Pick sheet

Race 52:05 PM OClm 12500

5.5F · Turf · 9 entered. Our model's top pick, Wonder Girl, is 42% to win (morning line implies 39%). Pace: fast and contested (4 early types). Helps stalkers and closers.

Top pick #8 Wonder Girl ML 1-1 Fair 7-5 Model #1 Top last-race fig ▲ Up +7 · career best ★ Best at 5½f turf: 86 ≡ Steady 76–86 ▲ Last fig 86 at/above par 80 ▲ Lone speed on early pace

Jockey H. Karamanos · Trainer K. Magee · KEE 14: 4-4-1 · Dist 19: 5-6-2 · best fig at 5½f turf 86 · 42 days off

Date	Trk	Dist	Class	Finish	Fig	Odds	Eq	Trip
9/19	LRL	5½f T	ROC 1-65	4th/10 -3¼L	86	7.2-1	b L	Shifted 5wd; churned
9/6	CNL	5½f T	Clm 16k	Won/7 by 2	76	2.4-1	b L	Prompt outside;just up
8/16	CNL	5f T	Alw s	2nd/5 -1L	81	6.4-1	b L	2p-ins;cued3/16;ran on

Case: Last out 4th/10 -3¼L in the fROC 1-65 at LRL. Last Brisnet figures 86-76-81. Best at today's distance 86. 5-for-19 at the distance. 4-for-14 at Laurel Park. K. Magee / H. Karamanos.

Knock: Nothing glaring on paper.

Contender #1 Sugar Bee ML 7-2 Fair 5-1 Model #2 ► Steady

Jockey J. Toledo · Trainer M. Milosevic · KEE 7: 3-1-0 · Dist 14: 3-1-2 · best fig at 5½f turf 82 · 21 days off

Date	Trk	Dist	Class	Finish	Fig	Odds	Eq	Trip
10/10	LRL	5½f T	ROC 1-65	7th/9 -8½L	73	6.1-1	b L	Bump;in tight start;4w
9/18	LRL	5½f T	OC 12k	Won/7 by hd	76	2.3-1	b L	Rail throughout;drvng
7/4	DEL	5f T	Alw n1x	DNF	—	7.0-1	b L	Clip heels;walk off

Case: Last out 7th/9 -8½L in the fROC 1-65 at LRL. Last Brisnet figures 73-76. Best at today's distance 82. 3-for-14 at the distance. 3-for-7 at Laurel Park. M. Milosevic / J. Toledo.

Knock: Our model rates this one below its morning line.

Use #5 Naughty Favors ML 8-1 Fair 10-1 Model #3 ▼▼ Big drop -10 Last out 3rd in the fOC12500 at LRL. Last Brisnet figures 62-73-76. Best at today's distance 76. 0-for-2 at the distance. J. Vargas / M. Sanchez. Knock: Never raced at Laurel Park. 0-for-2 at the distance.

Jockey M. Sanchez · Trainer J. Vargas · Dist 2: 0-1-0 · best fig at 5½f turf 76 · 27 days off

Date	Trk	Dist	Class	Finish	Fig	Odds	Eq	Trip
10/4	LRL	5½f D	OC 12k	3rd/5 -4½L	62	2.4-1	L	Urged 3/8;bid;faltered
9/6	CNL	5½f T	Clm 16k	4th/7 -4L	73	8.4-1	L	Widest stretch;mildly
8/13	CNL	5½f T	Clm 10k	2nd/8 -2L	76	8.8-1	L	Rail; 3p lane; ran on

Longshot #7 Pageant Princess ML 12-1 Fair 12-1 Model #5 ► Steady ↕ Up and down 52–73 ▼ Best fig 75 is 5+ under today's par 80 ▼ Age 5+ at a price, figures fall as the distance rises

