R7 Remington Park · Allowance · $42,000 purse

10:18 PM ET · 1 Mile 70 Yards Dirt · $42,000 · 7 runners10:18 PM · 8.3f Dirt · 7 runners

Upcoming $42K · Allowance · $42,000 purse

Card modelCard model Wide openFormLast 3 figsTier · angles

★ Distance horse: #6 Presidential (3-1) has the best figure in the field at today's distance and surface: 93 from 3 tries. Not in our top three.

1Mandolin Wind▲LSG. Franko-Angeles · A. HartmanFranko-Angeles · HartmanB90 74 79▲▲+912-1Fair 10-19%▲▲ Big jump +990 74 79B▲ Last fig 90 at/above par 85LS

Card model 9% · Fair odds 10-1 · Our #5 · Tier B · Form ▲▲ Big jump +9 · Last 3 figs 90 74 79

▲ Last fig 90 at/above par 85LS

Longshot read: 12-1 on the morning line, and the model has it at 9% against a line of 6%. A read, not a bet.

Jockey Geovanni Franko-Angeles · Trainer Alex Hartman 33% career 1-for-10 on dirt this meet (10%)

Also today · Jockey R1: Pilot's Creed 12-1, R3: Promptly 5-2, R8: Canoga 5-1, R9: Jocasta 4-1

180D+ LAYOFF3 WORKS IN 30 DAYS★ FASTEST WORKWON LAST3/5 board here

Back after 349 days away; fitness is the question and the works are the evidence. The longest gap in the field. Comes in off a victory in a 6-horse allowance race at RP.

EVEN PACE A stalking spot behind a contested lead is the useful one in this shape.

SHARP LAST OUT Chart comment from the last start: Settled; 3w; drew away.

WORKS SHARP Fastest work of the morning on Oct 13 (5F in 1:02.00), 3 works in 30d

RECORD 2 wins, 3 on the board from 5 starts here

RECORD Grays/roans win 11% here vs 13% for all horses (623 starts)

Last three races

Date	Trk	Dist	Class	Finish	Fig	Odds	Eq	Trip
11/15	RP	1 1/16 D	Alw s	Won/6 by 1½	90	1.6-1	L	Settled; 3w; drew away
10/2	RP	-8f T	Alw s	6th/6 -8½L	74	27-1	L	3w; bid; flattened out
8/22	RP	-7½f T	Alw s	5th/5 -2½L	79	14-1	L	Chased throughout

2Gun Party▼E. Asmussen · S. AsmussenAsmussen · AsmussenA80 90 88▼-65-1Fair 6-115%▼ Down -680 90 88A▼ 2nd off a layoff after a poor return (80 vs 90)3

Card model 15% · Fair odds 6-1 · Our #3 · Tier A · Form ▼ Down -6 · Last 3 figs 80 90 88

▼ 2nd off a layoff after a poor return (80 vs 90)

Jockey Erik Asmussen 34% career ★ 29-for-103 on dirt this meet (28%), #1 of 28 · Trainer Steven M Asmussen 36% career ★ 31-for-129 on dirt this meet (24%) ★ hot

Also today · Jockey R1: Big Tech 5-2, R2: Sykes 3-1, R3: Authentic Kitten 8-5, R4: Fire In My Sul 3-1 +4 more · Trainer R1: Big Tech 5-2, R2: Just Epic 8-1, R2: Sykes 3-1, R3: Promptly 5-2 +9 more

3 WORKS IN 30 DAYS

Class relief: optional claiming last time, allowance today. A 90 in its last five clears the 85 par for this level.

EVEN PACE Can sit just off the early fight and pick up whoever tires.

WORKS Average work schedule for this field (3 works in 30d, last 11d ago)

RECORD Erik Asmussen from post 2 here: 17 wins, 31 top-3 in 51 rides · 27% wins from all posts here

Last three races

Date	Trk	Dist	Class	Finish	Fig	Odds	Eq	Trip
9/17	CD	1 1/16 D	OC 100k n3x	6th/8 -5¾L	80	19-1	L	Off step slow;some run
6/28	CD	1 1/16 D	OC 100k n3x	6th/7 -5½L	90	23-1	L	Step slw st;saved grnd
5/1	OP	1m D	RHP 1-82	2nd/6 -2½L	88	7.4-1	L	2nd flight;determnd2nd

