R5 Laurel Park · Optional Claiming $12,500

2:20 PM ET · 1 Mile Turf · $24,000 · 16 runners2:20 PM · 1m Turf · 16 runners

Upcoming $24K · Optional Claiming $12,500

Card modelCard model Wide openFormLast 3 figsTier · angles

1Alvy▼L. Briceno · W. BailesBriceno · BailesB76 95 86▼▼-1110-1Fair 15-16%▼▼ Big drop -1176 95 86B▼ Age 5+ at a price, figures fall as the distance rises

Card model 6% · Fair odds 15-1 · Our #6 · Tier B · Form ▼▼ Big drop -11 · Last 3 figs 76 95 86

▼ Age 5+ at a price, figures fall as the distance rises

Jockey Leandro M Briceno 28% career 3-for-25 on turf this meet (12%) · Trainer W Robert Bailes 32% career ★ 5-for-20 on turf this meet (25%)

Also today · Jockey R1: Curly Divining 12-1, R2: Engage At Will 15-1, R3: Skittliedat 30-1, this race: Claudee Boy 30-1 +1 more · Trainer R1: Pinky Swear 20-1, this race: El De Larry 8-5, R7: Prince Of Peace 5-2

★ FASTEST WORK

Switches from dirt to turf. Best Brisnet figure in the field over its last five: 95, with 89 next best.

EVEN PACE Lands behind the duel without having to be part of it.

WORKS SHARP 6f in 1:15.00 on Sep 26 was the best time at that distance that morning; 1 work in 30d

RECORD 1 win, 2 on the board from 8 starts here

Last three races

Date	Trk	Dist	Class	Finish	Fig	Odds	Eq	Trip
10/4	LRL	1m D	OC 12k	6th/7 -8L	76	2.4-1	b L	Saved ground; no rally
1/16	LRL	1 1/16 D	OC 12k	DNF	—	1.5-1	b L	Bmp;pull up;walk off
12/14	LRL	1 1/16 D	Clm 7k c	Won/7	95	1.1-1	b L	3-2wd turns;driving

2Slippin JimmyJ. Briceno · S. WhiteBriceno · WhiteC70 80 72▼-7@trip 7915-1Fair 30-14%▼ Down -770 80 72@trip 79C

Card model 4% · Fair odds 30-1 · Our #11 · Tier C · Form ▼ Down -7 · Best fig at today's trip 79 (2 tries) · Last 3 figs 70 80 72

Jockey Jean Gregor Briceno 28% career 1-for-16 on turf this meet (6%) · Trainer Sarah White 22% career 1-for-13 on turf this meet (8%)

Also today · Jockey R1: Lucky Lis 30-1, R8: Benevolent 30-1

A step up in company: optional claiming before, optional claiming today. Stretches out from 5½ furlongs to a mile.

EVEN PACE Lands behind the duel without having to be part of it.

TROUBLED TRIP Ran into trouble last out (Circled 7wd; faltered), and the figure already reflects it.

WORKS LIGHT Few works lately, 0 works in 30d and the last 35 days ago

RECORD Jean Gregor Briceno from post 2 here: 7 wins, 33 top-3 in 122 rides · 10% wins from all posts here

Last three races

Date	Trk	Dist	Class	Finish	Fig	Odds	Eq	Trip
10/2	LRL	5½f T	OC 12k	7th/10 -4¾L	70	6.7-1	b L	Circled 7wd; faltered
9/5	CNL	5½f T	Clm 10k	Won/10 by 3¼	80	14-1	b L	Angled4w1/4;late burst
8/21	CNL	5½f T	Clm 10k	3rd/9 -2½L	72	2.8-1	b L	Stalked;4w turn;evenly

3Drilling For GoldS. Russell · B. RussellRussell · RussellB69 82 76▼▼-12@trip 822-1Fair 9-218%▼▼ Big drop -1269 82 76@trip 82B2

Card model 18% · Fair odds 9-2 · Our #2 · Tier B · Form ▼▼ Big drop -12 · Best fig at today's trip 82 (4 tries) · Last 3 figs 69 82 76