Jockey M. Chuan · Trainer B. Kulp · KEE 1: 0-0-0 · Dist 7: 2-1-1 · 11 days off

Date	Trk	Dist	Class	Finish	Fig	Odds	Eq	Trip
10/20	PID	6f D	Clm 5k b	5th/7 -6L	67	7.8-1	b L	Reared start;som int
10/6	PID	6f D	Clm 6k b	Won/7 by 2½	73	5.2-1	b L	Rally 5w;good finish
9/19	MED	1m T	Alw n1x	8th/8 -10L	52	17-1	b L	Steady early; outrun

Case: Last out 5th/7 -6L in the fClm5000b at PID. Last Brisnet figures 67-73-52. 2-for-7 at the distance. 0-for-1 at Laurel Park. B. Kulp / M. Chuan.

Knock: Nothing glaring on paper.

Narrowing the field: A #1, #4, #8 · B #5, #6, #9 · C #2, #3, #7

Angles: #2 Best fig 74 is 5+ under today's par 80 · #2 Rider upgrade (29% vs 24%) cutting back to a sprint · #2 Age 5+ at a price, figures fall as the distance rises · #3 Age 5+ at a price, figures fall as the distance rises · #6 Best fig 75 is 5+ under today's par 80 · #6 Age 5+ at a price, figures fall as the distance rises · #7 Best fig 75 is 5+ under today's par 80 · #7 Age 5+ at a price, figures fall as the distance rises · #8 Last fig 86 at/above par 80 · #8 Lone speed on early pace · #9 Age 5+ at a price, figures fall as the distance rises

R5 Laurel Park · Optional Claiming $12,500

2:05 PM ET · 5 1/2 Furlongs Turf · $24,000 · 9 runners2:05 PM · 5½f Turf · 9 runners

Upcoming $24K · Optional Claiming $12,500

Card modelCard model StrongFormLast 3 figsTier · angles

1Sugar BeeJ. Toledo · M. MilosevicToledo · MilosevicA73 76 82►@trip 827-2Fair 5-117%► Steady73 76 82@trip 82A2

Card model 17% · Fair odds 5-1 · Our #2 · Tier A · Form ► Steady · Best fig at today's trip 82 (6 tries) · Last 3 figs 73 76 82

Jockey Jevian Toledo 33% career 1-for-36 on turf this meet (3%) · Trainer Milan Milosevic 26% career 1-for-7 on turf this meet

Also today · Jockey R6: Midnight Mosey 10-1, R7: Devastating 4-1, R8: Diamond N Dress 5-1, R9: Start Tappin 15-1 · Trainer R6: Tony Stark 12-1, R7: Verdant Tones 20-1

CLASS UP3/6 board here

Runs for $24,000 today after a $32,550 race last time. Figures have slipped: 82, 76, 73 over its last three.

EVEN PACE Honest early fractions give a closer a fair shot late.

TROUBLED TRIP Chart note from last time: Bump; in tight start; 4w. A trip worth forgiving, though the number already carries it.

WORKS SHARP Posted the morning's best 3F on May 2; 0 works in 30d

RECORD 2 wins, 3 on the board from 6 starts here

RECORD Jevian Toledo from post 1 here: 25 wins, 76 top-3 in 184 rides · 16% wins from all posts here

Last three races

Date	Trk	Dist	Class	Finish	Fig	Odds	Eq	Trip
10/10	LRL	5½f T	ROC 1-65	7th/9 -8½L	73	6.1-1	b L	Bump;in tight start;4w
9/18	LRL	5½f T	OC 12k	Won/7 by hd	76	2.3-1	b L	Rail throughout;drvng
7/4	DEL	5f T	Alw n1x	DNF	—	7.0-1	b L	Clip heels;walk off

