★ Distance horse: #4 Kause I'm Devine (20-1) has the best figure in the field at today's distance and surface: 82 from 3 tries. Not in our top three.
1Hand It OverE. Asmussen · S. AsmussenAsmussen · AsmussenB77 75 50▲▲+10↕@trip 775-1Fair 8-112%
▲▲ Big jump +10 · career best77 75 50 ↕@trip 77BCard model 12% · Fair odds 8-1 · Our #5 · Tier B · Form ▲▲ Big jump +10 · career best · ↕ Up-and-down figures 50–77 · Best fig at today's trip 77 (3 tries) · Last 3 figs 77 75 50
Jockey Erik Asmussen 34% career ★ 9-for-39 on turf this meet (23%), #3 of 21 · Trainer Steven M Asmussen 36% career 8-for-42 on turf this meet (19%) ★ hotAlso today · Jockey R1: Big Tech 5-2, R2: Sykes 3-1, R3: Authentic Kitten 8-5, R4: Fire In My Sul 3-1 +4 more · Trainer R1: Big Tech 5-2, R2: Just Epic 8-1, R2: Sykes 3-1, R3: Promptly 5-2 +9 moreMoves up from $7,500 claiming to $20,000 claiming. Beaten 2 lengths for 2nd in a 10-horse $7,500 claiming race at LAD.
PACE HELPS Sits just off the speed with pace in front to run at.WORKS LIGHT Light on works against these rivals (0 works in 30d, last 71d back)RECORD Erik Asmussen from post 1 here: 6 wins, 22 top-3 in 36 rides · 27% wins from all posts hereLast three races
Date Trk Dist Class Finish Fig Odds Eq Trip 9/29 LAD 7½f T Clm 7k b 2nd/10 -2L 77 4.1-1 L Stalk duel; 2nd best 9/15 LAD 1m T Clm 7k b 2nd/9 -2L 75 7.5-1 L Shuffed3w3/8;stayed on 8/29 RP 7½f T Alw n1x 7th/8 -13L 50 9.0-1 L Vied 3w; stopped 2ReadyR. Eramia · K. CraddockEramia · CraddockA77 76 76►≡@trip 763-1Fair 5-117%
► Steady77 76 76 ≡@trip 76A3Card model 17% · Fair odds 5-1 · Our #3 · Tier A · Form ► Steady · ≡ Steady figures 76–79 · Best fig at today's trip 76 (2 tries) · Last 3 figs 77 76 76
Jockey Richard E Eramia 30% career 0-for-17 on turf this meet (0%) · Trainer Kari Craddock 32% career 2-for-11 on turf this meet (18%)Jky 20/96 from post 2Stretches out from -8 furlongs to 7½ furlongs. 2nd last time, a head back, in a field of 9.
PACE CHALLENGE Pressured on the lead; getting clear early matters. (early-speed points: 3)WORKS SHARP Fit-looking prep next to these rivals: 2 works in 30d, last 7d agoRECORD 1 win, 3 on the board from 7 starts hereRECORD Richard E Eramia from post 2 here: 20 wins, 53 top-3 in 96 rides · 14% wins from all posts hereLast three races
Date Trk Dist Class Finish Fig Odds Eq Trip 10/9 RP -8f T Clm 20k 2nd/9 by hd 77 2.4-1 b L Set pace; weakened 9/11 RP 7½f T fsSBrgqstMmB50k 7th/11 -4½L 76 18-1 b Chased inside; weaken 8/29 RP 7½f T Alw n1x 4th/8 by nk 76 2.6-1 b L Vied 4w; tired late 3Floras OraF. Wethey Jr. · F. BravoWethey Jr. · BravoC70 79 65▼-6@trip 659-2Fair 8-111%
▼ Down -670 79 65@trip 65CCard model 11% · Fair odds 8-1 · Our #9 · Tier C · Form ▼ Down -6 · Best fig at today's trip 65 (1 tries) · Last 3 figs 70 79 65
Jockey Floyd Jr Wethey ★ 7-for-30 on turf this meet (23%), #2 of 21 · Trainer Francisco Bravo 32% career 1-for-18 on turf this meet (6%)LASIX 1ST4/8 board hereBest Brisnet figure in the field over its last five: 84, with 81 next best. Runs for $27,000 today after a $130,000 race last time.
