Pick sheet

Race 59:22 PM Clm 7500n2l

5.5F · Dirt · 8 entered. Our model's top pick, Chicks Night Out, is 29% to win (morning line implies 22%). Pace: fast and contested (7 early types). Helps stalkers and closers.

Top pick #3 Chicks Night Out ML 5-2 Fair 5-2 Model #1 Top last-race fig ▲ Up +7 ↕ Up and down 44–72

Jockey E. Asmussen · Trainer S. Asmussen · KEE 4: 0-0-1 · Dist 3: 0-0-0 · 9 days off

Date	Trk	Dist	Class	Finish	Fig	Odds	Eq	Trip
10/22	RP	7f D	fsClm20000n2l	3rd/9 by nk	64	16-1	L	Press inside; hung
10/10	RP	1m D	Clm 7k n2lc	4th/6 -2L	54	12-1	L	Settled; 4w; outfinish
8/28	RP	7½f T	fsAlw39000n1x	7th/7 -16L	44	47-1	L	Pinched back start;

Case: Last out 3rd in the fsClm20000n2l at RP. Last Brisnet figures 64-54-44. 0-for-3 at the distance. 0-for-4 at Remington Park. S. Asmussen / E. Asmussen.

Knock: 0-for-3 at the distance.

Contender #2 Outtaherway ML 7-2 Fair 3-1 Model #2 ▼▼ Big drop -10 ★ Best at 5½f dirt: 71 ↕ Up and down 46–77

Jockey R. Vazquez · Trainer A. Gustafson · KEE 5: 1-1-0 · Dist 4: 1-1-0 · best fig at 5½f dirt 71 · 30 days off

Date	Trk	Dist	Class	Finish	Fig	Odds	Eq	Trip
10/1	RP	5½f D	fsClm30000n2l	6th/8 -7L	56	2.7-1	L	Led;chase;2p;faded
8/22	RP	5½f D	fsClm30000n2lc	6th/8 -8½L	46	0.6-1	L	Vied early ins;wknd
3/9	WRD	6f D	fsBlueRibbn50k	2nd/7 -½L	77	1.4-1		Duel; grudgingly

Case: Last out 6th/8 -7L in the fsClm30000n2l at RP. Last Brisnet figures 56-46-77. Best at today's distance 71. 1-for-4 at the distance. 1-for-5 at Remington Park. A. Gustafson / R. Vazquez.

Knock: Nothing glaring on paper.

Use #1 Annie One Sock ML 9-2 Fair 7-1 Model #3 ▲ Up +6 ↕ Up and down 45–67 Last out 3rd in the fsClm7500n2l at RP. Last Brisnet figures 62-55-67. Best at today's distance 67. 0-for-6 at the distance. 1-for-5 at Remington Park. S. Young / F. Wethey Jr.. Knock: 0-for-6 at the distance. Our model rates this one below its morning line.

Jockey F. Wethey Jr. · Trainer S. Young · KEE 5: 1-0-2 · Dist 6: 0-0-2 · best fig at 5½f dirt 67 · 10 days off

Date	Trk	Dist	Class	Finish	Fig	Odds	Eq	Trip
10/21	RP	5½f D	fsClm7500n2l	3rd/8 -½L	62	2.6-1	L	Rallied; 3w; bid; hung
10/1	RP	5½f D	fsClm30000n2l	8th/8 -7¾L	55	12-1	L	Stalk;3p;tired
8/22	RP	5½f D	fsClm30000n2l	3rd/8	67	24-1	L	Stalkd 3-4w;caught upr

Narrowing the field: A #2, #3, #7 · B #1, #4, #5 · C #6, #8

Angles: #6 Best fig 57 is 5+ under today's par 71

R5 Remington Park · Claiming $7,500

9:22 PM ET · 5 1/2 Furlongs Dirt · $11,500 · 8 runners9:22 PM · 5½f Dirt · 8 runners

Upcoming $12K · Claiming $7,500

Card modelCard model MediumFormLast 3 figsTier · angles

1Annie One SockF. Wethey Jr. · S. YoungWethey Jr. · YoungB62 55 67▲+6↕@trip 679-2Fair 7-113%▲ Up +662 55 67 ↕@trip 67B3

Card model 13% · Fair odds 7-1 · Our #3 · Tier B · Form ▲ Up +6 · ↕ Up-and-down figures 45–67 · Best fig at today's trip 67 (6 tries) · Last 3 figs 62 55 67

Jockey Floyd Jr Wethey 11-for-78 on dirt this meet (14%) · Trainer Scott E Young 30% career 4-for-50 on dirt this meet (8%)

Also today · Jockey R1: Now We Go 15-1, R3: Mighty Message 8-1, R4: Jerry's Lady 5-1, R8: Den's Dazzler 3-1 +1 more

CLASS DROP★ FASTEST WORK3/5 board here

Finished 3rd in an 8-horse $7,500 claiming race at RP, beaten ½ length. Prime Power, the Brisnet rating, puts it on top of this field.

