R6 Santa Anita Park · Maiden Claiming $50,000

1. 1Gray Thunder▼T. Pereira · S. KnappPereira · KnappA67 77 75▼▼-9@trip 779-2Fair 5-116%▼▼ Big drop -967 77 75@trip 77A▼ 2nd off a layoff after a poor return (67 vs 77)3

   Card model 16% · Fair odds 5-1 · Our #3 · Tier A · Form ▼▼ Big drop -9 · Best fig at today's trip 77 (3 tries) · Last 3 figs 67 77 75

   ▼ 2nd off a layoff after a poor return (67 vs 77)

   Jockey Tiago Pereira 31% career 2-for-28 on turf this meet (7%) · Trainer Steve Knapp 30% career 2-for-11 on turf this meet (18%)

   Also today · Jockey R5: Alpine Thunder 12-1, R7: So Cal Notte 15-1, R8: Little Jamie 10-1, R9: Lihue Princess 30-1 +1 more · Trainer R1: B Grayson 8-1, R1: Ima Track Star 6-1, R5: Tapalo 10-1, R7: Trojans Forever 12-1 +3 more

   Class relief: maiden special weight last time, maiden claiming $50,000 today. Prime Power, the Brisnet rating, puts it on top of this field.

   EVEN PACE Real pressure up front should bring the pace back to it.

   WORKS LIGHT Thin work schedule next to this field: 1 work in 30d, last one 26d ago

   RECORD 0 wins, 1 on the board from 3 starts here

   Last three races

   Date	Trk	Dist	Class	Finish	Fig	Odds	Eq	Trip
   10/16	SA	1m T	sMdSpWt	7th/8 -4¼L	67	14-1	b L	3deep;3-2wd;weakened
   5/9	SA	1m T	sMdSpWt	3rd/6 -2L	77	2.5-1	L	Bmpd st;ins-2w;mvd out
   1/19	SA	1m T	sMdSpWt	5th/11 -5¼L	75	26-1	L	Off slow;altrd out 3/8

2. 2ShapovalLSE. Esquivel · P. MillerEsquivel · MillerB47 79 67▼▼-25↕@trip 818-1Fair 8-110%▼▼ Big drop -2547 79 67 ↕@trip 81BLS

   Card model 10% · Fair odds 8-1 · Our #4 · Tier B · Form ▼▼ Big drop -25 · ↕ Up-and-down figures 47–79 · Best fig at today's trip 81 (5 tries) · Last 3 figs 47 79 67

   LS

   Longshot read: 8-1 on the morning line, and the model has it at 10% against a line of 9%. A read, not a bet.

   Jockey Emmanuel Esquivel 36% career · Trainer Peter Miller 30% career ★ 6-for-24 on turf this meet (25%) ★ hot

   Also today · Jockey R2: Royal Pearl 2-1, R4: One Last Strike 6-1, R7: Ryne Sandberg 20-1, R8: Ambaya 4-1 +1 more · Trainer R7: Swift Appeal 5-2, R8: Mo' Em Down 15-1, R9: Palo Alto Baby 15-1

   CLASS DROP4 WORKS IN 30 DAYS

   Last race was on the dirt; today it runs on the turf. Moves up from maiden claiming $12,500 to maiden claiming $50,000.

   PACE CHALLENGE Has early speed but company on the front end. (early-speed points: 2)

   WORKS SHARP Fit-looking prep next to these rivals: 4 works in 30d, last 7d ago

   RECORD 0 wins, 3 on the board from 7 starts here

   Last three races

   Date	Trk	Dist	Class	Finish	Fig	Odds	Eq	Trip
   9/19	LRC	1m D	sMd12500v	9th/9 -9½L	47	3.2-1	b L	Stalked inside;eased
   9/3	DMR	1 1/16 T	sMd50000	4th/9 -2L	79	4.3-1	b L	Ins;tip3w;bid;no kick
   7/19	WO	7½f T	Moc40000	5th/8 -7L	67	3.0-1	b L	Toss head brk;4-5w 2nd

3. 3Hammerbarn▼A. Escobedo · R. HansonEscobedo · HansonC66 72@trip 6612-1Fair 15-16%—66 72@trip 66C▼ Best fig 72 is 5+ under today's par 79

