FP · RACE 6
UPCOMINGState-Bred Allowance · $30,000 purse
Allowance, for 3-year-olds and up.
Allowance race — a step above claiming. No horses are for sale; written conditions limit the field to horses of similar experience.
● Track record at 2 1/16 Miles: 218.8
The shape is the story here: the early pace looks honest rather than contested — expect a fairly run race where class and trip decide it, not pace collapse.
Our number tops on #7 Battle Cruiser (a closer, M/L 9-1). Recent figures: 78 · 68 · 59. It hit the board last time and stays in form. Backup is #4 Code Runner at 6-5. Use #1 Nip N Tuck in exotic structures.
What would change our mind: a key scratch that reshapes the early pace, a sharp turf-to-dirt or surface switch off the rail, or live money showing up on a horse the board had dismissed. Watch the tote late.
The field, ranked
Our order, top to bottom.
Stretches out from 1 3/4 miles to 2 1/16 miles. Dropped in well back early last out, 5th of 6 at the first call.
Best Brisnet figure in the field over its last five: 87, with 82 next best. Last start was a win, in a 6-horse allowance race at FPK at 3.4-1.
6th last time, 18 lengths back, in a field of 6. Goes 2 1/16 miles after running 1 3/4 miles last time.
Raises its level, $4,000 claiming last time and starter allowance now. Trending the wrong way on speed, 74 to 70 to 66.
Figures are climbing: 68, 80, 82 over its last three. Was 5th of 6 at the first call last time.
Drops from $15,000 claiming to starter allowance. Fastest 5F work of its morning on Jun 26 (:59.20), a sign it is training forwardly.
A longer trip: 1 1/16 miles last out, 2 1/16 miles today. Figures are climbing: 62, 74, 77 over its last three.
At a glance
- Market favourite #4 CODE RUNNER (6-5) — our number has it ranked #2.
- #4 CODE RUNNER — our #2 number, about right at the windows (33.3% to their 35.8%).
- #6 TWO HEARTED — our #5 number, about right at the windows (25.0% to their 26.3%).
- #7 BATTLE CRUISER — our top number on the card, a price play — we're at 11.4%, the board 7.9%.
Value read
- Longshot value: #7 BATTLE CRUISER (9-1) — our fair 11.4% is above the morning line's 7.9%; supported by: last out: "4 wide trip; held show" — trouble the figure under-credits
Pace
Pressed Pace. Speed under pressure from multiple pressers. Likely honest pace, slight closer benefit.
Likely leader: #2 As One Does; pressure from #5 Euclid Avenue, #1 Nip N Tuck; the shape helps #1 Nip N Tuck, #3 City Of God; and works against #2 As One Does, #5 Euclid Avenue.
Number = last-race early-pace figure. Green border = the shape helps; red = it works against.
Early speed and closing figures, horse by horse
Early Pace · E1 figure · front runners
Closing Kick · late-pace figure
How to play it
How we'd structure it from our ranking + pace read — an honest, pressed pace rewards the best horse — key tickets fit. Structures and logic only; the stake is yours.
Win
#7 Battle Cruiser
Top of the field by a clear 20-pt IQ margin — the play stands alone to win.
Exacta — KEY
#7 Battle Cruiser OVER #4 Code Runner · #1 Nip N Tuck · #2 As One Does
Key #7 Battle Cruiser on top over your contenders for the 2nd slot.
Trifecta — KEY/WHEEL
#7 Battle Cruiser / #4 Code Runner · #1 Nip N Tuck · #2 As One Does / #4 Code Runner · #1 Nip N Tuck · #2 As One Does · #6 Two Hearted
#7 Battle Cruiser keyed 1st, your contenders filling 2nd–3rd.
Bet types offered at this track →
$1.00 DAILY DOUBLE (RACES 6-7) / EXACTA
.50 CENT TRIFECTA (MINIMUM $1.00 WAGER)