| Date | Trk | Dist | Class | Finish | Fig | Odds | Eq | Trip |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/7 | ALB | 6f D | fsMd10000 | 3rd/7 -1L | 52 | 11-1 | b | Pace ins; outfinished |
| 9/5 | ALB | 5f D | fsMd7500 | 3rd/8 -1½L | 57 | 12-1 | b | Inside; evenly late |
| 5/2 | SRP | 6½f D | MCL 8k | 6th/8 -5L | 49 | 16-1 | b | Pressd; gave way turn |
| Date | Trk | Dist | Class | Finish | Fig | Odds | Eq | Trip |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9/16 | ALB | 6f D | fsMd10000 | 2nd/8 -½L | 62 | 6.6-1 | b | Settled; 3w; led; hung |
| 8/23 | ALB | 6½f D | fsMd10000 | 2nd/10 -4½L | 63 | 36-1 | b | Advanced rail; closed |
| 6/7 | ALB | 1m D | MCL 8k | 4th/6 -8L | 59 | 26-1 | b | Mild bid; no threat |
| Date | Trk | Dist | Class | Finish | Fig | Odds | Eq | Trip |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5/2 | SRP | 4½f D | fsMd20000 | 10th/10 -9½L | 39 | 17-1 | b L | Always outrun |
| 3/22 | SUN | 6f D | fsMdSpWt | 7th/7 -7L | 40 | 8.1-1 | b L | Saved ground; tired |
| 1/18 | SUN | 5½f D | fsMdSpWt | 7th/11 -12L | 49 | 2.8-1 | L | Inside;2p;no kick |
| Date | Trk | Dist | Class | Finish | Fig | Odds | Eq | Trip |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/21 | ALB | 5½f D | fsMdSpWt | 5th/8 -5L | 53 | 28-1 | b L | Outrun; saved ground |
| 2/22 | SUN | 5½f D | fsMdSpWt | 9th/11 -9L | 45 | 7.0-1 | b L | Climbed;by tired foes |
★ Distance horse: #3 Pleasin N Teasin (5-1) has the best figure in the field at today's distance and surface: 74 from 3 tries. Not in our top three.
1Zap Dancer▼G. Medrano · L. VaughnMedrano · VaughnC49 36@trip 3615-1Fair 12-18%
—49 36@trip 36C▼ Best fig 49 is 5+ under today's par 67Card model 8% · Fair odds 12-1 · Our #6 · Tier C · Best fig at today's trip 36 (1 tries) · Last 3 figs 49 36
▼ Best fig 49 is 5+ under today's par 67★ FASTEST WORKDrops from maiden special weight to maiden claiming $10,000. Best recent figure is 49, well under the 67 par for this level.
EVEN PACE Running style isn't established yet, so the pace read is a blank for this one.WORKS LIGHT Light on works against these rivals (0 works in 30d, last 41d back)Last three races
Date Trk Dist Class Finish Fig Odds Eq Trip 10/21 ALB 5½f D fsMdSpWt 7th/8 -6½L 49 56-1 L Sttld bk;lacked finish 10/7 ALB 6f D fsMd10000c 7th/7 -6L 36 2.2-1 L Broke slow; trailed 2Legion Heiress▼S. Parris · E. OlguinParris · OlguinA52 57 49►≡@trip 527-2Fair 7-222%
► Steady52 57 49 ≡@trip 52A▼ Best fig 57 is 5+ under today's par 671Card model 22% · Fair odds 7-2 · Our #1 · Tier A · Form ► Steady · ≡ Steady figures 49–57 · Best fig at today's trip 52 (3 tries) · Last 3 figs 52 57 49
▼ Best fig 57 is 5+ under today's par 67Last out was 3rd, 1 length behind the winner, in a 7-horse maiden claiming $10,000 race at ALB. Needs to move up: the best of its last five is 57 against a 67 par.
