1Hope For DashL. Valenzuela · D. GuynesValenzuela · GuynesC73 75 85▼-4@trip 7530-1Fair 50-12%
▼ Down -473 75 85@trip 75CCard model 2% · Fair odds 50-1 · Our #12 · Tier C · Form ▼ Down -4 · Best fig at today's trip 75 (1 tries) · Last 3 figs 73 75 85
Also today · Jockey R1: Mitole Two Socks 8-1, R1: Reconciling Force 30-1 · Trainer R3: Mr Frankie 15-1★ FASTEST WORKRaises its level, stakes last time and maiden special weight now. Trending the wrong way on speed, 85 to 75 to 73.
PACE CHALLENGE No running style on file yet, so the pace shape can't be applied to it.WORKS LIGHT Few works lately, 0 works in 30d and the last 41 days agoLast three races
Date Trk Dist Class Finish Fig Odds Eq Trip 9/25 ALB 1.81818f D FutTrl8000 6th/9 -2½L 73 37-1 b L No final kick; 8/13 ALB 1.59091f D MSW 6th/9 -1½L 75 7.4-1 b L Showed early foot;wknd 6/12 ALB 1.36364f D MSW 4th/9 -4L 85 50-1 b Bmp brk;improved 2Shes JudgeandjuryLSC. Ramos · M. JungersRamos · JungersC56 68@trip 688-1Fair 7-112%
—56 68@trip 68CLSCard model 12% · Fair odds 7-1 · Our #4 · Tier C · Best fig at today's trip 68 (2 tries) · Last 3 figs 56 68
LSLongshot read: 8-1 on the morning line, and the model has it at 12% against a line of 10%. A read, not a bet.
Also today · Jockey R1: Dazzlin Drama 15-1, R3: Perrys Alibi 3-5, R4: Mw Big Daddy Issues 15-1, R5: Hot Bad Boy 12-1 +2 more · Trainer R9: Klass Action 8-1180D+ LAYOFFBack after 188 days away; fitness is the question and the works are the evidence. The longest gap in the field. A step up in company: maiden special weight before, maiden special weight today.
PACE CHALLENGE No running style on file yet, so the pace shape can't be applied to it.TROUBLED TRIP Steadily lost ground last out; the speed figure already reflects it.WORKS LIGHT Few works lately, 0 works in 30d and the last 39 days agoLast three races
Date Trk Dist Class Finish Fig Odds Eq Trip 4/26 RP 1½f D sMdSpWt 7th/8 -1¾L 56 14-1 b L Steadily lost ground 4/2 RP 1½f D sFutTrl15000 2nd/9 by hd 68 5.3-1 b L Dueled every step 3Ct Tres CandiesJ. Enriquez · R. WilsonEnriquez · WilsonC61 80 60▼▼-10↕@trip 8030-1Fair 30-14%
▼▼ Big drop -1061 80 60 ↕@trip 80CCard model 4% · Fair odds 30-1 · Our #7 · Tier C · Form ▼▼ Big drop -10 · ↕ Up-and-down figures 60–80 · Best fig at today's trip 80 (3 tries) · Last 3 figs 61 80 60
Also today · Jockey R2: Big Avery 3-1, R3: Jess Good Times 4-1, R4: Suspicious Rizzler 10-1, R5: Acrylic 8-5 +5 more · Trainer R2: Big Avery 3-1, R3: Jess Good Times 4-1, R4: Suspicious Rizzler 10-1, R4: Mw Big Daddy Issues 15-1 +5 moreLASIX 1ST★ FASTEST WORKChanges barns, from Tyler Cole Crawford to Renee Wilson. Beaten 2¾ lengths for 9th in a 10-horse allowance race at SRR.
PACE CHALLENGE No style on record, so the setup says little about it.WORKS LIGHT Thin work schedule next to this field: 0 works in 30d, last one 83d agoLast three races
Date Trk Dist Class Finish Fig Odds Eq Trip 9/6 SRR 1.59091f D Alw nc 9th/10 -2¾L 61 18-1 b No menace 8/19 SRR 1.59091f D FutTrl10000 2nd/10 by nk 80 21-1 b Up early;outkicked 5/16 RP 1½f D MSW 6th/10 -1¾L 60 23-1 b L Went evenly 4TtaannkkO. Andrade Jr. · T. JohnsonAndrade Jr. · JohnsonB63 60@trip 636-1Fair 6-115%
—63 60@trip 63B2Card model 15% · Fair odds 6-1 · Our #2 · Tier B · Best fig at today's trip 63 (1 tries) · Last 3 figs 63 60
Also today · Jockey R1: Political Mystery 5-2, R2: Sonuva Butch 9-5, R3: Toppa The Moon 5-1, R4: Brookman 4-1 +5 more · Trainer R1: Sr Fear The Storm 5-1, R9: Uncle Eds Idea 12-160D LAYOFFFreshened 177 days. Watch how its recent works look. New trainer: S Trey Wood had it last time, Tammy K Johnson now.