PACE HELPS The pocket behind pressure is the useful spot, and this type fits it.WORKS LIGHT Few works lately, 0 works in 30d and the last 55 days agoRECORD 2 wins, 4 on the board from 8 starts hereLast three races
Date Trk Dist Class Finish Fig Odds Eq Trip 10/16 RP 1 1/16 T fsOkClDsfTfB130k 7th/7 by hd 70 4.5-1 b Set pace; weakened; 9/25 RP 1m T fsAlw44000nc 2nd/7 79 4.5-1 b L Set pace; weakened 9/11 RP 7½f T fsSBrgqstMmB50k 11th/11 -9L 65 13-1 b Chased; 2w; stopped; 4Kause I'm Devine★LSR. Vazquez · M. KnoxVazquez · KnoxC76 75 73►≡@trip 8220-1Fair 15-16%
► Steady76 75 73 ≡@trip 82C★ Best at the trip 82LSCard model 6% · Fair odds 15-1 · Our #4 · Tier C · Form ► Steady · ≡ Steady figures 73–81 · Best fig at today's trip 82 (3 tries) · Last 3 figs 76 75 73
★ Best at the trip 82LSLongshot read: 20-1 on the morning line, and the model has it at 6% against a line of 4%. A read, not a bet.
Also today · Jockey R1: Close Call 3-1, R3: Epic Selloff 6-1, R5: McKinsense 6-1, R6: Let's Go Mark 7-2 +2 more60D LAYOFF2/3 board hereA 63-day gap since its last race. Dropped in well back early last out, 11th of 11 at the first call.
EVEN PACE Honest early fractions give a closer a fair shot late.WORKS SHARP One of the busier work schedules here: 1 work in 30d, last 5d agoRECORD 1 win, 2 on the board from 3 starts hereRECORD R A Vazquez from post 4 here: 12 wins, 24 top-3 in 46 rides · 26% wins from all posts hereLast three races
Date Trk Dist Class Finish Fig Odds Eq Trip 8/28 RP 7½f T Clm 30k b 10th/11 -4L 76 12-1 L Settled; 3w; no threat 7/11 LS 1m T fsFiestaMleB82k 6th/9 -12L 75 48-1 L Passed tiring rivals 6/13 LS 7½f T fsStSchlshpB84k 8th/11 -14L 73 21-1 L 4-w 2nd; no rally 5BalmorheaL. Luzzi · T. AshfordLuzzi · AshfordB72 76 77▼-3≡@trip 8012-1Fair 15-16%
▼ Down -372 76 77 ≡@trip 80BCard model 6% · Fair odds 15-1 · Our #7 · Tier B · Form ▼ Down -3 · ≡ Steady figures 72–77 · Best fig at today's trip 80 (3 tries) · Last 3 figs 72 76 77
Jockey Lane J Luzzi 27% career 1-for-18 on turf this meet (6%) · Trainer Tristan Ashford 34% career 1-for-11 on turf this meet (9%)Also today · Jockey R1: Ihavetoomuchair 5-1, R3: Sneaking A Kiss 8-1 · Trainer R3: Sneaking A Kiss 8-1, R5: P R Bullet 12-1Goes 7½ furlongs after running -8 furlongs last time. Worked 5F in 1:02.20 on Aug 4, 2nd of 8 at the distance.