   Card model 6% · Fair odds 15-1 · Our #6 · Tier C · Best fig at today's trip 66 (1 tries) · Last 3 figs 66 72

   ▼ Best fig 72 is 5+ under today's par 79

   Jockey Adrian Escobedo 36% career 0-for-7 on turf this meet · Trainer Ryan Hanson 37% career 1-for-12 on turf this meet (8%) ★ hot

   Also today · Jockey R5: Arkadelphia 30-1 · Trainer R3: Believer 20-1, R7: Freddie Blassie 6-1

   8th last time, 8¾ lengths back, in a field of 10. A 72 top number against a 79 par, so it fits the level.

   PACE CHALLENGE No style on record, so the setup says little about it.

   WORKS LIGHT Thin work schedule next to this field: 2 works in 30d, last one 10d ago

   Last three races

   Date	Trk	Dist	Class	Finish	Fig	Odds	Eq	Trip
   9/26	SA	1m T	sMd50000	8th/10 -8¾L	66	68-1	b L	Hop st;rank;pulled
   9/3	DMR	1 1/16 T	sMd50000	7th/9 -7¾L	72	41-1	b L	Step slow;2w;2-3w;wknd

4. 4Desert Hawk▼A. Ayuso · J. Hernandez Jr.Ayuso · Hernandez Jr.C58 70 63▼▼-11@trip 7030-1Fair 50-12%▼▼ Big drop -1158 70 63@trip 70C▼ Best fig 73 is 5+ under today's par 79

   Card model 2% · Fair odds 50-1 · Our #9 · Tier C · Form ▼▼ Big drop -11 · Best fig at today's trip 70 (4 tries) · Last 3 figs 58 70 63

   ▼ Best fig 73 is 5+ under today's par 79

   Jockey Armando Ayuso 31% career 2-for-46 on turf this meet (4%) · Trainer Jose Jr Hernandez 31% career 0-for-1 on turf this meet

   Also today · Jockey R1: Hard To Figure 7-2, R2: Rosaura 7-2, R3: Early Encore 2-5, R4: Dr. Filkins 7-5 +5 more · Trainer R5: Alpine Thunder 12-1

   Switches from dirt to turf. 0 for 4 at today's distance.

   EVEN PACE With the front end pressed, the late run has something to run at.

   WORKS LIGHT Few works lately, 0 works in 30d and the last 57 days ago

   RECORD 0 wins, 2 on the board from 7 starts here

   Last three races

   Date	Trk	Dist	Class	Finish	Fig	Odds	Eq	Trip
   10/9	SA	1m D	sMd12500	6th/8 -4L	58	7.9-1	b L	4-3wd;3wd;weakened
   9/19	LRC	1m D	sMd12500	5th/9 -5½L	70	8.0-1	b L	Bpd st;3w;2-3w;flatten
   8/13	DMR	1m D	sMd12500	5th/10 -3¼L	63	4.4-1	b L	3wd;2wd;evenly late

5. 5Milken CookiesJ. Spencer · P. DamatoSpencer · DamatoA76 665-2Fair 3-126%—76 66A1

   Card model 26% · Fair odds 3-1 · Our #1 · Tier A · Last 3 figs 76 66

   Jockey J P Spencer 14% career 1-for-10 on turf this meet (10%) · Trainer Philip Damato

   Also today · Jockey R2: D'Yquem 7-5, R4: Low Key Cool 7-2, R8: Miss Nightfall 3-1, R9: You Trust Me 30-1 +1 more · Trainer R2: Lucille B 12-1, R4: Low Key Cool 7-2, R8: Lady In Paris 15-1

   4 WORKS IN 30 DAYS★ FASTEST WORK

   Off 58 days since the last start. Fastest 5F work of its morning on Oct 25 (1:00.80), a sign it is training forwardly.

   PACE HELPS Sits just off the speed with pace in front to run at.

