R9 Remington Park · Claiming $20,000

11:14 AM ET · 7 1/2 Furlongs Turf · $27,000 · 10 runners11:14 AM · 7½f Turf · 10 runners

Upcoming $27K · Claiming $20,000

Card modelCard model Wide openFormLast 3 figsTier · angles

★ Distance horse: #4 Kause I'm Devine (20-1) has the best figure in the field at today's distance and surface: 82 from 3 tries. Not in our top three.

  1. 1Hand It OverE. Asmussen · S. AsmussenAsmussen · AsmussenB77 75 50▲▲+10↕@trip 775-1Fair 8-112%▲▲ Big jump +10 · career best77 75 50 ↕@trip 77B

    Card model 12% · Fair odds 8-1 · Our #5 · Tier B · Form ▲▲ Big jump +10 · career best · ↕ Up-and-down figures 50–77 · Best fig at today's trip 77 (3 tries) · Last 3 figs 77 75 50

    Jockey Erik Asmussen 34% career ★ 9-for-39 on turf this meet (23%), #3 of 21 · Trainer Steven M Asmussen 36% career 8-for-42 on turf this meet (19%) ★ hot
    Also today · Jockey R1: Big Tech 5-2, R2: Sykes 3-1, R3: Authentic Kitten 8-5, R4: Fire In My Sul 3-1 +4 more · Trainer R1: Big Tech 5-2, R2: Just Epic 8-1, R2: Sykes 3-1, R3: Promptly 5-2 +9 more

    Moves up from $7,500 claiming to $20,000 claiming. Beaten 2 lengths for 2nd in a 10-horse $7,500 claiming race at LAD.

    PACE HELPS Sits just off the speed with pace in front to run at.
    WORKS LIGHT Light on works against these rivals (0 works in 30d, last 71d back)
    RECORD Erik Asmussen from post 1 here: 6 wins, 22 top-3 in 36 rides · 27% wins from all posts here

    Last three races

    DateTrkDistClassFinishFigOddsEqTrip
    9/29LAD7½f TClm 7k b2nd/10 -2L774.1-1LStalk duel; 2nd best
    9/15LAD1m TClm 7k b2nd/9 -2L757.5-1LShuffed3w3/8;stayed on
    8/29RP7½f TAlw n1x7th/8 -13L509.0-1LVied 3w; stopped
  2. 2ReadyR. Eramia · K. CraddockEramia · CraddockA77 76 76►≡@trip 763-1Fair 5-117%► Steady77 76 76 ≡@trip 76A3

    Card model 17% · Fair odds 5-1 · Our #3 · Tier A · Form ► Steady · ≡ Steady figures 76–79 · Best fig at today's trip 76 (2 tries) · Last 3 figs 77 76 76

    Jockey Richard E Eramia 30% career 0-for-17 on turf this meet (0%) · Trainer Kari Craddock 32% career 2-for-11 on turf this meet (18%)
    Also today · Jockey R2: Divine Passing 5-2, R6: Schwarzmeier 6-1, R7: Big Bernie 5-1
    Jky 20/96 from post 2

    Stretches out from -8 furlongs to 7½ furlongs. 2nd last time, a head back, in a field of 9.

    PACE CHALLENGE Pressured on the lead; getting clear early matters. (early-speed points: 3)
    WORKS SHARP Fit-looking prep next to these rivals: 2 works in 30d, last 7d ago
    RECORD 1 win, 3 on the board from 7 starts here
    RECORD Richard E Eramia from post 2 here: 20 wins, 53 top-3 in 96 rides · 14% wins from all posts here

    Last three races

    DateTrkDistClassFinishFigOddsEqTrip
    10/9RP-8f TClm 20k2nd/9 by hd772.4-1b LSet pace; weakened
    9/11RP7½f TfsSBrgqstMmB50k7th/11 -4½L7618-1bChased inside; weaken
    8/29RP7½f TAlw n1x4th/8 by nk762.6-1b LVied 4w; tired late
  3. 3Floras OraF. Wethey Jr. · F. BravoWethey Jr. · BravoC70 79 65▼-6@trip 659-2Fair 8-111%▼ Down -670 79 65@trip 65C

    Card model 11% · Fair odds 8-1 · Our #9 · Tier C · Form ▼ Down -6 · Best fig at today's trip 65 (1 tries) · Last 3 figs 70 79 65

    Jockey Floyd Jr Wethey ★ 7-for-30 on turf this meet (23%), #2 of 21 · Trainer Francisco Bravo 32% career 1-for-18 on turf this meet (6%)
    Also today · Jockey R2: Husker Cat 5-1, R4: Brass Nucks 9-5, R5: Royalist 15-1
    LASIX 1ST4/8 board here

    Best Brisnet figure in the field over its last five: 84, with 81 next best. Runs for $27,000 today after a $130,000 race last time.