EVEN PACE Honest early fractions give a closer a fair shot late.WORKS LIGHT Thin work schedule next to this field: 0 works in 30d, last one 72d agoRECORD 1 win, 2 on the board from 5 starts hereLast three races
Date Trk Dist Class Finish Fig Odds Eq Trip 10/9 RP -8f T Clm 20k 7th/9 -4¼L 72 12-1 L 4w; bid; flattened out 9/17 RP -8f T Clm 20k b 2nd/9 -1½L 76 4.6-1 L Rallied; 5w; gaining 8/28 RP 7½f T Clm 30k b 9th/11 -3L 77 11-1 L 2w 2nd turn; no menace 6JocastaG. Franko-Angeles · P. FieldsFranko-Angeles · FieldsA75 79 80▼-4≡@trip 814-1Fair 9-218%
▼ Down -475 79 80 ≡@trip 81A1Card model 18% · Fair odds 9-2 · Our #1 · Tier A · Form ▼ Down -4 · ≡ Steady figures 75–80 · Best fig at today's trip 81 (3 tries) · Last 3 figs 75 79 80
Also today · Jockey R1: Pilot's Creed 12-1, R3: Promptly 5-2, R7: Mandolin Wind 12-1, R8: Canoga 5-1Finished 3rd in a 9-horse $20,000 claiming race at RP, beaten 2 lengths. 2nd of 6 at 5F on Jun 13, in 1:00.80.
EVEN PACE Real pressure up front should bring the pace back to it.WORKS LIGHT Few works lately, 0 works in 30d and the last 61 days agoLast three races
Date Trk Dist Class Finish Fig Odds Eq Trip 10/9 RP -8f T Clm 20k 3rd/9 -2L 75 8.0-1 b L Settled; 2w; gaining 9/16 CBY 7½f T OC 25k n2x 4th/8 -6L 79 2.5-1 b L Ins2nd;4w upr;outkickd 8/2 CBY 1m T OC 20k n2x Won/7 80 3.5-1 b L Back 5w;cirlcd 8w 1/4 7DontmesswithtessI. Diego · I. OrtizDiego · OrtizC74 72 73►≡@trip 7615-1Fair 15-16%
► Steady74 72 73 ≡@trip 76CCard model 6% · Fair odds 15-1 · Our #6 · Tier C · Form ► Steady · ≡ Steady figures 72–75 · Best fig at today's trip 76 (1 tries) · Last 3 figs 74 72 73
Jockey I V Diego 29% career 2-for-17 on turf this meet (12%) · Trainer Isaiah Ortiz 32% career 2-for-9 on turf this meet (22%)Gets a new rider, I V Diego replacing David Cabrera. Was 9th of 9 at the first call last time.
EVEN PACE Real pressure up front should bring the pace back to it.WORKS SHARP Active work pattern for this group, 2 works in 30d and the last 6d backRECORD I V Diego from post 7 here: 11 wins, 35 top-3 in 97 rides · 11% wins from all posts hereLast three races
Date Trk Dist Class Finish Fig Odds Eq Trip 10/9 RP -8f T Clm 20k 5th/9 -3¼L 74 26-1 b L Mild rally; no threat 9/17 RP -8f T Clm 20k b 4th/9 -5¼L 72 32-1 b L Rallied; 3w; no menace 7/14 ASD 7f D Clm 7k 4th/5 -6L 73 1.4-1 b L Stlkd duel off rail 8CafezinhoS. Elliott · M. WillisElliott · WillisC58 70 78▼▼-18↕@trip 7912-1Fair 15-16%
▼▼ Big drop -1858 70 78 ↕@trip 79CCard model 6% · Fair odds 15-1 · Our #8 · Tier C · Form ▼▼ Big drop -18 · ↕ Up-and-down figures 58–79 · Best fig at today's trip 79 (3 tries) · Last 3 figs 58 70 78
Jockey S Elliott 35% career 0-for-36 on turf this meet (0%) · Trainer Mindy Willis 35% career 0-for-24 on turf this meet (0%) ★ hotAlso today · Jockey R2: Just Epic 8-1, R3: Mrs Yorke 8-1, R5: Knick The Quick 9-2, R7: Presidential 3-1 +1 more · Trainer R3: Mrs Yorke 8-10/5 board hereFigures have slipped: 78, 70, 58 over its last three. Last out was 9th, 10 lengths behind the winner, in a 9-horse $20,000 claiming race at RP.
