R8 Belmont Park · State-Bred Allowance · $75,000 purse

1. 1Freaky▲D. Davis · R. HandalDavis · HandalB88 87 87▲+5@trip 456-1Fair 8-111%▲ Up +5 · career best88 87 87@trip 45B▲ Last fig 88 at/above par 86

   Card model 11% · Fair odds 8-1 · Our #5 · Tier B · Form ▲ Up +5 · career best · Best fig at today's trip 45 (1 tries) · Last 3 figs 88 87 87

   ▲ Last fig 88 at/above par 86

   Jockey Dylan Davis 31% career 4-for-51 on dirt this meet (8%) · Trainer Raymond Handal 29% career 3-for-9 on dirt this meet (33%), #2 of 35

   Also today · Jockey R1: Jack Riley 8-1, R2: Razorcat 10-1, R4: Scottish Brittany 5-2, R5: Luna Dancer 4-1 +3 more · Trainer R1: Jack Riley 8-1

   4 WORKS IN 30 DAYSJky 0/18 from post 1

   Was running in allowance; today's starter allowance is an easier level on paper. A longer trip: 6½ furlongs last out, a mile today.

   PACE HELPS Sits just off the speed with pace in front to run at.

   WORKS SHARP Fastest work of the morning on Oct 2 (4F in :47.00), 4 works in 30d

   RECORD Dylan Davis has never won from post 1 here (7 top-3 in 18 rides) · 5% wins from all posts here

   RECORD Bays win 16% here vs 13% for all horses (293 starts)

   Last three races

   Date	Trk	Dist	Class	Finish	Fig	Odds	Eq	Trip
   9/18	BEL	6½f D	Alw s	3rd/12 -5¾L	88	13-1	b L	2-3p turn;late energy
   8/14	SAR	7f D	Clm 55k n2l	Won/7	87	12-1	b L	5w uppr; dueled; game
   7/12	SAR	1m T	OC 45k	5th/12 -3¾L	87	13-1	L	Bumped st; outfinished

2. 2Sequential▲L. Rivera Jr. · O. NodaRivera Jr. · NodaA86 93 25▲▲+18↕@trip 875-2Fair 9-218%▲▲ Big jump +1886 93 25 ↕@trip 87A▲ Last fig 86 at/above par 862

   Card model 18% · Fair odds 9-2 · Our #2 · Tier A · Form ▲▲ Big jump +18 · ↕ Up-and-down figures 25–93 · Best fig at today's trip 87 (8 tries) · Last 3 figs 86 93 25

   ▲ Last fig 86 at/above par 86

   Jockey Luis Raul Jr Rivera 34% career 0-for-22 on dirt this meet (0%) · Trainer Orlando Noda 28% career 2-for-6 on dirt this meet

   Also today · Jockey R2: Bridle A Butterfly 9-2, R4: Vekoma Dream 8-1, R5: Surprise Audit 8-1, R9: Bette Davis Eyes 20-1

   ★ FASTEST WORK

   Tops the field on speed figures, a 93 against 92 for the next best. Last out was 2nd, 2 lengths behind the winner, in an 8-horse allowance race at BEL.

   PACE HELPS Sits just off the speed with pace in front to run at.

   WORKS LIGHT Few works lately, 0 works in 30d and the last 32 days ago

   Last three races

   Date	Trk	Dist	Class	Finish	Fig	Odds	Eq	Trip
   10/8	BEL	1 1/16 D	Alw s	2nd/8 -2L	86	6.0-1	b L	5-3w;late rally;short
   8/27	SAR	1⅛m D	Clm 55k b	3rd/5 -1L	93	9.4-1	b L	3-2w 1st trn; kept on
   6/4	SAR	1m D	Alw s	10th/10 -34L	25	15-1	b L	3-4p1st;eased;wlkd off

3. 3Salvation▲★R. Santana Jr. · M. KantarmaciSantana Jr. · KantarmaciA89 83 84▲+4≡@trip 919-2Fair 6-114%▲ Up +489 83 84 ≡@trip 91A▲ Last fig 89 at/above par 86★ Best at the trip 911

