Pick sheet

Race 11:00 PM Md 10000

1.1F · Dirt · 10 entered. Our model's top pick, Ms Chievious, is 31% to win (morning line implies 26%). Pace: hard to project, too many first-time starters.

Top pick #1 Ms Chievious ML 2-1 Fair 5-2 Model #1 Top last-race fig ▲▲ Big jump +15 · career best ↕ Up and down 59–85

Jockey C. Esqueda · Trainer E. Hardy · Dist 5: 0-1-0 · best fig at 1.13636f dirt 85 · 65 days off

Date	Trk	Dist	Class	Finish	Fig	Odds	Eq	Trip
8/28	PRM	1.13636f D	MCL 20k	4th/7 -3½L	85	3.2-1	b LB	Edged closer late
7/19	PRM	1.36364f D	MCL 12k	2nd/6	76	2.7-1	b LB	Speed; caught
6/13	PRM	1.59091f D	MSW	5th/5 -½L	76	12-1	b LB	Inside; faded

Case: Last out 4th/7 -3½L in the Md20000 at PRM. Last Brisnet figures 85-76-76. Best at today's distance 85. 0-for-5 at the distance. E. Hardy / C. Esqueda.

Knock: Off 65 days. Never raced at Will Rogers Downs.

Contender #7 Little White Dove ML 7-2 Fair 9-2 Model #2 ► Steady ≡ Steady 77–83

Jockey F. Fonseca-Soto · Trainer H. Hobbs · KEE 1: 0-0-0 · Dist 9: 0-1-1 · best fig at 1.13636f dirt 81 · 33 days off

Date	Trk	Dist	Class	Finish	Fig	Odds	Eq	Trip
9/29	WRD	1.13636f D	MCL 15k	4th/9 -3½L	81	5.6-1	b L	Off slow;came on late
9/3	CBY	1.81818f D	sMinnestDby41k	7th/8 -1½L	79	73-1	b L	Brsh brk;chase;wkn
8/13	CBY	1.36364f D	sMdSpWt	2nd/5 -2½L	77	8.7-1	b L	Improved

Case: Last out 4th/9 -3½L in the Md15000 at WRD. Last Brisnet figures 81-79-77. Best at today's distance 81. 0-for-9 at the distance. 0-for-1 at Will Rogers Downs. H. Hobbs / F. Fonseca-Soto.

Knock: 0-for-9 at the distance.

Use #6 Make It Country ML 6-1 Fair 7-1 Model #3 ▲▲ Big jump +11 ↕ Up and down 54–79 Last out 4th/6 -½L in the sMd10000 at WRD. Last Brisnet figures 79-71-78. Best at today's distance 83. 0-for-11 at the distance. 0-for-4 at Will Rogers Downs. M. Hurdle / C. Smith. Knock: 0-for-11 at the distance.

Jockey C. Smith · Trainer M. Hurdle · KEE 4: 0-1-0 · Dist 11: 0-1-1 · best fig at 1.13636f dirt 83 · 35 days off

Date	Trk	Dist	Class	Finish	Fig	Odds	Eq	Trip
9/27	WRD	1.36364f D	sMd10000	4th/6 -½L	79	6.6-1	b L	Close up;yielded late
7/9	FMT	1.36364f D	sMd10000	7th/10 -2¾L	71	12-1	b L	Wiped out start; evenl
6/24	FMT	1.13636f D	MCL 10k	3rd/7 -2L	78	8.5-1	b L	Broke out; held show

Longshot #3 Lil Kool Wink ML 15-1 Fair 20-1 Model #7 ▲ Up +5 ↕ Up and down 61–84 Lasix off

Jockey C. Benn · Trainer G. Walker · KEE 2: 0-0-1 · Dist 9: 0-1-1 · best fig at 1.13636f dirt 85 · 73 days off

Date	Trk	Dist	Class	Finish	Fig	Odds	Eq	Trip
8/20	SRR	1.13636f D	MSW	6th/8 -1½L	79	32-1	b L	Chased;no threat
6/27	FMT	1.13636f D	MCL 15k	6th/6 -3L	61	2.3-1	b L	Bobbled;no late kick
6/12	FMT	1.36364f D	MSW	6th/9 -1L	84	4.7-1	b L	Prominent;yielded late

Case: Last out 6th/8 -1½L in the fMdSpWt at SRR. Last Brisnet figures 79-61-84. Best at today's distance 85. 0-for-9 at the distance. 0-for-2 at Will Rogers Downs. G. Walker / C. Benn.

