Pick sheet

Race 112:05 PM OClm 35000

1 Mi · Turf · 12 entered. Our model's top pick, Mischievous Twins, is 35% to win (morning line implies 32%). Pace: fast and contested (7 early types). Helps stalkers and closers.

Top pick #10 Mischievous Twins ML 9-5 Fair 9-5 Model #1 Top last-race fig ▲▲ Big jump +11 · career best ▲ Last fig 86 at/above par 77

Jockey M. Sanchez · Trainer J. Ness · KEE 1: 1-0-0 · Dist 1: 0-1-0 · best fig at 1m turf 77 · 21 days off

Date	Trk	Dist	Class	Finish	Fig	Odds	Eq	Trip
10/10	LRL	1 1/16 T	MCL 35k	Won/11	86	3.4-1	L	Stalked;outside;drvng
9/11	DEL	1m T	Moc40000	2nd/10 -5L	77	1.9-1	L	Late surge; gaining
8/28	CNL	1 1/16 T	MSW	6th/9 -1½L	74	17-1	L	Rail; drift 1/4; tired

Case: Last out won in the fMd35000 at LRL. Last Brisnet figures 86-77-74. Best at today's distance 77. 0-for-1 at the distance. 1-for-1 at Laurel Park. J. Ness / M. Sanchez.

Knock: 0-for-1 at the distance.

Contender #2 Caprichosainfront ML 9-2 Fair 6-1 Model #2 ▲ Up +3 ≡ Steady 74–82 ▲ Last fig 81 at/above par 77

Jockey E. Rosario · Trainer J. Ramirez · 28 days off

Date	Trk	Dist	Class	Finish	Fig	Odds	Eq	Trip
10/3	DEL	1 1/16 D	Alw n1x	4th/10 -4½L	81	12-1	L	4-5w;needed more late
9/12	DEL	1 1/16 T	frGRsnbrgrMm100k	4th/9 -6¾L	82	133-1	L	Best stride late
8/21	DEL	1 1/16 D	Alw n1x	4th/5 -3½L	74	15-1	L	Rail; no rally

Case: Last out 4th/10 -4½L in the fAlw85000n1x at DEL. Last Brisnet figures 81-82-74. Best at today's distance 78. J. Ramirez / E. Rosario.

Knock: Never raced at Laurel Park. Our model rates this one below its morning line.

Use #3 Whimmoffortune ML 10-1 Fair 8-1 Model #3 ▼▼ Big drop -8 ≡ Steady 67–76 Last out 8th/8 -11L in the frHandicap at CNL. Last Brisnet figures 67-74-75. Best at today's distance 76. 1-for-2 at the distance. 0-for-1 at Laurel Park. I. Flores / J. Rocco Jr.. Knock: Nothing glaring on paper.

Jockey J. Rocco Jr. · Trainer I. Flores · KEE 1: 0-0-0 · Dist 2: 1-0-0 · best fig at 1m turf 76 · 56 days off

Date	Trk	Dist	Class	Finish	Fig	Odds	Eq	Trip
9/5	CNL	1 1/16 T	frHandicap	8th/8 -11L	67	32-1	b L	Finished after 1/2
8/15	CNL	1 1/16 T	Clm 16k n2l	2nd/12 -3L	74	14-1	b L	Came6w;came in1/8;clsd
7/25	CNL	1m T	frMd16000	Won/9 by 2¼	75	2.2-1	b L	5w1st;closed;bmpd late

Longshot #1 Blushing Princess ML 12-1 Fair 12-1 Model #6 ▲▲ Big jump +13 · career best ↕ Up and down 37–70 ▼ Best fig 70 is 5+ under today's par 77

Jockey K. Gomez · Trainer M. Meyers · Dist 1: 0-0-0 · 43 days off

Date	Trk	Dist	Class	Finish	Fig	Odds	Eq	Trip
9/18	DEL	1 1/16 T	MCL 20k	Won/12	70	1.7-1	b L	Drew off; easy winner
8/13	DEL	-7½f T	Moc40000	5th/8 -2¾L	66	16-1	b L	Forcd out 1/4;gave way
6/5	LRL	7f D	MSW	5th/5 -14L	37	17-1	L	Ins foe 3-1/2;faltered

Case: Last out won in the fMd20000 at DEL. Last Brisnet figures 70-66-37. 0-for-1 at the distance. M. Meyers / K. Gomez.

