R6 Laurel Park · Maiden Claiming $16,000

2:47 PM ET · 5 1/2 Furlongs Turf · $24,000 · 16 runners2:47 PM · 5½f Turf · 16 runners

Upcoming $24K · Maiden Claiming $16,000

Card modelCard model Wide openFormLast 3 figsTier · angles
  1. 1MeredithslightningR. Rodriguez · C. KeilRodriguez · KeilC62 65 70▼-6≡@trip 6510-1Fair 15-16%▼ Down -662 65 70 ≡@trip 65C

    Card model 6% · Fair odds 15-1 · Our #5 · Tier C · Form ▼ Down -6 · ≡ Steady figures 62–70 · Best fig at today's trip 65 (1 tries) · Last 3 figs 62 65 70

    Jockey Ronaldo Rodriguez 34% career 1-for-9 on turf this meet (11%) · Trainer Caitlin Keil 23% career 0-for-4 on turf this meet
    Also today · Jockey R5: Kitten's Ploy 30-1, R10: Prom Knight 6-1 · Trainer this race: Take On The Jewels 6-1

    Last race was on the dirt; today it runs on the turf. Raises its level, maiden claiming $12,500 last time and maiden claiming $16,000 now.

    EVEN PACE A stalking spot behind a contested lead is the useful one in this shape.
    WORKS LIGHT Light on works against these rivals (0 works in 30d, last 69d back)
    RECORD 0 wins, 1 on the board from 7 starts here

    Last three races

    DateTrkDistClassFinishFigOddsEqTrip
    10/4LRL5½f DMCL 16k4th/8 -1½L626.0-1b LDrifted out;mild rally
    9/18LRL5½f TMCL 16k4th/12 -2½L655.6-1b LVied btw;stdy;trying
    9/7TIM-6½f DMCL 5k2nd/7704.7-1b LIns;hooked 1/8;game
  2. 2Hail NoH. Karamanos · C. PayneKaramanos · PayneB65 66 58►@trip 666-1Fair 12-17%► Steady65 66 58@trip 66B

    Card model 7% · Fair odds 12-1 · Our #13 · Tier B · Form ► Steady · Best fig at today's trip 66 (7 tries) · Last 3 figs 65 66 58

    Jockey H A Karamanos 32% career 5-for-39 on turf this meet (13%) · Trainer C Beale Payne 15% career 0-for-2 on turf this meet
    Also today · Jockey R1: Bint Mischief 8-1, R3: Chitchatchitchat 5-1, R7: Day Made 20-1 · Trainer this race: Final Moment 30-1

    Beaten 1½ lengths for 3rd in a 12-horse maiden claiming $12,500 race at LRL. A step up in company: maiden claiming $12,500 before, maiden claiming $16,000 today.

    PACE CHALLENGE One of several that want the lead, so the early work will cost something. (early-speed points: 3)
    TROUBLED TRIP Chart note from last time: Btw; angl 5w; mv; flttnd. A trip worth forgiving, though the number already carries it.
    WORKS Routine prep: 2 works in 30d, last 15d ago
    RECORD 0 wins, 2 on the board from 5 starts here
    RECORD H A Karamanos from post 2 here: 16 wins, 39 top-3 in 100 rides · 14% wins from all posts here

    Last three races

    DateTrkDistClassFinishFigOddsEqTrip
    9/18LRL5½f TMCL 16k3rd/12 -1½L6510-1LBtw;angl 5w;mv;flttnd
    8/27CNL5½f TMCL 16k5th/9 -½L6616-1LPrssd btwn;3w upr;wknd
    8/15CNL1m TfrMd1600011th/11 -5L5813-1LInside; gave way lane
  3. 3Allaboutsassy▼E. Rosario · K. CoxRosario · CoxC24 48@trip 4830-1Fair 50-12%—24 48@trip 48C▼ Best fig 48 is 5+ under today's par 71

    Card model 2% · Fair odds 50-1 · Our #16 · Tier C · Best fig at today's trip 48 (1 tries) · Last 3 figs 24 48

    ▼ Best fig 48 is 5+ under today's par 71
    Jockey Emanuel Rosario 33% career 1-for-7 on turf this meet · Trainer Kenneth M Cox 42% career 2-for-9 on turf this meet (22%)
    Also today · Jockey R1: Only Maria 30-1, R2: Lucky Coco 30-1, R7: Vekoma Moon 6-1, R10: Nano Man 8-1
    60D LAYOFF

    Returns from a 124-day break, the biggest in the field. Cuts back from 1 1/16 miles to 5½ furlongs.

