Pick sheet

Race 42:27 PM Md 20000

1 Mi · Dirt · 10 entered. Our model's top pick, Windsock, is 22% to win (morning line implies 18%). Pace: hard to project, too many first-time starters.

Top pick #5 Windsock ML 7-2 Fair 7-2 Model #1 Top last-race fig ▼ Best fig 68 is 5+ under today's par 78

Jockey C. Torres · Trainer R. Brisset · 62 days off

Date	Trk	Dist	Class	Finish	Fig	Odds	Eq	Trip
8/31	IND	5f D	MCL 40k	3rd/6 -2L	68	0.8-1	b	Pressed rail;no bid
8/1	ELP	7f D	Moc50000	8th/12 -6½L	56	17-1	b	Ins;btw 3/8;no bid ins

Case: Last out 3rd in the Md40000 at IND. Last Brisnet figures 68-56. R. Brisset / C. Torres.

Knock: Never raced this far (longest 7f). Off 62 days.

Contender #2 Good Hand ML 4-1 Fair 9-2 Model #2 ▼ Best fig 60 is 5+ under today's par 78

Jockey F. Arrieta · Trainer R. Morse · KEE 1: 0-0-0 · Dist 1: 0-0-0 · best fig at 1m dirt 55 · 39 days off

Date	Trk	Dist	Class	Finish	Fig	Odds	Eq	Trip
9/23	CD	1m D	MSW	8th/9 -13L	55	22-1	b	4p; no impact
8/8	ELP	1m T	Moc50000	7th/10 -6½L	60	9.4-1	b	Stalked inside;yielded

Case: Last out 8th/9 -13L in the MdSpWt at CD. Last Brisnet figures 55-60. Best at today's distance 60. 0-for-1 at the distance. 0-for-1 at Churchill Downs. R. Morse / F. Arrieta.

Knock: 0-for-1 at the distance.

Use #7 Mo Reviews ML 5-1 Fair 7-1 Model #3 ▼ Best fig 56 is 5+ under today's par 78 1st-time blinkers Last out 9th/9 -12L in the MdSpWt at CD. Last Brisnet figures 52-56. Best at today's distance 52. 0-for-1 at the distance. 0-for-2 at Churchill Downs. A. Stall Jr. / Y. Ortiz Jr.. Knock: 0-for-1 at the distance. Our model rates this one below its morning line.

Jockey Y. Ortiz Jr. · Trainer A. Stall Jr. · KEE 2: 0-0-0 · Dist 1: 0-0-0 · best fig at 1m dirt 52 · 39 days off

Date	Trk	Dist	Class	Finish	Fig	Odds	Eq	Trip
9/23	CD	1m D	MSW	9th/9 -12L	52	17-1		Ins;4p5/16;6p1/4;tired
6/24	CD	5½f D	MCL 50k	5th/9 -4L	56	17-1		Saved ground;stayed on

Longshot #9 Captain Call ML 12-1 Fair 15-1 Model #7 ▼ Best fig 34 is 5+ under today's par 78

Jockey K. Asmussen · Trainer S. Asmussen · 59 days off

Date	Trk	Dist	Class	Finish	Fig	Odds	Eq	Trip
9/3	KD	1m T	MSW	10th/10 -14L	34	16-1		Sqzd st;eased stretch

Case: Last out 10th/10 -14L in the MdSpWt at KD. Last Brisnet figures 34. Best at today's distance 34. S. Asmussen / K. Asmussen.

Knock: Never raced at Churchill Downs.

