Trainer
Steven M Asmussen
17 starters today at Churchill Downs, Kentucky Derby Future Wager, Remington Park
Today's starters
| Post (ET) | Race | Horse | M/L | Model win | Jockey |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1:00 PM | CD R1 | #1 Risk It | 4-1 | 12% | Jose L Ortiz |
| 1:00 PM | CD R1 | #6 Ravens Dream | 12-1 | 5% | Keith J Asmussen |
| 1:58 PM | CD R3 | #5 Macchiato | 7-2 | 14% | Jose L Ortiz |
| 1:58 PM | CD R3 | #8 Private Show | 15-1 | 11% | Keith J Asmussen |
| 3:55 PM | CD R7 | #8 Love Divine | 6-1 | 12% | Jose L Ortiz |
| 7:00 PM | KDF R1 | #20 Jas | 40-1 | 2% | Rider No |
| 7:00 PM | KDF R1 | #27 Pharocity | 99-1 | 1% | Rider No |
| 7:00 PM | KDF R1 | #28 Powerline | 99-1 | 0% | Rider No |
| 7:00 PM | KDF R1 | #32 Social Deception | 99-1 | 1% | Rider No |
| 7:30 PM | RP R1 | #2 Cawkab | 3-1 | 15% | Erik Asmussen |
| 7:58 PM | RP R2 | #2 Cocked Pistol | 8-1 | 9% | S Elliott |
| 7:58 PM | RP R2 | #8 The Standard | 5-2 | 27% | Erik Asmussen |
| 8:26 PM | RP R3 | #4 Belladore | 4-1 | 12% | S Elliott |
| 8:26 PM | RP R3 | #6 Slighted | 2-1 | 23% | Erik Asmussen |
| 10:18 PM | RP R7 | #3 Brigadier General | 4-1 | 13% | Erik Asmussen |
| 10:46 PM | RP R8 | #9 Mi Diamante | 8-1 | 7% | Erik Asmussen |
| 11:14 AM | RP R9 | #1 Personality Plus | 9-2 | 15% | S Elliott |
Model win chance is the card model on each race page; the morning-line favourite wins more often than our top-ranked horse.
This meet
Churchill Downs
| Surface | Won | Starts | Win rate |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dirt | 5 | 35 | 14% |
| Turf | 2 | 3 | too few to rate |
| All surfaces | 7 | 38 | 18% |
Remington Park
| Surface | Won | Starts | Win rate |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dirt | 30 | 115 | 26% |
| Turf | 8 | 39 | 21% |
| All surfaces | 38 | 154 | 25% |
Starts at the same track in the 45 days before today, the window the race pages call “this meet.” Under 8 starts we show the count only; under 30, rates move a lot and are tagged.
Last 12 months by race type
| Race type | Won | Starts | Win rate | 1st–3rd |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Graded stakes | 15 | 84 | 18% | 48% |
| Other stakes | 27 | 133 | 20% | 59% |
| Allowance / optional claiming | 106 | 478 | 22% | 59% |
| Maiden special weight | 88 | 463 | 19% | 51% |
| Claiming $25,000+ | 22 | 133 | 17% | 53% |
| Claiming under $25,000 | 53 | 291 | 18% | 57% |
| Maiden claiming | 55 | 244 | 23% | 55% |
| All | 366 | 1826 | 20% | 55% |
Thoroughbred races in our results data, through Oct 27, 2026. Name matched on surname and first initial, so two people who share both can be merged.
By situation
| Situation | Starts | Win rate | 1st–3rd |
|---|---|---|---|
| On dirt | 6906 | 17% | 46% |
| Sprints | 5235 | 17% | 46% |
| Routes | 3296 | 16% | 43% |
| Shipping in | 2664 | 18% | 46% |
| Maiden special weights | 2221 | 15% | 42% |
| Allowance races | 1982 | 17% | 47% |
| Claiming races | 1943 | 16% | 45% |
| Back from 46–90 days off | 1672 | 16% | 43% |
| On turf | 1431 | 14% | 41% |
| Two-year-olds | 1379 | 15% | 43% |
| Won last time | 1296 | 20% | 48% |
| Maiden claiming races | 1011 | 20% | 48% |
| Second start off a layoff | 877 | 16% | 46% |
| Beaten favourite last time | 671 | 22% | 53% |
| Third start off a layoff | 586 | 16% | 48% |
| Sprint to route | 506 | 16% | 40% |
| First start after a claim | 488 | 13% | 42% |
| Maiden winner last time | 481 | 16% | 45% |
| Graded stakes | 377 | 15% | 42% |
| First time at a route | 323 | 14% | 38% |
| Down two or more classes | 187 | 20% | 47% |
| Maiden claiming to maiden special weight | 79 | 11% | 49% |
| Back within 5 days | 2 | too few to rate |
The trainer's record in each situation as printed with today's past performances (first-time starters, layoffs, surface and distance switches and so on).
With today's jockeys
| Jockey | Today | Won | Starts | Win rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jose L Ortiz | Risk It, Macchiato, Love Divine | 40 | 144 | 28% |
| Keith J Asmussen | Ravens Dream, Private Show | 50 | 399 | 13% |
| Rider No | Jas, Pharocity, Powerline, Social Deception | 0 | 0 | no starts |
| Erik Asmussen | Cawkab, The Standard, Slighted, Brigadier General, Mi Diamante | 160 | 684 | 23% |
| S Elliott | Cocked Pistol, Belladore, Personality Plus | 50 | 221 | 23% |
Starts together in the last 12 months, through Oct 27, 2026.
Recent starters
| Date | Race | Horse | Finish | M/L | Jockey |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/27 | IND R7 | Kenz | 6th of 10 | 12-1 | Joseph Ramos |
| 10/25 | CD R11 | Monnie | 2nd of 12 | 15-1 | Keith Asmussen |
| 10/25 | CD R10 | Jas | Won of 7 | 6-1 | Keith Asmussen |
| 10/25 | CD R6 | Colortime | 10th of 10 | 12-1 | Keith Asmussen |
| 10/24 | BEL R10 | Iron Dome | Won of 10 | 5-1 | Ricardo Santana Jr. |
| 10/24 | KEE R10 | Preside | 2nd of 7 | 7-2 | Jose Ortiz |
| 10/24 | KEE R8 | Tiztastic | 5th of 12 | 10-1 | Joel Rosario |
| 10/24 | RP R7 | Perfect Magic | Won of 6 | 8-5 | Erik Asmussen |
| 10/24 | KEE R6 | Booked | 3rd of 5 | 6-5 | Jose Ortiz |
| 10/24 | KEE R6 | Grand Yaupon | 5th of 5 | 9-5 | Keith Asmussen |
The last 10 settled starts in our results data, through Oct 27, 2026. M/L is the morning line.