R2 Delta Downs · State-Bred Allowance · $44,000 purse

★ Distance horse: #2 Dynamite Tonight (8-1) has the best figure in the field at today's distance and surface: 85 from 3 tries. Not in our top three.

1. 1Two Good Old Guys▲J. Melancon · A. LandryMelancon · LandryA71 73 93▼-4↕5-2Fair 3-127%▼ Down -471 73 93 ↕A▲ Lone speed on early pace1

   Card model 27% · Fair odds 3-1 · Our #1 · Tier A · Form ▼ Down -4 · ↕ Up-and-down figures 60–93 · Last 3 figs 71 73 93

   ▲ Lone speed on early pace

   Jockey Jansen Melancon 33% career 6-for-39 on dirt this meet (15%) · Trainer Allen Ray Landry 37% career ★ 15-for-40 on dirt this meet (38%), #1 of 39

   Also today · Jockey R3: Golden Rey 8-1, R5: Classy'n Connected 3-1, R7: Gavel 15-1, R8: Army Running Bayou 8-1 · Trainer R5: Classy'n Connected 3-1, R5: Ice Cold Blonde 12-1, R7: Our Favorite Son 6-1

   180D+ LAYOFF★ FASTEST WORK

   Freshened 345 days, longer than anything else in the field. Watch how its recent works look. Runs for $44,000 today after a $100,000 race last time.

   PACE CHALLENGE Has to fight for the lead against company, and the fractions may cost it late. (early-speed points: 6)

   WORKS SHARP Fastest work of the morning on Sep 22 (4F in :48.60), 1 work in 30d

   RECORD Jansen Melancon from post 1 here: 16 wins, 36 top-3 in 101 rides · 14% wins from all posts here

   Last three races

   Date	Trk	Dist	Class	Finish	Fig	Odds	Eq	Trip
   11/20	FG	6f D	sJRPlusoMmB100k	5th/7 -8L	71	5.9-1	b L	Btw; ins 1/8; no rally
   11/1	DED	7f D	sLaLegacyB100k	2nd/6	73	0.6-1	b L	Speed; outfinished
   8/30	LAD	5½f D	sLaCupJuvB75k	Won/11	93	16-1	b L	Duel;shook clear;sharp

2. 2Dynamite Tonight▼★H. Hernandez · S. BreauxHernandez · BreauxB70 81 65▼-4@trip 858-1Fair 12-18%▼ Down -470 81 65@trip 85B▼ 2nd off a layoff after a poor return (70 vs 81)★ Best at the trip 85

   Card model 8% · Fair odds 12-1 · Our #5 · Tier B · Form ▼ Down -4 · Best fig at today's trip 85 (3 tries) · Last 3 figs 70 81 65

   ▼ 2nd off a layoff after a poor return (70 vs 81)★ Best at the trip 85

   Jockey Harry Hernandez 38% career 10-for-61 on dirt this meet (16%) · Trainer Samuel Breaux 36% career 1-for-17 on dirt this meet (6%) ★ hot

   Also today · Jockey R1: Majestic Rags 6-1, R3: Bravo Lima 7-2, R4: Native Star 5-1, R5: Perfect Union 20-1 +3 more · Trainer this race: Hand 15-1, R5: Rosie's Angus 5-1, R9: Making Noise 8-1

   ★ FASTEST WORK

   4th last time, 3½ lengths back, in a field of 10. Best recent figure of 81 sits right around the 80 par.

   EVEN PACE Can sit just off the early fight and pick up whoever tires.

   TROUBLED TRIP Chart note from last time: Broke slow; gain. A trip worth forgiving, though the number already carries it.

   WORKS SHARP Fastest work of the morning on Oct 6 (4F in :50.00), 1 work in 30d

   Last three races

   Date	Trk	Dist	Class	Finish	Fig	Odds	Eq	Trip
   10/14	DED	5f D	sAlw51000n1x	4th/10 -3½L	70	3.6-1	L	Broke slow; gain
   7/17	EVD	6f D	sOC50000n2l	3rd/7 -1½L	81	1.7-1	L	Lacked late response
   6/27	EVD	5f T	sOC50000n2l	5th/7 -4¼L	65	0.9-1	L	Lacked a finish

3. 3Pericles▼LST. Pompell · L. ThomasPompell · ThomasC72 77 62►@trip 7215-1Fair 20-15%► Steady72 77 62@trip 72C▼ 2nd off a layoff after a poor return (72 vs 77)LS

   Card model 5% · Fair odds 20-1 · Our #7 · Tier C · Form ► Steady · Best fig at today's trip 72 (2 tries) · Last 3 figs 72 77 62

   ▼ 2nd off a layoff after a poor return (72 vs 77)LS

   Longshot read: 15-1 on the morning line, and the model has it at 5% against a line of 5%. A read, not a bet.

