R7 Laurel Park · Optional Claiming $62,500

3:21 PM ET · 6 Furlongs Dirt · $49,000 · 9 runners3:21 PM · 6f Dirt · 9 runners

Upcoming $49K · Optional Claiming $62,500

Card modelCard model MediumFormLast 3 figsTier · angles

1Prince of Peace★J. Toledo · W. BailesToledo · BailesA84 85 75▲+7@trip 845-2Fair 5-227%▲ Up +784 85 75@trip 84A★ Best at the trip 841

Card model 27% · Fair odds 5-2 · Our #1 · Tier A · Form ▲ Up +7 · Best fig at today's trip 84 (2 tries) · Last 3 figs 84 85 75

★ Best at the trip 84

Jockey Jevian Toledo 33% career ★ 6-for-25 on dirt this meet (24%) · Trainer W Robert Bailes 32% career ★ 3-for-15 on dirt this meet (20%)

Also today · Jockey R4: Turkish Breeze 30-1, R8: Devilish Grin 4-1, R9: Hurrah 5-2 · Trainer R1: Pinky Swear 20-1, R5: Alvy 10-1, R5: El De Larry 8-5

Purse drops from $100,000 to $49,000 against its last start. Tops the field on speed figures, an 85 against 84 for the next best.

PACE CHALLENGE Early speed in a crowded front end; somebody gets worn down. (early-speed points: 6)

WORKS LIGHT Few works lately, 1 work in 30d and the last 11 days ago

RECORD Jevian Toledo from post 1 here: 25 wins, 76 top-3 in 184 rides · 16% wins from all posts here

Last three races

Date	Trk	Dist	Class	Finish	Fig	Odds	Eq	Trip
10/3	LRL	6f D	JFLwisIIIB100k	2nd/5 -2½L	84	5.6-1	b	Chased 3wd; 2nd best
9/3	CNL	5½f D	rMdSpWt	Won/8	85	3.3-1	b	Brk shrp;duel;clr;held
8/2	CNL	5½f D	rHckryTree100k	4th/8	75	6.0-1	b	Duel;rail;bid3w;faded

2Harewood▼S. Russell · B. RussellRussell · RussellB79 74 69▲▲+14↕@trip 799-2Fair 6-114%▲▲ Big jump +14 · career best79 74 69 ↕@trip 79B▼ Best fig 79 is 5+ under today's par 852

Card model 14% · Fair odds 6-1 · Our #2 · Tier B · Form ▲▲ Big jump +14 · career best · ↕ Up-and-down figures 51–79 · Best fig at today's trip 79 (1 tries) · Last 3 figs 79 74 69

▼ Best fig 79 is 5+ under today's par 85

Jockey Sheldon Russell 39% career 4-for-12 on dirt this meet (33%), #1 of 26 · Trainer Brittany T Russell 43% career ★ 6-for-20 on dirt this meet (30%), #3 of 21 ★ hot

Also today · Jockey R3: Diva Ready 5-1, R5: Drilling For Gold 2-1, R8: High Anxiety 2-1 · Trainer R5: Drilling For Gold 2-1, R8: High Anxiety 2-1

Has moved up each time out, 69 to 74 to 79. Runs for $49,000 today after a $100,000 race last time.

EVEN PACE Can sit just off the early fight and pick up whoever tires.

TROUBLED TRIP Rail bid; faltered last out; the speed figure already reflects it.

WORKS Steady, unremarkable work pattern: 1 work in 30d, last 9d back

RECORD Sheldon Russell from post 2 here: 28 wins, 60 top-3 in 123 rides · 23% wins from all posts here

Last three races

Date	Trk	Dist	Class	Finish	Fig	Odds	Trip
10/3	LRL	6f D	JFLwisIIIB100k	3rd/5 -3L	79	4.1-1	Rail bid; faltered
8/29	CNL	5½f T	sJamestwnB125k	3rd/7	74	4.1-1	Rail bid;led;outfinshd
8/6	CNL	5½f D	rMdSpWt	Won/7	69	2.7-1	Pace 2w;drew clear

