R4 Woodbine · Maiden Optional Claiming $40,000

1. 1IlluminaraR. Munger · C. Day-PhillipsMunger · Day-Phillips?8-1Fair 10-19%—Debut?

   Card model 9% · Fair odds 10-1 · Our #5 · Tier ?

   Jockey Ryan Munger 30% career 7-for-40 on dirt this meet (18%) · Trainer Catheri Day-Phillips 1-for-6 on dirt this meet

   Also today · Jockey R7: Katie's Grace 2-1, R8: Classic Lines 6-1, R9: Bad Penny 15-1 · Trainer R7: Katie's Grace 2-1, R9: Lapin De Plage 10-1, R9: Bad Penny 15-1

   Jky 34/175 from post 1

   Makes her first start with no form to go on, only the Souper Speedy and Bright Lights Up breeding. This barn has 37 first-time starters on record and wins 14% of them.

   EVEN PACE No style on record, so the setup says little about it.

   WORKS SHARP One of the busier work schedules here: 3 works in 30d, last 7d ago

   RECORD Ryan Munger from post 1 here: 34 wins, 88 top-3 in 175 rides · 14% wins from all posts here

   Last three races

   First start. By Souper Speedy out of Bright Lights Up (Flat Out)

   Trainer C. Day-Phillips: 1st-time starters: 14% wins, 38% in the money (37 starts) · 2-year-olds: 20% wins, 51% in the money (51 starts)

   Jockey R. Munger in sprints: 28 wins from 156 (18%)

   Work	Trk	Dist	Time	How	Rank
   10/24	WO	5f	1:02.00	breezing	17/20
   10/17	WO	4f	:48.20	breezing	7/19
   10/10	WO	4f	:49.00	breezing	41/72	from gate
   9/26	WO	4f	:49.40	breezing	54/70
   9/19	WO	4f	:48.00	breezing	7/48

2. 2Glint Over Essa▼LSP. Moran · W. TharrenosMoran · TharrenosB6612-1Fair 12-18%—66B▼ Best fig 66 is 5+ under today's par 75LS

   Card model 8% · Fair odds 12-1 · Our #6 · Tier B · Last 3 figs 66

   ▼ Best fig 66 is 5+ under today's par 75LS

   Longshot read: 12-1 on the morning line, and the model has it at 8% against a line of 6%. A read, not a bet.

   Jockey Pietro Moran 32% career 16-for-87 on dirt this meet (18%) · Trainer William Tharrenos 35% career ★ 9-for-37 on dirt this meet (24%)

   Also today · Jockey R1: Edey 8-5, R2: Dontgobackonurword 6-1, R5: Aretha 4-1, R6: Family Love 5-2 +4 more · Trainer R2: Dontgobackonurword 6-1, R2: Gran Spirited 5-2, R5: Noche De Damas 20-1, R6: I Knew I Could 4-1 +1 more

   Purse goes from $53,600 to $71,700, a step up. William Tharrenos takes over the training from Richard G Hayashi.

   EVEN PACE Balanced pace: trip and tactical speed decide it, with no strong setup advantage.

   TROUBLED TRIP Ran into trouble last out (Slw st; 6Wstr; solid try), and the figure already reflects it.

   WORKS Routine prep: 1 work in 30d, last 7d ago

   RECORD Pietro Moran from post 2 here: 42 wins, 107 top-3 in 215 rides · 18% wins from all posts here

   Last three races

   Date	Trk	Dist	Class	Finish	Fig	Odds	Eq	Trip
   10/3	WO	6f D	Moc25000c	2nd/8 -3L	66	2.1-1	L	Slw st;6Wstr;solid try

3. 3Nashville NorthL. Reyes · J. BeggReyes · Begg?10-1Fair 15-17%—Debut?

   Card model 7% · Fair odds 15-1 · Our #7 · Tier ?

   Jockey Luis R Reyes 30% career 3-for-13 on dirt this meet (23%), #1 of 31 · Trainer James Bentley Begg 30% career 2-for-6 on dirt this meet

   Also today · Jockey R11: Olivia's Melody 10-1

   First-time starter from a barn that wins 8% of the time with them (26 tried). It has been schooling from the gate (latest Oct 18).

