R2 Laurel Park · Maiden Claiming $16,000

1. 1Happy Encounter▼W. Corujo · J. MaldonadoCorujo · MaldonadoB37 58 55▼▼-19↕@trip 548-1Fair 12-18%▼▼ Big drop -1937 58 55 ↕@trip 54B▼ Best fig 58 is 5+ under today's par 71

   Card model 8% · Fair odds 12-1 · Our #6 · Tier B · Form ▼▼ Big drop -19 · ↕ Up-and-down figures 37–58 · Best fig at today's trip 54 (1 tries) · Last 3 figs 37 58 55

   ▼ Best fig 58 is 5+ under today's par 71

   Jockey Wilfredo Corujo 22% career 0-for-5 on dirt this meet · Trainer Jonathan Maldonado 25% career 0-for-5 on dirt this meet

   Also today · Jockey R5: Mister Woodford 20-1 · Trainer R5: Be Here 20-1, R6: For Keeps 12-1

   CLASS DROP

   Raises its level, maiden claiming $10,000 last time and maiden claiming $16,000 now. Last out was 3rd, a head behind the winner, in a 6-horse maiden claiming $10,000 race at DEL.

   EVEN PACE A stalking spot behind a contested lead is the useful one in this shape.

   TROUBLED TRIP Ran into trouble last out (Bobbled; rail; bump late), and the figure already reflects it.

   WORKS LIGHT Thin work schedule next to this field: 0 works in 30d, last one 54d ago

   Last three races

   Date	Trk	Dist	Class	Finish	Fig	Odds	Eq	Trip
   10/16	DEL	1m D	MCL 10k	3rd/6 by hd	37	0.9-1	b	Bobbled;rail;bump late
   10/4	LRL	6f D	MCL 16k	3rd/8 -5L	58	15-1		Altered 8wd; gaining
   9/23	DEL	6f D	MCL 10k	2nd/7 -8½L	55	6.0-1		Altered out; rallied

2. 2Her Decision▼C. Lopez · K. MageeLopez · MageeB53 37 52▲▲+8@trip 5312-1Fair 12-18%▲▲ Big jump +8 · career best53 37 52@trip 53B▼ Best fig 53 is 5+ under today's par 713

   Card model 8% · Fair odds 12-1 · Our #3 · Tier B · Form ▲▲ Big jump +8 · career best · Best fig at today's trip 53 (2 tries) · Last 3 figs 53 37 52

   ▼ Best fig 53 is 5+ under today's par 71

   Jockey Carlos Eduardo Lopez 36% career 2-for-30 on dirt this meet (7%) · Trainer Kieron Magee 36% career 0-for-4 on dirt this meet ★ hot

   Also today · Jockey R1: Crab Mentality 10-1, R5: Fan Club 8-1, R6: Gotta Be Da Shoes 20-1, R9: Kentucky Mule 5-1 +1 more · Trainer R10: Sheriff Ronnie 7-5

   CLASS DROP

   A 53 is the high figure lately, short of the 71 par. Gets a new rider, Carlos Eduardo Lopez replacing Pascacio Lopez.

   PACE CHALLENGE Early speed in a crowded front end; somebody gets worn down. (early-speed points: 7)

   WORKS LIGHT Few works lately, 0 works in 30d and the last 34 days ago

   RECORD 0 wins, 1 on the board from 3 starts here

   RECORD Carlos Eduardo Lopez from post 2 here: 12 wins, 37 top-3 in 97 rides · 12% wins from all posts here

   Last three races

   Date	Trk	Dist	Class	Finish	Fig	Odds	Eq	Trip
   10/18	LRL	5½f D	MCL 25k	4th/5 -5½L	53	7.3-1	b	Lacked a rally
   10/2	LRL	5½f D	MCL 35k	7th/8 -13L	37	6.9-1	b	Chs'd for 1/2;gave way
   9/12	LRL	5f D	MCL 35k	3rd/6 -5L	52	7.4-1	b	Rail; weakened

3. 3Lucky Coco▼E. Rosario · J. RodriguezRosario · RodriguezC39@trip 3930-1Fair 30-13%—39@trip 39C▼ Best fig 39 is 5+ under today's par 71

