Pick sheet

Race 73:30 PM Trial

1.8F · Dirt · 9 entered. Our model's top pick, Dressed N Blackk, is 43% to win (morning line implies 27%). Pace: hard to project, too many first-time starters.

Top pick #7 Dressed N Blackk ML 2-1 Fair 7-5 Model #1 ▲▲ Big jump +11 ↕ Up and down 70–96

Jockey J. Pulido · Trainer J. Vane · KEE 2: 2-0-0 · Dist 4: 2-1-0 · 34 days off

Date	Trk	Dist	Class	Finish	Fig	Odds	Eq	Trip
9/28	WRD	1.59091f D	sMystrFuRG2 G2	Won/10 by hd	94	1.6-1	b L	Vied;dug in late;held
9/14	WRD	1.59091f D	sFutTrl5000	Won/9 by hd	96	5.2-1	b L	Dueled;proved best
8/7	RET	1.59091f D	FutTrl10000	2nd/9 -½L	82	11-1	b L	Finished strong

Case: Last out won in the sMystrFuRG2-G2 at WRD. Last Brisnet figures 94-96-82. 2-for-4 at the distance. 2-for-2 at Will Rogers Downs. J. Vane / J. Pulido.

Knock: Never raced this far (longest 1.59091f).

Contender #9 Ts Cyber Flash ML 3-1 Fair 9-2 Model #2 ▲ Up +3

Jockey E. Escobedo · Trainer F. Manriquez · Dist 4: 3-0-0 · 121 days off

Date	Trk	Dist	Class	Finish	Fig	Odds	Eq	Trip
7/3	PRM	1½f D	sHawkeyeFut50k	Won/10	85	2.1-1	b LB	Broke out;bump 2x st;
6/14	PRM	1½f D	sFutTrl15002	Won/9	90	0.3-1	b LB	Going away
5/8	RP	1.59091f D	FutTrl15000	4th/8 -1¾L	80	4.0-1	b L	Bmpd; no gain

Case: Last out won in the sHawkeyeFut50k at PRM. Last Brisnet figures 85-90-80. 3-for-4 at the distance. F. Manriquez / E. Escobedo.

Knock: Never raced this far (longest 1.59091f). Off 121 days.

Use #6 Urban Cowboy 123 ML 4-1 Fair 10-1 Model #3 ▲ Up +3 · career best ≡ Steady 79–85 Last out 3rd in the sFutTrl5000 at WRD. Last Brisnet figures 85-84-83. 0-for-6 at the distance. 0-for-1 at Will Rogers Downs. J. Olmstead / J. Soto. Knock: Never raced this far (longest 1.59091f). 0-for-6 at the distance.

Jockey J. Soto · Trainer J. Olmstead · KEE 1: 0-0-1 · Dist 6: 0-2-2 · 48 days off

Date	Trk	Dist	Class	Finish	Fig	Odds	Eq	Trip
9/14	WRD	1.59091f D	sFutTrl5000	3rd/8 -1¾L	85	7.8-1	b L	Outkicked;kept on late
8/10	PRM	1.13636f D	MSW	2nd/8	84	0.9-1	b LB	Nipped on wire
7/4	PRM	1.59091f D	PRMGoldJuv30k	4th/7 -¾L	83	2.9-1	b LB	In the mix;evenly

Longshot #2 Counter 44 ML 15-1 Fair 20-1 Model #6 ▼▼ Big drop -19 ↕ Up and down 68–90

Jockey C. Esqueda · Trainer C. Hunt · Dist 6: 2-1-1 · 37 days off

Date	Trk	Dist	Class	Finish	Fig	Odds	Eq	Trip
9/25	PRM	1.59091f D	ValJunFuG3 G3	10th/10 -4¼L	68	8.8-1	b LB	Tight early;lost path
9/6	PRM	1.59091f D	FutTrl8000	2nd/8 -1½L	84	2.2-1	b LB	Good finish
8/15	PRM	1.59091f D	PrmJuvChal56k	3rd/8 -2¼L	90	1.3-1	b LB	Late gain

Case: Last out 10th/10 -4¼L in the ValJunFuG3-G3 at PRM. Last Brisnet figures 68-84-90. 2-for-6 at the distance. C. Hunt / C. Esqueda.