PACE CHALLENGE Running style isn't established yet, so the pace read is a blank for this one.WORKS Routine prep: 1 work in 30d, last 27d agoLast three races
Date Trk Dist Class Finish Fig Odds Eq Trip 5/7 RP 1.59091f D FutTrl15000 5th/8 -2¾L 63 21-1 b L Unable to sustain bid 3/6 RP 1.36364f D FutTrl10000 5th/8 -1¾L 60 2.7-1 b L Bid; weakened 5InsightfulJ. Marquez · J. MontoyaMarquez · MontoyaC6420-1Fair 30-14%
—64CCard model 4% · Fair odds 30-1 · Our #8 · Tier C · Last 3 figs 64
◆ NOTE · TRIP TROUBLE60D LAYOFFMoves up from maiden claiming $25,000 to maiden special weight. Javier Montoya takes over the training from Martin Orona.
PACE CHALLENGE Running style isn't established yet, so the pace read is a blank for this one.TROUBLED TRIP Ran into trouble last out (Bore in; bumped break), and the figure already reflects it.WORKS SHARP Active work pattern for this group, 1 work in 30d and the last 9d backLast three races
Date Trk Dist Class Finish Fig Odds Eq Trip 8/29 ALB 1.81818f D MCL 25k 9th/10 -6¾L 64 9.3-1 b L Bore in; bumped break 6Luna KissF. Zamora · J. RenteriaZamora · RenteriaC53@trip 5320-1Fair 30-13%
—53@trip 53CCard model 3% · Fair odds 30-1 · Our #10 · Tier C · Best fig at today's trip 53 (1 tries) · Last 3 figs 53
Also today · Jockey R1: Wall Street Logic 7-2, R2: Daddies Diamond 20-1, R6: Ciao Fore Now 6-1, R7: Jm Famousberry 15-1 +4 more · Trainer R2: Daddies Diamond 20-160D LAYOFFLASIX 1STLast out was 9th, 6½ lengths behind the winner, in a 9-horse maiden special weight race at ALB. Changes barns, from Adam Archuleta to Jacob Renteria.
PACE CHALLENGE Style isn't established yet, so how it fits this shape is open.WORKS SHARP One of the busier work schedules here: 1 work in 30d, last 9d agoLast three races
Date Trk Dist Class Finish Fig Odds Eq Trip 8/13 ALB 1.59091f D MSW 9th/9 -6½L 53 34-1 b Outrun 7Lil Bit Flash N DashJ. Enriquez · L. IturraldeEnriquez · IturraldeA81 80 71▲+7@trip 813-1Fair 3-124%
▲ Up +7 · career best81 80 71@trip 81A1Card model 24% · Fair odds 3-1 · Our #1 · Tier A · Form ▲ Up +7 · career best · Best fig at today's trip 81 (4 tries) · Last 3 figs 81 80 71
Also today · Jockey R4: Sheza Big Daddy Too 3-1, R6: Dashing Cash Dasher 30-1, R7: Flashtoglory 3-5, R9: Naughty Politics 7-2Figures are climbing: 71, 80, 81 over its last three. 0 for 7 at today's distance.
PACE CHALLENGE Running style isn't established yet, so the pace read is a blank for this one.WORKS LIGHT Light on works against these rivals (0 works in 30d, last 249d back)Last three races
Date Trk Dist Class Finish Fig Odds Eq Trip 9/26 ALB 1.59091f D MSW 2nd/10 81 9.0-1 b L Just missed 8/13 ALB 1.59091f D MSW 3rd/9 by hd 80 5.3-1 b L Dueled; outfinished 6/27 ALB 1.81818f D FutTrl10000 4th/9 -2L 71 43-1 b L Came out start;drifted 8Janie BN. Garcia Jr. · W. GilesGarcia Jr. · GilesB72 77 85▼-6@trip 7312-1Fair 12-18%
▼ Down -672 77 85@trip 73BCard model 8% · Fair odds 12-1 · Our #6 · Tier B · Form ▼ Down -6 · Best fig at today's trip 73 (1 tries) · Last 3 figs 72 77 85
Also today · Jockey R2: Chasing Venus 6-1, R3: Cartel Fire Chick 10-1, R4: Holdmyhailo 6-1, R5: Thats Amoree 8-1 +3 more · Trainer R2: Chasing Venus 6-1, R3: Cartel Fire Chick 10-1, R4: Holdmyhailo 6-1, R5: Thats Amoree 8-1 +5 more★ FASTEST WORKWinless in 4 starts at this distance. Fastest 1F work of its morning on Jul 14 (:12.00), a sign it is training forwardly.
