Our top three by win chance, with the morning line beside each horse. Confidence = our top-rated horse's win chance: Strong 35%+, Medium 25-35%, Wide open under 25%. ▲/▼ angles, ★ best figure at the trip, LS = longshot read (8-1+ on the line, model rates it higher). Tap a race number for the full field and a name for the horse's page. These are notes from the past performances, not proven to beat the odds; the morning-line favourite wins more races than our top pick. Analysis only.
● Live race intelligence · code LRL
Laurel Park
Friday, October 30, 2026.
Races
10
on the card
Feature
R7
Optional Claiming $62,500 · $49K
First post
12:00 PM
ET · race 1
Runners
110
avg field 11
● Track conditions today
Laurel Park — today's signals
Surface read
±0.74s STEADY
Surface holds steady day to day — final times read true off the page, so our speed figures need little adjustment here.
day-to-day swing · 141 race-days sampled
Weather
58° Clear
Clean conditions — surface should run true to the listed condition. No weather adjustment to the model read.
Carryover pool
None today
No mandatory or jackpot carryover detected at this track. Standard pools today.
Do the model's percentages hold up?
Mostly
Across finished races the model's win chances mostly match how often its picks win, but its most confident picks win a few points less than it says. The morning-line favourite still wins more often than the model's top pick.
checked against 2,848 finished races · as of 2026-06-06
TRACK BIAS · WIN % BY POST
Best post #6 (12%) · Rail helps
Even by post — inside 11% / outside 9%. Bars show each post’s win rate vs the track average over 30,844 starts.
Where the model is most sure
Three highest model win %.
The three races where the model's top pick has its highest win chance, with the morning line beside it. Most of these are the favourite too. Tap for the full race.
Every Daily Double and Pick 3/4/5/6 on today's card, with the model's top pick in each leg,
or its top two or three when the leg is close. A Pick N is one pari-mutuel pool: you need the winner of every leg, and the pool is split among the tickets that have them all.
This is analysis, not a ticket or a staking plan.
Pick 3Races 1–3 · 50 CENT min
R1#8 Light De Night · #6 Sin BoldlyClose: top 2
R2#5 Paris By Night · #7 Pelican PierClose: top 2
R3#5 Diva ReadyTop pick
The model’s read per leg, not a ticket.
Pick 5Races 1–5 · 50 CENT min
R1#8 Light De Night · #6 Sin BoldlyClose: top 2
R2#5 Paris By Night · #7 Pelican PierClose: top 2
R3#5 Diva ReadyTop pick
R4#5 Madonna Of LoretoTop pick
R5#6 El De Larry · #3 Drilling For GoldClose: top 2
The model’s read per leg, not a ticket.
Pick 3Races 2–4 · 50 CENT min
R2#5 Paris By Night · #7 Pelican PierClose: top 2
R3#5 Diva ReadyTop pick
R4#5 Madonna Of LoretoTop pick
The model’s read per leg, not a ticket.
Pick 4Races 2–5 · 50 CENT min
R2#5 Paris By Night · #7 Pelican PierClose: top 2
R3#5 Diva ReadyTop pick
R4#5 Madonna Of LoretoTop pick
R5#6 El De Larry · #3 Drilling For GoldClose: top 2
The model’s read per leg, not a ticket.
Pick 3Races 3–5 · 50 CENT min
R3#5 Diva ReadyTop pick
R4#5 Madonna Of LoretoTop pick
R5#6 El De Larry · #3 Drilling For GoldClose: top 2
The model’s read per leg, not a ticket.
Pick 3Races 4–6 · 50 CENT min
R4#5 Madonna Of LoretoTop pick
R5#6 El De Larry · #3 Drilling For GoldClose: top 2
R6#11 Take On The JewelsTop pick
The model’s read per leg, not a ticket.
Pick 4Races 4–7 · 50 CENT min
R4#5 Madonna Of LoretoTop pick
R5#6 El De Larry · #3 Drilling For GoldClose: top 2
R6#11 Take On The JewelsTop pick
R7#1 Prince Of PeaceTop pick
The model’s read per leg, not a ticket.
Pick 3Races 5–7 · 50 CENT min
R5#6 El De Larry · #3 Drilling For GoldClose: top 2
R6#11 Take On The JewelsTop pick
R7#1 Prince Of PeaceTop pick
The model’s read per leg, not a ticket.
Pick 6Races 5–10 · 20 CENT min
R5#6 El De Larry · #3 Drilling For GoldClose: top 2
R6#11 Take On The JewelsTop pick
R7#1 Prince Of PeaceTop pick
R8#1 Amazing Gracer · #10 High Anxiety · #3 LinetteClose: top 3
R9#5 HurrahTop pick
R10#1 Sheriff RonnieTop pick
The model’s read per leg, not a ticket.
Pick 3Races 6–8 · 50 CENT min
R6#11 Take On The JewelsTop pick
R7#1 Prince Of PeaceTop pick
R8#1 Amazing Gracer · #10 High Anxiety · #3 LinetteClose: top 3
The model’s read per leg, not a ticket.
Pick 5Races 6–10 · 50 CENT min
R6#11 Take On The JewelsTop pick
R7#1 Prince Of PeaceTop pick
R8#1 Amazing Gracer · #10 High Anxiety · #3 LinetteClose: top 3
R9#5 HurrahTop pick
R10#1 Sheriff RonnieTop pick
The model’s read per leg, not a ticket.
Pick 3Races 7–9 · 50 CENT min
R7#1 Prince Of PeaceTop pick
R8#1 Amazing Gracer · #10 High Anxiety · #3 LinetteClose: top 3
R9#5 HurrahTop pick
The model’s read per leg, not a ticket.
Pick 4Races 7–10 · 50 CENT min
R7#1 Prince Of PeaceTop pick
R8#1 Amazing Gracer · #10 High Anxiety · #3 LinetteClose: top 3
R9#5 HurrahTop pick
R10#1 Sheriff RonnieTop pick
The model’s read per leg, not a ticket.
Pick 3Races 8–10 · 50 CENT min
R8#1 Amazing Gracer · #10 High Anxiety · #3 LinetteClose: top 3
R9#5 HurrahTop pick
R10#1 Sheriff RonnieTop pick
The model’s read per leg, not a ticket.
Today's races
Race-by-race with archetype.
Each race is tagged with pace archetype (TACTICAL · SPEED DUEL · LONE SPEED · CLOSERS' RACE · PACE VACUUM · PRESSED PACE). Click any row for the full Verdict, Pace Shape, Full Field, Workouts, and Wagers.
For information only — not financial or wagering advice. Must be 21+ to wager where required by law. If gambling is affecting you or someone you know, help is available.