Pick sheet

Race 115:55 PM ShowingUpB75k

1 1/16 Mi · Turf · 10 entered. Our model's top pick, Turf Star, is 35% to win (morning line implies 33%). Pace: fast and contested (6 early types). Helps stalkers and closers.

Top pick #7 Turf Star ML 2-1 Fair 9-5 Model #1 ▼ Down -4 ≡ Steady 80–86

Jockey C. Gil · Trainer H. Motion · KEE 1: 0-0-0 · Dist 3: 0-1-0 · best fig at 1 1/16 turf 86 · 54 days off

Date	Trk	Dist	Class	Finish	Fig	Odds	Eq	Trip
9/7	KD	1m T	GnRunner Stk	7th/14 -7L	80	21-1	b	Void early;ins;imprvd
8/1	CNL	1 1/16 T	Scrtriat G2	5th/8 -6½L	86	15-1	b	Ins;swung6w;late rally
7/4	SAR	1⅛m T	BelDby G1	10th/10 -6L	82	45-1	b	4p turns;6p1/4;empty

Case: Last out 7th/14 -7L in the GnRunnerL1750k at KD. Last Brisnet figures 80-86-82. Best at today's distance 86. 0-for-3 at the distance. 0-for-1 at Gulfstream Park. H. Motion / C. Gil.

Knock: 0-for-3 at the distance.

Contender #2 Redland Rebels ML 3-1 Fair 3-1 Model #2 ► Steady ★ Best at 1 1/16 turf: 90 Lasix off

Jockey J. Torrealba · Trainer P. Biancone · KEE 5: 2-1-1 · Dist 2: 1-1-0 · best fig at 1 1/16 turf 90 · 20 days off

Date	Trk	Dist	Class	Finish	Fig	Odds	Eq	Trip
10/11	GP	1 1/16 D	OC 25k n1x	Won/6	85	0.6-1	b L	Broke out;pace;held on
9/13	GP	1 1/16 D	OC 25k n1x	2nd/6	86	1.0-1	b L	Dug in; worn down
8/15	GP	1 1/16 T	sAlw65000n1x	Won/7	87	0.4-1	b L	Pace; edged clear 1/4

Case: Last out won in the OC25000n1x at GP. Last Brisnet figures 85-86-87. Best at today's distance 90. 1-for-2 at the distance. 2-for-5 at Gulfstream Park. P. Biancone / J. Torrealba.

Knock: Nothing glaring on paper.

Use #6 High Lateen ML 6-1 Fair 5-1 Model #3 ▲▲ Big jump +12 · career best ↕ Up and down 60–87 ▲ Last fig 87 at/above par 86 Lasix off Last out won in the OC25000n1x at GP. Last Brisnet figures 87-80-85. 2-for-2 at Gulfstream Park. D. Fawkes / D. Herrera. Knock: Never raced this far (longest 1 1/16).

Jockey D. Herrera · Trainer D. Fawkes · KEE 2: 2-0-0 · 48 days off

Date	Trk	Dist	Class	Finish	Fig	Odds	Eq	Trip
9/13	GP	1 1/16 D	OC 25k n1x	Won/6 by hd	87	5.5-1	L	Hop tracks late;gamely
7/18	GP	1m T	sAlw65000n1x	Won/7 by hd	80	1.7-1	L	Tipped out;bid; clear
7/3	GP	1m T	MCL 35k	Won/9 by 1½	85	3.9-1	L	Ins 1/4;4-w uppr;drvng

Narrowing the field: A #2, #6, #7 · B #5, #9, #10 · C #1, #3, #4, #8

Angles: #5 Last fig 86 at/above par 86 · #6 Last fig 87 at/above par 86 · #8 Best fig 79 is 5+ under today's par 86 · #10 Last fig 93 at/above par 86

R11 Gulfstream Park · Showing Up Stakes

5:55 PM ET · 1 1/16 Miles Turf · $75,000 · 10 runners5:55 PM · 1 1/16m Turf · 10 runners

