1Yammy Yammy Bella▼M. Rojas · L. GonzalezRojas · GonzalezB65 78 69▼-5@trip 7815-1Fair 20-14%
▼ Down -565 78 69@trip 78B▼ Age 5+ at a price, figures fall as the distance risesCard model 4% · Fair odds 20-1 · Our #10 · Tier B · Form ▼ Down -5 · Best fig at today's trip 78 (2 tries) · Last 3 figs 65 78 69
▼ Age 5+ at a price, figures fall as the distance risesJockey Martina Rojas 30% career 1-for-2 on turf this meet · Trainer Luis Fernando Gonzalez 31% career 0-for-2 on turf this meetA step up in company: $12,500 claiming before, $16,000 claiming today. Ranks first in the field on Brisnet Prime Power.
PACE HELPS Stalks an honestly pressed pace from a good spot.WORKS LIGHT Light on works against these rivals (0 works in 30d, last 83d back)RECORD Martina Rojas from post 1 here: 4 wins, 10 top-3 in 37 rides · 10% wins from all posts hereLast three races
Date Trk Dist Class Finish Fig Odds Eq Trip 10/9 LRL 5½f T Clm 16k n2l 4th/10 -5½L 65 13-1 4w 1/4;rallied outside 9/19 LRL 5½f T Clm 16k n2l 3rd/12 -6L 78 40-1 7wd upper;rallied 8/28 CNL 1 1/16 T Clm 30k n2l 6th/8 -8L 69 51-1 5w;9w upr;mildly 2Queen of WandsD. Centeno · M. TrombettaCenteno · TrombettaA68 78 69►↕@trip 782-1Fair 9-219%
► Steady68 78 69 ↕@trip 78ACard model 19% · Fair odds 9-2 · Our #5 · Tier A · Form ► Steady · ↕ Up-and-down figures 51–78 · Best fig at today's trip 78 (5 tries) · Last 3 figs 68 78 69
Jockey D E Centeno 35% career 1-for-9 on turf this meet (11%) · Trainer Michael J Trombetta 33% career 3-for-34 on turf this meet (9%) ★ hot★ FASTEST WORKFinished 2nd in a 10-horse $20,000 claiming race at LRL, beaten 1½ lengths. Class relief: $20,000 claiming last time, $16,000 claiming today.
PACE HELPS Stalks an honestly pressed pace from a good spot.WORKS SHARP Fastest work of the morning on Oct 4 (3F in :36.40), 1 work in 30dRECORD 0 wins, 1 on the board from 3 starts hereRECORD D E Centeno from post 2 here: 5 wins, 14 top-3 in 34 rides · 12% wins from all posts hereLast three races
Date Trk Dist Class Finish Fig Odds Eq Trip 10/9 LRL 5½f T Clm 16k n2l 2nd/10 -1½L 68 3.0-1 L 3wd; rallied outside 9/19 LRL 5½f T Clm 16k n2l 4th/12 -4½L 78 4.2-1 L Btwn foes;mild gain 8/27 CNL 5½f T frMd16000 Won/11 69 3.1-1 L Bmp'd start; in time 3Curly DiviningL. Briceno · J. Salzman Jr.Briceno · Salzman Jr.C68 49 72▲▲+9↕12-1Fair 10-18%
▲▲ Big jump +968 49 72 ↕C3Card model 8% · Fair odds 10-1 · Our #3 · Tier C · Form ▲▲ Big jump +9 · ↕ Up-and-down figures 49–72 · Last 3 figs 68 49 72
Jockey Leandro M Briceno 28% career 3-for-25 on turf this meet (12%) · Trainer John E Jr Salzman 22% career 3-for-8 on turf this meet (38%), #2 of 27Also today · Jockey R2: Engage At Will 15-1, R3: Skittliedat 30-1, R5: Alvy 10-1, R5: Claudee Boy 30-1 +1 more · Trainer R2: Engage At Will 15-1CLASS DROPWON LASTLast race was on the dirt; today it runs on the turf. Winner of an 8-horse maiden claiming $20,000 race at LRL last time.
