Pick sheet

Race 22:32 PM Trial

1.8F · Dirt · 10 entered. Our model's top pick, Pour Me a Drinkk, is 44% to win (morning line implies 28%). Pace: hard to project, too many first-time starters.

Top pick #1 Pour Me a Drinkk ML 9-5 Fair 6-5 Model #1 Top last-race fig ► Steady ★ Best at 1.81818f dirt: 97 ↕ Up and down 72–97

Jockey J. Flores · Trainer D. Guynes · KEE 2: 2-0-0 · Dist 14: 7-2-2 · best fig at 1.81818f dirt 97 · 21 days off

Date	Trk	Dist	Class	Finish	Fig	Odds	Eq	Trip
10/11	ALB	1.81818f D	sNMSFrDbRG2 G2	Won/9	89	2.3-1	b L	Track;late gain;clear
9/19	ALB	1.81818f D	sDbyTrl 10000	3rd/9 by nk	72	2.7-1	b L	Bobbled; good effort
7/18	ALB	1.81818f D	sZiaDby RG2 G2	4th/10 -¾L	94	2.1-1	b L	Bid early; gave way

Case: Last out won in the sNMSFrDbRG2-G2 at ALB. Last Brisnet figures 89-72-94. Best at today's distance 97. 7-for-14 at the distance. 2-for-2 at Zia Park. D. Guynes / J. Flores.

Knock: Nothing glaring on paper.

Contender #3 Jingle Wood ML 5-2 Fair 5-1 Model #2 ▼▼ Big drop -39 ↕ Up and down 55–102

Jockey J. Enriquez · Trainer R. Wilson · KEE 2: 0-2-0 · Dist 13: 2-6-3 · best fig at 1.81818f dirt 91 · 43 days off

Date	Trk	Dist	Class	Finish	Fig	Odds	Eq	Trip
9/19	ALB	1.81818f D	sDbyTrl 10000	2nd/7 -1L	55	2.0-1	b L	Not match for winner
8/1	ALB	1.59091f D	sAlw35700n2x	2nd/10 -½L	90	1.1-1	b L	Bid; up for place
7/4	ALB	1.81818f D	sDbyTrl 10000	3rd/9 -1½L	91	1.0-1	b L	Bumped brk; rallied

Case: Last out 2nd in the sDbyTrl 10000 at ALB. Last Brisnet figures 55-90-91. Best at today's distance 91. 2-for-13 at the distance. 0-for-2 at Zia Park. R. Wilson / J. Enriquez.

Knock: Our model rates this one below its morning line.

Use #2 Hez Rio Trouble ML 9-2 Fair 5-1 Model #3 ► Steady ↕ Up and down 71–98 Last out 3rd in the sNMSFrDbRG2-G2 at ALB. Last Brisnet figures 85-71-91. Best at today's distance 91. 2-for-12 at the distance. 0-for-1 at Zia Park. W. Giles / N. Garcia Jr.. Knock: Nothing glaring on paper.

Jockey N. Garcia Jr. · Trainer W. Giles · KEE 1: 0-0-0 · Dist 12: 2-1-5 · best fig at 1.81818f dirt 91 · 21 days off

Date	Trk	Dist	Class	Finish	Fig	Odds	Eq	Trip
10/11	ALB	1.81818f D	sNMSFrDbRG2 G2	3rd/9 -½L	85	8.4-1	b L	Chase;drift;caught
9/19	ALB	1.81818f D	sDbyTrl 10000	Won/9 by nk	71	3.9-1	b L	Broke slow; rallied
7/4	ALB	1.81818f D	sDbyTrl 10000	5th/9 -1½L	91	10-1	b L	Broke slow; mild bid

Narrowing the field: A #1, #2, #4 · B #3, #5, #9 · C #6, #7, #8, #10

Angles: #4 2nd off a layoff after a poor return (77 vs 94) · #5 2nd off a layoff after a poor return (59 vs 92) · #8 2nd off a layoff after a poor return (53 vs 73) · #10 2nd off a layoff after a poor return (61 vs 84)

