R8 CTD · Claiming $12,500

7:03 PM ET · 7 Furlongs Dirt · $17,500 · 11 runners7:03 PM · 7f Dirt · 11 runners

Upcoming $18K · Claiming $12,500

Card modelCard model Wide openFormLast 3 figsTier · angles

1Sparklet▲★A. Perez · J. BrownPerez · BrownA78 74 79►≡@trip 893-1Fair 9-218%► Steady78 74 79 ≡@trip 89A▲ Last fig 78 at/above par 77★ Best at the trip 892

Card model 18% · Fair odds 9-2 · Our #2 · Tier A · Form ► Steady · ≡ Steady figures 74–79 · Best fig at today's trip 89 (3 tries) · Last 3 figs 78 74 79

▲ Last fig 78 at/above par 77★ Best at the trip 89

Jockey Amadeo Perez 32% career ★ 19-for-73 on dirt this meet (26%), #2 of 18 · Trainer Jim R Brown 37% career 5-for-34 on dirt this meet (15%)

Also today · Jockey R2: Just Scarlett 8-5, R3: Border Song 7-5, R5: All Run 8-1, R6: Flashfordani 12-1 +2 more · Trainer R3: Shashashakemeup 8-1, R5: Lemon Meringue 6-1, R7: Kystone 20-1, this race: Quarterback Dak 20-1

Beaten 1 length for 3rd in a 7-horse optional claiming race at CTD. Drops from optional claiming to $12,500 claiming.

EVEN PACE Can sit just off the early fight and pick up whoever tires.

WORKS LIGHT Light on works against these rivals (0 works in 30d, last 158d back)

Last three races

Date	Trk	Dist	Class	Finish	Fig	Odds	Eq	Trip
10/10	CTD	7½f D	OC 17k n3l	3rd/7 -1L	78	4.3-1	b L	Stlkd;in-tight stretch
9/19	CTD	1 1/16 D	Clm 12k c	Won/7	74	1.1-1	b L	Much the best
9/4	CML	6f D	OC 17k n3l	3rd/9 -2½L	79	7.8-1	b L	Traffic;DQ plcd 6th

2LansdowneJ. Asencio · K. KingstonAsencio · KingstonB70 84 84▼▼-11@trip 756-1Fair 6-115%▼▼ Big drop -1170 84 84@trip 75B3

Card model 15% · Fair odds 6-1 · Our #3 · Tier B · Form ▼▼ Big drop -11 · Best fig at today's trip 75 (1 tries) · Last 3 figs 70 84 84

Jockey Jose Mariano Asencio 36% career 5-for-38 on dirt this meet (13%) · Trainer Karline Kingston 23% career ★ 6-for-26 on dirt this meet (23%)

Also today · Jockey R1: El Bonita Cara 5-2, R3: Squalotoro 10-1, R5: Writ In Stone 10-1, R6: Kauai Dan 5-2 +2 more · Trainer R6: Flashfordani 12-1, R6: Kauai Dan 5-2

Figure of 84 on the record sits above the 77 par. Class relief: optional claiming last time, $12,500 claiming today.

EVEN PACE Can sit just off the early fight and pick up whoever tires.

TROUBLED TRIP Ran into trouble last out (Unhurried; 5w; lackdkick), and the figure already reflects it.

WORKS SHARP Fastest work of the morning on Jun 15 (4F in :47.20), 0 works in 30d

Last three races

Date	Trk	Dist	Class	Finish	Fig	Odds	Eq	Trip
10/23	CTD	6f D	OC 17k n3l	6th/8 -2L	70	4.5-1	b L	Unhurried;5w;lackdkick
10/5	ASD	6f D	OC 12k bc	Won/7 by 2½	84	5.7-1	b L	3-wd;rly wdest;just up
9/2	ASD	5½f D	OC 12k bc	Won/6 by 4½	84	2.1-1	b L	3-wd; took over late

3Good King SamR. Balgobin · J. RobertsonBalgobin · RobertsonC73 68 78►≡@trip 8220-1Fair 30-14%► Steady73 68 78 ≡@trip 82C

Card model 4% · Fair odds 30-1 · Our #9 · Tier C · Form ► Steady · ≡ Steady figures 68–78 · Best fig at today's trip 82 (2 tries) · Last 3 figs 73 68 78

Jockey Richard Balgobin 27% career 7-for-62 on dirt this meet (11%) · Trainer Jerri R Robertson 33% career 3-for-24 on dirt this meet (12%)

Also today · Jockey R5: American Farmer 7-2 · Trainer R5: Trapeze 10-1

★ FASTEST WORKWON LAST

Won last out in an 8-horse race at CTD. Turns back in 8 days.