EVEN PACE Balanced pace: trip and tactical speed decide it, with no strong setup advantage. (early-speed points: 6)WORKS Routine prep: 1 work in 30d, last 15d agoLast three races
Date Trk Dist Class Finish Fig Odds Eq Trip 10/7 ALB 6f D fsMd10000 3rd/7 -1L 52 11-1 b Pace ins; outfinished 9/5 ALB 5f D fsMd7500 3rd/8 -1½L 57 12-1 b Inside; evenly late 5/2 SRP 6½f D MCL 8k 6th/8 -5L 49 16-1 b Pressd; gave way turn 3Pleasin N Teasin★J. Vazquez · J. HudsonVazquez · HudsonA59 74 59▼-5@trip 745-1Fair 7-113%
▼ Down -559 74 59@trip 74A★ Best at the trip 74Card model 13% · Fair odds 7-1 · Our #5 · Tier A · Form ▼ Down -5 · Best fig at today's trip 74 (3 tries) · Last 3 figs 59 74 59
★ Best at the trip 74CLASS UPOwns the highest recent figure here at 74. Maiden through 12 starts.
EVEN PACE Balanced pace: trip and tactical speed decide it, with no strong setup advantage.WORKS SHARP One of the busier work schedules here: 1 work in 30d, last 10d agoLast three races
Date Trk Dist Class Finish Fig Odds Eq Trip 9/28 ALB 6½f D fsMd12500 3rd/6 -2L 59 2.0-1 b L 6-w turn;moved up 9/10 ALB 6f D MCL 8k 2nd/8 -5½L 74 5.5-1 b L Drop bk;rallied 2nd 8/23 ALB 6½f D fsMd10000 4th/10 -6½L 59 6.3-1 b L Bumped start; closed 4Malibu Comfort▼F. Amparan · C. Trujillo Jr.Amparan · Trujillo Jr.B34 45 39▼▼-13↕30-1Fair 30-14%
▼▼ Big drop -1334 45 39 ↕B▼ Best fig 56 is 5+ under today's par 67Card model 4% · Fair odds 30-1 · Our #7 · Tier B · Form ▼▼ Big drop -13 · ↕ Up-and-down figures 34–56 · Last 3 figs 34 45 39
▼ Best fig 56 is 5+ under today's par 67Jockey Francisco Amparan 33% career 0-for-1 on dirt this meet · Trainer Celio E Jr Trujillo 23% career60D LAYOFF3 WORKS IN 30 DAYSReturns from a 170-day break. Stretches out from 4½ furlongs to 6 furlongs.
EVEN PACE No pace advantage either way, so this comes down to trip and class.WORKS SHARP Active work pattern for this group, 3 works in 30d and the last 11d backLast three races
Date Trk Dist Class Finish Fig Odds Eq Trip 5/16 SRP 4½f D fsMdSpWt 6th/7 -7L 34 43-1 b L 4-w; no threat 5/2 SRP 4½f D fsMd20000 9th/10 -8L 45 30-1 b L Lacked a rally 2/16 SUN 5½f D fsMdSpWt 10th/12 -5½L 39 117-1 b L Crowded st;inside;wknd 5Markofafighter▼A. Juarez Jr. · D. CappellucciJuarez Jr. · CappellucciB39 40 49▼-6@trip 408-1Fair 9-218%
▼ Down -639 40 49@trip 40B▼ Best fig 49 is 5+ under today's par 673Card model 18% · Fair odds 9-2 · Our #3 · Tier B · Form ▼ Down -6 · Best fig at today's trip 40 (1 tries) · Last 3 figs 39 40 49
▼ Best fig 49 is 5+ under today's par 67Also today · Jockey R1: Amazing Music 8-5, R5: Lennie G 4-1, R6: Dive Bar Diva 4-1, R7: He's So Smooth 9-5 +1 more · Trainer R1: Amazing Music 8-5, this race: Literallylyndee 8-1, R4: Hello Hot Rod 9-2, R4: Comfort J Byrd 6-1 +1 more180D+ LAYOFFFreshened 184 days, longer than anything else in the field. Watch how its recent works look. Trending the wrong way on speed, 49 to 40 to 39.
