1Jackman's Ride▲★R. Diaz · J. CaldwellDiaz · CaldwellA97 90 77▲▲+14@trip 975-2Fair 7-222%
▲▲ Big jump +14 · career best97 90 77@trip 97A▲ Last fig 97 at/above par 86★ Best at the trip 972Card model 22% · Fair odds 7-2 · Our #2 · Tier A · Form ▲▲ Big jump +14 · career best · Best fig at today's trip 97 (9 tries) · Last 3 figs 97 90 77
▲ Last fig 97 at/above par 86★ Best at the trip 97Jockey Rene Diaz 33% career 0-for-24 on turf this meet (0%) · Trainer J R Caldwell 31% career 0-for-8 on turf this meet (0%)Also today · Jockey R2: Going For Dough 10-1, R3: Swiftliketaylor 12-1, R4: Quality Style 5-2, R8: Brienz 10-1 · Trainer R2: Going For Dough 10-1, R4: Quality Style 5-2LASIX 1ST5/5 board herePurse drops from $250,000 to $44,000 against its last start. Owns the highest recent figure here at 97.
PACE CHALLENGE Leads into real pressure, so it has to earn the front and then hold it. (early-speed points: 8)TROUBLED TRIP Bobbled; pace; weaken last out; the speed figure already reflects it.WORKS LIGHT Thin work schedule next to this field: 0 works in 30d, last one 43d agoRECORD On the board in all 5 starts here (3 wins)RECORD Rene Diaz from post 1 here: 8 wins, 24 top-3 in 69 rides · 12% wins from all posts hereLast three races
Date Trk Dist Class Finish Fig Odds Eq Trip 9/27 RP 5f T GrtWstTSpB250k 3rd/7 by hd 97 7.4-1 b Bobbled; pace; weaken 6/27 LS 5f T GrpTfSprtB125k 2nd/9 90 7.6-1 b L Swift splits; stubborn 5/25 LS 5f D ChmblnBrgB100k 5th/6 -1¼L 77 5.4-1 b L Ins;chck 1/4;late fade 2Gold Front▲LSW. Hamilton · T. EoffHamilton · EoffB87 82 86▲+5≡@trip 878-1Fair 10-19%
▲ Up +5 · career best87 82 86 ≡@trip 87B▲ Last fig 87 at/above par 86LSCard model 9% · Fair odds 10-1 · Our #6 · Tier B · Form ▲ Up +5 · career best · ≡ Steady figures 79–87 · Best fig at today's trip 87 (1 tries) · Last 3 figs 87 82 86
▲ Last fig 87 at/above par 86LSLongshot read: 8-1 on the morning line, and the model has it at 9% against a line of 9%. A read, not a bet.
Jockey Weston Hamilton 20% career 1-for-15 on turf this meet (7%) · Trainer Terry Eoff 24% career 1-for-9 on turf this meet (11%)Also today · Jockey R2: That's A Story 10-1, R5: Mister J. P. 12-1 · Trainer R3: It's Time For Zima 5-1, R9: Flyin Withthe Boss 15-1WON LAST3/4 board hereWinner of a 6-horse optional claiming race at RP last time. An 87 top number against a 86 par, so it fits the level.
PACE HELPS The pocket behind pressure is the useful spot, and this type fits it.WORKS LIGHT Light on works against these rivals (1 work in 30d, last 13d back)RECORD 1 win, 3 on the board from 4 starts hereRECORD Weston Hamilton from post 2 here: 5 wins, 15 top-3 in 27 rides · 8% wins from all posts hereLast three races
Date Trk Dist Class Finish Fig Odds Eq Trip 9/25 RP 5f T OC 35k n2x Won/6 87 3.1-1 L Pressed; 2w; driving 8/27 RP 7½f T Clm 30k b 5th/12 -2½L 82 5.1-1 L 4w; bid; flattened out 7/3 LS 7½f T Alw n1x Won/9 86 2.2-1 L Pace; held sway 3Wearacap▲R. Huckaby · S. CordermanHuckaby · CordermanB92 86 91▲▲+9↕8-1Fair 8-111%
▲▲ Big jump +992 86 91 ↕B▲ Last fig 92 at/above par 863Card model 11% · Fair odds 8-1 · Our #3 · Tier B · Form ▲▲ Big jump +9 · ↕ Up-and-down figures 71–92 · Last 3 figs 92 86 91
▲ Last fig 92 at/above par 86Jockey Ronnie Huckaby 22% career 0-for-6 on turf this meet · Trainer Scott Corderman 29% career 0-for-7 on turf this meetLASIX 1ST★ FASTEST WORKNew trainer: Tom Wellington had it last time, Scott Corderman now. Switches from dirt to turf.