   Card model 3% · Fair odds 30-1 · Our #7 · Tier C · Best fig at today's trip 39 (1 tries) · Last 3 figs 39

   ▼ Best fig 39 is 5+ under today's par 71

   Jockey Emanuel Rosario 33% career 1-for-16 on dirt this meet (6%) · Trainer Jose S Rodriguez 33% career 0-for-1 on dirt this meet

   Also today · Jockey R1: Only Maria 30-1, R6: Allaboutsassy 30-1, R7: Vekoma Moon 6-1, R10: Nano Man 8-1

   Drops from maiden claiming $25,000 to maiden claiming $16,000. Best recent figure is 39, well under the 71 par for this level.

   PACE CHALLENGE Running style isn't established yet, so the pace read is a blank for this one.

   WORKS SHARP Active work pattern for this group, 1 work in 30d and the last 27d back

   Last three races

   Date	Trk	Dist	Class	Finish	Fig	Odds	Eq	Trip
   10/8	DEL	5½f D	MCL 25k	5th/6 -7L	39	12-1	b	3wd turn;gave way

4. 4Shanghai RoseM. Rowland · M. GorhamRowland · GorhamA46 47 56▼▼-8@trip 706-1Fair 8-111%▼▼ Big drop -846 47 56@trip 70A

   Card model 11% · Fair odds 8-1 · Our #4 · Tier A · Form ▼▼ Big drop -8 · Best fig at today's trip 70 (1 tries) · Last 3 figs 46 47 56

   Jockey Madeline Rowland 21% career · Trainer Michael E Gorham 32% career 1-for-4 on dirt this meet

   Also today · Jockey R6: Don't Do It 20-1, R9: Bourbon N Lace 15-1 · Trainer R6: Don't Do It 20-1, R9: Bourbon N Lace 15-1

   Last race was on the turf; today it runs on the dirt. Figures have slipped: 56, 47, 46 over its last three.

   PACE CHALLENGE Early speed in a crowded front end; somebody gets worn down. (early-speed points: 4)

   WORKS LIGHT Few works lately, 0 works in 30d and the last 114 days ago

   Last three races

   Date	Trk	Dist	Class	Finish	Fig	Odds	Eq	Trip
   10/2	LRL	5½f T	MCL 25k	8th/8 -11L	46	15-1	b	Chased 4wd; gave way
   9/9	DEL	7½f T	MSW	11th/11 -2½L	47	13-1		Vied; tired; gave way
   8/30	TIM	4f D	MSW	5th/6 -6L	56	2.2-1		Brk in;off slw;2w;even

5. 5Paris By NightJ. Barbosa · J. RobbBarbosa · RobbA62 66 67▼-3≡@trip 616-5Fair 9-535%▼ Down -362 66 67 ≡@trip 61A1

   Card model 35% · Fair odds 9-5 · Our #1 · Tier A · Form ▼ Down -3 · ≡ Steady figures 61–67 · Best fig at today's trip 61 (1 tries) · Last 3 figs 62 66 67

   Jockey Jeiron Barbosa 30% career 4-for-35 on dirt this meet (11%) · Trainer John J Robb 34% career ★ 4-for-20 on dirt this meet (20%)

   Also today · Jockey R1: Sin Boldly 3-1, R3: Integrity 10-1, R4: In My Memories 5-2, R6: It's Fine 7-2 +1 more · Trainer this race: Pelican Pier 8-5, R7: Winslow 5-1

   CLASS DROP★ FASTEST WORK2/3 board here

   Still looking for the first win after 7 starts. Went to the front early last out (early pace figure 85).

   PACE CHALLENGE Has to fight for the lead against company, and the fractions may cost it late. (early-speed points: 7)

   WORKS SHARP Fastest work of the morning on Sep 26 (3F in :35.40), 0 works in 30d

   RECORD 0 wins, 2 on the board from 3 starts here

   RECORD Jeiron Barbosa from post 5 here: 17 wins, 56 top-3 in 138 rides · 14% wins from all posts here

