R9 Woodbine · Maiden Claiming $7,500

1. 1Back Street Driver▼C. Douglas · M. LoveDouglas · LoveB66 58 62▲▲+1112-1Fair 15-16%▲▲ Big jump +11 · career best66 58 62B▼ Best fig 66 is 5+ under today's par 75

   Card model 6% · Fair odds 15-1 · Our #7 · Tier B · Form ▲▲ Big jump +11 · career best · Last 3 figs 66 58 62

   ▼ Best fig 66 is 5+ under today's par 75

   Jockey Christoff Douglas 14% career 10-for-76 on dirt this meet (13%) · Trainer Michelle M Love 21% career 0-for-6 on dirt this meet

   Also today · Jockey R2: Lady On The Nile 7-2, R3: Really Big Show 10-1, R4: Don't Say A Word 12-1, R5: Tanist 20-1 +3 more

   CLASS DROPJky 6/37 from post 1

   Last out was 3rd, 2 lengths behind the winner, in a 9-horse maiden claiming $7,000 race at WO. A 66 is the high figure lately, short of the 75 par.

   PACE HELPS Stalks an honestly pressed pace from a good spot.

   WORKS LIGHT Thin work schedule next to this field: 0 works in 30d, last one 43d ago

   RECORD 0 wins, 1 on the board from 7 starts here

   RECORD Christoff Douglas from post 1 here: 6 wins, 18 top-3 in 37 rides · 11% wins from all posts here

   Last three races

   Date	Trk	Dist	Class	Finish	Fig	Odds	Eq	Trip
   10/9	WO	7f D	MCL 7k	3rd/9 -2L	66	22-1	b L	Early lead;needed more
   9/25	WO	7f D	MCL 10k	5th/9 -3L	58	27-1	b L	Rail bid; faltered
   8/28	WO	1 1/16 D	MCL 10k	7th/8 -3L	62	68-1	b L	Chased far turn;wilted

2. 2AshukaL. Salles · K. PalmerSalles · PalmerB63 62 58►≡@trip 6310-1Fair 15-16%► Steady63 62 58 ≡@trip 63B

   Card model 6% · Fair odds 15-1 · Our #10 · Tier B · Form ► Steady · ≡ Steady figures 58–67 · Best fig at today's trip 63 (3 tries) · Last 3 figs 63 62 58

   Jockey Leo Salles 27% career 0-for-14 on dirt this meet (0%) · Trainer Kerron Palmer 23% career 1-for-23 on dirt this meet (4%)

   Also today · Jockey R3: Once Upon A Kiss 7-2, R5: Waheela 6-1, R8: Echo With Laughter 6-1 · Trainer R4: Metro King 20-1, R8: Armino 20-1

   Was running in maiden claiming $9,500; today's maiden claiming $7,500 is an easier level on paper. Needs to move up: the best of its last five is 67 against a 75 par.

   PACE HELPS The pocket behind pressure is the useful spot, and this type fits it.

   TROUBLED TRIP Chased; 3w btwn; 6w3/16 last out; the speed figure already reflects it.

   WORKS LIGHT Light on works against these rivals (0 works in 30d, last 40d back)

   RECORD 0 wins, 7 on the board from 16 starts here

   RECORD Leo Salles from post 2 here: 12 wins, 49 top-3 in 132 rides · 9% wins from all posts here

   Last three races

   Date	Trk	Dist	Class	Finish	Fig	Odds	Eq	Trip
   10/16	WO	6½f D	MCL 10k	5th/8 -4¾L	63	4.0-1	L	Chased;3w btwn;6w3/16
   9/26	WO	5½f D	MCL 7k	2nd/6 -6½L	62	1.6-1	L	5Wstr;full of run late
   8/16	WO	6½f D	MCL 10k	5th/7 -5¾L	58	3.9-1	b L	Hustled;push out4P1/4

3. 3Gran Ghost▼LSK. Johnson · W. TharrenosJohnson · TharrenosC57 61 63▼-6≡@trip 6312-1Fair 15-17%▼ Down -657 61 63 ≡@trip 63C▼ Best fig 64 is 5+ under today's par 75LS

   Card model 7% · Fair odds 15-1 · Our #5 · Tier C · Form ▼ Down -6 · ≡ Steady figures 57–64 · Best fig at today's trip 63 (2 tries) · Last 3 figs 57 61 63

   ▼ Best fig 64 is 5+ under today's par 75LS

   Longshot read: 12-1 on the morning line, and the model has it at 7% against a line of 6%. A read, not a bet.