PACE HELPS Stalks an honestly pressed pace from a good spot.SHARP LAST OUT Rail rally; drew clear last out, and it did it the right way.WORKS Routine prep: 1 work in 30d, last 10d agoLast three races
Date Trk Dist Class Finish Fig Odds Eq Trip 10/4 LRL 5½f D MCL 16k Won/8 by 1 68 2.7-1 L Rail rally; drew clear 9/7 TIM -6½f D MCL 25k 4th/5 -6½L 49 4.8-1 L Chased;3w;faltered 8/20 DEL 5½f D MCL 25k 2nd/7 by hd 72 3.2-1 L Flattened out inside 4BallykeefeM. Chuan · K. BonifaceChuan · BonifaceB65 71 69▼-6≡@trip 6910-1Fair 15-16%
▼ Down -665 71 69 ≡@trip 69BCard model 6% · Fair odds 15-1 · Our #7 · Tier B · Form ▼ Down -6 · ≡ Steady figures 65–73 · Best fig at today's trip 69 (4 tries) · Last 3 figs 65 71 69
Jockey Martin Chuan 37% career 0-for-11 on turf this meet (0%) · Trainer Kevin C Boniface 23% career 0-for-6 on turf this meetAlso today · Jockey R3: Costa Amalfitana 10-1, R5: Mo Rewards 8-1, R8: Amazing Gracer 3-1, R9: Profound Change 9-5 +1 more★ FASTEST WORKJky 8/30 from post 4Best recent figure of 73 sits right around the 75 par. Fastest 4F work of its morning on Aug 14 (:49.00), a sign it is training forwardly.
PACE HELPS Sits just off the speed with pace in front to run at.WORKS SHARP Fastest work of the morning on Aug 14 (4F in :49.00), 1 work in 30dRECORD 0 wins, 1 on the board from 4 starts hereRECORD Martin Chuan from post 4 here: 8 wins, 17 top-3 in 30 rides · 13% wins from all posts hereLast three races
Date Trk Dist Class Finish Fig Odds Eq Trip 10/9 LRL 5½f T Clm 16k n2l 3rd/10 -1½L 65 5.4-1 b Outside; gave way 8/28 PEN 5f T OC 16k 2nd/8 -2L 71 4.0-1 b 5-w; strong finish 7/19 CNL 5½f T Clm 16k n2l 5th/10 -2¼L 69 9.4-1 b Rail-3p;stymy 1/4;flat 5Only Maria▼E. Rosario · W. McMahonRosario · McMahonC64 62 63▲+5@trip 4530-1Fair 30-13%
▲ Up +564 62 63@trip 45C▼ Best fig 65 is 5+ under today's par 75Card model 3% · Fair odds 30-1 · Our #12 · Tier C · Form ▲ Up +5 · Best fig at today's trip 45 (1 tries) · Last 3 figs 64 62 63
▼ Best fig 65 is 5+ under today's par 75Jockey Emanuel Rosario 33% career 1-for-7 on turf this meet · Trainer W Thomas McMahon 0-for-5 on turf this meetAlso today · Jockey R2: Lucky Coco 30-1, R6: Allaboutsassy 30-1, R7: Vekoma Moon 6-1, R10: Nano Man 8-1180D+ LAYOFFCLASS DROPReturns from a 202-day break, the biggest in the field. Switches from dirt to turf.
EVEN PACE Real pressure up front should bring the pace back to it.WORKS SHARP Posted the morning's best 4F on Feb 15; 2 works in 30dRECORD 1 win, 2 on the board from 9 starts hereLast three races
Date Trk Dist Class Finish Fig Odds Eq Trip 4/11 LRL 6f D Clm 12k 3rd/6 -8L 64 14-1 b L Btwn foes;by-faders 3/13 LRL 1m D Clm 25k 5th/6 -13L 62 32-1 b L Settled;swung 7w;empty 2/22 LRL 6f D Clm 25k 4th/4 -5½L 63 14-1 b L No factor; 4wd 3/16 6Sin Boldly★J. Barbosa · S. StettiniusBarbosa · StettiniusA71 61 76►@trip 803-1Fair 5-117%
► Steady71 61 76@trip 80A★ Best at the trip 802Card model 17% · Fair odds 5-1 · Our #2 · Tier A · Form ► Steady · Best fig at today's trip 80 (5 tries) · Last 3 figs 71 61 76
★ Best at the trip 80Jockey Jeiron Barbosa 30% career ★ 10-for-41 on turf this meet (24%) · Trainer Suzanne Stettinius 27% career 2-for-14 on turf this meet (14%)Also today · Jockey R2: Paris By Night 6-5, R3: Integrity 10-1, R4: In My Memories 5-2, R6: It's Fine 7-2 +1 more4/7 board hereTops the field on speed figures, an 80 against 78 for the next best. A big drop, optional claiming to $16,000 claiming, and worth asking why.
