Pick sheet

Race 41:32 PM Md 12500

7F · Dirt · 11 entered. Our model's top pick, Hurricane Lynn, is 32% to win (morning line implies 29%). Pace: honest. Speed from #1, #3, #11.

Top pick #11 Hurricane Lynn ML 2-1 Fair 2-1 Model #1 ▲ Up +7 ▲ Lone speed on early pace

Jockey M. Sanchez · Trainer K. Magee · KEE 2: 0-1-1 · Dist 1: 0-0-0 · best fig at 7f dirt 68 · 23 days off

Date	Trk	Dist	Class	Finish	Fig	Odds	Eq	Trip
10/8	DEL	6f D	MCL 25k	3rd/8 by hd	68	1.6-1	b L	Insd;stretch duel;game
9/7	TIM	-6½f D	MCL 25k	3rd/5 -2½L	62	5.1-1	b L	Chased;left lead;tired
8/23	CNL	5½f T	MCL 40k	7th/8 -6½L	52	9.2-1	b L	3w 2nd flight; tired

Case: Last out 3rd in the fMd25000 at DEL. Last Brisnet figures 68-62-52. Best at today's distance 68. 0-for-1 at the distance. 0-for-2 at Laurel Park. K. Magee / M. Sanchez.

Knock: 0-for-1 at the distance.

Contender #9 It's Fine ML 3-1 Fair 3-1 Model #2 ▼ Down -7 ≡ Steady 63–73

Jockey J. Barbosa · Trainer A. Farrior · 43 days off

Date	Trk	Dist	Class	Finish	Fig	Odds	Eq	Trip
9/18	LRL	5½f T	MCL 16kc	5th/12 -3¾L	63	3.1-1	L	3-4w;shift out;evenly
8/1	CNL	1m T	MCL 16k	4th/11 -1L	69	3.0-1	L	Track2w;bid4w;hung lte
6/26	CNL	1m T	MCL 16kc	7th/10 -4¼L	68	4.4-1		Shuffled rail;no punch

Case: Last out 5th/12 -3¾L in the fMd16000c at LRL. Last Brisnet figures 63-69-68. A. Farrior / J. Barbosa.

Knock: Never raced at Laurel Park.

Use #10 Dreams to Sell ML 9-2 Fair 7-1 Model #3 ▼ Best fig 65 is 5+ under today's par 74 Last out 8th/8 -10L in the fMd35000 at LRL. Last Brisnet figures 65. M. Trombetta / L. Briceno. Knock: Never raced this far (longest 5½f). Never raced at Laurel Park.

Jockey L. Briceno · Trainer M. Trombetta · 35 days off

Date	Trk	Dist	Class	Finish	Fig	Odds	Eq	Trip
9/26	LRL	5½f T	MCL 35k	8th/8 -10L	65	7.1-1	L	Reluctant load;outrun

Longshot #1 For Keeps ML 12-1 Fair 10-1 Model #4 Top last-race fig ▲▲ Big jump +13 · career best

Jockey K. Gomez · Trainer J. Maldonado · 21 days off

Date	Trk	Dist	Class	Finish	Fig	Odds	Eq	Trip
10/10	LRL	1 1/16 T	MCL 35k	7th/11 -11L	71	67-1	b L	Rail;steadily weakened
9/5	CNL	1m T	frMdSpWt	8th/8 -½L	55	26-1	b L	Gave way when headed
8/15	CNL	1m T	frMdSpWt	4th/6 -4L	66	21-1	b L	3-5p;6w uppr;no punch

Case: Last out 7th/11 -11L in the fMd35000 at LRL. Last Brisnet figures 71-55-66. J. Maldonado / K. Gomez.

Knock: Never raced at Laurel Park.

★ Distance horse: #3 Daring Delight (10-1) has the best figure in the field at 7f dirt: 73 from 3 tries, record at the distance 3: 0-0-1. Not one of our picks.