2Little Crybaby▼▲▼C. Lopez · J. CastroLopez · CastroC61 67 74▼▼-930-1Fair 50-12%▼▼ Big drop -961 67 74C▼ Best fig 74 is 5+ under today's par 80▲ Rider upgrade (29% vs 24%) cutting back to a sprint▼ Age 5+ at a price, figures fall as the distance rises
Card model 2% · Fair odds 50-1 · Our #8 · Tier C · Form ▼▼ Big drop -9 · Last 3 figs 61 67 74
▼ Best fig 74 is 5+ under today's par 80▲ Rider upgrade (29% vs 24%) cutting back to a sprint▼ Age 5+ at a price, figures fall as the distance rises
Jockey Carlos Eduardo Lopez 36% career 2-for-35 on turf this meet (6%) · Trainer Jeremias Castro 26% career
Also today · Jockey R6: Konrad's Corner 8-1, R9: Mongolian Apple 6-1, R10: Igaming 3-1
★ FASTEST WORK
Changes barns, from Nesvil Hernan Bailon to Jeremias Castro. Last race was on the dirt; today it runs on the turf.
EVEN PACE With the front end pressed, the late run has something to run at.
WORKS SHARP Fastest work of the morning on Oct 15 (3F in :36.20), 1 work in 30d
RECORD Carlos Eduardo Lopez from post 2 here: 12 wins, 37 top-3 in 97 rides · 12% wins from all posts here
Last three races
Date Trk Dist Class Finish Fig Odds Eq Trip
9/16 DEL 1m D Clm 6k b 8th/8 -10L 61 19-1 L No factor; outrun
8/21 DEL 6f D Clm 6k n1y 6th/7 -4¾L 67 2.9-1 L Slow start;no rally
7/29 DEL 6f D Clm 5k b Won/7 74 4.7-1 L Inside bid; driving

Date	Trk	Dist	Class	Finish	Fig	Odds	Eq	Trip
9/16	DEL	1m D	Clm 6k b	8th/8 -10L	61	19-1	L	No factor; outrun
8/21	DEL	6f D	Clm 6k n1y	6th/7 -4¾L	67	2.9-1	L	Slow start;no rally
7/29	DEL	6f D	Clm 5k b	Won/7	74	4.7-1	L	Inside bid; driving

3Instparty▼R. Mena · A. AllenMena · AllenC63 69 70▼▼-9@trip 7730-1Fair 99-11%▼▼ Big drop -963 69 70@trip 77C▼ Age 5+ at a price, figures fall as the distance rises

Card model 1% · Fair odds 99-1 · Our #9 · Tier C · Form ▼▼ Big drop -9 · Best fig at today's trip 77 (7 tries) · Last 3 figs 63 69 70

▼ Age 5+ at a price, figures fall as the distance rises

Jockey Raul E Mena 27% career 0-for-6 on turf this meet · Trainer A Ferris Iii Allen 25% career 3-for-19 on turf this meet (16%)

Also today · Jockey R2: English Daddy 20-1, R8: Moon Cache 8-1, R9: Contribution 5-1 · Trainer R1: Cross Of Valor 10-1, R3: All The Hardways 15-1, R3: Don't Wait Up 12-1, R6: Side Hug 6-1 +3 more

Last out was 11th, 10 lengths behind the winner, in an 11-horse optional claiming race at LRL. Shortens up to 5½ furlongs after going 1 1/16 miles.

EVEN PACE Honest early fractions give a closer a fair shot late.

WORKS LIGHT Light on works against these rivals (0 works in 30d, last 111d back)

RECORD 0 wins, 1 on the board from 10 starts here

RECORD Raul E Mena from post 3 here: 10 wins, 33 top-3 in 76 rides · 13% wins from all posts here

Last three races

Date	Trk	Dist	Class	Finish	Fig	Odds	Eq	Trip
10/9	LRL	1 1/16 T	OC 12k	11th/11 -10L	63	86-1	b L	Aim off duel 3wd;wknd
9/18	LRL	5½f T	OC 12k	7th/7 -7L	69	35-1	b L	Trailed
8/13	CNL	5½f T	Clm 10k	6th/8 -5½L	70	23-1	b L	Bump bobble st; inside