Upcoming $75K · Showing Up Stakes

Card modelCard model MediumFormLast 3 figsTier · angles

1Nickel CE. Perez · D. FawkesPerez · FawkesC83 81 73▲+6@trip 7910-1<1%▲ Up +6 · career best83 81 73@trip 79C

Card model <1% · Our #8 · Tier C · Form ▲ Up +6 · career best · Best fig at today's trip 79 (1 tries) · Last 3 figs 83 81 73

Jockey Edgar Perez 32% career 0-for-17 on turf this meet (0%) · Trainer David Fawkes 34% career 5-for-12 on turf this meet (42%), #1 of 17

Also today · Jockey R2: Scottie Too Hottie 10-1, R5: Neodera 9-2, R7: Heracles 3-1, R8: Readier 12-1 +1 more · Trainer this race: High Lateen 6-1

WON LAST6/11 board here

Comes in off a victory in a 9-horse allowance race at GP. Raises its level, allowance last time and stakes nongraded now.

PACE HELPS Stalks an honestly pressed pace from a good spot.

TROUBLED TRIP Ran into trouble last out (Stp slw; thru traffic), and the figure already reflects it.

WORKS Routine prep: 2 works in 30d, last 7d ago

RECORD 2 wins, 6 on the board from 11 starts here

RECORD Edgar Perez from post 1 here: 20 wins, 88 top-3 in 228 rides · 10% wins from all posts here

Last three races

Date	Trk	Dist	Class	Finish	Fig	Odds	Eq	Trip
9/27	GP	1m T	sAlw52000n1x	Won/9 by 2½	83	5.3-1	b L	Stp slw;thru traffic
8/15	GP	1m T	OC 35k	2nd/8	81	3.2-1	b L	Led 3/16th pl;no match
7/5	GP	7½f T	OC 75k n1x	6th/7 -3L	73	8.2-1	b L	Reserved 4wd; no bid

2Redland Rebels★J. Torrealba · P. BianconeTorrealba · BianconeA85 86 87►@trip 903-1Fair 3-126%► Steady85 86 87@trip 90A★ Best at the trip 902

Card model 26% · Fair odds 3-1 · Our #2 · Tier A · Form ► Steady · Best fig at today's trip 90 (2 tries) · Last 3 figs 85 86 87

★ Best at the trip 90

Jockey Jg Torrealba 31% career 4-for-21 on turf this meet (19%) · Trainer Patrick L Biancone 28% career 2-for-11 on turf this meet (18%)

Also today · Jockey R1: Mr. Hetty 8-1, R4: Brother Brad 5-1, R5: Laila Bella Girl 6-1, R6: Starship Cougar 4-1 +2 more · Trainer R1: Mr. Hetty 8-1, R7: Caribbean Comet 20-1

WON LAST6/8 board here

Last race was on the dirt; today it runs on the turf. Won last out in a 6-horse optional claiming race at GP.

PACE CHALLENGE Has early speed but company on the front end. (early-speed points: 8)

WORKS Average work schedule for this field (2 works in 30d, last 8d ago)

RECORD 3 wins, 6 on the board from 8 starts here

RECORD Jg Torrealba from post 2 here: 4 wins, 8 top-3 in 16 rides · 14% wins from all posts here

Last three races

Date	Trk	Dist	Class	Finish	Fig	Odds	Eq	Trip
10/11	GP	1 1/16 D	OC 25k n1x	Won/6	85	0.6-1	b L	Broke out;pace;held on
9/13	GP	1 1/16 D	OC 25k n1x	2nd/6	86	1.0-1	b L	Dug in; worn down
8/15	GP	1 1/16 T	sAlw65000n1x	Won/7	87	0.4-1	b L	Pace; edged clear 1/4

3KhozaliteL. Reyes · J. D'AngeloReyes · D'AngeloC80 74 75▲+5≡@trip 8112-1Fair 15-16%▲ Up +580 74 75 ≡@trip 81C