Narrowing the field: A #1, #9, #11 · B #3, #7, #10 · C #2, #4, #5, #6, #8

Angles: #2 Best fig 65 is 5+ under today's par 74 · #4 Best fig 59 is 5+ under today's par 74 · #5 Best fig 60 is 5+ under today's par 74 · #6 Best fig 56 is 5+ under today's par 74 · #8 Best fig 69 is 5+ under today's par 74 · #10 Best fig 65 is 5+ under today's par 74 · #11 Lone speed on early pace

R4 Laurel Park · Maiden Claiming $12,500

1:32 PM ET · 7 Furlongs Dirt · $22,000 · 3 runners (8 out)1:32 PM · 7f Dirt · 3 runners (8 out)

Official $22K · Maiden Claiming $12,500

Card modelCard model MediumFormLast 3 figsTier · angles

1For KeepsK. Gomez · J. MaldonadoGomez · MaldonadoA71 55 66▲▲+1312-18%▲▲ Big jump +13 · career best71 55 66A

Card model 8% · Fair odds 10-1 · Our #4 · Tier A · Form ▲▲ Big jump +13 · career best · Last 3 figs 71 55 66

Jockey Kevin Gomez 30% career 0-for-9 on dirt this meet (0%) · Trainer Jonathan Maldonado 25% career 1-for-6 on dirt this meet

Also today · Jockey R1: Blushing Princess 12-1, R6: Bourbonontheporch 30-1, R9: Pendar 15-1

Was running in maiden claiming $28,000; today's maiden claiming $12,500 is an easier level on paper. Comes off a turf start and tries the dirt here.

PACE CHALLENGE Pressured on the lead; getting clear early matters. (early-speed points: 0)

TROUBLED TRIP Ran into trouble last out (Rail; steadily weakened), and the figure already reflects it.

WORKS Steady, unremarkable work pattern: 1 work in 30d, last 8d back

RECORD Kevin Gomez from post 1 here: 3 wins, 20 top-3 in 49 rides · 9% wins from all posts here

Last three races

Date	Trk	Dist	Class	Finish	Fig	Odds	Eq	Trip
10/10	LRL	1 1/16 T	MCL 35k	7th/11 -11L	71	67-1	b L	Rail;steadily weakened
9/5	CNL	1m T	frMdSpWt	8th/8 -½L	55	26-1	b L	Gave way when headed
8/15	CNL	1m T	frMdSpWt	4th/6 -4L	66	21-1	b L	3-5p;6w uppr;no punch

2Morganite Rose▼J. Rocco Jr. · R. WernethRocco Jr. · WernethC45 41 65▼▼-10↕30-12%▼▼ Big drop -1045 41 65 ↕C▼ Best fig 65 is 5+ under today's par 74
Card model 2% · Fair odds 50-1 · Our #8 · Tier C · Form ▼▼ Big drop -10 · ↕ Up-and-down figures 41–65 · Last 3 figs 45 41 65
▼ Best fig 65 is 5+ under today's par 74
Jockey J S Jr Rocco 1-for-6 on dirt this meet · Trainer Robert A Werneth 20% career 0-for-2 on dirt this meet
Also today · Jockey R1: Whimmoffortune 10-1, R3: Where's Ray 6-1, R9: Power Wrench 30-1 · Trainer R9: Power Wrench 30-1
CLASS DROP
Beaten 14 lengths for 6th in a 10-horse maiden claiming $10,000 race at DEL. A longer trip: 5½ furlongs last out, 7 furlongs today.
PACE CHALLENGE No running style on file yet, so the pace shape can't be applied to it.
WORKS SHARP Active work pattern for this group, 2 works in 30d and the last 7d back
Last three races
Date Trk Dist Class Finish Fig Odds Eq Trip
10/7 DEL 5½f D MCL 12k 6th/10 -14L 45 41-1 b L Inside; no factor
9/18 DEL 1 1/16 T MCL 20k 11th/12 -12L 41 80-1 b Finished early
9/6 CNL 1m T MCL 16k 7th/8 -3¾L 65 55-1 b Remained back
3Daring Delight★T. Lyapustina · E. KjelstrupLyapustina · KjelstrupB63 50 70►@trip 7310-18%► Steady63 50 70@trip 73B★ Best at the trip 73
Card model 8% · Fair odds 12-1 · Our #5 · Tier B · Form ► Steady · Best fig at today's trip 73 (3 tries) · Last 3 figs 63 50 70
★ Best at the trip 73
Jockey Tais Lyapustina 28% career 2-for-17 on dirt this meet (12%) · Trainer Eveline Kjelstrup 14% career 0-for-4 on dirt this meet
Also today · Jockey R6: Foolish Lover 6-1, R9: Forrest City 8-1
CLASS DROP
Stretches out from 5½ furlongs to 7 furlongs. Maiden through 10 starts.
PACE HELPS Stalks an honestly pressed pace from a good spot.
WORKS LIGHT Light on works against these rivals (0 works in 30d, last 36d back)
RECORD 0 wins, 2 on the board from 7 starts here
RECORD Tais Lyapustina from post 3 here: 10 wins, 38 top-3 in 92 rides · 11% wins from all posts here
Last three races
Date Trk Dist Class Finish Fig Odds Eq Trip
10/4 LRL 5½f D MCL 16k 2nd/8 -7L 63 3.5-1 Settled; 8wd rally
9/5 TIM -6½f D MCL 40k 3rd/4 -9L 50 2.6-1 Urged ins; faded 1/4
8/1 CT 4½f D MSW 3rd/5 -3½L 70 2.0-1 Press3w1/4;chased on