Knock: Never raced this far (longest 1.59091f). Never raced at Will Rogers Downs.

Narrowing the field: A #4, #7, #9 · B #2, #3, #6 · C #1, #5, #8

R7 WRD · Trial

3:30 PM ET · 400 Yards Dirt · $5,000 · 9 runners3:30 PM · 1.8f Dirt · 9 runners

Official $5,000 · Trial

Card modelCard model StrongFormLast 3 figsTier · angles

1Another RowndRan 8thM. Delgado · S. ValdiviaDelgado · ValdiviaC73 84 76▼▼-920-1Fair 30-13%▼▼ Big drop -973 84 76C

Card model 3% · Fair odds 30-1 · Our #8 · Tier C · Form ▼▼ Big drop -9 · Last 3 figs 73 84 76

Jockey Mario Delgado 32% career 12-for-84 on dirt this meet (14%) · Trainer Samuel E Valdivia 29% career 11-for-59 on dirt this meet (19%)

Also today · Jockey R1: Vf Zip N Run 10-1, R3: Maverykk 5-1, R6: Mannfredi 8-1, R8: Bv Wanta B A Cowboy 15-1 +1 more · Trainer R9: Painted Smoke Wagon 10-1, R10: Juncture 12-1, R11: Ss First Down Fancy 5-2

Was running in maiden claiming $7,500; today's stakes nongraded is an easier level on paper. Ranks first in the field on Brisnet Prime Power.

PACE CHALLENGE No running style on file yet, so the pace shape can't be applied to it.

WORKS LIGHT Light on works against these rivals (0 works in 30d, last 208d back)

RECORD 0 wins, 1 on the board from 3 starts here

Last three races

Date	Trk	Dist	Class	Finish	Fig	Odds	Eq	Trip
10/25	WRD	1½f D	MCL 7k	5th/9 -1¾L	73	2.0-1	b L	Chased;finished evenly
10/13	WRD	1.13636f D	MCL 7k	2nd/9 -½L	84	3.6-1	b L	Crowded st;bid;denied
9/27	WRD	1½f D	sMd10000	9th/10 -4¼L	76	15-1	b L	Broke in;no factor

2Counter 44LSRan 3rdC. Esqueda · C. HuntEsqueda · HuntB68 84 90▼▼-19↕15-1Fair 15-16%▼▼ Big drop -1968 84 90 ↕BLS

Card model 6% · Fair odds 15-1 · Our #6 · Tier B · Form ▼▼ Big drop -19 · ↕ Up-and-down figures 68–90 · Last 3 figs 68 84 90

Longshot read: 15-1 on the morning line, and the model has it at 6% against a line of 5%. A read, not a bet.

Jockey Christian Esqueda 29% career 3-for-40 on dirt this meet (8%) · Trainer Charles R Hunt 22% career

Also today · Jockey R1: Ms Chievious 2-1, R2: Azoomin Cowboy 6-1, R5: Nsm B24 8-1, R8: Jump Jump Jerry 6-1 +2 more · Trainer R5: Nsm B24 8-1

Trending the wrong way on speed, 90 to 84 to 68. Purse drops from $345,110 to $5,000 against its last start.

PACE CHALLENGE No style on record, so the setup says little about it.

WORKS SHARP Active work pattern for this group, 1 work in 30d and the last 6d back

Last three races

Date	Trk	Dist	Class	Finish	Fig	Odds	Eq	Trip
9/25	PRM	1.59091f D	ValJunFuG3 G3	10th/10 -4¼L	68	8.8-1	b LB	Tight early;lost path
9/6	PRM	1.59091f D	FutTrl8000	2nd/8 -1½L	84	2.2-1	b LB	Good finish
8/15	PRM	1.59091f D	PrmJuvChal56k	3rd/8 -2¼L	90	1.3-1	b LB	Late gain

3Hes UnbeatableRan 6thR. Garcia · J. OlmsteadGarcia · OlmsteadB84 82 84▲+6@trip 6910-1Fair 15-16%▲ Up +6 · career best84 82 84@trip 69B

Card model 6% · Fair odds 15-1 · Our #5 · Tier B · Form ▲ Up +6 · career best · Best fig at today's trip 69 (1 tries) · Last 3 figs 84 82 84

