1MeredithslightningR. Rodriguez · C. KeilRodriguez · KeilC62 65 70▼-6≡@trip 6510-1Fair 15-16%
▼ Down -662 65 70 ≡@trip 65CCard model 6% · Fair odds 15-1 · Our #5 · Tier C · Form ▼ Down -6 · ≡ Steady figures 62–70 · Best fig at today's trip 65 (1 tries) · Last 3 figs 62 65 70
Jockey Ronaldo Rodriguez 34% career 1-for-9 on turf this meet (11%) · Trainer Caitlin Keil 23% career 0-for-4 on turf this meetAlso today · Jockey R5: Kitten's Ploy 30-1, R10: Prom Knight 6-1 · Trainer this race: Take On The Jewels 6-1Last race was on the dirt; today it runs on the turf. Raises its level, maiden claiming $12,500 last time and maiden claiming $16,000 now.
EVEN PACE A stalking spot behind a contested lead is the useful one in this shape.WORKS LIGHT Light on works against these rivals (0 works in 30d, last 69d back)RECORD 0 wins, 1 on the board from 7 starts hereLast three races
Date Trk Dist Class Finish Fig Odds Eq Trip 10/4 LRL 5½f D MCL 16k 4th/8 -1½L 62 6.0-1 b L Drifted out;mild rally 9/18 LRL 5½f T MCL 16k 4th/12 -2½L 65 5.6-1 b L Vied btw;stdy;trying 9/7 TIM -6½f D MCL 5k 2nd/7 70 4.7-1 b L Ins;hooked 1/8;game 2Hail NoH. Karamanos · C. PayneKaramanos · PayneB65 66 58►@trip 666-1Fair 12-17%
► Steady65 66 58@trip 66BCard model 7% · Fair odds 12-1 · Our #13 · Tier B · Form ► Steady · Best fig at today's trip 66 (7 tries) · Last 3 figs 65 66 58
Jockey H A Karamanos 32% career 5-for-39 on turf this meet (13%) · Trainer C Beale Payne 15% career 0-for-2 on turf this meetAlso today · Jockey R1: Bint Mischief 8-1, R3: Chitchatchitchat 5-1, R7: Day Made 20-1 · Trainer this race: Final Moment 30-1Beaten 1½ lengths for 3rd in a 12-horse maiden claiming $12,500 race at LRL. A step up in company: maiden claiming $12,500 before, maiden claiming $16,000 today.
PACE CHALLENGE One of several that want the lead, so the early work will cost something. (early-speed points: 3)TROUBLED TRIP Chart note from last time: Btw; angl 5w; mv; flttnd. A trip worth forgiving, though the number already carries it.WORKS Routine prep: 2 works in 30d, last 15d agoRECORD 0 wins, 2 on the board from 5 starts hereRECORD H A Karamanos from post 2 here: 16 wins, 39 top-3 in 100 rides · 14% wins from all posts hereLast three races
Date Trk Dist Class Finish Fig Odds Eq Trip 9/18 LRL 5½f T MCL 16k 3rd/12 -1½L 65 10-1 L Btw;angl 5w;mv;flttnd 8/27 CNL 5½f T MCL 16k 5th/9 -½L 66 16-1 L Prssd btwn;3w upr;wknd 8/15 CNL 1m T frMd16000 11th/11 -5L 58 13-1 L Inside; gave way lane 3Allaboutsassy▼E. Rosario · K. CoxRosario · CoxC24 48@trip 4830-1Fair 50-12%
—24 48@trip 48C▼ Best fig 48 is 5+ under today's par 71Card model 2% · Fair odds 50-1 · Our #16 · Tier C · Best fig at today's trip 48 (1 tries) · Last 3 figs 24 48
▼ Best fig 48 is 5+ under today's par 71Jockey Emanuel Rosario 33% career 1-for-7 on turf this meet · Trainer Kenneth M Cox 42% career 2-for-9 on turf this meet (22%)Also today · Jockey R1: Only Maria 30-1, R2: Lucky Coco 30-1, R7: Vekoma Moon 6-1, R10: Nano Man 8-160D LAYOFFReturns from a 124-day break, the biggest in the field. Cuts back from 1 1/16 miles to 5½ furlongs.