EVEN PACE No running style on file yet, so the pace shape can't be applied to it.WORKS SHARP Fit-looking prep next to these rivals: 2 works in 30d, last 10d agoLast three races
Date Trk Dist Class Finish Fig Odds Eq Trip 5/2 SRP 4½f D fsMd20000 10th/10 -9½L 39 17-1 b L Always outrun 3/22 SUN 6f D fsMdSpWt 7th/7 -7L 40 8.1-1 b L Saved ground; tired 1/18 SUN 5½f D fsMdSpWt 7th/11 -12L 49 2.8-1 L Inside;2p;no kick 6Literallylyndee▼LSO. Andrade Jr. · D. CappellucciAndrade Jr. · CappellucciB53 458-1Fair 5-116%
—53 45B▼ Best fig 53 is 5+ under today's par 67LSCard model 16% · Fair odds 5-1 · Our #4 · Tier B · Last 3 figs 53 45
▼ Best fig 53 is 5+ under today's par 67LSLongshot read: 8-1 on the morning line, and the model has it at 16% against a line of 12%. A read, not a bet.
Jockey Oscar Jr Andrade 14% career 3-for-18 on dirt this meet (17%), #3 of 7 · Trainer Dick Cappellucci 40% careerAlso today · Jockey R2: Real Good Game 4-1, R5: Tacos And Tequila 10-1, R7: Black Shimmer 15-1, R8: B D One 3-1 +2 more · Trainer R1: Amazing Music 8-5, this race: Markofafighter 8-1, R4: Hello Hot Rod 9-2, R4: Comfort J Byrd 6-1 +1 moreWas running in maiden special weight; today's maiden claiming $10,000 is an easier level on paper. Worked 3F in :35.40 on Aug 2, 2nd of 21 at the distance.
EVEN PACE No style on record, so the setup says little about it.WORKS LIGHT Light on works against these rivals (1 work in 30d, last 22d back)Last three races
Date Trk Dist Class Finish Fig Odds Eq Trip 10/21 ALB 5½f D fsMdSpWt 5th/8 -5L 53 28-1 b L Outrun; saved ground 2/22 SUN 5½f D fsMdSpWt 9th/11 -9L 45 7.0-1 b L Climbed;by tired foes 7Comfort DanceA. Arboleda · L. SilvaArboleda · SilvaA62 63 59▲▲+9↕@trip 624-1Fair 4-120%
▲▲ Big jump +962 63 59 ↕@trip 62A2Card model 20% · Fair odds 4-1 · Our #2 · Tier A · Form ▲▲ Big jump +9 · ↕ Up-and-down figures 36–63 · Best fig at today's trip 62 (3 tries) · Last 3 figs 62 63 59
Also today · Jockey R1: Road Rules 15-1, R2: Ridgehead 7-2, R5: Igniting Embers 12-1, R6: Bode's Lady 2-1 +1 more2nd last time, ½ length back, in a field of 8. Still looking for the first win after 7 starts.
EVEN PACE No pace advantage either way, so this comes down to trip and class.WORKS LIGHT Few works lately, 0 works in 30d and the last 113 days agoLast three races
Date Trk Dist Class Finish Fig Odds Eq Trip 9/16 ALB 6f D fsMd10000 2nd/8 -½L 62 6.6-1 b Settled; 3w; led; hung 8/23 ALB 6½f D fsMd10000 2nd/10 -4½L 63 36-1 b Advanced rail; closed 6/7 ALB 1m D MCL 8k 4th/6 -8L 59 26-1 b Mild bid; no threat
▲ / ▼ angle for / against · ★ best figure at the trip · LS longshot read · 1 2 3 = our top three · A B C tiers · ▲ ► ▼ form · ≡ ↕ steady / up-and-down. Tap a row for its notes, a name for the horse's page. Analysis only. Pace: #2 is the only true speed and could control it.