PACE HELPS Stalks an honestly pressed pace from a good spot.WORKS LIGHT Few works lately, 0 works in 30d and the last 61 days agoRECORD 1 win, 4 on the board from 7 starts hereRECORD Jeiron Barbosa from post 6 here: 25 wins, 69 top-3 in 139 rides · 14% wins from all posts hereLast three races
Date Trk Dist Class Finish Fig Odds Eq Trip 10/15 LRL 5½f D OC 35k 5th/8 -2L 71 2.9-1 b L Waited;bid;outfinished 9/25 LRL 5½f D Alw n1x 6th/7 -8L 61 7.9-1 b L Stead;7w;left lead 7/31 CNL 5½f T Alw n1x 7th/9 -6L 76 13-1 L 5 wide uppr; no rally 7Crab MentalityC. Lopez · C. FrockLopez · FrockC51 73 64▼▼-15@trip 7310-1Fair 15-16%
▼▼ Big drop -1551 73 64@trip 73CCard model 6% · Fair odds 15-1 · Our #9 · Tier C · Form ▼▼ Big drop -15 · Best fig at today's trip 73 (4 tries) · Last 3 figs 51 73 64
Jockey Carlos Eduardo Lopez 36% career 2-for-33 on turf this meet (6%) · Trainer Charles A Frock 24% career 0-for-9 on turf this meet (0%)Also today · Jockey R2: Her Decision 12-1, R5: Fan Club 8-1, R6: Gotta Be Da Shoes 20-1, R9: Kentucky Mule 5-1 +1 more · Trainer R3: Integrity 10-1CLASS UPComes off a dirt start and tries the turf here. Worked 4F in :48.20 on Aug 1, 2nd of 33 at the distance.
PACE HELPS The pocket behind pressure is the useful spot, and this type fits it.WORKS SHARP 4f in :48.20 on Aug 11 was the best time at that distance that morning; 1 work in 30dRECORD 1 win, 1 on the board from 5 starts hereRECORD Carlos Eduardo Lopez from post 7 here: 13 wins, 37 top-3 in 91 rides · 12% wins from all posts hereLast three races
Date Trk Dist Class Finish Fig Odds Eq Trip 10/15 LRL 5½f D OC 35k 7th/8 -5¾L 51 8.9-1 b L Chased pace; faded 9/18 LRL 5½f T MCL 16kc Won/12 by 2½ 73 0.9-1 b L Rate btw;swng 7w;surge 8/27 CNL 5½f T frMd16000 2nd/11 -3L 64 3.6-1 b L Closed willingly 5wd 8Light De NightJ. Ruiz · J. Duarte Jr.Ruiz · Duarte Jr.A69 75 70►≡@trip 635-1Fair 6-114%
► Steady69 75 70 ≡@trip 63A1Card model 14% · Fair odds 6-1 · Our #1 · Tier A · Form ► Steady · ≡ Steady figures 69–75 · Best fig at today's trip 63 (1 tries) · Last 3 figs 69 75 70
Jockey Jorge Ruiz 31% career 6-for-41 on turf this meet (15%) · Trainer Jorge Jr Duarte 25% career 0-for-4 on turf this meetAlso today · Jockey R3: Quadra 4-1, R5: Souper Crunchy 9-2, R6: Paynted By Nancy 15-1, R7: Grind It Out 20-1 +1 more · Trainer R7: Grind It Out 20-1CLASS DROPWON LASTCuts back from 1 1/16 miles to 5½ furlongs. Comes in off a victory in a 9-horse maiden claiming $10,000 race at MED.
