R2 Belmont Park · State-Bred Maiden Special Weight

1. 1Fireinhereyes▼Ran 1stV. Cheminaud · P. DeCheminaud · DeA704-1Fair 5-116%—70A▼ Best fig 70 is 5+ under today's par 803

   Card model 16% · Fair odds 5-1 · Our #3 · Tier A · Last 3 figs 70

   ▼ Best fig 70 is 5+ under today's par 80

   Jockey Vincent Cheminaud 31% career 1-for-2 on dirt this meet · Trainer Paz Horacio De 1-for-12 on dirt this meet (8%)

   Also today · Jockey R1: Loyal Prince 15-1, R4: Velocity Girl 20-1, R5: B Thedonald 6-1, R7: Marchon 12-1 · Trainer R4: Power Of Women 5-1, R5: B Thedonald 6-1

   Best recent figure is 70, well under the 80 par for this level. Ranks first in the field on Brisnet Prime Power.

   PACE CHALLENGE Running style isn't established yet, so the pace read is a blank for this one.

   WORKS LIGHT Light on works against these rivals (2 works in 30d, last 7d back)

   RECORD Bays win 16% here vs 13% for all horses (293 starts)

   Last three races

   Date	Trk	Dist	Class	Finish	Fig	Odds	Eq	Trip
   10/3	BEL	6f D	fsMdSpWt	5th/12 -8¾L	70	20-1	b	Off slow;ins-2p;5p1/4

2. 2Lady Azul▼▲LSRan 7thJ. Hernandez · D. SynnefiasHernandez · SynnefiasA75 28 61▲▲+308-1Fair 8-111%▲▲ Big jump +30 · career best75 28 61A▼ Best fig 75 is 5+ under today's par 80▲ Lone speed on early paceLS

   Card model 11% · Fair odds 8-1 · Our #5 · Tier A · Form ▲▲ Big jump +30 · career best · Last 3 figs 75 28 61

   ▼ Best fig 75 is 5+ under today's par 80▲ Lone speed on early paceLS

   Longshot read: 8-1 on the morning line, and the model has it at 11% against a line of 9%. A read, not a bet.

   Jockey Julio A Hernandez 38% career · Trainer Dimitrios Synnefias 32% career 1-for-11 on dirt this meet (9%) ★ hot

   Also today · Jockey R11: Hurricane Kaz 8-1 · Trainer this race: Bikini Changer 5-1, R11: Hurricane Kaz 8-1

   ★ FASTEST WORK

   Finished 2nd in a 12-horse maiden special weight race at BEL, beaten 2 lengths. Julio A Hernandez takes over from Dexter Haddock in the saddle.

   PACE CHALLENGE With the front end asleep, a closer has nothing to run down.

   WORKS SHARP 4f in :47.00 on Sep 25 was the best time at that distance that morning; 1 work in 30d

   RECORD Bays win 16% here vs 13% for all horses (293 starts)

   Last three races

   Date	Trk	Dist	Class	Finish	Fig	Odds	Eq	Trip
   10/3	BEL	6f D	fsMdSpWt	2nd/12 -2L	75	43-1	b	8-5p turn;7p3/16;chsd
   8/12	SAR	6f D	fsMdSpWt	12th/12 -22L	28	21-1	b	3w pursuit; folded
   7/11	SAR	5½f D	fsMdSpWt	3rd/10 -11L	61	26-1	b	Bmp brk;toss head;stdy

3. 3Plenty of MischiefRan 8thJ. Lezcano · J. EnglehartLezcano · Englehart?9-2Fair 5-116%—Debut?2

   Card model 16% · Fair odds 5-1 · Our #2 · Tier ?

   Jockey Jose Lezcano 33% career 9-for-63 on dirt this meet (14%) · Trainer Jeremiah C Englehart 34% career 2-for-13 on dirt this meet (15%) ★ hot

   Also today · Jockey R1: Mr Webster 6-1, R3: Army Gal 4-1, R4: Boomington 7-2, R5: Master Freud 15-1 +6 more · Trainer R5: Party In The Army 2-1

   Jky 0/15 from post 3

   Debut for a Life Is Good youngster; the sire's listed stud fee is $200,000. First-time starter from a barn that wins 13% of the time with them (67 tried).

   PACE CHALLENGE Style isn't established yet, so how it fits this shape is open.

   WORKS SHARP Active work pattern for this group, 4 works in 30d and the last 7d back

   RECORD Jose Lezcano has never won from post 3 here (2 top-3 in 15 rides) · 10% wins from all posts here

   RECORD Bays win 16% here vs 13% for all horses (293 starts)

   Last three races

   First start. By Life Is Good out of Empire Gal (Empire Maker)

   Trainer J. Englehart: 1st-time starters: 13% wins, 45% in the money (67 starts) · Debut maiden special weights: 15% wins, 44% in the money (54 starts) · Maiden special weights: 19% wins, 47% in the money (178 starts)

   Jockey J. Lezcano in sprints: 58 wins from 273 (21%)

   Work	Trk	Dist	Time	How	Rank
   10/24	SAR	4f	:50.40	breezing	26/40	from gate
   10/18	SAR	4f	:48.60	breezing	3/23
   10/10	SAR	4f	:50.40	breezing	34/48
   10/3	SAR	4f	:48.40	breezing	5/66
   9/19	SAR	4f	:50.40	breezing	59/76

4. 4JadugarRan 2ndC. Elliott · D. GarganElliott · Gargan?6-1Fair 10-19%—Debut?