Date	Trk	Dist	Class	Finish	Fig	Odds	Eq	Trip
10/7	DEL	5½f D	MCL 12k	6th/10 -14L	45	41-1	b L	Inside; no factor
9/18	DEL	1 1/16 T	MCL 20k	11th/12 -12L	41	80-1	b	Finished early
9/6	CNL	1m T	MCL 16k	7th/8 -3¾L	65	55-1	b	Remained back

Date	Trk	Dist	Class	Finish	Fig	Odds	Trip
10/4	LRL	5½f D	MCL 16k	2nd/8 -7L	63	3.5-1	Settled; 8wd rally
9/5	TIM	-6½f D	MCL 40k	3rd/4 -9L	50	2.6-1	Urged ins; faded 1/4
8/1	CT	4½f D	MSW	3rd/5 -3½L	70	2.0-1	Press3w1/4;chased on

4Whiskey Brew▼C. Munoz · M. SalazarMunoz · SalazarC59 53 48▲▲+11@trip 4830-11%▲▲ Big jump +11 · career best59 53 48@trip 48C▼ Best fig 59 is 5+ under today's par 74

Card model 1% · Fair odds 99-1 · Our #9 · Tier C · Form ▲▲ Big jump +11 · career best · Best fig at today's trip 48 (1 tries) · Last 3 figs 59 53 48

▼ Best fig 59 is 5+ under today's par 74

Jockey Charlie Munoz 28% career · Trainer Marco Salazar 21% career 0-for-3 on dirt this meet

Also today · Trainer R2: Pediatrician 6-1

CLASS UP0/14 board here

Switches from turf to dirt. Needs to move up: the best of its last five is 59 against a 74 par.

PACE HELPS The pocket behind pressure is the useful spot, and this type fits it.

WORKS SHARP One of the busier work schedules here: 1 work in 30d, last 7d ago

RECORD Never on the board here in 14 starts

Last three races

Date	Trk	Dist	Class	Finish	Fig	Odds	Eq	Trip
9/13	LRL	1m T	MCL 16k	7th/9 -7¼L	59	32-1	b L	Chased;weakenmed
8/28	TIM	1 1/16 D	MCL 5k	3rd/6 -6L	53	11-1	b L	4-3wd turns;shift in
7/25	CT	7f D	MCL 5k	2nd/7 -10L	48	17-1	b L	Swung6w1/8;willingly