   Card model 14% · Fair odds 6-1 · Our #1 · Tier A · Form ▲ Up +4 · ≡ Steady figures 83–89 · Best fig at today's trip 91 (9 tries) · Last 3 figs 89 83 84

   ▲ Last fig 89 at/above par 86★ Best at the trip 91

   Jockey Ricardo Jr Santana 13-for-90 on dirt this meet (14%) · Trainer Mertkan Kantarmaci 28% career 2-for-17 on dirt this meet (12%)

   Also today · Jockey R1: Legal Gambit 3-1, R2: Hamilton's Way 8-1, R3: Quell 4-1, R4: Buzzer Beater 5-1 +5 more

   WON LAST

   Winner of an 8-horse maiden claiming $55,000 race at BEL last time. Figure of 91 on the record sits above the 86 par.

   PACE HELPS The pocket behind pressure is the useful spot, and this type fits it.

   WORKS Routine prep: 2 works in 30d, last 5d ago

   RECORD Bays win 16% here vs 13% for all horses (293 starts)

   Last three races

   Date	Trk	Dist	Class	Finish	Fig	Odds	Eq	Trip
   10/8	BEL	1m D	MCL 55k	Won/8	89	2.1-1	L	Shdw ins-2w;bid1/8;clr
   8/23	SAR	1m D	MCL 55kc	3rd/6 -3½L	83	1.3-1	L	5p-2p1st;2-3p2nd;wknd
   12/28	AQU	1m D	MSW	4th/7 -5¼L	84	2.2-1	L	5w upper; mild bid

4. 4Luz De GuiaLSR. Maragh · N. ZitoMaragh · ZitoC79 84 80►≡@trip 8415-1Fair 15-17%► Steady79 84 80 ≡@trip 84CLS

   Card model 7% · Fair odds 15-1 · Our #4 · Tier C · Form ► Steady · ≡ Steady figures 79–84 · Best fig at today's trip 84 (3 tries) · Last 3 figs 79 84 80

   LS

   Longshot read: 15-1 on the morning line, and the model has it at 7% against a line of 5%. A read, not a bet.

   Jockey Rajiv Maragh 27% career 0-for-18 on dirt this meet (0%) · Trainer Nicholas P Zito 23% career 0-for-2 on dirt this meet

   Also today · Jockey R3: Adroit 20-1, R4: Quiet Storm 8-1, R7: Call Attendant 12-1, R9: Mezcal Mama 15-1 +2 more · Trainer R2: Catch A Tiger 20-1, R7: Bellissimo D'Oro 20-1, R10: A I Nation 15-1

   ★ FASTEST WORK

   Posted the fastest 4F work of the morning on Apr 16, in :47.60. Worked 4F in :47.80 on Jan 18, 3rd of 58 at the distance.

   PACE HELPS The pocket behind pressure is the useful spot, and this type fits it.

   WORKS LIGHT Thin work schedule next to this field: 0 works in 30d, last one 197d ago

   RECORD Bays win 16% here vs 13% for all horses (293 starts)

   Last three races

   Date	Trk	Dist	Class	Finish	Fig	Odds	Eq	Trip
   10/8	BEL	1 1/16 D	Alw s	4th/8 -6½L	79	27-1	L	Svdgrnd; outs; improve
   9/3	SAR	1m D	Alw s	5th/7 -3½L	84	30-1	L	7w uppr; no headway
   8/14	SAR	1m D	MCL 85k	Won/6	80	5.3-1	L	Bumped st; edged clear

5. 5Tapwrits Temper▲C. Elliott · R. DutrowElliott · DutrowB86 78 84▲+5≡10-1Fair 10-18%▲ Up +5 · career best86 78 84 ≡B▲ Last fig 86 at/above par 863

   Card model 8% · Fair odds 10-1 · Our #3 · Tier B · Form ▲ Up +5 · career best · ≡ Steady figures 78–86 · Last 3 figs 86 78 84

   ▲ Last fig 86 at/above par 86

   Jockey Christopher Elliott 35% career 4-for-49 on dirt this meet (8%) · Trainer Richard E Dutrow 22% career ★ 4-for-17 on dirt this meet (24%)

   Also today · Jockey R2: Pineland 4-1, R3: Fire Baton 6-1, R5: Freshly Minted 15-1, R7: Like A Rock 10-1 +3 more · Trainer R2: Pineland 4-1, this race: Into The Light 10-1

   CLASS UP3 WORKS IN 30 DAYSWON LAST

   Comes in off a victory in a 9-horse $35,000 claiming race at BEL. Moves up from $35,000 claiming to starter allowance.