Card model 6% · Fair odds 15-1 · Our #5 · Tier C · Form ▲ Up +5 · ≡ Steady figures 74–80 · Best fig at today's trip 81 (1 tries) · Last 3 figs 80 74 75

Jockey Leonel Reyes 30% career ★ 13-for-55 on turf this meet (24%), #3 of 20 · Trainer Jose Francisco D'Angelo 37% career ★ 8-for-37 on turf this meet (22%)

Also today · Jockey R1: No Love Lost 10-1, R2: Deuxieme Chance 9-5, R3: Fifteen Hundred R 5-1, R5: Alpenglow 7-2 +5 more · Trainer R1: New Friend 6-1, R1: No Love Lost 10-1, R5: Alpenglow 7-2, R6: Starship Cougar 4-1 +4 more

4/8 board here

Switches from dirt to turf. Moves up from optional claiming to stakes nongraded.

PACE HELPS Sits just off the speed with pace in front to run at.

WORKS LIGHT Few works lately, 1 work in 30d and the last 7 days ago

RECORD 2 wins, 4 on the board from 8 starts here

RECORD Leonel Reyes from post 3 here: 49 wins, 156 top-3 in 332 rides · 13% wins from all posts here

Last three races

Date	Trk	Dist	Class	Finish	Fig	Odds	Eq	Trip
10/11	GP	1 1/16 D	OC 25k n1x	3rd/6 -2¼L	80	8.8-1	b L	Rail trip; gaining
9/7	KD	1m T	GnRunner Stk	13th/14 -7¾L	74	92-1	b	2w;bmp 1st;faded
7/25	GP	5f T	OC 75k n1x	7th/7 -4½L	75	2.9-1	b L	Sqzd st;in tight late

4Justin SmilesN. Juarez · J. OrsenoJuarez · OrsenoC78 83 85▼-4≡@trip 8520-1<1%▼ Down -478 83 85 ≡@trip 85C

Card model <1% · Our #9 · Tier C · Form ▼ Down -4 · ≡ Steady figures 78–85 · Best fig at today's trip 85 (2 tries) · Last 3 figs 78 83 85

Jockey Nik Juarez 30% career 0-for-8 on turf this meet (0%) · Trainer Joseph F Orseno 28% career 3-for-27 on turf this meet (11%)

Also today · Jockey R1: Etruscan Warrior 9-2, R5: Tizasweetlady 10-1, R10: Forty Love 2-1 · Trainer R7: Lord Henry 7-2

8/15 board here

Trending the wrong way on speed, 85 to 83 to 78. A step up in company: allowance before, stakes nongraded today.

PACE HELPS Sits just off the speed with pace in front to run at.

WORKS LIGHT Light on works against these rivals (1 work in 30d, last 8d back)

RECORD 1 win, 8 on the board from 15 starts here

Last three races

Date	Trk	Dist	Class	Finish	Fig	Odds	Eq	Trip
9/27	GP	1m T	sAlw52000n1x	5th/9 -4¾L	78	6.2-1	b L	Trailed; late gain
9/4	GP	1 1/16 D	OC 35k	2nd/6 -½L	83	1.1-1	b L	4w-ins;game 2nd
8/15	GP	1 1/16 T	sAlw65000n1x	2nd/7 -2¾L	85	7.3-1	b L	Bid between; willingly

5Trelawny▲LSJ. Morelos · J. PinchinMorelos · PinchinB86 78 85▲+68-1Fair 8-111%▲ Up +6 · career best86 78 85B▲ Last fig 86 at/above par 86LS

Card model 11% · Fair odds 8-1 · Our #4 · Tier B · Form ▲ Up +6 · career best · Last 3 figs 86 78 85

▲ Last fig 86 at/above par 86LS

Longshot read: 8-1 on the morning line, and the model has it at 11% against a line of 9%. A read, not a bet.