4PreparefortakeoffL. Briceno · H. ElamriBriceno · ElamriA70 75 54▲+4@trip 846-1Fair 10-19%▲ Up +470 75 54@trip 84A

Card model 9% · Fair odds 10-1 · Our #4 · Tier A · Form ▲ Up +4 · Best fig at today's trip 84 (6 tries) · Last 3 figs 70 75 54

Jockey Leandro M Briceno 28% career 3-for-29 on turf this meet (10%) · Trainer Hassan Elamri 24% career 0-for-7 on turf this meet

Also today · Jockey R1: Band On The Run 20-1, R4: Dreams To Sell 9-2, R6: Sunday Legacy 30-1, R9: Armed N Dangerous 10-1 +1 more

Comes off a dirt start and tries the turf here. A 75 top number against a 80 par, so it fits the level.

PACE CHALLENGE Leads into real pressure, so it has to earn the front and then hold it. (early-speed points: 3)

TROUBLED TRIP Altered 8wd; belatedly last out; the speed figure already reflects it.

WORKS SHARP Fit-looking prep next to these rivals: 1 work in 30d, last 11d ago

RECORD 1 win, 3 on the board from 11 starts here

Last three races

Date	Trk	Dist	Class	Finish	Fig	Odds	Eq	Trip
10/4	LRL	5½f D	OC 12k	2nd/5 -5L	70	1.3-1	b L	Altered 8wd; belatedly
9/18	LRL	5½f T	OC 12k	2nd/7 -½L	75	7.5-1	b L	Rail;angled 1/4;game
8/30	TIM	-6½f D	OC 12k	5th/6 -9½L	54	7.5-1	b L	Urged twrds ins;empty

5Naughty FavorsM. Sanchez · J. VargasSanchez · VargasB62 73 76▼▼-10@trip 768-1Fair 10-110%▼▼ Big drop -1062 73 76@trip 76B3

Card model 10% · Fair odds 10-1 · Our #3 · Tier B · Form ▼▼ Big drop -10 · Best fig at today's trip 76 (2 tries) · Last 3 figs 62 73 76

Jockey Mychel J Sanchez 37% career 8-for-51 on turf this meet (16%) · Trainer Jose Antonio Vargas 29% career 0-for-1 on turf this meet

Also today · Jockey R1: Cross Of Valor 10-1, R1: Mischievous Twins 9-5, R3: Apollo Ten 5-2, R4: Hurricane Lynn 2-1 +2 more · Trainer R7: Mrs. Katz 8-1

CLASS DROP★ FASTEST WORK

Trending the wrong way on speed, 76 to 73 to 62. Switches from dirt to turf.

PACE HELPS Stalks an honestly pressed pace from a good spot.

TROUBLED TRIP Ran into trouble last out (Urged 3/8; bid; faltered), and the figure already reflects it.

WORKS SHARP Fastest work of the morning on Jul 14 (4F in :46.00), 0 works in 30d

RECORD Mychel J Sanchez from post 5 here: 24 wins, 52 top-3 in 107 rides · 16% wins from all posts here

Last three races

Date	Trk	Dist	Class	Finish	Fig	Odds	Eq	Trip
10/4	LRL	5½f D	OC 12k	3rd/5 -4½L	62	2.4-1	L	Urged 3/8;bid;faltered
9/6	CNL	5½f T	Clm 16k	4th/7 -4L	73	8.4-1	L	Widest stretch;mildly
8/13	CNL	5½f T	Clm 10k	2nd/8 -2L	76	8.8-1	L	Rail; 3p lane; ran on

6Rock Tune▼▼M. Rojas · J. RogersRojas · RogersB73 75 74►≡@trip 7215-1Fair 15-16%► Steady73 75 74 ≡@trip 72B▼ Best fig 75 is 5+ under today's par 80▼ Age 5+ at a price, figures fall as the distance rises

Card model 6% · Fair odds 15-1 · Our #7 · Tier B · Form ► Steady · ≡ Steady figures 71–75 · Best fig at today's trip 72 (1 tries) · Last 3 figs 73 75 74

