R1 Santa Anita Park · Optional Claiming $20,000

3:30 PM ET · 6 Furlongs Dirt · $29,000 · 8 runners3:30 PM · 6f Dirt · 8 runners

Upcoming $29K · Optional Claiming $20,000

Card modelCard model MediumFormLast 3 figsTier · angles

1Zombo BomboLSJ. Klaiber · A. AquinoKlaiber · AquinoC86 77 88►@trip 8915-1Fair 15-17%► Steady86 77 88@trip 89CLS

Card model 7% · Fair odds 15-1 · Our #6 · Tier C · Form ► Steady · Best fig at today's trip 89 (5 tries) · Last 3 figs 86 77 88

Longshot read: 15-1 on the morning line, and the model has it at 7% against a line of 5%. A read, not a bet.

Jockey Justine Klaiber 37% career · Trainer Angela M Aquino 33% career ★ hot

WON LAST

Last start was a win, in a 5-horse $12,500 claiming race at LRC at 3.5-1. Moves up from $12,500 claiming to optional claiming.

PACE HELPS The pocket behind pressure is the useful spot, and this type fits it.

WORKS LIGHT Few works lately, 2 works in 30d and the last 7 days ago

Last three races

Date	Trk	Dist	Class	Finish	Fig	Odds	Eq	Trip
9/20	LRC	5½f D	Clm 12k	Won/5 by 4½	86	3.5-1	b L	4wide into str;up late
9/6	LA	4.54545f D	Alw n1ml	6th/6 -9½L	77	2.7-1	b L	Swerved out early;empt
7/30	DMR	6f D	Clm 6k c	2nd/10	88	1.8-1	b L	Duel insd 2x;lost nod

2See Through It▲H. Berrios · G. VallejoBerrios · VallejoA90 92 87►≡@trip 862-1Fair 5-228%► Steady90 92 87 ≡@trip 86A▲ Last fig 90 at/above par 901

Card model 28% · Fair odds 5-2 · Our #1 · Tier A · Form ► Steady · ≡ Steady figures 87–92 · Best fig at today's trip 86 (2 tries) · Last 3 figs 90 92 87

▲ Last fig 90 at/above par 90

Jockey Hector Isaac Berrios 34% career 2-for-8 on dirt this meet (25%) · Trainer Genaro Vallejo 24% career 0-for-7 on dirt this meet

Also today · Jockey R2: Nineteen Forty Two 6-1, R3: Golden Club 5-1, R8: Bojaca Blessing 5-1, R9: Free Closer 7-2 +1 more

Best recent figure of 92 sits right around the 90 par. Finished 3rd last time in a 6-horse optional claiming race at LRC.

PACE HELPS The pocket behind pressure is the useful spot, and this type fits it.

WORKS Steady, unremarkable work pattern: 2 works in 30d, last 6d back

RECORD 0 wins, 2 on the board from 5 starts here

Last three races

Date	Trk	Dist	Class	Finish	Fig	Odds	Eq	Trip
9/20	LRC	6½f D	sOC20000n1xv	3rd/6	90	0.4-1	L	Chased 4wd; willngly
9/7	DMR	6½f D	Alw s	2nd/11 -4½L	92	4.0-1	L	2-4wide;rallied for2nd
8/1	DMR	6½f D	OC 50k n1x	8th/9 -8L	87	21-1	L	5wd into str;no factor

3Hard to Figure▲A. Ayuso · R. EllisAyuso · EllisA90 99 85►@trip 887-2Fair 5-117%► Steady90 99 85@trip 88A▲ Last fig 90 at/above par 903

Card model 17% · Fair odds 5-1 · Our #3 · Tier A · Form ► Steady · Best fig at today's trip 88 (3 tries) · Last 3 figs 90 99 85

▲ Last fig 90 at/above par 90

Jockey Armando Ayuso 31% career 6-for-43 on dirt this meet (14%) · Trainer Ronald W Ellis 29% career 0-for-2 on dirt this meet

Also today · Jockey R2: Rosaura 7-2, R3: Early Encore 2-5, R4: Dr. Filkins 7-5, R5: Tapalo 10-1 +5 more

◆ NOTE · TRIP TROUBLE3 WORKS IN 30 DAYS★ FASTEST WORK

Class relief: allowance last time, optional claiming today. Owns the highest recent figure here at 99.

PACE HELPS Sits just off the speed with pace in front to run at.

TROUBLED TRIP Checked 7/16; 2wd-ins last out; the speed figure already reflects it.

