R10 Gulfstream Park · Optional Claiming $75,000

4:42 PM ET · 5 Furlongs Dirt · $54,000 · 4 runners (3 out)4:42 PM · 5f Dirt · 4 runners (3 out)

Official $54K · Optional Claiming $75,000

Card modelCard model MediumFormLast 3 figsTier · angles

1Tweed▼Ran 1stM. Meneses · F. GutierrezMeneses · GutierrezC77 68 53▲▲+20↕8-1Fair 12-18%▲▲ Big jump +20 · career best77 68 53 ↕C▼ Best fig 77 is 5+ under today's par 86
Card model 8% · Fair odds 12-1 · Our #6 · Tier C · Form ▲▲ Big jump +20 · career best · ↕ Up-and-down figures 50–77 · Last 3 figs 77 68 53
▼ Best fig 77 is 5+ under today's par 86
Jockey Marcos Meneses 27% career 5-for-29 on dirt this meet (17%) · Trainer Faustio Gutierrez 32% career 1-for-5 on dirt this meet
Also today · Jockey R1: Glacia Glaze 8-1, R3: Iolana 12-1, R4: Midnight Laugh 15-1, R6: Troops 5-1 +2 more · Trainer R4: Midnight Laugh 15-1
CLASS UPWON LAST
Won last out in a 7-horse race at GP. Switches from turf to dirt.
PACE CHALLENGE One of several that want the lead, so the early work will cost something. (early-speed points: 7)
WORKS LIGHT Light on works against these rivals (1 work in 30d, last 28d back)
RECORD Marcos Meneses from post 1 here: 11 wins, 42 top-3 in 111 rides · 12% wins from all posts here
Last three races
Date Trk Dist Class Finish Fig Odds Eq Trip
10/9 GP 5f T Moc50000 Won/7 77 9.3-1 b Bmp brk;dug in;held
9/4 CNL 6f D MCL 30k 2nd/8 -1½L 68 4.4-1 b 2w;6w upr;held 2nd
8/9 CNL 5½f D MSW 8th/9 -2½L 53 16-1 Vied ins;steadily fade
2Road to Midnight▼Ran 2ndD. Herrera · J. BraddyHerrera · BraddyB74 57 80▲+7↕4-1Fair 7-113%▲ Up +774 57 80 ↕B▼ Best fig 80 is 5+ under today's par 86
Card model 13% · Fair odds 7-1 · Our #4 · Tier B · Form ▲ Up +7 · ↕ Up-and-down figures 57–80 · Last 3 figs 74 57 80
▼ Best fig 80 is 5+ under today's par 86
Jockey Diego A Herrera 27% career 10-for-70 on dirt this meet (14%) · Trainer J David Braddy 27% career 0-for-5 on dirt this meet
Also today · Jockey R1: Ghosts Lil Secret 6-1, R2: Cuddle The Kitten 6-1, R3: Waves Of Success 4-1, R4: I'm Hot 7-2 +6 more
2/4 board here
Purse drops from $100,000 to $54,000 against its last start. Last race was on the turf; today it runs on the dirt.
PACE CHALLENGE One of several that want the lead, so the early work will cost something. (early-speed points: 6)
WORKS SHARP 4f in :47.80 on Jul 31 was the best time at that distance that morning; 1 work in 30d
RECORD 1 win, 2 on the board from 4 starts here
RECORD Diego A Herrera from post 2 here: 20 wins, 35 top-3 in 74 rides · 19% wins from all posts here
Last three races
Date Trk Dist Class Finish Fig Odds Eq Trip
9/26 GP 5f T HlywdBchB100k 3rd/8 -1L 74 6.2-1 b Loomed; outkicked
8/10 GP 6f D sInSumatinB100k 5th/6 -13L 57 17-1 b Chased 3w; faded
7/13 GP 5f T MSW Won/6 80 3.6-1 b Pace; held sway