▼ Best fig 75 is 5+ under today's par 80▼ Age 5+ at a price, figures fall as the distance rises

Jockey Martina Rojas 30% career 1-for-3 on turf this meet · Trainer J Michael Rogers 26% career

Also today · Jockey R3: Dowagiac Chief 30-1, R8: Bugged Out 30-1 · Trainer R3: Dowagiac Chief 30-1

Jky 6/32 from post 6

2nd last time, 2 lengths back, in a field of 4. Was running in allowance; today's optional claiming is an easier level on paper.

PACE HELPS The pocket behind pressure is the useful spot, and this type fits it.

WORKS LIGHT Thin work schedule next to this field: 0 works in 30d, last one 58d ago

RECORD Martina Rojas from post 6 here: 6 wins, 12 top-3 in 32 rides · 10% wins from all posts here

Last three races

Date	Trk	Dist	Class	Finish	Fig	Odds	Eq	Trip
10/13	PID	6½f D	fsAlw31350n1x	2nd/4 -2L	73	4.1-1	L	Willingly;2d best
9/28	PID	6f D	Clm 12k b	Won/5 by ½	75	5.3-1	L	Wore dwn rvls;in time
9/14	PID	6f D	Clm 12k b	2nd/7 -3L	74	11-1	L	Angld 5w;up for place

7Pageant Princess▼▼LSM. Chuan · B. KulpChuan · KulpC67 73 52►↕12-1Fair 12-17%► Steady67 73 52 ↕C▼ Best fig 75 is 5+ under today's par 80▼ Age 5+ at a price, figures fall as the distance risesLS

Card model 7% · Fair odds 12-1 · Our #5 · Tier C · Form ► Steady · ↕ Up-and-down figures 52–73 · Last 3 figs 67 73 52

▼ Best fig 75 is 5+ under today's par 80▼ Age 5+ at a price, figures fall as the distance risesLS

Longshot read: 12-1 on the morning line, and the model has it at 7% against a line of 6%. A read, not a bet.

Jockey Martin Chuan 37% career 1-for-15 on turf this meet (7%) · Trainer Brandon L Kulp 42% career 0-for-4 on turf this meet ★ hot

Also today · Jockey R3: Winston Wolf 20-1, R3: Jungle Glow 7-2, R7: My Ronda 6-1, R8: Law School 2-1 +2 more

Moves up from $5,000 claiming to optional claiming. Last race was on the dirt; today it runs on the turf.

EVEN PACE Real pressure up front should bring the pace back to it.

WORKS LIGHT Light on works against these rivals (0 works in 30d, last 44d back)

RECORD Martin Chuan from post 7 here: 2 wins, 7 top-3 in 23 rides · 13% wins from all posts here

Last three races

Date	Trk	Dist	Class	Finish	Fig	Odds	Eq	Trip
10/20	PID	6f D	Clm 5k b	5th/7 -6L	67	7.8-1	b L	Reared start;som int
10/6	PID	6f D	Clm 6k b	Won/7 by 2½	73	5.2-1	b L	Rally 5w;good finish
9/19	MED	1m T	Alw n1x	8th/8 -10L	52	17-1	b L	Steady early; outrun

8Wonder Girl▲▲★H. Karamanos · K. MageeKaramanos · MageeA86 76 81▲+7≡@trip 861-1Fair 7-542%▲ Up +7 · career best86 76 81 ≡@trip 86A▲ Last fig 86 at/above par 80▲ Lone speed on early pace★ Best at the trip 861

Card model 42% · Fair odds 7-5 · Our #1 · Tier A · Form ▲ Up +7 · career best · ≡ Steady figures 76–86 · Best fig at today's trip 86 (8 tries) · Last 3 figs 86 76 81

▲ Last fig 86 at/above par 80▲ Lone speed on early pace★ Best at the trip 86

Jockey H A Karamanos 32% career 5-for-42 on turf this meet (12%) · Trainer Kieron Magee 36% career 0-for-5 on turf this meet

Also today · Jockey R1: Honor Thy Cookie 15-1, R3: Don't Wait Up 12-1, R6: Side Hug 6-1, R7: Chilling Factor 20-1 +1 more · Trainer R4: Hurricane Lynn 2-1

8/11 board here

Best Brisnet figure in the field over its last five: 86, with 82 next best. Fastest 3F work of its morning on Jun 8 (:36.80), a sign it is training forwardly.