PACE CHALLENGE No running style on file yet, so the pace shape can't be applied to it.WORKS SHARP Fit-looking prep next to these rivals: 2 works in 30d, last 9d agoLast three races
Date Trk Dist Class Finish Fig Odds Eq Trip 6/28 LRL 1 1/16 T MCL 16k 8th/8 -23L 24 46-1 b L Outrun 6/13 LRL 5½f T MCL 16k 9th/9 -10L 48 22-1 b L Gave way between foes 4Gotta Be Da ShoesLSC. Lopez · D. DilodovicoLopez · DilodovicoC36 64 73▼▼-32↕@trip 6420-1Fair 20-14%
▼▼ Big drop -3236 64 73 ↕@trip 64CLSCard model 4% · Fair odds 20-1 · Our #6 · Tier C · Form ▼▼ Big drop -32 · ↕ Up-and-down figures 36–73 · Best fig at today's trip 64 (3 tries) · Last 3 figs 36 64 73
LSLongshot read: 20-1 on the morning line, and the model has it at 4% against a line of 3%. A read, not a bet.
Jockey Carlos Eduardo Lopez 36% career 2-for-33 on turf this meet (6%) · Trainer Damon R Dilodovico 27% career 0-for-8 on turf this meet (0%)Also today · Jockey R1: Crab Mentality 10-1, R2: Her Decision 12-1, R5: Fan Club 8-1, R9: Kentucky Mule 5-1 +1 more · Trainer R9: Nancy Mary 8-1★ FASTEST WORKJky 19/106 from post 4Trending the wrong way on speed, 73 to 64 to 36. Switches from dirt to turf.
PACE HELPS The front end should be a fight, and this one gets to wait on it.WORKS SHARP 3f in :37.60 on Oct 24 was the best time at that distance that morning; 1 work in 30dRECORD 0 wins, 1 on the board from 7 starts hereRECORD Carlos Eduardo Lopez from post 4 here: 19 wins, 42 top-3 in 106 rides · 12% wins from all posts hereLast three races
Date Trk Dist Class Finish Fig Odds Eq Trip 10/4 LRL 5½f D MCL 16k 7th/8 -10L 36 4.2-1 b L Stmb'd st; no factor 9/13 LRL 1m T MCL 16k 4th/9 -½L 64 4.1-1 b L 4-5wd turns;level off 8/23 CNL 1m T MCL 16k 5th/10 by nk 73 4.0-1 b L 3wbid;stalld late;st'd 5It's FineJ. Barbosa · A. FarriorBarbosa · FarriorA63 69 68▼-7≡@trip 637-2Fair 7-113%
▼ Down -763 69 68 ≡@trip 63ACard model 13% · Fair odds 7-1 · Our #4 · Tier A · Form ▼ Down -7 · ≡ Steady figures 63–73 · Best fig at today's trip 63 (1 tries) · Last 3 figs 63 69 68
Jockey Jeiron Barbosa 30% career ★ 10-for-41 on turf this meet (24%) · Trainer Anthony Farrior 41% career 4-for-7 on turf this meetAlso today · Jockey R1: Sin Boldly 3-1, R2: Paris By Night 6-5, R3: Integrity 10-1, R4: In My Memories 5-2 +1 more · Trainer R4: In My Memories 5-2New trainer: Hugh I McMahon had it last time, Anthony Farrior now. A 73 top number against a 71 par, so it fits the level.