3Grind It Out▼LSJ. Ruiz · J. Duarte Jr.Ruiz · Duarte Jr.C50 79@trip 7920-1Fair 20-15%—50 79@trip 79C▼ Best fig 79 is 5+ under today's par 85LS
Card model 5% · Fair odds 20-1 · Our #6 · Tier C · Best fig at today's trip 79 (2 tries) · Last 3 figs 50 79
▼ Best fig 79 is 5+ under today's par 85LS
Longshot read: 20-1 on the morning line, and the model has it at 5% against a line of 4%. A read, not a bet.
Jockey Jorge Ruiz 31% career ★ 3-for-15 on dirt this meet (20%) · Trainer Jorge Jr Duarte 25% career 0-for-1 on dirt this meet
Also today · Jockey R1: Light De Night 5-1, R3: Quadra 4-1, R5: Souper Crunchy 9-2, R6: Paynted By Nancy 15-1 +1 more · Trainer R1: Light De Night 5-1
★ FASTEST WORK
Beaten 12 lengths for 5th in a 5-horse race at LRL. Jorge Ruiz takes over from Johan Rosado in the saddle.
PACE CHALLENGE One of several that want the lead, so the early work will cost something. (early-speed points: 4)
WORKS SHARP 4f in :50.00 on Oct 20 was the best time at that distance that morning; 1 work in 30d
RECORD Jorge Ruiz from post 3 here: 14 wins, 30 top-3 in 60 rides · 19% wins from all posts here
Last three races
Date Trk Dist Class Finish Fig Odds Eq Trip
10/3 LRL 6f D JFLwisIIIB100k 5th/5 -12L 50 2.5-1 Off rail; no threat
9/3 CNL 6f D MSW Won/6 79 0.3-1 Luggd in uppr;drew out

Date	Trk	Dist	Class	Finish	Fig	Odds	Eq	Trip
10/3	LRL	6f D	JFLwisIIIB100k	5th/5 -12L	50	2.5-1		Off rail; no threat
9/3	CNL	6f D	MSW	Won/6	79	0.3-1		Luggd in uppr;drew out

4Frost RocketJ. Barbosa · H. MotionBarbosa · MotionC62 84 69▼▼-1415-1Fair 12-17%▼▼ Big drop -1462 84 69C3

Card model 7% · Fair odds 12-1 · Our #3 · Tier C · Form ▼▼ Big drop -14 · Last 3 figs 62 84 69

Jockey Jeiron Barbosa 30% career 4-for-35 on dirt this meet (11%) · Trainer H Graham Motion 35% career 2-for-5 on dirt this meet

Also today · Jockey R1: Sin Boldly 3-1, R2: Paris By Night 6-5, R3: Integrity 10-1, R4: In My Memories 5-2 +1 more · Trainer R8: Panama Canal 5-1

★ FASTEST WORK

Purse drops from $100,000 to $49,000 against its last start. Finished 8th in a 9-horse race at PID, beaten 11 lengths.

EVEN PACE Lands behind the duel without having to be part of it.

WORKS SHARP Fastest work of the morning on Sep 11 (4F in :49.40), 2 works in 30d

RECORD Jeiron Barbosa from post 4 here: 20 wins, 54 top-3 in 138 rides · 14% wins from all posts here

Last three races

Date	Trk	Dist	Class	Finish	Fig	Odds	Eq	Trip
9/18	PID	6½f D	FDJMemJvB100k	8th/9 -11L	62	3.7-1		4-w turn; no factor
8/16	WO	6½f T	MSW	Won/9 by ½	84	8.8-1	L	Room btwn; drew clear
7/12	WO	5½f D	Victoria Stk	6th/7 -12L	69	24-1	b L	Miss brk;passed one

