Pick sheet

Race 64:20 PM Md 7500

1.5F · Dirt · 12 entered. Our model's top pick, Jess Got the Money, is 35% to win (morning line implies 32%). Pace: hard to project, too many first-time starters.

Top pick #3 Jess Got the Money ML 2-1 Fair 9-5 Model #1 ► Steady ≡ Steady 72–81 Blinkers on

Jockey L. Valenzuela · Trainer E. Munoz · Dist 4: 0-0-1 · best fig at 1½f dirt 79 · 64 days off

Date	Trk	Dist	Class	Finish	Fig	Odds	Eq	Trip
8/29	ALB	1.59091f D	fsMdSpWt	10th/10 -3L	78	5.8-1		Never fired
3/13	RP	1.36364f D	MSW	6th/10 -¾L	79	3.9-1	b L	Bmpd; no late kick
1/10	SUN	1.81818f D	sAlw ---s	3rd/8 -2L	72	12-1	b L	Chase on

Case: Last out 10th/10 -3L in the fsMdSpWt at ALB. Last Brisnet figures 78-79-72. Best at today's distance 79. 0-for-4 at the distance. E. Munoz / L. Valenzuela.

Knock: Off 64 days. Never raced at Zia Park.

Contender #7 Doc Paskowitz ML 3-1 Fair 4-1 Model #2 ► Steady

Jockey F. Zamora · Trainer B. Barrios · KEE 4: 0-0-1 · Dist 16: 0-0-3 · best fig at 1½f dirt 85 · 30 days off

Date	Trk	Dist	Class	Finish	Fig	Odds	Eq	Trip
10/2	ALB	1.59091f D	MSW	5th/10 -2L	79	54-1	b L	Even effort
9/6	ALB	1½f D	MCL 7k	3rd/10 -1L	85	8.3-1	b L	Steady bid;earned show
7/25	ALB	1.59091f D	MSW	8th/8 -2¼L	67	53-1	b L	Broke well; faded

Case: Last out 5th/10 -2L in the MdSpWt at ALB. Last Brisnet figures 79-85-67. Best at today's distance 85. 0-for-16 at the distance. 0-for-4 at Zia Park. B. Barrios / F. Zamora.

Knock: 0-for-16 at the distance. Our model rates this one below its morning line.

Use #6 Eye Am Baby Moon ML 5-1 Fair 9-2 Model #3 ▲▲ Big jump +24 · career best ↕ Up and down 54–90 Last out 4th/10 -1½L in the Md8000 at ALB. Last Brisnet figures 90-87-57. Best at today's distance 90. 0-for-7 at the distance. L. Iturralde / J. Enriquez. Knock: Never raced at Zia Park. 0-for-7 at the distance.

Jockey J. Enriquez · Trainer L. Iturralde · Dist 7: 0-1-0 · best fig at 1½f dirt 90 · 35 days off

Date	Trk	Dist	Class	Finish	Fig	Odds	Eq	Trip
9/27	ALB	1.36364f D	MCL 8k	4th/10 -1½L	90	8.3-1	b L	Good effort
8/13	ALB	1.36364f D	MCL 10k	5th/10 -2¾L	87	13-1	b L	In-tight220y;willingly
7/10	ALB	1.59091f D	fsMdSpWt	9th/9 -6¼L	57	32-1	b L	Off slow; faded

Longshot #1 Coronel Dashin Ac ML 8-1 Fair 7-1 Model #4 ▼ Down -3 ↕ Up and down 52–87

Jockey R. Ortega · Trainer J. Driver · Dist 6: 0-0-0 · best fig at 1½f dirt 87 · 49 days off

Date	Trk	Dist	Class	Finish	Fig	Odds	Eq	Trip
9/13	ALB	1.81818f D	sMd10000	10th/10 -5¼L	62	30-1	b L	Drifted in;
8/14	ALB	1.81818f D	sMd10000	7th/7 -7L	52	9.5-1	b L	Bore in; bumped
6/19	ALB	1.81818f D	MCL 15k	4th/9 -2L	57	9.4-1	b L	Bumped; gave way

Case: Last out 10th/10 -5¼L in the sMd10000 at ALB. Last Brisnet figures 62-52-57. Best at today's distance 87. 0-for-6 at the distance. J. Driver / R. Ortega.

Knock: Never raced at Zia Park. 0-for-6 at the distance.