Jockey Sheldon Russell 39% career ★ 7-for-17 on turf this meet (41%), #1 of 30 · Trainer Brittany T Russell 43% career ★ 11-for-27 on turf this meet (41%), #1 of 27 ★ hot

Also today · Jockey R3: Diva Ready 5-1, R7: Harewood 9-2, R8: High Anxiety 2-1 · Trainer R7: Harewood 9-2, R8: High Anxiety 2-1

60D LAYOFF2/3 board here

8th last time, 10 lengths back, in a field of 10. A big drop, allowance to optional claiming, and worth asking why.

PACE CHALLENGE One of several that want the lead, so the early work will cost something. (early-speed points: 4)

WORKS SHARP Active work pattern for this group, 2 works in 30d and the last 7d back

RECORD 1 win, 2 on the board from 3 starts here

RECORD Sheldon Russell from post 3 here: 31 wins, 66 top-3 in 114 rides · 23% wins from all posts here

Last three races

Date	Trk	Dist	Class	Finish	Fig	Odds	Eq	Trip
8/13	CNL	1m T	Alw n1x	8th/10 -10L	69	4.7-1	b L	Tracked 4 wide; tired
6/12	LRL	1m T	Alw n1x	2nd/7	82	3.2-1	L	Rail; out finished
4/19	LRL	1 1/16 T	Alw n1x	5th/12 -5¾L	76	2.6-1	L	Pinch start;7w upper

4Souper CrunchyJ. Ruiz · M. TrombettaRuiz · TrombettaA71 77 89▼▼-9@trip 899-2Fair 8-111%▼▼ Big drop -971 77 89@trip 89A

Card model 11% · Fair odds 8-1 · Our #4 · Tier A · Form ▼▼ Big drop -9 · Best fig at today's trip 89 (1 tries) · Last 3 figs 71 77 89

Jockey Jorge Ruiz 31% career 6-for-41 on turf this meet (15%) · Trainer Michael J Trombetta 33% career 3-for-34 on turf this meet (9%)

Also today · Jockey R1: Light De Night 5-1, R3: Quadra 4-1, R6: Paynted By Nancy 15-1, R7: Grind It Out 20-1 +1 more · Trainer R1: Queen Of Wands 2-1, R3: Quadra 4-1

3 WORKS IN 30 DAYS

Trending the wrong way on speed, 89 to 77 to 71. Has run 89 against a 81 par for the class.

EVEN PACE Lands behind the duel without having to be part of it.

WORKS SHARP Fit-looking prep next to these rivals: 3 works in 30d, last 4d ago

RECORD Jorge Ruiz from post 4 here: 8 wins, 33 top-3 in 65 rides · 19% wins from all posts here

Last three races

Date	Trk	Dist	Class	Finish	Fig	Odds	Eq	Trip
9/25	MED	1 1/16 T	Clm 25k n4l	3rd/7 by hd	71	0.9-1	b L	Pressed; bid; dug in
9/10	DEL	1⅛m T	OC 16k	Won/9 by ½	77	1.0-1	b L	Angled out; willingly
8/20	CNL	1m T	Clm 16k b	2nd/12 by hd	89	2.0-1	b L	Insd;shift5-6w;2nd bst

5Fan ClubC. Lopez · E. GeralisLopez · GeralisA79 79 69▲+48-1Fair 20-15%▲ Up +479 79 69A

Card model 5% · Fair odds 20-1 · Our #13 · Tier A · Form ▲ Up +4 · Last 3 figs 79 79 69

Jockey Carlos Eduardo Lopez 36% career 2-for-33 on turf this meet (6%) · Trainer Emanuel J Geralis 28% career 2-for-8 on turf this meet (25%)

Also today · Jockey R1: Crab Mentality 10-1, R2: Her Decision 12-1, R6: Gotta Be Da Shoes 20-1, R9: Kentucky Mule 5-1 +1 more

CLASS UP9/13 board here

Comes off a dirt start and tries the turf here. 2nd of 19 at 4F on Aug 19, in :49.00.