R2 ZIA · Trial

2:32 PM ET · 400 Yards Dirt · $12,000 · 9 runners (1 out)2:32 PM · 1.8f Dirt · 9 runners (1 out)

Official $12K · Trial

Card modelCard model StrongFormLast 3 figsTier · angles

1Pour Me a Drinkk★Ran 3rdJ. Flores · D. GuynesFlores · GuynesA89 72 94►↕@trip 979-5Fair 6-544%► Steady89 72 94 ↕@trip 97A★ Best at the trip 971

Card model 44% · Fair odds 6-5 · Our #1 · Tier A · Form ► Steady · ↕ Up-and-down figures 72–97 · Best fig at today's trip 97 (6 tries) · Last 3 figs 89 72 94

★ Best at the trip 97

Jockey James A Flores 32% career 0-for-5 on dirt this meet · Trainer Donald J Guynes 0-for-2 on dirt this meet

Also today · Jockey R1: Grafity 30-1, R3: Maka Nui 15-1, R7: Mystery Alibi 2-1, R9: Flashin The Babes 7-2 · Trainer R3: Maka Nui 15-1, R9: Flashin The Babes 7-2

WON LAST

Winner of a 9-horse race at ALB last time. Runs for $12,000 today after a $430,627 race last time.

PACE CHALLENGE No style on record, so the setup says little about it.

WORKS LIGHT Thin work schedule next to this field: 0 works in 30d, last one 51d ago

Last three races

Date	Trk	Dist	Class	Finish	Fig	Odds	Eq	Trip
10/11	ALB	1.81818f D	sNMSFrDbRG2 G2	Won/9	89	2.3-1	b L	Track;late gain;clear
9/19	ALB	1.81818f D	sDbyTrl 10000	3rd/9 by nk	72	2.7-1	b L	Bobbled; good effort
7/18	ALB	1.81818f D	sZiaDby RG2 G2	4th/10 -¾L	94	2.1-1	b L	Bid early; gave way

2Hez Rio TroubleRan 1stN. Garcia Jr. · W. GilesGarcia Jr. · GilesA85 71 91►↕@trip 919-2Fair 5-116%► Steady85 71 91 ↕@trip 91A3

Card model 16% · Fair odds 5-1 · Our #3 · Tier A · Form ► Steady · ↕ Up-and-down figures 71–98 · Best fig at today's trip 91 (6 tries) · Last 3 figs 85 71 91

Jockey Noe Jr Garcia 33% career 3-for-8 on dirt this meet (38%), #1 of 4 · Trainer Wesley T Giles 33% career 4-for-10 on dirt this meet (40%), #1 of 3 ★ hot

Also today · Jockey R3: Mw B Cause Im Sexy 6-1, R5: McKinlay 2-1, R7: Viva Le Richville 8-1, R10: Rings Of Power 4-1 +1 more · Trainer this race: The Ghan 20-1, this race: Fanncee Pants 20-1, R3: Big Cruz Cartel 10-1, R3: Mw B Cause Im Sexy 6-1 +4 more

Purse drops from $430,627 to $12,000 against its last start. Last out was 3rd, ½ length behind the winner, in a 9-horse race at ALB.

PACE CHALLENGE No style on record, so the setup says little about it.

WORKS LIGHT Light on works against these rivals (0 works in 30d, last 60d back)

Last three races

Date	Trk	Dist	Class	Finish	Fig	Odds	Eq	Trip
10/11	ALB	1.81818f D	sNMSFrDbRG2 G2	3rd/9 -½L	85	8.4-1	b L	Chase;drift;caught
9/19	ALB	1.81818f D	sDbyTrl 10000	Won/9 by nk	71	3.9-1	b L	Broke slow; rallied
7/4	ALB	1.81818f D	sDbyTrl 10000	5th/9 -1½L	91	10-1	b L	Broke slow; mild bid

3Jingle WoodRan 2ndJ. Enriquez · R. WilsonEnriquez · WilsonB55 90 91▼▼-39↕@trip 915-2Fair 5-116%▼▼ Big drop -3955 90 91 ↕@trip 91B2