PACE HELPS Sits just off the speed with pace in front to run at.SHARP LAST OUT Last time the chart read: Bid turn; drew clear.WORKS Routine prep: 1 work in 30d, last 8d agoRECORD Jorge Ruiz from post 8 here: 10 wins, 26 top-3 in 61 rides · 19% wins from all posts hereLast three races
Date Trk Dist Class Finish Fig Odds Eq Trip 9/25 MED 1 1/16 T MCL 10k Won/9 69 0.6-1 L Bid turn; drew clear 8/23 CNL 1m T MCL 16k 4th/10 by hd 75 2.5-1 L Prompted;stayed on 8/1 CNL 1m T MCL 16k 2nd/11 70 1.5-1 L Press2w;bid3w;held 2nd 9Pinky SwearJ. Vargas · W. BailesVargas · BailesC65 25 54▲▲+16↕20-1Fair 30-13%
▲▲ Big jump +1665 25 54 ↕CCard model 3% · Fair odds 30-1 · Our #13 · Tier C · Form ▲▲ Big jump +16 · ↕ Up-and-down figures 25–67 · Last 3 figs 65 25 54
Jockey Jose E Vargas 29% career 3-for-26 on turf this meet (12%) · Trainer W Robert Bailes 32% career ★ 5-for-20 on turf this meet (25%)Also today · Jockey R6: Forty Seven Smoker 12-1, R7: Time To Groove 4-1, R8: Tiz My Standards 30-1 · Trainer R5: Alvy 10-1, R5: El De Larry 8-5, R7: Prince Of Peace 5-2★ FASTEST WORK2/3 board hereChanges barns, from Hamilton A Smith to W Robert Bailes. Owns the highest recent figure here at 80.
PACE HELPS Stalks an honestly pressed pace from a good spot.WORKS SHARP 5f in 1:02.00 on Aug 29 was the best time at that distance that morning; 2 works in 30dRECORD 1 win, 2 on the board from 3 starts hereRECORD Jose E Vargas from post 9 here: 2 wins, 6 top-3 in 16 rides · 17% wins from all posts hereLast three races
Date Trk Dist Class Finish Fig Odds Eq Trip 10/9 LRL 6f D Clm 12k n2lc 3rd/6 -3L 65 2.9-1 b L 4wd btw;vied;faded 9/18 LRL 1m D Clm 12k n2l 7th/7 -17L 25 1.5-1 b L Saddled slipped early 9/5 TIM 4f D OC 25k 4th/5 -9L 54 4.8-1 L Bmp st;pinchd;4-5wd 10Satisfied Mind▲LSC. Hargrove · M. ShumanHargrove · ShumanC56 50 64▼-7↕20-1Fair 15-16%
▼ Down -756 50 64 ↕C▲ Lone speed on early paceLSCard model 6% · Fair odds 15-1 · Our #4 · Tier C · Form ▼ Down -7 · ↕ Up-and-down figures 50–74 · Last 3 figs 56 50 64
▲ Lone speed on early paceLSLongshot read: 20-1 on the morning line, and the model has it at 6% against a line of 3%. A read, not a bet.
Also today · Jockey R5: Belts 'n Brooks 30-1, R6: Adios Marilyn 15-1, R6: For Keeps 12-1, R8: One Bad Habit 30-1 +1 more · Trainer R6: Forty Seven Smoker 12-1, R9: Profound Change 9-5Sheds 9 pounds from its last start. Switches from dirt to turf.
PACE CHALLENGE Leads into real pressure, so it has to earn the front and then hold it. (early-speed points: 6)WORKS LIGHT Light on works against these rivals (1 work in 30d, last 27d back)Last three races
Date Trk Dist Class Finish Fig Odds Eq Trip 10/16 PEN 6f D OC 16k 5th/6 -6½L 56 4.2-1 b L Brief foot; no rally 8/28 KD 6½f T Alw nc 9th/10 -12L 50 14-1 b Veerd out brk;ins;fade 5/10 GP 5f T RylPlmJvFB100k 10th/11 -10L 64 2.8-1 b Bmp brk;duel;2p;tired 11MeatballsforariesJ. Hernandez · A. SimoffHernandez · SimoffC54 60 74▼▼-1330-1Fair 30-14%
▼▼ Big drop -1354 60 74CCard model 4% · Fair odds 30-1 · Our #6 · Tier C · Form ▼▼ Big drop -13 · Last 3 figs 54 60 74
Jockey Julio A Hernandez 38% career 2-for-11 on turf this meet (18%) · Trainer Andrew Simoff 26% careerTrending the wrong way on speed, 74 to 60 to 54. Drops from optional claiming to $16,000 claiming.