    PACE HELPS The pocket behind pressure is the useful spot, and this type fits it.
    WORKS LIGHT Few works lately, 0 works in 30d and the last 55 days ago
    RECORD 2 wins, 4 on the board from 8 starts here

    Last three races

    DateTrkDistClassFinishFigOddsEqTrip
    10/16RP1 1/16 TfsOkClDsfTfB130k7th/7 by hd704.5-1bSet pace; weakened;
    9/25RP1m TfsAlw44000nc2nd/7794.5-1b LSet pace; weakened
    9/11RP7½f TfsSBrgqstMmB50k11th/11 -9L6513-1bChased; 2w; stopped;
  4. 4Kause I'm Devine★LSR. Vazquez · M. KnoxVazquez · KnoxC76 75 73►≡@trip 8220-1Fair 15-16%► Steady76 75 73 ≡@trip 82C★ Best at the trip 82LS

    Card model 6% · Fair odds 15-1 · Our #4 · Tier C · Form ► Steady · ≡ Steady figures 73–81 · Best fig at today's trip 82 (3 tries) · Last 3 figs 76 75 73

    ★ Best at the trip 82LS

    Longshot read: 20-1 on the morning line, and the model has it at 6% against a line of 4%. A read, not a bet.

    Jockey R A Vazquez 33% career ★ 6-for-29 on turf this meet (21%) · Trainer Mary Knox 14% career
    Also today · Jockey R1: Close Call 3-1, R3: Epic Selloff 6-1, R5: McKinsense 6-1, R6: Let's Go Mark 7-2 +2 more
    60D LAYOFF2/3 board here

    A 63-day gap since its last race. Dropped in well back early last out, 11th of 11 at the first call.

    EVEN PACE Honest early fractions give a closer a fair shot late.
    WORKS SHARP One of the busier work schedules here: 1 work in 30d, last 5d ago
    RECORD 1 win, 2 on the board from 3 starts here
    RECORD R A Vazquez from post 4 here: 12 wins, 24 top-3 in 46 rides · 26% wins from all posts here

    Last three races

    DateTrkDistClassFinishFigOddsEqTrip
    8/28RP7½f TClm 30k b10th/11 -4L7612-1LSettled; 3w; no threat
    7/11LS1m TfsFiestaMleB82k6th/9 -12L7548-1LPassed tiring rivals
    6/13LS7½f TfsStSchlshpB84k8th/11 -14L7321-1L4-w 2nd; no rally
  5. 5BalmorheaL. Luzzi · T. AshfordLuzzi · AshfordB72 76 77▼-3≡@trip 8012-1Fair 15-16%▼ Down -372 76 77 ≡@trip 80B

    Card model 6% · Fair odds 15-1 · Our #7 · Tier B · Form ▼ Down -3 · ≡ Steady figures 72–77 · Best fig at today's trip 80 (3 tries) · Last 3 figs 72 76 77

    Jockey Lane J Luzzi 27% career 1-for-18 on turf this meet (6%) · Trainer Tristan Ashford 34% career 1-for-11 on turf this meet (9%)
    Also today · Jockey R1: Ihavetoomuchair 5-1, R3: Sneaking A Kiss 8-1 · Trainer R3: Sneaking A Kiss 8-1, R5: P R Bullet 12-1

    Goes 7½ furlongs after running -8 furlongs last time. Worked 5F in 1:02.20 on Aug 4, 2nd of 8 at the distance.