How to read these marks
- 1 2 3
- Our top three by the card model's win chance. Tap “Our order” to sort by it.
- Win %, Fair
- The card model's chance to win, and the odds that chance works out to with no takeout. Fair is green when the model rates the horse above its morning line (the line scaled to add up to 100%).
- Tier A B C ?
- The field ranked on recent speed figures and the morning line together: A = top three, B = next three, C = the rest, ? = no figures yet.
- 71 60 72
- Last three speed figures, newest first. “@trip 75” = best figure at today's distance (within 30 yards) on this surface.
- ▲▲ ▲ ► ▼ ▼▼
- Form: last figure against the average of the three before it. ▲ = up 3 or more, ▲▲ = up 8 or more, ► = within 3, ▼ / ▼▼ = down. The number is the difference.
- ≡ ↕
- ≡ steady: the last four figures sit close together. ↕ up-and-down: they swing widely.
- ★
- Best figure in the field at today's distance and surface, from two or more tries, not tied. When that horse isn't in our top three it gets a “Distance horse” note above the field.
- ▲ ▼ chips
- Handicapping angles for or against the horse. LS = longshot read: 8-1 or more on the morning line and the model rates it higher than that line.
These marks describe the past performances. None of them is proven to beat the odds: in our test of 100 handicapping angles, nothing did better than the final odds, and the morning-line favourite wins more races than our top-ranked horse. Read them as notes, not as a reason to bet.
Race conditions and our readpace, conditions, story
ZIA · RACE 3
UPCOMINGMaiden Claiming $10,000
Maiden Claiming, for fillies and mares, 5-year-olds, restricted to state-bred (registered) horses.
Maiden claiming — for horses that have never won, and every starter is also for sale at the claiming price. Typically the easiest class of race.
● Track record at 6 Furlongs: 67.13
The shape is the story here: the early pace looks honest rather than contested — expect a fairly run race where class and trip decide it, not pace collapse.
Our number tops on #2 Legion Heiress (early speed, M/L 7-2). Recent figures: 52 · 57 · 49. It hit the board last time and stays in form. Backup is #7 Comfort Dance at 4-1. Use #5 Markofafighter in exotic structures.
What would change our mind: a key scratch that reshapes the early pace, a sharp turf-to-dirt or surface switch off the rail, or live money showing up on a horse the board had dismissed. Watch the tote late.
At a glance: model vs the morning line
At a glance
- Market favourite #2 LEGION HEIRESS (7-2) — our number agrees.
- #2 LEGION HEIRESS — our top number on the card, about right at the windows (23.1% to their 24.5%).
- #7 COMFORT DANCE — our #2 number, about right at the windows (21.6% to their 22.1%).
- #3 PLEASIN N TEASIN — our #5 number, about right at the windows (15.6% to their 18.4%).
Model vs the morning line
- #5 MARKOFAFIGHTER — we make it 14.8%, the morning line works out to 12.3%. That gap is the model's opinion, not a price; pools pay the final odds, and on our records these gaps haven't paid off.
Pacewho goes to the front
Pace
Tactical / Honest. Balanced shape: 1-2 speed, supporting pressers, closers in play. Trip wins out.
Likely leader: #2 Legion Heiress.
Number = last-race early-pace figure. Green border = the shape helps; red = it works against.
Early speed and closing figures, horse by horse
Early Pace · E1 figure · front runners
Closing Kick · late-pace figure
Bet types offeredwager menu
Bet types
Wagers offered on this race.
$1 EXACTA / .50 TRIFECTA / .10 SUPERFECTA/ 1ST LEG .50 PICK 3/ 2ND LEG PICK 4
BET OPTIONS
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