R9 Santa Anita Park · Gld St Juvenile F.

1. 1You Trust Me▼J. Spencer · S. CallaghanSpencer · CallaghanC78 70 59▲▲+16↕30-1<1%▲▲ Big jump +16 · career best78 70 59 ↕C▼ Best fig 78 is 5+ under today's par 84

   Card model <1% · Our #12 · Tier C · Form ▲▲ Big jump +16 · career best · ↕ Up-and-down figures 56–78 · Last 3 figs 78 70 59

   ▼ Best fig 78 is 5+ under today's par 84

   Jockey J P Spencer 14% career · Trainer Simon Callaghan 28% career 1-for-3 on dirt this meet

   Also today · Jockey R2: D'Yquem 7-5, R4: Low Key Cool 7-2, R6: Milken Cookies 5-2, R8: Miss Nightfall 3-1 +1 more

   Moves up from optional claiming to stakes nongraded. 3rd last time, 2 lengths back, in a field of 8.

   EVEN PACE Lands behind the duel without having to be part of it.

   WORKS LIGHT Thin work schedule next to this field: 2 works in 30d, last one 6d ago

   Last three races

   Date	Trk	Dist	Class	Finish	Fig	Odds	Eq	Trip
   10/3	SA	6½f D	fsOC50000n1x	3rd/8 -2L	78	23-1		Ins-3w;shifted in uppr
   9/4	DMR	6f D	fsGenPortinB100k	4th/8 -4¾L	70	40-1		Stmbld;ins-2w;mildly
   8/2	DMR	5½f D	fsCTBAB100k	5th/6 -10L	59	18-1		Brk in/bpd;2-3w;tired

2. 2Beautiful DawnLSD. Van · A. OrdonezVan · OrdonezB83 7915-1Fair 15-16%—83 79BLS

   Card model 6% · Fair odds 15-1 · Our #5 · Tier B · Last 3 figs 83 79

   LS

   Longshot read: 15-1 on the morning line, and the model has it at 6% against a line of 5%. A read, not a bet.

   Jockey Dyke Drayden Van 1-for-18 on dirt this meet (6%) · Trainer Aggie Ordonez 24% career 1-for-11 on dirt this meet (9%)

   Also today · Jockey R1: Sendit Mo 3-1, R5: Check's On The Way 6-1, R7: One Punch Wonder 8-1, R8: May Day Ready 5-1 +1 more · Trainer R10: None Above The Law 8-1

   A step up in company: optional claiming before, stakes nongraded today. Finished 2nd in an 8-horse optional claiming race at SA, beaten ½ length.

   EVEN PACE Lands behind the duel without having to be part of it.

   WORKS LIGHT Few works lately, 2 works in 30d and the last 6 days ago

   Last three races

   Date	Trk	Dist	Class	Finish	Fig	Odds	Eq	Trip
   10/3	SA	6½f D	fsOC50000n1x	2nd/8 -½L	83	1.1-1	b	Bid4-3deep;duel str
   8/30	DMR	6f D	fsMdSpWt	Won/10	79	7.1-1	b	Rail bid5/16;kck clear

3. 3Lihue Princess▼T. Pereira · S. KnappPereira · KnappC79 62 62▲▲+1730-1Fair 50-12%▲▲ Big jump +17 · career best79 62 62C▼ Best fig 79 is 5+ under today's par 84

   Card model 2% · Fair odds 50-1 · Our #8 · Tier C · Form ▲▲ Big jump +17 · career best · Last 3 figs 79 62 62

   ▼ Best fig 79 is 5+ under today's par 84

   Jockey Tiago Pereira 31% career ★ 7-for-33 on dirt this meet (21%) · Trainer Steve Knapp 30% career 1-for-27 on dirt this meet (4%)

   Also today · Jockey R5: Alpine Thunder 12-1, R6: Gray Thunder 9-2, R7: So Cal Notte 15-1, R8: Little Jamie 10-1 +1 more · Trainer R1: B Grayson 8-1, R1: Ima Track Star 6-1, R5: Tapalo 10-1, R6: Gray Thunder 9-2 +3 more

   WON LAST

   Goes 7 furlongs after running 5½ furlongs last time. Winner of a 7-horse maiden claiming $50,000 race at SA last time.

