R3 Belmont Park · Maiden Claiming $35,000

1. 1Angie's Angel▼K. Davis · J. FerraroDavis · FerraroB-3 3730-1Fair 30-13%—-3 37B▼ Best fig 37 is 5+ under today's par 75

   Card model 3% · Fair odds 30-1 · Our #7 · Tier B · Last 3 figs -3 37

   ▼ Best fig 37 is 5+ under today's par 75

   Jockey Katie Davis 31% career 1-for-26 on dirt this meet (4%) · Trainer James W Ferraro 36% career 1-for-13 on dirt this meet (8%)

   Also today · Jockey R2: Catch A Tiger 20-1, R7: First To Engage 5-1, R8: First Call Bob 12-1, R9: One More Guitar 20-1 · Trainer this race: Adroit 20-1

   60D LAYOFFLASIX 1ST3 WORKS IN 30 DAYS

   Last out was 8th, 33 lengths behind the winner, in a 10-horse maiden claiming $35,000 race at SAR. Best recent figure is 37, well under the 75 par for this level.

   EVEN PACE No style on record, so the setup says little about it.

   WORKS SHARP Active work pattern for this group, 3 works in 30d and the last 8d back

   RECORD Bays win 16% here vs 13% for all horses (293 starts)

   Last three races

   Date	Trk	Dist	Class	Finish	Fig	Odds	Eq	Trip
   8/26	SAR	7f D	fsMd35000	8th/10 -33L	-3	40-1	b	Eased; bled; equ amb
   9/14	BAQ	6f T	fsMdSpWt	7th/7 -23L	37	52-1	b	Off slw; brush gate st

2. 2Our Sweet Harpie▼▼P. Pena · S. KlesarisPena · KlesarisB37 688-1Fair 12-18%—37 68B▼ Best fig 68 is 5+ under today's par 75▼ 2nd off a layoff after a poor return (37 vs 68)

   Card model 8% · Fair odds 12-1 · Our #4 · Tier B · Last 3 figs 37 68

   ▼ Best fig 68 is 5+ under today's par 75▼ 2nd off a layoff after a poor return (37 vs 68)

   Jockey Pedro Pena 25% career 2-for-18 on dirt this meet (11%) · Trainer Steve Klesaris 29% career 0-for-3 on dirt this meet

   Also today · Jockey R4: My Beauty Queen 12-1, R8: First Blessing 12-1, R10: Mambo Jazz 20-1

   A big drop, maiden special weight to maiden claiming $35,000, and worth asking why. Shortens up to 6 furlongs after going 7 furlongs.

   EVEN PACE No style on record, so the setup says little about it.

   WORKS LIGHT Thin work schedule next to this field: 1 work in 30d, last one 6d ago

   Last three races

   Date	Trk	Dist	Class	Finish	Fig	Odds	Eq	Trip
   10/10	BEL	7f D	fsMdSpWt	8th/8 -16L	37	6.6-1	b L	Bmpst;4w;retreat;eased
   7/21	DEL	5½f D	MSW	6th/8 -9½L	68	12-1	L	No speed;late interest

3. 3Tiffany's Gem▼★S. Marin · H. BondMarin · BondA67 62 50▲▲+11@trip 676-1Fair 7-112%▲▲ Big jump +11 · career best67 62 50@trip 67A▼ Best fig 67 is 5+ under today's par 75★ Best at the trip 673

   Card model 12% · Fair odds 7-1 · Our #3 · Tier A · Form ▲▲ Big jump +11 · career best · Best fig at today's trip 67 (3 tries) · Last 3 figs 67 62 50

   ▼ Best fig 67 is 5+ under today's par 75★ Best at the trip 67

   Jockey Samuel Marin 33% career 7-for-49 on dirt this meet (14%) · Trainer Harold James Bond 23% career 0-for-2 on dirt this meet

   Also today · Jockey R1: Sir Duke 8-5, R2: Counter Move 3-1, R4: Quoted 9-2, R5: Say Wallahi Bro 3-1 +5 more

   60D LAYOFF4 WORKS IN 30 DAYS

   Freshened 134 days, longer than anything else in the field. Watch how its recent works look. Has moved up each time out, 50 to 62 to 67.