Knock: Never raced at Laurel Park. 0-for-1 at the distance.

Narrowing the field: A #2, #7, #10 · B #6, #8, #9 · C #1, #3, #4, #5, #11, #12

Angles: #1 Best fig 70 is 5+ under today's par 77 · #2 Last fig 81 at/above par 77 · #4 Best fig 71 is 5+ under today's par 77 · #7 Last fig 78 at/above par 77 · #10 Last fig 86 at/above par 77

R1 Laurel Park · Optional Claiming $35,000

12:05 PM ET · 1 Mile Turf · $37,000 · 9 runners (3 out)12:05 PM · 1m Turf · 9 runners (3 out)

Official $37K · Optional Claiming $35,000

Card modelCard model StrongFormLast 3 figsTier · angles

1Blushing Princess▼LSRan 6thK. Gomez · M. MeyersGomez · MeyersC70 66 37▲▲+13↕12-1Fair 12-18%▲▲ Big jump +13 · career best70 66 37 ↕C▼ Best fig 70 is 5+ under today's par 77LS

Card model 8% · Fair odds 12-1 · Our #6 · Tier C · Form ▲▲ Big jump +13 · career best · ↕ Up-and-down figures 37–70 · Last 3 figs 70 66 37

▼ Best fig 70 is 5+ under today's par 77LS

Longshot read: 12-1 on the morning line, and the model has it at 8% against a line of 5%. A read, not a bet.

Jockey Kevin Gomez 30% career 2-for-17 on turf this meet (12%) · Trainer Madison F Meyers 33% career 1-for-9 on turf this meet (11%)

Also today · Jockey R4: For Keeps 12-1, R6: Bourbonontheporch 30-1, R9: Pendar 15-1 · Trainer R9: Pendar 15-1

CLASS DROPWON LAST

Winner of a 12-horse maiden claiming $20,000 race at DEL last time. A step up in company: maiden claiming $20,000 before, optional claiming today.

PACE CHALLENGE Early speed in a crowded front end; somebody gets worn down. (early-speed points: 8)

SHARP LAST OUT Drew off; easy winner last out, and it did it the right way.

WORKS Steady, unremarkable work pattern: 2 works in 30d, last 9d back

RECORD Kevin Gomez from post 1 here: 3 wins, 20 top-3 in 49 rides · 9% wins from all posts here

Last three races

Date	Trk	Dist	Class	Finish	Fig	Odds	Eq	Trip
9/18	DEL	1 1/16 T	MCL 20k	Won/12	70	1.7-1	b L	Drew off; easy winner
8/13	DEL	-7½f T	Moc40000	5th/8 -2¾L	66	16-1	b L	Forcd out 1/4;gave way
6/5	LRL	7f D	MSW	5th/5 -14L	37	17-1	L	Ins foe 3-1/2;faltered

2Caprichosainfront▲Ran 7thE. Rosario · J. RamirezRosario · RamirezA81 82 74▲+3≡9-2Fair 6-114%▲ Up +381 82 74 ≡A▲ Last fig 81 at/above par 772

Card model 14% · Fair odds 6-1 · Our #2 · Tier A · Form ▲ Up +3 · ≡ Steady figures 74–82 · Last 3 figs 81 82 74

▲ Last fig 81 at/above par 77

Jockey Emanuel Rosario 33% career 1-for-9 on turf this meet (11%) · Trainer Jose A Ramirez 32% career 0-for-2 on turf this meet

Comes off a dirt start and tries the turf here. A big drop, allowance to optional claiming, and worth asking why.

EVEN PACE Lands behind the duel without having to be part of it.

TROUBLED TRIP Chart note from last time: 4-5w; needed more late. A trip worth forgiving, though the number already carries it.

