Pick sheet

Race 106:08 PM Alw 62000n2l

1.6F · Dirt · 11 entered. Our model's top pick, Pablote, is 32% to win (morning line implies 24%). Pace: hard to project, too many first-time starters.

Top pick #7 Pablote ML 2-1 Fair 2-1 Model #1 Top last-race fig

Jockey O. Andrade Jr. · Trainer J. Montoya · Dist 2: 1-1-0 · best fig at 1.59091f dirt 91 · 65 days off

Date	Trk	Dist	Class	Finish	Fig	Odds	Eq	Trip
8/28	ALB	1.59091f D	sAlw35700n2x	2nd/8 -½L	91	11-1	b	Late gain;miss
3/14	SUN	1.36364f D	sTrial	Won/9	88	12-1	b	Brk in;all out for win

Case: Last out 2nd in the sAlw35700n2x at ALB. Last Brisnet figures 91-88. Best at today's distance 91. 1-for-2 at the distance. J. Montoya / O. Andrade Jr..

Knock: Off 65 days. Never raced at Zia Park.

Contender #2 Rings of Power ML 4-1 Fair 6-1 Model #2 ▲ Up +5 · career best

Jockey N. Garcia Jr. · Trainer W. Giles · Dist 4: 1-0-1 · best fig at 1.59091f dirt 86 · 86 days off

Date	Trk	Dist	Class	Finish	Fig	Odds	Eq	Trip
8/7	ALB	2f D	FutTrl10000	6th/10 -1¼L	86	19-1	L	Even effort;
6/27	ALB	1.81818f D	FutTrl10000	6th/10 -1½L	78	7.1-1	L	Hopped;in close; empty
5/22	ALB	1.59091f D	FutTrl10000	3rd/7 -1¼L	86	5.8-1	L	Clean trip; steadily

Case: Last out 6th/10 -1¼L in the FutTrl10000 at ALB. Last Brisnet figures 86-78-86. Best at today's distance 86. 1-for-4 at the distance. W. Giles / N. Garcia Jr..

Knock: Off 86 days. Never raced at Zia Park.

Use #3 Lookin Like King ML 5-1 Fair 6-1 Model #3 ▲ Up +5 Last out won in the sMdSpWt at ALB. Last Brisnet figures 80-75-82. Best at today's distance 82. 1-for-4 at the distance. R. Wilson / J. Enriquez. Knock: Never raced at Zia Park.

Jockey J. Enriquez · Trainer R. Wilson · Dist 4: 1-0-1 · best fig at 1.59091f dirt 82 · 16 days off

Date	Trk	Dist	Class	Finish	Fig	Odds	Eq	Trip
10/16	ALB	1.81818f D	sMdSpWt	Won/9	80	1.4-1	b L	Rallied; best late
7/3	ALB	1.81818f D	sFutTrl10000	5th/8 -2L	75	8.6-1	b L	Broke in;brushd;driftd
5/29	ALB	1.59091f D	sFutTrl10000	3rd/9 -½L	82	11-1	b L	Outfinishd;good effort

Longshot #4 Kj She Is Long Gone ML 15-1 Fair 20-1 Model #6 ▼ Down -4

Jockey J. Enriquez · Trainer J. Iturralde · Dist 5: 1-0-2 · best fig at 1.59091f dirt 82 · 38 days off

Date	Trk	Dist	Class	Finish	Fig	Odds	Eq	Trip
9/24	ALB	1.81818f D	sFutTrl10000	3rd/9 -½L	69	8.1-1	b L	Steady effort
8/21	ALB	1.59091f D	fsMdSpWt	Won/10	82	4.8-1	b L	Track;drift;up late
7/18	ALB	1.81818f D	sMdSpWt	3rd/9 -½L	73	4.4-1	b L	Brushed;bid; up show

Case: Last out 3rd in the sFutTrl10000 at ALB. Last Brisnet figures 69-82-73. Best at today's distance 82. 1-for-5 at the distance. J. Iturralde / J. Enriquez.

Knock: Never raced at Zia Park.

