★ Distance horse: #10 Life Is a Banquet (12-1) has the best figure in the field at today's distance and surface: 91 from 4 tries. Not in our top three.
1Street Warrior▲H. Hernandez · J. BerndtHernandez · BerndtA100 82 86▲▲+125-2Fair 2-133%
▲▲ Big jump +12100 82 86A▲ Last fig 100 at/above par 861Card model 33% · Fair odds 2-1 · Our #1 · Tier A · Form ▲▲ Big jump +12 · Last 3 figs 100 82 86
▲ Last fig 100 at/above par 86Jockey Harry Hernandez 38% career 10-for-61 on dirt this meet (16%) · Trainer Joel Berndt 35% career 2-for-11 on dirt this meet (18%) ★ hotAlso today · Jockey R1: Majestic Rags 6-1, R2: Dynamite Tonight 8-1, R3: Bravo Lima 7-2, R4: Native Star 5-1 +3 more · Trainer R3: Its Billy Baroo 9-2★ FASTEST WORKWON LASTWon last out in a 4-horse race at CBY. Best Brisnet figure in the field over its last five: 100, with 92 next best.
PACE CHALLENGE Has early speed but company on the front end. (early-speed points: 8)WORKS SHARP Fastest work of the morning on Aug 23 (5F in 1:01.40), 1 work in 30dLast three races
Date Trk Dist Class Finish Fig Odds Eq Trip 9/5 CBY 6f D sMnSprntB55k Won/4 100 0.2-1 b 2p turn; hand ride 8/1 CBY 6f D OC 30k b 3rd/6 82 0.6-1 L Vied; clear; faltered 6/27 CBY 5f T Alw nc 2nd/4 86 0.7-1 L Save grd; caught 1/16 2Our Favorite SonC. Fusilier · A. LandryFusilier · LandryB84 81 82►≡@trip 736-1Fair 8-112%
► Steady84 81 82 ≡@trip 73B3Card model 12% · Fair odds 8-1 · Our #3 · Tier B · Form ► Steady · ≡ Steady figures 81–84 · Best fig at today's trip 73 (1 tries) · Last 3 figs 84 81 82
Jockey C Fusilier 32% career ★ 6-for-30 on dirt this meet (20%) · Trainer Allen Ray Landry 37% career ★ 15-for-40 on dirt this meet (38%), #1 of 39Also today · Jockey R2: Coattails 8-1, R4: Byword 8-1, R5: Ice Cold Blonde 12-1, R6: Miss Priority 5-1 · Trainer R2: Two Good Old Guys 5-2, R5: Classy'n Connected 3-1, R5: Ice Cold Blonde 12-160D LAYOFF★ FASTEST WORKWON LAST4/5 board hereSwitches from turf to dirt. Stretches out from 5 furlongs to 6½ furlongs.
PACE HELPS Sits just off the speed with pace in front to run at.WORKS SHARP 5f in 1:01.40 on Jul 3 was the best time at that distance that morning; 1 work in 30dRECORD 2 wins, 4 on the board from 5 starts hereRECORD C Fusilier from post 2 here: 3 wins, 8 top-3 in 30 rides · 13% wins from all posts hereLast three races
Date Trk Dist Class Finish Fig Odds Eq Trip 8/21 EVD 5f T OC 20k n1y Won/8 by 1½ 84 2.9-1 b L Rail bid; dueled; best 7/10 EVD 6f D OC 20k n1xc 4th/8 -1L 81 8.8-1 b L Pressd;dueled;faltered 5/15 EVD -5f T OC 15k n1xc Won/10 82 5.4-1 b L Angle out; willingly 3The Donegal ClanC. Del · D. NoelDel · NoelC77 75 82►≡@trip 9012-1Fair 20-15%
► Steady77 75 82 ≡@trip 90CCard model 5% · Fair odds 20-1 · Our #7 · Tier C · Form ► Steady · ≡ Steady figures 75–82 · Best fig at today's trip 90 (4 tries) · Last 3 figs 77 75 82
Jockey Cid Erick Del 1-for-7 on dirt this meet · Trainer Dane Noel 24% career 0-for-13 on dirt this meet (0%)★ FASTEST WORK4/7 board hereSheds 5 pounds from its last start. Fastest 5F work of its morning on Mar 25 (1:01.40), a sign it is training forwardly.