3U. S. Army▼R. Vazquez · S. DavisVazquez · DavisB64 80 80▼▼-14@trip 846-1Fair 6-114%▼▼ Big drop -1464 80 80@trip 84B▼ 2nd off a layoff after a poor return (64 vs 80)2

Card model 14% · Fair odds 6-1 · Our #2 · Tier B · Form ▼▼ Big drop -14 · Best fig at today's trip 84 (1 tries) · Last 3 figs 64 80 80

▼ 2nd off a layoff after a poor return (64 vs 80)

Jockey R A Vazquez 33% career 13-for-70 on dirt this meet (19%) · Trainer Shawn H Davis 33% career 2-for-13 on dirt this meet (15%) ★ hot

Also today · Jockey R1: Close Call 3-1, R3: Epic Selloff 6-1, R5: McKinsense 6-1, R6: Let's Go Mark 7-2 +2 more

2/4 board here

Last out was 7th, 12 lengths behind the winner, in a 7-horse allowance race at RP. Led at the first call last time.

PACE HELPS Hot early fractions are likely, and that sets up a late run.

WORKS LIGHT Few works lately, 0 works in 30d and the last 50 days ago

RECORD 1 win, 2 on the board from 4 starts here

RECORD R A Vazquez from post 3 here: 13 wins, 33 top-3 in 54 rides · 26% wins from all posts here

Last three races

Date	Trk	Dist	Class	Finish	Fig	Odds	Eq	Trip
9/17	RP	1m D	Alw b	7th/7 -12L	64	10-1	b L	Duel inside; gave way
7/12	LS	1 1/16 T	Clm 25k b	3rd/12 -5L	80	24-1	b L	Bothr brk;improved
5/29	LS	7f D	OC 35k b	4th/7 -8½L	80	13-1	b L	Last early; improved

4Getaway Car▲T. Bacon · J. EvansBacon · EvansA84 84 88►≡2-1Fair 3-125%► Steady84 84 88 ≡A▲ Lone speed on early pace1

Card model 25% · Fair odds 3-1 · Our #1 · Tier A · Form ► Steady · ≡ Steady figures 84–88 · Last 3 figs 84 84 88

▲ Lone speed on early pace

Jockey Tyler W Bacon 32% career 10-for-60 on dirt this meet (17%) · Trainer Justin Evans 41% career 7-for-49 on dirt this meet (14%)

Also today · Jockey R1: Woodspoint 6-1, R5: Hitchcock 9-2, R6: Hola Joey 5-1 · Trainer R6: Schwarzmeier 6-1, this race: Board Of Directors 6-1

★ FASTEST WORK

Owns the highest recent figure here at 94. Goes 1 1/16 miles after running 6½ furlongs last time.

PACE CHALLENGE Has to fight for the lead against company, and the fractions may cost it late. (early-speed points: 8)

SHARP LAST OUT Chart comment from the last start: Duel; drew off; weaken.

WORKS LIGHT Thin work schedule next to this field: 1 work in 30d, last one 28d ago

Last three races

Date	Trk	Dist	Class	Finish	Fig	Odds	Eq	Trip
10/9	RP	6½f D	Alw b	3rd/8 by hd	84	5.3-1	b L	Duel; drew off; weaken
9/13	ALB	7f D	BudSpclB75k	6th/8 -1½L	84	5.8-1	b	4-w; empty
3/29	SA	7f D	SnCrlos G3	6th/6 -9½L	88	11-1	b	In range 4deep; faded

5Big BernieR. Eramia · J. CastellanosEramia · CastellanosB69 71 77▼-6≡5-1Fair 8-111%▼ Down -669 71 77 ≡B

Card model 11% · Fair odds 8-1 · Our #6 · Tier B · Form ▼ Down -6 · ≡ Steady figures 69–77 · Last 3 figs 69 71 77

Jockey Richard E Eramia 30% career 5-for-49 on dirt this meet (10%) · Trainer Jaime Castellanos 28% career 0-for-22 on dirt this meet (0%)

Also today · Jockey R2: Divine Passing 5-2, R6: Schwarzmeier 6-1, R9: Ready 3-1 · Trainer R1: Ihavetoomuchair 5-1, R4: Air Of Ghurair 5-1

★ FASTEST WORK

Trending the wrong way on speed, 77 to 71 to 69. A longer trip: 6½ furlongs last out, 1 1/16 miles today.