EVEN PACE Lands behind the duel without having to be part of it.

TROUBLED TRIP Chart note from last time: 6w; 3w; edged clear. A trip worth forgiving, though the number already carries it.

WORKS SHARP Posted the morning's best 5F on Jun 4; 0 works in 30d

Last three races

Date	Trk	Dist	Class	Finish	Fig	Odds	Eq	Trip
10/23	CTD	7½f D	ROC	Won/8 by nk	73	1.6-1	b L	6w;3w;edged clear
9/25	CTD	6f D	Clm 12k b	3rd/6 -1½L	68	4.5-1	b L	Trailed;clsd gradually
9/11	CML	6½f D	Clm 12k b	3rd/6 -3¾L	78	1.5-1	L	Clsd gamely;missed

4Vector▼LSL. Steadman · G. AndersonSteadman · AndersonC70 70 50►↕8-1Fair 8-110%► Steady70 70 50 ↕C▼ Age 5+ at a price, figures fall as the distance risesLS

Card model 10% · Fair odds 8-1 · Our #4 · Tier C · Form ► Steady · ↕ Up-and-down figures 50–83 · Last 3 figs 70 70 50

▼ Age 5+ at a price, figures fall as the distance risesLS

Longshot read: 8-1 on the morning line, and the model has it at 10% against a line of 9%. A read, not a bet.

Jockey Linton Leon Steadman 22% career 4-for-27 on dirt this meet (15%) · Trainer Gonzalo Anderson 33% career 6-for-54 on dirt this meet (11%)

Also today · Jockey R4: Ah Touche 7-2, R5: Frostedbird 5-1, R6: Crusher Royale 20-1, R7: Quinto Sol 6-1 +2 more · Trainer R4: Ah Touche 7-2, R5: Frostedbird 5-1, R6: Crusher Royale 20-1, R7: Quinto Sol 6-1 +2 more

★ FASTEST WORK

An 84 in its last five clears the 77 par for this level. Posted the fastest 3F work of the morning on Jul 14, in :35.00.

PACE CHALLENGE Has to fight for the lead against company, and the fractions may cost it late. (early-speed points: 5)

WORKS SHARP Posted the morning's best 3F on Jul 14; 0 works in 30d

Last three races

Date	Trk	Dist	Class	Finish	Fig	Odds	Eq	Trip
10/16	CTD	6½f D	Clm 12k	2nd/5 -1½L	70	2.4-1	b L	2w;closed belatedly
10/2	CTD	6f D	Clm 12k	2nd/6 -1L	70	5.7-1	b L	Lacked kick needed
9/7	CML	1 1/16 D	OC 17k n3l	8th/8 -14L	50	24-1	b L	Stalked3w;throughearly

5Thompson▲K. Carter · C. FreyCarter · FreyB79 76 56▲+7↕20-1Fair 30-13%▲ Up +779 76 56 ↕B▲ Last fig 79 at/above par 77

Card model 3% · Fair odds 30-1 · Our #10 · Tier B · Form ▲ Up +7 · ↕ Up-and-down figures 56–83 · Last 3 figs 79 76 56

▲ Last fig 79 at/above par 77

Jockey Kyle Carter 25% career 1-for-19 on dirt this meet (5%) · Trainer Carson Frey 27% career ★ 6-for-19 on dirt this meet (32%)

Also today · Jockey R2: Stay Up 8-1, R4: Texas Humor 9-2, R6: Pacheco 30-1, R7: Ameer 15-1 · Trainer R1: Spadina 9-5, R3: Squalotoro 10-1

WON LAST2/3 board here

Has moved up each time out, 56 to 76 to 79. A step up in company: $8,000 claiming before, $12,500 claiming today.

