Pick sheet

Race 58:49 PM TrialEarly Pick 4 starts

1.8F · Dirt · 10 entered. Our model's top pick, Shes Ec to Tempt, is 39% to win (morning line implies 25%). Pace: hard to project, too many first-time starters.

Top pick #5 Shes Ec to Tempt ML 2-1 Fair 3-2 Model #1 Top last-race fig ▲▲ Big jump +8 ★ Best at 1.81818f dirt: 104 ↕ Up and down 85–106

Jockey F. Calderon · Trainer J. Garcia · Dist 10: 9-1-0 · best fig at 1.81818f dirt 104 · 70 days off

Date	Trk	Dist	Class	Finish	Fig	Odds	Eq	Trip
8/22	RET	1.81818f D	rTQSirDbRG3 G3	Won/9	104	0.8-1	b	Drew away; much best
8/8	RET	1.81818f D	DbyTrl 10000	Won/9	97	1.5-1	b	Dueled; driving finish
7/19	GIL	1.13636f D	GCFADutchm36k	Won/10	106	1.5-1	b	No troubles cruised ou

Case: Last out won in the rTQSirDbRG3-G3 at RET. Last Brisnet figures 104-97-106. Best at today's distance 104. 9-for-10 at the distance. J. Garcia / F. Calderon.

Knock: Off 70 days. Never raced at Lone Star Park.

Contender #7 Flying Joy 1 ML 3-1 Fair 7-2 Model #2 ▲▲ Big jump +10 · career best

Jockey R. Ramirez · Trainer S. Wood · Dist 11: 4-3-0 · best fig at 1.81818f dirt 95 · 55 days off

Date	Trk	Dist	Class	Finish	Fig	Odds	Eq	Trip
9/6	ALB	2f D	AllAmOak G1	Won/9	102	34-1	b L	Inched away; held
8/9	ALB	2f D	DbyTrl 10000	2nd/6 by hd	96	3.3-1	b L	Broke out; just missed
5/10	RP	1.81818f D	DbyTrl 10000	4th/9 -¾L	95	11-1	b L	Early duel; outkicked

Case: Last out won in the fAllAmOak-G1 at ALB. Last Brisnet figures 102-96-95. Best at today's distance 95. 4-for-11 at the distance. S. Wood / R. Ramirez.

Knock: Never raced at Lone Star Park.

Use #3 Di Kvn Waven ML 5-2 Fair 5-1 Model #3 ▲ Up +3 ≡ Steady 95–103 Last out 5th/10 -1¼L in the fGilFil&Mar36k at GIL. Last Brisnet figures 101-95-95. Best at today's distance 103. 5-for-12 at the distance. 0-for-2 at Lone Star Park. O. Nunez / G. Linares. Knock: Off 62 days. Our model rates this one below its morning line.

Jockey G. Linares · Trainer O. Nunez · KEE 2: 0-1-0 · Dist 12: 5-4-0 · best fig at 1.81818f dirt 103 · 62 days off

Date	Trk	Dist	Class	Finish	Fig	Odds	Eq	Trip
8/30	GIL	1½f D	GilFil&Mar36k	5th/10 -1¼L	101	1.5-1	b L	Bump after brk gd effo
8/8	RET	1.81818f D	DbyTrl 10000	2nd/9 by hd	95	0.6-1	b L	Dueled; out finished
7/3	RET	1.59091f D	SelmaS G3	2nd/9 -1L	95	7.2-1	b L	Game second

Longshot #2 Shes Judge Tee ML 15-1 Fair 20-1 Model #5 ▼ Down -3 ≡ Steady 84–89

Jockey A. Rivera · Trainer J. Stinebaugh · KEE 2: 2-0-0 · Dist 13: 2-1-1 · best fig at 1.81818f dirt 85 · 29 days off

Date	Trk	Dist	Class	Finish	Fig	Odds	Eq	Trip
10/2	LS	1.81818f D	Alw n2l	Won/8	84	3.1-1	b L	Held sway
8/9	ALB	2f D	DbyTrl 10000	7th/8 -3¼L	85	10-1	b L	In close; faded
7/11	ALB	2f D	RainbOakG1 G1	6th/9 -3¾L	87	92-1	b L	Never fired

Case: Last out won in the fAlw16000n2l at LS. Last Brisnet figures 84-85-87. Best at today's distance 85. 2-for-13 at the distance. 2-for-2 at Lone Star Park. J. Stinebaugh / A. Rivera.

