R7 Belmont Park · Maiden Special Weight

1. 1Rufus the Red▼D. Davis · T. MorleyDavis · MorleyA71 56@trip 5612-1Fair 15-16%—71 56@trip 56A▼ Best fig 71 is 5+ under today's par 91

   Card model 6% · Fair odds 15-1 · Our #9 · Tier A · Best fig at today's trip 56 (1 tries) · Last 3 figs 71 56

   ▼ Best fig 71 is 5+ under today's par 91

   Jockey Dylan Davis 31% career 4-for-51 on dirt this meet (8%) · Trainer Thomas Morley 29% career 2-for-5 on dirt this meet

   Also today · Jockey R1: Jack Riley 8-1, R2: Razorcat 10-1, R4: Scottish Brittany 5-2, R5: Luna Dancer 4-1 +3 more · Trainer this race: Call Attendant 12-1, R10: River Of Deceit 3-1

   Jky 0/18 from post 1

   Last race was on the turf; today it runs on the dirt. Needs to move up: the best of its last five is 71 against a 91 par.

   EVEN PACE Balanced pace: trip and tactical speed decide it, with no strong setup advantage. (early-speed points: 4)

   WORKS LIGHT Few works lately, 2 works in 30d and the last 8 days ago

   RECORD Dylan Davis has never won from post 1 here (7 top-3 in 18 rides) · 5% wins from all posts here

   Last three races

   Date	Trk	Dist	Class	Finish	Fig	Odds	Eq	Trip
   9/3	SAR	5½f T	MSW	6th/10 -½L	71	4.7-1		Ins;bid;wknd final 1/8
   8/7	SAR	6f D	MSW	7th/12 -3¼L	56	4.9-1		Steadied st; flattened

2. 2Bellissimo D'oro▼V. Cheminaud · N. ZitoCheminaud · ZitoB69 62 76►@trip 6220-1Fair 10-19%► Steady69 62 76@trip 62B▼ Best fig 76 is 5+ under today's par 913

   Card model 9% · Fair odds 10-1 · Our #3 · Tier B · Form ► Steady · Best fig at today's trip 62 (1 tries) · Last 3 figs 69 62 76

   ▼ Best fig 76 is 5+ under today's par 91

   Jockey Vincent Cheminaud 31% career · Trainer Nicholas P Zito 23% career 0-for-2 on dirt this meet

   Also today · Jockey R1: Outlaw Man 5-1, R8: Art Fair 4-1, R9: Yaupon De Replay 6-1, R10: A I Nation 15-1 · Trainer R2: Catch A Tiger 20-1, R8: Luz De Guia 15-1, R10: A I Nation 15-1

   Best recent figure is 76, well under the 91 par for this level. Beaten 8 lengths for 5th in a 7-horse maiden special weight race at BEL.

   EVEN PACE Style isn't established yet, so how it fits this shape is open.

   WORKS SHARP 5f in :58.00 on Jul 23 was the best time at that distance that morning; 1 work in 30d

   RECORD Bays win 16% here vs 13% for all horses (293 starts)

   Last three races

   Date	Trk	Dist	Class	Finish	Fig	Odds	Eq	Trip
   10/10	BEL	6½f D	MSW	5th/7 -8L	69	14-1		Chsd ins;cue5/16;empty
   9/7	SAR	6f D	MSW	8th/12 -14L	62	5.7-1		Chased 6-5w; tired
   8/8	SAR	6½f D	MSW	5th/8 -3½L	76	19-1		Brk fast;2p-ins;tired

3. 3Bubble MarketS. Marin · G. WeaverMarin · Weaver?4-1Fair 7-113%—Debut?

   Card model 13% · Fair odds 7-1 · Our #4 · Tier ?

   Jockey Samuel Marin 33% career 7-for-49 on dirt this meet (14%) · Trainer George Weaver 37% career 1-for-11 on dirt this meet (9%) ★ hot

   Also today · Jockey R1: Sir Duke 8-5, R2: Counter Move 3-1, R3: Tiffany's Gem 6-1, R4: Quoted 9-2 +5 more · Trainer R2: Counter Move 3-1, R5: Fire Angel 6-1

   First career start, by Mystic Guide out of Blame The Gods. First-time starter from a barn that wins 21% of the time with them (209 tried).

