Pick sheet

Race 79:41 PM Md Sp Wt

1.1F · Dirt · 12 entered. Our model's top pick, Aj Venom Player, is 40% to win (morning line implies 33%). Pace: hard to project, too many first-time starters.

Top pick #7 Aj Venom Player ML 6-5 Fair 3-2 Model #1 ▼ Down -3

Jockey V. Urieta Jr. · Trainer J. Garcia · KEE 1: 0-0-1 · Dist 3: 0-0-1 · 42 days off

Date	Trk	Dist	Class	Finish	Fig	Odds	Eq	Trip
9/19	LS	1.81818f D	FutTrl10000	3rd/10 -1L	81	2.1-1	b	Bmp st;outfinished
8/8	ALB	2f D	FutTrl10000	5th/10 -1¼L	89	14-1	b L	Faded;
6/27	ALB	1.81818f D	FutTrl10000	5th/9 -3½L	79	27-1	b L	Hesitated start

Case: Last out 3rd in the FutTrl10000 at LS. Last Brisnet figures 81-89-79. 0-for-3 at the distance. 0-for-1 at Lone Star Park. J. Garcia / V. Urieta Jr..

Knock: 0-for-3 at the distance.

Contender #8 Famous Ms Sashay ML 3-1 Fair 6-1 Model #2 Top last-race fig

Jockey E. Navarrete · Trainer S. Wood · Dist 2: 0-1-1 · 161 days off

Date	Trk	Dist	Class	Finish	Fig	Odds	Eq	Trip
5/23	ALB	1.59091f D	FutTrl10000	3rd/7 -1½L	88	7.9-1	b L	In range; no rally
3/6	RP	1.36364f D	FutTrl10000	2nd/8 -½L	73	13-1	b L	Solid effort

Case: Last out 3rd in the FutTrl10000 at ALB. Last Brisnet figures 88-73. 0-for-2 at the distance. S. Wood / E. Navarrete.

Knock: Off 161 days. Never raced at Lone Star Park.

Use #4 Ss Special Cowgirl ML 6-1 Fair 7-1 Model #3 Last out 3rd in the fMdSpWt at LS. Last Brisnet figures 85. 0-for-1 at the distance. 0-for-1 at Lone Star Park. J. Garcia / F. Giles. Knock: 0-for-1 at the distance.

Jockey F. Giles · Trainer J. Garcia · KEE 1: 0-0-1 · Dist 1: 0-0-1 · 44 days off

Date	Trk	Dist	Class	Finish	Fig	Odds	Eq	Trip
9/17	LS	1½f D	MSW	3rd/9 -1L	85	2.9-1	b L	Needed more

Longshot #2 Catching Your Dreams ML 12-1 Fair 10-1 Model #4 ▲▲ Big jump +11 · career best

Jockey A. Rivera · Trainer J. Stinebaugh · Dist 4: 0-0-2 · 100 days off

Date	Trk	Dist	Class	Finish	Fig	Odds	Eq	Trip
7/23	RET	1.36364f D	MSW	3rd/8 -1¼L	80	1.2-1	b L	Bid; no menace
6/26	ALB	1.81818f D	FutTrl10000	5th/9 -3L	63	20-1	b L	Clear path; evenly
5/22	ALB	1.59091f D	FutTrl10000	8th/10 -3¼L	76	13-1	b L	Bumped start

Case: Last out 3rd in the MdSpWt at RET. Last Brisnet figures 80-63-76. 0-for-4 at the distance. J. Stinebaugh / A. Rivera.

Knock: Off 100 days. Never raced at Lone Star Park.

