
Pacewho goes to the front
Pace
Pressed Pace. Speed under pressure from multiple pressers. Likely honest pace, slight closer benefit.
Likely leader: #9 Wandalita; pressure from #10 We The Fringe, #1 Bobby Dazzler; the shape helps #1 Bobby Dazzler, #2 Crusher Royale, #3 Fireman Dan; and works against #9 Wandalita, #10 We The Fringe.
Number = last-race early-pace figure. Green border = the shape helps; red = it works against.
Early speed and closing figures, horse by horse
Early Pace · E1 figure · front runners
Closing Kick · late-pace figure
Bet types offeredwager menu
Bet types
Wagers offered on this race.
EXACTA / TRIFECTA / SUPERFECTA / ROLLING DOUBLE / PICK 4 (RACES 6-9)
BET OPTIONS
WinPlaceShowExactaTrifectaSuperfecta