   EVEN PACE Style isn't established yet, so how it fits this shape is open.

   WORKS LIGHT Light on works against these rivals (3 works in 30d, last 13d back)

   Last three races

   First start. By Souper Speedy out of Zelkova (Lion Heart)

   Trainer J. Begg: 1st-time starters: 8% wins, 38% in the money (26 starts) · 2-year-olds: 11% wins, 46% in the money (71 starts)

   Jockey L. Reyes in sprints: 6 wins from 76 (8%)

   Work	Trk	Dist	Time	How	Rank
   10/18	WO	4f	:51.00	breezing	68/83	from gate
   10/11	WO	4f	:48.80	breezing	47/87
   10/4	WO	3f	:36.20	breezing	1/2	● bullet
   9/26	WO	4f	:47.80	breezing	8/70
   9/20	WO	3f	:39.20	breezing	24/24

4. 4Maria Sofia▲K. Nicholls · M. DouglasNicholls · DouglasA73 71 72►@trip 725-2Fair 4-121%► Steady73 71 72@trip 72A▲ Lone speed on early pace3

   Card model 21% · Fair odds 4-1 · Our #3 · Tier A · Form ► Steady · Best fig at today's trip 72 (1 tries) · Last 3 figs 73 71 72

   ▲ Lone speed on early pace

   Jockey Keveh Nicholls 30% career 6-for-45 on dirt this meet (13%) · Trainer Matt Douglas 24% career 1-for-2 on dirt this meet

   Also today · Jockey R2: Big Baby Henry 7-2, R5: Tap My Desire 12-1

   ★ FASTEST WORK0/3 board here

   Shortens up to 5½ furlongs after going 7 furlongs. Finished 5th in a 9-horse maiden special weight race at WO, beaten 1½ lengths.

   EVEN PACE No pace advantage either way, so this comes down to trip and class. (early-speed points: 6)

   WORKS SHARP Fastest work of the morning on Sep 23 (5F in 1:01.00), 2 works in 30d

   RECORD Not on the board in 3 starts here

   RECORD Keveh Nicholls from post 4 here: 14 wins, 58 top-3 in 134 rides · 12% wins from all posts here

   Last three races

   Date	Trk	Dist	Class	Finish	Fig	Odds	Eq	Trip
   10/3	WO	7f D	MSW	5th/9 -1½L	73	8.2-1	b L	Bid3Pbtwn3/16;faded
   8/30	WO	6½f D	MuskokaB300k	4th/12 -5L	71	9.8-1	b L	Check2P3/16;minors
   8/1	WO	5½f D	MSW	6th/10	72	3.5-1	b L	Vied inside;clear;wknd

5. 5Red Destiny▲L. Salles · A. KatryanSalles · KatryanB75 58@trip 756-1Fair 10-19%—75 58@trip 75B▲ Last fig 75 at/above par 75

   Card model 9% · Fair odds 10-1 · Our #4 · Tier B · Best fig at today's trip 75 (1 tries) · Last 3 figs 75 58

   ▲ Last fig 75 at/above par 75

   Jockey Leo Salles 27% career 1-for-18 on dirt this meet (6%) · Trainer Abraham R Katryan 25% career 0-for-8 on dirt this meet (0%)

   Also today · Jockey R3: Full Star 15-1

   60D LAYOFFLASIX 1ST3 WORKS IN 30 DAYS★ FASTEST WORK

   Returns from a 111-day break, the biggest in the field. Best recent figure of 75 sits right around the 75 par.