Narrowing the field: A #4, #7, #8 · B #1, #2, #11 · C #5, #6, #9, #10, #12 · ? #3 (no figures yet, never thrown out)

R7 Lone Star Park · Maiden Special Weight

9:41 PM ET · 250 Yards Dirt · $15,000 · 12 runners9:41 PM · 1.1f Dirt · 12 runners

Upcoming $15K · Maiden Special Weight

Card modelCard model StrongFormLast 3 figsTier · angles

1Cr Favorite LadyN. Villatoro · R. AlmanzaVillatoro · AlmanzaB85 79 64▲▲+138-1Fair 12-17%▲▲ Big jump +13 · career best85 79 64B
Card model 7% · Fair odds 12-1 · Our #5 · Tier B · Form ▲▲ Big jump +13 · career best · Last 3 figs 85 79 64
Jockey Noe Villatoro 30% career 11-for-63 on dirt this meet (17%) · Trainer Rolando Almanza 23% career 3-for-14 on dirt this meet (21%)
Also today · Jockey R2: A Higher Call 15-1, R8: Brother Gaga 20-1
Has moved up each time out, 64 to 79 to 85. Prime Power, the Brisnet rating, puts it on top of this field.
PACE CHALLENGE No running style on file yet, so the pace shape can't be applied to it.
WORKS LIGHT Thin work schedule next to this field: 0 works in 30d, last one 162d ago
RECORD Noe Villatoro from post 1 here: 4 wins, 19 top-3 in 37 rides · 8% wins from all posts here
Last three races
Date Trk Dist Class Finish Fig Odds Eq Trip
9/18 LS 1½f D MSW 5th/8 -1¼L 85 38-1 b L Evened out
8/8 ALB 2f D FutTrl10000 9th/10 -5¼L 79 122-1 b L No threat;
7/18 ALB 1.81818f D MSW 10th/10 -5¼L 64 49-1 b L Faded

Date	Trk	Dist	Class	Finish	Fig	Odds	Eq	Trip
9/18	LS	1½f D	MSW	5th/8 -1¼L	85	38-1	b L	Evened out
8/8	ALB	2f D	FutTrl10000	9th/10 -5¼L	79	122-1	b L	No threat;
7/18	ALB	1.81818f D	MSW	10th/10 -5¼L	64	49-1	b L	Faded

2Catching Your DreamsLSA. Rivera · J. StinebaughRivera · StinebaughB80 63 76▲▲+1112-1Fair 10-19%▲▲ Big jump +11 · career best80 63 76BLS

Card model 9% · Fair odds 10-1 · Our #4 · Tier B · Form ▲▲ Big jump +11 · career best · Last 3 figs 80 63 76

Longshot read: 12-1 on the morning line, and the model has it at 9% against a line of 6%. A read, not a bet.

Jockey Ali Rivera 34% career 10-for-93 on dirt this meet (11%) · Trainer John A Stinebaugh 36% career 10-for-65 on dirt this meet (15%) ★ hot

Also today · Jockey R2: The Dulce Tacha 12-1, R4: Dakota Stone 12-1, R5: Shes Judge Tee 15-1, R6: I B A Big Girl 20-1 +5 more · Trainer R2: The Dulce Tacha 12-1, R4: Dakota Stone 12-1, R5: Shes Judge Tee 15-1, R5: Flies Like An Eagle 20-1 +7 more

60D LAYOFF

Back after 100 days away; fitness is the question and the works are the evidence. 3rd last time, 1¼ lengths back, in a field of 8.

PACE CHALLENGE No running style on file yet, so the pace shape can't be applied to it.

WORKS SHARP Fit-looking prep next to these rivals: 1 work in 30d, last 21d ago

RECORD Ali Rivera from post 2 here: 7 wins, 22 top-3 in 46 rides · 17% wins from all posts here

Last three races

Date	Trk	Dist	Class	Finish	Fig	Odds	Eq	Trip
7/23	RET	1.36364f D	MSW	3rd/8 -1¼L	80	1.2-1	b L	Bid; no menace
6/26	ALB	1.81818f D	FutTrl10000	5th/9 -3L	63	20-1	b L	Clear path; evenly
5/22	ALB	1.59091f D	FutTrl10000	8th/10 -3¼L	76	13-1	b L	Bumped start