PACE CHALLENGE No running style on file yet, so the pace shape can't be applied to it.WORKS LIGHT Few works lately, 0 works in 30d and the last 109 days agoLast three races
Date Trk Dist Class Finish Fig Odds Eq Trip 9/25 ALB 1.81818f D FutTrl8000 4th/8 -2L 72 45-1 b L Gave way 8/14 ALB 1.81818f D MSW 5th/10 -2¾L 77 9.0-1 b L Off slow; mild rally 6/13 WYO 1.36364f D FutTrl5500 9th/10 -¾L 85 9.1-1 b LB Faded 9Myfavoritenineeleven★A. Fierro · T. GutierrezFierro · GutierrezA73 81 83▼-7@trip 834-1Fair 6-114%
▼ Down -773 81 83@trip 83A★ Best at the trip 833Card model 14% · Fair odds 6-1 · Our #3 · Tier A · Form ▼ Down -7 · Best fig at today's trip 83 (2 tries) · Last 3 figs 73 81 83
★ Best at the trip 83Finished 2nd in an 8-horse stakes race at ALB, beaten ½ length. Figures have slipped: 83, 81, 73 over its last three.
PACE CHALLENGE Style isn't established yet, so how it fits this shape is open.WORKS LIGHT Few works lately, 0 works in 30d and the last 100 days agoLast three races
Date Trk Dist Class Finish Fig Odds Eq Trip 9/25 ALB 1.81818f D FutTrl8000 2nd/8 -½L 73 5.9-1 b L Rallied late; 8/13 ALB 1.59091f D MSW 2nd/9 by nk 81 4.5-1 b L Mid-field;clsd for 2nd 5/23 ALB 1.59091f D FutTrl10000 7th/7 -5L 83 2.7-1 b L Broke awkwardly;bumped 10Zoomin KvnJ. Flores · J. IturraldeFlores · IturraldeA94 73 82▲▲+16@trip 7312-1Fair 12-18%
▲▲ Big jump +16 · career best94 73 82@trip 73ACard model 8% · Fair odds 12-1 · Our #5 · Tier A · Form ▲▲ Big jump +16 · career best · Best fig at today's trip 73 (1 tries) · Last 3 figs 94 73 82
Also today · Jockey R3: Mr Frankie 15-1, R4: Zoomin Thru Juarez 12-1, R6: Jessys Sugar Daddy 10-1, R8: Big Fantasy 8-1 +1 more · Trainer R7: Ez On My Mind 10-160D LAYOFFBest Brisnet figure in the field over its last five: 94, with 90 next best. 141 days since the last start, so it needs the works to say it's ready.
PACE CHALLENGE Running style isn't established yet, so the pace read is a blank for this one.WORKS SHARP One of the busier work schedules here: 1 work in 30d, last 7d agoLast three races
Date Trk Dist Class Finish Fig Odds Eq Trip 6/12 ALB 1.36364f D MSW 3rd/9 -½L 94 15-1 b L Chase on 5/15 SRP 1.59091f D MSW 4th/10 -1½L 73 8.4-1 b L Stumbld;evenbd 3/13 SUN 1.36364f D Trial 6th/10 -1L 82 20-1 b L Failed to menace 11Lucky CowgirlF. Zamora · J. DominguezZamora · DominguezB62 87 87▼▼-20↕@trip 6715-1Fair 30-13%
▼▼ Big drop -2062 87 87 ↕@trip 67BCard model 3% · Fair odds 30-1 · Our #9 · Tier B · Form ▼▼ Big drop -20 · ↕ Up-and-down figures 62–87 · Best fig at today's trip 67 (1 tries) · Last 3 figs 62 87 87
Also today · Jockey R1: Wall Street Logic 7-2, R2: Daddies Diamond 20-1, R6: Ciao Fore Now 6-1, R7: Jm Famousberry 15-1 +4 moreMaiden through 7 starts. Worked 1.5F in :16.60 on Jul 24, 3rd of 8 at the distance.
PACE CHALLENGE Running style isn't established yet, so the pace read is a blank for this one.WORKS Steady, unremarkable work pattern: 1 work in 30d, last 22d backLast three races
Date Trk Dist Class Finish Fig Odds Eq Trip 9/25 ALB 1.81818f D FutTrl8000 5th/7 -3¾L 62 11-1 b No rally; 8/28 ALB 1.81818f D MSW 2nd/9 by hd 87 2.5-1 b Bmp brk;best of rest 8/7 ALB 2f D FutTrl10000 3rd/10 -1½L 87 34-1 b Steady effort; 12Cowgirl KatE. Martinez · A. DominguezMartinez · DominguezC57 2315-1Fair 30-13%
—57 23CCard model 3% · Fair odds 30-1 · Our #11 · Tier C · Last 3 figs 57 23
Also today · Jockey R8: Hs Danger Weapon 4-1, R9: All About Eve 15-1 · Trainer R8: Hs Danger Weapon 4-160D LAYOFFReturns from a 126-day break. Moves up from stakes to maiden special weight.