Card model 16% · Fair odds 5-1 · Our #2 · Tier B · Form ▼▼ Big drop -39 · ↕ Up-and-down figures 55–102 · Best fig at today's trip 91 (3 tries) · Last 3 figs 55 90 91

Jockey Jacob Enriquez 35% career 2-for-15 on dirt this meet (13%) · Trainer Renee Wilson 32% career 1-for-9 on dirt this meet (11%) ★ hot

Also today · Jockey R3: Sure Hit 8-1, R4: Big Bad Leroy Blue 3-1, R5: Notjessaprettyface 5-2, R6: Bigg Oak 15-1 +3 more · Trainer R3: Sure Hit 8-1, R5: Notjessaprettyface 5-2, R10: Lookin Like King 5-1

Owns the highest recent figure here at 102. Trending the wrong way on speed, 91 to 90 to 55.

PACE CHALLENGE Running style isn't established yet, so the pace read is a blank for this one.

WORKS LIGHT Light on works against these rivals (0 works in 30d, last 177d back)

Last three races

Date	Trk	Dist	Class	Finish	Fig	Odds	Eq	Trip
9/19	ALB	1.81818f D	sDbyTrl 10000	2nd/7 -1L	55	2.0-1	b L	Not match for winner
8/1	ALB	1.59091f D	sAlw35700n2x	2nd/10 -½L	90	1.1-1	b L	Bid; up for place
7/4	ALB	1.81818f D	sDbyTrl 10000	3rd/9 -1½L	91	1.0-1	b L	Bumped brk; rallied

4Docs Best Answer▼Ran 4thL. Martinez · M. RodriguezMartinez · RodriguezA77 94 89▼▼-13@trip 896-1Fair 10-19%▼▼ Big drop -1377 94 89@trip 89A▼ 2nd off a layoff after a poor return (77 vs 94)

Card model 9% · Fair odds 10-1 · Our #4 · Tier A · Form ▼▼ Big drop -13 · Best fig at today's trip 89 (3 tries) · Last 3 figs 77 94 89

▼ 2nd off a layoff after a poor return (77 vs 94)

Jockey Luis Martinez 33% career 1-for-5 on dirt this meet · Trainer Manuel Rodolfo Rodriguez 33% career 1-for-6 on dirt this meet

Also today · Jockey R1: Seza Bold Jesse 30-1, R3: Highcardforapoke 5-1, R6: Kadri 20-1, R8: Sezagenuineknockout 2-1 +2 more · Trainer R3: Highcardforapoke 5-1, R10: Unofficial Cartel 6-1

★ FASTEST WORK

Was running in allowance; today's stakes nongraded is an easier level on paper. Fastest 1F work of its morning on Apr 22 (:12.00), a sign it is training forwardly.

PACE CHALLENGE No style on record, so the setup says little about it.

WORKS SHARP 1f in :12.00 on Apr 22 was the best time at that distance that morning; 0 works in 30d

Last three races

Date	Trk	Dist	Class	Finish	Fig	Odds	Eq	Trip
10/16	ALB	1½f D	fsAlw36400n3l	8th/10 -3L	77	1.4-1	L	Off slow; no late run
7/17	ALB	1.59091f D	fsAlw35700n3l	3rd/9 by nk	94	2.7-1	L	Bid; held show
7/4	ALB	1.81818f D	sDbyTrl 10000	6th/9 -1¾L	89	50-1	L	Bore out; bumped brk

5The Ghan▼Ran 8thG. Medrano · W. GilesMedrano · GilesB59 92 94▼▼-33↕@trip 9420-1Fair 99-11%▼▼ Big drop -3359 92 94 ↕@trip 94B▼ 2nd off a layoff after a poor return (59 vs 92)

Card model 1% · Fair odds 99-1 · Our #9 · Tier B · Form ▼▼ Big drop -33 · ↕ Up-and-down figures 59–94 · Best fig at today's trip 94 (7 tries) · Last 3 figs 59 92 94

▼ 2nd off a layoff after a poor return (59 vs 92)

Jockey Gabriel Medrano 22% career · Trainer Wesley T Giles 33% career 4-for-10 on dirt this meet (40%), #1 of 3

Also today · Jockey R3: Big Cruz Cartel 10-1, R9: Z Cowboy 10-1 · Trainer this race: Hez Rio Trouble 9-2, this race: Fanncee Pants 20-1, R3: Big Cruz Cartel 10-1, R3: Mw B Cause Im Sexy 6-1 +4 more

★ FASTEST WORK

Figures have slipped: 94, 92, 59 over its last three. 0 for 12 at today's distance.