   WORKS SHARP 5f in 1:00.80 on Oct 25 was the best time at that distance that morning; 4 works in 30d

   Last three races

   Date	Trk	Dist	Class	Finish	Fig	Odds	Eq	Trip
   9/3	DMR	1 1/16 T	sMd50000	6th/9 -4L	76	7.1-1	b L	2wd;2-4wd;weakened
   6/7	SA	6f T	sMdSpWt	7th/10 -5¾L	66	5.0-1	b L	Tight early;svd ground

6. 6Joe Vittori▲A. Aguilar · J. ValdezAguilar · ValdezB79 56 42▲▲+2720-1Fair 20-14%▲▲ Big jump +27 · career best79 56 42B▲ Last fig 79 at/above par 79

   Card model 4% · Fair odds 20-1 · Our #7 · Tier B · Form ▲▲ Big jump +27 · career best · Last 3 figs 79 56 42

   ▲ Last fig 79 at/above par 79

   Jockey Armando Aguilar 30% career 2-for-15 on turf this meet (13%) · Trainer Jose R Valdez 21% career 0-for-2 on turf this meet

   Also today · Jockey R1: Hey Brother 10-1, R4: Wasting Aces 20-1, R5: Doo Wop Don 4-1, R7: Swift Appeal 5-2 +2 more

   ◆ NOTE · TRIP TROUBLE0/3 board here

   Goes a mile after running 6 furlongs last time. Has moved up each time out, 42 to 56 to 79.

   PACE CHALLENGE No style on record, so the setup says little about it.

   WORKS Steady, unremarkable work pattern: 2 works in 30d, last 5d back

   RECORD Not on the board in 3 starts here

   Last three races

   Date	Trk	Dist	Class	Finish	Fig	Odds	Eq	Trip
   10/10	SA	6f T	sMdSpWt	4th/9 -4½L	79	27-1	b L	3deep;came in/bpd3/8
   9/13	LRC	6f D	sMd50000	5th/7 -7½L	56	25-1	b L	4deep;3-2w;no threat
   8/2	LA	4.54545f D	MSW	2nd/6 -4½L	—	4.6-1	b L	Bpd st;2p;earned 2nd

7. 7Papa SantosT. Baze · D. DunhamBaze · DunhamB64 75 76▼▼-108-1Fair 12-17%▼▼ Big drop -1064 75 76B

   Card model 7% · Fair odds 12-1 · Our #5 · Tier B · Form ▼▼ Big drop -10 · Last 3 figs 64 75 76

   Jockey T C Baze 27% career 3-for-21 on turf this meet (14%) · Trainer Daniel Dunham 26% career 0-for-5 on turf this meet

   Also today · Jockey R1: Soi Ngern 15-1, R3: Believer 20-1, R4: Chalky's Gold 10-1, R5: Joey Brackets 30-1 +2 more

   Figures have slipped: 76, 75, 64 over its last three. A longer trip: 5½ furlongs last out, a mile today.

   PACE HELPS Stalks an honestly pressed pace from a good spot.

   TROUBLED TRIP Ran into trouble last out (Rough st; 3w-ins; swung), and the figure already reflects it.

   WORKS LIGHT Thin work schedule next to this field: 2 works in 30d, last one 7d ago

   RECORD 0 wins, 1 on the board from 3 starts here

   Last three races

   Date	Trk	Dist	Class	Finish	Fig	Odds	Eq	Trip
   10/2	SA	5½f D	sMd50000	5th/8 -5½L	64	6.1-1	L	Rough st;3w-ins;swung
   8/13	DMR	6f D	sMdSpWt	5th/11 -6½L	75	8.6-1	L	2-3w;angled out 1/8
   7/5	LRC	5½f D	sMdSpWt	2nd/11 -4½L	76	9.7-1	L	Bpd st;2wd;up for 2nd

8. 8Wicked SpudD. Lopez · A. SaavedraLopez · SaavedraC62 72 76▼▼-1030-1Fair 50-12%▼▼ Big drop -1062 72 76C

   Card model 2% · Fair odds 50-1 · Our #10 · Tier C · Form ▼▼ Big drop -10 · Last 3 figs 62 72 76

   Jockey David Carlos Lopez 36% career · Trainer Anthony K Saavedra 20% career 1-for-1 on turf this meet

   Also today · Trainer R10: In The Tank 10-1

   Maiden through 7 starts. A step up in company: maiden claiming $12,500 before, maiden claiming $50,000 today.