PACE CHALLENGE Style isn't established yet, so how it fits this shape is open.TROUBLED TRIP Brushed; drifted in last out; the speed figure already reflects it.WORKS SHARP One of the busier work schedules here: 1 work in 30d, last 17d agoLast three races
Date Trk Dist Class Finish Fig Odds Eq Trip 6/27 ALB 1.81818f D FutTrl10000 8th/10 -6¼L 57 73-1 b L Brushed; drifted in 3/6 RP 1.36364f D FutTrl10000 7th/7 -8½L 23 14-1 b L Raced head high
▲ / ▼ angle for / against · ★ best figure at the trip · LS longshot read · 1 2 3 = our top three · A B C tiers · ▲ ► ▼ form · ≡ ↕ steady / up-and-down. Tap a row for its notes, a name for the horse's page. Analysis only. Pace: hard to project, too many first-time starters.
How to read these marks
- 1 2 3
- Our top three by the card model's win chance. Tap “Our order” to sort by it.
- Win %, Fair
- The card model's chance to win, and the odds that chance works out to with no takeout. Fair is green when the model rates the horse above its morning line (the line scaled to add up to 100%).
- Tier A B C ?
- The field ranked on recent speed figures and the morning line together: A = top three, B = next three, C = the rest, ? = no figures yet.
- 71 60 72
- Last three speed figures, newest first. “@trip 75” = best figure at today's distance (within 30 yards) on this surface.
- ▲▲ ▲ ► ▼ ▼▼
- Form: last figure against the average of the three before it. ▲ = up 3 or more, ▲▲ = up 8 or more, ► = within 3, ▼ / ▼▼ = down. The number is the difference.
- ≡ ↕
- ≡ steady: the last four figures sit close together. ↕ up-and-down: they swing widely.
- ★
- Best figure in the field at today's distance and surface, from two or more tries, not tied. When that horse isn't in our top three it gets a “Distance horse” note above the field.
- ▲ ▼ chips
- Handicapping angles for or against the horse. LS = longshot read: 8-1 or more on the morning line and the model rates it higher than that line.
These marks describe the past performances. None of them is proven to beat the odds: in our test of 100 handicapping angles, nothing did better than the final odds, and the morning-line favourite wins more races than our top-ranked horse. Read them as notes, not as a reason to bet.
Race conditions and our readpace, conditions, story
ZIA · RACE 11
UPCOMINGMaiden Special Weight
Maiden Special Weight, for fillies, 2-year-olds.
Maiden special weight — for horses that have never won a race. No horses are for sale; this is the higher-quality way to break a maiden.
● Breed: Quarter Horse
● Track record at 350 Yards: 17.07
The shape is the story here: the early pace looks honest rather than contested — expect a fairly run race where class and trip decide it, not pace collapse.
Our number tops on #7 Lil Bit Flash N Dash (a tactical type, M/L 3-1). Recent figures: 81 · 80 · 71. It hit the board last time and stays in form. Backup is #4 Ttaannkk at 6-1. Use #9 Myfavoritenineeleven in exotic structures.
What would change our mind: a key scratch that reshapes the early pace, a sharp turf-to-dirt or surface switch off the rail, or live money showing up on a horse the board had dismissed. Watch the tote late.
At a glance: model vs the morning line
At a glance
- Market favourite #7 LIL BIT FLASH N DASH (3-1) — our number agrees.
- #7 LIL BIT FLASH N DASH — our top number on the card, about right at the windows (22.7% to their 21.9%).
- #9 MYFAVORITENINEELEVEN — our #3 number, about right at the windows (16.3% to their 17.5%).
- #4 TTAANNKK — our #2 number, about right at the windows (14.0% to their 12.5%).
Model vs the morning line
- The model and the morning line roughly agree on this field.
Pacewho goes to the front
Pace
Pace Vacuum. No real early speed. Whoever shows up first is likely uncontested. Pressers benefit.
and works against #1 Hope For Dash, #2 Shes Judgeandjury, #3 Ct Tres Candies.
Number = last-race early-pace figure. Green border = the shape helps; red = it works against.
Early speed and closing figures, horse by horse
Closing Kick · late-pace figure
Bet types offeredwager menu
Bet types
Wagers offered on this race.
2ND HALF LATE DAILY DOUBLE/ $1 EXACTA / .50 TRIFECTA /.10 SUPERFECTA
4TH LEG PICK 4/ 3RD LEG PICK 3
BET OPTIONS
WinPlaceShowExactaTrifectaSuperfecta