   EVEN PACE No running style on file yet, so the pace shape can't be applied to it.

   WORKS SHARP Fit-looking prep next to these rivals: 4 works in 30d, last 7d ago

   Last three races

   First start. By Mystic Guide out of Blame the Gods (Blame)

   Trainer G. Weaver: 1st-time starters: 21% wins, 44% in the money (209 starts) · Debut maiden special weights: 20% wins, 47% in the money (161 starts) · Maiden special weights: 17% wins, 45% in the money (429 starts)

   Jockey S. Marin in sprints: 80 wins from 336 (24%)

   Work	Trk	Dist	Time	How	Rank
   10/23	BEL	5f	:59.40	breezing	2/8	from gate
   10/15	SAR	4f	:49.20	breezing	15/45	from gate
   10/9	SAR	4f	:50.60	breezing	16/24
   10/1	SAR	3f	:38.00	breezing	2/11	from gate
   9/19	SAR	4f	:49.20	breezing	22/76

4. 4HundredsLSJ. Rodriguez · J. TerranovaRodriguez · Terranova?15-1Fair 20-15%—Debut?LS

   Card model 5% · Fair odds 20-1 · Our #7 · Tier ?

   LS

   Longshot read: 15-1 on the morning line, and the model has it at 5% against a line of 5%. A read, not a bet.

   Jockey Jamie Rodriguez 34% career · Trainer John P Ii Terranova 1-for-4 on dirt this meet

   Also today · Jockey R2: Moment's Notice 6-1, R4: Goodproblemtohave 7-2, R5: Mass Confusion 8-1, R6: Storm Miami 3-1 +3 more · Trainer R2: Tall Paul 20-1, R5: Surprise Audit 8-1

   No race form yet, but it was the fastest 4F work of its morning on Oct 8 (:47.00). This barn has 63 first-time starters on record and wins 3% of them.

   EVEN PACE No style on record, so the setup says little about it.

   WORKS SHARP 4f in :47.00 on Oct 8 was the best time at that distance that morning; 4 works in 30d

   RECORD Bays win 16% here vs 13% for all horses (293 starts)

   Last three races

   First start. By Munnings out of Mischievous Kiss (Into Mischief)

   Trainer J. Terranova: 1st-time starters: 3% wins, 29% in the money (63 starts) · Debut maiden special weights: 4% wins, 27% in the money (48 starts) · Maiden special weights: 6% wins, 35% in the money (177 starts)

   Jockey J. Rodriguez in sprints: 59 wins from 398 (15%)

   Work	Trk	Dist	Time	How	Rank
   10/22	BEL	5f	:59.80	breezing	3/11	from gate
   10/15	BEL	5f	1:01.80	breezing	3/5
   10/8	BEL	4f	:47.00	breezing	1/28	● bullet
   10/1	BEL	3f	:36.80	breezing	2/4
   8/5	SAR	4f	:47.20	breezing	1/52	● bullet from gate

5. 5AbersochA. Fresu · D. BeckmanFresu · Beckman?10-1Fair 20-15%——?

   Card model 5% · Fair odds 20-1 · Our #10 · Tier ?

   Jockey Antonio Fresu 34% career 4-for-48 on dirt this meet (8%) · Trainer D Whitworth Beckman 29% career 0-for-8 on dirt this meet (0%)

   Also today · Jockey R2: Tacticality 8-1, R3: Pink Carats 5-2, R4: Hot Night 8-1, R5: Fire Angel 6-1 +4 more

   A step up in company: maiden special weight before, maiden special weight today. New trainer: De Foy@ke *philippart had it last time, D Whitworth Beckman now.

   EVEN PACE Running style isn't established yet, so the pace read is a blank for this one.