5Uncle GeneC. Maragh · A. Margotta Jr.Maragh · Margotta Jr.B826-1Fair 10-110%—82B
Card model 10% · Fair odds 10-1 · Our #7 · Tier B · Last 3 figs 82
Jockey Christian Maragh 27% career · Trainer Anthony Jr Margotta 0-for-1 on dirt this meet
Also today · Jockey R10: Likebelivingnmagic 30-1
★ FASTEST WORKWON LAST
Last start was a win, in a 10-horse maiden claiming $30,000 race at BEL at 12-1. Gets a new rider, Christian Maragh replacing Rajiv Maragh.
EVEN PACE Can sit just off the early fight and pick up whoever tires.
TROUBLED TRIP Ran into trouble last out (Brush gate; fought; up), and the figure already reflects it.
WORKS SHARP 5f in 1:01.60 on Sep 20 was the best time at that distance that morning; 2 works in 30d
Last three races
Date Trk Dist Class Finish Fig Odds Eq Trip
10/7 BEL 6½f D MCL 30k Won/10 by hd 82 12-1 Brush gate; fought; up
6Vekoma MoonE. Rosario · G. CapuanoRosario · CapuanoB82@trip 826-1Fair 10-19%—82@trip 82B
Card model 9% · Fair odds 10-1 · Our #8 · Tier B · Best fig at today's trip 82 (1 tries) · Last 3 figs 82
Jockey Emanuel Rosario 33% career 1-for-16 on dirt this meet (6%) · Trainer Gary A Capuano 37% career 1-for-8 on dirt this meet (12%)
Also today · Jockey R1: Only Maria 30-1, R2: Lucky Coco 30-1, R6: Allaboutsassy 30-1, R10: Nano Man 8-1
WON LAST
Went to the front early last out (early pace figure 92). Picks up 4 pounds from its last start.
PACE CHALLENGE One of several that want the lead, so the early work will cost something. (early-speed points: 6)
WORKS LIGHT Light on works against these rivals (1 work in 30d, last 28d back)
Last three races
Date Trk Dist Class Finish Fig Odds Eq Trip
10/14 DEL 6f D MCL 50k Won/6 82 0.6-1 b 3-4p;cued1/4;kicked on
7Day Made▼H. Karamanos · A. AllenKaramanos · AllenC75 75 60▲▲+820-1Fair 30-14%▲▲ Big jump +8 · career best75 75 60C▼ Best fig 75 is 5+ under today's par 85
Card model 4% · Fair odds 30-1 · Our #9 · Tier C · Form ▲▲ Big jump +8 · career best · Last 3 figs 75 75 60
▼ Best fig 75 is 5+ under today's par 85
Jockey H A Karamanos 32% career 0-for-12 on dirt this meet (0%) · Trainer A Ferris Iii Allen 25% career 2-for-22 on dirt this meet (9%)
Also today · Jockey R1: Bint Mischief 8-1, R3: Chitchatchitchat 5-1, R6: Hail No 6-1
A 75 is the high figure lately, short of the 85 par. Cuts back from 7 furlongs to 6 furlongs.
PACE CHALLENGE Early speed in a crowded front end; somebody gets worn down. (early-speed points: 6)
TROUBLED TRIP Ran into trouble last out (Bobbl st; 3-4wd; faded), and the figure already reflects it.
WORKS LIGHT Light on works against these rivals (0 works in 30d, last 44d back)
RECORD H A Karamanos from post 7 here: 9 wins, 32 top-3 in 91 rides · 14% wins from all posts here
Last three races
Date Trk Dist Class Finish Fig Odds Eq Trip
10/9 LRL 7f D OC 62k n1x 4th/7 -4L 75 7.0-1 b Bobbl st;3-4wd;faded
9/25 LRL 5½f D MSW Won/6 75 10-1 b Rail; pace; driving
9/4 CNL 5f T Moc50000 3rd/5 -1L 60 2.7-1 b Prssd 4-5w;short
8Time to Groove▼J. Vargas · C. LynchVargas · LynchA80 794-1Fair 7-113%—80 79A▼ Best fig 80 is 5+ under today's par 85
Card model 13% · Fair odds 7-1 · Our #5 · Tier A · Last 3 figs 80 79
▼ Best fig 80 is 5+ under today's par 85
Jockey Jose E Vargas 29% career ★ 5-for-21 on dirt this meet (24%) · Trainer Cathal Lynch 36% career 1-for-2 on dirt this meet
Also today · Jockey R1: Pinky Swear 20-1, R6: Forty Seven Smoker 12-1, R8: Tiz My Standards 30-1
60D LAYOFFWON LAST
Returns from a 91-day break, the biggest in the field. A longer trip: 5 furlongs last out, 6 furlongs today.
EVEN PACE Lands behind the duel without having to be part of it.
SHARP LAST OUT Chart comment from the last start: Drew off when asked.
WORKS LIGHT Thin work schedule next to this field: 2 works in 30d, last one 14d ago
RECORD Jose E Vargas from post 8 here: 1 win, 8 top-3 in 20 rides · 17% wins from all posts here
Last three races
Date Trk Dist Class Finish Fig Odds Eq Trip
7/31 MTH 5f D sMdSpWt Won/8 80 0.2-1 Drew off when asked
7/5 MTH 5f D sMdSpWt 2nd/9 -4L 79 3.4-1 4w into lane; rallied
9WinslowX. Perez · J. RobbPerez · RobbA82 68@trip 825-1Fair 8-112%—82 68@trip 82A
Card model 12% · Fair odds 8-1 · Our #4 · Tier A · Best fig at today's trip 82 (2 tries) · Last 3 figs 82 68
Jockey Xavier Perez 32% career 3-for-13 on dirt this meet (23%) · Trainer John J Robb 34% career ★ 4-for-20 on dirt this meet (20%)
Also today · Jockey R2: Pelican Pier 8-5 · Trainer R2: Paris By Night 6-5, R2: Pelican Pier 8-5
WON LAST
Comes in off a victory in a 9-horse maiden special weight race at LRL. Led at the first call last time.
PACE CHALLENGE One of several that want the lead, so the early work will cost something. (early-speed points: 6)
WORKS SHARP Posted the morning's best 5F on Aug 5; 1 work in 30d
RECORD Xavier Perez from post 9 here: 1 win, 12 top-3 in 39 rides · 12% wins from all posts here
Last three races
Date Trk Dist Class Finish Fig Odds Eq Trip
9/25 LRL 6f D MSW Won/9 82 2.0-1 Rail; driving to 1/16
9/3 CNL 6f D MSW 3rd/6 -4½L 68 5.5-1 Chased; caught 2nd