   Card model 9% · Fair odds 10-1 · Our #7 · Tier ?

   Jockey Christopher Elliott 35% career 4-for-52 on dirt this meet (8%) · Trainer Danny Gargan 34% career 0-for-11 on dirt this meet (0%) ★ hot

   Also today · Jockey R1: Obliterated 10-1, R3: Next On Stage 6-1, R6: Hyperborean Spirit 4-1, R8: Go Irish 15-1 +2 more

   Unraced; this barn has 81 first-time starters on record and wins 10% of them. On Oct 16 it was 3rd of 41 at 4F (:47.40).

   PACE CHALLENGE No running style on file yet, so the pace shape can't be applied to it.

   WORKS Steady, unremarkable work pattern: 3 works in 30d, last 6d back

   RECORD Bays win 16% here vs 13% for all horses (293 starts)

   Last three races

   First start. By Authentic out of Super Marina (Warrior's Reward)

   Trainer D. Gargan: 1st-time starters: 10% wins, 35% in the money (81 starts) · Debut maiden special weights: 10% wins, 33% in the money (72 starts) · Maiden special weights: 14% wins, 40% in the money (204 starts)

   Jockey C. Elliott in sprints: 28 wins from 279 (10%)

   Work	Trk	Dist	Time	How	Rank
   10/25	BEL	4f	:50.00	breezing	44/70
   10/16	BEL	4f	:47.40	breezing	3/41
   10/3	BEL	4f	:53.00	breezing	69/70
   9/25	BEL	4f	:49.00	breezing	60/138	from gate
   9/18	BEL	4f	:47.80	breezing	6/68

5. 5Outlaw AnnieRan 4thE. Zayas · J. AntonucciZayas · Antonucci?7-2Fair 7-222%—Debut?1

   Card model 22% · Fair odds 7-2 · Our #1 · Tier ?

   Jockey Edgard J Zayas 37% career 8-for-42 on dirt this meet (19%), #2 of 21 · Trainer Jena M Antonucci 28% career 1-for-5 on dirt this meet

   Also today · Jockey R1: Road To Ravello 8-1, R3: Roman Grace 7-2, R5: Vekinda 5-1, R6: Miracle Michael 8-1 +5 more · Trainer R10: Gold Fashioned 10-1, R11: Let's Get Weird 10-1, R11: It's Banksy 6-1

   In the morning works, the Oct 8 work, 5F in :59.80, was the fastest at that distance that morning. There is gate work on its record, the latest on Oct 18.

   PACE CHALLENGE No style on record, so the setup says little about it.

   WORKS LIGHT Few works lately, 2 works in 30d and the last 13 days ago

   RECORD Bays win 16% here vs 13% for all horses (293 starts)

   Last three races

   First start. By Tiz the Law out of Freudie Anne (Freud)

   Trainer J. Antonucci: 1st-time starters: 7% wins, 26% in the money (89 starts) · Debut maiden special weights: 8% wins, 30% in the money (64 starts) · Maiden special weights: 11% wins, 29% in the money (214 starts)

   Jockey E. Zayas in sprints: 37 wins from 262 (14%)

   Work	Trk	Dist	Time	How	Rank
   10/18	BEL	4f	:47.20	breezing	4/60	from gate
   10/8	BEL	5f	:59.80	breezing	1/7	● bullet
   9/30	SAR	5f	1:02.60	breezing	3/6	from gate
   9/23	SAR	4f	:49.20	breezing	18/44
   9/14	SAR	4f	:47.00	breezing	2/12

6. 6Mia's WarriorRan 5thJ. Rodriguez · M. MakerRodriguez · Maker?8-1Fair 15-16%—Debut?

   Card model 6% · Fair odds 15-1 · Our #8 · Tier ?

   Jockey Jamie Rodriguez 34% career 0-for-2 on dirt this meet · Trainer Michael J Maker 36% career 0-for-8 on dirt this meet (0%) ★ hot

   Also today · Jockey R1: This Time For Sure 8-1, R4: Athena's Fury 4-1, R5: Elysian Meadows 10-1, R6: God Of Fire 10-1 +4 more · Trainer R6: God Of Fire 10-1, R6: Themistocles 15-1, R9: Ole Crazy Bone 3-1

   Makes her first start with no form to go on, only the Jackie's Warrior and Crafty's Dream breeding. It has been schooling from the gate (latest Sep 20).

   PACE CHALLENGE Running style isn't established yet, so the pace read is a blank for this one.

