FP · RACE 2
UPCOMINGClaiming $6,250
Claiming $6,250, for 3-year-olds and up, that have not won two races lifetime.
Claiming race — every starter can be bought for the claiming price out of the race, so owners risk losing a horse that's clearly best. That keeps the field evenly matched on ability.
● Track record at 6 Furlongs: 68.6
The shape is the story here: the early pace looks honest rather than contested — expect a fairly run race where class and trip decide it, not pace collapse.
Our number tops on #11 Man Of Quality (a presser/stalker, M/L 4-1). Recent figures: 58 · 61 · 65. Backup is #4 Street Style at 9-1. Use #10 Tower Grove Park in exotic structures.
What would change our mind: a key scratch that reshapes the early pace, a sharp turf-to-dirt or surface switch off the rail, or live money showing up on a horse the board had dismissed. Watch the tote late.
The field, ranked
Our order, top to bottom.
Carries 117 pounds, 7 less than last time. Best recent figure is 65, well under the 73 par for this level.
Figures are climbing: 48, 51, 63 over its last three. Last out was 4th, 10 lengths behind the winner, in an 11-horse $5,000 claiming race at FPK.
Trending the wrong way on speed, 66 to 57 to 49. Was running in $10,000 claiming; today's $6,250 claiming is an easier level on paper.
Tops the field on speed figures, a 72 against 67 for the next best. Class relief: $10,000 claiming last time, $6,250 claiming today.
Was 9th of 9 at the first call last time. Was running in $10,000 claiming; today's $6,250 claiming is an easier level on paper.
The Aug 4 work, 5F in 1:01.00, was the best time at that distance that morning. 2nd of 8 at 4F on Sep 19, in :49.00.
Finished 10th in an 11-horse $5,000 claiming race at FPK, beaten 18 lengths. A 64 is the high figure lately, short of the 73 par.
Winless in 5 starts at this distance. A step up in company: $5,000 claiming before, $6,250 claiming today.
Back after 107 days away; fitness is the question and the works are the evidence. The longest gap in the field. Moves up from $5,000 claiming to $6,250 claiming.
Worked 3F in :37.40 on May 23, 2nd of 8 at the distance. Raises its level, $5,000 claiming last time and $6,250 claiming now.
Shortens up to 6 furlongs after going a mile. Best recent figure is 65, well under the 73 par for this level.
Winner of a 7-horse maiden claiming $6,250 race at FPK last time. Has moved up each time out, 35 to 51 to 64.
At a glance
- Market favourite #11 MAN OF QUALITY (4-1) — our number agrees.
- #11 MAN OF QUALITY — our top number on the card, about right at the windows (17.7% to their 15.5%).
- #7 GONNA PICK DOMENIC — our #6 number, about right at the windows (13.1% to their 14.1%).
- #3 DANG IT DAN — our #4 number, about right at the windows (12.5% to their 13.0%).
Value read
- Longshot value: #4 STREET STYLE (9-1) — our fair 9.2% is above the morning line's 7.8%; supported by: 5-way speed duel up front — meltdown sets up the closer
Pace
Pressed Pace. Speed under pressure from multiple pressers. Likely honest pace, slight closer benefit.
Likely leader: #7 Gonna Pick Domenic; pressure from #2 Brahms Jr., #6 Ima Chunky Monkey; the shape helps #1 Game Santa, #3 Dang It Dan, #5 Allkindsoftrouble; and works against #2 Brahms Jr., #7 Gonna Pick Domenic.
Number = last-race early-pace figure. Green border = the shape helps; red = it works against.
Early speed and closing figures, horse by horse
Early Pace · E1 figure · front runners
Closing Kick · late-pace figure
How to play it
How we'd structure it from our ranking + pace read — an honest, pressed pace rewards the best horse — key tickets fit. Structures and logic only; the stake is yours.
Win / Place
#11 Man Of Quality (place saver: #4 Street Style)
#11 Man Of Quality rates the best; #4 Street Style the logical insurance if you want to be covered.
Exacta — BOX
#11 Man Of Quality · #4 Street Style
Two standouts with little between them — box #11 Man Of Quality and #4 Street Style both ways.
Trifecta — BOX
#11 Man Of Quality · #4 Street Style · #10 Tower Grove Park
Box the top three for any 1-2-3 order; add a 4th only if the field is wide open.
Superfecta — KEY
#11 Man Of Quality / #4 Street Style · #10 Tower Grove Park · #3 Dang It Dan · #8 Free Choice / #4 Street Style · #10 Tower Grove Park · #3 Dang It Dan · #8 Free Choice / ALL or #4 Street Style · #10 Tower Grove Park · #3 Dang It Dan · #8 Free Choice
Deep enough field to spread a super — key the top, spread the next few, fill 4th wide.
Bet types offered at this track →
$1.00 DAILY DOUBLE (RACES 2-3) /EXACTA
.50 CENT TRIFECTA (MINIMUM $1.00 WAGER)