5Woman Enticed▼C. Hargrove · D. EubanksHargrove · EubanksC42 6020-14%—42 60C▼ Best fig 60 is 5+ under today's par 74
Card model 4% · Fair odds 30-1 · Our #7 · Tier C · Last 3 figs 42 60
▼ Best fig 60 is 5+ under today's par 74
Jockey Camila Hargrove 14% career 0-for-1 on dirt this meet · Trainer Daniel G Eubanks 28% career 2-for-9 on dirt this meet (22%)
Also today · Jockey R2: Fayes Heart 6-5 · Trainer R6: Emperor Ming 10-1, R6: Midnight Mosey 10-1
CLASS DROP
Best recent figure is 60, well under the 74 par for this level. Last race was on the turf; today it runs on the dirt.
PACE CHALLENGE No running style on file yet, so the pace shape can't be applied to it.
WORKS LIGHT Few works lately, 1 work in 30d and the last 21 days ago
Last three races
Date Trk Dist Class Finish Fig Odds Eq Trip
9/13 LRL 1m T MCL 16k 9th/9 -15L 42 5.6-1 L Outrun
2/13 LRL 6f D MCL 25k 5th/10 -9½L 60 10-1 L Sluggish;3w;w/interest
6Volta▼B. Scampton · C. FrockScampton · FrockC5630-1<1%—56C▼ Best fig 56 is 5+ under today's par 74
Card model <1% · Our #11 · Tier C · Last 3 figs 56
▼ Best fig 56 is 5+ under today's par 74
Jockey Brittany Scampton 14% career 0-for-1 on dirt this meet · Trainer Charles A Frock 24% career 1-for-6 on dirt this meet
New trainer: Wesley A Ward had it last time, Charles A Frock now. Moves up from maiden claiming $10,000 to maiden claiming $12,500.
PACE CHALLENGE No running style on file yet, so the pace shape can't be applied to it.
WORKS Average work schedule for this field (1 work in 30d, last 8d ago)
Last three races
Date Trk Dist Class Finish Fig Odds Eq Trip
9/9 BTP 5f T MCL 15k 4th/6 -6L 56 1.3-1 L 3-4w turn;not enough

Date	Trk	Dist	Class	Finish	Fig	Odds	Eq	Trip
9/13	LRL	1m T	MCL 16k	9th/9 -15L	42	5.6-1	L	Outrun
2/13	LRL	6f D	MCL 25k	5th/10 -9½L	60	10-1	L	Sluggish;3w;w/interest

Date	Trk	Dist	Class	Finish	Fig	Odds	Eq	Trip
9/9	BTP	5f T	MCL 15k	4th/6 -6L	56	1.3-1	L	3-4w turn;not enough

7AshweeeD. Centeno · R. SillamanCenteno · SillamanB64 58 70►8-18%► Steady64 58 70B

Card model 8% · Fair odds 12-1 · Our #6 · Tier B · Form ► Steady · Last 3 figs 64 58 70

Jockey D E Centeno 35% career 0-for-2 on dirt this meet · Trainer Richard P Sillaman 33% career 0-for-4 on dirt this meet ★ hot

Also today · Trainer R6: Replicate 2-1

★ FASTEST WORK

Finished 2nd in a 6-horse maiden claiming $10,000 race at PEN, beaten 2 lengths. Still looking for the first win after 10 starts.

PACE HELPS Sits just off the speed with pace in front to run at.

WORKS LIGHT Thin work schedule next to this field: 0 works in 30d, last one 230d ago

RECORD 0 wins, 1 on the board from 5 starts here

RECORD D E Centeno from post 7 here: 5 wins, 15 top-3 in 32 rides · 12% wins from all posts here

Last three races

Date	Trk	Dist	Class	Finish	Fig	Odds	Eq	Trip
10/15	PEN	1m D	MCL 10k	2nd/6 -2L	64	1.9-1	b L	Bmp brk;2-3p;chase on
9/4	TIM	1m D	MCL 12k	3rd/5 -6L	58	1.0-1	b L	Brk slw;bmp;used 3wd
8/21	CNL	1m D	MCL 12k	2nd/7	70	10-1	b L	Boxed 1/2;led;caught

