R6 Remington Park · Allowance · $44,000 purse

9:50 PM ET · 5 Furlongs Turf · $44,000 · 8 runners9:50 PM · 5f Turf · 8 runners

Upcoming $44K · Allowance · $44,000 purse

Card modelCard model Wide openFormLast 3 figsTier · angles
  1. 1Jackman's Ride▲★R. Diaz · J. CaldwellDiaz · CaldwellA97 90 77▲▲+14@trip 975-2Fair 7-222%▲▲ Big jump +14 · career best97 90 77@trip 97A▲ Last fig 97 at/above par 86★ Best at the trip 972

    Card model 22% · Fair odds 7-2 · Our #2 · Tier A · Form ▲▲ Big jump +14 · career best · Best fig at today's trip 97 (9 tries) · Last 3 figs 97 90 77

    ▲ Last fig 97 at/above par 86★ Best at the trip 97
    Jockey Rene Diaz 33% career 0-for-24 on turf this meet (0%) · Trainer J R Caldwell 31% career 0-for-8 on turf this meet (0%)
    Also today · Jockey R2: Going For Dough 10-1, R3: Swiftliketaylor 12-1, R4: Quality Style 5-2, R8: Brienz 10-1 · Trainer R2: Going For Dough 10-1, R4: Quality Style 5-2
    LASIX 1ST5/5 board here

    Purse drops from $250,000 to $44,000 against its last start. Owns the highest recent figure here at 97.

    PACE CHALLENGE Leads into real pressure, so it has to earn the front and then hold it. (early-speed points: 8)
    TROUBLED TRIP Bobbled; pace; weaken last out; the speed figure already reflects it.
    WORKS LIGHT Thin work schedule next to this field: 0 works in 30d, last one 43d ago
    RECORD On the board in all 5 starts here (3 wins)
    RECORD Rene Diaz from post 1 here: 8 wins, 24 top-3 in 69 rides · 12% wins from all posts here

    Last three races

    DateTrkDistClassFinishFigOddsEqTrip
    9/27RP5f TGrtWstTSpB250k3rd/7 by hd977.4-1bBobbled; pace; weaken
    6/27LS5f TGrpTfSprtB125k2nd/9907.6-1b LSwift splits; stubborn
    5/25LS5f DChmblnBrgB100k5th/6 -1¼L775.4-1b LIns;chck 1/4;late fade
  2. 2Gold Front▲LSW. Hamilton · T. EoffHamilton · EoffB87 82 86▲+5≡@trip 878-1Fair 10-19%▲ Up +5 · career best87 82 86 ≡@trip 87B▲ Last fig 87 at/above par 86LS

    Card model 9% · Fair odds 10-1 · Our #6 · Tier B · Form ▲ Up +5 · career best · ≡ Steady figures 79–87 · Best fig at today's trip 87 (1 tries) · Last 3 figs 87 82 86

    ▲ Last fig 87 at/above par 86LS

    Longshot read: 8-1 on the morning line, and the model has it at 9% against a line of 9%. A read, not a bet.

    Jockey Weston Hamilton 20% career 1-for-15 on turf this meet (7%) · Trainer Terry Eoff 24% career 1-for-9 on turf this meet (11%)
    Also today · Jockey R2: That's A Story 10-1, R5: Mister J. P. 12-1 · Trainer R3: It's Time For Zima 5-1, R9: Flyin Withthe Boss 15-1
    WON LAST3/4 board here

    Winner of a 6-horse optional claiming race at RP last time. An 87 top number against a 86 par, so it fits the level.

    PACE HELPS The pocket behind pressure is the useful spot, and this type fits it.
    WORKS LIGHT Light on works against these rivals (1 work in 30d, last 13d back)
    RECORD 1 win, 3 on the board from 4 starts here
    RECORD Weston Hamilton from post 2 here: 5 wins, 15 top-3 in 27 rides · 8% wins from all posts here

    Last three races

    DateTrkDistClassFinishFigOddsEqTrip
    9/25RP5f TOC 35k n2xWon/6873.1-1LPressed; 2w; driving
    8/27RP7½f TClm 30k b5th/12 -2½L825.1-1L4w; bid; flattened out
    7/3LS7½f TAlw n1xWon/9862.2-1LPace; held sway
  3. 3Wearacap▲R. Huckaby · S. CordermanHuckaby · CordermanB92 86 91▲▲+9↕8-1Fair 8-111%▲▲ Big jump +992 86 91 ↕B▲ Last fig 92 at/above par 863

    Card model 11% · Fair odds 8-1 · Our #3 · Tier B · Form ▲▲ Big jump +9 · ↕ Up-and-down figures 71–92 · Last 3 figs 92 86 91

    ▲ Last fig 92 at/above par 86
    Jockey Ronnie Huckaby 22% career 0-for-6 on turf this meet · Trainer Scott Corderman 29% career 0-for-7 on turf this meet
    Also today · Jockey R1: Nacho Bar 7-2, R2: Putnam Market 9-2, R7: Board Of Directors 6-1
    LASIX 1ST★ FASTEST WORK

    New trainer: Tom Wellington had it last time, Scott Corderman now. Switches from dirt to turf.