   Jockey T L Pompell 29% career ★ 9-for-43 on dirt this meet (21%), #2 of 30 · Trainer Lee Thomas 36% career 2-for-14 on dirt this meet (14%)

   Also today · Jockey R4: It's A Secret 15-1, R7: Life Is A Banquet 12-1, R9: Life Run 5-1

   WON LAST

   Last start was a win, in a 6-horse maiden special weight race at DED at 1.3-1. Moves up from maiden special weight to allowance.

   EVEN PACE Lands behind the duel without having to be part of it.

   WORKS SHARP 3f in :36.80 on Jun 5 was the best time at that distance that morning; 1 work in 30d

   RECORD T L Pompell from post 3 here: 13 wins, 54 top-3 in 118 rides · 13% wins from all posts here

   Last three races

   Date	Trk	Dist	Class	Finish	Fig	Odds	Eq	Trip
   10/16	DED	5f D	MSW	Won/6	72	1.3-1	b L	Speed; clear; urging
   8/7	EVD	5½f D	sMdSpWt	3rd/6 -4L	77	5.4-1	b L	Off slow; 5wd rally
   7/3	EVD	5f D	MSW	4th/5 -5½L	62	7.8-1	b L	Missed brk;late gain

4. 4Mingling MoE. Barrera · R. WardBarrera · WardA78 68 77▲▲+11↕@trip 789-2Fair 6-114%▲▲ Big jump +1178 68 77 ↕@trip 78A3

   Card model 14% · Fair odds 6-1 · Our #3 · Tier A · Form ▲▲ Big jump +11 · ↕ Up-and-down figures 57–78 · Best fig at today's trip 78 (5 tries) · Last 3 figs 78 68 77

   Jockey Elio J Barrera 32% career 7-for-55 on dirt this meet (13%) · Trainer Ronnie Ward 36% career 2-for-24 on dirt this meet (8%)

   Also today · Jockey R3: Forever Chapin 5-2, R4: Soul Coaxing 5-2, R6: Uno Pea 12-1, R7: Eye Witness 20-1 +1 more · Trainer R9: Yankee Prince 7-2

   5/6 board here

   2nd of 20 at 4F on Jul 31, in :49.00. A 78 top number against a 80 par, so it fits the level.

   EVEN PACE A stalking spot behind a contested lead is the useful one in this shape.

   WORKS LIGHT Thin work schedule next to this field: 1 work in 30d, last one 28d ago

   RECORD 0 wins, 5 on the board from 6 starts here

   RECORD Elio J Barrera from post 4 here: 10 wins, 41 top-3 in 76 rides · 13% wins from all posts here

   Last three races

   Date	Trk	Dist	Class	Finish	Fig	Odds	Eq	Trip
   10/14	DED	5f D	sAlw51000n1x	2nd/10 -1½L	78	26-1	b L	No match; clear 2nd
   9/4	EVD	5½f D	sAlw42000n3l	5th/7 -5L	68	11-1	b L	Pressed; flattened out
   7/11	EVD	5½f D	sClm20000n2l	Won/9	77	3.8-1	b L	Opened up; held

5. 5Coattails▼C. Fusilier · P. DuhonFusilier · DuhonB69 86 86▼▼-13@trip 698-1Fair 12-17%▼▼ Big drop -1369 86 86@trip 69B▼ 2nd off a layoff after a poor return (69 vs 86)

   Card model 7% · Fair odds 12-1 · Our #6 · Tier B · Form ▼▼ Big drop -13 · Best fig at today's trip 69 (2 tries) · Last 3 figs 69 86 86

   ▼ 2nd off a layoff after a poor return (69 vs 86)

   Jockey C Fusilier 32% career ★ 6-for-30 on dirt this meet (20%) · Trainer Paul Duhon 28% career 0-for-8 on dirt this meet (0%)

   Also today · Jockey R4: Byword 8-1, R5: Ice Cold Blonde 12-1, R6: Miss Priority 5-1, R7: Our Favorite Son 6-1 · Trainer R4: Byword 8-1, R6: Miss Priority 5-1

   ★ FASTEST WORK

   Winless in 5 starts at this distance. Figure of 86 on the record sits above the 80 par.