    PACE CHALLENGE No running style on file yet, so the pace shape can't be applied to it.
    WORKS SHARP Fit-looking prep next to these rivals: 2 works in 30d, last 9d ago

    Last three races

    DateTrkDistClassFinishFigOddsEqTrip
    6/28LRL1 1/16 TMCL 16k8th/8 -23L2446-1b LOutrun
    6/13LRL5½f TMCL 16k9th/9 -10L4822-1b LGave way between foes
  4. 4Gotta Be Da ShoesLSC. Lopez · D. DilodovicoLopez · DilodovicoC36 64 73▼▼-32↕@trip 6420-1Fair 20-14%▼▼ Big drop -3236 64 73 ↕@trip 64CLS

    Card model 4% · Fair odds 20-1 · Our #6 · Tier C · Form ▼▼ Big drop -32 · ↕ Up-and-down figures 36–73 · Best fig at today's trip 64 (3 tries) · Last 3 figs 36 64 73

    LS

    Longshot read: 20-1 on the morning line, and the model has it at 4% against a line of 3%. A read, not a bet.

    Jockey Carlos Eduardo Lopez 36% career 2-for-33 on turf this meet (6%) · Trainer Damon R Dilodovico 27% career 0-for-8 on turf this meet (0%)
    Also today · Jockey R1: Crab Mentality 10-1, R2: Her Decision 12-1, R5: Fan Club 8-1, R9: Kentucky Mule 5-1 +1 more · Trainer R9: Nancy Mary 8-1
    ★ FASTEST WORKJky 19/106 from post 4

    Trending the wrong way on speed, 73 to 64 to 36. Switches from dirt to turf.

    PACE HELPS The front end should be a fight, and this one gets to wait on it.
    WORKS SHARP 3f in :37.60 on Oct 24 was the best time at that distance that morning; 1 work in 30d
    RECORD 0 wins, 1 on the board from 7 starts here
    RECORD Carlos Eduardo Lopez from post 4 here: 19 wins, 42 top-3 in 106 rides · 12% wins from all posts here

    Last three races

    DateTrkDistClassFinishFigOddsEqTrip
    10/4LRL5½f DMCL 16k7th/8 -10L364.2-1b LStmb'd st; no factor
    9/13LRL1m TMCL 16k4th/9 -½L644.1-1b L4-5wd turns;level off
    8/23CNL1m TMCL 16k5th/10 by nk734.0-1b L3wbid;stalld late;st'd
  5. 5It's FineJ. Barbosa · A. FarriorBarbosa · FarriorA63 69 68▼-7≡@trip 637-2Fair 7-113%▼ Down -763 69 68 ≡@trip 63A

    Card model 13% · Fair odds 7-1 · Our #4 · Tier A · Form ▼ Down -7 · ≡ Steady figures 63–73 · Best fig at today's trip 63 (1 tries) · Last 3 figs 63 69 68

    Jockey Jeiron Barbosa 30% career ★ 10-for-41 on turf this meet (24%) · Trainer Anthony Farrior 41% career 4-for-7 on turf this meet
    Also today · Jockey R1: Sin Boldly 3-1, R2: Paris By Night 6-5, R3: Integrity 10-1, R4: In My Memories 5-2 +1 more · Trainer R4: In My Memories 5-2

    New trainer: Hugh I McMahon had it last time, Anthony Farrior now. A 73 top number against a 71 par, so it fits the level.

    EVEN PACE A stalking spot behind a contested lead is the useful one in this shape.
    WORKS Routine prep: 1 work in 30d, last 20d ago
    RECORD Jeiron Barbosa from post 5 here: 17 wins, 56 top-3 in 138 rides · 14% wins from all posts here

    Last three races

    DateTrkDistClassFinishFigOddsEqTrip
    9/18LRL5½f TMCL 16kc5th/12 -3¾L633.1-1L3-4w;shift out;evenly
    8/1CNL1m TMCL 16k4th/11 -1L693.0-1LTrack2w;bid4w;hung lte
    6/26CNL1m TMCL 16kc7th/10 -4¼L684.4-1Shuffled rail;no punch
  6. 6Paynted By NancyJ. Ruiz · S. CooneyRuiz · CooneyC62 59 59►@trip 7315-1Fair 30-14%► Steady62 59 59@trip 73C