Date	Trk	Dist	Class	Finish	Fig	Odds	Eq	Trip
10/7	BEL	6½f D	MCL 30k	Won/10 by hd	82	12-1		Brush gate; fought; up

Date	Trk	Dist	Class	Finish	Fig	Odds	Eq	Trip
10/14	DEL	6f D	MCL 50k	Won/6	82	0.6-1	b	3-4p;cued1/4;kicked on

Date	Trk	Dist	Class	Finish	Fig	Odds	Eq	Trip
10/9	LRL	7f D	OC 62k n1x	4th/7 -4L	75	7.0-1	b	Bobbl st;3-4wd;faded
9/25	LRL	5½f D	MSW	Won/6	75	10-1	b	Rail; pace; driving
9/4	CNL	5f T	Moc50000	3rd/5 -1L	60	2.7-1	b	Prssd 4-5w;short

Date	Trk	Dist	Class	Finish	Fig	Odds	Eq	Trip
7/31	MTH	5f D	sMdSpWt	Won/8	80	0.2-1		Drew off when asked
7/5	MTH	5f D	sMdSpWt	2nd/9 -4L	79	3.4-1		4w into lane; rallied

Date	Trk	Dist	Class	Finish	Fig	Odds	Eq	Trip
9/25	LRL	6f D	MSW	Won/9	82	2.0-1		Rail; driving to 1/16
9/3	CNL	6f D	MSW	3rd/6 -4½L	68	5.5-1		Chased; caught 2nd

▲ / ▼ angle for / against · ★ best figure at the trip · LS longshot read · 1 2 3 = our top three · A B C tiers · ▲ ► ▼ form · ≡ ↕ steady / up-and-down. Tap a row for its notes, a name for the horse's page. Analysis only. Pace: fast and contested (9 early types). Helps stalkers and closers.