PACE HELPS Stalks an honestly pressed pace from a good spot.WORKS LIGHT Thin work schedule next to this field: 0 works in 30d, last one 80d agoLast three races
Date Trk Dist Class Finish Fig Odds Eq Trip 10/16 DEL 5½f D OC 16k 5th/8 -4L 54 18-1 b L Clear pace 2p; yielded 9/12 DEL 5½f D OC 30k 6th/8 -10L 60 12-1 b L Close inside; gave way 8/20 DEL 5½f D MCL 25k Won/7 by 1 74 2.7-1 b L 5wd turn;up 1/16 12Lucky LisJ. Briceno · J. MaganaBriceno · MaganaC64 71 68▼-4≡@trip 7130-1Fair 30-13%
▼ Down -464 71 68 ≡@trip 71CCard model 3% · Fair odds 30-1 · Our #11 · Tier C · Form ▼ Down -4 · ≡ Steady figures 64–71 · Best fig at today's trip 71 (7 tries) · Last 3 figs 64 71 68
Jockey Jean Gregor Briceno 28% career 1-for-16 on turf this meet (6%) · Trainer Jose J Magana 23% career 1-for-7 on turf this meet★ FASTEST WORKThe Jul 25 work, 3F in :36.60, was the best time at that distance that morning. 2nd of 15 at 4F on Apr 10, in :48.80.
PACE HELPS The pocket behind pressure is the useful spot, and this type fits it.WORKS LIGHT Few works lately, 0 works in 30d and the last 35 days agoRECORD 0 wins, 4 on the board from 9 starts hereRECORD Jean Gregor Briceno from post 12 here: 2 wins, 4 top-3 in 21 rides · 10% wins from all posts hereLast three races
Date Trk Dist Class Finish Fig Odds Eq Trip 10/9 LRL 5½f T Clm 16k n2l 5th/10 -4½L 64 20-1 b L In close early;4w 1/4 8/27 CNL 5½f T MCL 16k Won/9 by 1 71 4.2-1 b L 4w;6-5w upr;just up 8/9 CNL 5½f T MCL 16k 7th/12 -4½L 68 4.8-1 b L Duck in;slam foe early 13Bint MischiefH. Karamanos · M. McGoeyKaramanos · McGoeyB58 73 70▼▼-158-1Fair 12-17%
▼▼ Big drop -1558 73 70BCard model 7% · Fair odds 12-1 · Our #8 · Tier B · Form ▼▼ Big drop -15 · Last 3 figs 58 73 70
Jockey H A Karamanos 32% career 5-for-39 on turf this meet (13%) · Trainer Monica McGoey 1-for-2 on turf this meetBack to 5½ furlongs off a a mile race. Comes off a dirt start and tries the turf here.
PACE HELPS Sits just off the speed with pace in front to run at.TROUBLED TRIP Chart note from last time: 4wd bid; faltered. A trip worth forgiving, though the number already carries it.WORKS SHARP Fit-looking prep next to these rivals: 1 work in 30d, last 3d agoLast three races
Date Trk Dist Class Finish Fig Odds Eq Trip 9/30 DEL 1m D OC 16k 5th/7 -5L 58 3.3-1 b L 4wd bid; faltered 9/6 CNL 1m T Clm 16k n2l 5th/12 73 1.4-1 L Yielded 1/8; gave way 8/6 CNL 1m T Clm 16k n2l 4th/11 by hd 70 1.6-1 L Prssd 2-3w;5w duel;wkn
▲ / ▼ angle for / against · ★ best figure at the trip · LS longshot read · 1 2 3 = our top three · A B C tiers · ▲ ► ▼ form · ≡ ↕ steady / up-and-down. Tap a row for its notes, a name for the horse's page. Analysis only. Pace: fast and contested (7 early types). Helps stalkers and closers.