PACE HELPS The pocket behind pressure is the useful spot, and this type fits it.TROUBLED TRIP Chart note from last time: Rallied; 4w; faltered. A trip worth forgiving, though the number already carries it.WORKS Steady, unremarkable work pattern: 1 work in 30d, last 28d backRECORD Not on the board in 5 starts hereRECORD S Elliott from post 8 here: 10 wins, 29 top-3 in 75 rides · 19% wins from all posts hereLast three races
Date Trk Dist Class Finish Fig Odds Eq Trip 10/9 RP -8f T Clm 20k 9th/9 -10L 58 22-1 L Rallied; 4w; faltered 9/17 RP -8f T Clm 20k b 6th/9 -4¾L 70 1.7-1 L 2w; shuffled; no rally 8/28 RP 7½f T Clm 30k b 6th/11 by nk 78 12-1 L Stalk; 3w; faltered 9Flyin Withthe BossI. Wiseman · T. EoffWiseman · EoffB77 69 73▲+6≡@trip 7715-1Fair 20-15%
▲ Up +6 · career best77 69 73 ≡@trip 77BCard model 5% · Fair odds 20-1 · Our #10 · Tier B · Form ▲ Up +6 · career best · ≡ Steady figures 69–77 · Best fig at today's trip 77 (2 tries) · Last 3 figs 77 69 73
Jockey Isaiah Wiseman 24% career 0-for-11 on turf this meet (0%) · Trainer Terry Eoff 24% career 1-for-9 on turf this meet (11%)60D LAYOFFJky 0/20 from post 9Was running in $30,000 claiming; today's $20,000 claiming is an easier level on paper. Jockey switch: Weston Hamilton last out, Isaiah Wiseman today.
PACE HELPS The pocket behind pressure is the useful spot, and this type fits it.TROUBLED TRIP Ran into trouble last out (Unruly gate; faltered), and the figure already reflects it.WORKS SHARP One of the busier work schedules here: 2 works in 30d, last 6d agoRECORD 1 win, 1 on the board from 7 starts hereRECORD Isaiah Wiseman has never won from post 9 here (1 top-3 in 20 rides) · 6% wins from all posts hereLast three races
Date Trk Dist Class Finish Fig Odds Eq Trip 8/28 RP 7½f T Clm 30k b 8th/11 by nk 77 15-1 b L Unruly gate; faltered 6/28 LS 7½f T Alw n1x 7th/8 -4¼L 69 8.0-1 b L Brk in air;no late bid 6/20 LS 1m D Clm 25k n3l 2nd/6 73 4.2-1 b L Awk st;cmd1/2;caught 10Hollywoodboulevard▲J. Alvarez · M. HebertAlvarez · HebertA79 79 76▲+5@trip 726-1Fair 7-112%
▲ Up +5 · career best79 79 76@trip 72A▲ Last fig 79 at/above par 792Card model 12% · Fair odds 7-1 · Our #2 · Tier A · Form ▲ Up +5 · career best · Best fig at today's trip 72 (1 tries) · Last 3 figs 79 79 76
▲ Last fig 79 at/above par 79Jockey Jose L Alvarez 34% career 3-for-25 on turf this meet (12%) · Trainer Matt Hebert 27% career 1-for-5 on turf this meetWON LAST3/3 board hereSwitches from dirt to turf. Comes in off a victory in a 5-horse $30,000 claiming race at RP.
PACE HELPS Stalks an honestly pressed pace from a good spot.WORKS LIGHT Few works lately, 0 works in 30d and the last 49 days agoRECORD On the board in all 3 starts here (1 win)RECORD Jose L Alvarez from post 10 here: 5 wins, 12 top-3 in 23 rides · 16% wins from all posts hereLast three races
Date Trk Dist Class Finish Fig Odds Eq Trip 10/3 RP 1m D Clm 30k n3l Won/5 79 3.1-1 L Prsd pc;2p;kick clear 9/18 RP -8f T Clm 30k n3l 2nd/6 -½L 79 6.5-1 L Stlkd; duel; missed 7/5 LS 1m T Clm 20k n3l 3rd/10 76 4.6-1 L Svd grnd;outfnished
▲ / ▼ angle for / against · ★ best figure at the trip · LS longshot read · 1 2 3 = our top three · A B C tiers · ▲ ► ▼ form · ≡ ↕ steady / up-and-down. Tap a row for its notes, a name for the horse's page. Analysis only. Pace: honest. Speed from #2, #3, #9.