PACE CHALLENGE Early speed in a crowded front end; somebody gets worn down. (early-speed points: 6)

WORKS SHARP Fastest work of the morning on Aug 25 (4F in :47.60), 2 works in 30d

RECORD 1 win, 1 on the board from 4 starts here

RECORD Richard E Eramia from post 5 here: 10 wins, 43 top-3 in 93 rides · 14% wins from all posts here

Last three races

Date	Trk	Dist	Class	Finish	Fig	Odds	Eq	Trip
9/3	RP	6½f D	Alw nc	7th/7 -14L	69	35-1	b L	Dull effort; no factor
3/22	HOU	1m T	RHP 68-85	7th/7 -3¾L	71	5.8-1	b L	Close up 3w;outkicked
2/20	HOU	1m T	RHP 67-84	6th/8 -1½L	77	7.6-1	b L	Solid splts;outfinishd

6Presidential▼★S. Elliott · S. AsmussenElliott · AsmussenA76 88 64►↕@trip 933-1Fair 9-218%► Steady76 88 64 ↕@trip 93A▼ 2nd off a layoff after a poor return (76 vs 88)★ Best at the trip 93
Card model 18% · Fair odds 9-2 · Our #4 · Tier A · Form ► Steady · ↕ Up-and-down figures 64–88 · Best fig at today's trip 93 (3 tries) · Last 3 figs 76 88 64
▼ 2nd off a layoff after a poor return (76 vs 88)★ Best at the trip 93
Jockey S Elliott 35% career 7-for-67 on dirt this meet (10%) · Trainer Steven M Asmussen 36% career ★ 31-for-129 on dirt this meet (24%) ★ hot
Also today · Jockey R2: Just Epic 8-1, R3: Mrs Yorke 8-1, R5: Knick The Quick 9-2, R8: Irresistible 2-1 +1 more · Trainer R1: Big Tech 5-2, R2: Just Epic 8-1, R2: Sykes 3-1, R3: Promptly 5-2 +9 more
3/4 board here
Jockey switch: Erik Asmussen last out, S Elliott today. Finished 3rd in a 7-horse allowance race at RP, beaten 5 lengths.
PACE CHALLENGE One of several that want the lead, so the early work will cost something. (early-speed points: 5)
WORKS LIGHT Few works lately, 2 works in 30d and the last 13 days ago
RECORD 0 wins, 3 on the board from 4 starts here
RECORD S Elliott from post 6 here: 24 wins, 57 top-3 in 121 rides · 19% wins from all posts here
Last three races
Date Trk Dist Class Finish Fig Odds Eq Trip
9/17 RP 1m D Alw b 3rd/7 -5L 76 11-1 b L Dueled; 2w; weakened
6/20 LS 1m D Alw b 3rd/6 88 11-1 b L Led late; weakened
5/1 OP 1m D RHP 1-82 6th/6 -11L 64 30-1 b L Stopped inside

Date	Trk	Dist	Class	Finish	Fig	Odds	Eq	Trip
9/17	RP	1m D	Alw b	3rd/7 -5L	76	11-1	b L	Dueled; 2w; weakened
6/20	LS	1m D	Alw b	3rd/6	88	11-1	b L	Led late; weakened
5/1	OP	1m D	RHP 1-82	6th/6 -11L	64	30-1	b L	Stopped inside

7Board of Directors▼R. Huckaby · J. EvansHuckaby · EvansC69 61 62▲+36-1Fair 12-18%▲ Up +369 61 62C▼ Best fig 75 is 5+ under today's par 85

Card model 8% · Fair odds 12-1 · Our #7 · Tier C · Form ▲ Up +3 · Last 3 figs 69 61 62

▼ Best fig 75 is 5+ under today's par 85

Jockey Ronnie Huckaby 22% career 2-for-45 on dirt this meet (4%) · Trainer Justin Evans 41% career 7-for-49 on dirt this meet (14%)

Also today · Jockey R1: Nacho Bar 7-2, R2: Putnam Market 9-2, R6: Wearacap 8-1 · Trainer R6: Schwarzmeier 6-1, this race: Getaway Car 2-1

60D LAYOFF3 WORKS IN 30 DAYS

Justin Evans takes over the training from Chad C Brown. Last race was on the turf; today it runs on the dirt.

EVEN PACE Can sit just off the early fight and pick up whoever tires.