Narrowing the field: A #2, #3, #5 · B #4, #6, #8 · C #1, #7, #9, #10

Angles: #1 Best fig 45 is 5+ under today's par 78 · #2 Best fig 60 is 5+ under today's par 78 · #3 Best fig 58 is 5+ under today's par 78 · #4 Best fig 61 is 5+ under today's par 78 · #5 Best fig 68 is 5+ under today's par 78 · #6 Best fig 63 is 5+ under today's par 78 · #7 Best fig 56 is 5+ under today's par 78 · #8 Best fig 62 is 5+ under today's par 78 · #9 Best fig 34 is 5+ under today's par 78 · #10 Best fig 52 is 5+ under today's par 78

R4 Churchill Downs · Maiden Claiming $20,000

2:27 PM ET · 1 Mile Dirt · $48,000 · 10 runners2:27 PM · 1m Dirt · 10 runners

Official $48K · Maiden Claiming $20,000

Card modelCard model Wide openFormLast 3 figsTier · angles

1Faraz▼Ran 10thW. Rodriguez · A. CambrayRodriguez · CambrayC40 45 41▼-330-1Fair 50-12%▼ Down -340 45 41C▼ Best fig 45 is 5+ under today's par 78
Card model 2% · Fair odds 50-1 · Our #10 · Tier C · Form ▼ Down -3 · Last 3 figs 40 45 41
▼ Best fig 45 is 5+ under today's par 78
Jockey Walter A Rodriguez 34% career 1-for-14 on dirt this meet (7%) · Trainer Andres Cambray 19% career 0-for-1 on dirt this meet
Also today · Jockey R5: Final Thoughts 6-1, R9: Naxian 20-1
Finished 9th in a 10-horse maiden claiming $30,000 race at CD, beaten 11 lengths. Class relief: maiden claiming $30,000 last time, maiden claiming $20,000 today.
PACE CHALLENGE No running style on file yet, so the pace shape can't be applied to it.
TROUBLED TRIP Shuffld brk; no menace last out; the speed figure already reflects it.
WORKS SHARP Fit-looking prep next to these rivals: 2 works in 30d, last 8d ago
RECORD Walter A Rodriguez from post 1 here: 5 wins, 9 top-3 in 24 rides · 12% wins from all posts here
Last three races
Date Trk Dist Class Finish Fig Odds Eq Trip
9/20 CD 6½f D MCL 30k 9th/10 -11L 40 34-1 b Shuffld brk;no menace
8/15 ELP 6f D MCL 30k 7th/8 -9L 45 34-1 b Broke in;2p-ins;tired
7/25 ELP 5½f T MSW 7th/7 -14L 41 35-1 b 2p-ins; outrun
2Good Hand▼Ran 2ndF. Arrieta · R. MorseArrieta · MorseA55 60@trip 554-1Fair 9-218%—55 60@trip 55A▼ Best fig 60 is 5+ under today's par 782
Card model 18% · Fair odds 9-2 · Our #2 · Tier A · Best fig at today's trip 55 (1 tries) · Last 3 figs 55 60
▼ Best fig 60 is 5+ under today's par 78
Jockey Francisco Arrieta 32% career 6-for-35 on dirt this meet (17%) · Trainer Randy L Morse 26% career 0-for-7 on dirt this meet
Also today · Jockey R1: Just Plain Eugene 15-1, R6: Eleonora 12-1, R7: League Of Legends 15-1 · Trainer R1: Down Time 2-1, R5: Executor 5-1, R7: League Of Legends 15-1
Drops from maiden special weight to maiden claiming $20,000. Needs to move up: the best of its last five is 60 against a 78 par.
PACE CHALLENGE Running style isn't established yet, so the pace read is a blank for this one.
WORKS LIGHT Thin work schedule next to this field: 1 work in 30d, last one 15d ago
RECORD Francisco Arrieta from post 2 here: 10 wins, 29 top-3 in 70 rides · 10% wins from all posts here
Last three races
Date Trk Dist Class Finish Fig Odds Eq Trip
9/23 CD 1m D MSW 8th/9 -13L 55 22-1 b 4p; no impact
8/8 ELP 1m T Moc50000 7th/10 -6½L 60 9.4-1 b Stalked inside;yielded
3Power of Vino▼Ran 4thE. Esquivel · M. Simms Jr.Esquivel · Simms Jr.A57 58@trip 575-1Fair 7-112%—57 58@trip 57A▼ Best fig 58 is 5+ under today's par 78
Card model 12% · Fair odds 7-1 · Our #4 · Tier A · Best fig at today's trip 57 (1 tries) · Last 3 figs 57 58
▼ Best fig 58 is 5+ under today's par 78
Jockey Emmanuel Esquivel 36% career 3-for-13 on dirt this meet (23%) · Trainer Mark Jr Simms 32% career 0-for-3 on dirt this meet ★ hot
Also today · Jockey R7: Social Hour 4-1
A 58 is the high figure lately, short of the 78 par. Was 8th of 8 at the first call last time.
PACE CHALLENGE Style isn't established yet, so how it fits this shape is open.
WORKS LIGHT Thin work schedule next to this field: 1 work in 30d, last one 16d ago
RECORD Emmanuel Esquivel from post 3 here: 4 wins, 10 top-3 in 20 rides · 8% wins from all posts here
Last three races
Date Trk Dist Class Finish Fig Odds Eq Trip
9/30 IND 1m D MSW 6th/8 -7½L 57 23-1 b Inside;faded stretch
9/3 CNL 6f D MSW 5th/6 -12L 58 22-1 b Last away; no menace