PACE HELPS Several horses want the lead, which is the early heat a closer is looking for.

WORKS LIGHT Thin work schedule next to this field: 0 works in 30d, last one 77d ago

RECORD 2 wins, 2 on the board from 3 starts here

Last three races

Date	Trk	Dist	Class	Finish	Fig	Odds	Eq	Trip
10/10	CTD	6½f D	Clm 8k	Won/10 by 2½	79	2.6-1	b L	Asked 4w;good kick
9/26	CTD	1 1/16 D	Clm 8k	Won/7	76	3.2-1	b L	Setpace;drew clear
9/19	CTD	1 1/16 D	Clm 12k	6th/7 -10L	56	6.0-1	b L	Trailed;passed tiring

6Quarterback DakR. Balgobin · J. BrownBalgobin · BrownC65 66 81▼▼-10@trip 7320-1Fair 30-14%▼▼ Big drop -1065 66 81@trip 73C

Card model 4% · Fair odds 30-1 · Our #8 · Tier C · Form ▼▼ Big drop -10 · Best fig at today's trip 73 (1 tries) · Last 3 figs 65 66 81

Jockey Ridge Balgobin 27% career 7-for-62 on dirt this meet (11%) · Trainer Jim R Brown 37% career 5-for-34 on dirt this meet (15%)

Also today · Jockey R3: Shashashakemeup 8-1, R5: Rapture Bay 10-1, R7: Kystone 20-1, R9: Where's The Gold 15-1 · Trainer R3: Shashashakemeup 8-1, R5: Lemon Meringue 6-1, R7: Kystone 20-1, this race: Sparklet 3-1

CLASS DROP★ FASTEST WORK4/5 board here

Back to 7 furlongs off a 1 1/16 miles race. 4 wins from 8 starts at this distance.

EVEN PACE Can sit just off the early fight and pick up whoever tires.

TROUBLED TRIP Chart note from last time: 5w; bid; flattenedout. A trip worth forgiving, though the number already carries it.

WORKS SHARP Fastest work of the morning on Sep 20 (4F in :47.40), 1 work in 30d

RECORD 3 wins, 4 on the board from 5 starts here

Last three races

Date	Trk	Dist	Class	Finish	Fig	Odds	Eq	Trip
10/23	CTD	1 1/16 D	Clm 12k	3rd/8 -7L	65	4.7-1	b L	5w;bid;flattenedout
9/26	CTD	1 1/16 D	OC 17k n3l	9th/10 -3½L	66	8.3-1	b L	Lackedspd;empty
9/7	CML	1 1/16 D	OC 25k n4l	7th/7 -8½L	81	4.4-1	b L	Stalked3w;emptydrive

7Piccata Prince▼K. Natera · W. SmithNatera · SmithC71 79 71▼-4≡@trip 6030-1Fair 50-12%▼ Down -471 79 71 ≡@trip 60C▼ Age 5+ at a price, figures fall as the distance rises

Card model 2% · Fair odds 50-1 · Our #11 · Tier C · Form ▼ Down -4 · ≡ Steady figures 71–79 · Best fig at today's trip 60 (1 tries) · Last 3 figs 71 79 71

▼ Age 5+ at a price, figures fall as the distance rises

Jockey Keihton Natera 29% career 5-for-37 on dirt this meet (14%) · Trainer W Darcy Smith 32% career

Also today · Jockey R1: Devas Charm 2-1, R2: Light Fast Feet 9-2, R3: Sportscarr 15-1, R4: Betty Jo 5-2 +3 more · Trainer R3: Samurai Challenge 20-1, R7: Borderland 20-1, R9: Wickedblackbullet 30-1, R9: Rattlesnake Jack 30-1

★ FASTEST WORKWON LAST

Comes in off a victory in an 8-horse allowance race at CTD. 2nd of 10 at 3F on Feb 24, in :36.00.

EVEN PACE Lands behind the duel without having to be part of it.

TROUBLED TRIP Ran into trouble last out (Brushed; 3-4w; drw away), and the figure already reflects it.