Narrowing the field: A #2, #7, #9 · B #1, #3, #8 · C #4, #5, #6, #10, #11

Angles: #1 2nd off a layoff after a poor return (42 vs 81) · #9 2nd off a layoff after a poor return (21 vs 86) · #11 2nd off a layoff after a poor return (68 vs 79)

R10 ZIA · State-Bred Allowance · $62,000 purse

6:08 PM ET · 350 Yards Dirt · $62,000 · 10 runners (1 out)6:08 PM · 1.6f Dirt · 10 runners (1 out)

Official $62K · State-Bred Allowance · $62,000 purse

Card modelCard model MediumFormLast 3 figsTier · angles

1Jessies in Court▼Ran 8thR. Ortega · J. GonzalesOrtega · GonzalesB42 81 80▼▼-39↕@trip 803-1Fair 7-112%▼▼ Big drop -3942 81 80 ↕@trip 80B▼ 2nd off a layoff after a poor return (42 vs 81)

Card model 12% · Fair odds 7-1 · Our #4 · Tier B · Form ▼▼ Big drop -39 · ↕ Up-and-down figures 42–82 · Best fig at today's trip 80 (1 tries) · Last 3 figs 42 81 80

▼ 2nd off a layoff after a poor return (42 vs 81)

Jockey Raul Ortega 26% career 0-for-2 on dirt this meet · Trainer Joel J Gonzales 27% career 0-for-1 on dirt this meet

Also today · Jockey R5: Hs Apolos Light 20-1, R6: Coronel Dashin Ac 8-1, R7: Miss Abril 4-1, R8: Baby Zhalea 10-1 · Trainer R1: Wasp 15-1, R9: Fabulous Piloto 5-1

Moves up from stakes to allowance. Ranks first in the field on Brisnet Prime Power.

PACE CHALLENGE No running style on file yet, so the pace shape can't be applied to it.

WORKS LIGHT Few works lately, 0 works in 30d and the last 65 days ago

Last three races

Date	Trk	Dist	Class	Finish	Fig	Odds	Eq	Trip
9/24	ALB	1.81818f D	sFutTrl10000	8th/10 -3¼L	42	7.1-1	b L	No factor
7/3	ALB	1.81818f D	sFutTrl10000	2nd/10 -2L	81	6.6-1	b L	Chased; no match
4/19	SRP	1½f D	sMdSpWt	Won/9	80	1.7-1	b	Closed well;up in time

2Rings of PowerRan 9thN. Garcia Jr. · W. GilesGarcia Jr. · GilesA86 78 86▲+5@trip 864-1Fair 6-114%▲ Up +5 · career best86 78 86@trip 86A2

Card model 14% · Fair odds 6-1 · Our #2 · Tier A · Form ▲ Up +5 · career best · Best fig at today's trip 86 (1 tries) · Last 3 figs 86 78 86

Jockey Noe Jr Garcia 33% career 3-for-8 on dirt this meet (38%), #1 of 4 · Trainer Wesley T Giles 33% career 4-for-10 on dirt this meet (40%), #1 of 3 ★ hot

Also today · Jockey R2: Hez Rio Trouble 9-2, R3: Mw B Cause Im Sexy 6-1, R5: McKinlay 2-1, R7: Viva Le Richville 8-1 +1 more · Trainer R2: Hez Rio Trouble 9-2, R2: The Ghan 20-1, R2: Fanncee Pants 20-1, R3: Big Cruz Cartel 10-1 +4 more

60D LAYOFF

A step up in company: stakes before, allowance today. Last out was 6th, 1¼ lengths behind the winner, in a 10-horse stakes race at ALB.

PACE CHALLENGE No running style on file yet, so the pace shape can't be applied to it.