Date	Trk	Dist	Class	Finish	Fig	Odds	Eq	Trip
9/20	CD	6½f D	MCL 30k	9th/10 -11L	40	34-1	b	Shuffld brk;no menace
8/15	ELP	6f D	MCL 30k	7th/8 -9L	45	34-1	b	Broke in;2p-ins;tired
7/25	ELP	5½f T	MSW	7th/7 -14L	41	35-1	b	2p-ins; outrun

Date	Trk	Dist	Class	Finish	Fig	Odds	Eq	Trip
9/30	IND	1m D	MSW	6th/8 -7½L	57	23-1	b	Inside;faded stretch
9/3	CNL	6f D	MSW	5th/6 -12L	58	22-1	b	Last away; no menace

4Mambo Man▼Ran 3rdM. Fernandez · K. FernandezFernandez · FernandezB61 60 58▲+4≡@trip 6015-1Fair 30-14%▲ Up +4 · career best61 60 58 ≡@trip 60B▼ Best fig 61 is 5+ under today's par 78

Card model 4% · Fair odds 30-1 · Our #8 · Tier B · Form ▲ Up +4 · career best · ≡ Steady figures 54–61 · Best fig at today's trip 60 (1 tries) · Last 3 figs 61 60 58

▼ Best fig 61 is 5+ under today's par 78

Jockey Miguel Fernandez 29% career 0-for-5 on dirt this meet · Trainer Kelly A Fernandez 24% career 0-for-1 on dirt this meet

Also today · Jockey R2: Shanett 12-1, R3: Chief Ball 50-1, R5: Bagg O Time 20-1, R6: Ghosts Lil Secret 20-1 +1 more

★ FASTEST WORK

Stretches out from -7 furlongs to a mile. Sheds 5 pounds from its last start.

PACE CHALLENGE Pressured on the lead; getting clear early matters. (early-speed points: 5)

WORKS LIGHT Thin work schedule next to this field: 0 works in 30d, last one 71d ago

Last three races

Date	Trk	Dist	Class	Finish	Fig	Odds	Trip
10/9	KEE	-7f D	MCL 30k	4th/10 -4¼L	61	24-1	Brk in;5p1/8;duel show
9/16	CD	1m D	MCL 30k	3rd/5 -3L	60	10-1	Hooked turn; gave way
8/29	KD	1m T	MSW	11th/12 -12L	58	136-1	Ins;shifted out;no bid