3Cybo JoO. Camarillo · B. HernandezCamarillo · Hernandez?20-1Fair 50-12%—Debut?
Card model 2% · Fair odds 50-1 · Our #8 · Tier ?
Jockey Ortega Rigobert Camarillo · Trainer Braulio Hernandez 31% career 2-for-16 on dirt this meet (12%)
Also today · Jockey this race: Deputy Fergusen 10-1
Debut for this Cyber Monday colt, whose dam is Jodis Rowdy Bogart. Worked 1F in :11.60 on Oct 8, 2nd fastest of 24 that morning.
PACE CHALLENGE No running style on file yet, so the pace shape can't be applied to it.
WORKS SHARP Active work pattern for this group, 2 works in 30d and the last 15d back
Last three races
First start. By Cyber Monday out of Jodis Rowdy Bogart (Bogart)
Jockey O. Camarillo in sprints: 0 wins from 5 (0%)
Work Trk Dist Time How Rank
10/16 LS 1f :12.00 breezing 4/19 from gate
10/8 LS 1f :11.60 breezing 2/24 from gate
7/7 LAD 1f :12.80 breezing 1/1 ● bullet
4Ss Special CowgirlF. Giles · J. GarciaGiles · GarciaA856-1Fair 7-113%—85A3
Card model 13% · Fair odds 7-1 · Our #3 · Tier A · Last 3 figs 85
Jockey Francisco Giles 29% career 3-for-52 on dirt this meet (6%) · Trainer Juan Ignacio Garcia 32% career 2-for-33 on dirt this meet (6%)
Also today · Jockey R1: Six Pack In The Back 7-2, R3: The Hottest Chilitos 5-2, R6: Love Lies Bleedin 12-1
Finished 3rd in a 9-horse maiden special weight race at LS, beaten 1 length.
PACE CHALLENGE Running style isn't established yet, so the pace read is a blank for this one.
WORKS LIGHT Thin work schedule next to this field: 0 works in 30d, last one 84d ago
RECORD Francisco Giles from post 4 here: 1 win, 11 top-3 in 34 rides · 9% wins from all posts here
Last three races
Date Trk Dist Class Finish Fig Odds Eq Trip
9/17 LS 1½f D MSW 3rd/9 -1L 85 2.9-1 b L Needed more
5El OneO. Andrade Jr. · R. JuarezAndrade Jr. · JuarezC6715-1Fair 20-14%—67C
Card model 4% · Fair odds 20-1 · Our #6 · Tier C · Last 3 figs 67
Jockey Oscar Jr Andrade 14% career 0-for-2 on dirt this meet · Trainer Rigo J Juarez 24% career 0-for-1 on dirt this meet
Moves up from stakes to maiden special weight. Beaten 2¼ lengths for 5th in a 10-horse stakes race at LS.
PACE CHALLENGE Running style isn't established yet, so the pace read is a blank for this one.
WORKS LIGHT Few works lately, 0 works in 30d and the last 77 days ago
Last three races
Date Trk Dist Class Finish Fig Odds Eq Trip
9/19 LS 1.81818f D FutTrl10000 5th/10 -2¼L 67 17-1 b L Brk in;bmp in/out
6Cold PursuitE. Hernandez · A. RangelHernandez · RangelC52 68 42▼-3@trip 4230-1Fair 99-11%▼ Down -352 68 42@trip 42C
Card model 1% · Fair odds 99-1 · Our #10 · Tier C · Form ▼ Down -3 · Best fig at today's trip 42 (1 tries) · Last 3 figs 52 68 42
Jockey Eleazar Rivera Hernandez 38% career ★ 4-for-19 on dirt this meet (21%) · Trainer Abraham Rangel 25% career 1-for-9 on dirt this meet (11%)
60D LAYOFF
92 days since the last start, so it needs the works to say it's ready. Last out was 10th, 6¾ lengths behind the winner, in a 10-horse maiden special weight race at RET.
PACE CHALLENGE No running style on file yet, so the pace shape can't be applied to it.
WORKS SHARP Fit-looking prep next to these rivals: 1 work in 30d, last 14d ago
Last three races
Date Trk Dist Class Finish Fig Odds Eq Trip
7/31 RET 1.36364f D MSW 10th/10 -6¾L 52 20-1 b L Unruly; rushed start
7/10 RET 1.59091f D MSW 4th/8 -1¾L 68 40-1 b L No menace
6/6 HOU 1.13636f D MCL 10k 10th/10 -4½L 42 36-1 b L No factor