WORKS SHARP Fastest work of the morning on Oct 25 (5F in :59.60), 3 works in 30d

RECORD 1 win, 3 on the board from 8 starts here

Last three races

Date	Trk	Dist	Class	Finish	Fig	Odds	Eq	Trip
9/7	DMR	6½f D	Alw s	4th/11 -5½L	90	4.5-1	b L	Checked 7/16;2wd-ins
8/23	DMR	1m D	Clm 20k c	Won/7	99	2.7-1	b L	Met bid;turned awy foe
7/17	DMR	1m D	Clm 16k c	4th/9	85	1.2-1	b L	Speed;yielded midstr

4B GraysonK. Frey · S. KnappFrey · KnappB87 85 78▲+4@trip 898-1Fair 12-18%▲ Up +487 85 78@trip 89B

Card model 8% · Fair odds 12-1 · Our #5 · Tier B · Form ▲ Up +4 · Best fig at today's trip 89 (4 tries) · Last 3 figs 87 85 78

Jockey Kyle Frey 28% career ★ 9-for-34 on dirt this meet (26%), #3 of 24 · Trainer Steve Knapp 30% career 1-for-27 on dirt this meet (4%)

Also today · Jockey R3: The Moe Show 20-1, R4: Bello Rosso 20-1, R5: Dirty Words 2-1, R7: Beat The Man 10-1 +3 more · Trainer this race: Ima Track Star 6-1, R5: Tapalo 10-1, R6: Gray Thunder 9-2, R7: Trojans Forever 12-1 +3 more

3 WORKS IN 30 DAYSWON LAST3/6 board here

Steve Knapp takes over the training from Lorenzo Campuzano. Figures are climbing: 78, 85, 87 over its last three.

EVEN PACE Real pressure up front should bring the pace back to it.

WORKS SHARP One of the busier work schedules here: 3 works in 30d, last 7d ago

RECORD 2 wins, 3 on the board from 6 starts here

Last three races

Date	Trk	Dist	Class	Finish	Fig	Odds	Eq	Trip
9/26	SA	6½f D	Clm 16k c	Won/5 by nk	87	2.4-1	L	Btwn;re-rally ins;clr
9/11	LRC	5½f D	Clm 20k n3l	Won/8	85	4.1-1	L	5-7w;rallied;best late
8/15	DMR	6f D	Clm 20k n3l	2nd/6 -14L	78	2.1-1	L	Climb;2-5wd;best rest

5Sendit Mo▲D. Van · G. PapaprodromouVan · PapaprodromouA85 86 96►↕@trip 893-1Fair 7-222%► Steady85 86 96 ↕@trip 89A▲ Lone speed on early pace2

Card model 22% · Fair odds 7-2 · Our #2 · Tier A · Form ► Steady · ↕ Up-and-down figures 68–96 · Best fig at today's trip 89 (3 tries) · Last 3 figs 85 86 96

▲ Lone speed on early pace

Jockey Dyke Drayden Van 1-for-18 on dirt this meet (6%) · Trainer George Papaprodromou 34% career 4-for-23 on dirt this meet (17%)

Also today · Jockey R5: Check's On The Way 6-1, R7: One Punch Wonder 8-1, R8: May Day Ready 5-1, R9: Beautiful Dawn 15-1 +1 more · Trainer R3: Empire Of Ash 15-1, R7: Beat The Man 10-1, R7: One Punch Wonder 8-1, R9: Ms Grainger Danger 30-1

4 WORKS IN 30 DAYS3/6 board here

Trending the wrong way on speed, 96 to 86 to 85. Was running in allowance; today's optional claiming is an easier level on paper.

PACE CHALLENGE Pressured on the lead; getting clear early matters. (early-speed points: 7)

WORKS SHARP Fit-looking prep next to these rivals: 4 works in 30d, last 6d ago

RECORD 1 win, 3 on the board from 6 starts here

Last three races

Date	Trk	Dist	Class	Finish	Fig	Odds	Eq	Trip
9/7	DMR	6½f D	Alw s	5th/11 -2L	85	6.8-1	b L	Challenged1/4;weakened
8/27	DMR	6½f D	Clm 50k	2nd/5 -4½L	86	4.5-1	b L	Closest 2wd; clear 2nd
7/23	DMR	5½f D	Clm 16k c	Won/7	96	0.8-1	b L	Sped clear; kept busy

6Ima Track StarR. Gonzalez · S. KnappGonzalez · KnappB87 80 93►@trip 876-1Fair 6-114%► Steady87 80 93@trip 87B