★ Distance horse: #11 Jackie Jettin on (12-1) has the best figure in the field at 1½f dirt: 93 from 9 tries, record at the distance 11: 0-1-0. Not one of our picks.

Narrowing the field: A #6, #7, #12 · B #3, #5, #11 · C #1, #2, #4, #8, #9, #10

Angles: #4 Age 5+ at a price, figures fall as the distance rises · #8 2nd off a layoff after a poor return (62 vs 75)

R6 ZIA · Maiden Claiming $7,500

4:20 PM ET · 330 Yards Dirt · $26,000 · 9 runners (3 out)4:20 PM · 1½f Dirt · 9 runners (3 out)

Official $26K · Maiden Claiming $7,500

Card modelCard model StrongFormLast 3 figsTier · angles

1Coronel Dashin AcLSRan 8thR. Ortega · J. DriverOrtega · DriverC62 52 57▼-3↕@trip 878-1Fair 7-113%▼ Down -362 52 57 ↕@trip 87CLS

Card model 13% · Fair odds 7-1 · Our #4 · Tier C · Form ▼ Down -3 · ↕ Up-and-down figures 52–87 · Best fig at today's trip 87 (3 tries) · Last 3 figs 62 52 57

Longshot read: 8-1 on the morning line, and the model has it at 13% against a line of 9%. A read, not a bet.

Jockey Raul Ortega 26% career 0-for-2 on dirt this meet · Trainer Jason L Driver 19% career 0-for-1 on dirt this meet

Also today · Jockey R5: Hs Apolos Light 20-1, R7: Miss Abril 4-1, R8: Baby Zhalea 10-1, R10: Jessies In Court 3-1 · Trainer R5: Hs Apolos Light 20-1

Was running in maiden claiming $10,000; today's maiden claiming $7,500 is an easier level on paper. Prime Power, the Brisnet rating, puts it on top of this field.

PACE CHALLENGE No running style on file yet, so the pace shape can't be applied to it.

WORKS SHARP Fit-looking prep next to these rivals: 1 work in 30d, last 23d ago

Last three races

Date	Trk	Dist	Class	Finish	Fig	Odds	Eq	Trip
9/13	ALB	1.81818f D	sMd10000	10th/10 -5¼L	62	30-1	b L	Drifted in;
8/14	ALB	1.81818f D	sMd10000	7th/7 -7L	52	9.5-1	b L	Bore in; bumped
6/19	ALB	1.81818f D	MCL 15k	4th/9 -2L	57	9.4-1	b L	Bumped; gave way

2Real MaximusRan 5thD. Torres · F. MartinezTorres · MartinezC73 70 47▲▲+13↕@trip 8030-1Fair 99-11%▲▲ Big jump +1373 70 47 ↕@trip 80C
Card model 1% · Fair odds 99-1 · Our #9 · Tier C · Form ▲▲ Big jump +13 · ↕ Up-and-down figures 47–73 · Best fig at today's trip 80 (1 tries) · Last 3 figs 73 70 47
Jockey Daniel Antonio Torres 32% career 0-for-2 on dirt this meet · Trainer Frankie H Martinez 32% career 0-for-1 on dirt this meet
Also today · Jockey R1: Total Lunar Eclipse 2-1
★ FASTEST WORK
Figures are climbing: 47, 70, 73 over its last three. 8th last time, 2¼ lengths back, in a field of 10.
PACE CHALLENGE Running style isn't established yet, so the pace read is a blank for this one.
WORKS SHARP Fastest work of the morning on Apr 24 (3F in :36.20), 0 works in 30d
Last three races
Date Trk Dist Class Finish Fig Odds Eq Trip
9/13 ALB 1.81818f D sMd10000 8th/10 -2¼L 73 33-1 b Tired;
8/14 ALB 1.81818f D sMd10000 4th/7 -2L 70 24-1 b Even effort
6/12 ALB 3.95455f D sMd10000 6th/6 -2½L 47 21-1 b Duel;4p;drift;tired
3Jess Got the MoneyRan 4thL. Valenzuela · E. MunozValenzuela · MunozB78 79 72►≡@trip 792-1Fair 9-535%► Steady78 79 72 ≡@trip 79B1
Card model 35% · Fair odds 9-5 · Our #1 · Tier B · Form ► Steady · ≡ Steady figures 72–81 · Best fig at today's trip 79 (2 tries) · Last 3 figs 78 79 72
Jockey Luis A Valenzuela 35% career 1-for-2 on dirt this meet · Trainer Ebert Munoz 28% career
Also today · Jockey R2: Staceys Heavensent 30-1
60D LAYOFFLASIX 1ST
0 for 4 at today's distance. Raises its level, maiden special weight last time and maiden claiming $7,500 now.
PACE CHALLENGE Running style isn't established yet, so the pace read is a blank for this one.
WORKS LIGHT Light on works against these rivals (0 works in 30d, last 79d back)
Last three races
Date Trk Dist Class Finish Fig Odds Eq Trip
8/29 ALB 1.59091f D fsMdSpWt 10th/10 -3L 78 5.8-1 Never fired
3/13 RP 1.36364f D MSW 6th/10 -¾L 79 3.9-1 b L Bmpd; no late kick
1/10 SUN 1.81818f D sAlw ---s 3rd/8 -2L 72 12-1 b L Chase on