PACE HELPS The front end should be a fight, and this one gets to wait on it.

WORKS Steady, unremarkable work pattern: 1 work in 30d, last 7d back

RECORD 4 wins, 9 on the board from 13 starts here

RECORD Carlos Eduardo Lopez from post 5 here: 11 wins, 49 top-3 in 105 rides · 12% wins from all posts here

Last three races

Date	Trk	Dist	Class	Finish	Fig	Odds	Eq	Trip
9/26	LRL	1m D	Clm 12k b	2nd/7 -8L	79	0.9-1	b L	2wd btw;easd out;wllng
9/13	LRL	1 1/16 D	Clm 7k bc	Won/8	79	3.1-1	b L	Bid 3-deep;duel;drvng
8/29	TIM	1m D	Clm 8k	2nd/6	69	2.3-1	b L	Split 3/8;outs bid;gme

6El De Larry▲▲M. Sanchez · W. BailesSanchez · BailesA86 83 74▲+6@trip 838-5Fair 7-222%▲ Up +686 83 74@trip 83A▲ Last fig 86 at/above par 81▲ Lone speed on early pace1

Card model 22% · Fair odds 7-2 · Our #1 · Tier A · Form ▲ Up +6 · Best fig at today's trip 83 (1 tries) · Last 3 figs 86 83 74

▲ Last fig 86 at/above par 81▲ Lone speed on early pace

Jockey Mychel J Sanchez 37% career 7-for-49 on turf this meet (14%) · Trainer W Robert Bailes 32% career ★ 5-for-20 on turf this meet (25%) ★ hot

Also today · Jockey R3: Sticker Shocked 15-1, R4: Mila Candy 8-1, R8: Linette 10-1 · Trainer R1: Pinky Swear 20-1, this race: Alvy 10-1, R7: Prince Of Peace 5-2

CLASS DROP★ FASTEST WORKWON LAST4/6 board here

Won last out in a 6-horse optional claiming race at LRL. Figure of 88 on the record sits above the 81 par.

PACE CHALLENGE Early speed in a crowded front end; somebody gets worn down. (early-speed points: 6)

WORKS SHARP 4f in :49.20 on Sep 11 was the best time at that distance that morning; 1 work in 30d

RECORD 2 wins, 4 on the board from 6 starts here

RECORD Mychel J Sanchez from post 6 here: 14 wins, 52 top-3 in 119 rides · 16% wins from all posts here

Last three races

Date	Trk	Dist	Class	Finish	Fig	Odds	Eq	Trip
10/4	LRL	1m D	OC 12k	Won/6	86	0.5-1	b L	Pace;roused;opened up
8/14	CNL	1 1/16 T	OC 16k	6th/9 -3¼L	83	15-1	b L	Bmpd st;bid2w;faded
7/18	SAR	1m D	sOC45000n2x	4th/7 -5L	74	4.3-1	b L	Bobbled st; tired

7Claudee Boy▼L. Briceno · H. ElamriBriceno · ElamriC68 75 75▼-7≡@trip 7330-1Fair 30-13%▼ Down -768 75 75 ≡@trip 73C▼ Best fig 75 is 5+ under today's par 81

Card model 3% · Fair odds 30-1 · Our #8 · Tier C · Form ▼ Down -7 · ≡ Steady figures 68–75 · Best fig at today's trip 73 (1 tries) · Last 3 figs 68 75 75

▼ Best fig 75 is 5+ under today's par 81

Jockey Leandro M Briceno 28% career 3-for-25 on turf this meet (12%) · Trainer Hassan Elamri 24% career 0-for-6 on turf this meet

Also today · Jockey R1: Curly Divining 12-1, R2: Engage At Will 15-1, R3: Skittliedat 30-1, this race: Alvy 10-1 +1 more

A longer trip: 5½ furlongs last out, a mile today. Was 10th of 10 at the first call last time.