    PACE HELPS The pocket behind pressure is the useful spot, and this type fits it.
    WORKS SHARP Posted the morning's best 4F on Aug 20; 1 work in 30d

    Last three races

    DateTrkDistClassFinishFigOddsEqTrip
    9/26PRM6f DsDJhnsnSprB100k3rd/8 -3L923.4-1BForwardly;sustaind bid
    9/11PRM6f DsAlw55589nc2nd/5 -2L865.1-1LBEdging to lead;denied
    7/6PRM6f DsOC40000n2yWon/4 by hd913.3-1LBRail bid 3/16;edg away
  4. 4High Front▲E. Asmussen · S. AsmussenAsmussen · AsmussenB93 89 90▲▲+8@trip 939-2Fair 6-114%▲▲ Big jump +893 89 90@trip 93B▲ Last fig 93 at/above par 86

    Card model 14% · Fair odds 6-1 · Our #4 · Tier B · Form ▲▲ Big jump +8 · Best fig at today's trip 93 (5 tries) · Last 3 figs 93 89 90

    ▲ Last fig 93 at/above par 86
    Jockey Erik Asmussen 34% career ★ 9-for-39 on turf this meet (23%), #3 of 21 · Trainer Steven M Asmussen 36% career 8-for-42 on turf this meet (19%) ★ hot
    Also today · Jockey R1: Big Tech 5-2, R2: Sykes 3-1, R3: Authentic Kitten 8-5, R4: Fire In My Sul 3-1 +4 more · Trainer R1: Big Tech 5-2, R2: Just Epic 8-1, R2: Sykes 3-1, R3: Promptly 5-2 +9 more
    LASIX 1ST3 WORKS IN 30 DAYSJky 19/45 from post 4

    Runs for $44,000 today after a $250,000 race last time. A 93 in its last five clears the 86 par for this level.

    PACE CHALLENGE Has early speed but company on the front end. (early-speed points: 5)
    WORKS Average work schedule for this field (3 works in 30d, last 6d ago)
    RECORD 0 wins, 1 on the board from 3 starts here
    RECORD Erik Asmussen from post 4 here: 19 wins, 31 top-3 in 45 rides · 27% wins from all posts here

    Last three races

    DateTrkDistClassFinishFigOddsEqTrip
    9/27RP5f TGrtWstTSpB250k6th/7 -2¾L9312-1Unhurried; no menace
    8/21RP5f TAlw nc2nd/6 by hd891.1-1LStmbld;duel 2w;2d best
    6/27LS5f TGrpTfSprtB125k3rd/9 -1½L9010-1LRail bid;outkickd late
  5. 5SchwarzmeierR. Eramia · J. EvansEramia · EvansC56 83 74▼▼-24↕@trip 826-1Fair 10-18%▼▼ Big drop -2456 83 74 ↕@trip 82C

    Card model 8% · Fair odds 10-1 · Our #7 · Tier C · Form ▼▼ Big drop -24 · ↕ Up-and-down figures 56–83 · Best fig at today's trip 82 (2 tries) · Last 3 figs 56 83 74

    Jockey Richard E Eramia 30% career 0-for-17 on turf this meet (0%) · Trainer Justin Evans 41% career 1-for-6 on turf this meet
    Also today · Jockey R2: Divine Passing 5-2, R7: Big Bernie 5-1, R9: Ready 3-1 · Trainer R7: Getaway Car 2-1, R7: Board Of Directors 6-1
    ★ FASTEST WORK

    Back to 5 furlongs off a 6½ furlongs race. Changes barns, from Peter Eurton to Justin Evans.

    PACE HELPS Sits just off the speed with pace in front to run at.
    WORKS SHARP Posted the morning's best 5F on Oct 24; 2 works in 30d
    RECORD Richard E Eramia from post 5 here: 10 wins, 43 top-3 in 93 rides · 14% wins from all posts here

    Last three races

    DateTrkDistClassFinishFigOddsEqTrip
    9/6KD6½f TOC 80k n2x11th/11 -8L567.7-1b LPrssd 5-4w;tired out
    7/17ELP5½f TOC 62k n2x5th/8 -2¼L833.1-1b LClip aft st;3p;5p upr
    6/6CD5f TMghtyBeau Stk6th/7 -2L7413-1bPress 2-3w;bit erratic
  6. 6Heat Um UpI. Diego · D. HjortDiego · HjortC68 82 39▲+7↕@trip 8215-1Fair 20-14%▲ Up +768 82 39 ↕@trip 82C