   EVEN PACE The shape is neutral for this one. (early-speed points: 3)

   WORKS SHARP Fit-looking prep next to these rivals: 4 works in 30d, last 6d ago

   Last three races

   Date	Trk	Dist	Class	Finish	Fig	Odds	Eq	Trip
   6/18	BAQ	6f D	fsMd35000	2nd/3 -4½L	67	6.0-1	L	Toss head brk;ins turn
   4/16	AQU	6f D	fsMd35000	5th/6 -10L	62	9.8-1	b L	Chased ins; weakened
   11/22	AQU	6f D	fsMdSpWt	7th/7 -9½L	50	30-1	b	Off slw; lunged 2x st

4. 4AdroitLSR. Maragh · J. FerraroMaragh · FerraroB60 59 65►≡20-1Fair 20-15%► Steady60 59 65 ≡BLS

   Card model 5% · Fair odds 20-1 · Our #5 · Tier B · Form ► Steady · ≡ Steady figures 57–65 · Last 3 figs 60 59 65

   LS

   Longshot read: 20-1 on the morning line, and the model has it at 5% against a line of 4%. A read, not a bet.

   Jockey Rajiv Maragh 27% career 0-for-18 on dirt this meet (0%) · Trainer James W Ferraro 36% career 1-for-13 on dirt this meet (8%)

   Also today · Jockey R4: Quiet Storm 8-1, R7: Call Attendant 12-1, R8: Luz De Guia 15-1, R9: Mezcal Mama 15-1 +2 more · Trainer this race: Angie's Angel 30-1

   CLASS DROP

   Tops the field on speed figures, an 86 against 80 for the next best. Maiden through 6 starts.

   EVEN PACE Style isn't established yet, so how it fits this shape is open.

   WORKS LIGHT Light on works against these rivals (1 work in 30d, last 6d back)

   RECORD Bays win 16% here vs 13% for all horses (293 starts)

   Last three races

   Date	Trk	Dist	Class	Finish	Fig	Odds	Eq	Trip
   10/9	BEL	7f D	fsMd35000	7th/11 -15L	60	33-1	b L	Chased 2-3w; tired
   9/30	BEL	1 1/16 D	fsMd50000	10th/11 -10L	59	15-1	b L	Chased inside; tired
   9/7	SAR	5½f T	fsMd50000	7th/12 -12L	65	28-1	b L	Fractious gate;bmp3/16

5. 5Sparks Will Fly▲J. Lezcano · L. RiceLezcano · RiceA80 59@trip 592-1Fair 5-229%—80 59@trip 59A▲ Last fig 80 at/above par 751

   Card model 29% · Fair odds 5-2 · Our #1 · Tier A · Best fig at today's trip 59 (1 tries) · Last 3 figs 80 59

   ▲ Last fig 80 at/above par 75

   Jockey Jose Lezcano 33% career 9-for-60 on dirt this meet (15%) · Trainer Linda Rice 37% career 13-for-68 on dirt this meet (19%) ★ hot

   Also today · Jockey R1: Originality 2-1, R2: Tall Paul 20-1, R5: Early And Often 8-1, R6: Starship Athena 8-1 +3 more

   Beaten 1½ lengths for 2nd in an 11-horse maiden claiming $35,000 race at BEL. Back to 6 furlongs off a 7 furlongs race.

   EVEN PACE No pace advantage either way, so this comes down to trip and class. (early-speed points: 2)

   TROUBLED TRIP Chart note from last time: 5w upper; ran on. A trip worth forgiving, though the number already carries it.

   WORKS LIGHT Few works lately, 1 work in 30d and the last 28 days ago

   RECORD Jose Lezcano from post 5 here: 2 wins, 8 top-3 in 16 rides · 10% wins from all posts here

   Last three races

   Date	Trk	Dist	Class	Finish	Fig	Odds	Eq	Trip
   10/9	BEL	7f D	fsMd35000	2nd/11 -1½L	80	4.9-1	L	5w upper; ran on
   9/4	SAR	6f D	fsMdSpWt	6th/8 -4L	59	5.6-1	L	4p turn;6p1/4;no rally

6. 6Quell▲R. Santana Jr. · R. RibaudoSantana Jr. · RibaudoA78 63 61▲▲+15@trip 614-1Fair 4-119%▲▲ Big jump +15 · career best78 63 61@trip 61A▲ Last fig 78 at/above par 752

   Card model 19% · Fair odds 4-1 · Our #2 · Tier A · Form ▲▲ Big jump +15 · career best · Best fig at today's trip 61 (1 tries) · Last 3 figs 78 63 61

   ▲ Last fig 78 at/above par 75

   Jockey Ricardo Jr Santana 13-for-90 on dirt this meet (14%) · Trainer Robert J Ribaudo 16% career 0-for-1 on dirt this meet

   Also today · Jockey R1: Legal Gambit 3-1, R2: Hamilton's Way 8-1, R4: Buzzer Beater 5-1, R5: Double Max 7-2 +5 more

   CLASS DROP★ FASTEST WORK

   Figures are climbing: 61, 63, 78 over its last three. Posted the fastest 3F work of the morning on Oct 6, in :37.40.