   PACE CHALLENGE Has to fight for the lead against company, and the fractions may cost it late. (early-speed points: 3)

   WORKS LIGHT Thin work schedule next to this field: 2 works in 30d, last one 7d ago

   RECORD 1 win, 1 on the board from 3 starts here

   Last three races

   Date	Trk	Dist	Class	Finish	Fig	Odds	Eq	Trip
   10/10	SA	5½f D	fsMd50000	Won/7	79	3.5-1	b	Ins;clr;turn awy foe
   8/28	DMR	1m T	fsMdSpWt	6th/10 -8¼L	62	39-1	b	3wd;3-2wd;no menace
   7/17	DMR	5f D	fsMdSpWt	6th/10 -5L	62	28-1	b	Stalked 4-5wd;no rally

4. 4Ms Grainger Danger▼K. Frey · G. PapaprodromouFrey · PapaprodromouC77 72 53▲▲+1430-1Fair 50-12%▲▲ Big jump +14 · career best77 72 53C▼ Best fig 77 is 5+ under today's par 84

   Card model 2% · Fair odds 50-1 · Our #9 · Tier C · Form ▲▲ Big jump +14 · career best · Last 3 figs 77 72 53

   ▼ Best fig 77 is 5+ under today's par 84

   Jockey Kyle Frey 28% career ★ 9-for-34 on dirt this meet (26%), #3 of 24 · Trainer George Papaprodromou 34% career 4-for-23 on dirt this meet (17%)

   Also today · Jockey R1: B Grayson 8-1, R3: The Moe Show 20-1, R4: Bello Rosso 20-1, R5: Dirty Words 2-1 +3 more · Trainer R1: Sendit Mo 3-1, R3: Empire Of Ash 15-1, R7: Beat The Man 10-1, R7: One Punch Wonder 8-1

   4 WORKS IN 30 DAYSWON LAST

   Last race was on the turf; today it runs on the dirt. Figures are climbing: 53, 72, 77 over its last three.

   PACE CHALLENGE One of several that want the lead, so the early work will cost something. (early-speed points: 1)

   WORKS SHARP Active work pattern for this group, 4 works in 30d and the last 6d back

   Last three races

   Date	Trk	Dist	Class	Finish	Fig	Odds	Eq	Trip
   9/7	DMR	1m T	fsMdSpWt	Won/10	77	4.7-1	b	Ins;chsd;re-bid;clear
   8/28	DMR	1m T	fsMdSpWt	5th/10 -4¼L	72	12-1		Up close2w;3deep;wknd
   7/18	DMR	5f D	fsMdSpWt	8th/9 -10L	53	3.7-1		Chased 4wide; empty

5. 5Manee▲T. Baze · G. StuteBaze · StuteB84 70 63▲▲+20↕10-1Fair 12-18%▲▲ Big jump +20 · career best84 70 63 ↕B▲ Last fig 84 at/above par 84

   Card model 8% · Fair odds 12-1 · Our #4 · Tier B · Form ▲▲ Big jump +20 · career best · ↕ Up-and-down figures 60–84 · Last 3 figs 84 70 63

   ▲ Last fig 84 at/above par 84

   Jockey T C Baze 27% career ★ 6-for-22 on dirt this meet (27%), #1 of 24 · Trainer Gary Stute 20% career 2-for-4 on dirt this meet

   Also today · Jockey R1: Soi Ngern 15-1, R3: Believer 20-1, R4: Chalky's Gold 10-1, R5: Joey Brackets 30-1 +2 more

   3 WORKS IN 30 DAYSWON LAST

   Has moved up each time out, 63 to 70 to 84. Last start was a win, in an 8-horse optional claiming race at SA at 15-1.