PACE HELPS Stalks an honestly pressed pace from a good spot.WORKS SHARP 5f in 1:01.40 on Mar 25 was the best time at that distance that morning; 2 works in 30dRECORD 1 win, 4 on the board from 7 starts hereLast three races
Date Trk Dist Class Finish Fig Odds Eq Trip 10/17 DED 6½f D OC 30k b 5th/9 -8L 77 6.3-1 b L Moved up; no factor 4/25 EVD 1m D Alw n1x 5th/6 -4L 75 2.4-1 b L 3-w; no threat 4/4 EVD 1m D EvdMileB100k 3rd/8 -6L 82 8.8-1 b L Outside; clear third 4Mr McgregorJ. Rodriguez · J. CanoRodriguez · CanoC79 84 75▼-3@trip 858-1Fair 12-17%
▼ Down -379 84 75@trip 85CCard model 7% · Fair odds 12-1 · Our #5 · Tier C · Form ▼ Down -3 · Best fig at today's trip 85 (2 tries) · Last 3 figs 79 84 75
Jockey Jose Luis Rodriguez 34% career 6-for-34 on dirt this meet (18%) · Trainer Juan Munoz Cano 31% career 1-for-29 on dirt this meet (3%) ★ hotAlso today · Jockey R1: Louisiana Woman 20-1, R4: Bigfoot Sighting 8-1, R8: Golfito 5-1 · Trainer R4: Soul Coaxing 5-2, R6: Uno Pea 12-1, this race: Thunderhawk 10-1, R9: Irish Whiskey 5-22/3 board hereDrops from optional claiming to allowance optional claiming. Last out was 4th, 5 lengths behind the winner, in a 9-horse optional claiming race at DED.
PACE HELPS The pocket behind pressure is the useful spot, and this type fits it.WORKS SHARP Posted the morning's best 5F on Nov 5; 1 work in 30dRECORD 1 win, 2 on the board from 3 starts hereRECORD Jose Luis Rodriguez from post 4 here: 10 wins, 26 top-3 in 72 rides · 11% wins from all posts hereLast three races
Date Trk Dist Class Finish Fig Odds Eq Trip 10/17 DED 6½f D OC 30k b 4th/9 -5L 79 5.4-1 L Pressed; weakened 9/7 EVD 1m T OC 30k n2x 2nd/7 84 12-1 L Stalk; 2w; led; hung 8/15 EVD 1m T OC 30k b 5th/6 -5L 75 3.5-1 L Bid; came up empty 5GavelJ. Melancon · C. GoveaMelancon · GoveaC80 81 88▼-3≡15-1Fair 20-14%
▼ Down -380 81 88 ≡CCard model 4% · Fair odds 20-1 · Our #8 · Tier C · Form ▼ Down -3 · ≡ Steady figures 80–88 · Last 3 figs 80 81 88
Jockey Jansen Melancon 33% career 6-for-39 on dirt this meet (15%) · Trainer Cesar Govea 24% career 1-for-24 on dirt this meet (4%)Also today · Jockey R2: Two Good Old Guys 5-2, R3: Golden Rey 8-1, R5: Classy'n Connected 3-1, R8: Army Running Bayou 8-1 · Trainer R4: Bigfoot Sighting 8-1, R9: Tito 15-1★ FASTEST WORKTrending the wrong way on speed, 88 to 81 to 80. A longer trip: 5 furlongs last out, 6½ furlongs today.