   Last three races

   Date	Trk	Dist	Class	Finish	Fig	Odds	Eq	Trip
   10/4	LRL	6f D	MCL 16k	2nd/8	62	2.1-1	b	Hustled;pace; 2nd best
   9/7	TIM	4f D	MCL 25k	2nd/7 -½L	66	3.5-1	b	Bmp st;outs bid;wllng
   8/29	TIM	4f D	MCL 12k	2nd/5	67	0.5-1	b	Rushed;rail;gave way

6. 6Engage at Will▼LSL. Briceno · J. Salzman Jr.Briceno · Salzman Jr.B44 57 40►15-1Fair 15-16%► Steady44 57 40B▼ Best fig 57 is 5+ under today's par 71LS

   Card model 6% · Fair odds 15-1 · Our #5 · Tier B · Form ► Steady · Last 3 figs 44 57 40

   ▼ Best fig 57 is 5+ under today's par 71LS

   Longshot read: 15-1 on the morning line, and the model has it at 6% against a line of 5%. A read, not a bet.

   Jockey Leandro M Briceno 28% career ★ 8-for-38 on dirt this meet (21%) · Trainer John E Jr Salzman 22% career 2-for-7 on dirt this meet

   Also today · Jockey R1: Curly Divining 12-1, R3: Skittliedat 30-1, R5: Alvy 10-1, R5: Claudee Boy 30-1 +1 more · Trainer R1: Curly Divining 12-1

   CLASS UP

   Stretches out from 4 furlongs to 5½ furlongs. Beaten 10 lengths for 7th in a 7-horse maiden claiming $20,000 race at TIM.

   PACE CHALLENGE Has to fight for the lead against company, and the fractions may cost it late. (early-speed points: 2)

   TROUBLED TRIP Bump both sides start last out; the speed figure already reflects it.

   WORKS SHARP One of the busier work schedules here: 2 works in 30d, last 10d ago

   Last three races

   Date	Trk	Dist	Class	Finish	Fig	Odds	Eq	Trip
   9/7	TIM	4f D	MCL 25k	7th/7 -10L	44	36-1	b	Bump both sides start
   8/29	TIM	4f D	MCL 12k	3rd/5 -4L	57	11-1	b	Hit gate start;3wd
   7/21	DEL	5f D	MCL 25k	6th/7 -7¼L	40	4.2-1	b	Slow start;gave way

7. 7Pelican PierX. Perez · J. RobbPerez · RobbA57 54 38▲+6↕8-5Fair 5-229%▲ Up +657 54 38 ↕A2

   Card model 29% · Fair odds 5-2 · Our #2 · Tier A · Form ▲ Up +6 · ↕ Up-and-down figures 38–62 · Last 3 figs 57 54 38

   Jockey Xavier Perez 32% career 3-for-13 on dirt this meet (23%) · Trainer John J Robb 34% career ★ 4-for-20 on dirt this meet (20%)

   Also today · Jockey R7: Winslow 5-1 · Trainer this race: Paris By Night 6-5, R7: Winslow 5-1

   CLASS DROP★ FASTEST WORK2/4 board here

   Has moved up each time out, 38 to 54 to 57. The Sep 26 work, 3F in :35.40, was the best time at that distance that morning.

   PACE CHALLENGE Has to fight for the lead against company, and the fractions may cost it late. (early-speed points: 3)

   WORKS SHARP Posted the morning's best 3F on Sep 26; 0 works in 30d

   RECORD 0 wins, 2 on the board from 4 starts here

   RECORD Xavier Perez from post 7 here: 9 wins, 36 top-3 in 90 rides · 12% wins from all posts here

   Last three races

   Date	Trk	Dist	Class	Finish	Fig	Odds	Eq	Trip
   10/4	LRL	6f D	MCL 16k	4th/8 -4L	57	2.0-1	b	Stalked pace; gave way
   9/7	TIM	4f D	MCL 25k	5th/7 -7½L	54	1.9-1	b	Sluggish st;2wd turn
   8/6	CNL	5½f T	frMdSpWt	11th/11 -17L	38	29-1		Rail; retreated; eased

▲ / ▼ angle for / against · ★ best figure at the trip · LS longshot read · 1 2 3 = our top three · A B C tiers · ▲ ► ▼ form · ≡ ↕ steady / up-and-down. Tap a row for its notes, a name for the horse's page. Analysis only. Pace: fast and contested (5 early types). Helps stalkers and closers.