   PACE HELPS Stalks an honestly pressed pace from a good spot.

   TROUBLED TRIP Ran into trouble last out (3p trn; 4p1/4; alter out), and the figure already reflects it.

   WORKS SHARP One of the busier work schedules here: 3 works in 30d, last 5d ago

   Last three races

   Date	Trk	Dist	Class	Finish	Fig	Odds	Eq	Trip
   9/20	BEL	7f D	Clm 35k b	Won/9 by 1½	86	10-1	L	3p trn;4p1/4;alter out
   7/23	SAR	6f D	Clm 20k n3lc	4th/10 -4L	78	11-1	L	Outside;4p turn;chased
   6/20	BAQ	7f D	Clm 20k n2l	Won/10	84	3.0-1	L	3w uppr; geared down

6. 6Holding Power▲S. Marin · J. EnglehartMarin · EnglehartC86 71 45▲▲+2820-1Fair 20-14%▲▲ Big jump +28 · career best86 71 45C▲ Last fig 86 at/above par 86

   Card model 4% · Fair odds 20-1 · Our #10 · Tier C · Form ▲▲ Big jump +28 · career best · Last 3 figs 86 71 45

   ▲ Last fig 86 at/above par 86

   Jockey Samuel Marin 33% career 7-for-49 on dirt this meet (14%) · Trainer Jeremiah C Englehart 34% career 2-for-12 on dirt this meet (17%) ★ hot

   Also today · Jockey R1: Sir Duke 8-5, R2: Counter Move 3-1, R3: Tiffany's Gem 6-1, R4: Quoted 9-2 +5 more · Trainer R2: Neigh Baby 10-1

   CLASS DROPWON LAST

   New trainer: Miguel Clement had it last time, Jeremiah C Englehart now. Figures are climbing: 45, 71, 86 over its last three.

   PACE HELPS The pocket behind pressure is the useful spot, and this type fits it.

   WORKS LIGHT Thin work schedule next to this field: 2 works in 30d, last one 8d ago

   Last three races

   Date	Trk	Dist	Class	Finish	Fig	Odds	Eq	Trip
   9/30	BEL	7f D	MCL 20kc	Won/12 by hd	86	5.6-1	b L	Pause early;2p;3p1/4
   9/6	SAR	6½f D	MCL 45k	6th/9 -7¼L	71	12-1	b L	Bmp brk;pinched;2-3p
   6/5	SAR	6½f D	MSW	10th/10 -16L	45	44-1	L	Bmp brk;tkn up;3p turn

7. 7Into the LightA. Fresu · R. DutrowFresu · DutrowC77 80 83▼-7@trip 8810-1Fair 15-17%▼ Down -777 80 83@trip 88C

   Card model 7% · Fair odds 15-1 · Our #9 · Tier C · Form ▼ Down -7 · Best fig at today's trip 88 (4 tries) · Last 3 figs 77 80 83

   Jockey Antonio Fresu 34% career 4-for-48 on dirt this meet (8%) · Trainer Richard E Dutrow 22% career ★ 4-for-17 on dirt this meet (24%)

   Also today · Jockey R2: Tacticality 8-1, R3: Pink Carats 5-2, R4: Hot Night 8-1, R5: Fire Angel 6-1 +4 more · Trainer R2: Pineland 4-1, this race: Tapwrits Temper 10-1

   CLASS DROP4 WORKS IN 30 DAYS

   Trending the wrong way on speed, 83 to 80 to 77. Stretches out from 7 furlongs to a mile.