Knock: Off 73 days. 0-for-9 at the distance.

★ Distance horse: #4 Rykar (6-1) has the best figure in the field at 1.13636f dirt: 90 from 5 tries, record at the distance 14: 0-3-2. Not one of our picks.

Narrowing the field: A #1, #4, #7 · B #3, #5, #6 · C #2, #8, #9 · ? #10 (no figures yet, never thrown out)

R1 WRD · Maiden Claiming $10,000

1:00 PM ET · 250 Yards Dirt · $14,800 · 10 runners1:00 PM · 1.1f Dirt · 10 runners

Official $15K · Maiden Claiming $10,000

Card modelCard model MediumFormLast 3 figsTier · angles

★ Distance horse: #4 Rykar (6-1) has the best figure in the field at today's distance and surface: 90 from 5 tries. Not in our top three.

1Ms ChieviousRan 6thC. Esqueda · E. HardyEsqueda · HardyA85 76 76▲▲+15↕@trip 852-1Fair 5-231%▲▲ Big jump +15 · career best85 76 76 ↕@trip 85A1

Card model 31% · Fair odds 5-2 · Our #1 · Tier A · Form ▲▲ Big jump +15 · career best · ↕ Up-and-down figures 59–85 · Best fig at today's trip 85 (1 tries) · Last 3 figs 85 76 76

Jockey Christian Esqueda 29% career 3-for-40 on dirt this meet (8%) · Trainer Edward Ross Hardy 32% career 3-for-10 on dirt this meet (30%), #3 of 44

Also today · Jockey R2: Azoomin Cowboy 6-1, R5: Nsm B24 8-1, R7: Counter 44 15-1, R8: Jump Jump Jerry 6-1 +2 more

60D LAYOFF★ FASTEST WORK

Class relief: maiden claiming $20,000 last time, maiden claiming $10,000 today. Ranks first in the field on Brisnet Prime Power.

PACE CHALLENGE Running style isn't established yet, so the pace read is a blank for this one.

WORKS SHARP Fastest work of the morning on May 23 (1F in :12.40), 1 work in 30d

Last three races

Date	Trk	Dist	Class	Finish	Fig	Odds	Eq	Trip
8/28	PRM	1.13636f D	MCL 20k	4th/7 -3½L	85	3.2-1	b LB	Edged closer late
7/19	PRM	1.36364f D	MCL 12k	2nd/6	76	2.7-1	b LB	Speed; caught
6/13	PRM	1.59091f D	MSW	5th/5 -½L	76	12-1	b LB	Inside; faded

2PrincessyRan 10thB. Ernst · D. BrownErnst · BrownC35 68 52▼▼-27↕@trip 6830-1Fair 99-11%▼▼ Big drop -2735 68 52 ↕@trip 68C

Card model 1% · Fair odds 99-1 · Our #10 · Tier C · Form ▼▼ Big drop -27 · ↕ Up-and-down figures 35–68 · Best fig at today's trip 68 (1 tries) · Last 3 figs 35 68 52

Jockey B L Ernst 22% career 1-for-10 on dirt this meet (10%) · Trainer David E Brown 37% career 0-for-6 on dirt this meet

180D+ LAYOFF★ FASTEST WORK

Back after 726 days away; fitness is the question and the works are the evidence. The longest gap in the field. New trainer: David Caughell had it last time, David E Brown now.

PACE CHALLENGE No style on record, so the setup says little about it.