EVEN PACE Lands behind the duel without having to be part of it.

WORKS SHARP Fastest work of the morning on Apr 27 (4F in :46.60), 0 works in 30d

RECORD 1 win, 3 on the board from 5 starts here

Last three races

Date	Trk	Dist	Class	Finish	Fig	Odds	Eq	Trip
10/21	RP	5½f D	fsClm7500n2l	3rd/8 -½L	62	2.6-1	L	Rallied; 3w; bid; hung
10/1	RP	5½f D	fsClm30000n2l	8th/8 -7¾L	55	12-1	L	Stalk;3p;tired
8/22	RP	5½f D	fsClm30000n2l	3rd/8	67	24-1	L	Stalkd 3-4w;caught upr

2Outtaherway★R. Vazquez · A. GustafsonVazquez · GustafsonA56 46 77▼▼-10↕@trip 717-2Fair 3-126%▼▼ Big drop -1056 46 77 ↕@trip 71A★ Best at the trip 712

Card model 26% · Fair odds 3-1 · Our #2 · Tier A · Form ▼▼ Big drop -10 · ↕ Up-and-down figures 46–77 · Best fig at today's trip 71 (4 tries) · Last 3 figs 56 46 77

★ Best at the trip 71

Jockey R A Vazquez 33% career 14-for-74 on dirt this meet (19%), #3 of 28 · Trainer Austin Gustafson 34% career 5-for-26 on dirt this meet (19%) ★ hot

Also today · Jockey R1: Saltwater Taffy 5-2, R7: Electrifying Lady 5-1, R8: Lanaluah 2-1, R9: Prince Lancelot 8-1 · Trainer R1: Saltwater Taffy 5-2, R8: Lanaluah 2-1

Class relief: $30,000 claiming last time, $7,500 claiming today. Best Brisnet figure in the field over its last five: 77, with 72 next best.

PACE CHALLENGE Early speed in a crowded front end; somebody gets worn down. (early-speed points: 7)

WORKS Average work schedule for this field (0 works in 30d, last 35d ago)

RECORD 1 win, 2 on the board from 5 starts here

RECORD R A Vazquez from post 2 here: 11 wins, 26 top-3 in 42 rides · 26% wins from all posts here

Last three races

Date	Trk	Dist	Class	Finish	Fig	Odds	Eq	Trip
10/1	RP	5½f D	fsClm30000n2l	6th/8 -7L	56	2.7-1	L	Led;chase;2p;faded
8/22	RP	5½f D	fsClm30000n2lc	6th/8 -8½L	46	0.6-1	L	Vied early ins;wknd
3/9	WRD	6f D	fsBlueRibbn50k	2nd/7 -½L	77	1.4-1		Duel; grudgingly

3Chicks Night OutE. Asmussen · S. AsmussenAsmussen · AsmussenA64 54 44▲+7↕5-2Fair 5-229%▲ Up +764 54 44 ↕A1

Card model 29% · Fair odds 5-2 · Our #1 · Tier A · Form ▲ Up +7 · ↕ Up-and-down figures 44–72 · Last 3 figs 64 54 44

Jockey Erik Asmussen 34% career ★ 32-for-109 on dirt this meet (29%), #1 of 28 · Trainer Steven M Asmussen 36% career ★ 35-for-139 on dirt this meet (25%) ★ hot

Also today · Jockey R1: Miss Arlington 7-2, R3: Cant Stop Munnings 2-1, R7: Banterra 7-2, R9: Bad Beat Brian 5-2 · Trainer R1: Miss Arlington 7-2, R3: Cant Stop Munnings 2-1, R7: Banterra 7-2, R7: Electrifying Lady 5-1 +1 more

CLASS UP

Back to 5½ furlongs off a 7 furlongs race. Has moved up each time out, 44 to 54 to 64.