PACE CHALLENGE Style isn't established yet, so how it fits this shape is open.

WORKS SHARP Posted the morning's best 1F on Sep 3; 0 works in 30d

Last three races

Date	Trk	Dist	Class	Finish	Fig	Odds	Eq	Trip
9/19	ALB	1.81818f D	sDbyTrl 10000	5th/9 -1¾L	59	11-1	b L	Even effort
7/18	ALB	1.81818f D	sZiaDby RG2 G2	6th/10 -1¼L	92	54-1	b L	Mild bid
7/4	ALB	1.81818f D	sDbyTrl 10000	2nd/9 -½L	94	34-1	b L	Bore out; bid

6Fanncee PantsRan 7thF. Zamora · W. GilesZamora · GilesC80 72 76▲+3@trip 7820-1Fair 50-12%▲ Up +380 72 76@trip 78C

Card model 2% · Fair odds 50-1 · Our #8 · Tier C · Form ▲ Up +3 · Best fig at today's trip 78 (3 tries) · Last 3 figs 80 72 76

Jockey Francisco Zamora 14% career 1-for-8 on dirt this meet (12%) · Trainer Wesley T Giles 33% career 4-for-10 on dirt this meet (40%), #1 of 3

Also today · Jockey R1: Capshaw Heze 10-1, R3: Cq Coyame Jessy 3-1, R4: Zee Queen 15-1, R6: Doc Paskowitz 3-1 +2 more · Trainer this race: Hez Rio Trouble 9-2, this race: The Ghan 20-1, R3: Big Cruz Cartel 10-1, R3: Mw B Cause Im Sexy 6-1 +4 more

60D LAYOFF★ FASTEST WORKWON LAST

92 days since the last start, the longest layoff in here, so it needs the works to say it's ready. Jockey switch: Gabriel Medrano last out, Francisco Zamora today.

PACE CHALLENGE No style on record, so the setup says little about it.

WORKS SHARP Fastest work of the morning on Jun 12 (1.5F in :16.40), 1 work in 30d

Last three races

Date	Trk	Dist	Class	Finish	Fig	Odds	Eq	Trip
8/1	ALB	1.59091f D	fsMdSpWt	Won/9 by hd	80	2.2-1	b L	Strong late surge
7/4	ALB	1.81818f D	sDbyTrl 10000	7th/9 -4L	72	49-1	b L	In tight; never fired
4/3	SUN	1.59091f D	fsMdSpWt	8th/10 -1½L	76	1.0-1	b L	Bmpd st;no rally

7Jet Black EaglesRan 6thC. Ramos · R. SedilloRamos · SedilloC66 89 56▼▼-11↕@trip 8915-1Fair 30-13%▼▼ Big drop -1166 89 56 ↕@trip 89C

Card model 3% · Fair odds 30-1 · Our #7 · Tier C · Form ▼▼ Big drop -11 · ↕ Up-and-down figures 56–89 · Best fig at today's trip 89 (6 tries) · Last 3 figs 66 89 56

Jockey Christian Ramos 34% career 1-for-6 on dirt this meet · Trainer Richard D Sedillo 35% career ★ hot

Also today · Jockey R1: Dont Let Me Downn 5-1, R1: Menacing Lil Jessy 20-1, R3: Bigg Star 12-1, R4: King Of Crowns 10-1 +2 more · Trainer R1: Dont Let Me Downn 5-1

Gets a new rider, Christian Ramos replacing Jose Refugio Herrera-Caro. Sheds 4 pounds from its last start.

PACE CHALLENGE No running style on file yet, so the pace shape can't be applied to it.