WORKS LIGHT Thin work schedule next to this field: 1 work in 30d, last one 7d ago

Last three races

Date	Trk	Dist	Class	Finish	Fig	Odds	Eq	Trip
10/3	DEL	1 1/16 D	Alw n1x	4th/10 -4½L	81	12-1	L	4-5w;needed more late
9/12	DEL	1 1/16 T	frGRsnbrgrMm100k	4th/9 -6¾L	82	133-1	L	Best stride late
8/21	DEL	1 1/16 D	Alw n1x	4th/5 -3½L	74	15-1	L	Rail; no rally

3WhimmoffortuneRan 3rdJ. Rocco Jr. · I. FloresRocco Jr. · FloresC67 74 75▼▼-8≡@trip 7610-1Fair 8-111%▼▼ Big drop -867 74 75 ≡@trip 76C3

Card model 11% · Fair odds 8-1 · Our #3 · Tier C · Form ▼▼ Big drop -8 · ≡ Steady figures 67–76 · Best fig at today's trip 76 (2 tries) · Last 3 figs 67 74 75

Jockey J S Jr Rocco 2-for-20 on turf this meet (10%) · Trainer Irvin G Flores 33% career 1-for-7 on turf this meet

Also today · Jockey R3: Where's Ray 6-1, R4: Morganite Rose 30-1, R9: Power Wrench 30-1

3 WORKS IN 30 DAYS

Figures have slipped: 75, 74, 67 over its last three. Drops from handicap to optional claiming.

PACE HELPS The front end should be a fight, and this one gets to wait on it.

WORKS SHARP Posted the morning's best 5F on Jul 12; 3 works in 30d

Last three races

Date	Trk	Dist	Class	Finish	Fig	Odds	Eq	Trip
9/5	CNL	1 1/16 T	frHandicap	8th/8 -11L	67	32-1	b L	Finished after 1/2
8/15	CNL	1 1/16 T	Clm 16k n2l	2nd/12 -3L	74	14-1	b L	Came6w;came in1/8;clsd
7/25	CNL	1m T	frMd16000	Won/9 by 2¼	75	2.2-1	b L	5w1st;closed;bmpd late

4Who's Got Cents▼Ran 8thA. Cruz · J. BennettCruz · BennettC71 55 44▲▲+15↕8-1Fair 10-110%▲▲ Big jump +15 · career best71 55 44 ↕C▼ Best fig 71 is 5+ under today's par 77
Card model 10% · Fair odds 10-1 · Our #5 · Tier C · Form ▲▲ Big jump +15 · career best · ↕ Up-and-down figures 44–71 · Last 3 figs 71 55 44
▼ Best fig 71 is 5+ under today's par 77
Jockey Angel Cruz 33% career 4-for-41 on turf this meet (10%) · Trainer Juanita Bennett 31% career 0-for-1 on turf this meet ★ hot
Also today · Jockey R3: Fierce And Strong 6-1, R4: Love You Love You 10-1, R7: Can't Fool Me 10-1, R8: The Goddess Factor 12-1
60D LAYOFFWON LAST
Back after 107 days away; fitness is the question and the works are the evidence. Stretches out from -7½ furlongs to a mile.
PACE CHALLENGE One of several that want the lead, so the early work will cost something. (early-speed points: 5)
TROUBLED TRIP Chart note from last time: Bump start; rddn out. A trip worth forgiving, though the number already carries it.
WORKS SHARP 4f in :49.00 on Sep 1 was the best time at that distance that morning; 1 work in 30d
RECORD Angel Cruz from post 4 here: 19 wins, 69 top-3 in 199 rides · 12% wins from all posts here
Last three races
Date Trk Dist Class Finish Fig Odds Eq Trip
7/16 DEL -7½f T MCL 25k Won/9 71 8.4-1 b Bump start;rddn out
5/6 PEN 5f D MCL 25k 3rd/6 -7L 55 3.9-1 b Pinch st; 3-2p; no bid
11/1 LRL 1m D MSW 6th/8 -15L 44 15-1 Gave way
5Rehoboth AvenueRan 9thC. Marquez · W. KeeMarquez · KeeC73 68 49▲▲+10↕@trip 6830-1Fair 99-11%▲▲ Big jump +1073 68 49 ↕@trip 68C
Card model 1% · Fair odds 99-1 · Our #9 · Tier C · Form ▲▲ Big jump +10 · ↕ Up-and-down figures 49–73 · Best fig at today's trip 68 (1 tries) · Last 3 figs 73 68 49
Jockey Charlie Marquez 29% career 4-for-22 on turf this meet (18%) · Trainer Willie J Kee 18% career 0-for-1 on turf this meet
Also today · Jockey R6: Musashi 5-1 · Trainer R6: Foolish Lover 6-1
CLASS DROP
Last race was on the dirt; today it runs on the turf. Has moved up each time out, 49 to 68 to 73.
PACE CHALLENGE Has to fight for the lead against company, and the fractions may cost it late. (early-speed points: 3)
WORKS LIGHT Few works lately, 0 works in 30d and the last 56 days ago
RECORD 0 wins, 4 on the board from 11 starts here
RECORD Charlie Marquez from post 5 here: 1 win, 2 top-3 in 16 rides · 9% wins from all posts here
Last three races
Date Trk Dist Class Finish Fig Odds Eq Trip
10/10 LRL 1m D OC 25k 3rd/6 -3½L 73 9.3-1 b L Sent up 3wd 1/2;fade
9/20 LRL 1m T OC 35k 6th/10 -9¼L 68 70-1 b L Floated 5w 1/4;evenly
7/24 DEL -8½f T OC 16k 8th/8 -13L 49 6.1-1 b L Outrun