Work	Trk	Dist	Time	How	Rank
10/16	LS	1f	:12.00	breezing	4/19	from gate
10/8	LS	1f	:11.60	breezing	2/24	from gate
7/7	LAD	1f	:12.80	breezing	1/1	● bullet

Date	Trk	Dist	Class	Finish	Fig	Odds	Eq	Trip
9/19	LS	1.81818f D	FutTrl10000	5th/10 -2¼L	67	17-1	b L	Brk in;bmp in/out

Date	Trk	Dist	Class	Finish	Fig	Odds	Eq	Trip
7/31	RET	1.36364f D	MSW	10th/10 -6¾L	52	20-1	b L	Unruly; rushed start
7/10	RET	1.59091f D	MSW	4th/8 -1¾L	68	40-1	b L	No menace
6/6	HOU	1.13636f D	MCL 10k	10th/10 -4½L	42	36-1	b L	No factor

7Aj Venom PlayerV. Urieta Jr. · J. GarciaUrieta Jr. · GarciaA81 89 79▼-36-5Fair 3-240%▼ Down -381 89 79A1

Card model 40% · Fair odds 3-2 · Our #1 · Tier A · Form ▼ Down -3 · Last 3 figs 81 89 79

Jockey Victor Manuel Jr Urieta 19-for-105 on dirt this meet (18%) · Trainer Jose A Garcia 32% career 2-for-33 on dirt this meet (6%)

Also today · Jockey R2: Favorite Love Song 15-1, R3: Jj Kiss 4-1, R4: Jlc Show Time 5-1, R12: Chloes Man 15-1 · Trainer R3: Coronado Jess 7-2, R5: Shes Ec To Tempt 2-1, R8: Holms 9-5

Tops the field on speed figures, an 89 against 88 for the next best. Raises its level, stakes last time and maiden special weight now.

PACE CHALLENGE No style on record, so the setup says little about it.

WORKS LIGHT Thin work schedule next to this field: 0 works in 30d, last one 104d ago

Last three races

Date	Trk	Dist	Class	Finish	Fig	Odds	Eq	Trip
9/19	LS	1.81818f D	FutTrl10000	3rd/10 -1L	81	2.1-1	b	Bmp st;outfinished
8/8	ALB	2f D	FutTrl10000	5th/10 -1¼L	89	14-1	b L	Faded;
6/27	ALB	1.81818f D	FutTrl10000	5th/9 -3½L	79	27-1	b L	Hesitated start