EVEN PACE A stalking spot behind a contested lead is the useful one in this shape.WORKS Routine prep: 1 work in 30d, last 20d agoRECORD Jeiron Barbosa from post 5 here: 17 wins, 56 top-3 in 138 rides · 14% wins from all posts hereLast three races
Date Trk Dist Class Finish Fig Odds Eq Trip 9/18 LRL 5½f T MCL 16kc 5th/12 -3¾L 63 3.1-1 L 3-4w;shift out;evenly 8/1 CNL 1m T MCL 16k 4th/11 -1L 69 3.0-1 L Track2w;bid4w;hung lte 6/26 CNL 1m T MCL 16kc 7th/10 -4¼L 68 4.4-1 Shuffled rail;no punch 6Paynted By NancyJ. Ruiz · S. CooneyRuiz · CooneyC62 59 59►@trip 7315-1Fair 30-14%
► Steady62 59 59@trip 73CCard model 4% · Fair odds 30-1 · Our #15 · Tier C · Form ► Steady · Best fig at today's trip 73 (5 tries) · Last 3 figs 62 59 59
Jockey Jorge Ruiz 31% career 6-for-41 on turf this meet (15%) · Trainer Susan S Cooney 22% career 0-for-14 on turf this meet (0%)Also today · Jockey R1: Light De Night 5-1, R3: Quadra 4-1, R5: Souper Crunchy 9-2, R7: Grind It Out 20-1 +1 more0/7 board hereWinless in 6 starts at this distance. Still looking for the first win after 11 starts.
EVEN PACE A stalking spot behind a contested lead is the useful one in this shape.WORKS LIGHT Thin work schedule next to this field: 0 works in 30d, last one 69d agoRECORD Not on the board in 7 starts hereRECORD Jorge Ruiz from post 6 here: 12 wins, 32 top-3 in 56 rides · 19% wins from all posts hereLast three races
Date Trk Dist Class Finish Fig Odds Eq Trip 10/4 LRL 5½f D MCL 16k 5th/8 -5L 62 11-1 b L Chased; some run late 9/13 LRL 1m T MCL 16k 6th/9 -1L 59 7.9-1 b L Bobbled start;gave way 8/27 CNL 5½f T frMd16000 8th/11 -7½L 59 8.4-1 b L Mild rally 4 wide 7Forty Seven SmokerJ. Vargas · M. ShumanVargas · ShumanA68 63 69▲+5@trip 6912-1Fair 20-15%
▲ Up +568 63 69@trip 69ACard model 5% · Fair odds 20-1 · Our #8 · Tier A · Form ▲ Up +5 · Best fig at today's trip 69 (5 tries) · Last 3 figs 68 63 69
Jockey Jose E Vargas 29% career 3-for-26 on turf this meet (12%) · Trainer Mark Shuman 25% career 0-for-10 on turf this meet (0%)Also today · Jockey R1: Pinky Swear 20-1, R7: Time To Groove 4-1, R8: Tiz My Standards 30-1 · Trainer R1: Satisfied Mind 20-1, R9: Profound Change 9-5◆ NOTE · TRIP TROUBLE60D LAYOFF★ FASTEST WORK3/6 board hereGoes 5½ furlongs after running 4 furlongs last time. Comes off a dirt start and tries the turf here.
EVEN PACE Can sit just off the early fight and pick up whoever tires.TROUBLED TRIP Came out early; bumped last out; the speed figure already reflects it.WORKS SHARP Posted the morning's best 3F on Oct 24; 1 work in 30dRECORD 0 wins, 3 on the board from 6 starts hereRECORD Jose E Vargas from post 7 here: 7 wins, 21 top-3 in 36 rides · 17% wins from all posts hereLast three races
Date Trk Dist Class Finish Fig Odds Eq Trip 8/30 TIM 4f D MCL 12k 3rd/5 -3½L 68 2.3-1 b L Came out early;bumped 8/14 DEL -5f T MCL 16k 4th/7 63 2.6-1 b L Duel between foes 8/9 CNL 5½f T MCL 16k 5th/12 -5L 69 13-1 L Responded; kept on 8Adios MarilynC. Hargrove · A. RawlingsHargrove · RawlingsC67 52 42▲▲+20@trip 6715-1Fair 30-14%
▲▲ Big jump +20 · career best67 52 42@trip 67CCard model 4% · Fair odds 30-1 · Our #12 · Tier C · Form ▲▲ Big jump +20 · career best · Best fig at today's trip 67 (1 tries) · Last 3 figs 67 52 42
Jockey Camila Hargrove 14% career · Trainer Amanda Colleen Rawlings 14% career 0-for-3 on turf this meetAlso today · Jockey R1: Satisfied Mind 20-1, R5: Belts 'n Brooks 30-1, this race: For Keeps 12-1, R8: One Bad Habit 30-1 +1 moreCLASS UPDrops from maiden claiming $28,000 to maiden claiming $16,000. Figures are climbing: 42, 52, 67 over its last three.