   WORKS LIGHT Thin work schedule next to this field: 2 works in 30d, last one 8d ago

   Last three races

   Date	Trk	Dist	Class	Finish	Fig	Odds	Eq	Trip
   9/2	KEM	7f D	MSW	7th/10	—	5.0-1

6. 6Call Attendant▼▲R. Maragh · T. MorleyMaragh · MorleyB60 4812-1Fair 8-111%—60 48B▼ Best fig 60 is 5+ under today's par 91▲ Lone speed on early pace2

   Card model 11% · Fair odds 8-1 · Our #2 · Tier B · Last 3 figs 60 48

   ▼ Best fig 60 is 5+ under today's par 91▲ Lone speed on early pace

   Jockey Rajiv Maragh 27% career 0-for-18 on dirt this meet (0%) · Trainer Thomas Morley 29% career 2-for-5 on dirt this meet

   Also today · Jockey R3: Adroit 20-1, R4: Quiet Storm 8-1, R8: Luz De Guia 15-1, R9: Mezcal Mama 15-1 +2 more · Trainer this race: Rufus The Red 12-1, R10: River Of Deceit 3-1

   60D LAYOFF3 WORKS IN 30 DAYS★ FASTEST WORK

   Freshened 113 days, longer than anything else in the field. Watch how its recent works look. Comes off a turf start and tries the dirt here.

   EVEN PACE The shape is neutral for this one. (early-speed points: 6)

   WORKS SHARP Fastest work of the morning on Sep 30 (4F in :47.60), 3 works in 30d

   Last three races

   Date	Trk	Dist	Class	Finish	Fig	Odds	Eq	Trip
   7/9	SAR	5½f T	MSW	6th/8 -2¾L	60	2.8-1		Outside;3p turn;tired
   6/7	SAR	5½f D	MSW	7th/9 -7L	48	9.7-1		2p trn;headed3/16;wknd

7. 7Donegal Luster▼R. Santana Jr. · T. PletcherSantana Jr. · PletcherA85@trip 858-5Fair 5-227%—85@trip 85A▼ Best fig 85 is 5+ under today's par 911

   Card model 27% · Fair odds 5-2 · Our #1 · Tier A · Best fig at today's trip 85 (1 tries) · Last 3 figs 85

   ▼ Best fig 85 is 5+ under today's par 91

   Jockey Ricardo Jr Santana 13-for-90 on dirt this meet (14%) · Trainer Todd A Pletcher 37% career 2-for-25 on dirt this meet (8%)

   Also today · Jockey R1: Legal Gambit 3-1, R2: Hamilton's Way 8-1, R3: Quell 4-1, R4: Buzzer Beater 5-1 +5 more · Trainer R1: Originality 2-1, R9: Code 12-1

   Owns the highest recent figure here at 85. Last out was 3rd, 3 lengths behind the winner, in a 7-horse maiden special weight race at BEL.

   EVEN PACE No pace advantage either way, so this comes down to trip and class.

   WORKS LIGHT Light on works against these rivals (2 works in 30d, last 6d back)

   RECORD Bays win 16% here vs 13% for all horses (293 starts)

   Last three races

   Date	Trk	Dist	Class	Finish	Fig	Odds	Eq	Trip
   9/30	BEL	6f D	MSW	3rd/7 -3L	85	3.2-1		Step slw st;climb;2-4p

8. 8Like a RockC. Elliott · K. McPeekElliott · McPeek?10-1Fair 15-16%—Debut?

   Card model 6% · Fair odds 15-1 · Our #6 · Tier ?

   Jockey Christopher Elliott 35% career 4-for-49 on dirt this meet (8%) · Trainer Kenneth G McPeek 1-for-15 on dirt this meet (7%)

   Also today · Jockey R2: Pineland 4-1, R3: Fire Baton 6-1, R5: Freshly Minted 15-1, R8: Tapwrits Temper 10-1 +3 more · Trainer R10: Momentary Star 10-1

   In the morning works, worked 4F in :47.00 on Sep 30, 2nd fastest of 64 that morning. It has been schooling from the gate (latest Oct 21).

   EVEN PACE No running style on file yet, so the pace shape can't be applied to it.