Card model 14% · Fair odds 6-1 · Our #4 · Tier B · Form ► Steady · Best fig at today's trip 87 (2 tries) · Last 3 figs 87 80 93

Jockey Ricardo Gonzalez 33% career 2-for-11 on dirt this meet (18%) · Trainer Steve Knapp 30% career 1-for-27 on dirt this meet (4%)

Also today · Jockey R2: Lucille B 12-1, R6: Henie In Black 15-1, R8: As Catch Can 20-1, R10: Prince Dolce 4-1 · Trainer this race: B Grayson 8-1, R5: Tapalo 10-1, R6: Gray Thunder 9-2, R7: Trojans Forever 12-1 +3 more

★ FASTEST WORKWON LAST2/4 board here

Changes barns, from Tim Yakteen to Steve Knapp. Winner of a 5-horse $20,000 claiming race at SA last time.

PACE HELPS Sits just off the speed with pace in front to run at.

WORKS LIGHT Few works lately, 2 works in 30d and the last 22 days ago

RECORD 2 wins, 2 on the board from 4 starts here

Last three races

Date	Trk	Dist	Class	Finish	Fig	Odds	Eq	Trip
10/16	SA	6f D	Clm 20k n3lc	Won/5	87	0.6-1	b L	Outsd;clear turn;ins
9/11	LRC	5½f D	Clm 20k n3lc	3rd/8 -1L	80	1.0-1	b L	Lost footing st;4-6wd
8/8	DMR	5½f D	Clm 12k n2lc	Won/8 by 1	93	1.3-1	b L	Ins-2w;wore down rival

7Soi Ngern▲T. Baze · V. BrinkerhoffBaze · BrinkerhoffC82 76 87►@trip 8215-1Fair 20-14%► Steady82 76 87@trip 82C▲ Rider upgrade (20% vs 12%) cutting back to a sprint

Card model 4% · Fair odds 20-1 · Our #7 · Tier C · Form ► Steady · Best fig at today's trip 82 (2 tries) · Last 3 figs 82 76 87

▲ Rider upgrade (20% vs 12%) cutting back to a sprint

Jockey T C Baze 27% career ★ 6-for-22 on dirt this meet (27%), #1 of 24 · Trainer Val Brinkerhoff 22% career 2-for-15 on dirt this meet (13%)

Also today · Jockey R3: Believer 20-1, R4: Chalky's Gold 10-1, R5: Joey Brackets 30-1, R6: Papa Santos 8-1 +2 more

★ FASTEST WORK3/6 board here

Cuts back from a mile to 6 furlongs. Picks up 4 pounds from its last start.

PACE HELPS The pocket behind pressure is the useful spot, and this type fits it.

WORKS LIGHT Light on works against these rivals (0 works in 30d, last 40d back)

RECORD 2 wins, 3 on the board from 6 starts here

Last three races

Date	Trk	Dist	Class	Finish	Fig	Odds	Eq	Trip
10/2	SA	1m D	Clm 20k	4th/6 -3L	82	7.0-1	b L	Vie ins;chsd;churnd on
9/7	DMR	6½f D	Alw s	8th/11 -9½L	76	23-1	b L	Crowded early; inside
7/30	DMR	1m D	Clm 16k n3l	Won/9	87	3.8-1	b L	2w;bid1/4;clear;lasted

8Hey BrotherA. Aguilar · L. BarocioAguilar · BarocioB87 81 88►≡@trip 8810-1<1%► Steady87 81 88 ≡@trip 88B

Card model <1% · Our #8 · Tier B · Form ► Steady · ≡ Steady figures 81–90 · Best fig at today's trip 88 (4 tries) · Last 3 figs 87 81 88

Jockey Armando Aguilar 30% career 4-for-28 on dirt this meet (14%) · Trainer Librado Barocio 29% career 0-for-1 on dirt this meet

Also today · Jockey R4: Wasting Aces 20-1, R5: Doo Wop Don 4-1, R6: Joe Vittori 20-1, R7: Swift Appeal 5-2 +2 more · Trainer R5: Wizard Of Westwood 15-1

60D LAYOFF5/7 board here

Returns from a 105-day break, the biggest in the field. Was 7th of 7 at the first call last time.

PACE HELPS The pocket behind pressure is the useful spot, and this type fits it.