Jockey Jose E Morelos 29% career 2-for-28 on turf this meet (7%) · Trainer Jose Pinchin 23% career 1-for-1 on turf this meet

Also today · Jockey R1: Bandari 3-1, R2: Freedom Street 6-1, R3: Lighting Arrow 6-1, R4: Friolento 12-1 +3 more

60D LAYOFF4 WORKS IN 30 DAYSWON LAST6/12 board here

Last start was a win, in a 6-horse race at GP at 1.6-1. Off 63 days since the last start.

PACE HELPS The pocket behind pressure is the useful spot, and this type fits it.

WORKS SHARP Active work pattern for this group, 4 works in 30d and the last 7d back

RECORD 4 wins, 6 on the board from 12 starts here

RECORD Jose E Morelos from post 5 here: 25 wins, 84 top-3 in 252 rides · 11% wins from all posts here

Last three races

Date	Trk	Dist	Class	Finish	Fig	Odds	Eq	Trip
8/29	GP	1 1/16 D	BearsDenB100k	Won/6	86	1.6-1	b	Prevail on bob
7/5	GP	7½f T	OC 75k n1x	Won/7 by hd	78	22-1	b L	Urged 5/16; responded
5/31	GP	5½f D	OC 25k n1x	2nd/3 -2L	85	3.6-1	b L	No match; 2nd best

6High Lateen▲D. Herrera · D. FawkesHerrera · FawkesA87 80 85▲▲+12↕6-1Fair 5-117%▲▲ Big jump +12 · career best87 80 85 ↕A▲ Last fig 87 at/above par 863

Card model 17% · Fair odds 5-1 · Our #3 · Tier A · Form ▲▲ Big jump +12 · career best · ↕ Up-and-down figures 60–87 · Last 3 figs 87 80 85

▲ Last fig 87 at/above par 86

Jockey Diego A Herrera 27% career 8-for-56 on turf this meet (14%) · Trainer David Fawkes 34% career 5-for-12 on turf this meet (42%), #1 of 17

Also today · Jockey R1: Fight And Pray 6-1, R2: Golden Ambition 9-2, R3: Rudi 3-1, R4: Wannabeeloved 9-5 +4 more · Trainer this race: Nickel C 10-1

3 WORKS IN 30 DAYSWON LAST3/4 board here

Comes off a dirt start and tries the turf here. Best recent figure of 87 sits right around the 86 par.

PACE HELPS Stalks an honestly pressed pace from a good spot.

WORKS SHARP One of the busier work schedules here: 3 works in 30d, last 7d ago

RECORD 3 wins, 3 on the board from 4 starts here

RECORD Diego A Herrera from post 6 here: 12 wins, 37 top-3 in 68 rides · 20% wins from all posts here

Last three races

Date	Trk	Dist	Class	Finish	Fig	Odds	Eq	Trip
9/13	GP	1 1/16 D	OC 25k n1x	Won/6 by hd	87	5.5-1	L	Hop tracks late;gamely
7/18	GP	1m T	sAlw65000n1x	Won/7 by hd	80	1.7-1	L	Tipped out;bid; clear
7/3	GP	1m T	MCL 35k	Won/9 by 1½	85	3.9-1	L	Ins 1/4;4-w uppr;drvng

7Turf StarC. Gil · H. MotionGil · MotionA80 86 82▼-4≡@trip 862-1Fair 9-535%▼ Down -480 86 82 ≡@trip 86A1

Card model 35% · Fair odds 9-5 · Our #1 · Tier A · Form ▼ Down -4 · ≡ Steady figures 80–86 · Best fig at today's trip 86 (3 tries) · Last 3 figs 80 86 82

Jockey Cipriano Gil 27% career 1-for-4 on turf this meet · Trainer H Graham Motion 35% career 0-for-1 on turf this meet

Also today · Jockey R6: Lady Bluesville 20-1, R7: Sushi Party 5-2, R8: Hottakejake 7-2 · Trainer R7: Indian Pharoah 8-1, R7: Sushi Party 5-2

3 WORKS IN 30 DAYS

Runs for $75,000 today after a $1,750,000 race last time. Dropped in well back early last out, 13th of 14 at the first call.