Knock: Nothing glaring on paper.

Narrowing the field: A #3, #5, #7 · B #1, #4, #6 · C #2, #8, #9, #10

R5 Lone Star Park · Trial

8:49 PM ET · 400 Yards Dirt · $10,000 · 10 runners8:49 PM · 1.8f Dirt · 10 runners

Upcoming $10K · Trial

Card modelCard model StrongFormLast 3 figsTier · angles

1Diamond Cowgirl 123R. Ramirez Jr. · M. JungersRamirez Jr. · JungersB89 86 85▲+6@trip 948-1Fair 15-16%▲ Up +689 86 85@trip 94B

Card model 6% · Fair odds 15-1 · Our #4 · Tier B · Form ▲ Up +6 · Best fig at today's trip 94 (6 tries) · Last 3 figs 89 86 85

Jockey Raul Jr Ramirez 33% career 7-for-64 on dirt this meet (11%) · Trainer Marc E Jungers 32% career 11-for-60 on dirt this meet (18%) ★ hot

Also today · Jockey R8: Rf Runaway Cowboy 5-1, R9: Barbed Wired 30-1 · Trainer R4: Jess Good As Gold 30-1, R8: Rf Runaway Cowboy 5-1, R9: Barbed Wired 30-1, R11: Inflation 15-1

60D LAYOFF2/3 board here

Beaten 1 length for 3rd in a 6-horse race at ALB. Prime Power, the Brisnet rating, puts it on top of this field.

PACE CHALLENGE No running style on file yet, so the pace shape can't be applied to it.

WORKS Average work schedule for this field (1 work in 30d, last 22d ago)

RECORD 2 wins, 2 on the board from 3 starts here

RECORD Raul Jr Ramirez from post 1 here: 2 wins, 9 top-3 in 23 rides · 14% wins from all posts here

Last three races

Date	Trk	Dist	Class	Finish	Fig	Odds	Eq	Trip
8/9	ALB	2f D	DbyTrl 10000	3rd/6 -1L	89	8.8-1	b L	Even effort;
6/28	ALB	2f D	DbyTrl 10000	6th/7 -1¾L	86	6.1-1	b L	In close; evenly late
5/10	RP	1.81818f D	DbyTrl 10000	6th/8 -2¾L	85	10-1	b L	Stdly lost ground

2Shes Judge TeeLSA. Rivera · J. StinebaughRivera · StinebaughC84 85 87▼-3≡@trip 8515-1Fair 20-15%▼ Down -384 85 87 ≡@trip 85CLS
Card model 5% · Fair odds 20-1 · Our #5 · Tier C · Form ▼ Down -3 · ≡ Steady figures 84–89 · Best fig at today's trip 85 (2 tries) · Last 3 figs 84 85 87
LS
Longshot read: 15-1 on the morning line, and the model has it at 5% against a line of 5%. A read, not a bet.
Jockey Ali Rivera 34% career 10-for-93 on dirt this meet (11%) · Trainer John A Stinebaugh 36% career 10-for-65 on dirt this meet (15%) ★ hot
Also today · Jockey R2: The Dulce Tacha 12-1, R4: Dakota Stone 12-1, R6: I B A Big Girl 20-1, R7: Catching Your Dreams 12-1 +5 more · Trainer R2: The Dulce Tacha 12-1, R4: Dakota Stone 12-1, this race: Flies Like An Eagle 20-1, R6: I B A Big Girl 20-1 +7 more
WON LAST
Drops from allowance to stakes nongraded. Comes in off a victory in an 8-horse allowance race at LS.
PACE CHALLENGE Running style isn't established yet, so the pace read is a blank for this one.
WORKS LIGHT Few works lately, 0 works in 30d and the last 49 days ago
RECORD Ali Rivera from post 2 here: 7 wins, 22 top-3 in 46 rides · 17% wins from all posts here
Last three races
Date Trk Dist Class Finish Fig Odds Eq Trip
10/2 LS 1.81818f D Alw n2l Won/8 84 3.1-1 b L Held sway
8/9 ALB 2f D DbyTrl 10000 7th/8 -3¼L 85 10-1 b L In close; faded
7/11 ALB 2f D RainbOakG1 G1 6th/9 -3¾L 87 92-1 b L Never fired