    Card model 4% · Fair odds 20-1 · Our #8 · Tier C · Form ▲ Up +7 · ↕ Up-and-down figures 39–82 · Best fig at today's trip 82 (1 tries) · Last 3 figs 68 82 39

    Jockey I V Diego 29% career 2-for-17 on turf this meet (12%) · Trainer Donna Hjort 18% career 0-for-1 on turf this meet
    Also today · Jockey R5: P R Bullet 12-1, R9: Dontmesswithtess 15-1

    Last race was on the dirt; today it runs on the turf. Off 57 days since the last start.

    PACE HELPS Sits just off the speed with pace in front to run at.
    WORKS LIGHT Thin work schedule next to this field: 2 works in 30d, last one 9d ago
    RECORD I V Diego from post 6 here: 12 wins, 32 top-3 in 99 rides · 11% wins from all posts here

    Last three races

    DateTrkDistClassFinishFigOddsEqTrip
    9/3RP5½f DAlw n1x6th/7 -5¼L6833-1b LDucked out st;chased
    6/26LS5f TsAlw40500n1xWon/6 by 38218-1b LTrk3w;wore down leader
    5/15LS6½f DsAlw40500n2l11th/11 -8¼L3915-1LChase 3w;empty
  7. 7Hola Joey▲T. Bacon · G. JacquotBacon · JacquotA97 96 81▲▲+9@trip 815-1Fair 7-113%▲▲ Big jump +9 · career best97 96 81@trip 81A▲ Last fig 97 at/above par 86

    Card model 13% · Fair odds 7-1 · Our #5 · Tier A · Form ▲▲ Big jump +9 · career best · Best fig at today's trip 81 (1 tries) · Last 3 figs 97 96 81

    ▲ Last fig 97 at/above par 86
    Jockey Tyler W Bacon 32% career 1-for-11 on turf this meet (9%) · Trainer Gene Jacquot 26% career
    Also today · Jockey R1: Woodspoint 6-1, R5: Hitchcock 9-2, R7: Getaway Car 2-1
    LASIX 1ST★ FASTEST WORKWON LAST

    Has moved up each time out, 81 to 96 to 97. Comes in off a victory in a 6-horse race at RP.

    PACE HELPS Stalks an honestly pressed pace from a good spot.
    WORKS SHARP Posted the morning's best 4F on Oct 23; 1 work in 30d

    Last three races

    DateTrkDistClassFinishFigOddsEqTrip
    9/27RP6f DDMVanceB100kWon/6 by 1972.8-1b2w; long drive;prevail
    9/6PRM6f DAlw n2yWon/4960.9-1b LBDrew off convincingly
    8/21RP5f TAlw nc5th/6 -3½L813.7-1LLunged;chsd btwn;4w1/4
  8. 8Let's Go Mark▲R. Vazquez · D. PishVazquez · PishA95 92 88▲▲+8@trip 957-2Fair 9-219%▲▲ Big jump +8 · career best95 92 88@trip 95A▲ Last fig 95 at/above par 861

    Card model 19% · Fair odds 9-2 · Our #1 · Tier A · Form ▲▲ Big jump +8 · career best · Best fig at today's trip 95 (7 tries) · Last 3 figs 95 92 88

    ▲ Last fig 95 at/above par 86
    Jockey R A Vazquez 33% career ★ 6-for-29 on turf this meet (21%) · Trainer Danny Pish 29% career 0-for-4 on turf this meet
    Also today · Jockey R1: Close Call 3-1, R3: Epic Selloff 6-1, R5: McKinsense 6-1, R7: U. S. Army 6-1 +2 more · Trainer R5: Mister J. P. 12-1, R8: Brienz 10-1
    ◆ NOTE · TRIP TROUBLELASIX 1ST3/5 board here

    Figures are climbing: 88, 92, 95 over its last three. Runs for $44,000 today after a $250,000 race last time.

    PACE HELPS Stalks an honestly pressed pace from a good spot.
    TROUBLED TRIP Steadied 3/16; 4w late last out; the speed figure already reflects it.
    WORKS SHARP Fastest work of the morning on Jun 20 (3F in :35.40), 1 work in 30d
    RECORD 2 wins, 3 on the board from 5 starts here
    RECORD R A Vazquez from post 8 here: 7 wins, 15 top-3 in 30 rides · 26% wins from all posts here

    Last three races

    DateTrkDistClassFinishFigOddsEqTrip
    9/27RP5f TGrtWstTSpB250k4th/7 -2¾L954.7-1Steadied 3/16; 4w late
    8/21RP5f TAlw ncWon/6922.2-1LChsd ins;tipd 4w;surge
    6/27LS5f TGrpTfSprtB125k5th/9 -4L887.4-1LLast away;late traffic

▲ / ▼ angle for / against · ★ best figure at the trip · LS longshot read · 1 2 3 = our top three · A B C tiers · ▲ ► ▼ form · ≡ ↕ steady / up-and-down. Tap a row for its notes, a name for the horse's page. Analysis only. Pace: fast and contested (7 early types). Helps stalkers and closers.