PACE HELPS Stalks an honestly pressed pace from a good spot.

WORKS LIGHT Light on works against these rivals (3 works in 30d, last 14d back)

RECORD Cipriano Gil from post 7 here: 1 win, 22 top-3 in 64 rides · 9% wins from all posts here

Last three races

Date	Trk	Dist	Class	Finish	Fig	Odds	Eq	Trip
9/7	KD	1m T	GnRunner Stk	7th/14 -7L	80	21-1	b	Void early;ins;imprvd
8/1	CNL	1 1/16 T	Scrtriat G2	5th/8 -6½L	86	15-1	b	Ins;swung6w;late rally
7/4	SAR	1⅛m T	BelDby G1	10th/10 -6L	82	45-1	b	4p turns;6p1/4;empty

8Senor Roberto▼H. Figueroa · T. MoubarakFigueroa · MoubarakC79 79 79▲+3@trip 7330-1Fair 99-11%▲ Up +3 · career best79 79 79@trip 73C▼ Best fig 79 is 5+ under today's par 86

Card model 1% · Fair odds 99-1 · Our #7 · Tier C · Form ▲ Up +3 · career best · Best fig at today's trip 73 (1 tries) · Last 3 figs 79 79 79

▼ Best fig 79 is 5+ under today's par 86

Jockey Heriberto Figueroa 28% career 2-for-12 on turf this meet (17%) · Trainer Tareq Moubarak 29% career 3-for-7 on turf this meet

Also today · Jockey R7: Palingo 6-1 · Trainer R8: Hottakejake 7-2

60D LAYOFF3 WORKS IN 30 DAYS5/8 board here

A 63-day gap since its last race. A 79 top number against a 86 par, so it fits the level.

PACE HELPS The pocket behind pressure is the useful spot, and this type fits it.

WORKS SHARP One of the busier work schedules here: 3 works in 30d, last 7d ago

RECORD 1 win, 5 on the board from 8 starts here

Last three races

Date	Trk	Dist	Class	Finish	Fig	Odds	Eq	Trip
8/29	GP	1 1/16 D	BearsDenB100k	5th/6 -3L	79	3.3-1	b	Mild interest;no impct
8/3	GP	1 1/16 D	MSW	Won/9	79	2.5-1	b L	Bumped st; 4-5w run
7/5	GP	1m T	MSW	2nd/9 -2¾L	79	5.5-1	b L	Off step slow; 4wd bid

9Behold the KingS. Leon · M. CasseLeon · CasseB70 80 84▼▼-11@trip 866-1<1%▼▼ Big drop -1170 80 84@trip 86B

Card model <1% · Our #10 · Tier B · Form ▼▼ Big drop -11 · Best fig at today's trip 86 (2 tries) · Last 3 figs 70 80 84

Jockey Sonny Leon 29% career 2-for-22 on turf this meet (9%) · Trainer Mark Casse 36% career 1-for-16 on turf this meet (6%)

Also today · Jockey R1: Slew Vinbiz 4-1, R2: Ky's Law 10-1, R3: Henry's Buddy 9-5, R7: Indian Pharoah 8-1 +2 more · Trainer R3: Henry's Buddy 9-5, R9: Brutally Honest 6-1

60D LAYOFF3 WORKS IN 30 DAYS

Returns from a 147-day break, the biggest in the field. Figures have slipped: 84, 80, 70 over its last three.

PACE HELPS Stalks an honestly pressed pace from a good spot.