    EVEN PACE Honest early fractions give a closer a fair shot late.
    WORKS LIGHT Thin work schedule next to this field: 0 works in 30d, last one 72d ago
    RECORD 1 win, 2 on the board from 5 starts here

    Last three races

    DateTrkDistClassFinishFigOddsEqTrip
    10/9RP-8f TClm 20k7th/9 -4¼L7212-1L4w; bid; flattened out
    9/17RP-8f TClm 20k b2nd/9 -1½L764.6-1LRallied; 5w; gaining
    8/28RP7½f TClm 30k b9th/11 -3L7711-1L2w 2nd turn; no menace
  6. 6JocastaG. Franko-Angeles · P. FieldsFranko-Angeles · FieldsA75 79 80▼-4≡@trip 814-1Fair 9-218%▼ Down -475 79 80 ≡@trip 81A1

    Card model 18% · Fair odds 9-2 · Our #1 · Tier A · Form ▼ Down -4 · ≡ Steady figures 75–80 · Best fig at today's trip 81 (3 tries) · Last 3 figs 75 79 80

    Jockey Geovanni Franko-Angeles · Trainer Patrick Fields 24% career 0-for-2 on turf this meet
    Also today · Jockey R1: Pilot's Creed 12-1, R3: Promptly 5-2, R7: Mandolin Wind 12-1, R8: Canoga 5-1

    Finished 3rd in a 9-horse $20,000 claiming race at RP, beaten 2 lengths. 2nd of 6 at 5F on Jun 13, in 1:00.80.

    EVEN PACE Real pressure up front should bring the pace back to it.
    WORKS LIGHT Few works lately, 0 works in 30d and the last 61 days ago

    Last three races

    DateTrkDistClassFinishFigOddsEqTrip
    10/9RP-8f TClm 20k3rd/9 -2L758.0-1b LSettled; 2w; gaining
    9/16CBY7½f TOC 25k n2x4th/8 -6L792.5-1b LIns2nd;4w upr;outkickd
    8/2CBY1m TOC 20k n2xWon/7803.5-1b LBack 5w;cirlcd 8w 1/4
  7. 7DontmesswithtessI. Diego · I. OrtizDiego · OrtizC74 72 73►≡@trip 7615-1Fair 15-16%► Steady74 72 73 ≡@trip 76C

    Card model 6% · Fair odds 15-1 · Our #6 · Tier C · Form ► Steady · ≡ Steady figures 72–75 · Best fig at today's trip 76 (1 tries) · Last 3 figs 74 72 73

    Jockey I V Diego 29% career 2-for-17 on turf this meet (12%) · Trainer Isaiah Ortiz 32% career 2-for-9 on turf this meet (22%)
    Also today · Jockey R5: P R Bullet 12-1, R6: Heat Um Up 15-1

    Gets a new rider, I V Diego replacing David Cabrera. Was 9th of 9 at the first call last time.

    EVEN PACE Real pressure up front should bring the pace back to it.
    WORKS SHARP Active work pattern for this group, 2 works in 30d and the last 6d back
    RECORD I V Diego from post 7 here: 11 wins, 35 top-3 in 97 rides · 11% wins from all posts here

    Last three races

    DateTrkDistClassFinishFigOddsEqTrip
    10/9RP-8f TClm 20k5th/9 -3¼L7426-1b LMild rally; no threat
    9/17RP-8f TClm 20k b4th/9 -5¼L7232-1b LRallied; 3w; no menace
    7/14ASD7f DClm 7k4th/5 -6L731.4-1b LStlkd duel off rail
  8. 8CafezinhoS. Elliott · M. WillisElliott · WillisC58 70 78▼▼-18↕@trip 7912-1Fair 15-16%▼▼ Big drop -1858 70 78 ↕@trip 79C

    Card model 6% · Fair odds 15-1 · Our #8 · Tier C · Form ▼▼ Big drop -18 · ↕ Up-and-down figures 58–79 · Best fig at today's trip 79 (3 tries) · Last 3 figs 58 70 78

    Jockey S Elliott 35% career 0-for-36 on turf this meet (0%) · Trainer Mindy Willis 35% career 0-for-24 on turf this meet (0%) ★ hot
    Also today · Jockey R2: Just Epic 8-1, R3: Mrs Yorke 8-1, R5: Knick The Quick 9-2, R7: Presidential 3-1 +1 more · Trainer R3: Mrs Yorke 8-1
    0/5 board here

    Figures have slipped: 78, 70, 58 over its last three. Last out was 9th, 10 lengths behind the winner, in a 9-horse $20,000 claiming race at RP.