Jockey Ramiro Haro Garcia 33% career 6-for-47 on dirt this meet (13%) · Trainer Jason L Olmstead 35% career 3-for-59 on dirt this meet (5%) ★ hot

Also today · Jockey R2: Southard Legend 10-1, R3: Tux Hard Shop 15-1, R4: Famous N Relentless 2-1, R5: Tymetogojoe 4-1 +5 more · Trainer R2: Holliewood 8-1, R2: The Cowboy Chick 3-1, R2: Southard Legend 10-1, R3: Political Spin 6-1 +25 more

Finished 2nd in a 10-horse maiden special weight race at WRD, beaten ½ length. 0 for 7 at today's distance.

PACE CHALLENGE Running style isn't established yet, so the pace read is a blank for this one.

WORKS LIGHT Thin work schedule next to this field: 0 works in 30d, last one 105d ago

Last three races

Date	Trk	Dist	Class	Finish	Fig	Odds	Eq	Trip
10/11	WRD	1.36364f D	MSW	2nd/10 -½L	84	1.5-1	b L	Chased winner;held 2nd
9/14	WRD	1.59091f D	sFutTrl5000	5th/8 -2L	82	19-1	b L	Step slow;no late kick
8/7	ALB	2f D	FutTrl10000	8th/10 -2¼L	84	64-1	b L	Faded;

4Virtual EscapeRan 4thF. Fonseca-Soto · D. PeeryFonseca-Soto · PeeryA95 866-1Fair 10-110%—95 86A
Card model 10% · Fair odds 10-1 · Our #4 · Tier A · Last 3 figs 95 86
Jockey Fernando Fonseca-Soto 28% career 1-for-26 on dirt this meet (4%) · Trainer Durk L Peery 28% career 0-for-5 on dirt this meet
Also today · Jockey R1: Little White Dove 7-2, R2: Wf Tuff As Diamonds 15-1
★ FASTEST WORK
A big drop, allowance to stakes nongraded, and worth asking why. Last out was 2nd, a head behind the winner, in a 10-horse allowance race at WRD.
PACE CHALLENGE No style on record, so the setup says little about it.
WORKS SHARP Fastest work of the morning on Aug 17 (1F in :11.20), 0 works in 30d
Last three races
Date Trk Dist Class Finish Fig Odds Eq Trip
10/4 WRD 1.36364f D sAlw20900n2l 2nd/10 by hd 95 3.7-1 b L Bmpd st;bid;gamely
5/1 RP 1½f D MSW Won/9 86 48-1 b L Urged&surged for upset

Date	Trk	Dist	Class	Finish	Fig	Odds	Eq	Trip
10/4	WRD	1.36364f D	sAlw20900n2l	2nd/10 by hd	95	3.7-1	b L	Bmpd st;bid;gamely
5/1	RP	1½f D	MSW	Won/9	86	48-1	b L	Urged&surged for upset

5Js Dasher HeroRan 9thJ. Cardenas · J. ChavezCardenas · ChavezC85 78 67▲▲+18↕20-1Fair 99-11%▲▲ Big jump +18 · career best85 78 67 ↕C

Card model 1% · Fair odds 99-1 · Our #9 · Tier C · Form ▲▲ Big jump +18 · career best · ↕ Up-and-down figures 57–85 · Last 3 figs 85 78 67

Jockey Jacob Cardenas 32% career 1-for-16 on dirt this meet (6%) · Trainer Jose Chavez 27% career 0-for-7 on dirt this meet

Also today · Jockey R11: Della Doux 20-1

New trainer: Eddie D Willis had it last time, Jose Chavez now. Quick turnaround, just 6 days since the last start.

PACE CHALLENGE Style isn't established yet, so how it fits this shape is open.