TROUBLED TRIP Mild bid; faltered late last out; the speed figure already reflects it.

WORKS SHARP Posted the morning's best 1F on May 22; 1 work in 30d

Last three races

Date	Trk	Dist	Class	Finish	Fig	Odds	Eq	Trip
9/19	ALB	1.81818f D	sDbyTrl 10000	4th/9 -1½L	66	18-1	b L	Mild bid;faltered late
9/7	ALB	1.81818f D	sAlw35700n3l	5th/9 -¾L	89	3.8-1	b L	Bumpd strt;good effort
8/1	ALB	1.81818f D	Alw n3l	9th/9 -7L	56	9.7-1	b L	Off slow; no threat

8Staceys Heavensent▼L. Valenzuela · D. McArthurValenzuela · McArthurC53 73 70▼▼-19↕@trip 7330-1<1%▼▼ Big drop -1953 73 70 ↕@trip 73C▼ 2nd off a layoff after a poor return (53 vs 73)

Card model <1% · Our #10 · Tier C · Form ▼▼ Big drop -19 · ↕ Up-and-down figures 53–73 · Best fig at today's trip 73 (2 tries) · Last 3 figs 53 73 70

▼ 2nd off a layoff after a poor return (53 vs 73)

Jockey Luis A Valenzuela 35% career 1-for-2 on dirt this meet · Trainer Donna McArthur

Also today · Jockey R6: Jess Got The Money 2-1

◆ NOTE · TRIP TROUBLE

A big drop, allowance to stakes nongraded, and worth asking why. 7th last time, 2¾ lengths back, in a field of 9.

PACE CHALLENGE Style isn't established yet, so how it fits this shape is open.

TROUBLED TRIP Broke in; bumped last out; the speed figure already reflects it.

WORKS LIGHT Few works lately, 0 works in 30d and the last 57 days ago

Last three races

Date	Trk	Dist	Class	Finish	Fig	Odds	Eq	Trip
9/20	ALB	1.81818f D	sAlw35800n2l	7th/9 -2¾L	53	33-1	b L	Broke in; bumped
7/10	ALB	1.81818f D	sMd10000	Won/10	73	55-1	b L	Away alertly; driving
4/12	SRP	1.59091f D	sMd12500	7th/10 -2¾L	70	46-1	b L	No menace

9Moonlight EmberRan 5thO. Andrade Jr. · D. Gomez-BarrazaAndrade Jr. · Gomez-BarrazaB52 87 91▼▼-38↕@trip 9110-1Fair 20-14%▼▼ Big drop -3852 87 91 ↕@trip 91B

Card model 4% · Fair odds 20-1 · Our #6 · Tier B · Form ▼▼ Big drop -38 · ↕ Up-and-down figures 52–93 · Best fig at today's trip 91 (5 tries) · Last 3 figs 52 87 91

Jockey Oscar Jr Andrade 14% career 2-for-10 on dirt this meet (20%) · Trainer David M Gomez-Barraza 32% career 4-for-10 on dirt this meet (40%), #1 of 3

Also today · Jockey R1: Thank Kvin 8-1, R3: Sya Narra 2-1, R4: Steal A Badger 15-1, R7: If Im Lethal 10-1 +4 more · Trainer R1: Thank Kvin 8-1, R1: Menacing Lil Jessy 20-1, R3: Sya Narra 2-1, R9: Primero Cartel 10-1

3rd of 33 at 1F on Oct 8, in :11.60. Trending the wrong way on speed, 91 to 87 to 52.

PACE CHALLENGE No running style on file yet, so the pace shape can't be applied to it.

