R1 Keeneland · Optional Claiming $80,000

★ Distance horse: #5 Admiral Dennis (5-1) has the best figure in the field at today's distance and surface: 104 from 6 tries. Not in our top three.

1. 1Emerging Market▲F. Prat · C. BrownPrat · BrownA101 97 89▲▲+96-5Fair 5-230%▲▲ Big jump +9101 97 89A▲ Last fig 101 at/above par 872

   Card model 30% · Fair odds 5-2 · Our #2 · Tier A · Form ▲▲ Big jump +9 · Last 3 figs 101 97 89

   ▲ Last fig 101 at/above par 87

   Jockey Flavien Prat 40% career ★ 10-for-20 on dirt this meet (50%), #1 of 32 · Trainer Chad C Brown 37% career 3-for-12 on dirt this meet (25%) ★ hot

   Also today · Jockey R2: Maitresse 10-1, R3: Maxify 8-1, R4: Campobasso 2-1, R5: Yacht Master 4-1 +6 more · Trainer R8: Domestic Agenda 8-1, R9: Gaudreau 8-1

   60D LAYOFF4 WORKS IN 30 DAYSJky 11/41 from post 1

   Runs for $175,000 today after a $1,250,000 race last time. Back to 1 1/16 miles off a 1 1/4 miles race.

   EVEN PACE With the front end pressed, the late run has something to run at.

   TROUBLED TRIP 5w uppr; drifted; wknd last out; the speed figure already reflects it.

   WORKS Steady, unremarkable work pattern: 4 works in 30d, last 7d back

   RECORD Flavien Prat from post 1 here: 11 wins, 22 top-3 in 41 rides · 19% wins from all posts here

   Last three races

   Date	Trk	Dist	Class	Finish	Fig	Odds	Eq	Trip
   8/29	SAR	1¼m D	Travers G1	5th/10 -4L	101	19-1		5w uppr; drifted; wknd
   7/25	SAR	1⅛m D	OC 80k n2x	2nd/8 -2L	97	0.6-1	L	Chased 5-3w; ran on
   6/6	SAR	1¼m D	Belmont G1	5th/9 -2¾L	89	5.9-1		Stmble st;3w both trns

2. 2Stowaway▲▼J. Loveberry · D. BeckmanLoveberry · BeckmanB96 101 94▼-6@trip 966-1Fair 6-115%▼ Down -696 101 94@trip 96B▲ Last fig 96 at/above par 87▼ 2nd off a layoff after a poor return (96 vs 101)1

   Card model 15% · Fair odds 6-1 · Our #1 · Tier B · Form ▼ Down -6 · Best fig at today's trip 96 (3 tries) · Last 3 figs 96 101 94

   ▲ Last fig 96 at/above par 87▼ 2nd off a layoff after a poor return (96 vs 101)

   Jockey Jareth Loveberry 36% career 0-for-17 on dirt this meet (0%) · Trainer D Whitworth Beckman 29% career 0-for-5 on dirt this meet

   Also today · Trainer R10: Let Em Know 20-1

   Owns the highest recent figure here at 110. 3rd last time, 6½ lengths back, in a field of 8.

   EVEN PACE With the front end pressed, the late run has something to run at.

   WORKS LIGHT Thin work schedule next to this field: 2 works in 30d, last one 6d ago

   Last three races

   Date	Trk	Dist	Class	Finish	Fig	Odds	Eq	Trip
   10/3	KEE	1⅛m D	OC 80k n2x	3rd/8 -6½L	96	4.9-1	L	Ins;3p2nd;up show btw
   7/25	CNL	1⅛m D	YorktownB100k	3rd/5 -2L	101	8.4-1		4p;tip ins3/16;ran on
   6/26	CD	1⅛m D	OC 80k n2x	2nd/8 -½L	94	2.5-1	L	6p upr;rally;up place