Date	Trk	Dist	Class	Finish	Fig	Odds	Eq	Trip
9/13	ALB	1.81818f D	sMd10000	8th/10 -2¼L	73	33-1	b	Tired;
8/14	ALB	1.81818f D	sMd10000	4th/7 -2L	70	24-1	b	Even effort
6/12	ALB	3.95455f D	sMd10000	6th/6 -2½L	47	21-1	b	Duel;4p;drift;tired

4Las Borrachitas▼Ran 6thE. Ramirez · L. DeRamirez · DeC78 76 71▲+3≡@trip 8230-1Fair 50-12%▲ Up +378 76 71 ≡@trip 82C▼ Age 5+ at a price, figures fall as the distance rises

Card model 2% · Fair odds 50-1 · Our #8 · Tier C · Form ▲ Up +3 · ≡ Steady figures 71–78 · Best fig at today's trip 82 (8 tries) · Last 3 figs 78 76 71

▼ Age 5+ at a price, figures fall as the distance rises

Jockey E R Ramirez 33% career · Trainer La Cruz Vilma I De

Also today · Jockey R9: Elvin Musk 5-2

0/3 board here

Still looking for the first win after 11 starts. A big drop, maiden claiming $15,000 to maiden claiming $7,500, and worth asking why.

PACE CHALLENGE No style on record, so the setup says little about it.

WORKS SHARP Fit-looking prep next to these rivals: 2 works in 30d, last 15d ago

RECORD Not on the board in 3 starts here

Last three races

Date	Trk	Dist	Class	Finish	Fig	Odds	Eq	Trip
9/7	ALB	1½f D	MCL 15k	5th/10 -2L	78	70-1	b	Broke out; lost path
8/22	ALB	1.59091f D	MSW	8th/9 -2¾L	76	77-1	b	Never fired
5/1	SRP	1.59091f D	fsMd10000	5th/10 -2¼L	71	6.5-1	b	Stmbldstrt;bmpd;lt bd

5Bigg OakJ. Enriquez · P. SedilloEnriquez · SedilloB73 81 65▲+5↕@trip 8115-1<1%▲ Up +573 81 65 ↕@trip 81B

Card model <1% · Our #10 · Tier B · Form ▲ Up +5 · ↕ Up-and-down figures 59–81 · Best fig at today's trip 81 (1 tries) · Last 3 figs 73 81 65

Jockey Jacob Enriquez 35% career 2-for-15 on dirt this meet (13%) · Trainer Paul Sedillo 35% career 0-for-1 on dirt this meet ★ hot

Also today · Jockey R2: Jingle Wood 5-2, R3: Sure Hit 8-1, R4: Big Bad Leroy Blue 3-1, R5: Notjessaprettyface 5-2 +3 more

Finished 6th in a 10-horse maiden special weight race at ALB, beaten 3¾ lengths. Winless in 4 starts at this distance.

PACE CHALLENGE No style on record, so the setup says little about it.