WORKS SHARP Fit-looking prep next to these rivals: 1 work in 30d, last 29d ago

Last three races

Date	Trk	Dist	Class	Finish	Fig	Odds	Eq	Trip
8/7	ALB	2f D	FutTrl10000	6th/10 -1¼L	86	19-1	L	Even effort;
6/27	ALB	1.81818f D	FutTrl10000	6th/10 -1½L	78	7.1-1	L	Hopped;in close; empty
5/22	ALB	1.59091f D	FutTrl10000	3rd/7 -1¼L	86	5.8-1	L	Clean trip; steadily

3Lookin Like KingRan 1stJ. Enriquez · R. WilsonEnriquez · WilsonB80 75 82▲+5@trip 825-1Fair 6-114%▲ Up +580 75 82@trip 82B3

Card model 14% · Fair odds 6-1 · Our #3 · Tier B · Form ▲ Up +5 · Best fig at today's trip 82 (1 tries) · Last 3 figs 80 75 82

Jockey Jacob Enriquez 35% career 2-for-15 on dirt this meet (13%) · Trainer Renee Wilson 32% career 1-for-9 on dirt this meet (11%) ★ hot

Also today · Jockey R2: Jingle Wood 5-2, R3: Sure Hit 8-1, R4: Big Bad Leroy Blue 3-1, R5: Notjessaprettyface 5-2 +3 more · Trainer R2: Jingle Wood 5-2, R3: Sure Hit 8-1, R5: Notjessaprettyface 5-2

WON LAST

Won last out in a 9-horse maiden special weight race at ALB. Raises its level, maiden special weight last time and allowance now.

PACE CHALLENGE Running style isn't established yet, so the pace read is a blank for this one.

WORKS Steady, unremarkable work pattern: 0 works in 30d, last 36d back

Last three races

Date	Trk	Dist	Class	Finish	Fig	Odds	Eq	Trip
10/16	ALB	1.81818f D	sMdSpWt	Won/9	80	1.4-1	b L	Rallied; best late
7/3	ALB	1.81818f D	sFutTrl10000	5th/8 -2L	75	8.6-1	b L	Broke in;brushd;driftd
5/29	ALB	1.59091f D	sFutTrl10000	3rd/9 -½L	82	11-1	b L	Outfinishd;good effort

4Kj She Is Long GoneLSRan 10thJ. Enriquez · J. IturraldeEnriquez · IturraldeC69 82 73▼-4@trip 8215-1Fair 20-15%▼ Down -469 82 73@trip 82CLS

Card model 5% · Fair odds 20-1 · Our #6 · Tier C · Form ▼ Down -4 · Best fig at today's trip 82 (3 tries) · Last 3 figs 69 82 73

Longshot read: 15-1 on the morning line, and the model has it at 5% against a line of 4%. A read, not a bet.

Jockey Jose Luis Enriquez 35% career 2-for-15 on dirt this meet (13%) · Trainer Joel Iturralde 27% career 0-for-2 on dirt this meet

Also today · Jockey R1: Magical Marfa 10-1, R4: Outlawking 8-1, R6: Eye Am Baby Moon 5-1, R7: Jayannas Girl 12-1 +4 more

Beaten ½ length for 3rd in a 9-horse stakes race at ALB. A step up in company: stakes before, allowance today.

PACE CHALLENGE Running style isn't established yet, so the pace read is a blank for this one.

WORKS LIGHT Light on works against these rivals (0 works in 30d, last 115d back)

Last three races

Date	Trk	Dist	Class	Finish	Fig	Odds	Eq	Trip
9/24	ALB	1.81818f D	sFutTrl10000	3rd/9 -½L	69	8.1-1	b L	Steady effort
8/21	ALB	1.59091f D	fsMdSpWt	Won/10	82	4.8-1	b L	Track;drift;up late
7/18	ALB	1.81818f D	sMdSpWt	3rd/9 -½L	73	4.4-1	b L	Brushed;bid; up show

5Je American DreamRan 6thS. Becerra Jr. · T. LelloBecerra Jr. · LelloC78 73 83►@trip 8315-1Fair 20-15%► Steady78 73 83@trip 83C

Card model 5% · Fair odds 20-1 · Our #7 · Tier C · Form ► Steady · Best fig at today's trip 83 (3 tries) · Last 3 figs 78 73 83

Jockey Sergio Jr Becerra · Trainer Tony P Lello 18% career

Also today · Jockey R1: Kash Baby Kash 5-2, R4: Bf Daddys Outrage 9-5, R7: Un Monton De Pesos 30-1, R8: Md Rolex 8-1

3rd of 6 at 1F on May 15, in :12.00. Runs for $62,000 today after a $100,000 race last time.