3Di Kvn WavenG. Linares · O. NunezLinares · NunezA101 95 95▲+3≡@trip 1035-2Fair 5-117%▲ Up +3101 95 95 ≡@trip 103A3

Card model 17% · Fair odds 5-1 · Our #3 · Tier A · Form ▲ Up +3 · ≡ Steady figures 95–103 · Best fig at today's trip 103 (5 tries) · Last 3 figs 101 95 95

Jockey Gilberto Linares 33% career 8-for-57 on dirt this meet (14%) · Trainer Oscar Nunez 27% career 2-for-41 on dirt this meet (5%)

Also today · Jockey R1: Cowgirl Speed 8-1, R2: Coronas Famouscartel 20-1, R3: Prize Time Girl 15-1, R6: Sunshining 4-1 +3 more · Trainer R3: Prize Time Girl 15-1, R12: Chloes Man 15-1

60D LAYOFF★ FASTEST WORK

5 wins from 12 starts at this distance. Runs for $10,000 today after a $35,500 race last time.

PACE CHALLENGE Style isn't established yet, so how it fits this shape is open.

TROUBLED TRIP Bump after brk gd… last out; the speed figure already reflects it.

WORKS SHARP 1.1f in :13.00 on Apr 22 was the best time at that distance that morning; 1 work in 30d

RECORD Gilberto Linares from post 3 here: 1 win, 7 top-3 in 15 rides · 15% wins from all posts here

Last three races

Date	Trk	Dist	Class	Finish	Fig	Odds	Eq	Trip
8/30	GIL	1½f D	GilFil&Mar36k	5th/10 -1¼L	101	1.5-1	b L	Bump after brk gd effo
8/8	RET	1.81818f D	DbyTrl 10000	2nd/9 by hd	95	0.6-1	b L	Dueled; out finished
7/3	RET	1.59091f D	SelmaS G3	2nd/9 -1L	95	7.2-1	b L	Game second

4Flies Like An EagleR. Pina · J. StinebaughPina · StinebaughB82 95 84▼-5@trip 9520-1Fair 30-13%▼ Down -582 95 84@trip 95B

Card model 3% · Fair odds 30-1 · Our #7 · Tier B · Form ▼ Down -5 · Best fig at today's trip 95 (3 tries) · Last 3 figs 82 95 84

Jockey Rolando Del Rio Pina 32% career · Trainer John A Stinebaugh 36% career 10-for-65 on dirt this meet (15%)

Also today · Trainer R2: The Dulce Tacha 12-1, R4: Dakota Stone 12-1, this race: Shes Judge Tee 15-1, R6: I B A Big Girl 20-1 +7 more

60D LAYOFF

Freshened 128 days, longer than anything else in the field. Watch how its recent works look. Gets a new rider, Rolando Del Rio Pina replacing Gilberto Linares.

PACE CHALLENGE No running style on file yet, so the pace shape can't be applied to it.