PACE HELPS The pocket behind pressure is the useful spot, and this type fits it.WORKS SHARP Posted the morning's best 4F on Aug 20; 1 work in 30dLast three races
Date Trk Dist Class Finish Fig Odds Eq Trip 9/26 PRM 6f D sDJhnsnSprB100k 3rd/8 -3L 92 3.4-1 B Forwardly;sustaind bid 9/11 PRM 6f D sAlw55589nc 2nd/5 -2L 86 5.1-1 LB Edging to lead;denied 7/6 PRM 6f D sOC40000n2y Won/4 by hd 91 3.3-1 LB Rail bid 3/16;edg away 4High Front▲E. Asmussen · S. AsmussenAsmussen · AsmussenB93 89 90▲▲+8@trip 939-2Fair 6-114%
▲▲ Big jump +893 89 90@trip 93B▲ Last fig 93 at/above par 86Card model 14% · Fair odds 6-1 · Our #4 · Tier B · Form ▲▲ Big jump +8 · Best fig at today's trip 93 (5 tries) · Last 3 figs 93 89 90
▲ Last fig 93 at/above par 86Jockey Erik Asmussen 34% career ★ 9-for-39 on turf this meet (23%), #3 of 21 · Trainer Steven M Asmussen 36% career 8-for-42 on turf this meet (19%) ★ hotAlso today · Jockey R1: Big Tech 5-2, R2: Sykes 3-1, R3: Authentic Kitten 8-5, R4: Fire In My Sul 3-1 +4 more · Trainer R1: Big Tech 5-2, R2: Just Epic 8-1, R2: Sykes 3-1, R3: Promptly 5-2 +9 moreLASIX 1ST3 WORKS IN 30 DAYSJky 19/45 from post 4Runs for $44,000 today after a $250,000 race last time. A 93 in its last five clears the 86 par for this level.
PACE CHALLENGE Has early speed but company on the front end. (early-speed points: 5)WORKS Average work schedule for this field (3 works in 30d, last 6d ago)RECORD 0 wins, 1 on the board from 3 starts hereRECORD Erik Asmussen from post 4 here: 19 wins, 31 top-3 in 45 rides · 27% wins from all posts hereLast three races
Date Trk Dist Class Finish Fig Odds Eq Trip 9/27 RP 5f T GrtWstTSpB250k 6th/7 -2¾L 93 12-1 Unhurried; no menace 8/21 RP 5f T Alw nc 2nd/6 by hd 89 1.1-1 L Stmbld;duel 2w;2d best 6/27 LS 5f T GrpTfSprtB125k 3rd/9 -1½L 90 10-1 L Rail bid;outkickd late 5SchwarzmeierR. Eramia · J. EvansEramia · EvansC56 83 74▼▼-24↕@trip 826-1Fair 10-18%
▼▼ Big drop -2456 83 74 ↕@trip 82CCard model 8% · Fair odds 10-1 · Our #7 · Tier C · Form ▼▼ Big drop -24 · ↕ Up-and-down figures 56–83 · Best fig at today's trip 82 (2 tries) · Last 3 figs 56 83 74
Jockey Richard E Eramia 30% career 0-for-17 on turf this meet (0%) · Trainer Justin Evans 41% career 1-for-6 on turf this meetAlso today · Jockey R2: Divine Passing 5-2, R7: Big Bernie 5-1, R9: Ready 3-1 · Trainer R7: Getaway Car 2-1, R7: Board Of Directors 6-1★ FASTEST WORKBack to 5 furlongs off a 6½ furlongs race. Changes barns, from Peter Eurton to Justin Evans.