WORKS SHARP Fastest work of the morning on Sep 22 (1F in :12.60), 1 work in 30d

Last three races

Date	Trk	Dist	Class	Finish	Fig	Odds	Eq	Trip
11/5	WRD	1.36364f D	sMdSpWt	7th/8 -5¼L	35	83-1	b L	Pinballed midway
10/22	WRD	1.13636f D	MCL 15k	5th/5 -2¾L	68	11-1	b L	Off step slow
5/30	RP	1.36364f D	MCL 7k	7th/9 -3¼L	52	33-1	b L	Stdly wknd

3Lil Kool WinkLSRan 2ndC. Benn · G. WalkerBenn · WalkerB79 61 84▲+5↕@trip 8515-1Fair 20-15%▲ Up +579 61 84 ↕@trip 85BLS

Card model 5% · Fair odds 20-1 · Our #7 · Tier B · Form ▲ Up +5 · ↕ Up-and-down figures 61–84 · Best fig at today's trip 85 (5 tries) · Last 3 figs 79 61 84

Longshot read: 15-1 on the morning line, and the model has it at 5% against a line of 5%. A read, not a bet.

Jockey Cordarelton J Benn 35% career 12-for-90 on dirt this meet (13%) · Trainer Gary K Walker 22% career 0-for-12 on dirt this meet (0%)

Also today · Jockey R3: Paint That Dynasty 15-1, R8: Besame El Polvo 20-1, R9: Cara Cortada 727 20-1, R11: Striking Storm 4-1 · Trainer R11: Della Doux 20-1

60D LAYOFF

Last out was 6th, 1½ lengths behind the winner, in an 8-horse maiden special weight race at SRR. Winless in 9 starts at this distance.

PACE CHALLENGE No style on record, so the setup says little about it.

WORKS SHARP One of the busier work schedules here: 1 work in 30d, last 5d ago

Last three races

Date	Trk	Dist	Class	Finish	Fig	Odds	Eq	Trip
8/20	SRR	1.13636f D	MSW	6th/8 -1½L	79	32-1	b L	Chased;no threat
6/27	FMT	1.13636f D	MCL 15k	6th/6 -3L	61	2.3-1	b L	Bobbled;no late kick
6/12	FMT	1.36364f D	MSW	6th/9 -1L	84	4.7-1	b L	Prominent;yielded late

4Rykar★Ran 4thJ. Arellano · H. RamirezArellano · RamirezA79 75 82▼-3@trip 906-1Fair 7-112%▼ Down -379 75 82@trip 90A★ Best at the trip 90

Card model 12% · Fair odds 7-1 · Our #4 · Tier A · Form ▼ Down -3 · Best fig at today's trip 90 (5 tries) · Last 3 figs 79 75 82

★ Best at the trip 90

Jockey Juan Arellano 15% career 0-for-20 on dirt this meet (0%) · Trainer Hernesto Ramirez 32% career 2-for-39 on dirt this meet (5%)

Also today · Trainer R3: I Am A Candy Tree 2-1, R10: Tell Em Im Busy 20-1, R11: Redneck Fun 6-1

CLASS DROP

Tops the field on speed figures, a 90 against 88 for the next best. Hernesto Ramirez takes over the training from Everardo N Escamilla-Gonzalez.

PACE CHALLENGE Running style isn't established yet, so the pace read is a blank for this one.

WORKS LIGHT Thin work schedule next to this field: 0 works in 30d, last one 68d ago

RECORD 0 wins, 1 on the board from 5 starts here

Last three races

Date	Trk	Dist	Class	Finish	Fig	Odds	Eq	Trip
10/11	WRD	1.36364f D	MCL 7kc	2nd/10	79	1.9-1	b	Led;dug in;bested;game
9/29	WRD	1.13636f D	MCL 15k	6th/9 -4L	75	4.3-1	b L	Bit tight;needed more
7/15	FMT	1.36364f D	MCL 15k	2nd/9 -1L	82	3.2-1	b L	No match for winner