WORKS Routine prep: 1 work in 30d, last 23d ago

RECORD 1 win, 1 on the board from 3 starts here

Last three races

Date	Trk	Dist	Class	Finish	Fig	Odds	Eq	Trip
6/25	RET	1½f D	fsLa Villita46k	5th/10 -2L	82	19-1	b L	No menace
5/21	HOU	1.81818f D	DbyTrl 10000	4th/7 -3L	95	4.1-1	b L	Step slow; evenly
4/23	HOU	1.59091f D	Alw n2l	Won/10	84	1.9-1	b L	Dueled; driving finish

5Shes Ec to Tempt★F. Calderon · J. GarciaCalderon · GarciaA104 97 106▲▲+8↕@trip 1042-1Fair 3-239%▲▲ Big jump +8104 97 106 ↕@trip 104A★ Best at the trip 1041

Card model 39% · Fair odds 3-2 · Our #1 · Tier A · Form ▲▲ Big jump +8 · ↕ Up-and-down figures 85–106 · Best fig at today's trip 104 (3 tries) · Last 3 figs 104 97 106

★ Best at the trip 104

Jockey Francisco Calderon 37% career ★ 11-for-55 on dirt this meet (20%) · Trainer Jose A Garcia 32% career 2-for-33 on dirt this meet (6%) ★ hot

Also today · Jockey R2: Fortyacres And Amule 5-1, R4: Dr Americas Dynasty 15-1, R6: Apollirevenge 3-1, R8: Holms 9-5 +4 more · Trainer R3: Coronado Jess 7-2, R7: Aj Venom Player 6-5, R8: Holms 9-5

60D LAYOFFWON LAST

Tops the field on speed figures, a 106 against 103 for the next best. Last start was a win, in a 9-horse race at RET at 0.8-1.

PACE CHALLENGE No running style on file yet, so the pace shape can't be applied to it.

SHARP LAST OUT Last time the chart read: Drew away; much best.

WORKS SHARP Active work pattern for this group, 1 work in 30d and the last 11d back

RECORD Francisco Calderon from post 5 here: 9 wins, 20 top-3 in 41 rides · 19% wins from all posts here

Last three races

Date	Trk	Dist	Class	Finish	Fig	Odds	Eq	Trip
8/22	RET	1.81818f D	rTQSirDbRG3 G3	Won/9	104	0.8-1	b	Drew away; much best
8/8	RET	1.81818f D	DbyTrl 10000	Won/9	97	1.5-1	b	Dueled; driving finish
7/19	GIL	1.13636f D	GCFADutchm36k	Won/10	106	1.5-1	b	No troubles cruised ou

6Kj Flashing CandyG. Medrano · W. GilesMedrano · GilesB89 81 88►@trip 9510-1Fair 30-14%► Steady89 81 88@trip 95B

Card model 4% · Fair odds 30-1 · Our #6 · Tier B · Form ► Steady · Best fig at today's trip 95 (2 tries) · Last 3 figs 89 81 88

Jockey Gabriel Medrano 22% career 0-for-4 on dirt this meet · Trainer Wesley T Giles 33% career 2-for-12 on dirt this meet (17%)

Also today · Jockey R10: Kj Xquizit Jess 3-1, R11: Tga Cowboy 7-2 · Trainer R10: Kj Xquizit Jess 3-1, R11: Tga Cowboy 7-2

60D LAYOFF★ FASTEST WORK

Fastest 1F work of its morning on Jun 14 (:11.60), a sign it is training forwardly. Worked 1F in :11.20 on Dec 27, 2nd of 14 at the distance.

PACE CHALLENGE Running style isn't established yet, so the pace read is a blank for this one.