3. 3Gould's Gold▼M. Franco · K. McPeekFranco · McPeekB78 89 91▼▼-14@trip 926-1Fair 6-114%▼▼ Big drop -1478 89 91@trip 92B▼ 2nd off a layoff after a poor return (78 vs 89)3

   Card model 14% · Fair odds 6-1 · Our #3 · Tier B · Form ▼▼ Big drop -14 · Best fig at today's trip 92 (4 tries) · Last 3 figs 78 89 91

   ▼ 2nd off a layoff after a poor return (78 vs 89)

   Jockey Manuel Franco 33% career · Trainer Kenneth G McPeek ★ 5-for-21 on dirt this meet (24%)

   Also today · Jockey R2: Forgive Me 6-1, R3: Coast Highway 10-1, R4: High Camp 8-1, R5: Sargent Bilko 20-1 +5 more · Trainer R3: Real Goodbar 9-2, R9: Coach Pope 4-1

   4 WORKS IN 30 DAYS

   Trending the wrong way on speed, 91 to 89 to 78. A 95 in its last five clears the 87 par for this level.

   EVEN PACE With the front end pressed, the late run has something to run at.

   TROUBLED TRIP Chart note from last time: Asked 6wd; no rally. A trip worth forgiving, though the number already carries it.

   WORKS Steady, unremarkable work pattern: 4 works in 30d, last 6d back

   Last three races

   Date	Trk	Dist	Class	Finish	Fig	Odds	Eq	Trip
   9/17	CD	1 1/16 D	OC 100k n3x	8th/8 -7¼L	78	3.2-1	L	Asked 6wd; no rally
   7/11	IND	1 1/16 D	SchfrMem Stk	2nd/5 -5L	89	5.9-1		4w1/4;rallied1/8
   6/28	CD	1 1/16 D	OC 100k n3x	3rd/7 -5½L	91	4.1-1	L	Crowdd/clip;2p;edg shw

4. 4Drake's Passage▼J. Rosario · D. JacobsonRosario · JacobsonC78 83 87▼▼-930-1Fair 30-13%▼▼ Big drop -978 83 87C▼ 2nd off a layoff after a poor return (78 vs 83)

   Card model 3% · Fair odds 30-1 · Our #8 · Tier C · Form ▼▼ Big drop -9 · Last 3 figs 78 83 87

   ▼ 2nd off a layoff after a poor return (78 vs 83)

   Jockey Joel Rosario 33% career 1-for-7 on dirt this meet · Trainer David Jacobson 32% career 4-for-14 on dirt this meet (29%)

   Also today · Jockey R5: Take A Picture 10-1, R7: Badittude 30-1, R9: He Is No Lie 15-1 · Trainer R4: Ghazaaly 6-1

   ◆ NOTE · TRIP TROUBLE4 WORKS IN 30 DAYS

   A step up in company: optional claiming before, allowance optional claiming today. Stretches out from 6 furlongs to 1 1/16 miles.

   PACE CHALLENGE Leads into real pressure, so it has to earn the front and then hold it. (early-speed points: 5)

   TROUBLED TRIP Bumped st; inside trip last out; the speed figure already reflects it.

   WORKS LIGHT Few works lately, 4 works in 30d and the last 10 days ago

   RECORD Joel Rosario from post 4 here: 3 wins, 9 top-3 in 23 rides · 10% wins from all posts here

   Last three races

   Date	Trk	Dist	Class	Finish	Fig	Odds	Eq	Trip
   10/22	IND	6f D	OC 50k n2x	4th/5 -6L	78	5.6-1	b L	Bumped st;inside trip
   8/6	SAR	7f D	sJMrrissyB200k	10th/12 -9¼L	83	46-1	b	4path turn; no factor
   6/29	FL	1m D	OC 30k b	Won/6	87	0.5-1	b L	4w5/16;5w1/4drv clear

5. 5Admiral Dennis▲★J. Alvarado · B. CoxAlvarado · CoxA90 88 77▲+3@trip 1045-1Fair 8-111%▲ Up +390 88 77@trip 104A▲ Last fig 90 at/above par 87★ Best at the trip 104