PACE CHALLENGE One of several that want the lead, so the early work will cost something. (early-speed points: 0)

WORKS SHARP Fit-looking prep next to these rivals: 0 works in 30d, last 31d ago

RECORD 0 wins, 1 on the board from 5 starts here

RECORD Erik Asmussen from post 3 here: 5 wins, 14 top-3 in 24 rides · 27% wins from all posts here

Last three races

Date	Trk	Dist	Class	Finish	Fig	Odds	Eq	Trip
10/22	RP	7f D	fsClm20000n2l	3rd/9 by nk	64	16-1	L	Press inside; hung
10/10	RP	1m D	Clm 7k n2lc	4th/6 -2L	54	12-1	L	Settled; 4w; outfinish
8/28	RP	7½f T	fsAlw39000n1x	7th/7 -16L	44	47-1	L	Pinched back start;

4Let'sgojloL. Quinonez · M. RodriguezQuinonez · RodriguezB64 64 43▲▲+12↕@trip 664-1Fair 8-111%▲▲ Big jump +1264 64 43 ↕@trip 66B

Card model 11% · Fair odds 8-1 · Our #4 · Tier B · Form ▲▲ Big jump +12 · ↕ Up-and-down figures 43–64 · Best fig at today's trip 66 (3 tries) · Last 3 figs 64 64 43

Jockey L S Quinonez 31% career 3-for-19 on dirt this meet (16%) · Trainer Marti Rodriguez 33% career 1-for-12 on dirt this meet (8%)

Also today · Jockey R4: Honor God 15-1

3/5 board here

Quick turnaround, just 10 days since the last start. Winless in 4 starts at this distance.

PACE HELPS The front end should be a fight, and this one gets to wait on it.

WORKS LIGHT Few works lately, 0 works in 30d and the last 51 days ago

RECORD 1 win, 3 on the board from 5 starts here

RECORD L S Quinonez from post 4 here: 4 wins, 26 top-3 in 52 rides · 12% wins from all posts here

Last three races

Date	Trk	Dist	Class	Finish	Fig	Odds	Eq	Trip
10/21	RP	5½f D	fsClm7500n2l	2nd/8 -1¼L	64	8.7-1	b L	Lunged; hit gate start
9/19	RP	6f D	fsClm10000n2l	3rd/9 -4L	64	11-1	b L	Rallied; 4w; no menace
6/17	FMT	5½f D	fsAlw16000n1x	6th/6 -14L	43	5.3-1	b L	Switched out 4w;empty

5That Was EasyS. Elliott · M. WillisElliott · WillisB47 71 64▼▼-11↕@trip 648-1Fair 12-18%▼▼ Big drop -1147 71 64 ↕@trip 64B

Card model 8% · Fair odds 12-1 · Our #5 · Tier B · Form ▼▼ Big drop -11 · ↕ Up-and-down figures 40–71 · Best fig at today's trip 64 (4 tries) · Last 3 figs 47 71 64

Jockey S Elliott 35% career 8-for-71 on dirt this meet (11%) · Trainer Mindy Willis 35% career 0-for-9 on dirt this meet (0%) ★ hot

Also today · Jockey R3: Grand Academic 3-1, R6: Natalies Code 6-1, R7: Imaluckycharm 5-2, R9: That's Right 5-1 · Trainer R4: Charlotte Joy 10-1

5/8 board here

0 for 5 at today's distance. Was 7th of 8 at the first call last time.

PACE CHALLENGE Early speed in a crowded front end; somebody gets worn down. (early-speed points: 5)

WORKS LIGHT Few works lately, 0 works in 30d and the last 49 days ago

RECORD 1 win, 5 on the board from 8 starts here

RECORD S Elliott from post 5 here: 27 wins, 64 top-3 in 131 rides · 19% wins from all posts here

Last three races

Date	Trk	Dist	Class	Finish	Fig	Odds	Eq	Trip
10/21	RP	5½f D	fsClm7500n2l	7th/8 -3¾L	47	2.2-1	L	Unhurried; no threat
9/19	RP	6f D	fsClm10000n2l	2nd/9 -1L	71	5.7-1	L	3w; led; hung late
8/27	RP	5½f D	fsClm7500n2l	3rd/5 -1½L	64	4.4-1	L	Duel inside; weakened

6Flat Out Okie▼J. Padron-Barcenas · O. CogburnPadron-Barcenas · CogburnC50 22 30▲▲+14↕@trip 5412-1Fair 30-13%▲▲ Big jump +1450 22 30 ↕@trip 54C▼ Best fig 57 is 5+ under today's par 71

Card model 3% · Fair odds 30-1 · Our #7 · Tier C · Form ▲▲ Big jump +14 · ↕ Up-and-down figures 22–57 · Best fig at today's trip 54 (5 tries) · Last 3 figs 50 22 30

▼ Best fig 57 is 5+ under today's par 71

Jockey Javier Padron-Barcenas 21% career 1-for-33 on dirt this meet (3%) · Trainer Orrin L Cogburn 28% career 0-for-4 on dirt this meet

Also today · Jockey R4: Free To Be Me 12-1, R6: Cowgirl Cool 3-1

CLASS DROP

A 57 is the high figure lately, short of the 71 par. A step up in company: $5,000 claiming before, $7,500 claiming today.