WORKS SHARP Active work pattern for this group, 3 works in 30d and the last 7d back

Last three races

Date	Trk	Dist	Class	Finish	Fig	Odds	Eq	Trip
8/8	MTH	1 1/16 T	Clm 16k n2l	6th/8 -6¾L	69	3.0-1	b L	Off slowly; 3w 2d turn
6/26	MTH	1 1/16 T	Clm 16k b	2nd/5 -1L	61	1.6-1	b L	Off slow; rallied 3w
5/23	BAQ	1 1/16 T	Clm 55k n2l	10th/11 -13L	62	4.3-1	L	Faltered;easd;wlkd off

▲ / ▼ angle for / against · ★ best figure at the trip · LS longshot read · 1 2 3 = our top three · A B C tiers · ▲ ► ▼ form · ≡ ↕ steady / up-and-down. Tap a row for its notes, a name for the horse's page. Analysis only. Pace: fast and contested (4 early types). Helps stalkers and closers.

How to read these marks

1 2 3: Our top three by the card model's win chance. Tap “Our order” to sort by it.
Win %, Fair: The card model's chance to win, and the odds that chance works out to with no takeout. Fair is green when the model rates the horse above its morning line (the line scaled to add up to 100%).
Tier A B C ?: The field ranked on recent speed figures and the morning line together: A = top three, B = next three, C = the rest, ? = no figures yet.
71 60 72: Last three speed figures, newest first. “@trip 75” = best figure at today's distance (within 30 yards) on this surface.
▲▲ ▲ ► ▼ ▼▼: Form: last figure against the average of the three before it. ▲ = up 3 or more, ▲▲ = up 8 or more, ► = within 3, ▼ / ▼▼ = down. The number is the difference.
≡ ↕: ≡ steady: the last four figures sit close together. ↕ up-and-down: they swing widely.
★: Best figure in the field at today's distance and surface, from two or more tries, not tied. When that horse isn't in our top three it gets a “Distance horse” note above the field.
▲ ▼ chips: Handicapping angles for or against the horse. LS = longshot read: 8-1 or more on the morning line and the model rates it higher than that line.

These marks describe the past performances. None of them is proven to beat the odds: in our test of 100 handicapping angles, nothing did better than the final odds, and the morning-line favourite wins more races than our top-ranked horse. Read them as notes, not as a reason to bet.

Race conditions and our readpace, conditions, story

REMINGTON PARK · RACE 7

UPCOMING

Allowance · $42,000 purse

Field

7 runners

Purse

$42,000

Post

10:18 PM ET

Pace

Speed Duel

Card model top pick

#4 · 25%

Allowance, for 3-year-olds and up.

Allowance race — a step above claiming. No horses are for sale; written conditions limit the field to horses of similar experience.

● Track record at 1 Mile 70 Yards: 99.58

The shape is the story here: 3 confirmed front-runners should pressure each other early, which tilts the race toward stalkers and closers who can pick up the pieces late.

Our number tops on #4 Getaway Car (early speed, M/L 2-1). Recent figures: 84 · 84 · 88. It hit the board last time and stays in form. Backup is #3 U. S. Army at 6-1. Use #2 Gun Party in exotic structures.

What would change our mind: a key scratch that reshapes the early pace, a sharp turf-to-dirt or surface switch off the rail, or live money showing up on a horse the board had dismissed. Watch the tote late.

At a glance: model vs the morning line

At a glance

Market favourite #4 GETAWAY CAR (2-1) — our number agrees.
#4 GETAWAY CAR — our top number on the card, about right at the windows (25.0% to their 26.1%).
#6 PRESIDENTIAL — our #4 number, about right at the windows (20.1% to their 19.5%).
#2 GUN PARTY — our #3 number, about right at the windows (14.2% to their 13.0%).

Model vs the morning line · analysis, not advice

The model and the morning line roughly agree on this field.

Pacewho goes to the front

Pace

Speed Duel. Three or more early-speed types. Fast pace, hot fractions — closers benefit.

Likely leader: #4 Getaway Car; pressure from #5 Big Bernie, #6 Presidential; the shape helps #3 U. S. Army; and works against #4 Getaway Car, #5 Big Bernie, #6 Presidential.

Lead

4Getaway Car915Big Bernie826Presidential80

Press

1Mandolin Wind80

Stalk

7Board Of Directors722Gun Party69

3U. S. Army80

Number = last-race early-pace figure. Green border = the shape helps; red = it works against.

Early speed and closing figures, horse by horse

Early Pace · E1 figure · front runners

Getaway Car

Big Bernie

Mandolin Wind

Presidential

Board Of Directors

Gun Party

Closing Kick · late-pace figure

U. S. Army

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