    Card model 4% · Fair odds 30-1 · Our #15 · Tier C · Form ► Steady · Best fig at today's trip 73 (5 tries) · Last 3 figs 62 59 59

    Jockey Jorge Ruiz 31% career 6-for-41 on turf this meet (15%) · Trainer Susan S Cooney 22% career 0-for-14 on turf this meet (0%)
    Also today · Jockey R1: Light De Night 5-1, R3: Quadra 4-1, R5: Souper Crunchy 9-2, R7: Grind It Out 20-1 +1 more
    0/7 board here

    Winless in 6 starts at this distance. Still looking for the first win after 11 starts.

    EVEN PACE A stalking spot behind a contested lead is the useful one in this shape.
    WORKS LIGHT Thin work schedule next to this field: 0 works in 30d, last one 69d ago
    RECORD Not on the board in 7 starts here
    RECORD Jorge Ruiz from post 6 here: 12 wins, 32 top-3 in 56 rides · 19% wins from all posts here

    Last three races

    DateTrkDistClassFinishFigOddsEqTrip
    10/4LRL5½f DMCL 16k5th/8 -5L6211-1b LChased; some run late
    9/13LRL1m TMCL 16k6th/9 -1L597.9-1b LBobbled start;gave way
    8/27CNL5½f TfrMd160008th/11 -7½L598.4-1b LMild rally 4 wide
  7. 7Forty Seven SmokerJ. Vargas · M. ShumanVargas · ShumanA68 63 69▲+5@trip 6912-1Fair 20-15%▲ Up +568 63 69@trip 69A

    Card model 5% · Fair odds 20-1 · Our #8 · Tier A · Form ▲ Up +5 · Best fig at today's trip 69 (5 tries) · Last 3 figs 68 63 69

    Jockey Jose E Vargas 29% career 3-for-26 on turf this meet (12%) · Trainer Mark Shuman 25% career 0-for-10 on turf this meet (0%)
    Also today · Jockey R1: Pinky Swear 20-1, R7: Time To Groove 4-1, R8: Tiz My Standards 30-1 · Trainer R1: Satisfied Mind 20-1, R9: Profound Change 9-5
    ◆ NOTE · TRIP TROUBLE60D LAYOFF★ FASTEST WORK3/6 board here

    Goes 5½ furlongs after running 4 furlongs last time. Comes off a dirt start and tries the turf here.

    EVEN PACE Can sit just off the early fight and pick up whoever tires.
    TROUBLED TRIP Came out early; bumped last out; the speed figure already reflects it.
    WORKS SHARP Posted the morning's best 3F on Oct 24; 1 work in 30d
    RECORD 0 wins, 3 on the board from 6 starts here
    RECORD Jose E Vargas from post 7 here: 7 wins, 21 top-3 in 36 rides · 17% wins from all posts here

    Last three races

    DateTrkDistClassFinishFigOddsEqTrip
    8/30TIM4f DMCL 12k3rd/5 -3½L682.3-1b LCame out early;bumped
    8/14DEL-5f TMCL 16k4th/7632.6-1b LDuel between foes
    8/9CNL5½f TMCL 16k5th/12 -5L6913-1LResponded; kept on
  8. 8Adios MarilynC. Hargrove · A. RawlingsHargrove · RawlingsC67 52 42▲▲+20@trip 6715-1Fair 30-14%▲▲ Big jump +20 · career best67 52 42@trip 67C

    Card model 4% · Fair odds 30-1 · Our #12 · Tier C · Form ▲▲ Big jump +20 · career best · Best fig at today's trip 67 (1 tries) · Last 3 figs 67 52 42

    Jockey Camila Hargrove 14% career · Trainer Amanda Colleen Rawlings 14% career 0-for-3 on turf this meet
    Also today · Jockey R1: Satisfied Mind 20-1, R5: Belts 'n Brooks 30-1, this race: For Keeps 12-1, R8: One Bad Habit 30-1 +1 more
    CLASS UP

    Drops from maiden claiming $28,000 to maiden claiming $16,000. Figures are climbing: 42, 52, 67 over its last three.