WORKS SHARP 4f in :48.60 on Jul 15 was the best time at that distance that morning; 0 works in 30d

Last three races

Date	Trk	Dist	Class	Finish	Fig	Odds	Eq	Trip
10/17	CTD	6½f D	Alw s	Won/8	71	7.3-1	b L	Brushed;3-4w;drw away
9/8	ASD	6f D	Clm 5k c	4th/6 -4½L	79	3.0-1	b L	Stlkd insd; rallied
8/18	ASD	5f D	Clm 4k b	Won/8 by 1¼	71	4.3-1	b L	Insd;rly btw;held on

8Wico▼E. Gonzalez · T. RycroftGonzalez · RycroftA74 71 83▼-68-1Fair 12-18%▼ Down -674 71 83A▼ Age 5+ at a price, figures fall as the distance rises

Card model 8% · Fair odds 12-1 · Our #5 · Tier A · Form ▼ Down -6 · Last 3 figs 74 71 83

▼ Age 5+ at a price, figures fall as the distance rises

Jockey Enrique Alonzo Gonzalez 33% career ★ 8-for-37 on dirt this meet (22%) · Trainer Tom Rycroft 36% career ★ 13-for-63 on dirt this meet (21%)

Also today · Jockey R2: Dreaming D'Oro 3-1, R3: Tool Time 5-2, R9: Man At The Pulpit 20-1 · Trainer R4: B B Beth 3-1, R7: Jump The Queue 6-1, this race: Drinking Again 2-1, R9: Man At The Pulpit 20-1

★ FASTEST WORK

A big drop, optional claiming to $12,500 claiming, and worth asking why. Fastest 4F work of its morning on Sep 22 (:48.20), a sign it is training forwardly.

PACE HELPS The front end should be a fight, and this one gets to wait on it.

WORKS SHARP 4f in :48.20 on Sep 22 was the best time at that distance that morning; 0 works in 30d

Last three races

Date	Trk	Dist	Class	Finish	Fig	Odds	Eq	Trip
10/10	CTD	7½f D	OC 25k n4l	6th/9 -2½L	74	9.2-1	L	Well placed;flattened
8/25	ASD	1 1/16 D	Plentiful26k	6th/7 -12L	71	5.8-1	L	Wel plcd insd; faded
8/4	ASD	6f D	OC 22k b	3rd/7 -2L	83	4.2-1	L	Stk duel insd; waited

9Hyperfocus▼K. Trotman · G. AndersonTrotman · AndersonC67 46 75►@trip 8412-1Fair 15-16%► Steady67 46 75@trip 84C▼ Age 5+ at a price, figures fall as the distance rises

Card model 6% · Fair odds 15-1 · Our #7 · Tier C · Form ► Steady · Best fig at today's trip 84 (1 tries) · Last 3 figs 67 46 75

▼ Age 5+ at a price, figures fall as the distance rises

Jockey Keimar Trotman 27% career 4-for-35 on dirt this meet (11%) · Trainer Gonzalo Anderson 33% career 6-for-54 on dirt this meet (11%)

Also today · Jockey R2: Where's The Pumps 10-1, R4: Caravalla 15-1, R6: Bobby Dazzler 10-1, R7: Thiscatsgotspeed 15-1 · Trainer R4: Ah Touche 7-2, R5: Frostedbird 5-1, R6: Crusher Royale 20-1, R7: Quinto Sol 6-1 +2 more

CLASS DROP2/4 board here

Was 4th of 5 at the first call last time. Worked 5F in :59.60 on Jun 5, 2nd of 22 at the distance.

PACE CHALLENGE Early speed in a crowded front end; somebody gets worn down. (early-speed points: 2)

WORKS LIGHT Thin work schedule next to this field: 0 works in 30d, last one 51d ago

RECORD 0 wins, 2 on the board from 4 starts here

Last three races

Date	Trk	Dist	Class	Finish	Fig	Odds	Eq	Trip
10/16	CTD	6½f D	Clm 12k	3rd/5 -3L	67	11-1	L	Stalked3-4w;lackedclos
10/2	CTD	1 1/16 D	OC 25k n4l	7th/7 -19L	46	12-1	L	Stalked;done early
9/25	CTD	6½f D	OC 25k n4l	DNF	—	32-1	L	Hitgate;veeredin;DNF