PACE CHALLENGE Early speed in a crowded front end; somebody gets worn down. (early-speed points: 4)

WORKS LIGHT Few works lately, 0 works in 30d and the last 157 days ago

Last three races

Date	Trk	Dist	Class	Finish	Fig	Odds	Eq	Trip
9/26	RP	5f D	Clm 5k b	8th/9 -8¾L	50	56-1	b L	Vied inside; stopped
8/27	RP	5½f D	fsClm7500n2l	5th/5 -12L	22	24-1	b L	Inside; stopped
7/15	FMT	5½f D	Alw n1x	5th/6 -7L	30	15-1	b L	Urged outside;stopped

7Back Then Rite NowT. Bacon · B. CasterBacon · CasterA56 71 66▼▼-8@trip 668-1Fair 12-18%▼▼ Big drop -856 71 66@trip 66A

Card model 8% · Fair odds 12-1 · Our #6 · Tier A · Form ▼▼ Big drop -8 · Best fig at today's trip 66 (3 tries) · Last 3 figs 56 71 66

Jockey Tyler W Bacon 32% career 10-for-62 on dirt this meet (16%) · Trainer Boyd Caster 27% career 2-for-7 on dirt this meet

Also today · Jockey R2: Saw Dog 5-1, R3: Final Storm 9-2, R7: Always Spiteful 8-1, R8: Chitoz's Blur 12-1 +1 more · Trainer R1: Now We Go 15-1, R1: Cur Non 12-1, R4: Jerry's Lady 5-1, R9: Devious Dennis 10-1

CLASS DROP

Switches from turf to dirt. A big drop, $25,000 claiming to $7,500 claiming, and worth asking why.

EVEN PACE Lands behind the duel without having to be part of it.

WORKS SHARP One of the busier work schedules here: 1 work in 30d, last 21d ago

RECORD 0 wins, 1 on the board from 5 starts here

Last three races

Date	Trk	Dist	Class	Finish	Fig	Odds	Eq	Trip
10/17	RP	5f T	Clm 20k n2l	9th/12 -7½L	56	22-1	b L	Unhurried early
9/12	RP	5f T	Clm 30k n2l	5th/10 -2¾L	71	64-1	b L	Inside; no menace
8/27	RP	5½f D	fsClm7500n2l	2nd/5 by hd	66	3.7-1	b L	Shuffled; 4w; hung

8Gospel DarleneE. Zabala · S. WilliamsZabala · WilliamsC53 44 63▲+3@trip 6310-1Fair 30-13%▲ Up +353 44 63@trip 63C

Card model 3% · Fair odds 30-1 · Our #8 · Tier C · Form ▲ Up +3 · Best fig at today's trip 63 (7 tries) · Last 3 figs 53 44 63

Jockey Emanuel Castillo Zabala 18% career 3-for-34 on dirt this meet (9%) · Trainer Steve F Williams 31% career 2-for-43 on dirt this meet (5%)

Also today · Jockey R2: Gospel Jim 10-1, R4: Spaced Out 20-1, R6: Gospel Share 5-1 · Trainer R2: Gospel Larry 15-1, R2: Gospel Jim 10-1, R6: Gospel Share 5-1, R6: Gospel Judy 9-2

0/5 board here

Last out was 5th, 1 length behind the winner, in an 8-horse $7,500 claiming race at RP. Turns back in 10 days.

EVEN PACE Can sit just off the early fight and pick up whoever tires.

TROUBLED TRIP Stalk inside; faltered last out; the speed figure already reflects it.

WORKS LIGHT Light on works against these rivals (0 works in 30d, last 78d back)

RECORD Not on the board in 5 starts here

RECORD Emanuel Castillo Zabala from post 8 here: 2 wins, 2 top-3 in 22 rides · 4% wins from all posts here

Last three races

Date	Trk	Dist	Class	Finish	Fig	Odds	Eq	Trip
10/21	RP	5½f D	fsClm7500n2l	5th/8 -1L	53	11-1	b L	Stalk inside; faltered
9/19	RP	6f D	fsClm10000n2l	7th/9 -7L	44	9.5-1	b L	Brief speed; inside;
9/12	RP	5½f D	fsAlw39000n2l	7th/8 -4¾L	63	39-1	b L	3w; bid; faltered

▲ / ▼ angle for / against · ★ best figure at the trip · LS longshot read · 1 2 3 = our top three · A B C tiers · ▲ ► ▼ form · ≡ ↕ steady / up-and-down. Tap a row for its notes, a name for the horse's page. Analysis only. Pace: fast and contested (7 early types). Helps stalkers and closers.