Date	Trk	Dist	Class	Finish	Fig	Odds	Eq	Trip
10/9	GP	5f T	Moc50000	Won/7	77	9.3-1	b	Bmp brk;dug in;held
9/4	CNL	6f D	MCL 30k	2nd/8 -1½L	68	4.4-1	b	2w;6w upr;held 2nd
8/9	CNL	5½f D	MSW	8th/9 -2½L	53	16-1		Vied ins;steadily fade

Date	Trk	Dist	Class	Finish	Fig	Odds	Eq	Trip
9/26	GP	5f T	HlywdBchB100k	3rd/8 -1L	74	6.2-1	b	Loomed; outkicked
8/10	GP	6f D	sInSumatinB100k	5th/6 -13L	57	17-1	b	Chased 3w; faded
7/13	GP	5f T	MSW	Won/6	80	3.6-1	b	Pace; held sway

3Boyhood DreamJ. Torrealba · N. RamseyTorrealba · RamseyA76 85 75▼-3@trip 785-230%▼ Down -376 85 75@trip 78A

Card model 30% · Fair odds 5-2 · Our #1 · Tier A · Form ▼ Down -3 · Best fig at today's trip 78 (1 tries) · Last 3 figs 76 85 75

Jockey Jg Torrealba 31% career ★ 4-for-19 on dirt this meet (21%) · Trainer Nolan Ramsey 37% career 1-for-6 on dirt this meet

Also today · Jockey R5: I Know I Know 9-2, R7: Mischief Meister 6-1, R9: Sosua Summer 4-1, R11: Squire 8-1

Best Brisnet figure in the field over its last five: 85, with 82 next best. Shortens up to 5 furlongs after going 6½ furlongs.

PACE CHALLENGE One of several that want the lead, so the early work will cost something. (early-speed points: 6)

WORKS SHARP Fit-looking prep next to these rivals: 2 works in 30d, last 8d ago

RECORD Jg Torrealba from post 3 here: 2 wins, 11 top-3 in 23 rides · 14% wins from all posts here

Last three races

Date	Trk	Dist	Class	Finish	Fig	Odds	Eq	Trip
9/18	PID	6½f D	FDJMemJvB100k	5th/9 -6½L	76	5.7-1	b	Stalked;2-3w turn;wknd
8/29	KD	6½f T	JuvSprnt Stk	6th/11 -3¼L	85	18-1	b	Inside;flattened out
8/10	GP	6f D	sInSumatinB100k	2nd/6 -11L	75	11-1	b	Rallied outside for 2d