PACE CHALLENGE Early speed in a crowded front end; somebody gets worn down. (early-speed points: 5)WORKS SHARP Active work pattern for this group, 1 work in 30d and the last 6d backLast three races
Date Trk Dist Class Finish Fig Odds Eq Trip 9/26 LRL 5½f T MCL 35k 7th/8 -2½L 67 32-1 L Rail;duel;gave way 8/20 PEN 5f D MCL 16k 5th/7 -1½L 52 26-1 L 3wd outs;prss;faded 7/23 CNL 5½f D MCL 16k 3rd/6 -8½L 42 19-1 L Rail;roused3/8;flatten 9Appealing GirlG. Ashton · F. BentleyAshton · BentleyA68 66 67►≡@trip 685-1Fair 10-19%
► Steady68 66 67 ≡@trip 68ACard model 9% · Fair odds 10-1 · Our #9 · Tier A · Form ► Steady · ≡ Steady figures 65–68 · Best fig at today's trip 68 (3 tries) · Last 3 figs 68 66 67
Jockey Gavin Ashton 25% career 0-for-13 on turf this meet (0%) · Trainer Fenneka Bentley 19% career 0-for-6 on turf this meetLASIX 1ST0/3 board hereLast out was 6th, 6 lengths behind the winner, in an 8-horse maiden race at LRL. Best recent figure of 68 sits right around the 71 par.
PACE CHALLENGE Has to fight for the lead against company, and the fractions may cost it late. (early-speed points: 3)WORKS Average work schedule for this field (1 work in 30d, last 9d ago)RECORD Not on the board in 3 starts hereLast three races
Date Trk Dist Class Finish Fig Odds Eq Trip 9/26 LRL 5½f T MCL 35k 6th/8 -6L 68 4.2-1 Rail turn;4w 1/8 9/18 LRL 5½f T MSW 6th/9 -7½L 66 46-1 Ins;eased out;empty 8/6 CNL 6f T frMdSpWt 5th/9 -2L 67 66-1 Ins-2w;wknd str 10Divine MousseK. Gomez · M. MeyersGomez · MeyersB46 78@trip 784-1Fair 7-113%
—46 78@trip 78B3Card model 13% · Fair odds 7-1 · Our #3 · Tier B · Best fig at today's trip 78 (1 tries) · Last 3 figs 46 78
Jockey Kevin Gomez 30% career 2-for-16 on turf this meet (12%) · Trainer Madison F Meyers 33% career 1-for-8 on turf this meet (12%)Owns the highest recent figure here at 78. A big drop, maiden claiming $35,000 to maiden claiming $16,000, and worth asking why.
EVEN PACE A stalking spot behind a contested lead is the useful one in this shape.WORKS LIGHT Few works lately, 1 work in 30d and the last 24 days agoLast three races
Date Trk Dist Class Finish Fig Odds Eq Trip 10/16 LRL 5½f D MCL 35k 4th/5 -13L 46 2.4-1 b L Inside turn; lack bid 9/26 LRL 5½f T MCL 35k 2nd/8 -1L 78 15-1 b L Bid btwn foes;game 11Take on the Jewels▼F. Boyce · C. KeilBoyce · KeilC63 636-1Fair 7-112%
—63 63C▼ Best fig 63 is 5+ under today's par 711Card model 12% · Fair odds 7-1 · Our #1 · Tier C · Last 3 figs 63 63
▼ Best fig 63 is 5+ under today's par 71Jockey Forest Boyce 32% career 5-for-33 on turf this meet (15%) · Trainer Caitlin Keil 23% career 0-for-4 on turf this meetAlso today · Jockey R3: Americandreammaker 9-2, R4: Madonna Of Loreto 9-5, R5: Lomax 20-1 · Trainer this race: Meredithslightning 10-1CLASS DROPSwitches from dirt to turf. Needs to move up: the best of its last five is 63 against a 71 par.