   Jockey Kirk Johnson 27% career 0-for-7 on dirt this meet · Trainer William Tharrenos 35% career ★ 9-for-33 on dirt this meet (27%)

   Also today · Jockey R8: Happy Quad 20-1 · Trainer R1: Bank On Big Winner 8-1, R5: You're So Lucky 8-1, R6: Accelerando 10-1, R8: Military Force 8-1

   William Tharrenos takes over the training from Tedston Holder. Trending the wrong way on speed, 63 to 61 to 57.

   EVEN PACE Honest early fractions give a closer a fair shot late.

   TROUBLED TRIP Chased; 5w turn; faded last out; the speed figure already reflects it.

   WORKS Average work schedule for this field (1 work in 30d, last 29d ago)

   RECORD 0 wins, 1 on the board from 7 starts here

   RECORD Kirk Johnson from post 3 here: 1 win, 5 top-3 in 26 rides · 4% wins from all posts here

   Last three races

   Date	Trk	Dist	Class	Finish	Fig	Odds	Eq	Trip
   10/16	WO	6½f D	MCL 10k	8th/8 -7½L	57	10-1	b L	Chased;5w turn;faded
   10/9	WO	7f D	MCL 7k	6th/9 -5L	61	2.1-1	b L	Poor st;early move3/8
   9/18	WO	6½f D	MCL 15k	4th/7 -8¼L	63	4.8-1	b L	Swung 6-7w; ran on

4. 4SanhedrinF. Aebly · T. AttardAebly · AttardB67 61 58▲+7≡@trip 556-1Fair 8-110%▲ Up +767 61 58 ≡@trip 55B

   Card model 10% · Fair odds 8-1 · Our #4 · Tier B · Form ▲ Up +7 · ≡ Steady figures 58–67 · Best fig at today's trip 55 (1 tries) · Last 3 figs 67 61 58

   Jockey Fraser Aebly 32% career 16-for-90 on dirt this meet (18%) · Trainer Tino Attard 33% career 0-for-9 on dirt this meet (0%)

   Also today · Jockey R1: Big Lew 5-2, R2: Foxy Diva 8-1, R3: Winning Agenda 2-1, R4: Gelato 4-1 +2 more · Trainer R6: Quiet Intent 8-1, this race: Prime Rate 3-1

   CLASS DROP

   Figures are climbing: 58, 61, 67 over its last three. Still looking for the first win after 12 starts.

   EVEN PACE Honest early fractions give a closer a fair shot late.

   WORKS LIGHT Few works lately, 0 works in 30d and the last 43 days ago

   RECORD 0 wins, 4 on the board from 12 starts here

   RECORD Fraser Aebly from post 4 here: 34 wins, 105 top-3 in 265 rides · 14% wins from all posts here

   Last three races

   Date	Trk	Dist	Class	Finish	Fig	Odds	Eq	Trip
   10/9	WO	7f D	MCL 7k	2nd/9 -2½L	67	7.7-1	L	No match1/8;best rest
   9/24	WO	1m T	MCL 15k	8th/10 -8¾L	61	6.2-1	L	5wd trip; no rally
   8/28	WO	1 1/16 T	Moc25000	8th/11 -8¾L	58	10-1	L	Clip heels;stumble5/16

5. 5Lake Nasser▼R. Munger · D. BanachMunger · BanachA68 61 45▲▲+15↕@trip 685-2Fair 4-119%▲▲ Big jump +15 · career best68 61 45 ↕@trip 68A▼ Best fig 68 is 5+ under today's par 752

   Card model 19% · Fair odds 4-1 · Our #2 · Tier A · Form ▲▲ Big jump +15 · career best · ↕ Up-and-down figures 45–68 · Best fig at today's trip 68 (1 tries) · Last 3 figs 68 61 45

   ▼ Best fig 68 is 5+ under today's par 75

   Jockey Ryan Munger 30% career 7-for-39 on dirt this meet (18%) · Trainer Darwin D Banach 29% career 2-for-10 on dirt this meet (20%)

   Also today · Jockey R6: Cornwall 6-1

   CLASS DROP★ FASTEST WORK

   Class relief: maiden claiming $10,000 last time, maiden claiming $7,500 today. Maiden through 6 starts.