WORKS LIGHT Few works lately, 0 works in 30d and the last 130 days ago

Last three races

Date	Trk	Dist	Class	Finish	Fig	Odds	Eq	Trip
10/3	ALB	1.81818f D	sMdSpWt	6th/10 -3¾L	73	30-1	b L	Broke in; no threat
8/29	ALB	1.59091f D	MCL 15k	4th/10 -2L	81	34-1	b L	Bore out; bumped break
7/10	ALB	1.81818f D	sMd10000	4th/10 -1¾L	65	40-1	b L	Mild rally late

6Eye Am Baby MoonRan 1stJ. Enriquez · L. IturraldeEnriquez · IturraldeA90 87 57▲▲+24↕@trip 905-1Fair 5-117%▲▲ Big jump +24 · career best90 87 57 ↕@trip 90A3

Card model 17% · Fair odds 5-1 · Our #3 · Tier A · Form ▲▲ Big jump +24 · career best · ↕ Up-and-down figures 54–90 · Best fig at today's trip 90 (7 tries) · Last 3 figs 90 87 57

Jockey Jose Luis Enriquez 35% career 2-for-15 on dirt this meet (13%) · Trainer Luis Daniel Iturralde 27% career 0-for-1 on dirt this meet

Also today · Jockey R1: Magical Marfa 10-1, R4: Outlawking 8-1, R7: Jayannas Girl 12-1, R7: Don Eagle 15-1 +4 more · Trainer R1: Magical Marfa 10-1, R4: Outlawking 8-1, R7: Jayannas Girl 12-1, R9: Strawberry Prize 3-1

Owns the highest recent figure here at 90. Has moved up each time out, 57 to 87 to 90.

PACE CHALLENGE Style isn't established yet, so how it fits this shape is open.

WORKS LIGHT Few works lately, 0 works in 30d and the last 187 days ago

Last three races

Date	Trk	Dist	Class	Finish	Fig	Odds	Eq	Trip
9/27	ALB	1.36364f D	MCL 8k	4th/10 -1½L	90	8.3-1	b L	Good effort
8/13	ALB	1.36364f D	MCL 10k	5th/10 -2¾L	87	13-1	b L	In-tight220y;willingly
7/10	ALB	1.59091f D	fsMdSpWt	9th/9 -6¼L	57	32-1	b L	Off slow; faded

7Doc PaskowitzRan 2ndF. Zamora · B. BarriosZamora · BarriosA79 85 67►@trip 853-1Fair 4-120%► Steady79 85 67@trip 85A2

Card model 20% · Fair odds 4-1 · Our #2 · Tier A · Form ► Steady · Best fig at today's trip 85 (7 tries) · Last 3 figs 79 85 67

Jockey Francisco Zamora 14% career 1-for-8 on dirt this meet (12%) · Trainer Bernadette Barrios 20% career

Also today · Jockey R1: Capshaw Heze 10-1, R2: Fanncee Pants 20-1, R3: Cq Coyame Jessy 3-1, R4: Zee Queen 15-1 +2 more · Trainer R4: Zee Queen 15-1

Maiden through 16 starts. Drops from maiden special weight to maiden claiming $7,500.

PACE CHALLENGE Running style isn't established yet, so the pace read is a blank for this one.

WORKS LIGHT Thin work schedule next to this field: 0 works in 30d, last one 106d ago

Last three races

Date	Trk	Dist	Class	Finish	Fig	Odds	Eq	Trip
10/2	ALB	1.59091f D	MSW	5th/10 -2L	79	54-1	b L	Even effort
9/6	ALB	1½f D	MCL 7k	3rd/10 -1L	85	8.3-1	b L	Steady bid;earned show
7/25	ALB	1.59091f D	MSW	8th/8 -2¼L	67	53-1	b L	Broke well; faded

8Azziz My Heart▼Ran 3rdA. Sigala · J. SinghSigala · SinghC62 75 60▼-6@trip 7530-1Fair 50-12%▼ Down -662 75 60@trip 75C▼ 2nd off a layoff after a poor return (62 vs 75)

Card model 2% · Fair odds 50-1 · Our #7 · Tier C · Form ▼ Down -6 · Best fig at today's trip 75 (1 tries) · Last 3 figs 62 75 60

▼ 2nd off a layoff after a poor return (62 vs 75)

Jockey Alfredo Sigala 24% career · Trainer Johnny Singh 25% career

Also today · Jockey R1: Wasp 15-1, R5: Eye Know Hop 15-1

Last out was 9th, 4¼ lengths behind the winner, in a 9-horse maiden special weight race at ALB. Class relief: maiden special weight last time, maiden claiming $7,500 today.

PACE CHALLENGE Style isn't established yet, so how it fits this shape is open.