    PACE CHALLENGE Early speed in a crowded front end; somebody gets worn down. (early-speed points: 5)
    WORKS SHARP Active work pattern for this group, 1 work in 30d and the last 6d back

    Last three races

    DateTrkDistClassFinishFigOddsEqTrip
    9/26LRL5½f TMCL 35k7th/8 -2½L6732-1LRail;duel;gave way
    8/20PEN5f DMCL 16k5th/7 -1½L5226-1L3wd outs;prss;faded
    7/23CNL5½f DMCL 16k3rd/6 -8½L4219-1LRail;roused3/8;flatten
  9. 9Appealing GirlG. Ashton · F. BentleyAshton · BentleyA68 66 67►≡@trip 685-1Fair 10-19%► Steady68 66 67 ≡@trip 68A

    Card model 9% · Fair odds 10-1 · Our #9 · Tier A · Form ► Steady · ≡ Steady figures 65–68 · Best fig at today's trip 68 (3 tries) · Last 3 figs 68 66 67

    Jockey Gavin Ashton 25% career 0-for-13 on turf this meet (0%) · Trainer Fenneka Bentley 19% career 0-for-6 on turf this meet
    LASIX 1ST0/3 board here

    Last out was 6th, 6 lengths behind the winner, in an 8-horse maiden race at LRL. Best recent figure of 68 sits right around the 71 par.

    PACE CHALLENGE Has to fight for the lead against company, and the fractions may cost it late. (early-speed points: 3)
    WORKS Average work schedule for this field (1 work in 30d, last 9d ago)
    RECORD Not on the board in 3 starts here

    Last three races

    DateTrkDistClassFinishFigOddsEqTrip
    9/26LRL5½f TMCL 35k6th/8 -6L684.2-1Rail turn;4w 1/8
    9/18LRL5½f TMSW6th/9 -7½L6646-1Ins;eased out;empty
    8/6CNL6f TfrMdSpWt5th/9 -2L6766-1Ins-2w;wknd str
  10. 10Divine MousseK. Gomez · M. MeyersGomez · MeyersB46 78@trip 784-1Fair 7-113%—46 78@trip 78B3

    Card model 13% · Fair odds 7-1 · Our #3 · Tier B · Best fig at today's trip 78 (1 tries) · Last 3 figs 46 78

    Jockey Kevin Gomez 30% career 2-for-16 on turf this meet (12%) · Trainer Madison F Meyers 33% career 1-for-8 on turf this meet (12%)

    Owns the highest recent figure here at 78. A big drop, maiden claiming $35,000 to maiden claiming $16,000, and worth asking why.

    EVEN PACE A stalking spot behind a contested lead is the useful one in this shape.
    WORKS LIGHT Few works lately, 1 work in 30d and the last 24 days ago

    Last three races

    DateTrkDistClassFinishFigOddsEqTrip
    10/16LRL5½f DMCL 35k4th/5 -13L462.4-1b LInside turn; lack bid
    9/26LRL5½f TMCL 35k2nd/8 -1L7815-1b LBid btwn foes;game
  11. 11Take on the Jewels▼F. Boyce · C. KeilBoyce · KeilC63 636-1Fair 7-112%—63 63C▼ Best fig 63 is 5+ under today's par 711

    Card model 12% · Fair odds 7-1 · Our #1 · Tier C · Last 3 figs 63 63

    ▼ Best fig 63 is 5+ under today's par 71
    Jockey Forest Boyce 32% career 5-for-33 on turf this meet (15%) · Trainer Caitlin Keil 23% career 0-for-4 on turf this meet
    Also today · Jockey R3: Americandreammaker 9-2, R4: Madonna Of Loreto 9-5, R5: Lomax 20-1 · Trainer this race: Meredithslightning 10-1
    CLASS DROP

    Switches from dirt to turf. Needs to move up: the best of its last five is 63 against a 71 par.