   PACE HELPS The pocket behind pressure is the useful spot, and this type fits it.

   TROUBLED TRIP Chart note from last time: Awkward brk; alter 5wd. A trip worth forgiving, though the number already carries it.

   WORKS SHARP 5f in :59.00 on Oct 3 was the best time at that distance that morning; 1 work in 30d

   RECORD 0 wins, 1 on the board from 6 starts here

   RECORD Ryan Munger from post 5 here: 25 wins, 82 top-3 in 194 rides · 14% wins from all posts here

   Last three races

   Date	Trk	Dist	Class	Finish	Fig	Odds	Eq	Trip
   10/16	WO	6½f D	MCL 10k	2nd/8 -4L	68	2.2-1	b L	Awkward brk;alter 5wd
   8/28	WO	7f D	MCL 15k	4th/10 -10L	61	10-1	b L	Shift 5/16;6w3/16;even
   8/15	WO	1 1/16 T	Moc40000	10th/11 -13L	45	29-1	L	Tight/alter 3-4w 5/16

6. 6Whiskytangodisco▼J. Anderson · S. BennettAnderson · BennettC60 60 59▲+420-1Fair 10-19%▲ Up +460 60 59C▼ Best fig 62 is 5+ under today's par 751

   Card model 9% · Fair odds 10-1 · Our #1 · Tier C · Form ▲ Up +4 · Last 3 figs 60 60 59

   ▼ Best fig 62 is 5+ under today's par 75

   Jockey Jodeien Anderson 22% career 0-for-8 on dirt this meet (0%) · Trainer Seymour Bennett 31% career

   Jky 2/31 from post 6

   Comes off a turf start and tries the dirt here. Goes 6½ furlongs after running -7 furlongs last time.

   EVEN PACE Real pressure up front should bring the pace back to it.

   WORKS SHARP One of the busier work schedules here: 1 work in 30d, last 10d ago

   RECORD Jodeien Anderson from post 6 here: 2 wins, 13 top-3 in 31 rides · 4% wins from all posts here

   Last three races

   Date	Trk	Dist	Class	Finish	Fig	Odds	Eq	Trip
   10/12	FE	-7f T	MCL 8k	2nd/6 -6L	60	1.9-1	b L	4-path str; no match
   9/28	FE	-7f T	MCL 8k	2nd/8 -1½L	60	4.5-1	b L	Off slow; up for place
   9/14	FE	-7f T	MCL 8k	3rd/8 -2½L	59	5.8-1	b L	Off slow; up for show

7. 7Twenty Ovas▼J. Alderson · S. RaghunathAlderson · RaghunathC50 5615-1Fair 20-15%—50 56C▼ Best fig 56 is 5+ under today's par 75

   Card model 5% · Fair odds 20-1 · Our #8 · Tier C · Last 3 figs 50 56

   ▼ Best fig 56 is 5+ under today's par 75

   Jockey Jeffrey Ian Alderson 28% career ★ 6-for-27 on dirt this meet (22%), #2 of 29 · Trainer Swaresh Raymond Raghunath 22% career 0-for-1 on dirt this meet

   Also today · Jockey R2: O Wow 3-1, R5: Celestial Heart 12-1, R7: Tranquillo 10-1, R8: Volcanic 10-1

   60D LAYOFFCLASS UP

   New trainer: Abraham R Katryan had it last time, Swaresh Raymond Raghunath now. Last race was on the turf; today it runs on the dirt.

   PACE CHALLENGE No running style on file yet, so the pace shape can't be applied to it.

   TROUBLED TRIP Ran into trouble last out (Brk out; push out5W5/16), and the figure already reflects it.

   WORKS SHARP Fit-looking prep next to these rivals: 1 work in 30d, last 6d ago

   RECORD Jeffrey Ian Alderson from post 7 here: 3 wins, 17 top-3 in 56 rides · 9% wins from all posts here

   Last three races

   Date	Trk	Dist	Class	Finish	Fig	Odds	Eq	Trip
   8/28	WO	1 1/16 T	Moc25000	11th/11 -16L	50	61-1	b L	Brk out;push out5W5/16
   8/7	WO	7f D	MCL 15k	8th/9 -12L	56	17-1	b L	Bump brk;inside turn

8. 8Woodglen Court▼E. Zenteno · W. McMahonZenteno · McMahonC60 51 64►@trip 6420-1Fair 30-14%► Steady60 51 64@trip 64C▼ Best fig 64 is 5+ under today's par 75

   Card model 4% · Fair odds 30-1 · Our #11 · Tier C · Form ► Steady · Best fig at today's trip 64 (3 tries) · Last 3 figs 60 51 64

   ▼ Best fig 64 is 5+ under today's par 75

   Jockey Edgar Zenteno 32% career 0-for-4 on dirt this meet · Trainer William G McMahon

   Beaten 1 length for 3rd in a 5-horse maiden claiming $8,000 race at FE. Best recent figure is 64, well under the 75 par for this level.