8Love You Love You▼A. Cruz · P. DeCruz · DeC69 49@trip 4910-1<1%—69 49@trip 49C▼ Best fig 69 is 5+ under today's par 74
Card model <1% · Our #10 · Tier C · Best fig at today's trip 49 (1 tries) · Last 3 figs 69 49
▼ Best fig 69 is 5+ under today's par 74
Jockey Angel Cruz 33% career 5-for-29 on dirt this meet (17%) · Trainer Paz Horacio De 0-for-8 on dirt this meet (0%)
Also today · Jockey R1: Who's Got Cents 8-1, R3: Fierce And Strong 6-1, R7: Can't Fool Me 10-1, R8: The Goddess Factor 12-1 · Trainer R7: Can't Fool Me 10-1
A big drop, maiden claiming $28,000 to maiden claiming $12,500, and worth asking why. Last race was on the turf; today it runs on the dirt.
PACE CHALLENGE No style on record, so the setup says little about it.
WORKS SHARP One of the busier work schedules here: 1 work in 30d, last 7d ago
RECORD Angel Cruz from post 8 here: 10 wins, 32 top-3 in 117 rides · 12% wins from all posts here
Last three races
Date Trk Dist Class Finish Fig Odds Eq Trip
10/10 LRL 1 1/16 T MCL 35k 8th/11 -17L 69 21-1 b L Outrun; 3wd far turn
6/5 LRL 7f D MSW 4th/5 -14L 49 33-1 b L Stp slw;angled;belated

Date	Trk	Dist	Class	Finish	Fig	Odds	Eq	Trip
10/10	LRL	1 1/16 T	MCL 35k	8th/11 -17L	69	21-1	b L	Outrun; 3wd far turn
6/5	LRL	7f D	MSW	4th/5 -14L	49	33-1	b L	Stp slw;angled;belated

9It's FineRan 1stJ. Barbosa · A. FarriorBarbosa · FarriorA63 69 68▼-7≡3-1Fair 3-124%▼ Down -763 69 68 ≡A2

Card model 24% · Fair odds 3-1 · Our #2 · Tier A · Form ▼ Down -7 · ≡ Steady figures 63–73 · Last 3 figs 63 69 68

Jockey Jeiron Barbosa 30% career 4-for-38 on dirt this meet (11%) · Trainer Anthony Farrior 41% career 1-for-8 on dirt this meet (12%)

Also today · Jockey R1: Molly The Great 12-1, R2: Beltane 6-1, R3: Cybertime 10-1, R3: All The Hardways 15-1 +4 more · Trainer R3: Cybertime 10-1, R8: Ineedyoubabe 9-2

Changes barns, from Hugh I McMahon to Anthony Farrior. Owns the highest recent figure here at 73.

PACE HELPS Sits just off the speed with pace in front to run at.

WORKS LIGHT Thin work schedule next to this field: 1 work in 30d, last one 21d ago

RECORD Jeiron Barbosa from post 9 here: 4 wins, 22 top-3 in 61 rides · 14% wins from all posts here

Last three races

Date	Trk	Dist	Class	Finish	Fig	Odds	Eq	Trip
9/18	LRL	5½f T	MCL 16kc	5th/12 -3¾L	63	3.1-1	L	3-4w;shift out;evenly
8/1	CNL	1m T	MCL 16k	4th/11 -1L	69	3.0-1	L	Track2w;bid4w;hung lte
6/26	CNL	1m T	MCL 16kc	7th/10 -4¼L	68	4.4-1		Shuffled rail;no punch

10Dreams to Sell▼Ran 3rdL. Briceno · M. TrombettaBriceno · TrombettaB659-2Fair 7-113%—65B▼ Best fig 65 is 5+ under today's par 743
Card model 13% · Fair odds 7-1 · Our #3 · Tier B · Last 3 figs 65
▼ Best fig 65 is 5+ under today's par 74
Jockey Leandro M Briceno 28% career ★ 8-for-39 on dirt this meet (21%) · Trainer Michael J Trombetta 33% career 2-for-13 on dirt this meet (15%)
Also today · Jockey R1: Band On The Run 20-1, R5: Preparefortakeoff 6-1, R6: Sunday Legacy 30-1, R9: Armed N Dangerous 10-1 +1 more · Trainer R1: Honor Thy Cookie 15-1
3 WORKS IN 30 DAYS
Was 8th of 8 at the first call last time. Sheds 6 pounds from its last start.
PACE CHALLENGE Running style isn't established yet, so the pace read is a blank for this one.
WORKS SHARP Active work pattern for this group, 3 works in 30d and the last 5d back
Last three races
Date Trk Dist Class Finish Fig Odds Eq Trip
9/26 LRL 5½f T MCL 35k 8th/8 -10L 65 7.1-1 L Reluctant load;outrun