   PACE HELPS The pocket behind pressure is the useful spot, and this type fits it.

   TROUBLED TRIP Chart note from last time: Two path; faltered. A trip worth forgiving, though the number already carries it.

   WORKS SHARP One of the busier work schedules here: 4 works in 30d, last 5d ago

   RECORD Bays win 16% here vs 13% for all horses (293 starts)

   Last three races

   Date	Trk	Dist	Class	Finish	Fig	Odds	Eq	Trip
   9/19	PRX	7f D	OC 16k n1x	6th/12 -2½L	77	3.1-1	b L	Two path; faltered
   8/14	SAR	1m D	OC 75k	2nd/6 -2L	80	2.1-1	b L	Ins1st;ins-3p2nd;chsd
   7/16	SAR	1m D	OC 75k	2nd/7 -3L	83	6.3-1	b L	Chased 3-2w; ran on

8. 8First Call BobK. Davis · E. DelauroDavis · DelauroB59 92 93▼▼-27↕@trip 8712-1Fair 12-17%▼▼ Big drop -2759 92 93 ↕@trip 87B

   Card model 7% · Fair odds 12-1 · Our #7 · Tier B · Form ▼▼ Big drop -27 · ↕ Up-and-down figures 59–93 · Best fig at today's trip 87 (3 tries) · Last 3 figs 59 92 93

   Jockey Katie Davis 31% career 1-for-26 on dirt this meet (4%) · Trainer Edward J Delauro 0-for-4 on dirt this meet

   Also today · Jockey R2: Catch A Tiger 20-1, R3: Angie's Angel 30-1, R7: First To Engage 5-1, R9: One More Guitar 20-1

   Best Brisnet figure in the field over its last five: 93, with 92 next best. Was 7th of 7 at the first call last time.

   PACE HELPS Stalks an honestly pressed pace from a good spot.

   TROUBLED TRIP Bump betw; pinched st last out; the speed figure already reflects it.

   WORKS LIGHT Light on works against these rivals (2 works in 30d, last 8d back)

   RECORD Bays win 16% here vs 13% for all horses (293 starts)

   Last three races

   Date	Trk	Dist	Class	Finish	Fig	Odds	Eq	Trip
   10/16	BEL	1 1/16 D	Alw n1x	7th/7 -17L	59	12-1	L	Bump betw; pinched st
   8/27	SAR	1⅛m D	Clm 55k bv	4th/5 -4L	92	3.6-1	L	5-6w upper; wknd late
   7/31	SAR	1⅛m D	Clm 45k n2lc	Won/7 by 4	93	0.6-1	L	6-7w uppr; up fin 70yd

9. 9First BlessingP. Pena · J. JimenezPena · JimenezC61 78 89▼▼-23↕@trip 8912-1Fair 15-16%▼▼ Big drop -2361 78 89 ↕@trip 89C

   Card model 6% · Fair odds 15-1 · Our #8 · Tier C · Form ▼▼ Big drop -23 · ↕ Up-and-down figures 61–89 · Best fig at today's trip 89 (5 tries) · Last 3 figs 61 78 89

   Jockey Pedro Pena 25% career 2-for-18 on dirt this meet (11%) · Trainer Jose L Jimenez 23% career 0-for-3 on dirt this meet

   Also today · Jockey R3: Our Sweet Harpie 8-1, R4: My Beauty Queen 12-1, R10: Mambo Jazz 20-1 · Trainer R4: My Beauty Queen 12-1

   60D LAYOFF

   0 for 5 at today's distance. A 77-day gap since its last race.

   PACE HELPS The pocket behind pressure is the useful spot, and this type fits it.