5Lupita SilosRan 7thJ. Torres · P. MartinezTorres · MartinezB76 75 73▲▲+8↕@trip 738-1Fair 12-18%▲▲ Big jump +8 · career best76 75 73 ↕@trip 73B

Card model 8% · Fair odds 12-1 · Our #5 · Tier B · Form ▲▲ Big jump +8 · career best · ↕ Up-and-down figures 55–76 · Best fig at today's trip 73 (2 tries) · Last 3 figs 76 75 73

Jockey Jorge Torres 32% career 2-for-15 on dirt this meet (13%) · Trainer Pedro Martinez 32% career 1-for-4 on dirt this meet

Also today · Jockey R3: Bernina Express 15-1, R6: Shaynificent 20-1, R10: Tell Em Im Busy 20-1, R11: Chuys Girl 20-1

A step up in company: maiden claiming $7,500 before, maiden claiming $10,000 today. 0 for 5 at today's distance.

PACE CHALLENGE No style on record, so the setup says little about it.

TROUBLED TRIP Bobbled; bid; outkicked last out; the speed figure already reflects it.

WORKS LIGHT Light on works against these rivals (0 works in 30d, last 58d back)

Last three races

Date	Trk	Dist	Class	Finish	Fig	Odds	Eq	Trip
10/11	WRD	1.36364f D	MCL 7k	4th/10 -2L	76	29-1	b L	Bobbled;bid;outkicked
7/9	FMT	1.36364f D	sMd10000	5th/10 -2L	75	15-1	b L	Ducked in; mid-field
6/20	FMT	1.13636f D	sMd10000	8th/10 -2¾L	73	22-1	b L	Bobbled;chase;no kick

6Make It CountryRan 8thC. Smith · M. HurdleSmith · HurdleB79 71 78▲▲+11↕@trip 836-1Fair 7-112%▲▲ Big jump +1179 71 78 ↕@trip 83B3

Card model 12% · Fair odds 7-1 · Our #3 · Tier B · Form ▲▲ Big jump +11 · ↕ Up-and-down figures 54–79 · Best fig at today's trip 83 (5 tries) · Last 3 figs 79 71 78

Jockey Cody Rodger Smith 31% career 9-for-89 on dirt this meet (10%) · Trainer Michelle Hurdle 28% career 6-for-32 on dirt this meet (19%)

Also today · Jockey R4: Mr Booombastic 8-1, R6: Sinful Gem 15-1, R9: Painted Smoke Wagon 10-1, R10: Juncture 12-1 · Trainer R6: Sinful Gem 15-1

Still looking for the first win after 11 starts. Carries 124 pounds, 4 less than last time.

PACE CHALLENGE No running style on file yet, so the pace shape can't be applied to it.

WORKS LIGHT Light on works against these rivals (0 works in 30d, last 57d back)

RECORD 0 wins, 1 on the board from 4 starts here

Last three races

Date	Trk	Dist	Class	Finish	Fig	Odds	Eq	Trip
9/27	WRD	1.36364f D	sMd10000	4th/6 -½L	79	6.6-1	b L	Close up;yielded late
7/9	FMT	1.36364f D	sMd10000	7th/10 -2¾L	71	12-1	b L	Wiped out start; evenl
6/24	FMT	1.13636f D	MCL 10k	3rd/7 -2L	78	8.5-1	b L	Broke out; held show

7Little White DoveRan 3rdF. Fonseca-Soto · H. HobbsFonseca-Soto · HobbsA81 79 77►≡@trip 817-2Fair 9-218%► Steady81 79 77 ≡@trip 81A2

Card model 18% · Fair odds 9-2 · Our #2 · Tier A · Form ► Steady · ≡ Steady figures 77–83 · Best fig at today's trip 81 (2 tries) · Last 3 figs 81 79 77

Jockey Fernando Fonseca-Soto 28% career 1-for-26 on dirt this meet (4%) · Trainer Haley N Hobbs 27% career 1-for-31 on dirt this meet (3%)

Also today · Jockey R2: Wf Tuff As Diamonds 15-1, R7: Virtual Escape 6-1 · Trainer this race: Vf Party Girl 12-1, R2: Wf Tuff As Diamonds 15-1

Worked 1F in :12.60 on Apr 1, 3rd of 13 at the distance. Finished 4th in a 9-horse maiden claiming $15,000 race at WRD, beaten 3½ lengths.