   WORKS SHARP Fit-looking prep next to these rivals: 5 works in 30d, last 3d ago

   RECORD Bays win 16% here vs 13% for all horses (293 starts)

   Last three races

   First start. By Rock Your World out of Jane Says (Tale of Ekati)

   Trainer K. McPeek: 1st-time starters: 11% wins, 31% in the money (380 starts) · Debut maiden special weights: 10% wins, 28% in the money (317 starts) · Maiden special weights: 12% wins, 35% in the money (890 starts)

   Jockey C. Elliott in sprints: 28 wins from 279 (10%)

   Work	Trk	Dist	Time	How	Rank
   10/27	BEL	3f	:36.60	breezing	1/1	● bullet
   10/21	BEL	4f	:48.00	breezing	4/28	from gate
   10/14	BEL	4f	:49.00	breezing	11/20
   10/7	BEL	5f	1:01.00	breezing	4/8
   9/30	BEL	4f	:47.00	breezing	2/64	from gate

9. 9Supreme VerdictJ. Lezcano · W. MottLezcano · Mott?8-1Fair 12-18%—Debut?

   Card model 8% · Fair odds 12-1 · Our #5 · Tier ?

   Jockey Jose Lezcano 33% career 9-for-60 on dirt this meet (15%) · Trainer William I Mott 34% career 4-for-24 on dirt this meet (17%) ★ hot

   Also today · Jockey R1: Originality 2-1, R2: Tall Paul 20-1, R3: Sparks Will Fly 2-1, R5: Early And Often 8-1 +3 more · Trainer R10: Squadron 12-1

   Debut for this Liam's Map colt, whose dam is Princess Char. Debut for a trainer who is 8% with first-timers, over 339 starts.

   EVEN PACE No style on record, so the setup says little about it.

   WORKS Average work schedule for this field (4 works in 30d, last 5d ago)

   Last three races

   First start. By Liam's Map out of Princess Char (Speightstown)

   Trainer W. Mott: 1st-time starters: 8% wins, 28% in the money (339 starts) · Debut maiden special weights: 8% wins, 29% in the money (333 starts) · Maiden special weights: 12% wins, 38% in the money (1001 starts)

   Jockey J. Lezcano in sprints: 58 wins from 273 (21%)

   Work	Trk	Dist	Time	How	Rank
   10/25	BEL	4f	:49.80	breezing	41/70
   10/18	BEL	4f	:48.40	breezing	10/77
   10/10	BEL	4f	:50.00	breezing	48/87
   10/1	BEL	5f	1:02.20	breezing	2/6	from gate
   9/23	BEL	5f	1:01.60	breezing	6/9	from gate

10. 10First to Engage▼K. Davis · B. TaggDavis · TaggA73@trip 735-1Fair 8-110%—73@trip 73A▼ Best fig 73 is 5+ under today's par 91

    Card model 10% · Fair odds 8-1 · Our #8 · Tier A · Best fig at today's trip 73 (1 tries) · Last 3 figs 73

    ▼ Best fig 73 is 5+ under today's par 91

    Jockey Katie Davis 31% career 1-for-26 on dirt this meet (4%) · Trainer Barclay Tagg 20% career 0-for-2 on dirt this meet

    Also today · Jockey R2: Catch A Tiger 20-1, R3: Angie's Angel 30-1, R8: First Call Bob 12-1, R9: One More Guitar 20-1

    Runs for $100,000 after a $80,000 race last out. 2nd last time, 3 lengths back, in a field of 9.

    EVEN PACE The shape is neutral for this one.

    WORKS LIGHT Few works lately, 2 works in 30d and the last 6 days ago

    RECORD Bays win 16% here vs 13% for all horses (293 starts)

    Last three races

    Date	Trk	Dist	Class	Finish	Fig	Odds	Eq	Trip
    10/4	BEL	6f D	Moc75000	2nd/9 -3L	73	14-1		Outside;4p turn;5p1/4

▲ / ▼ angle for / against · ★ best figure at the trip · LS longshot read · 1 2 3 = our top three · A B C tiers · ▲ ► ▼ form · ≡ ↕ steady / up-and-down. Tap a row for its notes, a name for the horse's page. Analysis only. Pace: hard to project, too many first-time starters.