PACE HELPS Hot early fractions are likely, and that sets up a late run.

TROUBLED TRIP Ran into trouble last out (Reared; broke outward), and the figure already reflects it.

WORKS Routine prep: 1 work in 30d, last 16d ago

RECORD 0 wins, 3 on the board from 10 starts here

Last three races

Date	Trk	Dist	Class	Finish	Fig	Odds	Eq	Trip
10/2	LRL	5½f T	OC 12k	9th/10 -5¾L	68	19-1	b L	Reared; broke outward
9/11	LRL	5½f T	OC 12k	6th/7 -3¼L	75	5.4-1	b L	Checked 3-1/2
6/21	LRL	5½f T	OC 12k	2nd/8 -3¼L	75	16-1	b L	Ins;angled;game btw

8Mister WoodfordW. Corujo · E. CarpioCorujo · CarpioC78 72 64▲▲+12@trip 7820-1Fair 30-13%▲▲ Big jump +12 · career best78 72 64@trip 78C

Card model 3% · Fair odds 30-1 · Our #10 · Tier C · Form ▲▲ Big jump +12 · career best · Best fig at today's trip 78 (5 tries) · Last 3 figs 78 72 64

Jockey Wilfredo Corujo 22% career 0-for-4 on turf this meet · Trainer Erin Carpio 18% career

Also today · Jockey R2: Happy Encounter 8-1

Has won 2 of 5 going today's distance. Figures are climbing: 64, 72, 78 over its last three.

EVEN PACE A stalking spot behind a contested lead is the useful one in this shape.

WORKS Routine prep: 1 work in 30d, last 7d ago

Last three races

Date	Trk	Dist	Class	Finish	Fig	Odds	Eq	Trip
10/9	DEL	1m T	OC 16k	3rd/11 by hd	78	44-1	b	Drifted out; held 3rd
9/4	PEN	1m T	OC 16k	5th/8 -1½L	72	8.5-1	b	Even 5/16ths; empty
8/14	PEN	1 1/16 T	PAGovCup150k	6th/6 -9½L	64	48-1	b	Stalk 3-2w;tired

9LomaxF. Boyce · T. WyattBoyce · WyattC72 69 67►≡@trip 6720-1Fair 30-14%► Steady72 69 67 ≡@trip 67C

Card model 4% · Fair odds 30-1 · Our #7 · Tier C · Form ► Steady · ≡ Steady figures 67–76 · Best fig at today's trip 67 (1 tries) · Last 3 figs 72 69 67

Jockey Forest Boyce 32% career 5-for-33 on turf this meet (15%) · Trainer Todd J Wyatt 16% career 0-for-1 on turf this meet

Also today · Jockey R3: Americandreammaker 9-2, R4: Madonna Of Loreto 9-5, R6: Take On The Jewels 6-1

WON LAST

Changes barns, from Jonathan Maldonado to Todd J Wyatt. Moves up from $5,000 claiming to optional claiming.

PACE HELPS The front end should be a fight, and this one gets to wait on it.

WORKS SHARP One of the busier work schedules here: 1 work in 30d, last 5d ago

RECORD Forest Boyce from post 9 here: 5 wins, 19 top-3 in 54 rides · 15% wins from all posts here

Last three races

Date	Trk	Dist	Class	Finish	Fig	Odds	Eq	Trip
9/5	TIM	1m D	Clm 5k bc	Won/5 by 3	72	5.2-1	b L	3-4wd far turn;driving
8/29	TIM	1m D	Clm 5k n2l	Won/5 by 2	69	1.5-1	b L	Off duel;shift 4w;drvg
8/7	CNL	1m T	Clm 16k n2l	4th/9 -5L	67	23-1	b L	3w;5w1/4;angld in 1/16

10Mo RewardsM. Chuan · J. NessChuan · NessB75 82 75▼-4≡@trip 798-1Fair 15-16%▼ Down -475 82 75 ≡@trip 79B