    PACE HELPS Several horses want the lead, which is the early heat a closer is looking for.
    WORKS LIGHT Thin work schedule next to this field: 0 works in 30d, last one 61d ago
    RECORD Forest Boyce from post 11 here: 1 win, 12 top-3 in 39 rides · 15% wins from all posts here

    Last three races

    DateTrkDistClassFinishFigOddsEqTrip
    10/4LRL5½f DMCL 16k3rd/8 -3L633.8-1b LHit gate; late gain
    9/7TIM-6½f DMCL 25k2nd/5 -8½L6312-1b LSwung out 1/8;rally
  12. 12Baby Queen▼L. Briceno · M. SalazarBriceno · SalazarC43@trip 4330-1Fair 50-12%—43@trip 43C▼ Best fig 43 is 5+ under today's par 71

    Card model 2% · Fair odds 50-1 · Our #14 · Tier C · Best fig at today's trip 43 (1 tries) · Last 3 figs 43

    ▼ Best fig 43 is 5+ under today's par 71
    Jockey Leandro M Briceno 28% career 3-for-25 on turf this meet (12%) · Trainer Marco Salazar 21% career
    Also today · Jockey R1: Curly Divining 12-1, R2: Engage At Will 15-1, R3: Skittliedat 30-1, R5: Alvy 10-1 +1 more
    60D LAYOFF

    Back after 111 days away; fitness is the question and the works are the evidence. Marco Salazar takes over the training from Eduardo Jr Azpurua.

    PACE CHALLENGE Style isn't established yet, so how it fits this shape is open.
    WORKS SHARP One of the busier work schedules here: 1 work in 30d, last 6d ago

    Last three races

    DateTrkDistClassFinishFigOddsEqTrip
    7/11CNL5½f TMSW9th/9 -9½L4348-1LChased;rail; stopped
  13. 13Final MomentR. No · C. PayneNo · PayneC53 41 67►↕@trip 6730-1Fair 30-13%► Steady53 41 67 ↕@trip 67C

    Card model 3% · Fair odds 30-1 · Our #11 · Tier C · Form ► Steady · ↕ Up-and-down figures 41–67 · Best fig at today's trip 67 (7 tries) · Last 3 figs 53 41 67

    Jockey Rider No · Trainer C Beale Payne 15% career 0-for-2 on turf this meet
    Also today · Jockey R5: Be Here 20-1 · Trainer this race: Hail No 6-1

    Maiden through 8 starts. Worked 4F in :48.00 on Aug 20, 2nd of 16 at the distance.

    PACE CHALLENGE One of several that want the lead, so the early work will cost something. (early-speed points: 5)
    WORKS Average work schedule for this field (2 works in 30d, last 15d ago)
    RECORD 0 wins, 1 on the board from 4 starts here

    Last three races

    DateTrkDistClassFinishFigOddsEqTrip
    9/18LRL5½f TMCL 16k11th/12 -5¾L5335-1b LInside stalking;faded
    8/27CNL5½f TfrMd1600010th/11 -14L4124-1b LClip'd heels 1/2;faded
    8/2CNL5½f TfrMd160006th/76714-1L2p-ins;2w uppr;wkn1/16
  14. 14For Keeps▲C. Hargrove · J. MaldonadoHargrove · MaldonadoC71 55 66▲▲+13@trip 5512-1Fair 20-15%▲▲ Big jump +13 · career best71 55 66@trip 55C▲ Last fig 71 at/above par 71

    Card model 5% · Fair odds 20-1 · Our #7 · Tier C · Form ▲▲ Big jump +13 · career best · Best fig at today's trip 55 (1 tries) · Last 3 figs 71 55 66

    ▲ Last fig 71 at/above par 71
    Jockey Camila Hargrove 14% career · Trainer Jonathan Maldonado 25% career 0-for-10 on turf this meet (0%)
    Also today · Jockey R1: Satisfied Mind 20-1, R5: Belts 'n Brooks 30-1, this race: Adios Marilyn 15-1, R8: One Bad Habit 30-1 +1 more · Trainer R2: Happy Encounter 8-1, R5: Be Here 20-1

    Back to 5½ furlongs off a 1 1/16 miles race. 7th last time, 11 lengths back, in a field of 11.