   PACE CHALLENGE Has early speed but company on the front end. (early-speed points: 6)

   WORKS SHARP Posted the morning's best 3F on Apr 27; 0 works in 30d

   RECORD 0 wins, 1 on the board from 7 starts here

   Last three races

   Date	Trk	Dist	Class	Finish	Fig	Odds	Eq	Trip
   10/19	FE	6f D	MCL 8k	3rd/5 -1L	60	3.0-1	L	Drftd str; leveled off
   9/28	FE	-7f T	MCL 8k	5th/8 -2L	51	3.5-1	L	3-p str; nothing left
   9/7	FE	6½f D	MSW	2nd/5 -½L	64	2.3-1	b L	Vied 4p str; gd effort

9. 9A Real War Story▼R. Maragh · J. RussoMaragh · RussoC60 58 58▲+4≡15-1Fair 20-14%▲ Up +4 · career best60 58 58 ≡C▼ Best fig 60 is 5+ under today's par 75

   Card model 4% · Fair odds 20-1 · Our #12 · Tier C · Form ▲ Up +4 · career best · ≡ Steady figures 52–60 · Last 3 figs 60 58 58

   ▼ Best fig 60 is 5+ under today's par 75

   Jockey Romero Ramsay Maragh 27% career 2-for-34 on dirt this meet (6%) · Trainer Joe S Russo 21% career 0-for-6 on dirt this meet

   Also today · Jockey R1: Bank On Big Winner 8-1, R2: I'm Tenacious 6-1, R3: Pat's Holiday 20-1, R4: Metro King 20-1 · Trainer R5: Border Fox 10-1

   CLASS UP

   A longer trip: 5 furlongs last out, 6½ furlongs today. A big drop, maiden claiming $14,000 to maiden claiming $7,500, and worth asking why.

   PACE HELPS The pocket behind pressure is the useful spot, and this type fits it.

   TROUBLED TRIP Ran into trouble last out (Brk out; shuffled 7/16), and the figure already reflects it.

   WORKS LIGHT Light on works against these rivals (0 works in 30d, last 46d back)

   RECORD 0 wins, 1 on the board from 7 starts here

   Last three races

   Date	Trk	Dist	Class	Finish	Fig	Odds	Eq	Trip
   10/2	WO	5f D	MCL 15k	5th/6 -4L	60	24-1	L	Brk out;shuffled 7/16
   9/26	WO	5½f D	MCL 7k	3rd/6 -1½L	58	7.9-1	L	Drift3W3/16;repelled
   8/28	WO	1 1/16 T	Moc25000	7th/11 -6½L	58	67-1	L	Check after start;rank

10. 10High Beam▼C. Beland · S. FairlieBeland · FairlieC58 59 49►15-1Fair 20-15%► Steady58 59 49C▼ Best fig 62 is 5+ under today's par 75

    Card model 5% · Fair odds 20-1 · Our #9 · Tier C · Form ► Steady · Last 3 figs 58 59 49

    ▼ Best fig 62 is 5+ under today's par 75

    Jockey Corry Beland 14% career 0-for-6 on dirt this meet · Trainer Scott H Fairlie 21% career 0-for-10 on dirt this meet (0%)

    Carries 111 pounds, 10 less than last time. Cuts back from 1 1/16 miles to 6½ furlongs.