Card model 6% · Fair odds 15-1 · Our #9 · Tier B · Form ▼ Down -4 · ≡ Steady figures 75–82 · Best fig at today's trip 79 (2 tries) · Last 3 figs 75 82 75

Jockey Martin Chuan 37% career 0-for-11 on turf this meet (0%) · Trainer Jamie Ness 41% career ★ 6-for-27 on turf this meet (22%) ★ hot

Also today · Jockey R1: Ballykeefe 10-1, R3: Costa Amalfitana 10-1, R8: Amazing Gracer 3-1, R9: Profound Change 9-5 +1 more · Trainer R3: Costa Amalfitana 10-1, R4: Mila Candy 8-1, R8: Amazing Gracer 3-1

★ FASTEST WORK

Last race was on the dirt; today it runs on the turf. Carries 119 pounds, 4 less than last time.

EVEN PACE Can sit just off the early fight and pick up whoever tires.

WORKS LIGHT Few works lately, 0 works in 30d and the last 89 days ago

RECORD Martin Chuan from post 10 here: 1 win, 3 top-3 in 16 rides · 13% wins from all posts here

Last three races

Date	Trk	Dist	Class	Finish	Fig	Odds	Eq	Trip
10/4	LRL	1m D	OC 12k	5th/6 -5L	75	2.3-1	b L	Bid btwn; outfinished
9/12	DEL	1 1/16 T	Clm 10k	2nd/12 by nk	82	3.8-1	b L	Came out;bid;vied;game
8/29	CNL	1 1/16 T	Clm 10k	5th/7 -4L	75	2.8-1	b L	Shuffled bit7/16;empty

11Prince KhozanB. Scampton · E. McCueScampton · McCueC76 73 65▲▲+8@trip 7530-1Fair 50-12%▲▲ Big jump +876 73 65@trip 75C
Card model 2% · Fair odds 50-1 · Our #14 · Tier C · Form ▲▲ Big jump +8 · Best fig at today's trip 75 (1 tries) · Last 3 figs 76 73 65
Jockey Brittany Scampton 14% career 1-for-6 on turf this meet · Trainer Elizabeth McCue 0-for-2 on turf this meet
Figures are climbing: 65, 73, 76 over its last three. Picks up 7 pounds from its last start.
PACE CHALLENGE Has to fight for the lead against company, and the fractions may cost it late. (early-speed points: 6)
WORKS LIGHT Few works lately, 0 works in 30d and the last 89 days ago
RECORD 0 wins, 3 on the board from 13 starts here
Last three races
Date Trk Dist Class Finish Fig Odds Eq Trip
10/4 LRL 1m D OC 12k 3rd/6 -5L 76 30-1 b L Off slow; pressed
9/15 PID 1 1/16 D Clm 8k b 4th/8 -5L 73 54-1 b L Tracked; no bid
8/25 PID 6½f D Clm 6k b 4th/6 -2¼L 65 13-1 b L Mild late rally

Date	Trk	Dist	Class	Finish	Fig	Odds	Eq	Trip
10/4	LRL	1m D	OC 12k	3rd/6 -5L	76	30-1	b L	Off slow; pressed
9/15	PID	1 1/16 D	Clm 8k b	4th/8 -5L	73	54-1	b L	Tracked; no bid
8/25	PID	6½f D	Clm 6k b	4th/6 -2¼L	65	13-1	b L	Mild late rally

12Belts 'n Brooks▼C. Hargrove · R. RichardsHargrove · RichardsC70 67 70►≡30-1Fair 50-12%► Steady70 67 70 ≡C▼ Best fig 73 is 5+ under today's par 81

Card model 2% · Fair odds 50-1 · Our #16 · Tier C · Form ► Steady · ≡ Steady figures 67–70 · Last 3 figs 70 67 70

▼ Best fig 73 is 5+ under today's par 81

Jockey Camila Hargrove 14% career · Trainer Renaldo Richards 25% career 0-for-2 on turf this meet

Also today · Jockey R1: Satisfied Mind 20-1, R6: Adios Marilyn 15-1, R6: For Keeps 12-1, R8: One Bad Habit 30-1 +1 more · Trainer R10: Norfie 10-1

★ FASTEST WORK

Raises its level, $7,500 claiming last time and optional claiming now. Posted the fastest 3F work of the morning on Oct 2, in :35.60.