8Famous Ms SashayE. Navarrete · S. WoodNavarrete · WoodA88 733-1Fair 6-115%—88 73A2
Card model 15% · Fair odds 6-1 · Our #2 · Tier A · Last 3 figs 88 73
Jockey Eugenio Alberto Navarrete 1-for-24 on dirt this meet (4%) · Trainer S Trey Wood 28% career 4-for-44 on dirt this meet (9%)
Also today · Jockey R4: Sin Tachas Favorite 20-1 · Trainer R4: Sin Tachas Favorite 20-1, R5: Flying Joy 1 3-1, R9: La Chuchy 30-1
60D LAYOFF
Freshened 161 days, longer than anything else in the field. Watch how its recent works look. A step up in company: stakes before, maiden special weight today.
PACE CHALLENGE Style isn't established yet, so how it fits this shape is open.
WORKS SHARP Active work pattern for this group, 1 work in 30d and the last 21d back
Last three races
Date Trk Dist Class Finish Fig Odds Eq Trip
5/23 ALB 1.59091f D FutTrl10000 3rd/7 -1½L 88 7.9-1 b L In range; no rally
3/6 RP 1.36364f D FutTrl10000 2nd/8 -½L 73 13-1 b L Solid effort
9Digital DollarA. Medina · G. GonzalezMedina · GonzalezC55 39@trip 5530-1Fair 99-1<1%—55 39@trip 55C
Card model <1% · Fair odds 99-1 · Our #12 · Tier C · Best fig at today's trip 55 (1 tries) · Last 3 figs 55 39
Jockey Alejandro Medina 35% career 5-for-50 on dirt this meet (10%) · Trainer Gilberto Gonzalez 31% career 1-for-36 on dirt this meet (3%) ★ hot
Also today · Jockey R1: Whiskey High 10-1, R12: Capital Hatters 30-1 · Trainer R5: Eagles A Bit Rusty 30-1, R12: Capital Hatters 30-1
◆ NOTE · TRIP TROUBLE60D LAYOFF
3rd of 18 at 1F on Jul 25, in :12.00. 9th last time, 2¾ lengths back, in a field of 10.
PACE CHALLENGE Running style isn't established yet, so the pace read is a blank for this one.
TROUBLED TRIP Broke in; bumped start last out; the speed figure already reflects it.
WORKS Average work schedule for this field (0 works in 30d, last 32d ago)
RECORD Alejandro Medina from post 9 here: 2 wins, 2 top-3 in 15 rides · 9% wins from all posts here
Last three races
Date Trk Dist Class Finish Fig Odds Eq Trip
8/8 RET 1.13636f D MSW 9th/10 -2¾L 55 39-1 b L Broke in; bumped start
3/6 LAD 1.36364f D FutTrl5000 9th/9 -3½L 39 14-1 b L Dckd in rail; outran
10First Memory 668L. Vivanco · J. EspinozaVivanco · EspinozaC70@trip 7030-1Fair 99-11%—70@trip 70C
Card model 1% · Fair odds 99-1 · Our #11 · Tier C · Best fig at today's trip 70 (1 tries) · Last 3 figs 70
Jockey Luis L Vivanco 36% career 10-for-77 on dirt this meet (13%) · Trainer Jose C Espinoza 24% career 0-for-5 on dirt this meet
Also today · Jockey R1: Ab Special Dash 12-1, R10: Royalist 8-5
◆ NOTE · TRIP TROUBLE60D LAYOFF
Carries 124 pounds, 6 less than last time. Class relief: maiden special weight last time, maiden special weight today.
PACE CHALLENGE No running style on file yet, so the pace shape can't be applied to it.
TROUBLED TRIP Chart note from last time: Bumped start. A trip worth forgiving, though the number already carries it.
WORKS SHARP Active work pattern for this group, 1 work in 30d and the last 16d back
RECORD Luis L Vivanco from post 10 here: 3 wins, 8 top-3 in 28 rides · 12% wins from all posts here
Last three races
Date Trk Dist Class Finish Fig Odds Eq Trip
5/29 HOU 1.13636f D sMdSpWt 6th/10 -2L 70 40-1 b L Bumped start
11Deputy FergusenO. Camarillo · J. MejiaCamarillo · MejiaB86 78 70▲▲+12@trip 7810-1Fair 30-14%▲▲ Big jump +12 · career best86 78 70@trip 78B
Card model 4% · Fair odds 30-1 · Our #7 · Tier B · Form ▲▲ Big jump +12 · career best · Best fig at today's trip 78 (1 tries) · Last 3 figs 86 78 70
Jockey Ortega Rigobert Camarillo · Trainer Jacobo Mejia 16% career 1-for-12 on dirt this meet (8%)
Also today · Jockey this race: Cybo Jo 20-1
Figures are climbing: 70, 78, 86 over its last three. Finished 3rd in an 8-horse maiden special weight race at LS, beaten 1 length.
PACE CHALLENGE No running style on file yet, so the pace shape can't be applied to it.
WORKS LIGHT Few works lately, 0 works in 30d and the last 121 days ago
Last three races
Date Trk Dist Class Finish Fig Odds Eq Trip
9/18 LS 1½f D MSW 3rd/8 -1L 86 18-1 b L Short 2nd
8/14 RET 1.13636f D MSW 3rd/7 -½L 78 5.6-1 b L Bumped; no menace
5/1 RP 1½f D MSW 7th/10 -2¾L 70 10-1 b L Latched rival
12Mucho FastA. Alvarez · R. Rodriguez Jr.Alvarez · Rodriguez Jr.C71 70 70►≡@trip 7015-1Fair 50-12%► Steady71 70 70 ≡@trip 70C
Card model 2% · Fair odds 50-1 · Our #9 · Tier C · Form ► Steady · ≡ Steady figures 67–71 · Best fig at today's trip 70 (2 tries) · Last 3 figs 71 70 70
Jockey Arturo Alvarez 34% career 3-for-42 on dirt this meet (7%) · Trainer Raul Jr Rodriguez 33% career 1-for-19 on dirt this meet (5%) ★ hot
Winless in 7 starts at this distance. Still looking for the first win after 7 starts.
PACE CHALLENGE Style isn't established yet, so how it fits this shape is open.
WORKS LIGHT Few works lately, 0 works in 30d and the last 197 days ago
Last three races
Date Trk Dist Class Finish Fig Odds Eq Trip
9/18 LS 1.36364f D MCL 20k 5th/10 -3½L 71 6.4-1 b L Needed more
8/13 RET 1½f D MCL 20k 3rd/6 -1L 70 2.5-1 b L No menace
6/26 RET 1.13636f D MSW 4th/9 -¾L 70 3.4-1 b L Broke thru gate

