Our top three by win chance, with the morning line beside each horse. Confidence = our top-rated horse's win chance: Strong 35%+, Medium 25-35%, Wide open under 25%. ▲/▼ angles, ★ best figure at the trip, LS = longshot read (8-1+ on the line, model rates it higher). Tap a race number for the full field and a name for the horse's page. These are notes from the past performances, not proven to beat the odds; the morning-line favourite wins more races than our top pick. Analysis only.
● Live race intelligence · code LRL
Laurel Park
Sunday, November 1, 2026.
Races
9
on the card
Feature
R7
Allowance · $48,000 purse · $48K
First post
12:05 PM
ET · race 1
Runners
90
avg field 10
● Track conditions today
Laurel Park — today's signals
Surface read
±0.74s STEADY
Surface holds steady day to day — final times read true off the page, so our speed figures need little adjustment here.
day-to-day swing · 141 race-days sampled
Weather
47° Mostly Cloudy
Clean conditions — surface should run true to the listed condition. No weather adjustment to the model read.
Carryover pool
None today
No mandatory or jackpot carryover detected at this track. Standard pools today.
Do the model's percentages hold up?
Mostly
Across finished races the model's win chances mostly match how often its picks win, but its most confident picks win a few points less than it says. The morning-line favourite still wins more often than the model's top pick.
checked against 2,848 finished races · as of 2026-06-06
TRACK BIAS · WIN % BY POST
Best post #6 (12%) · Rail helps
Even by post — inside 11% / outside 9%. Bars show each post’s win rate vs the track average over 30,844 starts.
Where the model is most sure
Three highest model win %.
The three races where the model's top pick has its highest win chance, with the morning line beside it. Most of these are the favourite too. Tap for the full race.
Every Daily Double and Pick 3/4/5/6 on today's card, with the model's top pick in each leg,
or its top two or three when the leg is close. A Pick N is one pari-mutuel pool: you need the winner of every leg, and the pool is split among the tickets that have them all.
This is analysis, not a ticket or a staking plan.
Pick 3Races 1–3 · 50 CENT min
R1#1 Cara's DreamweaverTop pick
R2#6 Runsweetly · #5 My Dear Antonia · #3 IamdependingonyouClose: top 3
R3#10 Let's Be FrankTop pick
The model’s read per leg, not a ticket.
Pick 5Races 1–5 · 50 CENT min
R1#1 Cara's DreamweaverTop pick
R2#6 Runsweetly · #5 My Dear Antonia · #3 IamdependingonyouClose: top 3
R3#10 Let's Be FrankTop pick
R4#1 MajorcaTop pick
R5#11 Yo AdrianTop pick
The model’s read per leg, not a ticket.
Pick 3Races 2–4 · 50 CENT min
R2#6 Runsweetly · #5 My Dear Antonia · #3 IamdependingonyouClose: top 3
R3#10 Let's Be FrankTop pick
R4#1 MajorcaTop pick
The model’s read per leg, not a ticket.
Pick 4Races 2–5 · 50 CENT min
R2#6 Runsweetly · #5 My Dear Antonia · #3 IamdependingonyouClose: top 3
R3#10 Let's Be FrankTop pick
R4#1 MajorcaTop pick
R5#11 Yo AdrianTop pick
The model’s read per leg, not a ticket.
Pick 3Races 3–5 · 50 CENT min
R3#10 Let's Be FrankTop pick
R4#1 MajorcaTop pick
R5#11 Yo AdrianTop pick
The model’s read per leg, not a ticket.
Pick 4Races 3–6
R3#10 Let's Be FrankTop pick
R4#1 MajorcaTop pick
R5#11 Yo AdrianTop pick
R6#8 Tasty TimeTop pick
The model’s read per leg, not a ticket.
Pick 3Races 4–6 · 50 CENT min
R4#1 MajorcaTop pick
R5#11 Yo AdrianTop pick
R6#8 Tasty TimeTop pick
The model’s read per leg, not a ticket.
Pick 6Races 4–9 · 20 CENT min
R4#1 MajorcaTop pick
R5#11 Yo AdrianTop pick
R6#8 Tasty TimeTop pick
R7#4 BiscuitwiththebossTop pick
R8#5 Sometime · #3 J C's Boys · #1 OverspentClose: top 3
R9#6 RegaloTop pick
The model’s read per leg, not a ticket.
Pick 3Races 5–7 · 50 CENT min
R5#11 Yo AdrianTop pick
R6#8 Tasty TimeTop pick
R7#4 BiscuitwiththebossTop pick
The model’s read per leg, not a ticket.
Pick 5Races 5–9 · 50 CENT min
R5#11 Yo AdrianTop pick
R6#8 Tasty TimeTop pick
R7#4 BiscuitwiththebossTop pick
R8#5 Sometime · #3 J C's Boys · #1 OverspentClose: top 3
R9#6 RegaloTop pick
The model’s read per leg, not a ticket.
Pick 3Races 6–8 · 50 CENT min
R6#8 Tasty TimeTop pick
R7#4 BiscuitwiththebossTop pick
R8#5 Sometime · #3 J C's Boys · #1 OverspentClose: top 3
The model’s read per leg, not a ticket.
Pick 4Races 6–9 · 50 CENT min
R6#8 Tasty TimeTop pick
R7#4 BiscuitwiththebossTop pick
R8#5 Sometime · #3 J C's Boys · #1 OverspentClose: top 3
R9#6 RegaloTop pick
The model’s read per leg, not a ticket.
Pick 3Races 7–9 · 50 CENT min
R7#4 BiscuitwiththebossTop pick
R8#5 Sometime · #3 J C's Boys · #1 OverspentClose: top 3
R9#6 RegaloTop pick
The model’s read per leg, not a ticket.
Today's races
Race-by-race with archetype.
Each race is tagged with pace archetype (TACTICAL · SPEED DUEL · LONE SPEED · CLOSERS' RACE · PACE VACUUM · PRESSED PACE). Click any row for the full Verdict, Pace Shape, Full Field, Workouts, and Wagers.
For information only — not financial or wagering advice. Must be 21+ to wager where required by law. If gambling is affecting you or someone you know, help is available.