PACE HELPS Sits just off the speed with pace in front to run at.

TROUBLED TRIP Chart note from last time: Shifted 5wd; churned. A trip worth forgiving, though the number already carries it.

WORKS SHARP 3f in :36.80 on Jun 8 was the best time at that distance that morning; 1 work in 30d

RECORD 4 wins, 8 on the board from 11 starts here

RECORD H A Karamanos from post 8 here: 9 wins, 28 top-3 in 69 rides · 14% wins from all posts here

Last three races

Date	Trk	Dist	Class	Finish	Fig	Odds	Eq	Trip
9/19	LRL	5½f T	ROC 1-65	4th/10 -3¼L	86	7.2-1	b L	Shifted 5wd; churned
9/6	CNL	5½f T	Clm 16k	Won/7 by 2	76	2.4-1	b L	Prompt outside;just up
8/16	CNL	5f T	Alw s	2nd/5 -1L	81	6.4-1	b L	2p-ins;cued3/16;ran on

9Worries Unfounded▼F. Boyce · E. GeralisBoyce · GeralisB72 76 75►@trip 6510-1Fair 12-17%► Steady72 76 75@trip 65B▼ Age 5+ at a price, figures fall as the distance rises

Card model 7% · Fair odds 12-1 · Our #6 · Tier B · Form ► Steady · Best fig at today's trip 65 (2 tries) · Last 3 figs 72 76 75

▼ Age 5+ at a price, figures fall as the distance rises

Jockey Forest Boyce 32% career 5-for-35 on turf this meet (14%) · Trainer Emanuel J Geralis 28% career 2-for-8 on turf this meet (25%)

Also today · Jockey R1: Awesome McKinzie 8-1, R3: Bushido 9-5, R6: Jerry Inspires 20-1, R7: Synergism 5-2 +2 more

0 for 4 at today's distance. Cuts back from 6½ furlongs to 5½ furlongs.

PACE HELPS Sits just off the speed with pace in front to run at.

WORKS LIGHT Few works lately, 0 works in 30d and the last 164 days ago

RECORD 1 win, 5 on the board from 11 starts here

RECORD Forest Boyce from post 9 here: 5 wins, 19 top-3 in 54 rides · 15% wins from all posts here

Last three races

Date	Trk	Dist	Class	Finish	Fig	Odds	Eq	Trip
9/18	CT	6½f D	Alw n1x	5th/10 -2½L	72	3.1-1	b L	Chase3w3/8;faded
8/22	CT	6½f D	Clm 5k n3l	Won/5	76	0.5-1	b L	Dictated terms;driving
7/24	CT	7f D	Clm 5k n2l	Won/7	75	1.7-1	b L	Bmp;solo pace;driving

▲ / ▼ angle for / against · ★ best figure at the trip · LS longshot read · 1 2 3 = our top three · A B C tiers · ▲ ► ▼ form · ≡ ↕ steady / up-and-down. Tap a row for its notes, a name for the horse's page. Analysis only. Pace: fast and contested (4 early types). Helps stalkers and closers.