Date	Trk	Dist	Class	Finish	Fig	Odds	Eq	Trip
7/16	DEL	-7½f T	MCL 25k	Won/9	71	8.4-1	b	Bump start;rddn out
5/6	PEN	5f D	MCL 25k	3rd/6 -7L	55	3.9-1	b	Pinch st; 3-2p; no bid
11/1	LRL	1m D	MSW	6th/8 -15L	44	15-1		Gave way

Date	Trk	Dist	Class	Finish	Fig	Odds	Eq	Trip
10/10	LRL	1m D	OC 25k	3rd/6 -3½L	73	9.3-1	b L	Sent up 3wd 1/2;fade
9/20	LRL	1m T	OC 35k	6th/10 -9¼L	68	70-1	b L	Floated 5w 1/4;evenly
7/24	DEL	-8½f T	OC 16k	8th/8 -13L	49	6.1-1	b L	Outrun

6Molly the GreatRan 5thJ. Barbosa · R. RichardsBarbosa · RichardsB61 72 78▼▼-12@trip 7812-1Fair 15-16%▼▼ Big drop -1261 72 78@trip 78B

Card model 6% · Fair odds 15-1 · Our #7 · Tier B · Form ▼▼ Big drop -12 · Best fig at today's trip 78 (2 tries) · Last 3 figs 61 72 78

Jockey Jeiron Barbosa 30% career ★ 10-for-42 on turf this meet (24%) · Trainer Renaldo Richards 25% career 0-for-3 on turf this meet

Also today · Jockey R2: Beltane 6-1, R3: Cybertime 10-1, R3: All The Hardways 15-1, R4: It's Fine 3-1 +4 more · Trainer R9: Mongolian Apple 6-1

CLASS DROP

Raises its level, optional claiming last time and optional claiming now. Switches from dirt to turf.

EVEN PACE Lands behind the duel without having to be part of it.

WORKS LIGHT Thin work schedule next to this field: 1 work in 30d, last one 29d ago

RECORD Jeiron Barbosa from post 6 here: 25 wins, 69 top-3 in 139 rides · 14% wins from all posts here

Last three races

Date	Trk	Dist	Class	Finish	Fig	Odds	Eq	Trip
10/14	DEL	1 1/16 D	OC 16k	4th/8 -6½L	61	1.4-1	L	Chased 2-3p; flattened
9/20	LRL	1m T	OC 35k	4th/10 -5¼L	72	4.2-1	L	Improved thru traffic
8/23	CNL	1m T	MCL 16k	Won/10 by 1¼	78	6.2-1	L	Steerd out uppr;willng

7Khokela Miss▲G. Ashton · B. Perkins Jr.Ashton · Perkins Jr.A78 61 78▲▲+9@trip 785-1<1%▲▲ Big jump +9 · career best78 61 78@trip 78A▲ Last fig 78 at/above par 77
Card model <1% · Our #12 · Tier A · Form ▲▲ Big jump +9 · career best · Best fig at today's trip 78 (2 tries) · Last 3 figs 78 61 78
▲ Last fig 78 at/above par 77
Jockey Gavin Ashton 25% career 0-for-14 on turf this meet (0%) · Trainer Ben Jr Perkins 14% career 0-for-1 on turf this meet
3 WORKS IN 30 DAYS★ FASTEST WORKWON LAST
Comes in off a victory in a 10-horse race at DEL. Best recent figure of 78 sits right around the 77 par.
EVEN PACE Lands behind the duel without having to be part of it.
WORKS SHARP 3f in :36.40 on Oct 10 was the best time at that distance that morning; 3 works in 30d
RECORD 0 wins, 1 on the board from 3 starts here
Last three races
Date Trk Dist Class Finish Fig Odds Eq Trip
9/11 DEL 1m T Moc40000 Won/10 78 3.9-1 L Quick move; held well
8/21 DEL 1m D MSW 4th/4 -4L 61 2.5-1 L Rail turns; weakened
6/25 DEL -7½f T MSW 4th/8 -3¼L 78 6.4-1 L Steadied 1st trn;rally