    PACE HELPS The pocket behind pressure is the useful spot, and this type fits it.
    TROUBLED TRIP Chart note from last time: Rallied; 4w; faltered. A trip worth forgiving, though the number already carries it.
    WORKS Steady, unremarkable work pattern: 1 work in 30d, last 28d back
    RECORD Not on the board in 5 starts here
    RECORD S Elliott from post 8 here: 10 wins, 29 top-3 in 75 rides · 19% wins from all posts here

    Last three races

    DateTrkDistClassFinishFigOddsEqTrip
    10/9RP-8f TClm 20k9th/9 -10L5822-1LRallied; 4w; faltered
    9/17RP-8f TClm 20k b6th/9 -4¾L701.7-1L2w; shuffled; no rally
    8/28RP7½f TClm 30k b6th/11 by nk7812-1LStalk; 3w; faltered
  9. 9Flyin Withthe BossI. Wiseman · T. EoffWiseman · EoffB77 69 73▲+6≡@trip 7715-1Fair 20-15%▲ Up +6 · career best77 69 73 ≡@trip 77B

    Card model 5% · Fair odds 20-1 · Our #10 · Tier B · Form ▲ Up +6 · career best · ≡ Steady figures 69–77 · Best fig at today's trip 77 (2 tries) · Last 3 figs 77 69 73

    Jockey Isaiah Wiseman 24% career 0-for-11 on turf this meet (0%) · Trainer Terry Eoff 24% career 1-for-9 on turf this meet (11%)
    Also today · Trainer R3: It's Time For Zima 5-1, R6: Gold Front 8-1
    60D LAYOFFJky 0/20 from post 9

    Was running in $30,000 claiming; today's $20,000 claiming is an easier level on paper. Jockey switch: Weston Hamilton last out, Isaiah Wiseman today.

    PACE HELPS The pocket behind pressure is the useful spot, and this type fits it.
    TROUBLED TRIP Ran into trouble last out (Unruly gate; faltered), and the figure already reflects it.
    WORKS SHARP One of the busier work schedules here: 2 works in 30d, last 6d ago
    RECORD 1 win, 1 on the board from 7 starts here
    RECORD Isaiah Wiseman has never won from post 9 here (1 top-3 in 20 rides) · 6% wins from all posts here

    Last three races

    DateTrkDistClassFinishFigOddsEqTrip
    8/28RP7½f TClm 30k b8th/11 by nk7715-1b LUnruly gate; faltered
    6/28LS7½f TAlw n1x7th/8 -4¼L698.0-1b LBrk in air;no late bid
    6/20LS1m DClm 25k n3l2nd/6734.2-1b LAwk st;cmd1/2;caught
  10. 10Hollywoodboulevard▲J. Alvarez · M. HebertAlvarez · HebertA79 79 76▲+5@trip 726-1Fair 7-112%▲ Up +5 · career best79 79 76@trip 72A▲ Last fig 79 at/above par 792

    Card model 12% · Fair odds 7-1 · Our #2 · Tier A · Form ▲ Up +5 · career best · Best fig at today's trip 72 (1 tries) · Last 3 figs 79 79 76

    ▲ Last fig 79 at/above par 79
    Jockey Jose L Alvarez 34% career 3-for-25 on turf this meet (12%) · Trainer Matt Hebert 27% career 1-for-5 on turf this meet
    Also today · Jockey R8: Long Long Time 9-2
    WON LAST3/3 board here

    Switches from dirt to turf. Comes in off a victory in a 5-horse $30,000 claiming race at RP.

    PACE HELPS Stalks an honestly pressed pace from a good spot.
    WORKS LIGHT Few works lately, 0 works in 30d and the last 49 days ago
    RECORD On the board in all 3 starts here (1 win)
    RECORD Jose L Alvarez from post 10 here: 5 wins, 12 top-3 in 23 rides · 16% wins from all posts here

    Last three races

    DateTrkDistClassFinishFigOddsEqTrip
    10/3RP1m DClm 30k n3lWon/5793.1-1LPrsd pc;2p;kick clear
    9/18RP-8f TClm 30k n3l2nd/6 -½L796.5-1LStlkd; duel; missed
    7/5LS1m TClm 20k n3l3rd/10764.6-1LSvd grnd;outfnished

▲ / ▼ angle for / against · ★ best figure at the trip · LS longshot read · 1 2 3 = our top three · A B C tiers · ▲ ► ▼ form · ≡ ↕ steady / up-and-down. Tap a row for its notes, a name for the horse's page. Analysis only. Pace: honest. Speed from #2, #3, #9.