4King Cousin B▼Ran 4thL. Reyes · B. LopezReyes · LopezA72 79 78▼-6@trip 787-2Fair 5-116%▼ Down -672 79 78@trip 78A▼ Best fig 79 is 5+ under today's par 863
Card model 16% · Fair odds 5-1 · Our #3 · Tier A · Form ▼ Down -6 · Best fig at today's trip 78 (1 tries) · Last 3 figs 72 79 78
▼ Best fig 79 is 5+ under today's par 86
Jockey Leonel Reyes 30% career 11-for-71 on dirt this meet (15%) · Trainer Bernardo G Lopez 26% career 2-for-6 on dirt this meet
Also today · Jockey R3: Starship Contender 5-1, R4: Winning Charm 6-1, R5: Tank 5-2, R7: Slew Vinbiz 8-1 +2 more
2/3 board here
Runs for $54,000 today after a $100,000 race last time. Comes off a turf start and tries the dirt here.
EVEN PACE Lands behind the duel without having to be part of it.
WORKS LIGHT Thin work schedule next to this field: 1 work in 30d, last one 8d ago
RECORD 1 win, 2 on the board from 3 starts here
RECORD Leonel Reyes from post 4 here: 44 wins, 145 top-3 in 335 rides · 13% wins from all posts here
Last three races
Date Trk Dist Class Finish Fig Odds Eq Trip
9/26 GP 5f T HlywdBchB100k 4th/8 -2L 72 3.3-1 Stdy bid;not enough
8/1 GP 5f T MSW Won/5 by nk 79 0.5-1 Rally 3w;drove clear
6/26 GP 5f D MSW 2nd/5 -2L 78 4.3-1 Chsd;cued3w;missed
5Code Three▼J. Morelos · J. PinchinMorelos · PinchinB80@trip 8012-16%—80@trip 80B▼ Best fig 80 is 5+ under today's par 86
Card model 6% · Fair odds 15-1 · Our #7 · Tier B · Best fig at today's trip 80 (1 tries) · Last 3 figs 80
▼ Best fig 80 is 5+ under today's par 86
Jockey Jose E Morelos 29% career 9-for-56 on dirt this meet (16%) · Trainer Jose Pinchin 23% career 0-for-2 on dirt this meet
Also today · Jockey R1: Adsila 10-1, R2: La Cyber 5-2, R4: La Chinita 15-1, R6: Tshiebwe 8-5 +4 more
3 WORKS IN 30 DAYSWON LAST
Comes in off a victory in a 6-horse maiden claiming $35,000 race at GP. A step up in company: maiden claiming $35,000 before, allowance optional claiming today.
EVEN PACE A stalking spot behind a contested lead is the useful one in this shape.
WORKS SHARP Active work pattern for this group, 3 works in 30d and the last 8d back
RECORD Jose E Morelos from post 5 here: 25 wins, 85 top-3 in 255 rides · 11% wins from all posts here
Last three races
Date Trk Dist Class Finish Fig Odds Eq Trip
9/25 GP 5f D MCL 35k Won/6 80 4.2-1 Cued 2p5/16;5p stretch
6It's Smoking▼E. Perez · R. MinguetPerez · MinguetB71 81@trip 816-110%—71 81@trip 81B▼ Best fig 81 is 5+ under today's par 86
Card model 10% · Fair odds 8-1 · Our #5 · Tier B · Best fig at today's trip 81 (1 tries) · Last 3 figs 71 81
▼ Best fig 81 is 5+ under today's par 86
Jockey Edgar Perez 32% career 3-for-24 on dirt this meet (12%) · Trainer Ramon Minguet 19% career 0-for-4 on dirt this meet
Also today · Jockey R1: Knows Everything 5-1, R2: Awesomely Wild 15-1, R6: Con Compania 3-1 · Trainer R4: Winning Charm 6-1, this race: Ford Roadster 3-1
◆ NOTE · TRIP TROUBLE60D LAYOFF
Cuts back from 6 furlongs to 5 furlongs. Off 83 days since the last start.
PACE CHALLENGE One of several that want the lead, so the early work will cost something. (early-speed points: 6)
TROUBLED TRIP Ran into trouble last out (Bumped st; bid turn), and the figure already reflects it.
WORKS LIGHT Few works lately, 1 work in 30d and the last 17 days ago
RECORD Edgar Perez from post 6 here: 18 wins, 99 top-3 in 219 rides · 10% wins from all posts here
Last three races
Date Trk Dist Class Finish Fig Odds Eq Trip
8/10 GP 6f D sInSumatinB100k 3rd/6 -6L 71 12-1 b Bumped st; bid turn
5/22 GP 5f D MSW Won/7 81 30-1 b 1/2 step slow;3p;drvg
7Ford Roadster▼Ran 3rdY. Torres · R. MinguetTorres · MinguetA74 823-1Fair 5-117%—74 82A▼ 2nd off a layoff after a poor return (74 vs 82)2
Card model 17% · Fair odds 5-1 · Our #2 · Tier A · Last 3 figs 74 82
▼ 2nd off a layoff after a poor return (74 vs 82)
Jockey Yolber Torres 32% career 4-for-26 on dirt this meet (15%) · Trainer Ramon Minguet 19% career 0-for-4 on dirt this meet
Also today · Jockey R6: Simo 8-1, R8: Derbytime D 6-1, R9: Itza Lock 12-1, R11: Brushfire 6-1 · Trainer R4: Winning Charm 6-1, this race: It's Smoking 6-1
Last race was on the turf; today it runs on the dirt. Runs for $54,000 today after a $100,000 race last time.
PACE CHALLENGE Has to fight for the lead against company, and the fractions may cost it late. (early-speed points: 6)
WORKS SHARP Fit-looking prep next to these rivals: 2 works in 30d, last 7d ago
RECORD Yolber Torres from post 7 here: 7 wins, 30 top-3 in 96 rides · 10% wins from all posts here
Last three races
Date Trk Dist Class Finish Fig Odds Eq Trip
9/26 GP 5f T HlywdBchB100k 2nd/8 74 14-1 b Cam in turn;objection
4/19 GP 4½f D MSW Won/6 82 12-1 b Dueled;bid2w;driving