PACE HELPS Sits just off the speed with pace in front to run at.WORKS LIGHT Thin work schedule next to this field: 1 work in 30d, last one 30d agoRECORD Jansen Melancon from post 5 here: 9 wins, 33 top-3 in 93 rides · 14% wins from all posts hereLast three races
Date Trk Dist Class Finish Fig Odds Eq Trip 10/22 DED 5f D RHP 65-85 4th/6 -4¼L 80 5.7-1 b L In tight 1/16; rallied 10/9 DED 4f D OC 20k 2nd/7 -1½L 81 2.5-1 b L Rallied; needed more 9/5 EVD 5½f D OC 30k b 3rd/8 -1½L 88 23-1 b L Chased inside; kept on 6Eye Witness▼E. Barrera · P. Rodriguez-TorresBarrera · Rodriguez-TorresC82 73 91►@trip 8320-1Fair 30-13%
► Steady82 73 91@trip 83C▼ Age 5+ at a price, figures fall as the distance risesCard model 3% · Fair odds 30-1 · Our #10 · Tier C · Form ► Steady · Best fig at today's trip 83 (4 tries) · Last 3 figs 82 73 91
▼ Age 5+ at a price, figures fall as the distance risesAlso today · Jockey R2: Mingling Mo 9-2, R3: Forever Chapin 5-2, R4: Soul Coaxing 5-2, R6: Uno Pea 12-1 +1 moreCLASS UPHas run 91 against a 86 par for the class. 0 for 6 at today's distance.
PACE HELPS The pocket behind pressure is the useful spot, and this type fits it.WORKS LIGHT Few works lately, 0 works in 30d and the last 53 days agoRECORD Elio J Barrera from post 6 here: 11 wins, 31 top-3 in 77 rides · 13% wins from all posts hereLast three races
Date Trk Dist Class Finish Fig Odds Eq Trip 10/17 DED 6½f D OC 30k b 3rd/9 -5½L 82 15-1 L Caught for second 9/16 LAD 5f T Clm 10k c 3rd/5 by hd 73 0.5-1 L Pace inside;grudgingly 7/4 ELP 6f D Clm 10k v Won/6 91 1.0-1 L Loomed 4wd;drove clear 7Hay JudeC. Hernandez · K. LaroseHernandez · LaroseA81 89 91▼▼-8@trip 847-2Fair 6-114%
▼▼ Big drop -881 89 91@trip 84A2Card model 14% · Fair odds 6-1 · Our #2 · Tier A · Form ▼▼ Big drop -8 · Best fig at today's trip 84 (1 tries) · Last 3 figs 81 89 91
Jockey Colby J Hernandez 38% career ★ 7-for-34 on dirt this meet (21%), #3 of 30 · Trainer Kinnon Larose 0-for-1 on dirt this meet180D+ LAYOFF3 WORKS IN 30 DAYSFreshened 224 days, longer than anything else in the field. Watch how its recent works look. Changes barns, from Thomas M Amoss to Kinnon Larose.
PACE HELPS The pocket behind pressure is the useful spot, and this type fits it.WORKS SHARP One of the busier work schedules here: 3 works in 30d, last 10d agoLast three races
Date Trk Dist Class Finish Fig Odds Eq Trip 3/21 FG 5½f T sCostaRsng100k 5th/12 -1¾L 81 11-1 b L Ins gain;angl out 1/16 3/1 FG 6f D sOC35000n4l 2nd/8 by hd 89 1.4-1 L Pinch; split4w; gamely 2/5 FG 6f D sOC35000n4l 2nd/6 91 0.9-1 L Duel; drifted; gamely 8Established▲I. Castillo · J. WongCastillo · WongA86 78 90►@trip 905-1Fair 8-111%
► Steady86 78 90@trip 90A▲ Last fig 86 at/above par 86Card model 11% · Fair odds 8-1 · Our #4 · Tier A · Form ► Steady · Best fig at today's trip 90 (2 tries) · Last 3 figs 86 78 90
▲ Last fig 86 at/above par 86Jockey Isaac Castillo 30% career 5-for-56 on dirt this meet (9%) · Trainer Jonathan Wong 47% career 1-for-19 on dirt this meet (5%)Also today · Jockey R1: Classic Embrace 3-1, R3: Battle Star 6-1, R4: Path To Success 9-2, R5: Lady Dreamer 8-1 +2 more · Trainer R1: Classic Embrace 3-1, R4: Path To Success 9-2, R5: Perfect Union 20-1, R6: R T's Gem 12-160D LAYOFFCLASS DROP3 WORKS IN 30 DAYSWON LASTReturns from a 138-day break. Raises its level, optional claiming last time and allowance optional claiming now.