5Windsock▼Ran 1stC. Torres · R. BrissetTorres · BrissetA68 567-2Fair 7-222%—68 56A▼ Best fig 68 is 5+ under today's par 781
Card model 22% · Fair odds 7-2 · Our #1 · Tier A · Last 3 figs 68 56
▼ Best fig 68 is 5+ under today's par 78
Jockey Cristian A Torres 32% career 3-for-30 on dirt this meet (10%) · Trainer Rodolphe Brisset 34% career 0-for-2 on dirt this meet
Also today · Jockey R6: Marble Arch 6-1, R8: Rose Alabama 15-1
60D LAYOFF
Was running in maiden claiming $40,000; today's maiden claiming $20,000 is an easier level on paper. Best Brisnet figure in the field over its last five: 68, with 63 next best.
PACE HELPS Sits just off the speed with pace in front to run at.
WORKS SHARP One of the busier work schedules here: 2 works in 30d, last 8d ago
RECORD Cristian A Torres from post 5 here: 7 wins, 31 top-3 in 92 rides · 10% wins from all posts here
Last three races
Date Trk Dist Class Finish Fig Odds Eq Trip
8/31 IND 5f D MCL 40k 3rd/6 -2L 68 0.8-1 b Pressed rail;no bid
8/1 ELP 7f D Moc50000 8th/12 -6½L 56 17-1 b Ins;btw 3/8;no bid ins
6Asher Dasher▼Ran 6thJ. Graham · J. DesormeauxGraham · DesormeauxB59 41 63▲+7@trip 596-1Fair 8-110%▲ Up +759 41 63@trip 59B▼ Best fig 63 is 5+ under today's par 78
Card model 10% · Fair odds 8-1 · Our #5 · Tier B · Form ▲ Up +7 · Best fig at today's trip 59 (1 tries) · Last 3 figs 59 41 63
▼ Best fig 63 is 5+ under today's par 78
Jockey J Graham 27% career 1-for-15 on dirt this meet (7%) · Trainer J Keith Desormeaux 29% career 1-for-13 on dirt this meet (8%)
3 WORKS IN 30 DAYS
Last out was 7th, 9 lengths behind the winner, in a 9-horse maiden special weight race at CD. A big drop, maiden special weight to maiden claiming $20,000, and worth asking why.
PACE CHALLENGE Running style isn't established yet, so the pace read is a blank for this one.
WORKS SHARP One of the busier work schedules here: 3 works in 30d, last 8d ago
RECORD J Graham from post 6 here: 2 wins, 11 top-3 in 44 rides · 8% wins from all posts here
Last three races
Date Trk Dist Class Finish Fig Odds Eq Trip
9/23 CD 1m D MSW 7th/9 -9L 59 20-1 3p; no factor
9/3 KD 1m T MSW 9th/10 -12L 41 13-1 Stdy early;no factor
8/8 ELP 1m T Moc50000 5th/10 -8½L 63 15-1 Slw st;3p;5p upr;ranon
7Mo Reviews▼Ran 7thY. Ortiz Jr. · A. Stall Jr.Ortiz Jr. · Stall Jr.C52 56@trip 525-1Fair 7-113%—52 56@trip 52C▼ Best fig 56 is 5+ under today's par 783
Card model 13% · Fair odds 7-1 · Our #3 · Tier C · Best fig at today's trip 52 (1 tries) · Last 3 figs 52 56
▼ Best fig 56 is 5+ under today's par 78
Jockey Yomar Jr Ortiz 37% career 1-for-6 on dirt this meet · Trainer Albert M Jr Stall 0-for-9 on dirt this meet (0%)
Also today · Jockey R7: Gardiner 6-5 · Trainer R8: In Total Awe 3-1
Carries 109 pounds, 10 less than last time. Beaten 12 lengths for 9th in a 9-horse maiden special weight race at CD.
PACE CHALLENGE No style on record, so the setup says little about it.
WORKS LIGHT Few works lately, 2 works in 30d and the last 15 days ago
Last three races
Date Trk Dist Class Finish Fig Odds Eq Trip
9/23 CD 1m D MSW 9th/9 -12L 52 17-1 Ins;4p5/16;6p1/4;tired
6/24 CD 5½f D MCL 50k 5th/9 -4L 56 17-1 Saved ground;stayed on
8Concrete Overlay▼Ran 8thA. Concepcion · K. DannerConcepcion · DannerB59 62 51►@trip 596-1Fair 10-19%► Steady59 62 51@trip 59B▼ Best fig 62 is 5+ under today's par 78
Card model 9% · Fair odds 10-1 · Our #6 · Tier B · Form ► Steady · Best fig at today's trip 59 (1 tries) · Last 3 figs 59 62 51