PACE HELPS Several horses want the lead, which is the early heat a closer is looking for.WORKS LIGHT Thin work schedule next to this field: 0 works in 30d, last one 61d agoRECORD Forest Boyce from post 11 here: 1 win, 12 top-3 in 39 rides · 15% wins from all posts hereLast three races
Date Trk Dist Class Finish Fig Odds Eq Trip 10/4 LRL 5½f D MCL 16k 3rd/8 -3L 63 3.8-1 b L Hit gate; late gain 9/7 TIM -6½f D MCL 25k 2nd/5 -8½L 63 12-1 b L Swung out 1/8;rally 12Baby Queen▼L. Briceno · M. SalazarBriceno · SalazarC43@trip 4330-1Fair 50-12%
—43@trip 43C▼ Best fig 43 is 5+ under today's par 71Card model 2% · Fair odds 50-1 · Our #14 · Tier C · Best fig at today's trip 43 (1 tries) · Last 3 figs 43
▼ Best fig 43 is 5+ under today's par 71Jockey Leandro M Briceno 28% career 3-for-25 on turf this meet (12%) · Trainer Marco Salazar 21% careerAlso today · Jockey R1: Curly Divining 12-1, R2: Engage At Will 15-1, R3: Skittliedat 30-1, R5: Alvy 10-1 +1 more60D LAYOFFBack after 111 days away; fitness is the question and the works are the evidence. Marco Salazar takes over the training from Eduardo Jr Azpurua.
PACE CHALLENGE Style isn't established yet, so how it fits this shape is open.WORKS SHARP One of the busier work schedules here: 1 work in 30d, last 6d agoLast three races
Date Trk Dist Class Finish Fig Odds Eq Trip 7/11 CNL 5½f T MSW 9th/9 -9½L 43 48-1 L Chased;rail; stopped 13Final MomentR. No · C. PayneNo · PayneC53 41 67►↕@trip 6730-1Fair 30-13%
► Steady53 41 67 ↕@trip 67CCard model 3% · Fair odds 30-1 · Our #11 · Tier C · Form ► Steady · ↕ Up-and-down figures 41–67 · Best fig at today's trip 67 (7 tries) · Last 3 figs 53 41 67
Maiden through 8 starts. Worked 4F in :48.00 on Aug 20, 2nd of 16 at the distance.
PACE CHALLENGE One of several that want the lead, so the early work will cost something. (early-speed points: 5)WORKS Average work schedule for this field (2 works in 30d, last 15d ago)RECORD 0 wins, 1 on the board from 4 starts hereLast three races
Date Trk Dist Class Finish Fig Odds Eq Trip 9/18 LRL 5½f T MCL 16k 11th/12 -5¾L 53 35-1 b L Inside stalking;faded 8/27 CNL 5½f T frMd16000 10th/11 -14L 41 24-1 b L Clip'd heels 1/2;faded 8/2 CNL 5½f T frMd16000 6th/7 67 14-1 L 2p-ins;2w uppr;wkn1/16 14For Keeps▲C. Hargrove · J. MaldonadoHargrove · MaldonadoC71 55 66▲▲+13@trip 5512-1Fair 20-15%
▲▲ Big jump +13 · career best71 55 66@trip 55C▲ Last fig 71 at/above par 71Card model 5% · Fair odds 20-1 · Our #7 · Tier C · Form ▲▲ Big jump +13 · career best · Best fig at today's trip 55 (1 tries) · Last 3 figs 71 55 66
▲ Last fig 71 at/above par 71Jockey Camila Hargrove 14% career · Trainer Jonathan Maldonado 25% career 0-for-10 on turf this meet (0%)Also today · Jockey R1: Satisfied Mind 20-1, R5: Belts 'n Brooks 30-1, this race: Adios Marilyn 15-1, R8: One Bad Habit 30-1 +1 more · Trainer R2: Happy Encounter 8-1, R5: Be Here 20-1Back to 5½ furlongs off a 1 1/16 miles race. 7th last time, 11 lengths back, in a field of 11.