Date	Trk	Dist	Class	Finish	Fig	Odds	Eq	Trip
9/11	DEL	1m T	Moc40000	Won/10	78	3.9-1	L	Quick move; held well
8/21	DEL	1m D	MSW	4th/4 -4L	61	2.5-1	L	Rail turns; weakened
6/25	DEL	-7½f T	MSW	4th/8 -3¼L	78	6.4-1	L	Steadied 1st trn;rally

8Awesome MckinzieRan 4thF. Boyce · T. KeefeBoyce · KeefeB73 77 62▲+4@trip 778-1Fair 10-110%▲ Up +473 77 62@trip 77B

Card model 10% · Fair odds 10-1 · Our #4 · Tier B · Form ▲ Up +4 · Best fig at today's trip 77 (3 tries) · Last 3 figs 73 77 62

Jockey Forest Boyce 32% career 5-for-35 on turf this meet (14%) · Trainer Timothy L Keefe 24% career 1-for-12 on turf this meet (8%)

Also today · Jockey R3: Bushido 9-5, R5: Worries Unfounded 10-1, R6: Jerry Inspires 20-1, R7: Synergism 5-2 +2 more · Trainer R8: The Goddess Factor 12-1

Posted the fastest 5F work of the morning on Jul 16, in 1:01.80. Worked 5F in 1:01.80 on Jun 13, 2nd of 7 at the distance.

EVEN PACE A stalking spot behind a contested lead is the useful one in this shape.

TROUBLED TRIP Chart note from last time: Pulled; bump1/8; up3rd. A trip worth forgiving, though the number already carries it.

WORKS SHARP Fastest work of the morning on Jul 16 (5F in 1:01.80), 2 works in 30d

RECORD 1 win, 2 on the board from 6 starts here

RECORD Forest Boyce from post 8 here: 7 wins, 20 top-3 in 62 rides · 15% wins from all posts here

Last three races

Date	Trk	Dist	Class	Finish	Fig	Odds	Eq	Trip
9/20	LRL	1m T	OC 35k	3rd/10 -4L	73	9.8-1	b L	Pulled;bump1/8;up3rd
8/6	CNL	6f T	Clm 30k n2l	2nd/9 -5¼L	77	40-1	b L	Slow st; rail; 4wd 1/4
6/20	LRL	5½f T	OC 30k	6th/9 -7L	62	11-1	b L	Draft back;angl;belatd

9Cross of ValorM. Sanchez · A. AllenSanchez · AllenB76 64 68▲+710-1<1%▲ Up +7 · career best76 64 68B

Card model <1% · Our #10 · Tier B · Form ▲ Up +7 · career best · Last 3 figs 76 64 68

Jockey Mychel J Sanchez 37% career 8-for-51 on turf this meet (16%) · Trainer A Ferris Iii Allen 25% career 3-for-19 on turf this meet (16%)

Also today · Jockey this race: Mischievous Twins 9-5, R3: Apollo Ten 5-2, R4: Hurricane Lynn 2-1, R5: Naughty Favors 8-1 +2 more · Trainer R3: All The Hardways 15-1, R3: Don't Wait Up 12-1, R5: Instparty 30-1, R6: Side Hug 6-1 +3 more

7/10 board here

Led at the first call last time. Switches from dirt to turf.