    PACE CHALLENGE One of several that want the lead, so the early work will cost something. (early-speed points: 0)
    TROUBLED TRIP Ran into trouble last out (Rail; steadily weakened), and the figure already reflects it.
    WORKS SHARP Fit-looking prep next to these rivals: 1 work in 30d, last 7d ago

    Last three races

    DateTrkDistClassFinishFigOddsEqTrip
    10/10LRL1 1/16 TMCL 35k7th/11 -11L7167-1b LRail;steadily weakened
    9/5CNL1m TfrMdSpWt8th/8 -½L5526-1b LGave way when headed
    8/15CNL1m TfrMdSpWt4th/6 -4L6621-1b L3-5p;6w uppr;no punch
  15. 15LouvarT. Kingsley · B. FoleyKingsley · FoleyB67 59 65▲+4≡@trip 7112-1Fair 12-18%▲ Up +467 59 65 ≡@trip 71B2

    Card model 8% · Fair odds 12-1 · Our #2 · Tier B · Form ▲ Up +4 · ≡ Steady figures 59–67 · Best fig at today's trip 71 (5 tries) · Last 3 figs 67 59 65

    Jockey Taylor Kingsley 21% career 0-for-22 on turf this meet (0%) · Trainer Barry Foley 30% career 0-for-5 on turf this meet
    0/3 board here

    Was 10th of 11 at the first call last time. 0 for 7 at today's distance.

    PACE HELPS Hot early fractions are likely, and that sets up a late run.
    WORKS LIGHT Light on works against these rivals (0 works in 30d, last 77d back)
    RECORD Not on the board in 3 starts here

    Last three races

    DateTrkDistClassFinishFigOddsEqTrip
    10/10LRL1 1/16 TMCL 35k9th/11 -16L6738-1LSlow start;4w;empty
    9/18LRL5½f TMSW8th/9 -10L596.7-1LBrk slow;4-6wd;empty
    9/5CNL1m TfrMdSpWt3rd/8 -1¼L6512-1L3w rally show
  16. 16Don't Do It▼M. Rowland · M. GorhamRowland · GorhamC57 52 64▼-3@trip 4620-1Fair 30-14%▼ Down -357 52 64@trip 46C▼ Best fig 65 is 5+ under today's par 71

    Card model 4% · Fair odds 30-1 · Our #10 · Tier C · Form ▼ Down -3 · Best fig at today's trip 46 (1 tries) · Last 3 figs 57 52 64

    ▼ Best fig 65 is 5+ under today's par 71
    Jockey Madeline Rowland 21% career 0-for-2 on turf this meet · Trainer Michael E Gorham 32% career 0-for-2 on turf this meet
    Also today · Jockey R2: Shanghai Rose 6-1, R9: Bourbon N Lace 15-1 · Trainer R2: Shanghai Rose 6-1, R9: Bourbon N Lace 15-1
    0/4 board here

    Moves up from maiden claiming $10,000 to maiden claiming $16,000. Maiden through 9 starts.

    PACE CHALLENGE Early speed in a crowded front end; somebody gets worn down. (early-speed points: 3)
    TROUBLED TRIP Ran into trouble last out (Bobble brk; held 2nd), and the figure already reflects it.
    WORKS LIGHT Light on works against these rivals (0 works in 30d, last 170d back)
    RECORD Not on the board in 4 starts here

    Last three races

    DateTrkDistClassFinishFigOddsEqTrip
    10/2MED5f TMCL 10k2nd/8 -3L574.6-1b LBobble brk; held 2nd
    9/13LRL1m TMCL 16k8th/9 -6¼L5228-1LStalked; gave way
    8/15DEL-8½f TMCL 16k6th/9 -5L6414-1L2wd; gave way;

▲ / ▼ angle for / against · ★ best figure at the trip · LS longshot read · 1 2 3 = our top three · A B C tiers · ▲ ► ▼ form · ≡ ↕ steady / up-and-down. Tap a row for its notes, a name for the horse's page. Analysis only. Pace: fast and contested (9 early types). Helps stalkers and closers.

How to read these marks
1 2 3
Our top three by the card model's win chance. Tap “Our order” to sort by it.
Win %, Fair
The card model's chance to win, and the odds that chance works out to with no takeout. Fair is green when the model rates the horse above its morning line (the line scaled to add up to 100%).
Tier A B C ?
The field ranked on recent speed figures and the morning line together: A = top three, B = next three, C = the rest, ? = no figures yet.
71 60 72
Last three speed figures, newest first. “@trip 75” = best figure at today's distance (within 30 yards) on this surface.
▲▲ ▲ ► ▼ ▼▼
Form: last figure against the average of the three before it. ▲ = up 3 or more, ▲▲ = up 8 or more, ► = within 3, ▼ / ▼▼ = down. The number is the difference.
≡ ↕
≡ steady: the last four figures sit close together. ↕ up-and-down: they swing widely.
★
Best figure in the field at today's distance and surface, from two or more tries, not tied. When that horse isn't in our top three it gets a “Distance horse” note above the field.
▲ ▼ chips
Handicapping angles for or against the horse. LS = longshot read: 8-1 or more on the morning line and the model rates it higher than that line.