PACE HELPS Sits just off the speed with pace in front to run at.WORKS SHARP Posted the morning's best 5F on Oct 24; 2 works in 30dRECORD Richard E Eramia from post 5 here: 10 wins, 43 top-3 in 93 rides · 14% wins from all posts hereLast three races
Date Trk Dist Class Finish Fig Odds Eq Trip 9/6 KD 6½f T OC 80k n2x 11th/11 -8L 56 7.7-1 b L Prssd 5-4w;tired out 7/17 ELP 5½f T OC 62k n2x 5th/8 -2¼L 83 3.1-1 b L Clip aft st;3p;5p upr 6/6 CD 5f T MghtyBeau Stk 6th/7 -2L 74 13-1 b Press 2-3w;bit erratic 6Heat Um UpI. Diego · D. HjortDiego · HjortC68 82 39▲+7↕@trip 8215-1Fair 20-14%
▲ Up +768 82 39 ↕@trip 82CCard model 4% · Fair odds 20-1 · Our #8 · Tier C · Form ▲ Up +7 · ↕ Up-and-down figures 39–82 · Best fig at today's trip 82 (1 tries) · Last 3 figs 68 82 39
Jockey I V Diego 29% career 2-for-17 on turf this meet (12%) · Trainer Donna Hjort 18% career 0-for-1 on turf this meetLast race was on the dirt; today it runs on the turf. Off 57 days since the last start.
PACE HELPS Sits just off the speed with pace in front to run at.WORKS LIGHT Thin work schedule next to this field: 2 works in 30d, last one 9d agoRECORD I V Diego from post 6 here: 12 wins, 32 top-3 in 99 rides · 11% wins from all posts hereLast three races
Date Trk Dist Class Finish Fig Odds Eq Trip 9/3 RP 5½f D Alw n1x 6th/7 -5¼L 68 33-1 b L Ducked out st;chased 6/26 LS 5f T sAlw40500n1x Won/6 by 3 82 18-1 b L Trk3w;wore down leader 5/15 LS 6½f D sAlw40500n2l 11th/11 -8¼L 39 15-1 L Chase 3w;empty 7Hola Joey▲T. Bacon · G. JacquotBacon · JacquotA97 96 81▲▲+9@trip 815-1Fair 7-113%
▲▲ Big jump +9 · career best97 96 81@trip 81A▲ Last fig 97 at/above par 86Card model 13% · Fair odds 7-1 · Our #5 · Tier A · Form ▲▲ Big jump +9 · career best · Best fig at today's trip 81 (1 tries) · Last 3 figs 97 96 81
▲ Last fig 97 at/above par 86LASIX 1ST★ FASTEST WORKWON LASTHas moved up each time out, 81 to 96 to 97. Comes in off a victory in a 6-horse race at RP.
PACE HELPS Stalks an honestly pressed pace from a good spot.WORKS SHARP Posted the morning's best 4F on Oct 23; 1 work in 30dLast three races
Date Trk Dist Class Finish Fig Odds Eq Trip 9/27 RP 6f D DMVanceB100k Won/6 by 1 97 2.8-1 b 2w; long drive;prevail 9/6 PRM 6f D Alw n2y Won/4 96 0.9-1 b LB Drew off convincingly 8/21 RP 5f T Alw nc 5th/6 -3½L 81 3.7-1 L Lunged;chsd btwn;4w1/4 8Let's Go Mark▲R. Vazquez · D. PishVazquez · PishA95 92 88▲▲+8@trip 957-2Fair 9-219%
▲▲ Big jump +8 · career best95 92 88@trip 95A▲ Last fig 95 at/above par 861Card model 19% · Fair odds 9-2 · Our #1 · Tier A · Form ▲▲ Big jump +8 · career best · Best fig at today's trip 95 (7 tries) · Last 3 figs 95 92 88
▲ Last fig 95 at/above par 86Jockey R A Vazquez 33% career ★ 6-for-29 on turf this meet (21%) · Trainer Danny Pish 29% career 0-for-4 on turf this meetAlso today · Jockey R1: Close Call 3-1, R3: Epic Selloff 6-1, R5: McKinsense 6-1, R7: U. S. Army 6-1 +2 more · Trainer R5: Mister J. P. 12-1, R8: Brienz 10-1◆ NOTE · TRIP TROUBLELASIX 1ST3/5 board hereFigures are climbing: 88, 92, 95 over its last three. Runs for $44,000 today after a $250,000 race last time.