How to read these marks
1 2 3
Our top three by the card model's win chance. Tap “Our order” to sort by it.
Win %, Fair
The card model's chance to win, and the odds that chance works out to with no takeout. Fair is green when the model rates the horse above its morning line (the line scaled to add up to 100%).
Tier A B C ?
The field ranked on recent speed figures and the morning line together: A = top three, B = next three, C = the rest, ? = no figures yet.
71 60 72
Last three speed figures, newest first. “@trip 75” = best figure at today's distance (within 30 yards) on this surface.
▲▲ ▲ ► ▼ ▼▼
Form: last figure against the average of the three before it. ▲ = up 3 or more, ▲▲ = up 8 or more, ► = within 3, ▼ / ▼▼ = down. The number is the difference.
≡ ↕
≡ steady: the last four figures sit close together. ↕ up-and-down: they swing widely.
★
Best figure in the field at today's distance and surface, from two or more tries, not tied. When that horse isn't in our top three it gets a “Distance horse” note above the field.
▲ ▼ chips
Handicapping angles for or against the horse. LS = longshot read: 8-1 or more on the morning line and the model rates it higher than that line.

These marks describe the past performances. None of them is proven to beat the odds: in our test of 100 handicapping angles, nothing did better than the final odds, and the morning-line favourite wins more races than our top-ranked horse. Read them as notes, not as a reason to bet.

Race conditions and our readpace, conditions, story
¼½¾FINISHSTART7 1/2 FURLONGS · TURF · infield2-turn

REMINGTON PARK · RACE 9

UPCOMING

Claiming $20,000

Field
10 runners
Purse
$27,000
Post
11:14 AM ET
Pace
Pressed Pace
Card model top pick
#6 · 18%

Claiming $20,000, for fillies and mares, 3-year-olds and up.

Claiming race — every starter can be bought for the claiming price out of the race, so owners risk losing a horse that's clearly best. That keeps the field evenly matched on ability.

● Track record at 7 1/2 Furlongs: 89.46

The shape is the story here: there's little established early speed, so a tactical horse can control soft fractions up front and prove hard to run down.

Our number tops on #6 Jocasta (a closer, M/L 4-1). Recent figures: 75 · 79 · 80. It hit the board last time and stays in form. Backup is #10 Hollywoodboulevard at 6-1. Use #2 Ready in exotic structures.

What would change our mind: a key scratch that reshapes the early pace, a sharp turf-to-dirt or surface switch off the rail, or live money showing up on a horse the board had dismissed. Watch the tote late.

At a glance: model vs the morning line

At a glance

  • Market favourite #2 READY (3-1) — our number has it ranked #3.
  • #2 READY — our #3 number, about right at the windows (20.1% to their 19.7%).
  • #6 JOCASTA — our top number on the card, about right at the windows (17.4% to their 15.8%).
  • #3 FLORAS ORA — our #9 number, about right at the windows (12.7% to their 14.3%).

Model vs the morning line · analysis, not advice

  • Longshot the model rates above its line: #4 KAUSE I'M DEVINE (20-1) — our fair 4.4% is above the morning line's 3.8%; supported by: figures trending up 73→75→76 (project ~75)
Pacewho goes to the front

Pace

Pressed Pace. Speed under pressure from multiple pressers. Likely honest pace, slight closer benefit.

Likely leader: #2 Ready; pressure from #3 Floras Ora, #9 Flyin Withthe Boss; the shape helps #1 Hand It Over, #3 Floras Ora, #8 Cafezinho; and works against #2 Ready.

Lead
2Ready84
Press
3Floras Ora909Flyin Withthe Boss80
Stalk
1Hand It Over888Cafezinho7810Hollywoodboulevard77
Close
6Jocasta795Balmorhea724Kause I'm Devine717Dontmesswithtess70

Number = last-race early-pace figure. Green border = the shape helps; red = it works against.

Early speed and closing figures, horse by horse

Early Pace · E1 figure · front runners

3
Floras Ora
90
1
Hand It Over
88
2
Ready
84
9
Flyin Withthe Boss
80
8
Cafezinho
78
10
Hollywoodboulevard
77

Closing Kick · late-pace figure

4
Kause I'm Devine
13
5
Balmorhea
1
6
Jocasta
1
7
Dontmesswithtess
1
Bet types offeredwager menu

Bet types

Wagers offered on this race.

WPS / EXACTA / TRIFECTA (.50 CENT MINIMUM) / SUPERFECTA (.10 CENT MINIMUM)

TBredIQ shows analysis only. We don’t build tickets or suggest amounts.

BET OPTIONS

WinPlaceShowExactaTrifectaSuperfecta

Wagers offered on this race — analysis only, no stake sizing.

For information only — not financial or wagering advice. Must be 21+ to wager where required by law. If gambling is affecting you or someone you know, help is available.