   EVEN PACE A stalking spot behind a contested lead is the useful one in this shape.

   WORKS SHARP Active work pattern for this group, 3 works in 30d and the last 6d back

   Last three races

   Date	Trk	Dist	Class	Finish	Fig	Odds	Eq	Trip
   10/3	SA	6½f D	fsOC50000n1x	Won/8	84	15-1	b	Rail bid3/8;led;gamely
   8/29	DMR	5f T	fsMdSpWt	Won/10	70	20-1	b	6-4deep;clear;held on
   8/8	DMR	5½f D	fsMdSpWt	5th/9 -5¾L	63	43-1	b	Chased inside;no rally

6. 6Daytona DiamondA. Ayuso · C. GainesAyuso · GainesA82 809-2Fair 5-116%—82 80A3

   Card model 16% · Fair odds 5-1 · Our #3 · Tier A · Last 3 figs 82 80

   Jockey Armando Ayuso 31% career 6-for-43 on dirt this meet (14%) · Trainer Carla Gaines 28% career

   Also today · Jockey R1: Hard To Figure 7-2, R2: Rosaura 7-2, R3: Early Encore 2-5, R4: Dr. Filkins 7-5 +5 more · Trainer R10: Stylishlyacclaimed 6-1

   3 WORKS IN 30 DAYSWON LAST

   Last start was a win, in an 8-horse race at DMR at 0.5-1. A 57-day gap since its last race.

   PACE HELPS Hot early fractions are likely, and that sets up a late run.

   TROUBLED TRIP Bad stumbl; 3w-ins-5w last out; the speed figure already reflects it.

   WORKS LIGHT Thin work schedule next to this field: 3 works in 30d, last one 10d ago

   Last three races

   Date	Trk	Dist	Class	Finish	Fig	Odds	Eq	Trip
   9/4	DMR	6f D	fsGenPortinB100k	Won/8 by 1¾	82	0.5-1		Bad stumbl;3w-ins-5w
   8/8	DMR	5½f D	fsMdSpWt	Won/9	80	11-1		Hard2load;4-2-3w;surge

7. 7Free Closer▲H. Berrios · M. McCarthyBerrios · McCarthyA79 84 88►↕@trip 847-2Fair 4-120%► Steady79 84 88 ↕@trip 84A▲ Rider upgrade (29% vs 25%) cutting back to a sprint2

   Card model 20% · Fair odds 4-1 · Our #2 · Tier A · Form ► Steady · ↕ Up-and-down figures 65–88 · Best fig at today's trip 84 (1 tries) · Last 3 figs 79 84 88

   ▲ Rider upgrade (29% vs 25%) cutting back to a sprint

   Jockey Hector Isaac Berrios 34% career 2-for-8 on dirt this meet (25%) · Trainer Michael W McCarthy 3-for-9 on dirt this meet (33%), #3 of 23

   Also today · Jockey R1: See Through It 2-1, R2: Nineteen Forty Two 6-1, R3: Golden Club 5-1, R8: Bojaca Blessing 5-1 +1 more · Trainer R2: Royal Pearl 2-1, R2: D'Yquem 7-5, R10: Poor Connection 9-2

   Cuts back from 1 1/16 miles to 7 furlongs. An 88 top number against a 84 par, so it fits the level.

   EVEN PACE Can sit just off the early fight and pick up whoever tires.

   WORKS LIGHT Few works lately, 1 work in 30d and the last 14 days ago

   Last three races

   Date	Trk	Dist	Class	Finish	Fig	Odds	Eq	Trip
   10/3	SA	1 1/16 D	OakLeaf G2	4th/6 -4L	79	6.9-1		3wd;bid3deep;faded
   9/5	DMR	7f D	DMrDeb G1	4th/9 -6½L	84	8.9-1		3-4wide; no rally
   8/2	DMR	5½f D	fsCTBAB100k	Won/6	88	0.8-1		Surge clear;geared dwn