Date	Trk	Dist	Class	Finish	Fig	Odds	Eq	Trip
8/8	RET	1.13636f D	MSW	9th/10 -2¾L	55	39-1	b L	Broke in; bumped start
3/6	LAD	1.36364f D	FutTrl5000	9th/9 -3½L	39	14-1	b L	Dckd in rail; outran

Date	Trk	Dist	Class	Finish	Fig	Odds	Eq	Trip
5/29	HOU	1.13636f D	sMdSpWt	6th/10 -2L	70	40-1	b L	Bumped start

Date	Trk	Dist	Class	Finish	Fig	Odds	Eq	Trip
9/18	LS	1½f D	MSW	3rd/8 -1L	86	18-1	b L	Short 2nd
8/14	RET	1.13636f D	MSW	3rd/7 -½L	78	5.6-1	b L	Bumped; no menace
5/1	RP	1½f D	MSW	7th/10 -2¾L	70	10-1	b L	Latched rival

Date	Trk	Dist	Class	Finish	Fig	Odds	Eq	Trip
9/18	LS	1.36364f D	MCL 20k	5th/10 -3½L	71	6.4-1	b L	Needed more
8/13	RET	1½f D	MCL 20k	3rd/6 -1L	70	2.5-1	b L	No menace
6/26	RET	1.13636f D	MSW	4th/9 -¾L	70	3.4-1	b L	Broke thru gate

▲ / ▼ angle for / against · ★ best figure at the trip · LS longshot read · 1 2 3 = our top three · A B C tiers · ▲ ► ▼ form · ≡ ↕ steady / up-and-down. Tap a row for its notes, a name for the horse's page. Analysis only. Pace: hard to project, too many first-time starters.

How to read these marks

1 2 3: Our top three by the card model's win chance. Tap “Our order” to sort by it.
Win %, Fair: The card model's chance to win, and the odds that chance works out to with no takeout. Fair is green when the model rates the horse above its morning line (the line scaled to add up to 100%).
Tier A B C ?: The field ranked on recent speed figures and the morning line together: A = top three, B = next three, C = the rest, ? = no figures yet.
71 60 72: Last three speed figures, newest first. “@trip 75” = best figure at today's distance (within 30 yards) on this surface.
▲▲ ▲ ► ▼ ▼▼: Form: last figure against the average of the three before it. ▲ = up 3 or more, ▲▲ = up 8 or more, ► = within 3, ▼ / ▼▼ = down. The number is the difference.
≡ ↕: ≡ steady: the last four figures sit close together. ↕ up-and-down: they swing widely.
★: Best figure in the field at today's distance and surface, from two or more tries, not tied. When that horse isn't in our top three it gets a “Distance horse” note above the field.
▲ ▼ chips: Handicapping angles for or against the horse. LS = longshot read: 8-1 or more on the morning line and the model rates it higher than that line.