PACE CHALLENGE Early speed in a crowded front end; somebody gets worn down. (early-speed points: 6)

WORKS LIGHT Few works lately, 1 work in 30d and the last 25 days ago

RECORD 1 win, 7 on the board from 10 starts here

RECORD Mychel J Sanchez from post 9 here: 8 wins, 18 top-3 in 50 rides · 16% wins from all posts here

Last three races

Date	Trk	Dist	Class	Finish	Fig	Odds	Eq	Trip
10/10	LRL	1m D	OC 25k	2nd/6	76	3.2-1	b L	Pestered;clear;drft;gm
8/14	CNL	1m D	frAlw87900n1x	6th/6 -7L	64	44-1	b L	Bump st; 2p; gave way
7/19	CNL	6f D	frAlw89100n1x	6th/7 -10L	68	34-1	b L	Settled btwn;no threat

10Mischievous Twins▲Ran 1stM. Sanchez · J. NessSanchez · NessA86 77 74▲▲+11@trip 779-5Fair 9-535%▲▲ Big jump +11 · career best86 77 74@trip 77A▲ Last fig 86 at/above par 771

Card model 35% · Fair odds 9-5 · Our #1 · Tier A · Form ▲▲ Big jump +11 · career best · Best fig at today's trip 77 (1 tries) · Last 3 figs 86 77 74

▲ Last fig 86 at/above par 77

Jockey Mychel J Sanchez 37% career 8-for-51 on turf this meet (16%) · Trainer Jamie Ness 41% career ★ 7-for-30 on turf this meet (23%) ★ hot

Also today · Jockey this race: Cross Of Valor 10-1, R3: Apollo Ten 5-2, R4: Hurricane Lynn 2-1, R5: Naughty Favors 8-1 +2 more · Trainer R3: Jungle Glow 7-2, R8: Law School 2-1, R9: Kalea Bay 6-1, R10: Uniqueness 6-5 +1 more

WON LAST

Owns the highest recent figure here at 86. Last start was a win, in an 11-horse maiden claiming $35,000 race at LRL at 3.4-1.

EVEN PACE A stalking spot behind a contested lead is the useful one in this shape.

WORKS LIGHT Thin work schedule next to this field: 0 works in 30d, last one 31d ago

RECORD Mychel J Sanchez from post 10 here: 4 wins, 12 top-3 in 31 rides · 16% wins from all posts here

Last three races

Date	Trk	Dist	Class	Finish	Fig	Odds	Eq	Trip
10/10	LRL	1 1/16 T	MCL 35k	Won/11	86	3.4-1	L	Stalked;outside;drvng
9/11	DEL	1m T	Moc40000	2nd/10 -5L	77	1.9-1	L	Late surge; gaining
8/28	CNL	1 1/16 T	MSW	6th/9 -1½L	74	17-1	L	Rail; drift 1/4; tired

11Honor Thy CookieRan 2ndH. Karamanos · M. TrombettaKaramanos · TrombettaC74 64 70▲+6@trip 7015-1Fair 20-15%▲ Up +6 · career best74 64 70@trip 70C
Card model 5% · Fair odds 20-1 · Our #8 · Tier C · Form ▲ Up +6 · career best · Best fig at today's trip 70 (1 tries) · Last 3 figs 74 64 70
Jockey H A Karamanos 32% career 5-for-42 on turf this meet (12%) · Trainer Michael J Trombetta 33% career 4-for-37 on turf this meet (11%)
Also today · Jockey R3: Don't Wait Up 12-1, R5: Wonder Girl 1-1, R6: Side Hug 6-1, R7: Chilling Factor 20-1 +1 more · Trainer R4: Dreams To Sell 9-2
180D+ LAYOFF3 WORKS IN 30 DAYSWON LASTJky 9/36 from post 11
252 days since the last start, the longest layoff in here, so it needs the works to say it's ready. Won last out in a 5-horse maiden claiming $40,000 race at LRL.
EVEN PACE Can sit just off the early fight and pick up whoever tires.
TROUBLED TRIP Chart note from last time: Bump start; off duel. A trip worth forgiving, though the number already carries it.
WORKS Average work schedule for this field (3 works in 30d, last 5d ago)
RECORD 1 win, 2 on the board from 5 starts here
RECORD H A Karamanos from post 11 here: 9 wins, 14 top-3 in 36 rides · 14% wins from all posts here
Last three races
Date Trk Dist Class Finish Fig Odds Eq Trip
2/21 LRL 1m D MCL 40k Won/5 74 3.0-1 b L Bump start;off duel
1/9 LRL 1m D MSW 5th/8 -8L 64 3.6-1 b L Chased;2pth;tired
11/22 LRL 1m T MSW 6th/12 -9L 70 6.1-1 b Between foes; weakened