PACE CHALLENGE No style on record, so the setup says little about it.

WORKS LIGHT Light on works against these rivals (0 works in 30d, last 57d back)

Last three races

Date	Trk	Dist	Class	Finish	Fig	Odds	Eq	Trip
10/11	ALB	1.81818f D	sNMStFairJu100k	6th/8 -2½L	78	9.9-1	b L	Bmp brk;no kick
9/24	ALB	1.81818f D	sFutTrl10000	Won/9	73	7.4-1	b L	Dueled; prevailed
8/1	ALB	1½f D	sMd15000c	2nd/10 by hd	83	1.7-1	b	Bid; 2nd best

6Unofficial CartelRan 7thL. Martinez · M. RodriguezMartinez · RodriguezC55 84 68▼▼-23↕@trip 846-1Fair 12-18%▼▼ Big drop -2355 84 68 ↕@trip 84C

Card model 8% · Fair odds 12-1 · Our #5 · Tier C · Form ▼▼ Big drop -23 · ↕ Up-and-down figures 55–84 · Best fig at today's trip 84 (3 tries) · Last 3 figs 55 84 68

Jockey Luis Martinez 33% career 1-for-5 on dirt this meet · Trainer Manuel Rodolfo Rodriguez 33% career 1-for-6 on dirt this meet

Also today · Jockey R1: Seza Bold Jesse 30-1, R2: Docs Best Answer 6-1, R3: Highcardforapoke 5-1, R6: Kadri 20-1 +2 more · Trainer R2: Docs Best Answer 6-1, R3: Highcardforapoke 5-1

Luis Martinez takes over from Noe Jr Garcia in the saddle. A step up in company: stakes before, allowance today.

PACE CHALLENGE No running style on file yet, so the pace shape can't be applied to it.

WORKS LIGHT Few works lately, 0 works in 30d and the last 63 days ago

Last three races

Date	Trk	Dist	Class	Finish	Fig	Odds	Eq	Trip
9/24	ALB	1.81818f D	sFutTrl10000	3rd/6 -3L	55	6.6-1	L	Broke in air; late bid
8/1	ALB	1½f D	sMd15000	Won/10	84	2.2-1	L	Speed; driving
7/3	ALB	1.81818f D	sFutTrl10000	9th/9 -4½L	68	23-1	L	Came out early; bumped

7PabloteRan 4thO. Andrade Jr. · J. MontoyaAndrade Jr. · MontoyaA91 88@trip 912-1Fair 2-132%—91 88@trip 91A1
Card model 32% · Fair odds 2-1 · Our #1 · Tier A · Best fig at today's trip 91 (1 tries) · Last 3 figs 91 88
Jockey Oscar Jr Andrade 14% career 2-for-10 on dirt this meet (20%) · Trainer Javier Montoya 31% career 0-for-1 on dirt this meet
Also today · Jockey R1: Thank Kvin 8-1, R2: Moonlight Ember 10-1, R3: Sya Narra 2-1, R4: Steal A Badger 15-1 +4 more · Trainer this race: Empty Cartel Pockets 20-1
60D LAYOFF
Best Brisnet figure in the field over its last five: 91, with 87 next best. A 65-day gap since its last race.
PACE CHALLENGE No running style on file yet, so the pace shape can't be applied to it.
WORKS SHARP Active work pattern for this group, 1 work in 30d and the last 11d back
Last three races
Date Trk Dist Class Finish Fig Odds Eq Trip
8/28 ALB 1.59091f D sAlw35700n2x 2nd/8 -½L 91 11-1 b Late gain;miss
3/14 SUN 1.36364f D sTrial Won/9 88 12-1 b Brk in;all out for win
8Don Good LookinRan 2ndC. Ramos · K. AldavazRamos · AldavazB87 74 82▲+7@trip 8430-1Fair 99-11%▲ Up +7 · career best87 74 82@trip 84B
Card model 1% · Fair odds 99-1 · Our #10 · Tier B · Form ▲ Up +7 · career best · Best fig at today's trip 84 (2 tries) · Last 3 figs 87 74 82
Jockey Christian Ramos 34% career 1-for-6 on dirt this meet · Trainer Karina Aldavaz 22% career
Also today · Jockey R1: Dont Let Me Downn 5-1, R1: Menacing Lil Jessy 20-1, R2: Jet Black Eagles 15-1, R3: Bigg Star 12-1 +2 more · Trainer R4: King Of Crowns 10-1, R7: Don Eagle 15-1
WON LAST
Comes in off a victory in a 10-horse maiden special weight race at ALB. Off 49 days since the last start.
PACE CHALLENGE No style on record, so the setup says little about it.
WORKS LIGHT Light on works against these rivals (0 works in 30d, last 86d back)
Last three races
Date Trk Dist Class Finish Fig Odds Eq Trip
9/13 ALB 1.81818f D sMdSpWt Won/10 87 3.9-1 b Flew late;
8/14 ALB 1.81818f D sMdSpWt 5th/8 -1L 74 2.3-1 b Bid; gave way
5/16 SRP 1.59091f D sNMBrdFuRG2 G2 8th/10 -4¼L 82 20-1 b No factor