8. 8Ember Royale▲▲A. Aguilar · J. BondeAguilar · BondeA956-5Fair 8-537%—95A▲ Last fig 95 at/above par 84▲ Lone speed on early pace1

   Card model 37% · Fair odds 8-5 · Our #1 · Tier A · Last 3 figs 95

   ▲ Last fig 95 at/above par 84▲ Lone speed on early pace

   Jockey Armando Aguilar 30% career 4-for-28 on dirt this meet (14%) · Trainer Jeff Bonde 28% career 2-for-11 on dirt this meet (18%)

   Also today · Jockey R1: Hey Brother 10-1, R4: Wasting Aces 20-1, R5: Doo Wop Don 4-1, R6: Joe Vittori 20-1 +2 more · Trainer R7: M C Dreams 6-1

   WON LAST

   Owns the highest recent figure here at 95. Raises its level, maiden special weight last time and stakes nongraded now.

   PACE CHALLENGE Early speed in a crowded front end; somebody gets worn down. (early-speed points: 6)

   WORKS LIGHT Few works lately, 2 works in 30d and the last 15 days ago

   Last three races

   Date	Trk	Dist	Class	Finish	Fig	Odds	Eq	Trip
   9/26	SA	6f D	fsMdSpWt	Won/9	95	2.9-1		Stp slw;rush up;crushd

9. 9Stay Bossy▼M. Americano · S. MiyadiAmericano · MiyadiC76 74 73▲+730-1Fair 50-12%▲ Up +7 · career best76 74 73C▼ Best fig 76 is 5+ under today's par 84

   Card model 2% · Fair odds 50-1 · Our #7 · Tier C · Form ▲ Up +7 · career best · Last 3 figs 76 74 73

   ▼ Best fig 76 is 5+ under today's par 84

   Jockey Manuel Americano 33% career 1-for-4 on dirt this meet · Trainer Steven Miyadi 28% career 5-for-14 on dirt this meet (36%), #2 of 23

   Also today · Jockey R4: Duke Of Orleans 12-1, R5: Wizard Of Westwood 15-1, R7: Calvin Graham 5-1, R10: Uncle Happy 30-1 · Trainer R3: The Moe Show 20-1, R7: Ryne Sandberg 20-1, R7: Calvin Graham 5-1

   2/3 board here

   Best recent figure is 76, well under the 84 par for this level. Moves up from optional claiming to stakes nongraded.

   PACE HELPS Hot early fractions are likely, and that sets up a late run.

   WORKS LIGHT Light on works against these rivals (2 works in 30d, last 7d back)

   RECORD 1 win, 2 on the board from 3 starts here

   Last three races

   Date	Trk	Dist	Class	Finish	Fig	Odds	Eq	Trip
   10/3	SA	6½f D	fsOC50000n1x	4th/8 -5L	76	5.7-1		2-3wide; needed more
   9/4	DMR	6f D	fsGenPortinB100k	3rd/8 -1L	74	5.9-1		2w-ins;bid btwn;flattn
   8/2	DMR	5½f D	fsCTBAB100k	2nd/6 -9½L	73	9.4-1		3-2-4w;rally;best rest

10. 10TashieV. Espinoza · A. GarciaEspinoza · GarciaC63 81 74▼▼-1430-1Fair 99-11%▼▼ Big drop -1463 81 74C

    Card model 1% · Fair odds 99-1 · Our #10 · Tier C · Form ▼▼ Big drop -14 · Last 3 figs 63 81 74

    Jockey V Espinoza 35% career 1-for-12 on dirt this meet (8%) · Trainer Antonio C Garcia 32% career 2-for-17 on dirt this meet (12%) ★ hot

    Also today · Jockey R3: Angel's Ember 6-1, R5: Kahuna Magic 30-1, R8: Lady In Paris 15-1, R10: Magnify 3-1 · Trainer R3: Angel's Ember 6-1, R5: Kahuna Magic 30-1

    Dropped in well back early last out, 7th of 8 at the first call. Raises its level, optional claiming last time and stakes nongraded now.