PACE CHALLENGE Style isn't established yet, so how it fits this shape is open.

WORKS LIGHT Light on works against these rivals (0 works in 30d, last 214d back)

Last three races

Date	Trk	Dist	Class	Finish	Fig	Odds	Eq	Trip
9/29	WRD	1.13636f D	MCL 15k	4th/9 -3½L	81	5.6-1	b L	Off slow;came on late
9/3	CBY	1.81818f D	sMinnestDby41k	7th/8 -1½L	79	73-1	b L	Brsh brk;chase;wkn
8/13	CBY	1.36364f D	sMdSpWt	2nd/5 -2½L	77	8.7-1	b L	Improved

8Vf Zip N RunRan 5thM. Delgado · L. GarciaDelgado · GarciaC73 58 65▲▲+11@trip 6510-1Fair 15-16%▲▲ Big jump +1173 58 65@trip 65C
Card model 6% · Fair odds 15-1 · Our #6 · Tier C · Form ▲▲ Big jump +11 · Best fig at today's trip 65 (1 tries) · Last 3 figs 73 58 65
Jockey Mario Delgado 32% career 12-for-84 on dirt this meet (14%) · Trainer Longino Garcia 32% career 0-for-2 on dirt this meet
Also today · Jockey R3: Maverykk 5-1, R6: Mannfredi 8-1, R7: Another Rownd 20-1, R8: Bv Wanta B A Cowboy 15-1 +1 more
60D LAYOFF0/4 board here
142 days since the last start, so it needs the works to say it's ready. 0 for 11 at today's distance.
PACE CHALLENGE No running style on file yet, so the pace shape can't be applied to it.
TROUBLED TRIP Ran into trouble last out (Bobbled; no rally), and the figure already reflects it.
WORKS LIGHT Thin work schedule next to this field: 0 works in 30d, last one 56d ago
RECORD Not on the board in 4 starts here
Last three races
Date Trk Dist Class Finish Fig Odds Eq Trip
6/12 FMT 1.36364f D MSW 5th/7 -4L 73 20-1 b Bobbled;no rally
5/15 RP 1½f D MCL 10k 3rd/7 -2L 58 9.3-1 b Top pair too tough
4/10 RP 1.13636f D MCL 10k 3rd/10 -2½L 65 22-1 b Brk out; evenly

Date	Trk	Dist	Class	Finish	Fig	Odds	Eq	Trip
6/12	FMT	1.36364f D	MSW	5th/7 -4L	73	20-1	b	Bobbled;no rally
5/15	RP	1½f D	MCL 10k	3rd/7 -2L	58	9.3-1	b	Top pair too tough
4/10	RP	1.13636f D	MCL 10k	3rd/10 -2½L	65	22-1	b	Brk out; evenly

9Squeakies ToyRan 9thR. Vega · L. VillafrancoVega · VillafrancoC82 67 71▲+7↕@trip 8220-1Fair 50-12%▲ Up +782 67 71 ↕@trip 82C

Card model 2% · Fair odds 50-1 · Our #9 · Tier C · Form ▲ Up +7 · ↕ Up-and-down figures 67–88 · Best fig at today's trip 82 (5 tries) · Last 3 figs 82 67 71

Jockey Randy Vega 27% career 2-for-54 on dirt this meet (4%) · Trainer Luis Villafranco 27% career 1-for-29 on dirt this meet (3%)

Also today · Jockey R4: Pyc Dynasty 12-1, R9: Kornegay 15-1 · Trainer R9: Kornegay 15-1

Maiden through 16 starts. Beaten 4 lengths for 7th in a 10-horse maiden claiming $10,000 race at WRD.