▼ Best fig 62 is 5+ under today's par 78
Jockey Axel Concepcion 33% career 3-for-30 on dirt this meet (10%) · Trainer Kelsey Danner 35% career 0-for-1 on dirt this meet
Also today · Jockey R6: Gimme Some Lovin 7-2, R8: In Total Awe 3-1, R9: McKeonville 5-1 · Trainer R6: Gimme Some Lovin 7-2, R9: McKeonville 5-1
CLASS DROP3 WORKS IN 30 DAYS
Off 46 days since the last start. Dropped in well back early last out, 4th of 5 at the first call.
PACE HELPS Stalks an honestly pressed pace from a good spot.
WORKS SHARP Fit-looking prep next to these rivals: 3 works in 30d, last 6d ago
RECORD Axel Concepcion from post 8 here: 2 wins, 10 top-3 in 38 rides · 10% wins from all posts here
Last three races
Date Trk Dist Class Finish Fig Odds Eq Trip
9/16 CD 1m D MCL 30k 4th/5 -2L 59 3.0-1 Four wide bid; hung
8/8 ELP 1m T Moc50000 6th/10 -6½L 62 7.0-1 Step slow start; 2-3p
6/13 IND 5f T MSW 5th/7 -12L 51 7.9-1 Off slow4p1/4;improved
9Captain Call▼LSRan 5thK. Asmussen · S. AsmussenAsmussen · AsmussenC3412-1Fair 15-16%—34C▼ Best fig 34 is 5+ under today's par 78LS
Card model 6% · Fair odds 15-1 · Our #7 · Tier C · Last 3 figs 34
▼ Best fig 34 is 5+ under today's par 78LS
Longshot read: 12-1 on the morning line, and the model has it at 6% against a line of 6%. A read, not a bet.
Jockey Keith J Asmussen 34% career 1-for-25 on dirt this meet (4%) · Trainer Steven M Asmussen 36% career 5-for-42 on dirt this meet (12%) ★ hot
Also today · Jockey R1: Glenadean 6-1, R2: Ashes And Diamonds 3-1, R8: Feminism 12-1 · Trainer R2: Ashes And Diamonds 3-1, R3: Love A Warrior 4-5, R8: Feminism 12-1
4 WORKS IN 30 DAYS
Comes off a turf start and tries the dirt here. Needs to move up: the best of its last five is 34 against a 78 par.
PACE CHALLENGE No running style on file yet, so the pace shape can't be applied to it.
WORKS SHARP Active work pattern for this group, 4 works in 30d and the last 5d back
RECORD Keith J Asmussen from post 9 here: 1 win, 5 top-3 in 28 rides · 10% wins from all posts here
Last three races
Date Trk Dist Class Finish Fig Odds Eq Trip
9/3 KD 1m T MSW 10th/10 -14L 34 16-1 Sqzd st;eased stretch
10Army Run▼Ran 9thE. Morales · G. GarciaMorales · GarciaC42 -5 52▲▲+18@trip -520-1Fair 30-13%▲▲ Big jump +1842 -5 52@trip -5C▼ Best fig 52 is 5+ under today's par 78
Card model 3% · Fair odds 30-1 · Our #9 · Tier C · Form ▲▲ Big jump +18 · Best fig at today's trip -5 (1 tries) · Last 3 figs 42 -5 52
▼ Best fig 52 is 5+ under today's par 78
Jockey Edgar Morales 32% career 5-for-29 on dirt this meet (17%) · Trainer Genaro Garcia 32% career 1-for-3 on dirt this meet
Also today · Jockey R3: Take Charge Beach 8-1, R5: Surfin' M 8-1, R9: Kiss The Medal 15-1 · Trainer R3: Take Charge Beach 8-1, R7: Social Hour 4-1
Changes barns, from Mark Jr Simms to Genaro Garcia. Goes a mile after running 6½ furlongs last time.
PACE CHALLENGE Style isn't established yet, so how it fits this shape is open.
WORKS Average work schedule for this field (2 works in 30d, last 9d ago)
RECORD Edgar Morales from post 10 here: 2 wins, 14 top-3 in 42 rides · 10% wins from all posts here
Last three races
Date Trk Dist Class Finish Fig Odds Eq Trip
9/20 CD 6½f D MCL 30kc 8th/10 -5L 42 18-1 Brk out;bmp;vied;faded
9/5 CNL 1m D MSW 9th/9 -22L -5 17-1 Brief speed btwn;stopd
8/9 CNL 5½f D MSW 9th/9 -7¼L 52 7.6-1 Brk slow;2-3w;6w upr