   PACE CHALLENGE Early speed in a crowded front end; somebody gets worn down. (early-speed points: 8)

   WORKS LIGHT Few works lately, 1 work in 30d and the last 26 days ago

   RECORD C Fusilier from post 5 here: 9 wins, 20 top-3 in 52 rides · 13% wins from all posts here

   Last three races

   Date	Trk	Dist	Class	Finish	Fig	Odds	Eq	Trip
   10/14	DED	5f D	sAlw51000n1x	5th/10 -1L	69	10-1	L	Speed; clear; faded
   7/10	EVD	6½f D	Clm 15k b	3rd/8 by hd	86	1.3-1	L	Led; dueled; faltered
   6/18	EVD	7f D	sClm10000n3l	Won/7	86	2.9-1	L	Rated;won geared down

6. 6Hand▼M. Alvarez · S. BreauxAlvarez · BreauxC74 6915-1Fair 30-13%—74 69C▼ Best fig 74 is 5+ under today's par 80

   Card model 3% · Fair odds 30-1 · Our #8 · Tier C · Last 3 figs 74 69

   ▼ Best fig 74 is 5+ under today's par 80

   Jockey Misael Alvarez 34% career 1-for-32 on dirt this meet (3%) · Trainer Samuel Breaux 36% career 1-for-17 on dirt this meet (6%) ★ hot

   Also today · Jockey R4: Mo Hope 10-1, R9: Baritone Crier 20-1 · Trainer this race: Dynamite Tonight 8-1, R5: Rosie's Angus 5-1, R9: Making Noise 8-1

   60D LAYOFF★ FASTEST WORK

   Samuel Breaux takes over the training from Winston Cormier. Jockey switch: Juan P Vargas last out, Misael Alvarez today.

   EVEN PACE A stalking spot behind a contested lead is the useful one in this shape.

   WORKS SHARP 3f in :36.80 on Oct 1 was the best time at that distance that morning; 2 works in 30d

   Last three races

   Date	Trk	Dist	Class	Finish	Fig	Odds	Eq	Trip
   8/27	EVD	6f D	sOC50000n2l	DNF	—	18-1	L	Refused brk;walked off
   7/28	LAD	5f T	sMdSpWt	Won/7 by 1	74	1.2-1	L	Cut corner;bid;held
   6/30	LAD	5f T	sMdSpWt	2nd/9 -2L	69	8.5-1	L	Off slow/came in;rally

7. 7Dirty Straight Up▼J. Hernandez · R. Degeyter Jr.Hernandez · Degeyter Jr.C64 80 81▼▼-14@trip 646-1Fair 8-110%▼▼ Big drop -1464 80 81@trip 64C▼ 2nd off a layoff after a poor return (64 vs 80)

   Card model 10% · Fair odds 8-1 · Our #4 · Tier C · Form ▼▼ Big drop -14 · Best fig at today's trip 64 (1 tries) · Last 3 figs 64 80 81

   ▼ 2nd off a layoff after a poor return (64 vs 80)

   Jockey Javier Antonio Hernandez 38% career 4-for-42 on dirt this meet (10%) · Trainer Randy Jr Degeyter 1-for-8 on dirt this meet (12%)

   Also today · Jockey R1: Ex Gonna 8-1, R3: Rhone Valley 10-1, R9: Firstup 8-1

   Figures have slipped: 81, 80, 64 over its last three. Gets a new rider, Javier Antonio Hernandez replacing Jansen Melancon.