Date	Trk	Dist	Class	Finish	Fig	Odds	Eq	Trip
2/21	LRL	1m D	MCL 40k	Won/5	74	3.0-1	b L	Bump start;off duel
1/9	LRL	1m D	MSW	5th/8 -8L	64	3.6-1	b L	Chased;2pth;tired
11/22	LRL	1m T	MSW	6th/12 -9L	70	6.1-1	b	Between foes; weakened

12Band on the RunL. Briceno · A. DelgadoBriceno · DelgadoC68 70 73▼-4≡@trip 7520-1<1%▼ Down -468 70 73 ≡@trip 75C

Card model <1% · Our #11 · Tier C · Form ▼ Down -4 · ≡ Steady figures 68–73 · Best fig at today's trip 75 (5 tries) · Last 3 figs 68 70 73

Jockey Leandro M Briceno 28% career 3-for-29 on turf this meet (10%) · Trainer Alberto Delgado 37% career 0-for-6 on turf this meet

Also today · Jockey R4: Dreams To Sell 9-2, R5: Preparefortakeoff 6-1, R6: Sunday Legacy 30-1, R9: Armed N Dangerous 10-1 +1 more

0/4 board here

Was 9th of 10 at the first call last time. Quick turnaround, just 2 days since the last start.

PACE HELPS Several horses want the lead, which is the early heat a closer is looking for.

WORKS Steady, unremarkable work pattern: 2 works in 30d, last 9d back

RECORD Not on the board in 4 starts here

Last three races

Date	Trk	Dist	Class	Finish	Fig	Odds	Eq	Trip
10/29	LRL	1m T	OC 35k	7th/10 -10L	68	20-1	b L	Kept wide;by-faders
9/20	LRL	1m T	OC 35k	5th/10 -7¼L	70	13-1	b L	Traffic1/4;improvd bit
8/28	CNL	1 1/16 T	Clm 30k n2l	3rd/8 -2½L	73	7.6-1	b L	2w-ins;need more

▲ / ▼ angle for / against · ★ best figure at the trip · LS longshot read · 1 2 3 = our top three · A B C tiers · ▲ ► ▼ form · ≡ ↕ steady / up-and-down. Tap a row for its notes, a name for the horse's page. Analysis only. Pace: fast and contested (7 early types). Helps stalkers and closers.

How to read these marks

1 2 3: Our top three by the card model's win chance. Tap “Our order” to sort by it.
Win %, Fair: The card model's chance to win, and the odds that chance works out to with no takeout. Fair is green when the model rates the horse above its morning line (the line scaled to add up to 100%).
Tier A B C ?: The field ranked on recent speed figures and the morning line together: A = top three, B = next three, C = the rest, ? = no figures yet.
71 60 72: Last three speed figures, newest first. “@trip 75” = best figure at today's distance (within 30 yards) on this surface.
▲▲ ▲ ► ▼ ▼▼: Form: last figure against the average of the three before it. ▲ = up 3 or more, ▲▲ = up 8 or more, ► = within 3, ▼ / ▼▼ = down. The number is the difference.
≡ ↕: ≡ steady: the last four figures sit close together. ↕ up-and-down: they swing widely.
★: Best figure in the field at today's distance and surface, from two or more tries, not tied. When that horse isn't in our top three it gets a “Distance horse” note above the field.
▲ ▼ chips: Handicapping angles for or against the horse. LS = longshot read: 8-1 or more on the morning line and the model rates it higher than that line.

These marks describe the past performances. None of them is proven to beat the odds: in our test of 100 handicapping angles, nothing did better than the final odds, and the morning-line favourite wins more races than our top-ranked horse. Read them as notes, not as a reason to bet.

● Official result

$2 payoffs · our pre-race read is unchanged below

Our top pick, #10 Mischievous Twins, won.

1st10Mischievous TwinsWin$3.60Place$2.60Show$2.20Our #1

2nd11Honor Thy CookieWin—Place$9.00Show$7.00Our #8

3rd3WhimmoffortuneWin—Place—Show$7.00Our #3

4th8Awesome McKinzieOur #4

Race conditions and our readpace, conditions, story

LAUREL PARK · RACE 1

OFFICIAL

Optional Claiming $35,000

Field

12 runners

Purse

$37,000

Post

12:05 PM ET

Pace

Speed Duel

Card model top pick

#10 · 35%

Claiming $35,000, for fillies and mares, 3-year-olds and up.

Claiming race — every starter can be bought for the claiming price out of the race, so owners risk losing a horse that's clearly best. That keeps the field evenly matched on ability.