WORKS SHARP 1f in :11.60 on Jun 14 was the best time at that distance that morning; 1 work in 30d

Last three races

Date	Trk	Dist	Class	Finish	Fig	Odds	Eq	Trip
8/9	ALB	2f D	DbyTrl 10000	5th/8 -3L	89	18-1	b L	No rally;
7/11	ALB	2f D	RainbOakG1 G1	9th/9 -4¾L	81	66-1	b L	Off slow; retreated
6/28	ALB	2f D	DbyTrl 10000	4th/7 -1L	88	1.0-1	b L	In range; no rally

7Flying Joy 1R. Ramirez · S. WoodRamirez · WoodA102 96 95▲▲+10@trip 953-1Fair 7-221%▲▲ Big jump +10 · career best102 96 95@trip 95A2

Card model 21% · Fair odds 7-2 · Our #2 · Tier A · Form ▲▲ Big jump +10 · career best · Best fig at today's trip 95 (2 tries) · Last 3 figs 102 96 95

Jockey Ricky Ramirez 33% career 7-for-64 on dirt this meet (11%) · Trainer S Trey Wood 28% career 4-for-44 on dirt this meet (9%)

Also today · Jockey R8: Rr Jess A Bit Evil 9-2, R9: La Chuchy 30-1, R12: Jackson Davis 747 15-1 · Trainer R4: Sin Tachas Favorite 20-1, R7: Famous Ms Sashay 3-1, R9: La Chuchy 30-1

★ FASTEST WORKWON LAST

Has moved up each time out, 95 to 96 to 102. Runs for $10,000 today after a $694,186 race last time.

PACE CHALLENGE Style isn't established yet, so how it fits this shape is open.

WORKS SHARP 1.5f in :16.20 on Oct 9 was the best time at that distance that morning; 1 work in 30d

RECORD Ricky Ramirez from post 7 here: 1 win, 6 top-3 in 16 rides · 14% wins from all posts here

Last three races

Date	Trk	Dist	Class	Finish	Fig	Odds	Eq	Trip
9/6	ALB	2f D	AllAmOak G1	Won/9	102	34-1	b L	Inched away; held
8/9	ALB	2f D	DbyTrl 10000	2nd/6 by hd	96	3.3-1	b L	Broke out; just missed
5/10	RP	1.81818f D	DbyTrl 10000	4th/9 -¾L	95	11-1	b L	Early duel; outkicked

8Lonely LegacyRamirez Jr. · S. CoxRamirez Jr. · CoxC83 89 81►@trip 8320-1Fair 50-12%► Steady83 89 81@trip 83C
Card model 2% · Fair odds 50-1 · Our #8 · Tier C · Form ► Steady · Best fig at today's trip 83 (1 tries) · Last 3 figs 83 89 81
Jockey Jr Jr Ramirez 33% career · Trainer Shae L Cox 42% career ★ 5-for-25 on dirt this meet (20%) ★ hot
Also today · Jockey R2: Big Contract 20-1, R3: El Rajas Fire 15-1, R6: Alluring Lil Eagle 20-1 · Trainer R6: Alluring Lil Eagle 20-1
2/3 board here
2nd of 9 at 1F on Oct 17, in :11.80. Was running in allowance; today's stakes nongraded is an easier level on paper.
PACE CHALLENGE Running style isn't established yet, so the pace read is a blank for this one.
TROUBLED TRIP Chart note from last time: Squeezed st. A trip worth forgiving, though the number already carries it.
WORKS LIGHT Thin work schedule next to this field: 0 works in 30d, last one 123d ago
RECORD 0 wins, 2 on the board from 3 starts here
Last three races
Date Trk Dist Class Finish Fig Odds Eq Trip
10/8 LS 1.81818f D Alw n2l 5th/10 -2½L 83 24-1 b L Squeezed st
9/12 LS 1.59091f D Alw n2l 2nd/10 -1½L 89 26-1 b L Just short
8/8 RET 1.36364f D Alw n2l 5th/9 -1¼L 81 31-1 b L No menace