Date	Trk	Dist	Class	Finish	Fig	Odds	Eq	Trip
9/13	ALB	1.81818f D	sMdSpWt	Won/10	87	3.9-1	b	Flew late;
8/14	ALB	1.81818f D	sMdSpWt	5th/8 -1L	74	2.3-1	b	Bid; gave way
5/16	SRP	1.59091f D	sNMBrdFuRG2 G2	8th/10 -4¼L	82	20-1	b	No factor

9Banfi▼Ran 3rdA. Medellin · G. BurkeMedellin · BurkeA21 86 80▼▼-62@trip 8610-1Fair 20-15%▼▼ Big drop -6221 86 80@trip 86A▼ 2nd off a layoff after a poor return (21 vs 86)

Card model 5% · Fair odds 20-1 · Our #8 · Tier A · Form ▼▼ Big drop -62 · Best fig at today's trip 86 (1 tries) · Last 3 figs 21 86 80

▼ 2nd off a layoff after a poor return (21 vs 86)

Jockey A Medellin 33% career 0-for-2 on dirt this meet · Trainer Gabriel B Burke 18% career

Also today · Jockey R5: Flashita 12-1, R8: Lil Royal Chick 20-1

★ FASTEST WORK

Changes barns, from David M Gomez-Barraza to Gabriel B Burke. The Aug 9 work, 1F in :11.80, was the best time at that distance that morning.

PACE CHALLENGE Style isn't established yet, so how it fits this shape is open.

TROUBLED TRIP Hopped start last out; the speed figure already reflects it.

WORKS SHARP 1f in :11.80 on Aug 9 was the best time at that distance that morning; 0 works in 30d

Last three races

Date	Trk	Dist	Class	Finish	Fig	Odds	Eq	Trip
9/24	ALB	1.81818f D	sFutTrl10000	10th/10 -7¼L	21	7.6-1	b L	Hopped start
4/17	SRP	1.59091f D	MSW	Won/9	86	8.5-1	b L	Erlyspd; held win
3/14	SUN	1.36364f D	sTrial	4th/8 -4L	80	5.8-1	b L	Bmp; late gain

10Empty Cartel PocketsRan 5thB. Barraza · J. MontoyaBarraza · MontoyaC74 75 82▼-4@trip 7520-1Fair 50-12%▼ Down -474 75 82@trip 75C

Card model 2% · Fair odds 50-1 · Our #9 · Tier C · Form ▼ Down -4 · Best fig at today's trip 75 (2 tries) · Last 3 figs 74 75 82

Jockey Brian Cobos Barraza 25% career 0-for-1 on dirt this meet · Trainer Javier Montoya 31% career 0-for-1 on dirt this meet

Also today · Jockey R5: Which Witch 30-1, R6: Roll Into Vike 20-1, R8: Apollitical Thunder 3-1 · Trainer this race: Pablote 2-1

60D LAYOFF

Figures have slipped: 82, 75, 74 over its last three. A 65-day gap since its last race.