PACE HELPS The pocket behind pressure is the useful spot, and this type fits it.WORKS SHARP Fit-looking prep next to these rivals: 3 works in 30d, last 9d agoLast three races
Date Trk Dist Class Finish Fig Odds Eq Trip 6/15 LAD 6f D OC 10k Won/7 86 4.2-1 b L 3w bid turn; drvg 4/4 HOU 6½f D OC 25k 6th/7 -4L 78 0.9-1 b L 5-6w; needed more 3/15 HOU 6½f D OC 35k Won/7 by hd 90 5.4-1 b L 3-4w; won driving 9ThunderhawkC. Perez · J. CanoPerez · CanoB81 79 78►≡10-1Fair 15-16%
► Steady81 79 78 ≡BCard model 6% · Fair odds 15-1 · Our #6 · Tier B · Form ► Steady · ≡ Steady figures 78–81 · Last 3 figs 81 79 78
Jockey Carlos Perez 32% career 1-for-55 on dirt this meet (2%) · Trainer Juan Munoz Cano 31% career 1-for-29 on dirt this meet (3%)Also today · Jockey R1: Swamp Queen 2-1, R6: Saved By Grace 6-1, R9: My Leo 10-1 · Trainer R4: Soul Coaxing 5-2, R6: Uno Pea 12-1, this race: Mr McGregor 8-1, R9: Irish Whiskey 5-2Worked 4F in :50.20 on Aug 14, 3rd of 22 at the distance. Beaten 1 length for 2nd in a 10-horse $15,000 claiming race at DED.
PACE HELPS The pocket behind pressure is the useful spot, and this type fits it.WORKS LIGHT Light on works against these rivals (0 works in 30d, last 35d back)RECORD Carlos Perez from post 9 here: 2 wins, 12 top-3 in 34 rides · 8% wins from all posts hereLast three races
Date Trk Dist Class Finish Fig Odds Eq Trip 10/17 DED 7f D Clm 15k b 2nd/10 -1L 81 6.3-1 b L Inside; outfinished 8/21 EVD 5f T OC 20k n1y 5th/8 -1½L 79 7.6-1 b L Closed; not enough 7/3 EVD 7f D OC 15k n3l 3rd/6 -1L 78 1.6-1 b L Trkd 2w;bid1/4;hung 10Life Is a Banquet▼★T. Pompell · B. BrinkmanPompell · BrinkmanB81 91 73►@trip 9112-1Fair 20-14%
► Steady81 91 73@trip 91B▼ Age 5+ at a price, figures fall as the distance rises★ Best at the trip 91Card model 4% · Fair odds 20-1 · Our #9 · Tier B · Form ► Steady · Best fig at today's trip 91 (4 tries) · Last 3 figs 81 91 73
▼ Age 5+ at a price, figures fall as the distance rises★ Best at the trip 91Jockey T L Pompell 29% career ★ 9-for-43 on dirt this meet (21%), #2 of 30 · Trainer Brett Brinkman 31% career 6-for-32 on dirt this meet (19%)Also today · Jockey R2: Pericles 15-1, R4: It's A Secret 15-1, R9: Life Run 5-1 · Trainer R1: Swamp Queen 2-1, R3: Rhone Valley 10-160D LAYOFFCLASS UP★ FASTEST WORK4/5 board hereBack after 113 days away; fitness is the question and the works are the evidence. Went to the front early last out (early pace figure 88).
PACE CHALLENGE Has early speed but company on the front end. (early-speed points: 8)WORKS LIGHT Thin work schedule next to this field: 0 works in 30d, last one 36d agoRECORD 1 win, 4 on the board from 5 starts hereRECORD T L Pompell from post 10 here: 5 wins, 21 top-3 in 42 rides · 13% wins from all posts hereLast three races
Date Trk Dist Class Finish Fig Odds Eq Trip 7/10 EVD 6f D OC 20k n1x 5th/8 -½L 81 14-1 L Led; dueled; weakened 6/12 EVD 6½f D Clm 7k b Won/7 91 3.1-1 L Brk well;cleard;sharp 4/22 EVD 1m D OC 12k n1x 4th/8 -2½L 73 16-1 L Bid; lead; faded
▲ / ▼ angle for / against · ★ best figure at the trip · LS longshot read · 1 2 3 = our top three · A B C tiers · ▲ ► ▼ form · ≡ ↕ steady / up-and-down. Tap a row for its notes, a name for the horse's page. Analysis only. Pace: fast and contested (6 early types). Helps stalkers and closers.