How to read these marks
- 1 2 3
- Our top three by the card model's win chance. Tap “Our order” to sort by it.
- Win %, Fair
- The card model's chance to win, and the odds that chance works out to with no takeout. Fair is green when the model rates the horse above its morning line (the line scaled to add up to 100%).
- Tier A B C ?
- The field ranked on recent speed figures and the morning line together: A = top three, B = next three, C = the rest, ? = no figures yet.
- 71 60 72
- Last three speed figures, newest first. “@trip 75” = best figure at today's distance (within 30 yards) on this surface.
- ▲▲ ▲ ► ▼ ▼▼
- Form: last figure against the average of the three before it. ▲ = up 3 or more, ▲▲ = up 8 or more, ► = within 3, ▼ / ▼▼ = down. The number is the difference.
- ≡ ↕
- ≡ steady: the last four figures sit close together. ↕ up-and-down: they swing widely.
- ★
- Best figure in the field at today's distance and surface, from two or more tries, not tied. When that horse isn't in our top three it gets a “Distance horse” note above the field.
- ▲ ▼ chips
- Handicapping angles for or against the horse. LS = longshot read: 8-1 or more on the morning line and the model rates it higher than that line.
These marks describe the past performances. None of them is proven to beat the odds: in our test of 100 handicapping angles, nothing did better than the final odds, and the morning-line favourite wins more races than our top-ranked horse. Read them as notes, not as a reason to bet.
Race conditions and our readpace, conditions, story
LAUREL PARK · RACE 1
UPCOMINGClaiming $16,000
Claiming $16,000, for fillies and mares, 3-year-olds and up, that have not won two races lifetime.
Claiming race — every starter can be bought for the claiming price out of the race, so owners risk losing a horse that's clearly best. That keeps the field evenly matched on ability.
● Track record at 5 1/2 Furlongs: 60.63
The shape is the story here: there's little established early speed, so a tactical horse can control soft fractions up front and prove hard to run down.
Our number tops on #8 Light De Night (a presser/stalker, M/L 5-1). Recent figures: 69 · 75 · 70. It exits a win and is clearly doing well. Backup is #6 Sin Boldly at 3-1. Use #3 Curly Divining in exotic structures.
What would change our mind: a key scratch that reshapes the early pace, a sharp turf-to-dirt or surface switch off the rail, or live money showing up on a horse the board had dismissed. Watch the tote late.
At a glance: model vs the morning line
At a glance
- Market favourite #2 QUEEN OF WANDS (2-1) — our number has it ranked #5.
- #2 QUEEN OF WANDS — our #5 number, about right at the windows (23.2% to their 24.3%).
- #6 SIN BOLDLY — our #2 number, about right at the windows (18.9% to their 18.2%).
- #8 LIGHT DE NIGHT — our top number on the card, about right at the windows (12.3% to their 12.1%).
Model vs the morning line
- Longshot the model rates above its line: #11 MEATBALLSFORARIES (30-1) — our fair 2.7% is above the morning line's 2.3%; needs the trip to fall right.
Pacewho goes to the front
Pace
Pressed Pace. Speed under pressure from multiple pressers. Likely honest pace, slight closer benefit.
Likely leader: #10 Satisfied Mind; pressure from #3 Curly Divining, #11 Meatballsforaries; the shape helps #1 Yammy Yammy Bella, #2 Queen Of Wands, #3 Curly Divining; and works against #10 Satisfied Mind.
Number = last-race early-pace figure. Green border = the shape helps; red = it works against.
Early speed and closing figures, horse by horse
Early Pace · E1 figure · front runners
Closing Kick · late-pace figure
Bet types offeredwager menu
Bet types
Wagers offered on this race.
EXACTA; TRIFECTA & DAILY DOUBLE (RACES 1-2) / 10 CENT SUPERFECTA
50 CENT PICK 3 (RACES 1-2-3) / 50 CENT PICK 5 (RACES 1-2-3-4-5)
BET OPTIONS
WinPlaceShowExactaTrifectaSuperfecta