   Card model 11% · Fair odds 8-1 · Our #6 · Tier A · Form ▲ Up +3 · Best fig at today's trip 104 (6 tries) · Last 3 figs 90 88 77

   ▲ Last fig 90 at/above par 87★ Best at the trip 104

   Jockey Junior Alvarado 34% career 2-for-27 on dirt this meet (7%) · Trainer Brad H Cox 42% career 1-for-25 on dirt this meet (4%) ★ hot

   Also today · Jockey R2: Groves 4-1, R5: Mission Integrity 9-2, R7: Foxiest 15-1, R9: Earth Song 20-1 +1 more · Trainer R7: Scarlett Begonia 20-1, R7: Foxiest 15-1

   60D LAYOFFCLASS DROP4 WORKS IN 30 DAYS★ FASTEST WORK

   Last start was a win, in a 5-horse optional claiming race at IND at 2.4-1. Has won 3 of 6 going today's distance.

   PACE HELPS Sits just off the speed with pace in front to run at.

   WORKS SHARP 4f in :48.80 on Oct 24 was the best time at that distance that morning; 4 works in 30d

   Last three races

   Date	Trk	Dist	Class	Finish	Fig	Odds	Eq	Trip
   8/27	IND	1 1/16 D	OC 50k b	Won/5	90	2.4-1	b L	Dueled;bid1/8;driving
   6/28	CD	1 1/16 D	OC 100k n3x	7th/7 -3½L	88	8.0-1	b L	4-3p;bid 2w;wknd 3wbtw
   5/9	CD	1⅛m D	OC 100k n3x	6th/7 -5¾L	77	2.1-1	b L	Ins-2p;bid btw1/4;fade

6. 6Memory▲▲T. Gaffalione · B. WalshGaffalione · WalshA95 74 73▲▲+16↕@trip 954-1Fair 7-113%▲▲ Big jump +16 · career best95 74 73 ↕@trip 95A▲ Last fig 95 at/above par 87▲ Lone speed on early pace

   Card model 13% · Fair odds 7-1 · Our #5 · Tier A · Form ▲▲ Big jump +16 · career best · ↕ Up-and-down figures 73–95 · Best fig at today's trip 95 (2 tries) · Last 3 figs 95 74 73

   ▲ Last fig 95 at/above par 87▲ Lone speed on early pace

   Jockey Tyler Gaffalione 36% career ★ 16-for-60 on dirt this meet (27%), #2 of 32 · Trainer Brendan P Walsh 36% career ★ 7-for-27 on dirt this meet (26%) ★ hot

   Also today · Jockey R2: Niosa 2-1, R3: Not For Long 8-1, R4: Ghazaaly 6-1, R5: Kingside 9-2 +6 more · Trainer R2: Ohana Lulu 8-1, R2: Forgive Me 6-1, R3: Not For Long 8-1, R5: Kingside 9-2 +2 more

   3 WORKS IN 30 DAYSWON LAST

   Winner of an 8-horse allowance race at CD last time. Figures are climbing: 73, 74, 95 over its last three.

   PACE HELPS Sits just off the speed with pace in front to run at.

   WORKS SHARP Fastest work of the morning on Sep 17 (5F in :59.80), 3 works in 30d

   RECORD Tyler Gaffalione from post 6 here: 11 wins, 22 top-3 in 65 rides · 16% wins from all posts here

   Last three races

   Date	Trk	Dist	Class	Finish	Fig	Odds	Eq	Trip
   9/23	CD	1 1/16 D	Alw n1x	Won/8	95	6.2-1	L	Ins pair 2nd;held sway
   6/25	CD	1m T	Alw n1x	4th/4 -6½L	74	6.9-1	L	Inside; no factor
   5/31	CD	1m D	OC 125k n1x	7th/9 -7½L	73	3.9-1	b L	Ins wnnr;no match;wknd

7. 7Special SessionLSJ. Ortiz · M. CasseOrtiz · CasseB86 88 85►≡@trip 9012-1Fair 10-19%► Steady86 88 85 ≡@trip 90BLS

   Card model 9% · Fair odds 10-1 · Our #4 · Tier B · Form ► Steady · ≡ Steady figures 85–90 · Best fig at today's trip 90 (3 tries) · Last 3 figs 86 88 85

   LS

   Longshot read: 12-1 on the morning line, and the model has it at 9% against a line of 6%. A read, not a bet.