   EVEN PACE The shape is neutral for this one.

   WORKS LIGHT Few works lately, 1 work in 30d and the last 24 days ago

   Last three races

   Date	Trk	Dist	Class	Finish	Fig	Odds	Eq	Trip
   10/9	BEL	7f D	fsMd35000	3rd/11 -4½L	78	19-1	L	2-3w upper; mild bid
   9/7	SAR	5½f T	fsMd50000	9th/12 -11L	63	46-1	L	Stmbld7/16;bmpd3/16
   5/22	BAQ	6f D	MCL 35k	6th/8 -10L	61	3.8-1	L	Steady 1/2; weakened

7. 7Pink CaratsA. Fresu · W. WardFresu · Ward?5-2Fair 5-116%—Debut?

   Card model 16% · Fair odds 5-1 · Our #6 · Tier ?

   Jockey Antonio Fresu 34% career 4-for-48 on dirt this meet (8%) · Trainer Wesley A Ward 36% career ★ hot

   Also today · Jockey R2: Tacticality 8-1, R4: Hot Night 8-1, R5: Fire Angel 6-1, R6: Princess Attitude 8-1 +4 more · Trainer R9: Di Natale 3-1

   Debut for a Shancelot youngster; the sire's listed stud fee is $7,000. Debut for a trainer who is 29% with first-timers, over 263 starts.

   EVEN PACE No running style on file yet, so the pace shape can't be applied to it.

   WORKS Average work schedule for this field (3 works in 30d, last 11d ago)

   Last three races

   First start. By Shancelot out of Show Me the Carats (More Than Ready)

   Trainer W. Ward: 1st-time starters: 29% wins, 59% in the money (263 starts)

   Jockey A. Fresu in sprints: 32 wins from 170 (19%)

   Work	Trk	Dist	Time	How	Rank
   10/19	KEE	5f	1:02.40	breezing	4/6
   10/10	KEE	5f	1:01.20	breezing	6/15
   9/30	KEE	4f	:47.20	breezing	4/18	from gate
   9/23	KEE	5f	1:02.00	breezing	4/6
   8/30	KEE	5f	1:04.80	breezing	4/4

8. 8Fire BatonC. Elliott · J. RyersonElliott · Ryerson?6-1Fair 12-18%—Debut?

   Card model 8% · Fair odds 12-1 · Our #8 · Tier ?

   Jockey Christopher Elliott 35% career 4-for-49 on dirt this meet (8%) · Trainer James T Ryerson 27% career 1-for-6 on dirt this meet

   Also today · Jockey R2: Pineland 4-1, R5: Freshly Minted 15-1, R7: Like A Rock 10-1, R8: Tapwrits Temper 10-1 +3 more · Trainer R10: Zodiac Warrior 20-1

   Unraced; this barn has 44 first-time starters on record and wins 2% of them. It has been schooling from the gate (latest Oct 3).

   EVEN PACE No style on record, so the setup says little about it.

   WORKS SHARP Active work pattern for this group, 3 works in 30d and the last 6d back

   RECORD Bays win 16% here vs 13% for all horses (293 starts)

   Last three races

   First start. By Divining Rod out of Out First (Outwork)

   Trainer J. Ryerson: 1st-time starters: 2% wins, 27% in the money (44 starts)

   Jockey C. Elliott in sprints: 28 wins from 279 (10%)

   Work	Trk	Dist	Time	How	Rank
   10/24	BEL	5f	1:01.60	breezing	6/7
   10/10	BEL	4f	:50.00	breezing	48/87
   10/3	BEL	4f	:48.80	breezing	15/74	from gate
   9/19	BEL	4f	:51.00	breezing	68/96
   9/12	BEL	4f	:49.60	breezing	83/195

▲ / ▼ angle for / against · ★ best figure at the trip · LS longshot read · 1 2 3 = our top three · A B C tiers · ▲ ► ▼ form · ≡ ↕ steady / up-and-down. Tap a row for its notes, a name for the horse's page. Analysis only. Pace: hard to project, too many first-time starters.