    EVEN PACE Can sit just off the early fight and pick up whoever tires.

    WORKS LIGHT Thin work schedule next to this field: 2 works in 30d, last one 6d ago

    Last three races

    Date	Trk	Dist	Class	Finish	Fig	Odds	Eq	Trip
    10/3	SA	6½f D	fsOC50000n1x	6th/8 -9L	63	2.0-1	b	3wd into str;no factor
    9/4	DMR	6f D	fsGenPortinB100k	2nd/8 -1¼L	81	4.6-1	b	Ins-2w;angled;outkickd
    7/18	DMR	5f D	fsMdSpWt	Won/9	74	15-1	b	Inside; drew away 1/16

11. 11Palo Alto Baby▼E. Esquivel · P. MillerEsquivel · MillerB7915-1Fair 20-15%—79B▼ Best fig 79 is 5+ under today's par 84

    Card model 5% · Fair odds 20-1 · Our #6 · Tier B · Last 3 figs 79

    ▼ Best fig 79 is 5+ under today's par 84

    Jockey Emmanuel Esquivel 36% career · Trainer Peter Miller 30% career 1-for-6 on dirt this meet ★ hot

    Also today · Jockey R2: Royal Pearl 2-1, R4: One Last Strike 6-1, R6: Shapoval 8-1, R7: Ryne Sandberg 20-1 +1 more · Trainer R6: Shapoval 8-1, R7: Swift Appeal 5-2, R8: Mo' Em Down 15-1

    60D LAYOFF4 WORKS IN 30 DAYSWON LAST

    3rd of 29 at 5F on Oct 24, in :59.80. Off 72 days since the last start.

    PACE CHALLENGE Has to fight for the lead against company, and the fractions may cost it late. (early-speed points: 6)

    WORKS SHARP One of the busier work schedules here: 4 works in 30d, last 7d ago

    Last three races

    Date	Trk	Dist	Class	Finish	Fig	Odds	Eq	Trip
    8/20	DMR	5½f D	fsMd50000	Won/9	79	2.0-1	b	Vied3deep;shook free

12. 12Strident Miss▼W. Orantes · P. CapestroOrantes · CapestroC63 70 71▼▼-830-1Fair 99-11%▼▼ Big drop -863 70 71C▼ Best fig 71 is 5+ under today's par 84

    Card model 1% · Fair odds 99-1 · Our #11 · Tier C · Form ▼▼ Big drop -8 · Last 3 figs 63 70 71

    ▼ Best fig 71 is 5+ under today's par 84

    Jockey Welfin R Orantes 27% career 2-for-12 on dirt this meet (17%) · Trainer Paula S Capestro 21% career 0-for-1 on dirt this meet

    Also today · Jockey R4: Chaotic Neutral 5-1, R7: Freddie Blassie 6-1

    3 WORKS IN 30 DAYS

    Trending the wrong way on speed, 71 to 70 to 63. Off 57 days since the last start.

    EVEN PACE Lands behind the duel without having to be part of it.

    WORKS SHARP One of the busier work schedules here: 3 works in 30d, last 7d ago

    Last three races

    Date	Trk	Dist	Class	Finish	Fig	Odds	Eq	Trip
    9/4	DMR	6f D	fsGenPortinB100k	6th/8 -3¾L	63	23-1	b	In range 2-4wd;weaknd
    8/2	DMR	5½f D	fsCTBAB100k	3rd/6 -7½L	70	9.1-1	b	Bpd;press;chsd2-3w;wkn
    7/17	DMR	5f D	fsMdSpWt	Won/10 by 1½	71	40-1	b	3-4wide; up at wire

▲ / ▼ angle for / against · ★ best figure at the trip · LS longshot read · 1 2 3 = our top three · A B C tiers · ▲ ► ▼ form · ≡ ↕ steady / up-and-down. Tap a row for its notes, a name for the horse's page. Analysis only. Pace: fast and contested (8 early types). Helps stalkers and closers.