11Hurricane Lynn▲Ran 2ndM. Sanchez · K. MageeSanchez · MageeA68 62 52▲+7@trip 682-1Fair 2-132%▲ Up +768 62 52@trip 68A▲ Lone speed on early pace1

Card model 32% · Fair odds 2-1 · Our #1 · Tier A · Form ▲ Up +7 · Best fig at today's trip 68 (1 tries) · Last 3 figs 68 62 52

▲ Lone speed on early pace

Jockey Mychel J Sanchez 37% career ★ 7-for-31 on dirt this meet (23%) · Trainer Kieron Magee 36% career 1-for-6 on dirt this meet ★ hot

Also today · Jockey R1: Cross Of Valor 10-1, R1: Mischievous Twins 9-5, R3: Apollo Ten 5-2, R5: Naughty Favors 8-1 +2 more · Trainer R5: Wonder Girl 1-1

2/3 board here

Figures are climbing: 52, 62, 68 over its last three. Maiden through 10 starts.

PACE HELPS Sits just off the speed with pace in front to run at.

WORKS LIGHT Thin work schedule next to this field: 0 works in 30d, last one 72d ago

RECORD 0 wins, 2 on the board from 3 starts here

RECORD Mychel J Sanchez from post 11 here: 3 wins, 6 top-3 in 26 rides · 16% wins from all posts here

Last three races

Date	Trk	Dist	Class	Finish	Fig	Odds	Eq	Trip
10/8	DEL	6f D	MCL 25k	3rd/8 by hd	68	1.6-1	b L	Insd;stretch duel;game
9/7	TIM	-6½f D	MCL 25k	3rd/5 -2½L	62	5.1-1	b L	Chased;left lead;tired
8/23	CNL	5½f T	MCL 40k	7th/8 -6½L	52	9.2-1	b L	3w 2nd flight; tired

▲ / ▼ angle for / against · ★ best figure at the trip · LS longshot read · 1 2 3 = our top three · A B C tiers · ▲ ► ▼ form · ≡ ↕ steady / up-and-down. Tap a row for its notes, a name for the horse's page. Analysis only. Pace: honest. Speed from #1, #3, #11.

How to read these marks

1 2 3: Our top three by the card model's win chance. Tap “Our order” to sort by it.
Win %, Fair: The card model's chance to win, and the odds that chance works out to with no takeout. Fair is green when the model rates the horse above its morning line (the line scaled to add up to 100%).
Tier A B C ?: The field ranked on recent speed figures and the morning line together: A = top three, B = next three, C = the rest, ? = no figures yet.
71 60 72: Last three speed figures, newest first. “@trip 75” = best figure at today's distance (within 30 yards) on this surface.
▲▲ ▲ ► ▼ ▼▼: Form: last figure against the average of the three before it. ▲ = up 3 or more, ▲▲ = up 8 or more, ► = within 3, ▼ / ▼▼ = down. The number is the difference.
≡ ↕: ≡ steady: the last four figures sit close together. ↕ up-and-down: they swing widely.
★: Best figure in the field at today's distance and surface, from two or more tries, not tied. When that horse isn't in our top three it gets a “Distance horse” note above the field.
▲ ▼ chips: Handicapping angles for or against the horse. LS = longshot read: 8-1 or more on the morning line and the model rates it higher than that line.

These marks describe the past performances. None of them is proven to beat the odds: in our test of 100 handicapping angles, nothing did better than the final odds, and the morning-line favourite wins more races than our top-ranked horse. Read them as notes, not as a reason to bet.

● Official result

$2 payoffs · our pre-race read is unchanged below

Our top pick, #11 Hurricane Lynn, finished 2nd.

1st9It`s FineWin$11.20Place$4.60Show$3.80Our #2

2nd11Hurricane LynnWin—Place$2.40Show$2.10Our #1

3rd10Dreams To SellWin—Place—Show$5.00Our #3

Race conditions and our readpace, conditions, story

LAUREL PARK · RACE 4

OFFICIAL

Maiden Claiming $12,500

Field

11 runners

Purse

$22,000

Post

1:32 PM ET

Pace

Pressed Pace

Card model top pick

#11 · 32%

Maiden Claiming, for fillies and mares, 3-year-olds and up.