   EVEN PACE Real pressure up front should bring the pace back to it.

   WORKS Routine prep: 2 works in 30d, last 6d ago

   Last three races

   Date	Trk	Dist	Class	Finish	Fig	Odds	Eq	Trip
   10/9	SA	1m D	sMd12500	3rd/8 -6½L	62	6.9-1	b L	Ins;2w;angled widest
   9/5	DMR	6½f D	sMdSpWt	6th/10 -14L	72	81-1	b L	5wide;pass tired rvls
   8/20	DMR	6f D	sMd12500	4th/12 -9½L	76	70-1	b L	Brk out/bpd;2w;angled

9. 9Henie in Black▼R. Gonzalez · B. GalvinGonzalez · GalvinC5615-1Fair 20-14%—56C▼ Best fig 56 is 5+ under today's par 79

   Card model 4% · Fair odds 20-1 · Our #8 · Tier C · Last 3 figs 56

   ▼ Best fig 56 is 5+ under today's par 79

   Jockey Ricardo Gonzalez 33% career 0-for-24 on turf this meet (0%) · Trainer Brendan W Galvin 20% career 0-for-7 on turf this meet

   Also today · Jockey R1: Ima Track Star 6-1, R2: Lucille B 12-1, R8: As Catch Can 20-1, R10: Prince Dolce 4-1 · Trainer R4: Bello Rosso 20-1

   4 WORKS IN 30 DAYS

   A 56 is the high figure lately, short of the 79 par. Beaten 20 lengths for 10th in a 10-horse maiden special weight race at DMR.

   PACE CHALLENGE No running style on file yet, so the pace shape can't be applied to it.

   WORKS SHARP Active work pattern for this group, 4 works in 30d and the last 7d back

   Last three races

   Date	Trk	Dist	Class	Finish	Fig	Odds	Eq	Trip
   9/5	DMR	6½f D	sMdSpWt	10th/10 -20L	56	72-1	L	Brk in/bmpd; 4-2-3wide

10. 10Doing Time▲★A. Lezcano · F. RondanLezcano · RondanA79 81 86▼-5≡@trip 842-1Fair 7-222%▼ Down -579 81 86 ≡@trip 84A▲ Last fig 79 at/above par 79★ Best at the trip 842

    Card model 22% · Fair odds 7-2 · Our #2 · Tier A · Form ▼ Down -5 · ≡ Steady figures 79–86 · Best fig at today's trip 84 (6 tries) · Last 3 figs 79 81 86

    ▲ Last fig 79 at/above par 79★ Best at the trip 84

    Jockey Abel Lezcano 33% career 1-for-9 on turf this meet (11%) · Trainer Felix Rondan 21% career 0-for-2 on turf this meet

    Also today · Jockey R3: Cupid Cowboy 20-1, R4: Gato Volador 30-1, R8: Raw Ability 12-1

    3 WORKS IN 30 DAYS

    Best Brisnet figure in the field over its last five: 86, with 79 next best. Winless in 9 starts at this distance.

    EVEN PACE Honest early fractions give a closer a fair shot late.

    WORKS SHARP One of the busier work schedules here: 3 works in 30d, last 6d ago

    RECORD 0 wins, 3 on the board from 10 starts here

    Last three races

    Date	Trk	Dist	Class	Finish	Fig	Odds	Eq	Trip
    9/26	SA	1m T	sMd50000	3rd/10 -1L	79	3.3-1	b L	Btw 2w-ins;outkicked
    9/7	DMR	1m T	sMdSpWt	3rd/8 -3½L	81	6.8-1	b L	Lack room/chck past1/4
    8/16	DMR	1 1/16 T	sMdSpWt	3rd/6 -1½L	86	14-1	b L	Bpd early;ins;no match

▲ / ▼ angle for / against · ★ best figure at the trip · LS longshot read · 1 2 3 = our top three · A B C tiers · ▲ ► ▼ form · ≡ ↕ steady / up-and-down. Tap a row for its notes, a name for the horse's page. Analysis only. Pace: #2 is the only true speed and could control it.