How to read these marks
- 1 2 3
- Our top three by the card model's win chance. Tap “Our order” to sort by it.
- Win %, Fair
- The card model's chance to win, and the odds that chance works out to with no takeout. Fair is green when the model rates the horse above its morning line (the line scaled to add up to 100%).
- Tier A B C ?
- The field ranked on recent speed figures and the morning line together: A = top three, B = next three, C = the rest, ? = no figures yet.
- 71 60 72
- Last three speed figures, newest first. “@trip 75” = best figure at today's distance (within 30 yards) on this surface.
- ▲▲ ▲ ► ▼ ▼▼
- Form: last figure against the average of the three before it. ▲ = up 3 or more, ▲▲ = up 8 or more, ► = within 3, ▼ / ▼▼ = down. The number is the difference.
- ≡ ↕
- ≡ steady: the last four figures sit close together. ↕ up-and-down: they swing widely.
- ★
- Best figure in the field at today's distance and surface, from two or more tries, not tied. When that horse isn't in our top three it gets a “Distance horse” note above the field.
- ▲ ▼ chips
- Handicapping angles for or against the horse. LS = longshot read: 8-1 or more on the morning line and the model rates it higher than that line.
These marks describe the past performances. None of them is proven to beat the odds: in our test of 100 handicapping angles, nothing did better than the final odds, and the morning-line favourite wins more races than our top-ranked horse. Read them as notes, not as a reason to bet.
Race conditions and our readpace, conditions, story
DELTA DOWNS · RACE 7
UPCOMINGOptional Claiming $20,000
Claiming $20,000, for 3-year-olds and up, that have not won a race recently.
Claiming race — every starter can be bought for the claiming price out of the race, so owners risk losing a horse that's clearly best. That keeps the field evenly matched on ability.
● Track record at 6 1/2 Furlongs: 77.75
The shape is the story here: the early pace looks honest rather than contested — expect a fairly run race where class and trip decide it, not pace collapse.
Our number tops on #1 Street Warrior (early speed, M/L 5-2). Recent figures: 100 · 82 · 86. It exits a win and is clearly doing well. Backup is #7 Hay Jude at 7-2. Use #2 Our Favorite Son in exotic structures.
What would change our mind: a key scratch that reshapes the early pace, a sharp turf-to-dirt or surface switch off the rail, or live money showing up on a horse the board had dismissed. Watch the tote late.
At a glance: model vs the morning line
At a glance
- Market favourite #1 STREET WARRIOR (5-2) — our number agrees.
- #1 STREET WARRIOR — our top number on the card, about right at the windows (24.9% to their 22.3%).
- #7 HAY JUDE — our #2 number, about right at the windows (16.6% to their 17.3%).
- #8 ESTABLISHED — our #4 number, about right at the windows (12.6% to their 13.0%).
Model vs the morning line
- The model and the morning line roughly agree on this field.
Pacewho goes to the front
Pace
Pressed Pace. Speed under pressure from multiple pressers. Likely honest pace, slight closer benefit.
Likely leader: #1 Street Warrior; pressure from #10 Life Is A Banquet, #8 Established; the shape helps #2 Our Favorite Son, #3 The Donegal Clan, #4 Mr McGregor; and works against #1 Street Warrior, #10 Life Is A Banquet.
Number = last-race early-pace figure. Green border = the shape helps; red = it works against.
Early speed and closing figures, horse by horse
Early Pace · E1 figure · front runners
Closing Kick · late-pace figure
Bet types offeredwager menu
Bet types
Wagers offered on this race.
EXACTA($1 MIN.)/TRIFECTA(.50 MIN.)/SUPERFECTA(.10 MIN.)/DAILY DOUBLE(RACES 7-8)
($1 MIN.)/PICK 3(RACES 7-9)
BET OPTIONS
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