PACE CHALLENGE One of several that want the lead, so the early work will cost something. (early-speed points: 0)TROUBLED TRIP Ran into trouble last out (Rail; steadily weakened), and the figure already reflects it.WORKS SHARP Fit-looking prep next to these rivals: 1 work in 30d, last 7d agoLast three races
Date Trk Dist Class Finish Fig Odds Eq Trip 10/10 LRL 1 1/16 T MCL 35k 7th/11 -11L 71 67-1 b L Rail;steadily weakened 9/5 CNL 1m T frMdSpWt 8th/8 -½L 55 26-1 b L Gave way when headed 8/15 CNL 1m T frMdSpWt 4th/6 -4L 66 21-1 b L 3-5p;6w uppr;no punch 15LouvarT. Kingsley · B. FoleyKingsley · FoleyB67 59 65▲+4≡@trip 7112-1Fair 12-18%
▲ Up +467 59 65 ≡@trip 71B2Card model 8% · Fair odds 12-1 · Our #2 · Tier B · Form ▲ Up +4 · ≡ Steady figures 59–67 · Best fig at today's trip 71 (5 tries) · Last 3 figs 67 59 65
Jockey Taylor Kingsley 21% career 0-for-22 on turf this meet (0%) · Trainer Barry Foley 30% career 0-for-5 on turf this meet0/3 board hereWas 10th of 11 at the first call last time. 0 for 7 at today's distance.
PACE HELPS Hot early fractions are likely, and that sets up a late run.WORKS LIGHT Light on works against these rivals (0 works in 30d, last 77d back)RECORD Not on the board in 3 starts hereLast three races
Date Trk Dist Class Finish Fig Odds Eq Trip 10/10 LRL 1 1/16 T MCL 35k 9th/11 -16L 67 38-1 L Slow start;4w;empty 9/18 LRL 5½f T MSW 8th/9 -10L 59 6.7-1 L Brk slow;4-6wd;empty 9/5 CNL 1m T frMdSpWt 3rd/8 -1¼L 65 12-1 L 3w rally show 16Don't Do It▼M. Rowland · M. GorhamRowland · GorhamC57 52 64▼-3@trip 4620-1Fair 30-14%
▼ Down -357 52 64@trip 46C▼ Best fig 65 is 5+ under today's par 71Card model 4% · Fair odds 30-1 · Our #10 · Tier C · Form ▼ Down -3 · Best fig at today's trip 46 (1 tries) · Last 3 figs 57 52 64
▼ Best fig 65 is 5+ under today's par 71Jockey Madeline Rowland 21% career 0-for-2 on turf this meet · Trainer Michael E Gorham 32% career 0-for-2 on turf this meetAlso today · Jockey R2: Shanghai Rose 6-1, R9: Bourbon N Lace 15-1 · Trainer R2: Shanghai Rose 6-1, R9: Bourbon N Lace 15-10/4 board hereMoves up from maiden claiming $10,000 to maiden claiming $16,000. Maiden through 9 starts.
PACE CHALLENGE Early speed in a crowded front end; somebody gets worn down. (early-speed points: 3)TROUBLED TRIP Ran into trouble last out (Bobble brk; held 2nd), and the figure already reflects it.WORKS LIGHT Light on works against these rivals (0 works in 30d, last 170d back)RECORD Not on the board in 4 starts hereLast three races
Date Trk Dist Class Finish Fig Odds Eq Trip 10/2 MED 5f T MCL 10k 2nd/8 -3L 57 4.6-1 b L Bobble brk; held 2nd 9/13 LRL 1m T MCL 16k 8th/9 -6¼L 52 28-1 L Stalked; gave way 8/15 DEL -8½f T MCL 16k 6th/9 -5L 64 14-1 L 2wd; gave way;
▲ / ▼ angle for / against · ★ best figure at the trip · LS longshot read · 1 2 3 = our top three · A B C tiers · ▲ ► ▼ form · ≡ ↕ steady / up-and-down. Tap a row for its notes, a name for the horse's page. Analysis only. Pace: fast and contested (9 early types). Helps stalkers and closers.