How to read these marks
1 2 3
Our top three by the card model's win chance. Tap “Our order” to sort by it.
Win %, Fair
The card model's chance to win, and the odds that chance works out to with no takeout. Fair is green when the model rates the horse above its morning line (the line scaled to add up to 100%).
Tier A B C ?
The field ranked on recent speed figures and the morning line together: A = top three, B = next three, C = the rest, ? = no figures yet.
71 60 72
Last three speed figures, newest first. “@trip 75” = best figure at today's distance (within 30 yards) on this surface.
▲▲ ▲ ► ▼ ▼▼
Form: last figure against the average of the three before it. ▲ = up 3 or more, ▲▲ = up 8 or more, ► = within 3, ▼ / ▼▼ = down. The number is the difference.
≡ ↕
≡ steady: the last four figures sit close together. ↕ up-and-down: they swing widely.
★
Best figure in the field at today's distance and surface, from two or more tries, not tied. When that horse isn't in our top three it gets a “Distance horse” note above the field.
▲ ▼ chips
Handicapping angles for or against the horse. LS = longshot read: 8-1 or more on the morning line and the model rates it higher than that line.

These marks describe the past performances. None of them is proven to beat the odds: in our test of 100 handicapping angles, nothing did better than the final odds, and the morning-line favourite wins more races than our top-ranked horse. Read them as notes, not as a reason to bet.

Race conditions and our readpace, conditions, story
¼½FINISHSTART5 FURLONGS · TURF · infield1-turn

REMINGTON PARK · RACE 6

UPCOMING

Allowance · $44,000 purse

Field
8 runners
Purse
$44,000
Post
9:50 PM ET
Pace
Pressed Pace
Card model top pick
#8 · 19%

Allowance, for 3-year-olds and up.

Allowance race — a step above claiming. No horses are for sale; written conditions limit the field to horses of similar experience.

● Track record at 5 Furlongs: 54.87

The shape is the story here: the early pace looks honest rather than contested — expect a fairly run race where class and trip decide it, not pace collapse.

Our number tops on #8 Let's Go Mark (a presser/stalker, M/L 7-2). Recent figures: 95 · 92 · 88. Backup is #1 Jackman's Ride at 5-2. Use #3 Wearacap in exotic structures.

What would change our mind: a key scratch that reshapes the early pace, a sharp turf-to-dirt or surface switch off the rail, or live money showing up on a horse the board had dismissed. Watch the tote late.

At a glance: model vs the morning line

At a glance

  • Market favourite #1 JACKMAN'S RIDE (5-2) — our number has it ranked #2.
  • #1 JACKMAN'S RIDE — our #2 number, about right at the windows (22.0% to their 22.3%).
  • #8 LET'S GO MARK — our top number on the card, about right at the windows (18.7% to their 17.3%).
  • #4 HIGH FRONT — our #4 number, about right at the windows (14.3% to their 14.2%).

Model vs the morning line · analysis, not advice

  • The model and the morning line roughly agree on this field.
Pacewho goes to the front

Pace

Pressed Pace. Speed under pressure from multiple pressers. Likely honest pace, slight closer benefit.

Likely leader: #1 Jackman's Ride; pressure from #4 High Front, #3 Wearacap; the shape helps #2 Gold Front, #3 Wearacap, #5 Schwarzmeier; and works against #1 Jackman's Ride, #4 High Front.

Lead
1Jackman's Ride954High Front87
Press
3Wearacap985Schwarzmeier947Hola Joey942Gold Front896Heat Um Up78
Stalk
8Let's Go Mark85
Close
none

Number = last-race early-pace figure. Green border = the shape helps; red = it works against.

Early speed and closing figures, horse by horse

Early Pace · E1 figure · front runners

3
Wearacap
98
1
Jackman's Ride
95
5
Schwarzmeier
94
7
Hola Joey
94
2
Gold Front
89
4
High Front
87
8
Let's Go Mark
85
6
Heat Um Up
78

Closing Kick · late-pace figure

5
Schwarzmeier
21
3
Wearacap
16
7
Hola Joey
9
2
Gold Front
8
1
Jackman's Ride
4
4
High Front
4
8
Let's Go Mark
4
6
Heat Um Up
2
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