   PACE CHALLENGE Early speed in a crowded front end; somebody gets worn down. (early-speed points: 5)

   WORKS LIGHT Thin work schedule next to this field: 0 works in 30d, last one 32d ago

   RECORD Javier Antonio Hernandez from post 7 here: 3 wins, 7 top-3 in 25 rides · 9% wins from all posts here

   Last three races

   Date	Trk	Dist	Class	Finish	Fig	Odds	Eq	Trip
   10/14	DED	5f D	sAlw51000n1x	7th/10 -7½L	64	2.4-1	L	Never a threat
   6/19	EVD	6f D	sAlw41000n1x	5th/8 -½L	80	2.9-1	L	Vied to 1/16; faltered
   4/24	EVD	7f D	sOC50000n2l	2nd/12	81	1.6-1	L	Speed;caught late

8. 8SpringtownK. Roman · A. Ramirez-RodriguezRoman · Ramirez-RodriguezA75 79 80▼-4≡@trip 807-2Fair 7-223%▼ Down -475 79 80 ≡@trip 80A2

   Card model 23% · Fair odds 7-2 · Our #2 · Tier A · Form ▼ Down -4 · ≡ Steady figures 75–80 · Best fig at today's trip 80 (3 tries) · Last 3 figs 75 79 80

   Jockey Kevin Roman 33% career 6-for-49 on dirt this meet (12%) · Trainer Abel Ramirez-Rodriguez 36% career 1-for-11 on dirt this meet (9%) ★ hot

   Also today · Jockey R1: Perfect Delight 12-1, R3: Loving Creed 10-1, R5: My Boy Vander 8-1, R6: Beulah K 12-1 +1 more · Trainer R4: Lucky Romance 7-2

   0 for 5 at today's distance. Worked 4F in :49.60 on Jun 7, 2nd of 15 at the distance.

   EVEN PACE Lands behind the duel without having to be part of it.

   WORKS LIGHT Thin work schedule next to this field: 0 works in 30d, last one 72d ago

   RECORD Kevin Roman from post 8 here: 2 wins, 13 top-3 in 53 rides · 8% wins from all posts here

   Last three races

   Date	Trk	Dist	Class	Finish	Fig	Odds	Eq	Trip
   10/14	DED	5f D	sAlw51000n1x	3rd/10	75	5.8-1	b L	Speed; clear; no kick
   9/10	RP	5f D	Clm 30k n2l	2nd/6	79	1.3-1	L	3w; bump;lost head bob
   9/4	RP	6f D	Clm 20k n2l	4th/7 -2½L	80	3.4-1	L	Drifted 1/8;brsh'd foe

9. 9Flashy Boy▼C. Del · A. Bonin Jr.Del · Bonin Jr.B62 80 72▼▼-9@trip 8012-1Fair 30-13%▼▼ Big drop -962 80 72@trip 80B▼ Age 5+ at a price, figures fall as the distance rises

   Card model 3% · Fair odds 30-1 · Our #9 · Tier B · Form ▼▼ Big drop -9 · Best fig at today's trip 80 (7 tries) · Last 3 figs 62 80 72

   ▼ Age 5+ at a price, figures fall as the distance rises

   Jockey Cid Erick Del 1-for-7 on dirt this meet · Trainer Albin Jr Bonin

   Also today · Jockey R6: Agami 20-1, R7: The Donegal Clan 12-1, R9: Tito 15-1

   ◆ NOTE · TRIP TROUBLE60D LAYOFF★ FASTEST WORK

   Last race was on the turf; today it runs on the dirt. Carries 115 pounds, 7 less than last time.

   EVEN PACE Can sit just off the early fight and pick up whoever tires.

   WORKS SHARP Fastest work of the morning on Oct 24 (4F in :49.20), 1 work in 30d

   RECORD 0 wins, 1 on the board from 6 starts here

   Last three races

   Date	Trk	Dist	Class	Finish	Fig	Odds	Eq	Trip
   8/31	EVD	5f T	sAlw41000n1x	8th/9 -3½L	62	5.7-1	b L	Bore out; gave way
   8/8	EVD	5f D	sAlw41000n1x	3rd/8 -½L	80	30-1	b L	Pace; ran on late
   1/9	DED	5f D	sAlw45000n1x	4th/7 -1L	72	22-1	b L	Awkst;faild2sustainbid

▲ / ▼ angle for / against · ★ best figure at the trip · LS longshot read · 1 2 3 = our top three · A B C tiers · ▲ ► ▼ form · ≡ ↕ steady / up-and-down. Tap a row for its notes, a name for the horse's page. Analysis only. Pace: fast and contested (8 early types). Helps stalkers and closers.