PACE CHALLENGE Running style isn't established yet, so the pace read is a blank for this one.

WORKS LIGHT Few works lately, 0 works in 30d and the last 70 days ago

RECORD 0 wins, 1 on the board from 5 starts here

Last three races

Date	Trk	Dist	Class	Finish	Fig	Odds	Eq	Trip
10/6	WRD	1.13636f D	MCL 10k	7th/10 -4L	82	30-1	b L	Chased early;no threat
7/19	FMT	1.13636f D	MCL 10k	4th/10 -2L	67	11-1	b L	Broke out; chased
6/20	FMT	1.59091f D	MSW	6th/9 -3L	71	33-1	b L	Chased;no threat

10Vf Party GirlRan 1stG. Gutierrez · H. HobbsGutierrez · Hobbs?12-1Fair 20-14%—Debut?
Card model 4% · Fair odds 20-1 · Our #8 · Tier ?
Jockey Gonzalo Gutierrez 32% career 4-for-81 on dirt this meet (5%) · Trainer Haley N Hobbs 27% career 1-for-31 on dirt this meet (3%)
Also today · Jockey R4: Vaquero 123 20-1, R9: Bad N Bourgeoisie 15-1, R10: D Amor 15-1, R11: Pyc Wicked Fun 15-1 · Trainer this race: Little White Dove 7-2, R2: Wf Tuff As Diamonds 15-1
Unraced so far; the pedigree is This Cowboy Can Run out of Separate Party. It has been schooling from the gate (latest Sep 29).
PACE CHALLENGE Style isn't established yet, so how it fits this shape is open.
WORKS SHARP Fit-looking prep next to these rivals: 0 works in 30d, last 33d ago
Last three races
First start. By This Cowboy Can Run out of Separate Party (Seperate Interest)
Jockey G. Gutierrez in sprints: 0 wins from 3 (0%)
Work Trk Dist Time How Rank
9/29 WRD 1f :12.00 handily 6/13 from gate
9/13 WRD 1f :12.40 handily 7/13
5/29 RP 1f :13.00 handily 14/15 from gate
5/20 RP 1f :12.80 handily 2/6

Work	Trk	Dist	Time	How	Rank
9/29	WRD	1f	:12.00	handily	6/13	from gate
9/13	WRD	1f	:12.40	handily	7/13
5/29	RP	1f	:13.00	handily	14/15	from gate
5/20	RP	1f	:12.80	handily	2/6

▲ / ▼ angle for / against · ★ best figure at the trip · LS longshot read · 1 2 3 = our top three · A B C tiers · ▲ ► ▼ form · ≡ ↕ steady / up-and-down. Tap a row for its notes, a name for the horse's page. Analysis only. Pace: hard to project, too many first-time starters.

How to read these marks

1 2 3: Our top three by the card model's win chance. Tap “Our order” to sort by it.
Win %, Fair: The card model's chance to win, and the odds that chance works out to with no takeout. Fair is green when the model rates the horse above its morning line (the line scaled to add up to 100%).
Tier A B C ?: The field ranked on recent speed figures and the morning line together: A = top three, B = next three, C = the rest, ? = no figures yet.
71 60 72: Last three speed figures, newest first. “@trip 75” = best figure at today's distance (within 30 yards) on this surface.
▲▲ ▲ ► ▼ ▼▼: Form: last figure against the average of the three before it. ▲ = up 3 or more, ▲▲ = up 8 or more, ► = within 3, ▼ / ▼▼ = down. The number is the difference.
≡ ↕: ≡ steady: the last four figures sit close together. ↕ up-and-down: they swing widely.
★: Best figure in the field at today's distance and surface, from two or more tries, not tied. When that horse isn't in our top three it gets a “Distance horse” note above the field.
▲ ▼ chips: Handicapping angles for or against the horse. LS = longshot read: 8-1 or more on the morning line and the model rates it higher than that line.