PACE HELPS Stalks an honestly pressed pace from a good spot.TROUBLED TRIP Steadied 3/16; 4w late last out; the speed figure already reflects it.WORKS SHARP Fastest work of the morning on Jun 20 (3F in :35.40), 1 work in 30dRECORD 2 wins, 3 on the board from 5 starts hereRECORD R A Vazquez from post 8 here: 7 wins, 15 top-3 in 30 rides · 26% wins from all posts hereLast three races
Date Trk Dist Class Finish Fig Odds Eq Trip 9/27 RP 5f T GrtWstTSpB250k 4th/7 -2¾L 95 4.7-1 Steadied 3/16; 4w late 8/21 RP 5f T Alw nc Won/6 92 2.2-1 L Chsd ins;tipd 4w;surge 6/27 LS 5f T GrpTfSprtB125k 5th/9 -4L 88 7.4-1 L Last away;late traffic
▲ / ▼ angle for / against · ★ best figure at the trip · LS longshot read · 1 2 3 = our top three · A B C tiers · ▲ ► ▼ form · ≡ ↕ steady / up-and-down. Tap a row for its notes, a name for the horse's page. Analysis only. Pace: fast and contested (7 early types). Helps stalkers and closers.
How to read these marks
- 1 2 3
- Our top three by the card model's win chance. Tap “Our order” to sort by it.
- Win %, Fair
- The card model's chance to win, and the odds that chance works out to with no takeout. Fair is green when the model rates the horse above its morning line (the line scaled to add up to 100%).
- Tier A B C ?
- The field ranked on recent speed figures and the morning line together: A = top three, B = next three, C = the rest, ? = no figures yet.
- 71 60 72
- Last three speed figures, newest first. “@trip 75” = best figure at today's distance (within 30 yards) on this surface.
- ▲▲ ▲ ► ▼ ▼▼
- Form: last figure against the average of the three before it. ▲ = up 3 or more, ▲▲ = up 8 or more, ► = within 3, ▼ / ▼▼ = down. The number is the difference.
- ≡ ↕
- ≡ steady: the last four figures sit close together. ↕ up-and-down: they swing widely.
- ★
- Best figure in the field at today's distance and surface, from two or more tries, not tied. When that horse isn't in our top three it gets a “Distance horse” note above the field.
- ▲ ▼ chips
- Handicapping angles for or against the horse. LS = longshot read: 8-1 or more on the morning line and the model rates it higher than that line.
These marks describe the past performances. None of them is proven to beat the odds: in our test of 100 handicapping angles, nothing did better than the final odds, and the morning-line favourite wins more races than our top-ranked horse. Read them as notes, not as a reason to bet.
Race conditions and our readpace, conditions, story
REMINGTON PARK · RACE 6
UPCOMINGAllowance · $44,000 purse
Allowance, for 3-year-olds and up.
Allowance race — a step above claiming. No horses are for sale; written conditions limit the field to horses of similar experience.
● Track record at 5 Furlongs: 54.87
The shape is the story here: the early pace looks honest rather than contested — expect a fairly run race where class and trip decide it, not pace collapse.
Our number tops on #8 Let's Go Mark (a presser/stalker, M/L 7-2). Recent figures: 95 · 92 · 88. Backup is #1 Jackman's Ride at 5-2. Use #3 Wearacap in exotic structures.
What would change our mind: a key scratch that reshapes the early pace, a sharp turf-to-dirt or surface switch off the rail, or live money showing up on a horse the board had dismissed. Watch the tote late.
At a glance: model vs the morning line
At a glance
- Market favourite #1 JACKMAN'S RIDE (5-2) — our number has it ranked #2.
- #1 JACKMAN'S RIDE — our #2 number, about right at the windows (22.0% to their 22.3%).
- #8 LET'S GO MARK — our top number on the card, about right at the windows (18.7% to their 17.3%).
- #4 HIGH FRONT — our #4 number, about right at the windows (14.3% to their 14.2%).
Model vs the morning line
- The model and the morning line roughly agree on this field.
Pacewho goes to the front
Pace
Pressed Pace. Speed under pressure from multiple pressers. Likely honest pace, slight closer benefit.
Likely leader: #1 Jackman's Ride; pressure from #4 High Front, #3 Wearacap; the shape helps #2 Gold Front, #3 Wearacap, #5 Schwarzmeier; and works against #1 Jackman's Ride, #4 High Front.
Number = last-race early-pace figure. Green border = the shape helps; red = it works against.
Early speed and closing figures, horse by horse
Early Pace · E1 figure · front runners
Closing Kick · late-pace figure
Bet types offeredwager menu
Bet types
Wagers offered on this race.
WPS / EXACTA / TRIFECTA (.50 CENT MINIMUM) / SUPERFECTA (.10 CENT MINIMUM)
PICK 3 (RACES 6-7-8) (.50 CENT MINIMUM)
BET OPTIONS
WinPlaceShowExactaTrifectaSuperfecta