How to read these marks

1 2 3: Our top three by the card model's win chance. Tap “Our order” to sort by it.
Win %, Fair: The card model's chance to win, and the odds that chance works out to with no takeout. Fair is green when the model rates the horse above its morning line (the line scaled to add up to 100%).
Tier A B C ?: The field ranked on recent speed figures and the morning line together: A = top three, B = next three, C = the rest, ? = no figures yet.
71 60 72: Last three speed figures, newest first. “@trip 75” = best figure at today's distance (within 30 yards) on this surface.
▲▲ ▲ ► ▼ ▼▼: Form: last figure against the average of the three before it. ▲ = up 3 or more, ▲▲ = up 8 or more, ► = within 3, ▼ / ▼▼ = down. The number is the difference.
≡ ↕: ≡ steady: the last four figures sit close together. ↕ up-and-down: they swing widely.
★: Best figure in the field at today's distance and surface, from two or more tries, not tied. When that horse isn't in our top three it gets a “Distance horse” note above the field.
▲ ▼ chips: Handicapping angles for or against the horse. LS = longshot read: 8-1 or more on the morning line and the model rates it higher than that line.

These marks describe the past performances. None of them is proven to beat the odds: in our test of 100 handicapping angles, nothing did better than the final odds, and the morning-line favourite wins more races than our top-ranked horse. Read them as notes, not as a reason to bet.

Race conditions and our readpace, conditions, story

LAUREL PARK · RACE 7

UPCOMING

Optional Claiming $62,500

Field

9 runners

Purse

$49,000

Post

3:21 PM ET

Pace

Speed Duel

Card model top pick

#1 · 27%

Claiming $62,500, for 2-year-olds, that have not won a race other than maiden, claiming, or starter.

Claiming race — every starter can be bought for the claiming price out of the race, so owners risk losing a horse that's clearly best. That keeps the field evenly matched on ability.

● Track record at 6 Furlongs: 67.95

The shape is the story here: 5 confirmed front-runners should pressure each other early, which tilts the race toward stalkers and closers who can pick up the pieces late.

Our number tops on #1 Prince Of Peace (early speed, M/L 5-2). Recent figures: 84 · 85 · 75. It hit the board last time and stays in form. Backup is #2 Harewood at 9-2. Use #4 Frost Rocket in exotic structures.

What would change our mind: a key scratch that reshapes the early pace, a sharp turf-to-dirt or surface switch off the rail, or live money showing up on a horse the board had dismissed. Watch the tote late.

At a glance: model vs the morning line

At a glance

Market favourite #1 PRINCE OF PEACE (5-2) — our number agrees.
#1 PRINCE OF PEACE — our top number on the card, about right at the windows (24.2% to their 22.4%).
#8 TIME TO GROOVE — our #5 number, about right at the windows (14.6% to their 15.7%).
#2 HAREWOOD — our #2 number, about right at the windows (14.4% to their 14.2%).

Model vs the morning line · analysis, not advice

The model and the morning line roughly agree on this field.

Pacewho goes to the front

Pace

Speed Duel. Three or more early-speed types. Fast pace, hot fractions — closers benefit.

Likely leader: #9 Winslow; pressure from #1 Prince Of Peace, #6 Vekoma Moon; and works against #1 Prince Of Peace, #3 Grind It Out, #6 Vekoma Moon.

Lead

9Winslow971Prince Of Peace956Vekoma Moon923Grind It Out887Day Made83

Press

2Harewood948Time To Groove945Uncle Gene914Frost Rocket86

Stalk

none

Number = last-race early-pace figure. Green border = the shape helps; red = it works against.

Early speed and closing figures, horse by horse

Early Pace · E1 figure · front runners

Winslow

Prince Of Peace

Harewood

Time To Groove

Vekoma Moon

Uncle Gene

Grind It Out

Frost Rocket

Day Made

Closing Kick · late-pace figure

Prince Of Peace

Harewood

Grind It Out

Uncle Gene

Vekoma Moon

Day Made

Winslow

Time To Groove

Frost Rocket

Bet types offeredwager menu

Bet types

Wagers offered on this race.

EXACTA; TRIFECTA & DAILY DOUBLE (RACES 7-8) / 10 CENT SUPERFECTA

50 CENT PICK 3 (RACES 7-8-9) / 50 CENT PICK 4 (RACES 7-8-9-10)

TBredIQ shows analysis only. We don’t build tickets or suggest amounts.

BET OPTIONS

WinPlaceShowExactaTrifectaSuperfecta

Wagers offered on this race — analysis only, no stake sizing.