    PACE CHALLENGE Leads into real pressure, so it has to earn the front and then hold it. (early-speed points: 2)

    WORKS SHARP One of the busier work schedules here: 1 work in 30d, last 8d ago

    RECORD 0 wins, 1 on the board from 5 starts here

    Last three races

    Date	Trk	Dist	Class	Finish	Fig	Odds	Eq	Trip
    10/11	WO	1 1/16 D	MCL 10k	7th/7 -6¼L	58	40-1	b L	Retreated2Wfar turn
    9/25	WO	7f D	MCL 10k	3rd/9 -3½L	59	27-1	b L	Sqz'd st; steadied 1/4
    8/28	WO	7f D	MCL 15k	5th/10 -11L	49	46-1	b L	2-3w turn;bmpd 5w3/16

11. 11Prime Rate▼▲P. Moran · T. AttardMoran · AttardA64 63 45▲▲+103-1Fair 6-115%▲▲ Big jump +10 · career best64 63 45A▼ Best fig 64 is 5+ under today's par 75▲ Rider upgrade (27% vs 11%) cutting back to a sprint

    Card model 15% · Fair odds 6-1 · Our #6 · Tier A · Form ▲▲ Big jump +10 · career best · Last 3 figs 64 63 45

    ▼ Best fig 64 is 5+ under today's par 75▲ Rider upgrade (27% vs 11%) cutting back to a sprint

    Jockey Pietro Moran 32% career 16-for-84 on dirt this meet (19%) · Trainer Tino Attard 33% career 0-for-9 on dirt this meet (0%)

    Also today · Jockey R2: Aussie Hyper 8-1, R3: Elissa's Macho 9-5, R4: Audi's World 9-5, R5: You're So Lucky 8-1 +1 more · Trainer R6: Quiet Intent 8-1, this race: Sanhedrin 6-1

    Needs to move up: the best of its last five is 64 against a 75 par. Has moved up each time out, 45 to 63 to 64.

    PACE HELPS Stalks an honestly pressed pace from a good spot.

    WORKS LIGHT Few works lately, 0 works in 30d and the last 42 days ago

    RECORD 0 wins, 1 on the board from 3 starts here

    RECORD Pietro Moran from post 11 here: 1 win, 9 top-3 in 21 rides · 18% wins from all posts here

    Last three races

    Date	Trk	Dist	Class	Finish	Fig	Odds	Eq	Trip
    10/11	WO	1 1/16 D	MCL 10k	5th/7 -1L	64	5.9-1	L	Came back1/8;wilted70y
    9/25	WO	7f D	MCL 10k	2nd/9 -3½L	63	5.0-1	L	Hit gate; gaining 5wd
    8/28	WO	7f D	MCL 15k	7th/10 -17L	45	3.0-1	b L	Veer in early;4-5w trn

12. 12Friendly▼D. Nelson · F. HuarteNelson · HuarteA65 69 57▲+5@trip 658-1Fair 10-110%▲ Up +565 69 57@trip 65A▼ Best fig 69 is 5+ under today's par 753

    Card model 10% · Fair odds 10-1 · Our #3 · Tier A · Form ▲ Up +5 · Best fig at today's trip 65 (1 tries) · Last 3 figs 65 69 57

    ▼ Best fig 69 is 5+ under today's par 75

    Jockey Dane Nelson 31% career 2-for-25 on dirt this meet (8%) · Trainer Frank Huarte 18% career 0-for-4 on dirt this meet

    Also today · Jockey R3: Lita Marie 5-1, R4: No Cape 5-2, R5: Turbo Charged 15-1, R6: True Shot 20-1 · Trainer R6: Proud Ronin 8-1

    Was 7th of 8 at the first call last time. 2nd of 7 at 2F on Sep 20, in :25.00.

    EVEN PACE With the front end pressed, the late run has something to run at.

    TROUBLED TRIP Bmpd brk; 4-7w; ran on last out; the speed figure already reflects it.

    WORKS Average work schedule for this field (2 works in 30d, last 21d ago)

    RECORD 0 wins, 2 on the board from 7 starts here

    Last three races

    Date	Trk	Dist	Class	Finish	Fig	Odds	Eq	Trip
    10/16	WO	6½f D	MCL 10k	3rd/8 -5L	65	5.5-1	L	Bmpd brk;4-7w;ran on
    5/31	WO	7f D	MCL 10k	4th/8 -3¾L	69	16-1	b L	Late energy for minors
    5/10	WO	7f D	MCL 10k	8th/9 -11L	57	29-1	b L	Bump st;little impact

▲ / ▼ angle for / against · ★ best figure at the trip · LS longshot read · 1 2 3 = our top three · A B C tiers · ▲ ► ▼ form · ≡ ↕ steady / up-and-down. Tap a row for its notes, a name for the horse's page. Analysis only. Pace: fast and contested (5 early types). Helps stalkers and closers.