PACE CHALLENGE No style on record, so the setup says little about it.

WORKS SHARP Active work pattern for this group, 1 work in 30d and the last 11d back

Last three races

Date	Trk	Dist	Class	Finish	Fig	Odds	Eq	Trip
8/28	ALB	1.59091f D	sAlw35700n2x	7th/8 -3½L	74	40-1	b	Bmp brk;no bid
6/19	ALB	1½f D	MCL 15k	Won/10	75	5.7-1	b	Broke sharp; driving
3/14	SUN	1.36364f D	sTrial	6th/9 -2¾L	82	8.6-1	b L	Foe crossed path

11Kj Ace in the Hole▼N. Garcia Jr. · W. GilesGarcia Jr. · GilesC68 79 80▼-7@trip 8010-1<1%▼ Down -768 79 80@trip 80C▼ 2nd off a layoff after a poor return (68 vs 79)

Card model <1% · Our #11 · Tier C · Form ▼ Down -7 · Best fig at today's trip 80 (2 tries) · Last 3 figs 68 79 80

▼ 2nd off a layoff after a poor return (68 vs 79)

Jockey Noe Jr Garcia 33% career 3-for-8 on dirt this meet (38%), #1 of 4 · Trainer Wesley T Giles 33% career 4-for-10 on dirt this meet (40%), #1 of 3 ★ hot

WON LAST

Trending the wrong way on speed, 80 to 79 to 68. Won last out in a 9-horse stakes race at ALB.

PACE CHALLENGE No style on record, so the setup says little about it.

WORKS LIGHT Few works lately, 0 works in 30d and the last 60 days ago

Last three races

Date	Trk	Dist	Class	Finish	Fig	Odds	Eq	Trip
9/24	ALB	1.81818f D	sFutTrl10000	Won/9	68	16-1	b L	Dueled; prevailed
7/3	ALB	1.81818f D	sFutTrl10000	4th/9 -3L	79	12-1	b L	In close; no rally
5/29	ALB	1.59091f D	sFutTrl10000	2nd/9 by hd	80	10-1	b L	Pushed in start; game

▲ / ▼ angle for / against · ★ best figure at the trip · LS longshot read · 1 2 3 = our top three · A B C tiers · ▲ ► ▼ form · ≡ ↕ steady / up-and-down. Tap a row for its notes, a name for the horse's page. Analysis only. Pace: hard to project, too many first-time starters.

How to read these marks

1 2 3: Our top three by the card model's win chance. Tap “Our order” to sort by it.
Win %, Fair: The card model's chance to win, and the odds that chance works out to with no takeout. Fair is green when the model rates the horse above its morning line (the line scaled to add up to 100%).
Tier A B C ?: The field ranked on recent speed figures and the morning line together: A = top three, B = next three, C = the rest, ? = no figures yet.
71 60 72: Last three speed figures, newest first. “@trip 75” = best figure at today's distance (within 30 yards) on this surface.
▲▲ ▲ ► ▼ ▼▼: Form: last figure against the average of the three before it. ▲ = up 3 or more, ▲▲ = up 8 or more, ► = within 3, ▼ / ▼▼ = down. The number is the difference.
≡ ↕: ≡ steady: the last four figures sit close together. ↕ up-and-down: they swing widely.
★: Best figure in the field at today's distance and surface, from two or more tries, not tied. When that horse isn't in our top three it gets a “Distance horse” note above the field.
▲ ▼ chips: Handicapping angles for or against the horse. LS = longshot read: 8-1 or more on the morning line and the model rates it higher than that line.

These marks describe the past performances. None of them is proven to beat the odds: in our test of 100 handicapping angles, nothing did better than the final odds, and the morning-line favourite wins more races than our top-ranked horse. Read them as notes, not as a reason to bet.

● Official result

$2 payoffs · our pre-race read is unchanged below

Our top pick, #7 Pablote, finished 4th.