WORKS Steady, unremarkable work pattern: 0 works in 30d, last 35d back

Last three races

Date	Trk	Dist	Class	Finish	Fig	Odds	Eq	Trip
10/10	ALB	1.81818f D	sMdSpWt	9th/9 -4¼L	62	31-1	b L	Always outrun
1/9	SUN	1.59091f D	MCL 8k	6th/9 -1½L	75	24-1	b L	Bmp brk;outkicked
11/22	ZIA	1.81818f D	sMd15000	10th/10 -7¼L	60	31-1	b	Outrun

9KadriRan 7thL. Martinez · J. MunizsrMartinez · MunizsrC69 57 63▲▲+9@trip 6320-1Fair 20-15%▲▲ Big jump +9 · career best69 57 63@trip 63C

Card model 5% · Fair odds 20-1 · Our #5 · Tier C · Form ▲▲ Big jump +9 · career best · Best fig at today's trip 63 (3 tries) · Last 3 figs 69 57 63

Jockey Luis Martinez 33% career 1-for-5 on dirt this meet · Trainer Juan Manuel Munizsr

Also today · Jockey R1: Seza Bold Jesse 30-1, R2: Docs Best Answer 6-1, R3: Highcardforapoke 5-1, R8: Sezagenuineknockout 2-1 +2 more

Off 49 days since the last start. 0 for 5 at today's distance.

PACE CHALLENGE Running style isn't established yet, so the pace read is a blank for this one.

WORKS LIGHT Few works lately, 0 works in 30d and the last 110 days ago

Last three races

Date	Trk	Dist	Class	Finish	Fig	Odds	Eq	Trip
9/13	ALB	1.81818f D	sMd10000	9th/10 -3¾L	69	35-1	b L	Faded;
8/21	ALB	1.81818f D	MCL 7k	6th/10 -4L	57	94-1	b L	Block brk;outkicked
2/6	SUN	1.36364f D	sMd10000	8th/10 -4L	63	21-1	b L	Broke in;no threat

10Roll Into VikeRan 9thB. Barraza · E. BachichaBarraza · BachichaC69 77 70▼-3≡@trip 7720-1Fair 30-13%▼ Down -369 77 70 ≡@trip 77C
Card model 3% · Fair odds 30-1 · Our #6 · Tier C · Form ▼ Down -3 · ≡ Steady figures 69–77 · Best fig at today's trip 77 (8 tries) · Last 3 figs 69 77 70
Jockey Brian Cobos Barraza 25% career 0-for-1 on dirt this meet · Trainer Elliott Bachicha 26% career
Also today · Jockey R5: Which Witch 30-1, R8: Apollitical Thunder 3-1, R10: Empty Cartel Pockets 20-1 · Trainer R1: Mr Yin Yang 20-1, R5: Which Witch 30-1, R8: Apollitical Thunder 3-1
60D LAYOFF
142 days since the last start, the longest layoff in here, so it needs the works to say it's ready. 0 for 8 at today's distance.
PACE CHALLENGE Running style isn't established yet, so the pace read is a blank for this one.
WORKS SHARP Fit-looking prep next to these rivals: 2 works in 30d, last 7d ago
Last three races
Date Trk Dist Class Finish Fig Odds Eq Trip
6/12 ALB 1½f D fsMdSpWt 7th/10 -1¾L 69 28-1 b Duel;wkn
5/1 SRP 1.59091f D fsMd10000 3rd/10 -1L 77 9.4-1 b Bmpd; game 2nd
4/4 SUN 1½f D sMdSpWt 6th/9 -3L 70 34-1 b Stp slw;gain;weakened

Date	Trk	Dist	Class	Finish	Fig	Odds	Eq	Trip
6/12	ALB	1½f D	fsMdSpWt	7th/10 -1¾L	69	28-1	b	Duel;wkn
5/1	SRP	1.59091f D	fsMd10000	3rd/10 -1L	77	9.4-1	b	Bmpd; game 2nd
4/4	SUN	1½f D	sMdSpWt	6th/9 -3L	70	34-1	b	Stp slw;gain;weakened

11Jackie Jettin on★L. Marquez · A. GarciaMarquez · GarciaB72 61 79►@trip 9312-1<1%► Steady72 61 79@trip 93B★ Best at the trip 93

Card model <1% · Our #11 · Tier B · Form ► Steady · Best fig at today's trip 93 (9 tries) · Last 3 figs 72 61 79

★ Best at the trip 93

Jockey Larry Marquez 29% career · Trainer Alejandro Garcia 32% career

Still looking for the first win after 11 starts. Class relief: maiden special weight last time, maiden claiming $7,500 today.