WORKS Steady, unremarkable work pattern: 2 works in 30d, last 6d back

RECORD 2 wins, 5 on the board from 7 starts here

Last three races

Date	Trk	Dist	Class	Finish	Fig	Odds	Eq	Trip
7/18	DMR	6f D	Clm 25k	4th/7 -5¾L	87	10-1	b L	2-3wide; improved
7/3	LRC	5½f D	OC 25k	5th/7 -9L	81	3.6-1	b L	Shuffled early; inside
6/12	SA	6f D	OC 32k	3rd/7 -4L	88	6.4-1	b L	Mild trffc turn;hld3rd

▲ / ▼ angle for / against · ★ best figure at the trip · LS longshot read · 1 2 3 = our top three · A B C tiers · ▲ ► ▼ form · ≡ ↕ steady / up-and-down. Tap a row for its notes, a name for the horse's page. Analysis only. Pace: fast and contested (6 early types). Helps stalkers and closers.

How to read these marks

1 2 3: Our top three by the card model's win chance. Tap “Our order” to sort by it.
Win %, Fair: The card model's chance to win, and the odds that chance works out to with no takeout. Fair is green when the model rates the horse above its morning line (the line scaled to add up to 100%).
Tier A B C ?: The field ranked on recent speed figures and the morning line together: A = top three, B = next three, C = the rest, ? = no figures yet.
71 60 72: Last three speed figures, newest first. “@trip 75” = best figure at today's distance (within 30 yards) on this surface.
▲▲ ▲ ► ▼ ▼▼: Form: last figure against the average of the three before it. ▲ = up 3 or more, ▲▲ = up 8 or more, ► = within 3, ▼ / ▼▼ = down. The number is the difference.
≡ ↕: ≡ steady: the last four figures sit close together. ↕ up-and-down: they swing widely.
★: Best figure in the field at today's distance and surface, from two or more tries, not tied. When that horse isn't in our top three it gets a “Distance horse” note above the field.
▲ ▼ chips: Handicapping angles for or against the horse. LS = longshot read: 8-1 or more on the morning line and the model rates it higher than that line.

These marks describe the past performances. None of them is proven to beat the odds: in our test of 100 handicapping angles, nothing did better than the final odds, and the morning-line favourite wins more races than our top-ranked horse. Read them as notes, not as a reason to bet.

Race conditions and our readpace, conditions, story

SANTA ANITA PARK · RACE 1

UPCOMING

Optional Claiming $20,000

Field

8 runners

Purse

$29,000

Post

3:30 PM ET

Pace

Pressed Pace

Card model top pick

#2 · 28%

Claiming $20,000, for 3-year-olds and up.

Claiming race — every starter can be bought for the claiming price out of the race, so owners risk losing a horse that's clearly best. That keeps the field evenly matched on ability.

● Track record at 6 Furlongs: 66.98

The shape is the story here: there's little established early speed, so a tactical horse can control soft fractions up front and prove hard to run down.

Our number tops on #2 See Through It (a presser/stalker, M/L 2-1). Recent figures: 90 · 92 · 87. It hit the board last time and stays in form. Backup is #5 Sendit Mo at 3-1. Use #3 Hard To Figure in exotic structures.

What would change our mind: a key scratch that reshapes the early pace, a sharp turf-to-dirt or surface switch off the rail, or live money showing up on a horse the board had dismissed. Watch the tote late.

At a glance: model vs the morning line

At a glance

Market favourite #2 SEE THROUGH IT (2-1) — our number agrees.
#2 SEE THROUGH IT — our top number on the card, about right at the windows (27.9% to their 26.1%).
#5 SENDIT MO — our #2 number, about right at the windows (21.2% to their 19.6%).
#3 HARD TO FIGURE — our #3 number, about right at the windows (19.2% to their 17.4%).

Model vs the morning line · analysis, not advice

The model and the morning line roughly agree on this field.

Pacewho goes to the front

Pace

Pressed Pace. Speed under pressure from multiple pressers. Likely honest pace, slight closer benefit.

Likely leader: #5 Sendit Mo; pressure from #6 Ima Track Star, #1 Zombo Bombo; the shape helps #1 Zombo Bombo, #2 See Through It, #3 Hard To Figure; and works against #5 Sendit Mo.

Lead

5Sendit Mo99

Press

6Ima Track Star921Zombo Bombo883Hard To Figure877Soi Ngern868Hey Brother86

Stalk

2See Through It89

4B Grayson87

Number = last-race early-pace figure. Green border = the shape helps; red = it works against.

Early speed and closing figures, horse by horse

Early Pace · E1 figure · front runners

Sendit Mo

Ima Track Star

See Through It

Zombo Bombo

Hard To Figure

Soi Ngern

Hey Brother

Closing Kick · late-pace figure

B Grayson

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