How to read these marks

1 2 3: Our top three by the card model's win chance. Tap “Our order” to sort by it.
Win %, Fair: The card model's chance to win, and the odds that chance works out to with no takeout. Fair is green when the model rates the horse above its morning line (the line scaled to add up to 100%).
Tier A B C ?: The field ranked on recent speed figures and the morning line together: A = top three, B = next three, C = the rest, ? = no figures yet.
71 60 72: Last three speed figures, newest first. “@trip 75” = best figure at today's distance (within 30 yards) on this surface.
▲▲ ▲ ► ▼ ▼▼: Form: last figure against the average of the three before it. ▲ = up 3 or more, ▲▲ = up 8 or more, ► = within 3, ▼ / ▼▼ = down. The number is the difference.
≡ ↕: ≡ steady: the last four figures sit close together. ↕ up-and-down: they swing widely.
★: Best figure in the field at today's distance and surface, from two or more tries, not tied. When that horse isn't in our top three it gets a “Distance horse” note above the field.
▲ ▼ chips: Handicapping angles for or against the horse. LS = longshot read: 8-1 or more on the morning line and the model rates it higher than that line.

These marks describe the past performances. None of them is proven to beat the odds: in our test of 100 handicapping angles, nothing did better than the final odds, and the morning-line favourite wins more races than our top-ranked horse. Read them as notes, not as a reason to bet.

Race conditions and our readpace, conditions, story

REMINGTON PARK · RACE 5

UPCOMING

Claiming $7,500

Field

8 runners

Purse

$11,500

Post

9:22 PM ET

Pace

Speed Duel

Card model top pick

#3 · 29%

Claiming $7,500, for fillies and mares, 3-year-olds and up, restricted to state-bred (registered) horses, that have not won two races lifetime.

Claiming race — every starter can be bought for the claiming price out of the race, so owners risk losing a horse that's clearly best. That keeps the field evenly matched on ability.

● Track record at 5 1/2 Furlongs: 62.0

The shape is the story here: 4 confirmed front-runners should pressure each other early, which tilts the race toward stalkers and closers who can pick up the pieces late.

Our number tops on #3 Chicks Night Out (early speed, M/L 5-2). Recent figures: 64 · 54 · 44. It hit the board last time and stays in form. Backup is #2 Outtaherway at 7-2. Use #1 Annie One Sock in exotic structures.

What would change our mind: a key scratch that reshapes the early pace, a sharp turf-to-dirt or surface switch off the rail, or live money showing up on a horse the board had dismissed. Watch the tote late.

At a glance: model vs the morning line

At a glance

Market favourite #3 CHICKS NIGHT OUT (5-2) — our number agrees.
#3 CHICKS NIGHT OUT — our top number on the card, about right at the windows (24.8% to their 22.3%).
#2 OUTTAHERWAY — our #2 number, and the board's letting him go too cheap — we make him 20.3%, they've got 17.4%.
#4 LET'SGOJLO — our #4 number, about right at the windows (14.0% to their 15.6%).

Model vs the morning line · analysis, not advice

#2 OUTTAHERWAY — we make it 20.3%, the morning line works out to 17.4%. That gap is the model's opinion, not a price; pools pay the final odds, and on our records these gaps haven't paid off.

Pacewho goes to the front

Pace

Speed Duel. Three or more early-speed types. Fast pace, hot fractions — closers benefit.

Likely leader: #2 Outtaherway; pressure from #6 Flat Out Okie, #3 Chicks Night Out; the shape helps #4 Let'sgojlo; and works against #2 Outtaherway, #3 Chicks Night Out, #5 That Was Easy.

Lead

2Outtaherway906Flat Out Okie883Chicks Night Out835That Was Easy79

Press

1Annie One Sock888Gospel Darlene857Back Then Rite Now75

Stalk

none

4Let'sgojlo65

Number = last-race early-pace figure. Green border = the shape helps; red = it works against.

Early speed and closing figures, horse by horse

Early Pace · E1 figure · front runners

Outtaherway

Annie One Sock

Flat Out Okie

Gospel Darlene

Chicks Night Out

That Was Easy

Back Then Rite Now

Closing Kick · late-pace figure

Let'sgojlo

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