PACE CHALLENGE Running style isn't established yet, so the pace read is a blank for this one.

WORKS LIGHT Few works lately, 0 works in 30d and the last 122 days ago

Last three races

Date	Trk	Dist	Class	Finish	Fig	Odds	Eq	Trip
10/9	ALB	1.59091f D	fsMdSpWt	5th/10 -2¼L	72	44-1	L	Broke in;no late kick
9/17	ALB	1½f D	MCL 15k	6th/9 -1¼L	61	36-1	L	Came in brk; no rally
8/29	ALB	1.59091f D	fsMdSpWt	9th/10 -2¾L	79	29-1	L	Off slow; no late run

12Rosetas VikeE. Martinez · M. ArchuletaMartinez · ArchuletaA88 74 73▲▲+20↕@trip 8810-1<1%▲▲ Big jump +20 · career best88 74 73 ↕@trip 88A

Card model <1% · Our #12 · Tier A · Form ▲▲ Big jump +20 · career best · ↕ Up-and-down figures 58–88 · Best fig at today's trip 88 (4 tries) · Last 3 figs 88 74 73

Jockey Edgar S Martinez 33% career 0-for-1 on dirt this meet · Trainer Mike A Archuleta 16% career

Also today · Jockey R4: Wilson Mc 9-2, R8: First Corona Kash 30-1, R9: Cowgirl Kat 15-1

Posted the fastest 1F work of the morning on Apr 2, in :12.00. Figures are climbing: 73, 74, 88 over its last three.

PACE CHALLENGE Style isn't established yet, so how it fits this shape is open.

WORKS SHARP Fastest work of the morning on Apr 2 (1F in :12.00), 0 works in 30d

Last three races

Date	Trk	Dist	Class	Finish	Fig	Odds	Eq	Trip
9/27	ALB	1.36364f D	MCL 8k	7th/10 -1¼L	88	8.9-1	b L	Needed more
8/13	ALB	1.36364f D	MCL 10k	7th/10 -2¼L	74	12-1	b	Lugged in; eq amb
6/12	ALB	1½f D	fsMdSpWt	5th/10 -1½L	73	29-1	b	Drift;chase on

▲ / ▼ angle for / against · ★ best figure at the trip · LS longshot read · 1 2 3 = our top three · A B C tiers · ▲ ► ▼ form · ≡ ↕ steady / up-and-down. Tap a row for its notes, a name for the horse's page. Analysis only. Pace: hard to project, too many first-time starters.

How to read these marks

1 2 3: Our top three by the card model's win chance. Tap “Our order” to sort by it.
Win %, Fair: The card model's chance to win, and the odds that chance works out to with no takeout. Fair is green when the model rates the horse above its morning line (the line scaled to add up to 100%).
Tier A B C ?: The field ranked on recent speed figures and the morning line together: A = top three, B = next three, C = the rest, ? = no figures yet.
71 60 72: Last three speed figures, newest first. “@trip 75” = best figure at today's distance (within 30 yards) on this surface.
▲▲ ▲ ► ▼ ▼▼: Form: last figure against the average of the three before it. ▲ = up 3 or more, ▲▲ = up 8 or more, ► = within 3, ▼ / ▼▼ = down. The number is the difference.
≡ ↕: ≡ steady: the last four figures sit close together. ↕ up-and-down: they swing widely.
★: Best figure in the field at today's distance and surface, from two or more tries, not tied. When that horse isn't in our top three it gets a “Distance horse” note above the field.
▲ ▼ chips: Handicapping angles for or against the horse. LS = longshot read: 8-1 or more on the morning line and the model rates it higher than that line.

These marks describe the past performances. None of them is proven to beat the odds: in our test of 100 handicapping angles, nothing did better than the final odds, and the morning-line favourite wins more races than our top-ranked horse. Read them as notes, not as a reason to bet.

● Official result

$2 payoffs · our pre-race read is unchanged below

Our top pick, #3 Jess Got The Money, finished 4th.