   EVEN PACE No pace advantage either way, so this comes down to trip and class. (early-speed points: 4)

   WORKS SHARP 3f in :36.20 on Oct 9 was the best time at that distance that morning; 3 works in 30d

   RECORD Leo Salles from post 5 here: 11 wins, 54 top-3 in 143 rides · 9% wins from all posts here

   Last three races

   Date	Trk	Dist	Class	Finish	Fig	Odds	Eq	Trip
   7/12	WO	5½f D	Moc40000	2nd/6	75	3.6-1	b	Duel lead;caught late
   6/20	WO	4½f D	Moc40000	4th/8 -6L	58	11-1		Came out 8w;gaining

6. 6Karat GoldF. Aebly · S. ChircopAebly · ChircopA69 75 78▼-5@trip 642-1Fair 3-126%▼ Down -569 75 78@trip 64A1

   Card model 26% · Fair odds 3-1 · Our #1 · Tier A · Form ▼ Down -5 · Best fig at today's trip 64 (1 tries) · Last 3 figs 69 75 78

   Jockey Fraser Aebly 32% career 17-for-96 on dirt this meet (18%) · Trainer Steven Chircop 30% career 4-for-25 on dirt this meet (16%)

   Also today · Jockey R1: Twist Of Sugar 2-1, R3: Paddy Holiday 3-1, R5: Pharoah's Affair 8-1, R7: War Signal 8-1 +2 more · Trainer R1: Twist Of Sugar 2-1, R5: Faith Understood 15-1, R10: Souper Diva 8-1, R10: Rock Hard Rose 3-1 +1 more

   Tops the field on speed figures, a 78 against 75 for the next best. Figures have slipped: 78, 75, 69 over its last three.

   EVEN PACE Balanced pace: trip and tactical speed decide it, with no strong setup advantage.

   WORKS LIGHT Few works lately, 1 work in 30d and the last 6 days ago

   RECORD 0 wins, 2 on the board from 5 starts here

   RECORD Fraser Aebly from post 6 here: 31 wins, 84 top-3 in 220 rides · 14% wins from all posts here

   Last three races

   Date	Trk	Dist	Class	Finish	Fig	Odds	Eq	Trip
   9/26	WO	7f D	Moc40000	2nd/7 -3½L	69	2.2-1	b L	Tracked winner;save2nd
   9/5	WO	6½f D	Moc40000	2nd/6 -2L	75	2.9-1	b L	Off slow;angled 5w3/16
   8/15	WO	6½f T	MSW	6th/11 -9½L	78	62-1	b L	4Wturn;passed some

7. 7WhitemudwestR. Hernandez · T. KettlesonHernandez · KettlesonA71 68 56▲+5@trip 757-2Fair 7-221%▲ Up +571 68 56@trip 75A2

   Card model 21% · Fair odds 7-2 · Our #2 · Tier A · Form ▲ Up +5 · Best fig at today's trip 75 (1 tries) · Last 3 figs 71 68 56

   Jockey Rafael Manuel Hernandez 38% career 10-for-56 on dirt this meet (18%) · Trainer Todd Kettleson 28% career 0-for-3 on dirt this meet

   Also today · Jockey R2: Your Valentino 3-1, R5: Majaz 8-5, R7: Madame Obey 12-1, R8: Glorious Gem 9-5 +2 more · Trainer R11: Party Hotline 6-1

   Runs for $71,700 today after a $150,000 race last time. Has moved up each time out, 56 to 68 to 71.

   EVEN PACE The shape is neutral for this one.

   WORKS LIGHT Thin work schedule next to this field: 1 work in 30d, last one 20d ago

   RECORD 0 wins, 1 on the board from 4 starts here

   RECORD Rafael Manuel Hernandez from post 7 here: 31 wins, 84 top-3 in 187 rides · 21% wins from all posts here

   Last three races

   Date	Trk	Dist	Class	Finish	Fig	Odds	Eq	Trip
   10/18	WO	7f D	fsSouthOcenB150k	5th/7 -4½L	71	14-1	b L	Led 5-1/2;btwn;ask7/16
   9/13	WO	6½f D	fsVictrQuenB150k	5th/7 -7½L	68	9.8-1	b	Steadied sharply3/4
   8/30	WO	6½f D	MuskokaB300k	12th/12 -13L	56	17-1	b	Retreat1/4;7Wstr empty

▲ / ▼ angle for / against · ★ best figure at the trip · LS longshot read · 1 2 3 = our top three · A B C tiers · ▲ ► ▼ form · ≡ ↕ steady / up-and-down. Tap a row for its notes, a name for the horse's page. Analysis only. Pace: honest. Speed from #4, #5.