Date	Trk	Dist	Class	Finish	Fig	Odds	Eq	Trip
10/8	LS	1.81818f D	Alw n2l	5th/10 -2½L	83	24-1	b L	Squeezed st
9/12	LS	1.59091f D	Alw n2l	2nd/10 -1½L	89	26-1	b L	Just short
8/8	RET	1.36364f D	Alw n2l	5th/9 -1¼L	81	31-1	b L	No menace

9Miss NelyE. Vera · C. Martinez Jr.Vera · Martinez Jr.C76 94 83►↕@trip 9020-1Fair 99-11%► Steady76 94 83 ↕@trip 90C

Card model 1% · Fair odds 99-1 · Our #9 · Tier C · Form ► Steady · ↕ Up-and-down figures 58–94 · Best fig at today's trip 90 (2 tries) · Last 3 figs 76 94 83

Jockey Eliazar T Vera 26% career 1-for-22 on dirt this meet (5%) · Trainer Cleto Jr Martinez 32% career 0-for-5 on dirt this meet

2/4 board here

Class relief: optional claiming last time, stakes nongraded today. Finished 5th in a 7-horse optional claiming race at LS, beaten 3½ lengths.

PACE CHALLENGE No running style on file yet, so the pace shape can't be applied to it.

WORKS LIGHT Few works lately, 0 works in 30d and the last 200 days ago

RECORD 1 win, 2 on the board from 4 starts here

RECORD Eliazar T Vera from post 9 here: 1 win, 2 top-3 in 18 rides · 5% wins from all posts here

Last three races

Date	Trk	Dist	Class	Finish	Fig	Odds	Eq	Trip
10/16	LS	1.59091f D	OC 15k	5th/7 -3½L	76	11-1	b L	Off slow
8/30	GIL	1½f D	GilFil&Mar36k	7th/10 -2¼L	94	34-1	b L	Sloppy going no factor
8/16	GIL	1.59091f D	DbyTrl 9000	3rd/9 -2L	83	21-1	b L	Steady drive good trip

10Eagles a Bit RustyJ. Herbert · G. GonzalezHerbert · GonzalezC73 89 63►↕@trip 8930-1Fair 99-1<1%► Steady73 89 63 ↕@trip 89C

Card model <1% · Fair odds 99-1 · Our #10 · Tier C · Form ► Steady · ↕ Up-and-down figures 63–89 · Best fig at today's trip 89 (6 tries) · Last 3 figs 73 89 63

Jockey Jose R Herbert 32% career 1-for-31 on dirt this meet (3%) · Trainer Gilberto Gonzalez 31% career 1-for-36 on dirt this meet (3%)

Also today · Trainer R7: Digital Dollar 30-1, R12: Capital Hatters 30-1

2/4 board here

Finished 9th in a 10-horse allowance race at LS, beaten 6 lengths. Class relief: allowance last time, stakes nongraded today.

PACE CHALLENGE Style isn't established yet, so how it fits this shape is open.

WORKS LIGHT Thin work schedule next to this field: 0 works in 30d, last one 252d ago

RECORD 1 win, 2 on the board from 4 starts here

Last three races

Date	Trk	Dist	Class	Finish	Fig	Odds	Eq	Trip
10/8	LS	1.81818f D	Alw n2l	9th/10 -6L	73	67-1	b L	No menace
8/21	RET	1.36364f D	Alw n2l	3rd/10 -½L	89	46-1	b L	Bid; out finished
8/8	RET	1.81818f D	DbyTrl 10000	8th/8 -6L	63	76-1	b L	Shuffled; trailed

▲ / ▼ angle for / against · ★ best figure at the trip · LS longshot read · 1 2 3 = our top three · A B C tiers · ▲ ► ▼ form · ≡ ↕ steady / up-and-down. Tap a row for its notes, a name for the horse's page. Analysis only. Pace: hard to project, too many first-time starters.