10Drinking AgainB. Boodramsingh · T. RycroftBoodramsingh · RycroftA71 80 77▼▼-11@trip 842-1Fair 3-125%▼▼ Big drop -1171 80 77@trip 84A1

Card model 25% · Fair odds 3-1 · Our #1 · Tier A · Form ▼▼ Big drop -11 · Best fig at today's trip 84 (1 tries) · Last 3 figs 71 80 77

Jockey Brian Boodramsingh 30% career 6-for-49 on dirt this meet (12%) · Trainer Tom Rycroft 36% career ★ 13-for-63 on dirt this meet (21%)

Also today · Jockey R3: Pump The Brakes 8-1, R4: B B Beth 3-1, R6: Fireman Dan 8-5, R7: Jump The Queue 6-1 +1 more · Trainer R4: B B Beth 3-1, R7: Jump The Queue 6-1, this race: Wico 8-1, R9: Man At The Pulpit 20-1

4/6 board here

Quick turnaround, just 8 days since the last start. Stretches out from 6 furlongs to 7 furlongs.

EVEN PACE Lands behind the duel without having to be part of it.

WORKS LIGHT Light on works against these rivals (0 works in 30d, last 186d back)

RECORD 4 wins, 4 on the board from 6 starts here

Last three races

Date	Trk	Dist	Class	Finish	Fig	Odds	Eq	Trip
10/23	CTD	6f D	OC 17k n3l	5th/8 -2¼L	71	2.0-1	b L	4w;circledwide;closed
10/10	CTD	7½f D	OC 17k n3l	Won/7 by 1	80	4.0-1	b L	Cls2-3w;bid upr;wn clr
9/19	CTD	6f D	OC 17k n3l	Won/5 by 2	77	0.9-1	b L	4w;won driving

11Horatio▲▼K. Santo · D. CondileniosSanto · CondileniosB77 71 77▲+4≡10-1Fair 15-16%▲ Up +477 71 77 ≡B▲ Last fig 77 at/above par 77▼ Age 5+ at a price, figures fall as the distance rises

Card model 6% · Fair odds 15-1 · Our #6 · Tier B · Form ▲ Up +4 · ≡ Steady figures 71–77 · Last 3 figs 77 71 77

▲ Last fig 77 at/above par 77▼ Age 5+ at a price, figures fall as the distance rises

Jockey Kimal Santo 28% career 7-for-56 on dirt this meet (12%) · Trainer Dino Condilenios 26% career 2-for-22 on dirt this meet (9%)

Also today · Jockey R3: Sandini 12-1, R4: Aintafraidtodream 12-1, R5: Concrete Cowboy 3-1, R6: Wandalita 20-1 +2 more · Trainer R9: J Dutton 4-1

◆ NOTE · TRIP TROUBLE

Has run 82 against a 77 par for the class. Was running in optional claiming; today's $12,500 claiming is an easier level on paper.

PACE CHALLENGE Has to fight for the lead against company, and the fractions may cost it late. (early-speed points: 1)

TROUBLED TRIP Chart note from last time: Steadied 1/8; willingly. A trip worth forgiving, though the number already carries it.

WORKS LIGHT Thin work schedule next to this field: 0 works in 30d, last one 99d ago

Last three races

Date	Trk	Dist	Class	Finish	Fig	Odds	Eq	Trip
10/10	CTD	7½f D	OC 17k n3l	6th/7 -1½L	77	13-1	b L	Steadied 1/8;willingly
9/26	CTD	1 1/16 D	OC 17k n3l	3rd/10 -½L	71	22-1	b L	Alertly;4w;improved
9/4	CML	6f D	OC 17k n3l	4th/9 -4½L	77	22-1	b L	Bumped;mild bid

▲ / ▼ angle for / against · ★ best figure at the trip · LS longshot read · 1 2 3 = our top three · A B C tiers · ▲ ► ▼ form · ≡ ↕ steady / up-and-down. Tap a row for its notes, a name for the horse's page. Analysis only. Pace: fast and contested (6 early types). Helps stalkers and closers.