WORKS LIGHT Thin work schedule next to this field: 0 works in 30d, last one 71d ago

Last three races

Date	Trk	Dist	Class	Finish	Fig	Odds	Eq	Trip
10/26	WRD	1.13636f D	sMd10000c	3rd/7 -1½L	85	2.5-1	b	Rallied;DH 2nd
10/13	WRD	1½f D	MCL 10k	3rd/10 by hd	78	14-1	b	Dueled;couldn't last
6/26	FMT	1.13636f D	MSW	7th/8 -5¾L	67	27-1	b	Bobbled start;outrun

6Urban Cowboy 123Ran 5thJ. Soto · J. OlmsteadSoto · OlmsteadB85 84 83▲+3≡4-1Fair 10-110%▲ Up +3 · career best85 84 83 ≡B3

Card model 10% · Fair odds 10-1 · Our #3 · Tier B · Form ▲ Up +3 · career best · ≡ Steady figures 79–85 · Last 3 figs 85 84 83

Jockey Jhaciel Soto 26% career 0-for-5 on dirt this meet · Trainer Jason L Olmstead 35% career 3-for-59 on dirt this meet (5%)

Also today · Jockey R3: Political Spin 6-1, R4: Relentless Wine 10-1, R5: Kissin Lane Lo 3-1, R6: Duty Callz 20-1 +3 more · Trainer R2: Holliewood 8-1, R2: The Cowboy Chick 3-1, R2: Southard Legend 10-1, R3: Political Spin 6-1 +25 more

Winless in 6 starts at this distance. Beaten 1¾ lengths for 3rd in an 8-horse stakes race at WRD.

PACE CHALLENGE No running style on file yet, so the pace shape can't be applied to it.

WORKS LIGHT Light on works against these rivals (0 works in 30d, last 234d back)

Last three races

Date	Trk	Dist	Class	Finish	Fig	Odds	Eq	Trip
9/14	WRD	1.59091f D	sFutTrl5000	3rd/8 -1¾L	85	7.8-1	b L	Outkicked;kept on late
8/10	PRM	1.13636f D	MSW	2nd/8	84	0.9-1	b LB	Nipped on wire
7/4	PRM	1.59091f D	PRMGoldJuv30k	4th/7 -¾L	83	2.9-1	b LB	In the mix;evenly

7Dressed N BlackkRan 1stJ. Pulido · J. VanePulido · VaneA94 96 82▲▲+11↕2-1Fair 7-543%▲▲ Big jump +1194 96 82 ↕A1

Card model 43% · Fair odds 7-5 · Our #1 · Tier A · Form ▲▲ Big jump +11 · ↕ Up-and-down figures 70–96 · Last 3 figs 94 96 82

Jockey Juan Pulido 44% career ★ 13-for-38 on dirt this meet (34%), #1 of 33 · Trainer Jed H Vane 34% career ★ 11-for-26 on dirt this meet (42%), #2 of 44 ★ hot

Also today · Jockey R3: Dr Cocktail Hour 3-1, R5: Arbuckles 15-1 · Trainer R3: Dr Cocktail Hour 3-1

★ FASTEST WORKWON LAST

Tops the field on speed figures, a 96 against 95 for the next best. Comes in off a victory in a 10-horse race at WRD.

PACE CHALLENGE No running style on file yet, so the pace shape can't be applied to it.

WORKS SHARP 1f in :12.20 on Jul 8 was the best time at that distance that morning; 0 works in 30d

Last three races

Date	Trk	Dist	Class	Finish	Fig	Odds	Eq	Trip
9/28	WRD	1.59091f D	sMystrFuRG2 G2	Won/10 by hd	94	1.6-1	b L	Vied;dug in late;held
9/14	WRD	1.59091f D	sFutTrl5000	Won/9 by hd	96	5.2-1	b L	Dueled;proved best
8/7	RET	1.59091f D	FutTrl10000	2nd/9 -½L	82	11-1	b L	Finished strong

8Aj Time to FlyRan 7thF. Ramirez Jr. · J. OlmsteadRamirez Jr. · OlmsteadC82 74 61▲▲+8↕@trip 6115-1Fair 30-13%▲▲ Big jump +882 74 61 ↕@trip 61C

Card model 3% · Fair odds 30-1 · Our #7 · Tier C · Form ▲▲ Big jump +8 · ↕ Up-and-down figures 61–87 · Best fig at today's trip 61 (1 tries) · Last 3 figs 82 74 61

Jockey Francisco Raul Jr Ramirez 33% career 0-for-7 on dirt this meet · Trainer Jason L Olmstead 35% career 3-for-59 on dirt this meet (5%) ★ hot

Also today · Jockey R2: Holliewood 8-1, R4: Atsi Monday 3-1, R5: Aj Wine Wagon 6-1, R6: Quit Kissin My Hocks 15-1 +1 more · Trainer R2: Holliewood 8-1, R2: The Cowboy Chick 3-1, R2: Southard Legend 10-1, R3: Political Spin 6-1 +25 more

Figures are climbing: 61, 74, 82 over its last three. Class relief: maiden special weight last time, stakes nongraded today.