Maiden claiming — for horses that have never won, and every starter is also for sale at the claiming price. Typically the easiest class of race.

● Track record at 7 Furlongs: 80.95

The shape is the story here: there's little established early speed, so a tactical horse can control soft fractions up front and prove hard to run down.

Our number tops on #11 Hurricane Lynn (a presser/stalker, M/L 2-1). Recent figures: 68 · 62 · 52. It hit the board last time and stays in form. Backup is #9 It's Fine at 3-1. Use #10 Dreams To Sell in exotic structures.

What would change our mind: a key scratch that reshapes the early pace, a sharp turf-to-dirt or surface switch off the rail, or live money showing up on a horse the board had dismissed. Watch the tote late.

● OUTCOME · 2ND

Top pick Hurricane Lynn ran 2nd · It`s Fine won (our #2)

What worked

✓ Top pick in the money (2nd)
✓ Winner came from our top 3 (our #2)
✓ Our top 3 finished 2nd, 1st, 3rd

TBredIQ ranking → finish

#1	#11 HURRICANE LYNN	2nd
#2	#9 IT'S FINE	1st
#3	#10 DREAMS TO SELL	3rd
#4	#1 FOR KEEPS	—
#5	#3 DARING DELIGHT	—

Actual finish

1st	#9 It`s Fine	our #2
2nd	#11 Hurricane Lynn	our #1
3rd	#10 Dreams to Sell	our #3

At a glance: model vs the morning line

At a glance

Market favourite #11 HURRICANE LYNN (2-1) — our number agrees.
#11 HURRICANE LYNN — our top number on the card, about right at the windows (29.5% to their 26.1%).
#9 IT'S FINE — our #2 number, and the board's letting him go too cheap — we make him 22.6%, they've got 19.5%.
#10 DREAMS TO SELL — our #3 number, about right at the windows (14.8% to their 14.2%).

Model vs the morning line · analysis, not advice

#9 IT'S FINE — we make it 22.6%, the morning line works out to 19.5%. That gap is the model's opinion, not a price; pools pay the final odds, and on our records these gaps haven't paid off.
Longshot the model rates above its line: #1 FOR KEEPS (12-1) — our fair 7.3% is above the morning line's 6.0%; needs the trip to fall right.

Pacewho goes to the front

Pace

Pressed Pace. Speed under pressure from multiple pressers. Likely honest pace, slight closer benefit.

Likely leader: #1 For Keeps; pressure from #11 Hurricane Lynn, #3 Daring Delight; the shape helps #3 Daring Delight, #4 Whiskey Brew, #7 Ashweee; and works against #1 For Keeps, #2 Morganite Rose, #5 Woman Enticed.

Lead

1For Keeps88

Press

11Hurricane Lynn963Daring Delight76

Stalk

4Whiskey Brew899It's Fine887Ashweee81

none

No style yet

5Woman Enticed836Volta8310Dreams To Sell762Morganite Rose688Love You Love You62

Number = last-race early-pace figure. Green border = the shape helps; red = it works against.

Early speed and closing figures, horse by horse

Early Pace · E1 figure · front runners

Hurricane Lynn

Whiskey Brew

For Keeps

It's Fine

Ashweee

Daring Delight

Closing Kick · late-pace figure

Whiskey Brew

Woman Enticed

Dreams To Sell

For Keeps

Daring Delight

Love You Love You

Hurricane Lynn

It's Fine

Morganite Rose

Ashweee

Volta

Bet types offeredwager menu

Bet types

Wagers offered on this race.

EXACTA; TRIFECTA & DAILY DOUBLE (RACES 4-5) /10 CENT SUPERFECTA

50 CENT PICK 3 (RACES 4-5-6) / 50 CENT PICK 4 (RACES 4-5-6-7)

TBredIQ shows analysis only. We don’t build tickets or suggest amounts.

BET OPTIONS

WinPlaceShowExactaTrifectaSuperfecta

Wagers offered on this race — analysis only, no stake sizing.