These marks describe the past performances. None of them is proven to beat the odds: in our test of 100 handicapping angles, nothing did better than the final odds, and the morning-line favourite wins more races than our top-ranked horse. Read them as notes, not as a reason to bet.

Race conditions and our readpace, conditions, story
¼½FINISHSTART5 1/2 FURLONGS · TURF · infield1-turn · chute start

LAUREL PARK · RACE 6

UPCOMING

Maiden Claiming $16,000

Field
16 runners
Purse
$24,000
Post
2:47 PM ET
Pace
Speed Duel
Card model top pick
#11 · 12%

Maiden Claiming, for fillies and mares, 3-year-olds and up.

Maiden claiming — for horses that have never won, and every starter is also for sale at the claiming price. Typically the easiest class of race.

● Track record at 5 1/2 Furlongs: 60.63

The shape is the story here: 6 confirmed front-runners should pressure each other early, which tilts the race toward stalkers and closers who can pick up the pieces late.

Our number tops on #11 Take On The Jewels (a closer, M/L 6-1). Recent figures: 63 · 63. It hit the board last time and stays in form. Backup is #15 Louvar at 12-1. Use #10 Divine Mousse in exotic structures.

What would change our mind: a key scratch that reshapes the early pace, a sharp turf-to-dirt or surface switch off the rail, or live money showing up on a horse the board had dismissed. Watch the tote late.

At a glance: model vs the morning line

At a glance

  • Market favourite #5 IT'S FINE (7-2) — our number has it ranked #4.
  • #5 IT'S FINE — our #4 number, about right at the windows (14.1% to their 14.7%).
  • #10 DIVINE MOUSSE — our #3 number, about right at the windows (13.1% to their 13.2%).
  • #9 APPEALING GIRL — our #9 number, about right at the windows (10.3% to their 11.0%).

Model vs the morning line · analysis, not advice

  • Longshot the model rates above its line: #15 LOUVAR (12-1) — our fair 5.9% is above the morning line's 5.1%; supported by: 4-way speed duel up front — meltdown sets up the closer
Pacewho goes to the front

Pace

Speed Duel. Three or more early-speed types. Fast pace, hot fractions — closers benefit.

Likely leader: #8 Adios Marilyn; pressure from #2 Hail No, #13 Final Moment; the shape helps #4 Gotta Be Da Shoes, #11 Take On The Jewels, #15 Louvar; and works against #2 Hail No, #3 Allaboutsassy, #8 Adios Marilyn.

Lead
8Adios Marilyn922Hail No9113Final Moment9114For Keeps8816Don't Do It879Appealing Girl81
Press
7Forty Seven Smoker941Meredithslightning926Paynted By Nancy88
Stalk
5It's Fine8810Divine Mousse83
Close
11Take On The Jewels764Gotta Be Da Shoes7315Louvar59
No style yet
12Baby Queen933Allaboutsassy71

Number = last-race early-pace figure. Green border = the shape helps; red = it works against.

Early speed and closing figures, horse by horse

Early Pace · E1 figure · front runners

7
Forty Seven Smoker
94
1
Meredithslightning
92
8
Adios Marilyn
92
2
Hail No
91
13
Final Moment
91
5
It's Fine
88
6
Paynted By Nancy
88
14
For Keeps
88
16
Don't Do It
87
10
Divine Mousse
83
9
Appealing Girl
81

Closing Kick · late-pace figure

4
Gotta Be Da Shoes
19
11
Take On The Jewels
19
15
Louvar
19
Bet types offeredwager menu

Bet types

Wagers offered on this race.

EXACTA; TRIFECTA & DAILY DOUBLE (RACES 6-7) / 10 CENT SUPERFECTA

50 CENT PICK 3 (RACES 6-7-8) / 50 CENT PICK 5 (RACES 6-7-8-9-10)

TBredIQ shows analysis only. We don’t build tickets or suggest amounts.

BET OPTIONS

WinPlaceShowExactaTrifectaSuperfecta

Wagers offered on this race — analysis only, no stake sizing.

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