1st6Eye Am Baby MoonWin$7.60Place$3.60Show$2.80Our #3

2nd7Doc PaskowitzWin—Place$5.00Show$3.40Our #2

3rd8Azziz My HeartWin—Place—Show$13.40Our #7

4th3Jess Got The MoneyOur #1

Race conditions and our readpace, conditions, story

ZIA · RACE 6

OFFICIAL

Maiden Claiming $7,500

Field

12 runners

Purse

$26,000

Post

4:20 PM ET

Pace

Pace Vacuum

Card model top pick

#3 · 35%

Maiden Claiming, for 5-year-olds, restricted to state-bred (registered) horses.

Maiden claiming — for horses that have never won, and every starter is also for sale at the claiming price. Typically the easiest class of race.

● Breed: Quarter Horse

● Track record at 330 Yards: 16.25

The shape is the story here: the early pace looks honest rather than contested — expect a fairly run race where class and trip decide it, not pace collapse.

Our number tops on #3 Jess Got The Money (a tactical type, M/L 2-1). Recent figures: 78 · 79 · 72. It needs to turn the form around after a flat last start. Backup is #7 Doc Paskowitz at 3-1. Use #6 Eye Am Baby Moon in exotic structures.

What would change our mind: a key scratch that reshapes the early pace, a sharp turf-to-dirt or surface switch off the rail, or live money showing up on a horse the board had dismissed. Watch the tote late.

● OUTCOME · OUR #3 WON

Eye Am Baby Moon (our #3) won · top pick Jess Got The Money ran 4th

What worked

✓ Winner came from our top 3 (our #3)
✓ Our top 3 finished 4th, 2nd, 1st

What didn't

✗ Top pick off the board (4th)

TBredIQ ranking → finish

#1	#3 JESS GOT THE MONEY	4th
#2	#7 DOC PASKOWITZ	2nd
#3	#6 EYE AM BABY MOON	1st
#4	#1 CORONEL DASHIN AC	8th
#5	#9 KADRI	7th

Actual finish

1st	#6 Eye Am Baby Moon	our #3
2nd	#7 Doc Paskowitz	our #2
3rd	#8 Azziz My Heart	our #7
4th	#3 Jess Got the Money	our #1
5th	#2 Real Maximus	our #9

At a glance: model vs the morning line

At a glance

Market favourite #3 JESS GOT THE MONEY (2-1) — our number agrees.
#3 JESS GOT THE MONEY — our top number on the card, and the board's letting him go too cheap — we make him 30.8%, they've got 26.0%.
#7 DOC PASKOWITZ — our #2 number, and the board's letting him go too cheap — we make him 23.4%, they've got 19.5%.
#6 EYE AM BABY MOON — our #3 number, and the board's letting him go too cheap — we make him 18.0%, they've got 13.0%.

Model vs the morning line · analysis, not advice

#3 JESS GOT THE MONEY — we make it 30.8%, the morning line works out to 26.0%. That gap is the model's opinion, not a price; pools pay the final odds, and on our records these gaps haven't paid off.
#7 DOC PASKOWITZ — we make it 23.4%, the morning line works out to 19.5%. That gap is the model's opinion, not a price; pools pay the final odds, and on our records these gaps haven't paid off.
#6 EYE AM BABY MOON — we make it 18.0%, the morning line works out to 13.0%. That gap is the model's opinion, not a price; pools pay the final odds, and on our records these gaps haven't paid off.
Longshot the model rates above its line: #9 KADRI (20-1) — our fair 4.8% is above the morning line's 3.7%; needs the trip to fall right.

Pacewho goes to the front

Pace

Pace Vacuum. No real early speed. Whoever shows up first is likely uncontested. Pressers benefit.

and works against #1 Coronel Dashin Ac, #2 Real Maximus, #3 Jess Got The Money.

Lead

none

Press

none

Stalk

none

No style yet

1Coronel Dashin Ac2Real Maximus3Jess Got The Money4Las Borrachitas5Bigg Oak6Eye Am Baby Moon7Doc Paskowitz8Azziz My Heart9Kadri10Roll Into Vike11Jackie Jettin On12Rosetas Vike

Number = last-race early-pace figure. Green border = the shape helps; red = it works against.

Early speed and closing figures, horse by horse

Closing Kick · late-pace figure

Eye Am Baby Moon

Rosetas Vike

Bigg Oak

Coronel Dashin Ac

Real Maximus

Azziz My Heart

Kadri

Jess Got The Money

Las Borrachitas

Doc Paskowitz

Roll Into Vike

Jackie Jettin On

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