EVEN PACE Lands behind the duel without having to be part of it.

WORKS SHARP 3f in :35.60 on Oct 2 was the best time at that distance that morning; 1 work in 30d

Last three races

Date	Trk	Dist	Class	Finish	Fig	Odds	Eq	Trip
10/17	DEL	1m D	Clm 7k	10th/10 -5½L	70	74-1	L	Dropped back;off rail
10/10	DEL	6f D	Clm 8k	7th/7 -2½L	67	43-1	L	3-w turn;lacked bid
9/6	TIM	1m D	Clm 5k b	Won/4	70	1.4-1	L	Duel outside foe;drvng

13Kitten's PloyR. Rodriguez · J. RamirezRodriguez · RamirezC68 64 74▲+3@trip 7430-1Fair 50-12%▲ Up +368 64 74@trip 74C

Card model 2% · Fair odds 50-1 · Our #12 · Tier C · Form ▲ Up +3 · Best fig at today's trip 74 (2 tries) · Last 3 figs 68 64 74

Jockey Ronaldo Rodriguez 34% career 1-for-9 on turf this meet (11%) · Trainer Jose A Ramirez 32% career 0-for-1 on turf this meet ★ hot

Also today · Jockey R6: Meredithslightning 10-1, R10: Prom Knight 6-1

CLASS UP

Winless in 7 starts at this distance. Dropped in well back early last out, 10th of 11 at the first call.

EVEN PACE Lands behind the duel without having to be part of it.

WORKS LIGHT Few works lately, 0 works in 30d and the last 62 days ago

Last three races

Date	Trk	Dist	Class	Finish	Fig	Odds	Eq	Trip
10/9	DEL	1m T	OC 16k	8th/11 -8¾L	68	61-1	b L	Inside; no factor
9/19	DEL	1 1/16 T	OC 20k	8th/9 -13L	64	31-1	b L	Drifted out; faded
9/4	PEN	1m T	OC 16k	2nd/8 -2½L	74	12-1	b L	Came out st; 5wd bid

14Street RockinJ. Rocco Jr. · R. WernethRocco Jr. · WernethC68 57 72►↕@trip 7820-1Fair 50-12%► Steady68 57 72 ↕@trip 78C

Card model 2% · Fair odds 50-1 · Our #15 · Tier C · Form ► Steady · ↕ Up-and-down figures 57–80 · Best fig at today's trip 78 (3 tries) · Last 3 figs 68 57 72

Jockey J S Jr Rocco 2-for-19 on turf this meet (11%) · Trainer Robert A Werneth 20% career

◆ NOTE · TRIP TROUBLE

Worked 3F in :37.40 on Jun 5, 3rd of 7 at the distance. Dropped in well back early last out, 9th of 9 at the first call.

EVEN PACE A stalking spot behind a contested lead is the useful one in this shape.

TROUBLED TRIP Chart note from last time: Bumped start; inside. A trip worth forgiving, though the number already carries it.

WORKS LIGHT Few works lately, 1 work in 30d and the last 30 days ago

Last three races

Date	Trk	Dist	Class	Finish	Fig	Odds	Eq	Trip
10/10	MED	1m T	Clm 12k	7th/9 -4¾L	68	51-1	L	Bumped start; inside
10/2	DEL	5f D	Clm 12k	8th/8 -12L	57	12-1	L	3-5w turn;no response
7/19	CNL	1 1/16 T	OC 16k	8th/10 -10L	72	26-1	L	Inside; no threat

15TallahatchiebridgeY. Ramos · B. KravetsRamos · KravetsC71 67 67►@trip 7520-1Fair 15-16%► Steady71 67 67@trip 75C3

Card model 6% · Fair odds 15-1 · Our #3 · Tier C · Form ► Steady · Best fig at today's trip 75 (3 tries) · Last 3 figs 71 67 67

Jockey Yabriel O Ramos 34% career 0-for-1 on turf this meet · Trainer Bruce M Kravets 27% career 0-for-2 on turf this meet

CLASS DROP

Gets a new rider, Yabriel O Ramos replacing Pascacio Lopez. A step up in company: $5,000 claiming before, optional claiming today.