How to read these marks
- 1 2 3
- Our top three by the card model's win chance. Tap “Our order” to sort by it.
- Win %, Fair
- The card model's chance to win, and the odds that chance works out to with no takeout. Fair is green when the model rates the horse above its morning line (the line scaled to add up to 100%).
- Tier A B C ?
- The field ranked on recent speed figures and the morning line together: A = top three, B = next three, C = the rest, ? = no figures yet.
- 71 60 72
- Last three speed figures, newest first. “@trip 75” = best figure at today's distance (within 30 yards) on this surface.
- ▲▲ ▲ ► ▼ ▼▼
- Form: last figure against the average of the three before it. ▲ = up 3 or more, ▲▲ = up 8 or more, ► = within 3, ▼ / ▼▼ = down. The number is the difference.
- ≡ ↕
- ≡ steady: the last four figures sit close together. ↕ up-and-down: they swing widely.
- ★
- Best figure in the field at today's distance and surface, from two or more tries, not tied. When that horse isn't in our top three it gets a “Distance horse” note above the field.
- ▲ ▼ chips
- Handicapping angles for or against the horse. LS = longshot read: 8-1 or more on the morning line and the model rates it higher than that line.
These marks describe the past performances. None of them is proven to beat the odds: in our test of 100 handicapping angles, nothing did better than the final odds, and the morning-line favourite wins more races than our top-ranked horse. Read them as notes, not as a reason to bet.
Race conditions and our readpace, conditions, story
LAUREL PARK · RACE 6
UPCOMINGMaiden Claiming $16,000
Maiden Claiming, for fillies and mares, 3-year-olds and up.
Maiden claiming — for horses that have never won, and every starter is also for sale at the claiming price. Typically the easiest class of race.
● Track record at 5 1/2 Furlongs: 60.63
The shape is the story here: 6 confirmed front-runners should pressure each other early, which tilts the race toward stalkers and closers who can pick up the pieces late.
Our number tops on #11 Take On The Jewels (a closer, M/L 6-1). Recent figures: 63 · 63. It hit the board last time and stays in form. Backup is #15 Louvar at 12-1. Use #10 Divine Mousse in exotic structures.
What would change our mind: a key scratch that reshapes the early pace, a sharp turf-to-dirt or surface switch off the rail, or live money showing up on a horse the board had dismissed. Watch the tote late.
At a glance: model vs the morning line
At a glance
- Market favourite #5 IT'S FINE (7-2) — our number has it ranked #4.
- #5 IT'S FINE — our #4 number, about right at the windows (14.1% to their 14.7%).
- #10 DIVINE MOUSSE — our #3 number, about right at the windows (13.1% to their 13.2%).
- #9 APPEALING GIRL — our #9 number, about right at the windows (10.3% to their 11.0%).
Model vs the morning line
- Longshot the model rates above its line: #15 LOUVAR (12-1) — our fair 5.9% is above the morning line's 5.1%; supported by: 4-way speed duel up front — meltdown sets up the closer
Pacewho goes to the front
Pace
Speed Duel. Three or more early-speed types. Fast pace, hot fractions — closers benefit.
Likely leader: #8 Adios Marilyn; pressure from #2 Hail No, #13 Final Moment; the shape helps #4 Gotta Be Da Shoes, #11 Take On The Jewels, #15 Louvar; and works against #2 Hail No, #3 Allaboutsassy, #8 Adios Marilyn.
Number = last-race early-pace figure. Green border = the shape helps; red = it works against.
Early speed and closing figures, horse by horse
Early Pace · E1 figure · front runners
Closing Kick · late-pace figure
Bet types offeredwager menu
Bet types
Wagers offered on this race.
EXACTA; TRIFECTA & DAILY DOUBLE (RACES 6-7) / 10 CENT SUPERFECTA
50 CENT PICK 3 (RACES 6-7-8) / 50 CENT PICK 5 (RACES 6-7-8-9-10)
BET OPTIONS
WinPlaceShowExactaTrifectaSuperfecta