Date	Trk	Dist	Class	Finish	Fig	Odds	Trip
9/23	CD	1m D	MSW	7th/9 -9L	59	20-1	3p; no factor
9/3	KD	1m T	MSW	9th/10 -12L	41	13-1	Stdy early;no factor
8/8	ELP	1m T	Moc50000	5th/10 -8½L	63	15-1	Slw st;3p;5p upr;ranon

Date	Trk	Dist	Class	Finish	Fig	Odds	Trip
9/16	CD	1m D	MCL 30k	4th/5 -2L	59	3.0-1	Four wide bid; hung
8/8	ELP	1m T	Moc50000	6th/10 -6½L	62	7.0-1	Step slow start; 2-3p
6/13	IND	5f T	MSW	5th/7 -12L	51	7.9-1	Off slow4p1/4;improved

Date	Trk	Dist	Class	Finish	Fig	Odds	Trip
9/20	CD	6½f D	MCL 30kc	8th/10 -5L	42	18-1	Brk out;bmp;vied;faded
9/5	CNL	1m D	MSW	9th/9 -22L	-5	17-1	Brief speed btwn;stopd
8/9	CNL	5½f D	MSW	9th/9 -7¼L	52	7.6-1	Brk slow;2-3w;6w upr

▲ / ▼ angle for / against · ★ best figure at the trip · LS longshot read · 1 2 3 = our top three · A B C tiers · ▲ ► ▼ form · ≡ ↕ steady / up-and-down. Tap a row for its notes, a name for the horse's page. Analysis only. Pace: hard to project, too many first-time starters.

How to read these marks

1 2 3: Our top three by the card model's win chance. Tap “Our order” to sort by it.
Win %, Fair: The card model's chance to win, and the odds that chance works out to with no takeout. Fair is green when the model rates the horse above its morning line (the line scaled to add up to 100%).
Tier A B C ?: The field ranked on recent speed figures and the morning line together: A = top three, B = next three, C = the rest, ? = no figures yet.
71 60 72: Last three speed figures, newest first. “@trip 75” = best figure at today's distance (within 30 yards) on this surface.
▲▲ ▲ ► ▼ ▼▼: Form: last figure against the average of the three before it. ▲ = up 3 or more, ▲▲ = up 8 or more, ► = within 3, ▼ / ▼▼ = down. The number is the difference.
≡ ↕: ≡ steady: the last four figures sit close together. ↕ up-and-down: they swing widely.
★: Best figure in the field at today's distance and surface, from two or more tries, not tied. When that horse isn't in our top three it gets a “Distance horse” note above the field.
▲ ▼ chips: Handicapping angles for or against the horse. LS = longshot read: 8-1 or more on the morning line and the model rates it higher than that line.