PACE HELPS Several horses want the lead, which is the early heat a closer is looking for.

WORKS LIGHT Few works lately, 0 works in 30d and the last 107 days ago

Last three races

Date	Trk	Dist	Class	Finish	Fig	Odds	Eq	Trip
10/9	MED	1 1/16 T	Clm 5k b	2nd/7 -3L	71	5.5-1	L	Willingly outside
9/12	DEL	1 1/16 T	Clm 10k	10th/12 -7L	67	34-1	L	Off slow;impeded start
9/4	PEN	1m T	Clm 10k	3rd/8 -11L	67	2.6-1	L	5wd bid; late interest

16Be HereLSR. No · J. MaldonadoNo · MaldonadoC59 62 81▼▼-14↕20-1Fair 20-15%▼▼ Big drop -1459 62 81 ↕CLS

Card model 5% · Fair odds 20-1 · Our #5 · Tier C · Form ▼▼ Big drop -14 · ↕ Up-and-down figures 59–81 · Last 3 figs 59 62 81

Longshot read: 20-1 on the morning line, and the model has it at 5% against a line of 3%. A read, not a bet.

Jockey Rider No · Trainer Jonathan Maldonado 25% career 0-for-10 on turf this meet (0%)

Also today · Jockey R6: Final Moment 30-1 · Trainer R2: Happy Encounter 8-1, R6: For Keeps 12-1

Last out was 4th, 14 lengths behind the winner, in a 4-horse $12,500 claiming race at DEL. Comes off a dirt start and tries the turf here.

PACE HELPS The front end should be a fight, and this one gets to wait on it.

TROUBLED TRIP Ran into trouble last out (Brief foot 5wd; faded), and the figure already reflects it.

WORKS SHARP Active work pattern for this group, 1 work in 30d and the last 5d back

Last three races

Date	Trk	Dist	Class	Finish	Fig	Odds	Eq	Trip
9/30	DEL	1m D	Clm 12k	4th/4 -14L	59	5.8-1	b L	Brief foot 5wd; faded
8/29	CNL	7½f D	Clm 10k b	5th/8 -13L	62	3.7-1	b L	Off slow; improved
8/14	CNL	1 1/16 T	OC 16k	7th/9 -7¾L	81	40-1	b L	Ins;3-5p far; no rally

▲ / ▼ angle for / against · ★ best figure at the trip · LS longshot read · 1 2 3 = our top three · A B C tiers · ▲ ► ▼ form · ≡ ↕ steady / up-and-down. Tap a row for its notes, a name for the horse's page. Analysis only. Pace: fast and contested (10 early types). Helps stalkers and closers.

How to read these marks

1 2 3: Our top three by the card model's win chance. Tap “Our order” to sort by it.
Win %, Fair: The card model's chance to win, and the odds that chance works out to with no takeout. Fair is green when the model rates the horse above its morning line (the line scaled to add up to 100%).
Tier A B C ?: The field ranked on recent speed figures and the morning line together: A = top three, B = next three, C = the rest, ? = no figures yet.
71 60 72: Last three speed figures, newest first. “@trip 75” = best figure at today's distance (within 30 yards) on this surface.
▲▲ ▲ ► ▼ ▼▼: Form: last figure against the average of the three before it. ▲ = up 3 or more, ▲▲ = up 8 or more, ► = within 3, ▼ / ▼▼ = down. The number is the difference.
≡ ↕: ≡ steady: the last four figures sit close together. ↕ up-and-down: they swing widely.
★: Best figure in the field at today's distance and surface, from two or more tries, not tied. When that horse isn't in our top three it gets a “Distance horse” note above the field.
▲ ▼ chips: Handicapping angles for or against the horse. LS = longshot read: 8-1 or more on the morning line and the model rates it higher than that line.