1st3Lookin Like KingWin$6.40Place$4.80Show$3.40Our #3

2nd8Don Good LookinWin—Place$13.40Show$7.60Our #10

3rd9BanfiWin—Place—Show$7.60Our #8

4th7PabloteOur #1

Race conditions and our readpace, conditions, story

ZIA · RACE 10

OFFICIAL

State-Bred Allowance · $62,000 purse

Field

11 runners

Purse

$62,000

Post

6:08 PM ET

Pace

Pace Vacuum

Card model top pick

#7 · 32%

Allowance, for 2-year-olds, restricted to state-bred (registered) horses, that have not won two races lifetime.

Allowance race — a step above claiming. No horses are for sale; written conditions limit the field to horses of similar experience.

● Breed: Quarter Horse

● Track record at 350 Yards: 17.07

The shape is the story here: the early pace looks honest rather than contested — expect a fairly run race where class and trip decide it, not pace collapse.

Our number tops on #7 Pablote (a tactical type, M/L 2-1). Recent figures: 91 · 88. It hit the board last time and stays in form. Backup is #2 Rings Of Power at 4-1. Use #3 Lookin Like King in exotic structures.

What would change our mind: a key scratch that reshapes the early pace, a sharp turf-to-dirt or surface switch off the rail, or live money showing up on a horse the board had dismissed. Watch the tote late.

● OUTCOME · OUR #3 WON

Lookin Like King (our #3) won · top pick Pablote ran 4th

What worked

✓ Winner came from our top 3 (our #3)

What didn't

✗ Top pick off the board (4th)
✗ Our top 3 finished 4th, 9th, 1st

TBredIQ ranking → finish

#1	#7 PABLOTE	4th
#2	#2 RINGS OF POWER	9th
#3	#3 LOOKIN LIKE KING	1st
#4	#1 JESSIES IN COURT	8th
#5	#6 UNOFFICIAL CARTEL	7th

Actual finish

1st	#3 Lookin Like King	our #3
2nd	#8 Don Good Lookin	our #10
3rd	#9 Banfi	our #8
4th	#7 Pablote	our #1
5th	#10 Empty Cartel Pockets	our #9

At a glance: model vs the morning line

At a glance

Market favourite #7 PABLOTE (2-1) — our number agrees.
#7 PABLOTE — our top number on the card, and the board's letting him go too cheap — we make him 25.9%, they've got 22.5%.
#1 JESSIES IN COURT — our #4 number, about right at the windows (15.8% to their 16.9%).
#2 RINGS OF POWER — our #2 number, about right at the windows (15.0% to their 13.5%).

Model vs the morning line · analysis, not advice

#7 PABLOTE — we make it 25.9%, the morning line works out to 22.5%. That gap is the model's opinion, not a price; pools pay the final odds, and on our records these gaps haven't paid off.

Pacewho goes to the front

Pace

Pace Vacuum. No real early speed. Whoever shows up first is likely uncontested. Pressers benefit.

and works against #1 Jessies In Court, #2 Rings Of Power, #3 Lookin Like King.

Lead

none

Press

none

Stalk

none

No style yet

1Jessies In Court2Rings Of Power3Lookin Like King4Kj She Is Long Gone5Je American Dream6Unofficial Cartel7Pablote8Don Good Lookin9Banfi10Empty Cartel Pockets11Kj Ace In The Hole

Number = last-race early-pace figure. Green border = the shape helps; red = it works against.

Early speed and closing figures, horse by horse

Closing Kick · late-pace figure

Don Good Lookin

Je American Dream

Jessies In Court

Rings Of Power

Lookin Like King

Kj She Is Long Gone

Unofficial Cartel

Pablote

Banfi

Empty Cartel Pockets

Kj Ace In The Hole

Bet types offeredwager menu

Bet types

Wagers offered on this race.

2ND HALF $1 LATE DAILY DOUBLE / $1 EXACTA / .50 TRIFECTA / .10 SUPERFECTA

4TH LEG PICK 4/ 3RD LEG PICK 3

TBredIQ shows analysis only. We don’t build tickets or suggest amounts.

BET OPTIONS

WinPlaceShowExactaTrifectaSuperfecta

Wagers offered on this race — analysis only, no stake sizing.