These marks describe the past performances. None of them is proven to beat the odds: in our test of 100 handicapping angles, nothing did better than the final odds, and the morning-line favourite wins more races than our top-ranked horse. Read them as notes, not as a reason to bet.

Race conditions and our readpace, conditions, story

LONE STAR PARK · RACE 7

UPCOMING

Maiden Special Weight

Field

12 runners

Purse

$15,000

Post

9:41 PM ET

Pace

Pace Vacuum

Card model top pick

#7 · 40%

Maiden Special Weight, for 2-year-olds.

Maiden special weight — for horses that have never won a race. No horses are for sale; this is the higher-quality way to break a maiden.

● Breed: Quarter Horse

● Track record at 250 Yards: 12.77

The shape is the story here: the early pace looks honest rather than contested — expect a fairly run race where class and trip decide it, not pace collapse.

Our number tops on #7 Aj Venom Player (a tactical type, M/L 6-5). Recent figures: 81 · 89 · 79. It hit the board last time and stays in form. Backup is #8 Famous Ms Sashay at 3-1. Use #4 Ss Special Cowgirl in exotic structures.

What would change our mind: a key scratch that reshapes the early pace, a sharp turf-to-dirt or surface switch off the rail, or live money showing up on a horse the board had dismissed. Watch the tote late.

At a glance: model vs the morning line

At a glance

Market favourite #7 AJ VENOM PLAYER (6-5) — our number agrees.
#7 AJ VENOM PLAYER — our top number on the card, about right at the windows (33.4% to their 32.6%).
#8 FAMOUS MS SASHAY — our #2 number, about right at the windows (18.5% to their 17.9%).
#4 SS SPECIAL COWGIRL — our #3 number, about right at the windows (11.4% to their 10.2%).

Model vs the morning line · analysis, not advice

Longshot the model rates above its line: #2 CATCHING YOUR DREAMS (12-1) — our fair 6.7% is above the morning line's 5.5%; supported by: top barn (36%) + jockey (34%) at 12-1 (a hot trainer-jockey pairing; on our own re-test it did not beat its odds)

Pacewho goes to the front

Pace

Pace Vacuum. No real early speed. Whoever shows up first is likely uncontested. Pressers benefit.

and works against #1 Cr Favorite Lady, #2 Catching Your Dreams, #3 Cybo Jo.

Lead

none

Press

none

Stalk

none

No style yet

1Cr Favorite Lady2Catching Your Dreams3Cybo Jo4Ss Special Cowgirl5El One6Cold Pursuit7Aj Venom Player8Famous Ms Sashay9Digital Dollar10First Memory 66811Deputy Fergusen12Mucho Fast

Number = last-race early-pace figure. Green border = the shape helps; red = it works against.

Early speed and closing figures, horse by horse

Closing Kick · late-pace figure

Cr Favorite Lady

Catching Your Dreams

Ss Special Cowgirl

El One

Cold Pursuit

Aj Venom Player

Famous Ms Sashay

Digital Dollar

First Memory 668

Deputy Fergusen

Mucho Fast

Bet types offeredwager menu

Bet types

Wagers offered on this race.

EXACTA / $.50 TRIFECTA / $.10 SUPERFECTA / DAILY DOUBLE

$.50 PICK 3 (RACES 7-8-9) / $.50 PICK 6 (RACES 7-8-9-10-11-12)

TBredIQ shows analysis only. We don’t build tickets or suggest amounts.

BET OPTIONS

WinPlaceShowExactaTrifectaSuperfecta

Wagers offered on this race — analysis only, no stake sizing.