   Jockey Jose L Ortiz 37% career 11-for-67 on dirt this meet (16%) · Trainer Mark Casse 36% career 1-for-19 on dirt this meet (5%) ★ hot

   Also today · Jockey R2: Honor Is Mine 9-2, R3: Majik Mooney 10-1, R4: Cornwall Boss 3-1, R5: McCoy 7-2 +5 more · Trainer R3: Canada 6-1, R3: Oscar Cheer 12-1, R7: Lexi's Charm 15-1, R7: Voyager 12-1

   60D LAYOFF3 WORKS IN 30 DAYS

   2 wins from 4 starts at this distance. A 83-day gap since its last race.

   EVEN PACE Real pressure up front should bring the pace back to it.

   WORKS SHARP Fastest work of the morning on Sep 24 (4F in :47.60), 3 works in 30d

   RECORD Jose L Ortiz from post 7 here: 6 wins, 17 top-3 in 34 rides · 16% wins from all posts here

   Last three races

   Date	Trk	Dist	Class	Finish	Fig	Odds	Eq	Trip
   8/8	ELP	1⅛m D	OC 62k n2x	3rd/7 -3L	86	8.6-1	L	Saved ground; rallied
   7/19	ELP	1m D	OC 62k n2x	3rd/8 -2¼L	88	12-1	L	Sttld btw;kept task3rd
   4/24	GP	1m D	OC 62k b	4th/6 -5L	85	15-1	L	2-4p turn;weakened1/8

8. 8AzamL. Saez · J. D'AngeloSaez · D'AngeloC82 85 65▲+3↕15-1Fair 20-15%▲ Up +382 85 65 ↕C

   Card model 5% · Fair odds 20-1 · Our #7 · Tier C · Form ▲ Up +3 · ↕ Up-and-down figures 65–86 · Last 3 figs 82 85 65

   Jockey Luis Saez 36% career 13-for-70 on dirt this meet (19%) · Trainer Jose Francisco D'Angelo 37% career 0-for-1 on dirt this meet ★ hot

   Also today · Jockey R2: Holiday Pi 15-1, R3: Observed 8-1, R4: Global Aviator 5-1, R5: Dormie 10-1 +4 more

   WON LAST

   Moves up from optional claiming to allowance optional claiming. Won last out in a 6-horse optional claiming race at GP.

   PACE HELPS The pocket behind pressure is the useful spot, and this type fits it.

   WORKS LIGHT Thin work schedule next to this field: 2 works in 30d, last one 7d ago

   RECORD Luis Saez from post 8 here: 5 wins, 13 top-3 in 48 rides · 14% wins from all posts here

   Last three races

   Date	Trk	Dist	Class	Finish	Fig	Odds	Eq	Trip
   10/9	GP	1m D	OC 75k n1x	Won/6 by 1½	82	1.5-1	b L	Bmp brk;2p;edge clr
   7/26	GP	1m D	OC 75k	2nd/5	85	1.2-1	b L	Ins-2w;led 1/8;nailed
   5/9	BAQ	1⅛m D	PeterPan G3	5th/5 -9½L	65	29-1	b	Tracked inside; tired

▲ / ▼ angle for / against · ★ best figure at the trip · LS longshot read · 1 2 3 = our top three · A B C tiers · ▲ ► ▼ form · ≡ ↕ steady / up-and-down. Tap a row for its notes, a name for the horse's page. Analysis only. Pace: fast and contested (4 early types). Helps stalkers and closers.