How to read these marks

1 2 3: Our top three by the card model's win chance. Tap “Our order” to sort by it.
Win %, Fair: The card model's chance to win, and the odds that chance works out to with no takeout. Fair is green when the model rates the horse above its morning line (the line scaled to add up to 100%).
Tier A B C ?: The field ranked on recent speed figures and the morning line together: A = top three, B = next three, C = the rest, ? = no figures yet.
71 60 72: Last three speed figures, newest first. “@trip 75” = best figure at today's distance (within 30 yards) on this surface.
▲▲ ▲ ► ▼ ▼▼: Form: last figure against the average of the three before it. ▲ = up 3 or more, ▲▲ = up 8 or more, ► = within 3, ▼ / ▼▼ = down. The number is the difference.
≡ ↕: ≡ steady: the last four figures sit close together. ↕ up-and-down: they swing widely.
★: Best figure in the field at today's distance and surface, from two or more tries, not tied. When that horse isn't in our top three it gets a “Distance horse” note above the field.
▲ ▼ chips: Handicapping angles for or against the horse. LS = longshot read: 8-1 or more on the morning line and the model rates it higher than that line.

These marks describe the past performances. None of them is proven to beat the odds: in our test of 100 handicapping angles, nothing did better than the final odds, and the morning-line favourite wins more races than our top-ranked horse. Read them as notes, not as a reason to bet.

Race conditions and our readpace, conditions, story

LAUREL PARK · RACE 5

UPCOMING

Optional Claiming $12,500

Field

9 runners

Purse

$24,000

Post

2:05 PM ET

Pace

Pressed Pace

Card model top pick

#8 · 42%

Claiming $12,500, for fillies and mares, 3-year-olds and up.

Claiming race — every starter can be bought for the claiming price out of the race, so owners risk losing a horse that's clearly best. That keeps the field evenly matched on ability.

● Track record at 5 1/2 Furlongs: 60.63

The shape is the story here: there's little established early speed, so a tactical horse can control soft fractions up front and prove hard to run down.

Our number tops on #8 Wonder Girl (a presser/stalker, M/L 1-1). Recent figures: 86 · 76 · 81. Backup is #1 Sugar Bee at 7-2. Use #5 Naughty Favors in exotic structures.

What would change our mind: a key scratch that reshapes the early pace, a sharp turf-to-dirt or surface switch off the rail, or live money showing up on a horse the board had dismissed. Watch the tote late.

At a glance: model vs the morning line

At a glance

Market favourite #8 WONDER GIRL (1-1) — our number agrees.
#8 WONDER GIRL — our top number on the card, about right at the windows (38.0% to their 39.3%).
#1 SUGAR BEE — our #2 number, about right at the windows (19.2% to their 17.5%).
#4 PREPAREFORTAKEOFF — our #4 number, about right at the windows (10.5% to their 11.2%).

Model vs the morning line · analysis, not advice

The model and the morning line roughly agree on this field.

Pacewho goes to the front

Pace

Pressed Pace. Speed under pressure from multiple pressers. Likely honest pace, slight closer benefit.

Likely leader: #4 Preparefortakeoff; pressure from #8 Wonder Girl, #9 Worries Unfounded; the shape helps #5 Naughty Favors, #6 Rock Tune, #8 Wonder Girl; and works against #4 Preparefortakeoff.

Lead

4Preparefortakeoff86

Press

8Wonder Girl919Worries Unfounded905Naughty Favors89

Stalk

6Rock Tune86

3Instparty877Pageant Princess781Sugar Bee732Little Crybaby71

Number = last-race early-pace figure. Green border = the shape helps; red = it works against.

Early speed and closing figures, horse by horse

Early Pace · E1 figure · front runners

Wonder Girl

Worries Unfounded

Naughty Favors

Preparefortakeoff

Rock Tune

Closing Kick · late-pace figure

Instparty

Little Crybaby

Sugar Bee

Pageant Princess

Bet types offeredwager menu

Bet types

Wagers offered on this race.

EXACTA; TRIFECTA & DAILY DOUBLE (RACES 5-6) / 10 CENT SUPERFECTA

50 CENT PICK 3 (RACES 5-6-7) / 20 CENT CHESAPEAKE PICK 6 (RACES 5-6-7-8-9-10)

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