Date	Trk	Dist	Class	Finish	Fig	Odds	Trip
9/26	GP	5f T	HlywdBchB100k	4th/8 -2L	72	3.3-1	Stdy bid;not enough
8/1	GP	5f T	MSW	Won/5 by nk	79	0.5-1	Rally 3w;drove clear
6/26	GP	5f D	MSW	2nd/5 -2L	78	4.3-1	Chsd;cued3w;missed

Date	Trk	Dist	Class	Finish	Fig	Odds	Eq	Trip
9/25	GP	5f D	MCL 35k	Won/6	80	4.2-1		Cued 2p5/16;5p stretch

Date	Trk	Dist	Class	Finish	Fig	Odds	Eq	Trip
8/10	GP	6f D	sInSumatinB100k	3rd/6 -6L	71	12-1	b	Bumped st; bid turn
5/22	GP	5f D	MSW	Won/7	81	30-1	b	1/2 step slow;3p;drvg

Date	Trk	Dist	Class	Finish	Fig	Odds	Eq	Trip
9/26	GP	5f T	HlywdBchB100k	2nd/8	74	14-1	b	Cam in turn;objection
4/19	GP	4½f D	MSW	Won/6	82	12-1	b	Dueled;bid2w;driving

▲ / ▼ angle for / against · ★ best figure at the trip · LS longshot read · 1 2 3 = our top three · A B C tiers · ▲ ► ▼ form · ≡ ↕ steady / up-and-down. Tap a row for its notes, a name for the horse's page. Analysis only. Pace: fast and contested (6 early types). Helps stalkers and closers.

How to read these marks

1 2 3: Our top three by the card model's win chance. Tap “Our order” to sort by it.
Win %, Fair: The card model's chance to win, and the odds that chance works out to with no takeout. Fair is green when the model rates the horse above its morning line (the line scaled to add up to 100%).
Tier A B C ?: The field ranked on recent speed figures and the morning line together: A = top three, B = next three, C = the rest, ? = no figures yet.
71 60 72: Last three speed figures, newest first. “@trip 75” = best figure at today's distance (within 30 yards) on this surface.
▲▲ ▲ ► ▼ ▼▼: Form: last figure against the average of the three before it. ▲ = up 3 or more, ▲▲ = up 8 or more, ► = within 3, ▼ / ▼▼ = down. The number is the difference.
≡ ↕: ≡ steady: the last four figures sit close together. ↕ up-and-down: they swing widely.
★: Best figure in the field at today's distance and surface, from two or more tries, not tied. When that horse isn't in our top three it gets a “Distance horse” note above the field.
▲ ▼ chips: Handicapping angles for or against the horse. LS = longshot read: 8-1 or more on the morning line and the model rates it higher than that line.

These marks describe the past performances. None of them is proven to beat the odds: in our test of 100 handicapping angles, nothing did better than the final odds, and the morning-line favourite wins more races than our top-ranked horse. Read them as notes, not as a reason to bet.