How to read these marks
- 1 2 3
- Our top three by the card model's win chance. Tap “Our order” to sort by it.
- Win %, Fair
- The card model's chance to win, and the odds that chance works out to with no takeout. Fair is green when the model rates the horse above its morning line (the line scaled to add up to 100%).
- Tier A B C ?
- The field ranked on recent speed figures and the morning line together: A = top three, B = next three, C = the rest, ? = no figures yet.
- 71 60 72
- Last three speed figures, newest first. “@trip 75” = best figure at today's distance (within 30 yards) on this surface.
- ▲▲ ▲ ► ▼ ▼▼
- Form: last figure against the average of the three before it. ▲ = up 3 or more, ▲▲ = up 8 or more, ► = within 3, ▼ / ▼▼ = down. The number is the difference.
- ≡ ↕
- ≡ steady: the last four figures sit close together. ↕ up-and-down: they swing widely.
- ★
- Best figure in the field at today's distance and surface, from two or more tries, not tied. When that horse isn't in our top three it gets a “Distance horse” note above the field.
- ▲ ▼ chips
- Handicapping angles for or against the horse. LS = longshot read: 8-1 or more on the morning line and the model rates it higher than that line.
These marks describe the past performances. None of them is proven to beat the odds: in our test of 100 handicapping angles, nothing did better than the final odds, and the morning-line favourite wins more races than our top-ranked horse. Read them as notes, not as a reason to bet.
Race conditions and our readpace, conditions, story
REMINGTON PARK · RACE 9
UPCOMINGClaiming $20,000
Claiming $20,000, for fillies and mares, 3-year-olds and up.
Claiming race — every starter can be bought for the claiming price out of the race, so owners risk losing a horse that's clearly best. That keeps the field evenly matched on ability.
● Track record at 7 1/2 Furlongs: 89.46
The shape is the story here: there's little established early speed, so a tactical horse can control soft fractions up front and prove hard to run down.
Our number tops on #6 Jocasta (a closer, M/L 4-1). Recent figures: 75 · 79 · 80. It hit the board last time and stays in form. Backup is #10 Hollywoodboulevard at 6-1. Use #2 Ready in exotic structures.
What would change our mind: a key scratch that reshapes the early pace, a sharp turf-to-dirt or surface switch off the rail, or live money showing up on a horse the board had dismissed. Watch the tote late.
At a glance: model vs the morning line
At a glance
- Market favourite #2 READY (3-1) — our number has it ranked #3.
- #2 READY — our #3 number, about right at the windows (20.1% to their 19.7%).
- #6 JOCASTA — our top number on the card, about right at the windows (17.4% to their 15.8%).
- #3 FLORAS ORA — our #9 number, about right at the windows (12.7% to their 14.3%).
Model vs the morning line
- Longshot the model rates above its line: #4 KAUSE I'M DEVINE (20-1) — our fair 4.4% is above the morning line's 3.8%; supported by: figures trending up 73→75→76 (project ~75)
Pacewho goes to the front
Pace
Pressed Pace. Speed under pressure from multiple pressers. Likely honest pace, slight closer benefit.
Likely leader: #2 Ready; pressure from #3 Floras Ora, #9 Flyin Withthe Boss; the shape helps #1 Hand It Over, #3 Floras Ora, #8 Cafezinho; and works against #2 Ready.
Number = last-race early-pace figure. Green border = the shape helps; red = it works against.
Early speed and closing figures, horse by horse
Early Pace · E1 figure · front runners
Closing Kick · late-pace figure
Bet types offeredwager menu
Bet types
Wagers offered on this race.
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