PACE CHALLENGE Style isn't established yet, so how it fits this shape is open.

WORKS LIGHT Thin work schedule next to this field: 0 works in 30d, last one 234d ago

Last three races

Date	Trk	Dist	Class	Finish	Fig	Odds	Eq	Trip
9/27	WRD	1.59091f D	MSW	5th/10 -2L	82	20-1	b L	Off pace;no rally
8/8	ALB	2f D	FutTrl10000	8th/9 -5L	74	53-1	b L	Tired badly;
6/27	ALB	1.81818f D	FutTrl10000	7th/10 -6L	61	47-1	b L	Pushed out start

9Ts Cyber FlashRan 2ndE. Escobedo · F. ManriquezEscobedo · ManriquezA85 90 80▲+33-1Fair 9-218%▲ Up +385 90 80A2

Card model 18% · Fair odds 9-2 · Our #2 · Tier A · Form ▲ Up +3 · Last 3 figs 85 90 80

Jockey Edwin G Escobedo 36% career 7-for-53 on dirt this meet (13%) · Trainer Fernando Ivan Manriquez 28% career 0-for-7 on dirt this meet

Also today · Jockey R2: Shannons Dynasty 12-1, R4: Valiant Geronimo 15-1, R5: Dulces Fire Z 2-1, R6: Henry Standing Bear 4-1 +3 more · Trainer R5: Strive 10-1

60D LAYOFFWON LAST

Freshened 121 days, longer than anything else in the field. Watch how its recent works look. 3 wins from 4 starts at this distance.

PACE CHALLENGE Running style isn't established yet, so the pace read is a blank for this one.

TROUBLED TRIP Broke out; bump 2x st last out; the speed figure already reflects it.

WORKS SHARP One of the busier work schedules here: 1 work in 30d, last 19d ago

Last three races

Date	Trk	Dist	Class	Finish	Fig	Odds	Eq	Trip
7/3	PRM	1½f D	sHawkeyeFut50k	Won/10	85	2.1-1	b LB	Broke out;bump 2x st;
6/14	PRM	1½f D	sFutTrl15002	Won/9	90	0.3-1	b LB	Going away
5/8	RP	1.59091f D	FutTrl15000	4th/8 -1¾L	80	4.0-1	b L	Bmpd; no gain

▲ / ▼ angle for / against · ★ best figure at the trip · LS longshot read · 1 2 3 = our top three · A B C tiers · ▲ ► ▼ form · ≡ ↕ steady / up-and-down. Tap a row for its notes, a name for the horse's page. Analysis only. Pace: hard to project, too many first-time starters.

How to read these marks

1 2 3: Our top three by the card model's win chance. Tap “Our order” to sort by it.
Win %, Fair: The card model's chance to win, and the odds that chance works out to with no takeout. Fair is green when the model rates the horse above its morning line (the line scaled to add up to 100%).
Tier A B C ?: The field ranked on recent speed figures and the morning line together: A = top three, B = next three, C = the rest, ? = no figures yet.
71 60 72: Last three speed figures, newest first. “@trip 75” = best figure at today's distance (within 30 yards) on this surface.
▲▲ ▲ ► ▼ ▼▼: Form: last figure against the average of the three before it. ▲ = up 3 or more, ▲▲ = up 8 or more, ► = within 3, ▼ / ▼▼ = down. The number is the difference.
≡ ↕: ≡ steady: the last four figures sit close together. ↕ up-and-down: they swing widely.
★: Best figure in the field at today's distance and surface, from two or more tries, not tied. When that horse isn't in our top three it gets a “Distance horse” note above the field.
▲ ▼ chips: Handicapping angles for or against the horse. LS = longshot read: 8-1 or more on the morning line and the model rates it higher than that line.