How to read these marks

1 2 3: Our top three by the card model's win chance. Tap “Our order” to sort by it.
Win %, Fair: The card model's chance to win, and the odds that chance works out to with no takeout. Fair is green when the model rates the horse above its morning line (the line scaled to add up to 100%).
Tier A B C ?: The field ranked on recent speed figures and the morning line together: A = top three, B = next three, C = the rest, ? = no figures yet.
71 60 72: Last three speed figures, newest first. “@trip 75” = best figure at today's distance (within 30 yards) on this surface.
▲▲ ▲ ► ▼ ▼▼: Form: last figure against the average of the three before it. ▲ = up 3 or more, ▲▲ = up 8 or more, ► = within 3, ▼ / ▼▼ = down. The number is the difference.
≡ ↕: ≡ steady: the last four figures sit close together. ↕ up-and-down: they swing widely.
★: Best figure in the field at today's distance and surface, from two or more tries, not tied. When that horse isn't in our top three it gets a “Distance horse” note above the field.
▲ ▼ chips: Handicapping angles for or against the horse. LS = longshot read: 8-1 or more on the morning line and the model rates it higher than that line.

These marks describe the past performances. None of them is proven to beat the odds: in our test of 100 handicapping angles, nothing did better than the final odds, and the morning-line favourite wins more races than our top-ranked horse. Read them as notes, not as a reason to bet.

Race conditions and our readpace, conditions, story

LONE STAR PARK · RACE 5

UPCOMING

Trial

Field

10 runners

Purse

$10,000

Post

8:49 PM ET

Pace

Pace Vacuum

Card model top pick

#5 · 39%

Stakes, for fillies, 3-year-olds.

Stakes race — the top class. Owners pay entry/nomination fees that build the purse, which draws the best horses available.

● Breed: Quarter Horse

● Track record at 400 Yards: 19.2

The shape is the story here: the early pace looks honest rather than contested — expect a fairly run race where class and trip decide it, not pace collapse.

Our number tops on #5 Shes Ec To Tempt (a tactical type, M/L 2-1). Recent figures: 104 · 97 · 106. It exits a win and is clearly doing well. Backup is #7 Flying Joy 1 at 3-1. Use #3 Di Kvn Waven in exotic structures.

What would change our mind: a key scratch that reshapes the early pace, a sharp turf-to-dirt or surface switch off the rail, or live money showing up on a horse the board had dismissed. Watch the tote late.

At a glance: model vs the morning line

At a glance

Market favourite #5 SHES EC TO TEMPT (2-1) — our number agrees.
#5 SHES EC TO TEMPT — our top number on the card, about right at the windows (27.9% to their 25.5%).
#3 DI KVN WAVEN — our #3 number, about right at the windows (22.6% to their 21.8%).
#7 FLYING JOY 1 — our #2 number, about right at the windows (20.7% to their 19.1%).

Model vs the morning line · analysis, not advice

The model and the morning line roughly agree on this field.

Pacewho goes to the front

Pace

Pace Vacuum. No real early speed. Whoever shows up first is likely uncontested. Pressers benefit.

and works against #1 Diamond Cowgirl 123, #2 Shes Judge Tee, #3 Di Kvn Waven.

Lead

none

Press

none

Stalk

none

No style yet

1Diamond Cowgirl 1232Shes Judge Tee3Di Kvn Waven4Flies Like An Eagle5Shes Ec To Tempt6Kj Flashing Candy7Flying Joy 18Lonely Legacy9Miss Nely10Eagles A Bit Rusty

Number = last-race early-pace figure. Green border = the shape helps; red = it works against.

Early speed and closing figures, horse by horse

Closing Kick · late-pace figure

Diamond Cowgirl 123

Shes Judge Tee

Flies Like An Eagle

Shes Ec To Tempt

Kj Flashing Candy

Flying Joy 1

Lonely Legacy

Miss Nely

Eagles A Bit Rusty

Di Kvn Waven

-1

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