These marks describe the past performances. None of them is proven to beat the odds: in our test of 100 handicapping angles, nothing did better than the final odds, and the morning-line favourite wins more races than our top-ranked horse. Read them as notes, not as a reason to bet.

● Official result

$2 payoffs · our pre-race read is unchanged below

Our top pick, #1 Ms Chievious, finished 6th.

1st10Vf Party GirlWin$92.00Place$9.80Show$8.80Our #8

2nd3Lil Kool WinkWin—Place$4.40Show$3.40Our #7

3rd7Little White DoveWin—Place—Show$4.00Our #2

4th4RykarOur #4

Race conditions and our readpace, conditions, story

WRD · RACE 1

OFFICIAL

Maiden Claiming $10,000

Field

10 runners

Purse

$14,800

Post

1:00 PM ET

Pace

Pace Vacuum

Card model top pick

#1 · 31%

Maiden Claiming, for 3-year-olds and up.

Maiden claiming — for horses that have never won, and every starter is also for sale at the claiming price. Typically the easiest class of race.

● Breed: Quarter Horse

● Track record at 250 Yards: 13.0

The shape is the story here: the early pace looks honest rather than contested — expect a fairly run race where class and trip decide it, not pace collapse.

Our number tops on #1 Ms Chievious (a tactical type, M/L 2-1). Recent figures: 85 · 76 · 76. Backup is #7 Little White Dove at 7-2. Use #6 Make It Country in exotic structures.

What would change our mind: a key scratch that reshapes the early pace, a sharp turf-to-dirt or surface switch off the rail, or live money showing up on a horse the board had dismissed. Watch the tote late.

● OUTCOME · OUT

Vf Party Girl won (our #8) · top pick Ms Chievious ran 6th

What didn't

✗ Top pick off the board (6th)
✗ Winner was outside our top 3 (our #8)
✗ Our top 3 finished 6th, 3rd, 8th

TBredIQ ranking → finish

#1	#1 MS CHIEVIOUS	6th
#2	#7 LITTLE WHITE DOVE	3rd
#3	#6 MAKE IT COUNTRY	8th
#4	#4 RYKAR	4th
#5	#5 LUPITA SILOS	7th

Actual finish

1st	#10 Vf Party Girl	our #8
2nd	#3 Lil Kool Wink	our #7
3rd	#7 Little White Dove	our #2
4th	#4 Rykar	our #4
5th	#8 Vf Zip N Run	our #6

At a glance: model vs the morning line

At a glance

Market favourite #1 MS CHIEVIOUS (2-1) — our number agrees.
#1 MS CHIEVIOUS — our top number on the card, about right at the windows (27.2% to their 26.4%).
#7 LITTLE WHITE DOVE — our #2 number, about right at the windows (19.1% to their 17.6%).
#6 MAKE IT COUNTRY — our #3 number, about right at the windows (11.5% to their 11.3%).

Model vs the morning line · analysis, not advice

The model and the morning line roughly agree on this field.

Pacewho goes to the front

Pace

Pace Vacuum. No real early speed. Whoever shows up first is likely uncontested. Pressers benefit.

and works against #1 Ms Chievious, #2 Princessy, #3 Lil Kool Wink.

Lead

none

Press

none

Stalk

none

No style yet

1Ms Chievious2Princessy3Lil Kool Wink4Rykar5Lupita Silos6Make It Country7Little White Dove8Vf Zip N Run9Squeakies Toy10Vf Party Girl

Number = last-race early-pace figure. Green border = the shape helps; red = it works against.

Early speed and closing figures, horse by horse

Closing Kick · late-pace figure

Ms Chievious

Princessy

Lil Kool Wink

Rykar

Lupita Silos

Make It Country

Little White Dove

Vf Zip N Run

Squeakies Toy

Bet types offeredwager menu

Bet types

Wagers offered on this race.

$2 EXACTA / (.50) TRIFECTA / (.10) SUPERFECTA / $2 DAILY DOUBLE

(.50) PICK 3 (RACES 1-2-3)

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WinPlaceShowExactaTrifectaSuperfecta

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