WORKS LIGHT Light on works against these rivals (0 works in 30d, last 158d back)

Last three races

Date	Trk	Dist	Class	Finish	Fig	Odds	Eq	Trip
9/19	ALB	1.81818f D	sDbyTrl 10000	8th/9 -4¼L	52	9.2-1	b L	Off slow; no rally
9/10	ALB	1.81818f D	sAlw35600n3l	4th/9 -1¾L	87	2.8-1	b L	Awkwrd st; no late bid
7/18	ALB	1.81818f D	sAlw35700n3l	3rd/10 -1L	91	3.4-1	b L	Bid; held for show

10Forbidden Wines▼Ran 9thJ. Ortiz · M. RamirezOrtiz · RamirezC61 84 74▼▼-20↕@trip 8412-1Fair 20-14%▼▼ Big drop -2061 84 74 ↕@trip 84C▼ 2nd off a layoff after a poor return (61 vs 84)

Card model 4% · Fair odds 20-1 · Our #5 · Tier C · Form ▼▼ Big drop -20 · ↕ Up-and-down figures 61–84 · Best fig at today's trip 84 (4 tries) · Last 3 figs 61 84 74

▼ 2nd off a layoff after a poor return (61 vs 84)

Jockey Jose Enrique Ortiz 37% career 0-for-2 on dirt this meet · Trainer Marc Anthony Ramirez 32% career 0-for-1 on dirt this meet ★ hot

◆ NOTE · TRIP TROUBLE

Winless in 9 starts at this distance. Finished 8th in a 10-horse maiden special weight race at ALB, beaten 5¾ lengths.

PACE CHALLENGE No style on record, so the setup says little about it.

TROUBLED TRIP Ran into trouble last out (Bumped; pinched back), and the figure already reflects it.

WORKS LIGHT Light on works against these rivals (0 works in 30d, last 60d back)

Last three races

Date	Trk	Dist	Class	Finish	Fig	Odds	Eq	Trip
10/3	ALB	1.81818f D	sMdSpWt	8th/10 -5¾L	61	3.2-1	b L	Bumped; pinched back
2/13	SUN	1½f D	sMdSpWt	4th/10 by nk	84	3.0-1	b L	Broke thru gate
1/10	SUN	1.81818f D	sAlw ---s	3rd/8 by nk	74	7.3-1	b L	Bmp brk;duel;caught

▲ / ▼ angle for / against · ★ best figure at the trip · LS longshot read · 1 2 3 = our top three · A B C tiers · ▲ ► ▼ form · ≡ ↕ steady / up-and-down. Tap a row for its notes, a name for the horse's page. Analysis only. Pace: hard to project, too many first-time starters.

How to read these marks

1 2 3: Our top three by the card model's win chance. Tap “Our order” to sort by it.
Win %, Fair: The card model's chance to win, and the odds that chance works out to with no takeout. Fair is green when the model rates the horse above its morning line (the line scaled to add up to 100%).
Tier A B C ?: The field ranked on recent speed figures and the morning line together: A = top three, B = next three, C = the rest, ? = no figures yet.
71 60 72: Last three speed figures, newest first. “@trip 75” = best figure at today's distance (within 30 yards) on this surface.
▲▲ ▲ ► ▼ ▼▼: Form: last figure against the average of the three before it. ▲ = up 3 or more, ▲▲ = up 8 or more, ► = within 3, ▼ / ▼▼ = down. The number is the difference.
≡ ↕: ≡ steady: the last four figures sit close together. ↕ up-and-down: they swing widely.
★: Best figure in the field at today's distance and surface, from two or more tries, not tied. When that horse isn't in our top three it gets a “Distance horse” note above the field.
▲ ▼ chips: Handicapping angles for or against the horse. LS = longshot read: 8-1 or more on the morning line and the model rates it higher than that line.

These marks describe the past performances. None of them is proven to beat the odds: in our test of 100 handicapping angles, nothing did better than the final odds, and the morning-line favourite wins more races than our top-ranked horse. Read them as notes, not as a reason to bet.

● Official result

$2 payoffs · our pre-race read is unchanged below

Our top pick, #1 Pour Me A Drinkk, finished 3rd.

1st2Hez Rio TroubleWin$10.60Place$4.40Show$2.40Our #3

2nd3Jingle WoodWin—Place$4.80Show$2.40Our #2

3rd1Pour Me A DrinkkWin—Place—Show$2.10Our #1

4th4Docs Best AnswerOur #4

Race conditions and our readpace, conditions, story

ZIA · RACE 2

OFFICIAL

Trial

Field

10 runners

Purse

$12,000

Post

2:32 PM ET

Pace

Pace Vacuum

Card model top pick

#1 · 44%

Stakes, for 3-year-olds, restricted to state-bred (registered) horses.