These marks describe the past performances. None of them is proven to beat the odds: in our test of 100 handicapping angles, nothing did better than the final odds, and the morning-line favourite wins more races than our top-ranked horse. Read them as notes, not as a reason to bet.

● Official result

$2 payoffs · our pre-race read is unchanged below

Our top pick, #7 Dressed N Blackk, won.

1st7Dressed N BlackkWin$2.80Place$2.20Show$2.10Our #1

2nd9Ts Cyber FlashWin—Place$5.00Show$3.40Our #2

3rd2Counter 44Win—Place—Show$3.60Our #6

4th4Virtual EscapeOur #4

Race conditions and our readpace, conditions, story

WRD · RACE 7

OFFICIAL

Trial

Field

9 runners

Purse

$5,000

Post

3:30 PM ET

Pace

Pace Vacuum

Card model top pick

#7 · 43%

Stakes, for colts and geldings, 2-year-olds.

Stakes race — the top class. Owners pay entry/nomination fees that build the purse, which draws the best horses available.

● Breed: Quarter Horse

● Track record at 400 Yards: 19.42

The shape is the story here: the early pace looks honest rather than contested — expect a fairly run race where class and trip decide it, not pace collapse.

Our number tops on #7 Dressed N Blackk (a tactical type, M/L 2-1). Recent figures: 94 · 96 · 82. It exits a win and is clearly doing well. Backup is #9 Ts Cyber Flash at 3-1. Use #6 Urban Cowboy 123 in exotic structures.

What would change our mind: a key scratch that reshapes the early pace, a sharp turf-to-dirt or surface switch off the rail, or live money showing up on a horse the board had dismissed. Watch the tote late.

● OUTCOME · WON

Top pick Dressed N Blackk won

What worked

✓ Top pick in the money (1st)
✓ Winner came from our top 3 (our #1)
✓ Our top 3 finished 1st, 2nd, 5th

TBredIQ ranking → finish

#1	#7 DRESSED N BLACKK	1st
#2	#9 TS CYBER FLASH	2nd
#3	#6 URBAN COWBOY 123	5th
#4	#4 VIRTUAL ESCAPE	4th
#5	#3 HES UNBEATABLE	6th

Actual finish

1st	#7 Dressed N Blackk	our #1
2nd	#9 Ts Cyber Flash	our #2
3rd	#2 Counter 44	our #6
4th	#4 Virtual Escape	our #4
5th	#6 Urban Cowboy 123	our #3

At a glance: model vs the morning line

At a glance

Market favourite #7 DRESSED N BLACKK (2-1) — our number agrees.
#7 DRESSED N BLACKK — our top number on the card, about right at the windows (30.4% to their 26.9%).
#9 TS CYBER FLASH — our #2 number, about right at the windows (21.6% to their 20.2%).
#6 URBAN COWBOY 123 — our #3 number, about right at the windows (13.9% to their 16.2%).

Model vs the morning line · analysis, not advice

The model and the morning line roughly agree on this field.

Pacewho goes to the front

Pace

Pace Vacuum. No real early speed. Whoever shows up first is likely uncontested. Pressers benefit.

and works against #1 Another Rownd, #2 Counter 44, #3 Hes Unbeatable.

Lead

none

Press

none

Stalk

none

No style yet

1Another Rownd2Counter 443Hes Unbeatable4Virtual Escape5Js Dasher Hero6Urban Cowboy 1237Dressed N Blackk8Aj Time To Fly9Ts Cyber Flash

Number = last-race early-pace figure. Green border = the shape helps; red = it works against.

Early speed and closing figures, horse by horse

Closing Kick · late-pace figure

Ts Cyber Flash

Counter 44

Another Rownd

Hes Unbeatable

Virtual Escape

Js Dasher Hero

Urban Cowboy 123

Dressed N Blackk

Aj Time To Fly

Bet types offeredwager menu

Bet types

Wagers offered on this race.

$2 EXACTA / (.50) TRIFECTA / (.10) SUPERFECTA / $2 DAILY DOUBLE

(.50) PICK 3 (RACES 7-8-9)

TBredIQ shows analysis only. We don’t build tickets or suggest amounts.

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