How to read these marks

1 2 3: Our top three by the card model's win chance. Tap “Our order” to sort by it.
Win %, Fair: The card model's chance to win, and the odds that chance works out to with no takeout. Fair is green when the model rates the horse above its morning line (the line scaled to add up to 100%).
Tier A B C ?: The field ranked on recent speed figures and the morning line together: A = top three, B = next three, C = the rest, ? = no figures yet.
71 60 72: Last three speed figures, newest first. “@trip 75” = best figure at today's distance (within 30 yards) on this surface.
▲▲ ▲ ► ▼ ▼▼: Form: last figure against the average of the three before it. ▲ = up 3 or more, ▲▲ = up 8 or more, ► = within 3, ▼ / ▼▼ = down. The number is the difference.
≡ ↕: ≡ steady: the last four figures sit close together. ↕ up-and-down: they swing widely.
★: Best figure in the field at today's distance and surface, from two or more tries, not tied. When that horse isn't in our top three it gets a “Distance horse” note above the field.
▲ ▼ chips: Handicapping angles for or against the horse. LS = longshot read: 8-1 or more on the morning line and the model rates it higher than that line.

These marks describe the past performances. None of them is proven to beat the odds: in our test of 100 handicapping angles, nothing did better than the final odds, and the morning-line favourite wins more races than our top-ranked horse. Read them as notes, not as a reason to bet.

Race conditions and our readpace, conditions, story

CTD · RACE 8

UPCOMING

Claiming $12,500

Field

11 runners

Purse

$17,500

Post

7:03 PM ET

Pace

Speed Duel

Card model top pick

#10 · 25%

Claiming $12,500, for 3-year-olds and up.

Claiming race — every starter can be bought for the claiming price out of the race, so owners risk losing a horse that's clearly best. That keeps the field evenly matched on ability.

● Track record at 7 Furlongs: 81.89

The shape is the story here: 3 confirmed front-runners should pressure each other early, which tilts the race toward stalkers and closers who can pick up the pieces late.

Our number tops on #10 Drinking Again (a presser/stalker, M/L 2-1). Recent figures: 71 · 80 · 77. Backup is #1 Sparklet at 3-1. Use #2 Lansdowne in exotic structures.

What would change our mind: a key scratch that reshapes the early pace, a sharp turf-to-dirt or surface switch off the rail, or live money showing up on a horse the board had dismissed. Watch the tote late.

At a glance: model vs the morning line

At a glance

Market favourite #10 DRINKING AGAIN (2-1) — our number agrees.
#10 DRINKING AGAIN — our top number on the card, about right at the windows (25.0% to their 25.8%).
#1 SPARKLET — our #2 number, about right at the windows (20.1% to their 19.4%).
#2 LANSDOWNE — our #3 number, about right at the windows (12.4% to their 11.1%).

Model vs the morning line · analysis, not advice

The model and the morning line roughly agree on this field.

Pacewho goes to the front

Pace

Speed Duel. Three or more early-speed types. Fast pace, hot fractions — closers benefit.

Likely leader: #11 Horatio; pressure from #4 Vector, #9 Hyperfocus; the shape helps #5 Thompson, #8 Wico; and works against #4 Vector, #9 Hyperfocus, #11 Horatio.

Lead

11Horatio884Vector869Hyperfocus85

Press

1Sparklet917Piccata Prince886Quarterback Dak72

Stalk

2Lansdowne823Good King Sam8210Drinking Again80

8Wico895Thompson86

Number = last-race early-pace figure. Green border = the shape helps; red = it works against.

Early speed and closing figures, horse by horse

Early Pace · E1 figure · front runners

Sparklet

Piccata Prince

Horatio

Vector

Hyperfocus

Lansdowne

Good King Sam

Drinking Again

Quarterback Dak

Closing Kick · late-pace figure

Thompson

Wico

Bet types offeredwager menu

Bet types

Wagers offered on this race.

EXACTA / TRIFECTA / SUPERFECTA / ROLLING DOUBLE

TBredIQ shows analysis only. We don’t build tickets or suggest amounts.

BET OPTIONS

WinPlaceShowExactaTrifectaSuperfecta

Wagers offered on this race — analysis only, no stake sizing.