Stakes race — the top class. Owners pay entry/nomination fees that build the purse, which draws the best horses available.

● Breed: Quarter Horse

● Track record at 400 Yards: 18.78

The shape is the story here: the early pace looks honest rather than contested — expect a fairly run race where class and trip decide it, not pace collapse.

Our number tops on #1 Pour Me A Drinkk (a tactical type, M/L 9-5). Recent figures: 89 · 72 · 94. It exits a win and is clearly doing well. Backup is #3 Jingle Wood at 5-2. Use #2 Hez Rio Trouble in exotic structures.

What would change our mind: a key scratch that reshapes the early pace, a sharp turf-to-dirt or surface switch off the rail, or live money showing up on a horse the board had dismissed. Watch the tote late.

● OUTCOME · 3RD

Top pick Pour Me A Drinkk ran 3rd · Hez Rio Trouble won (our #3)

What worked

✓ Top pick in the money (3rd)
✓ Winner came from our top 3 (our #3)
✓ Our top 3 finished 3rd, 2nd, 1st

TBredIQ ranking → finish

#1	#1 POUR ME A DRINKK	3rd
#2	#3 JINGLE WOOD	2nd
#3	#2 HEZ RIO TROUBLE	1st
#4	#4 DOCS BEST ANSWER	4th
#5	#10 FORBIDDEN WINES	9th

Actual finish

1st	#2 Hez Rio Trouble	our #3
2nd	#3 Jingle Wood	our #2
3rd	#1 Pour Me a Drinkk	our #1
4th	#4 Docs Best Answer	our #4
5th	#9 Moonlight Ember	our #6

At a glance: model vs the morning line

At a glance

Market favourite #1 POUR ME A DRINKK (9-5) — our number agrees.
#1 POUR ME A DRINKK — our top number on the card, and the board's letting him go too cheap — we make him 31.0%, they've got 26.9%.
#3 JINGLE WOOD — our #2 number, about right at the windows (21.6% to their 21.6%).
#2 HEZ RIO TROUBLE — our #3 number, and the board's letting him go too cheap — we make him 15.8%, they've got 13.7%.

Model vs the morning line · analysis, not advice

#1 POUR ME A DRINKK — we make it 31.0%, the morning line works out to 26.9%. That gap is the model's opinion, not a price; pools pay the final odds, and on our records these gaps haven't paid off.
#2 HEZ RIO TROUBLE — we make it 15.8%, the morning line works out to 13.7%. That gap is the model's opinion, not a price; pools pay the final odds, and on our records these gaps haven't paid off.

Pacewho goes to the front

Pace

Pace Vacuum. No real early speed. Whoever shows up first is likely uncontested. Pressers benefit.

and works against #1 Pour Me A Drinkk, #2 Hez Rio Trouble, #3 Jingle Wood.

Lead

none

Press

none

Stalk

none

No style yet

1Pour Me A Drinkk2Hez Rio Trouble3Jingle Wood4Docs Best Answer5The Ghan6Fanncee Pants7Jet Black Eagles8Staceys Heavensent9Moonlight Ember10Forbidden Wines

Number = last-race early-pace figure. Green border = the shape helps; red = it works against.

Early speed and closing figures, horse by horse

Closing Kick · late-pace figure

Jingle Wood

The Ghan

Jet Black Eagles

Moonlight Ember

Staceys Heavensent

Forbidden Wines

Pour Me A Drinkk

Hez Rio Trouble

Docs Best Answer

Fanncee Pants

Bet types offeredwager menu

Bet types

Wagers offered on this race.

2ND HALF $1 EARLY DAILY DOUBLE / $1 EXACTA / .50 TRIFECTA / .10 SUPERFECTA

1ST LEG .50 PICK 4

TBredIQ shows analysis only. We don’t build tickets or suggest amounts.

BET OPTIONS

WinPlaceShowExactaTrifectaSuperfecta

Wagers offered on this race — analysis only, no stake sizing.