   WORKS LIGHT Thin work schedule next to this field: 2 works in 30d, last one 10d ago

   RECORD Bays win 16% here vs 13% for all horses (293 starts)

   Last three races

   Date	Trk	Dist	Class	Finish	Fig	Odds	Eq	Trip
   8/14	SAR	1m D	OC 75k	5th/6 -11L	61	11-1	b L	4-3p2nd;5p1/4;mvd out
   6/28	BAQ	1⅛m D	Alw s	7th/9 -10L	78	22-1	b L	3w both turns; tired
   6/4	SAR	1m D	Alw s	3rd/10 -2L	89	49-1	b L	Ins;2path out 1/4;5p

10. 10Swiss Army KnifeJ. Rodriguez · R. MetivierRodriguez · MetivierC81 82 70▲+3@trip 8320-1Fair 30-14%▲ Up +381 82 70@trip 83C

    Card model 4% · Fair odds 30-1 · Our #11 · Tier C · Form ▲ Up +3 · Best fig at today's trip 83 (6 tries) · Last 3 figs 81 82 70

    Jockey Jamie Rodriguez 34% career · Trainer Richard Metivier 14% career 0-for-1 on dirt this meet

    Also today · Jockey R2: Moment's Notice 6-1, R4: Goodproblemtohave 7-2, R5: Mass Confusion 8-1, R6: Storm Miami 3-1 +3 more

    CLASS DROP★ FASTEST WORKWON LAST

    Changes barns, from Fernando Abreu to Richard Metivier. Raises its level, $20,000 claiming last time and starter allowance now.

    PACE CHALLENGE Has early speed but company on the front end. (early-speed points: 5)

    WORKS SHARP 3f in :36.00 on Jul 6 was the best time at that distance that morning; 1 work in 30d

    RECORD Bays win 16% here vs 13% for all horses (293 starts)

    Last three races

    Date	Trk	Dist	Class	Finish	Fig	Odds	Eq	Trip
    9/4	SAR	1m D	Clm 20k n2lc	Won/10	81	3.3-1	L	Ins;drift out ins3/16
    7/31	SAR	1⅛m D	Clm 45k n2l	5th/7 -9½L	82	15-1	L	Chased 3-4w; weakened
    7/16	SAR	1m D	OC 75k	6th/7 -9L	70	22-1	L	Bumped st; tired

11. 11Art Fair▲▲V. Cheminaud · P. DeCheminaud · DeA86 92 86▼-3≡@trip 574-1Fair 6-113%▼ Down -386 92 86 ≡@trip 57A▲ Last fig 86 at/above par 86▲ Lone speed on early pace

    Card model 13% · Fair odds 6-1 · Our #6 · Tier A · Form ▼ Down -3 · ≡ Steady figures 86–92 · Best fig at today's trip 57 (1 tries) · Last 3 figs 86 92 86

    ▲ Last fig 86 at/above par 86▲ Lone speed on early pace

    Jockey Vincent Cheminaud 31% career · Trainer Paz Horacio De 0-for-11 on dirt this meet (0%)

    Also today · Jockey R1: Outlaw Man 5-1, R7: Bellissimo D'Oro 20-1, R9: Yaupon De Replay 6-1, R10: A I Nation 15-1

    4 WORKS IN 30 DAYS★ FASTEST WORK

    Goes a mile after running 6½ furlongs last time. Drops from allowance to starter allowance.

    PACE CHALLENGE Leads into real pressure, so it has to earn the front and then hold it. (early-speed points: 8)

    WORKS SHARP 5f in :59.00 on Oct 9 was the best time at that distance that morning; 4 works in 30d

    Last three races

    Date	Trk	Dist	Class	Finish	Fig	Odds	Eq	Trip
    9/18	BEL	6½f D	Alw s	6th/12 -4L	86	3.8-1	b L	Off 1/2 stp slw;2p-ins
    7/26	SAR	7f D	Alw s	3rd/10	92	4.4-1	b L	Dueled 6-3w; ran on
    6/14	BAQ	6f D	Clm 40k c	Won/5	86	1.4-1	b L	In hand 2p; stubbornly

▲ / ▼ angle for / against · ★ best figure at the trip · LS longshot read · 1 2 3 = our top three · A B C tiers · ▲ ► ▼ form · ≡ ↕ steady / up-and-down. Tap a row for its notes, a name for the horse's page. Analysis only. Pace: fast and contested (6 early types). Helps stalkers and closers.