● Track record at 1 Mile: 93.3

The shape is the story here: 4 confirmed front-runners should pressure each other early, which tilts the race toward stalkers and closers who can pick up the pieces late.

Our number tops on #10 Mischievous Twins (a presser/stalker, M/L 9-5). Recent figures: 86 · 77 · 74. It exits a win and is clearly doing well. Backup is #2 Caprichosainfront at 9-2. Use #3 Whimmoffortune in exotic structures.

What would change our mind: a key scratch that reshapes the early pace, a sharp turf-to-dirt or surface switch off the rail, or live money showing up on a horse the board had dismissed. Watch the tote late.

● OUTCOME · WON

Top pick Mischievous Twins won

What worked

✓ Top pick in the money (1st)
✓ Winner came from our top 3 (our #1)
✓ Our top 3 finished 1st, 7th, 3rd

TBredIQ ranking → finish

#1	#10 MISCHIEVOUS TWINS	1st
#2	#2 CAPRICHOSAINFRONT	7th
#3	#3 WHIMMOFFORTUNE	3rd
#4	#8 AWESOME MCKINZIE	4th
#5	#4 WHO'S GOT CENTS	8th

Actual finish

1st	#10 Mischievous Twins	our #1
2nd	#11 Honor Thy Cookie	our #8
3rd	#3 Whimmoffortune	our #3
4th	#8 Awesome McKinzie	our #4
5th	#6 Molly the Great	our #7

At a glance: model vs the morning line

At a glance

Market favourite #10 MISCHIEVOUS TWINS (9-5) — our number agrees.
#10 MISCHIEVOUS TWINS — our top number on the card, and the board's letting him go too cheap — we make him 31.8%, they've got 25.4%.
#2 CAPRICHOSAINFRONT — our #2 number, and the board's letting him go too cheap — we make him 16.2%, they've got 12.9%.
#8 AWESOME MCKINZIE — our #4 number, a price play — we're at 10.2%, the board 7.9%.

Model vs the morning line · analysis, not advice

#10 MISCHIEVOUS TWINS — we make it 31.8%, the morning line works out to 25.4%. That gap is the model's opinion, not a price; pools pay the final odds, and on our records these gaps haven't paid off.
#2 CAPRICHOSAINFRONT — we make it 16.2%, the morning line works out to 12.9%. That gap is the model's opinion, not a price; pools pay the final odds, and on our records these gaps haven't paid off.
Longshot the model rates above its line: #3 WHIMMOFFORTUNE (10-1) — our fair 9.2% is above the morning line's 6.5%; supported by: 6-way speed duel up front — meltdown sets up the closer

Pacewho goes to the front

Pace

Speed Duel. Three or more early-speed types. Fast pace, hot fractions — closers benefit.

Likely leader: #1 Blushing Princess; pressure from #4 Who's Got Cents, #9 Cross Of Valor; the shape helps #3 Whimmoffortune, #12 Band On The Run; and works against #1 Blushing Princess, #4 Who's Got Cents, #5 Rehoboth Avenue.

Lead

1Blushing Princess874Who's Got Cents839Cross Of Valor765Rehoboth Avenue70

Press

11Honor Thy Cookie8910Mischievous Twins867Khokela Miss85

Stalk

8Awesome McKinzie832Caprichosainfront796Molly The Great79

3Whimmoffortune8512Band On The Run61

Number = last-race early-pace figure. Green border = the shape helps; red = it works against.

Early speed and closing figures, horse by horse

Early Pace · E1 figure · front runners

Honor Thy Cookie

Blushing Princess

Mischievous Twins

Khokela Miss

Who's Got Cents

Awesome McKinzie

Caprichosainfront

Molly The Great

Cross Of Valor

Rehoboth Avenue

Closing Kick · late-pace figure

Band On The Run

Whimmoffortune

Bet types offeredwager menu

Bet types

Wagers offered on this race.

EXACTA; TRIFECTA & DAILY DOUBLE (RACES 1-2) / 10 CENT SUPERFECTA

50 CENT PICK 3 (RACES 1-2-3) / 50 CENT PICK 5 (RACES 1-2-3-4-5)

TBredIQ shows analysis only. We don’t build tickets or suggest amounts.

BET OPTIONS

WinPlaceShowExactaTrifectaSuperfecta

Wagers offered on this race — analysis only, no stake sizing.