These marks describe the past performances. None of them is proven to beat the odds: in our test of 100 handicapping angles, nothing did better than the final odds, and the morning-line favourite wins more races than our top-ranked horse. Read them as notes, not as a reason to bet.

Race conditions and our readpace, conditions, story

LAUREL PARK · RACE 5

UPCOMING

Optional Claiming $12,500

Field

16 runners

Purse

$24,000

Post

2:20 PM ET

Pace

Speed Duel

Card model top pick

#6 · 22%

Claiming $12,500, for 3-year-olds and up.

Claiming race — every starter can be bought for the claiming price out of the race, so owners risk losing a horse that's clearly best. That keeps the field evenly matched on ability.

● Track record at 1 Mile: 93.3

The shape is the story here: 3 confirmed front-runners should pressure each other early, which tilts the race toward stalkers and closers who can pick up the pieces late.

Our number tops on #6 El De Larry (early speed, M/L 8-5). Recent figures: 86 · 83 · 74. It exits a win and is clearly doing well. Backup is #3 Drilling For Gold at 2-1. Use #15 Tallahatchiebridge in exotic structures.

What would change our mind: a key scratch that reshapes the early pace, a sharp turf-to-dirt or surface switch off the rail, or live money showing up on a horse the board had dismissed. Watch the tote late.

At a glance: model vs the morning line

At a glance

Market favourite #6 EL DE LARRY (8-5) — our number agrees.
#6 EL DE LARRY — our top number on the card, about right at the windows (22.9% to their 23.4%).
#3 DRILLING FOR GOLD — our #2 number, about right at the windows (20.9% to their 20.3%).
#4 SOUPER CRUNCHY — our #4 number, about right at the windows (10.8% to their 11.1%).

Model vs the morning line · analysis, not advice

Longshot the model rates above its line: #15 TALLAHATCHIEBRIDGE (20-1) — our fair 3.7% is above the morning line's 2.9%; supported by: 8-way speed duel up front — meltdown sets up the closer

Pacewho goes to the front

Pace

Speed Duel. Three or more early-speed types. Fast pace, hot fractions — closers benefit.

Likely leader: #6 El De Larry; pressure from #3 Drilling For Gold, #11 Prince Khozan; the shape helps #5 Fan Club, #7 Claudee Boy, #9 Lomax; and works against #3 Drilling For Gold, #6 El De Larry, #11 Prince Khozan.

Lead

6El De Larry863Drilling For Gold8311Prince Khozan81

Press

2Slippin Jimmy8610Mo Rewards828Mister Woodford814Souper Crunchy7812Belts 'n Brooks761Alvy7214Street Rockin67

Stalk

13Kitten's Ploy74

7Claudee Boy755Fan Club7116Be Here709Lomax6815Tallahatchiebridge68

Number = last-race early-pace figure. Green border = the shape helps; red = it works against.

Early speed and closing figures, horse by horse

Early Pace · E1 figure · front runners

Slippin Jimmy

El De Larry

Drilling For Gold

Mo Rewards

Mister Woodford

Prince Khozan

Souper Crunchy

Belts 'n Brooks

Kitten's Ploy

Alvy

Street Rockin

Closing Kick · late-pace figure

Fan Club

Lomax

Claudee Boy

Be Here

Tallahatchiebridge

Bet types offeredwager menu

Bet types

Wagers offered on this race.

EXACTA; TRIFECTA & DAILY DOUBLE (RACES 5-6) / 10 CENT SUPERFECTA

50 CENT PICK 3 (RACES 5-6-7) / 20 CENT CHESAPEAKE PICK 6 (RACES 5-6-7-8-9-10)

TBredIQ shows analysis only. We don’t build tickets or suggest amounts.

BET OPTIONS

WinPlaceShowExactaTrifectaSuperfecta

Wagers offered on this race — analysis only, no stake sizing.