   WORKS LIGHT Light on works against these rivals (2 works in 30d, last 10d back)

   RECORD Bays win 16% here vs 13% for all horses (293 starts)

   Last three races

   First start. By Jackie's Warrior out of Crafty's Dream (Bodemeister)

   Trainer M. Maker: 1st-time starters: 13% wins, 33% in the money (264 starts) · Debut maiden special weights: 14% wins, 33% in the money (228 starts) · Maiden special weights: 13% wins, 40% in the money (817 starts)

   Jockey J. Rodriguez in sprints: 59 wins from 398 (15%)

   Work	Trk	Dist	Time	How	Rank
   10/21	CD	5f	1:01.80	breezing	4/7
   10/4	CD	5f	1:01.80	breezing	28/45
   9/20	CD	5f	1:03.00	breezing	15/15	from gate
   9/13	CD	4f	:49.20	breezing	53/107
   9/5	CD	4f	:49.60	breezing	101/166

7. 7Gold ControlRan 6thA. Fresu · C. MartinFresu · Martin?6-1Fair 10-110%—Debut?

   Card model 10% · Fair odds 10-1 · Our #6 · Tier ?

   Jockey Antonio Fresu 34% career 6-for-51 on dirt this meet (12%) · Trainer Carlos F Martin 28% career 0-for-2 on dirt this meet

   Also today · Jockey R1: Port In A Storm 5-1, R3: L'Eclair 9-2, R4: She's Our Tiz 6-1, R5: Truman's Commander 10-1 +4 more

   Unraced, but it had the morning's best 4F work on Oct 2, in :46.60. First start coming, and it has been busy in the mornings: 9 works since Jul 13.

   PACE CHALLENGE Style isn't established yet, so how it fits this shape is open.

   WORKS SHARP Fastest work of the morning on Oct 2 (4F in :46.60), 4 works in 30d

   RECORD Bays win 16% here vs 13% for all horses (293 starts)

   Last three races

   First start. By Mind Control out of Earth Shaking (War Front)

   Trainer C. Martin: 1st-time starters: 7% wins, 22% in the money (41 starts) · Debut maiden special weights: 6% wins, 20% in the money (35 starts) · Maiden special weights: 8% wins, 28% in the money (103 starts)

   Jockey A. Fresu in sprints: 32 wins from 170 (19%)

   Work	Trk	Dist	Time	How	Rank
   10/24	BEL	4f	:48.40	breezing	7/91
   10/18	BEL	4f	:50.00	breezing	41/77	from gate
   10/10	BEL	4f	:49.60	breezing	42/87
   10/2	BEL	4f	:46.60	breezing	1/69	● bullet from gate
   9/19	BEL	4f	:49.60	breezing	39/85

8. 8Bikini ChangerRan 3rdL. Rivera Jr. · D. SynnefiasRivera Jr. · Synnefias?5-1Fair 8-111%—Debut?

   Card model 11% · Fair odds 8-1 · Our #4 · Tier ?

   Jockey Luis Raul Jr Rivera 34% career 0-for-24 on dirt this meet (0%) · Trainer Dimitrios Synnefias 32% career 1-for-11 on dirt this meet (9%) ★ hot

   Also today · Jockey R3: Collective Bargain 12-1, R5: Onebigbeautfulbill 3-1, R6: A Lot Of Gold 15-1, R7: Cuando 10-1 +1 more · Trainer this race: Lady Azul 8-1, R11: Hurricane Kaz 8-1

   Unraced, but worked 5F in :59.40 on Oct 24, 2nd fastest of 7 that morning. Debut for a trainer who is 19% with first-timers, over 32 starts.

   PACE CHALLENGE No running style on file yet, so the pace shape can't be applied to it.

   WORKS SHARP Fastest work of the morning on Oct 11 (5F in 1:00.60), 3 works in 30d

   RECORD Bays win 16% here vs 13% for all horses (293 starts)

   Last three races

   First start. By Name Changer out of Bikini Beauty (Bernardini)

   Trainer D. Synnefias: 1st-time starters: 19% wins, 41% in the money (32 starts) · Debut maiden special weights: 24% wins, 44% in the money (25 starts) · Maiden special weights: 16% wins, 41% in the money (64 starts)

   Jockey L. Rivera Jr. in sprints: 29 wins from 170 (17%)

   Work	Trk	Dist	Time	How	Rank
   10/24	BEL	5f	:59.40	breezing	2/7	from gate
   10/11	BEL	5f	1:00.60	breezing	1/4	● bullet from gate
   10/2	BEL	4f	:47.20	breezing	3/67
   9/25	BEL	4f	:50.80	breezing	124/138
   9/16	BEL	4f	:49.80	breezing	23/38

▲ / ▼ angle for / against · ★ best figure at the trip · LS longshot read · 1 2 3 = our top three · A B C tiers · ▲ ► ▼ form · ≡ ↕ steady / up-and-down. Tap a row for its notes, a name for the horse's page. Analysis only. Pace: hard to project, too many first-time starters.