These marks describe the past performances. None of them is proven to beat the odds: in our test of 100 handicapping angles, nothing did better than the final odds, and the morning-line favourite wins more races than our top-ranked horse. Read them as notes, not as a reason to bet.

● Official result

$2 payoffs · our pre-race read is unchanged below

Our top pick, #5 Windsock, won.

1st5WindsockWin$5.44Place$3.70Show$2.76Our #1

2nd2Good HandWin—Place$8.18Show$5.14Our #2

3rd4Mambo ManWin—Place—Show$4.40Our #8

4th3Power Of VinoOur #4

Race conditions and our readpace, conditions, story

CHURCHILL DOWNS · RACE 4

OFFICIAL

Maiden Claiming $20,000

Field

10 runners

Purse

$48,000

Post

2:27 PM ET

Pace

Pressed Pace

Card model top pick

#5 · 22%

Maiden Claiming, for 2-year-olds.

Maiden claiming — for horses that have never won, and every starter is also for sale at the claiming price. Typically the easiest class of race.

● Track record at 1 Mile: 93.26

The shape is the story here: there's little established early speed, so a tactical horse can control soft fractions up front and prove hard to run down.

Our number tops on #5 Windsock (a presser/stalker, M/L 7-2). Recent figures: 68 · 56. It hit the board last time and stays in form. Backup is #2 Good Hand at 4-1. Use #7 Mo Reviews in exotic structures.

What would change our mind: a key scratch that reshapes the early pace, a sharp turf-to-dirt or surface switch off the rail, or live money showing up on a horse the board had dismissed. Watch the tote late.

● OUTCOME · WON

Top pick Windsock won

What worked

✓ Top pick in the money (1st)
✓ Winner came from our top 3 (our #1)
✓ Our top 3 finished 1st, 2nd, 7th

TBredIQ ranking → finish

#1	#5 WINDSOCK	1st
#2	#2 GOOD HAND	2nd
#3	#7 MO REVIEWS	7th
#4	#3 POWER OF VINO	4th
#5	#6 ASHER DASHER	6th

Actual finish

1st	#5 Windsock	our #1
2nd	#2 Good Hand	our #2
3rd	#4 Mambo Man	our #8
4th	#3 Power of Vino	our #4
5th	#9 Captain Call	our #7

At a glance: model vs the morning line

At a glance

Market favourite #5 WINDSOCK (7-2) — our number agrees.
#5 WINDSOCK — our top number on the card, about right at the windows (19.1% to their 17.6%).
#2 GOOD HAND — our #2 number, about right at the windows (17.9% to their 15.9%).
#3 POWER OF VINO — our #4 number, about right at the windows (12.8% to their 13.2%).

Model vs the morning line · analysis, not advice

The model and the morning line roughly agree on this field.

Pacewho goes to the front

Pace

Pressed Pace. Speed under pressure from multiple pressers. Likely honest pace, slight closer benefit.

Likely leader: #4 Mambo Man; the shape helps #5 Windsock, #8 Concrete Overlay; and works against #1 Faraz, #2 Good Hand, #3 Power Of Vino.

Lead

4Mambo Man78

Press

none

Stalk

5Windsock868Concrete Overlay77

none

No style yet

10Army Run912Good Hand757Mo Reviews751Faraz739Captain Call723Power Of Vino716Asher Dasher71

Number = last-race early-pace figure. Green border = the shape helps; red = it works against.

Early speed and closing figures, horse by horse

Early Pace · E1 figure · front runners

Windsock

Mambo Man

Concrete Overlay

Closing Kick · late-pace figure

Captain Call

Mambo Man

Concrete Overlay

Power Of Vino

Windsock

Faraz

Army Run

Good Hand

Asher Dasher

Mo Reviews

Bet types offeredwager menu

Bet types

Wagers offered on this race.

DAILY DOUBLE / EXACTA / TRIFECTA / SUPERFECTA / PICK 3 (RACES 4-5-6)

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