● Official result

$2 payoffs · our pre-race read is unchanged below

Our top pick, #3 Boyhood Dream, was not in the official order (scratched or no finish recorded).

1st1TweedWin$10.60Place$4.60Show—Our #6

2nd2Road To MidnightWin—Place$4.60Show—Our #4

3rd7Ford RoadsterWin—Place—Show—Our #2

4th4King Cousin BOur #3

Race conditions and our readpace, conditions, story

GULFSTREAM PARK · RACE 10

OFFICIAL

Optional Claiming $75,000

Field

7 runners

Purse

$54,000

Post

4:42 PM ET

Pace

Speed Duel

Card model top pick

#3 · 30%

Claiming $75,000, for 2-year-olds.

Claiming race — every starter can be bought for the claiming price out of the race, so owners risk losing a horse that's clearly best. That keeps the field evenly matched on ability.

● Track record at 5 Furlongs: 54.89

The shape is the story here: 5 confirmed front-runners should pressure each other early, which tilts the race toward stalkers and closers who can pick up the pieces late.

Our number tops on #3 Boyhood Dream (early speed, M/L 5-2). Recent figures: 76 · 85 · 75. Backup is #7 Ford Roadster at 3-1. Use #4 King Cousin B in exotic structures.

What would change our mind: a key scratch that reshapes the early pace, a sharp turf-to-dirt or surface switch off the rail, or live money showing up on a horse the board had dismissed. Watch the tote late.

● OUTCOME · OUT

Tweed won (our #6) · top pick Boyhood Dream ran unplaced

What didn't

✗ Top pick off the board (unplaced)
✗ Winner was outside our top 3 (our #6)
✗ Our top 3 finished —, 3rd, 4th

TBredIQ ranking → finish

#1	#3 BOYHOOD DREAM	—
#2	#7 FORD ROADSTER	3rd
#3	#4 KING COUSIN B	4th
#4	#2 ROAD TO MIDNIGHT	2nd
#5	#6 IT'S SMOKING	—

Actual finish

1st	#1 Tweed	our #6
2nd	#2 Road to Midnight	our #4
3rd	#7 Ford Roadster	our #2
4th	#4 King Cousin B	our #3

At a glance: model vs the morning line

At a glance

Market favourite #3 BOYHOOD DREAM (5-2) — our number agrees.
#3 BOYHOOD DREAM — our top number on the card, about right at the windows (23.9% to their 22.2%).
#7 FORD ROADSTER — our #2 number, about right at the windows (19.9% to their 19.4%).
#4 KING COUSIN B — our #3 number, about right at the windows (17.9% to their 17.2%).

Model vs the morning line · analysis, not advice

The model and the morning line roughly agree on this field.

Pacewho goes to the front

Pace

Speed Duel. Three or more early-speed types. Fast pace, hot fractions — closers benefit.

Likely leader: #1 Tweed; pressure from #7 Ford Roadster, #6 It's Smoking; and works against #1 Tweed, #2 Road To Midnight, #3 Boyhood Dream.

Lead

1Tweed977Ford Roadster956It's Smoking942Road To Midnight933Boyhood Dream88

Press

5Code Three89

Stalk

4King Cousin B91

none

Number = last-race early-pace figure. Green border = the shape helps; red = it works against.

Early speed and closing figures, horse by horse

Early Pace · E1 figure · front runners

Tweed

Ford Roadster

It's Smoking

Road To Midnight

King Cousin B

Code Three

Boyhood Dream

Closing Kick · late-pace figure

Code Three

Tweed

Road To Midnight

King Cousin B

Ford Roadster

It's Smoking

Boyhood Dream

Bet types offeredwager menu

Bet types

Wagers offered on this race.

$1 EXACTA / $.50 TRIFECTA / $.10 SUPERFECTA / $5 PLAYERS LATE DOUBLE

$1 COAST TO COAST PICK 5

TBredIQ shows analysis only. We don’t build tickets or suggest amounts.

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