WORKS SHARP Fit-looking prep next to these rivals: 3 works in 30d, last 8d ago

RECORD 1 win, 2 on the board from 6 starts here

RECORD Sonny Leon from post 9 here: 5 wins, 12 top-3 in 33 rides · 11% wins from all posts here

Last three races

Date	Trk	Dist	Class	Finish	Fig	Odds	Eq	Trip
6/6	GP	1 1/16 D	NtSrprsngB100k	8th/9 -9½L	70	2.9-1		Prompted 2p; gave way
4/17	GP	1m T	OC 75k n1x	2nd/7 -2L	80	7.6-1	L	4-3w;bid 1/4;repelled
3/28	GP	7½f T	CutlerBayB175k	7th/7 -2L	84	8.4-1		Stalked3w;lost crop1/8

10Bourbon Dream▲M. Meneses · F. GutierrezMeneses · GutierrezB93 77 83▲▲+13@trip 7715-1Fair 20-14%▲▲ Big jump +13 · career best93 77 83@trip 77B▲ Last fig 93 at/above par 86

Card model 4% · Fair odds 20-1 · Our #6 · Tier B · Form ▲▲ Big jump +13 · career best · Best fig at today's trip 77 (1 tries) · Last 3 figs 93 77 83

▲ Last fig 93 at/above par 86

Jockey Marcos Meneses 27% career 5-for-26 on turf this meet (19%) · Trainer Faustio Gutierrez 32% career 2-for-9 on turf this meet (22%)

Also today · Jockey R1: Chief Lion 8-1, R2: Leo's Rocket 5-1, R5: Flowko 6-1, R8: Java Buzz 12-1 +1 more · Trainer R1: Bandari 3-1

WON LAST

Owns the highest recent figure here at 93. Carries 122 pounds, 5 more than last time.

PACE HELPS Sits just off the speed with pace in front to run at.

WORKS LIGHT Light on works against these rivals (1 work in 30d, last 8d back)

RECORD Marcos Meneses from post 10 here: 3 wins, 8 top-3 in 17 rides · 11% wins from all posts here

Last three races

Date	Trk	Dist	Class	Finish	Fig	Odds	Eq	Trip
10/3	DEL	1 1/16 D	Alw n1x	Won/8 by ½	93	3.5-1	b L	Outwrd;ins-4w3/8;edged
8/27	CNL	1 1/16 T	Alw n2l	6th/8 -6L	77	3.1-1	b L	Ins;no rally
8/7	CNL	1⅛m T	MSW	Won/6	83	1.3-1	b L	Stlk 2-3w;4w1/4;ang in

▲ / ▼ angle for / against · ★ best figure at the trip · LS longshot read · 1 2 3 = our top three · A B C tiers · ▲ ► ▼ form · ≡ ↕ steady / up-and-down. Tap a row for its notes, a name for the horse's page. Analysis only. Pace: fast and contested (6 early types). Helps stalkers and closers.

How to read these marks

1 2 3: Our top three by the card model's win chance. Tap “Our order” to sort by it.
Win %, Fair: The card model's chance to win, and the odds that chance works out to with no takeout. Fair is green when the model rates the horse above its morning line (the line scaled to add up to 100%).
Tier A B C ?: The field ranked on recent speed figures and the morning line together: A = top three, B = next three, C = the rest, ? = no figures yet.
71 60 72: Last three speed figures, newest first. “@trip 75” = best figure at today's distance (within 30 yards) on this surface.
▲▲ ▲ ► ▼ ▼▼: Form: last figure against the average of the three before it. ▲ = up 3 or more, ▲▲ = up 8 or more, ► = within 3, ▼ / ▼▼ = down. The number is the difference.
≡ ↕: ≡ steady: the last four figures sit close together. ↕ up-and-down: they swing widely.
★: Best figure in the field at today's distance and surface, from two or more tries, not tied. When that horse isn't in our top three it gets a “Distance horse” note above the field.
▲ ▼ chips: Handicapping angles for or against the horse. LS = longshot read: 8-1 or more on the morning line and the model rates it higher than that line.

These marks describe the past performances. None of them is proven to beat the odds: in our test of 100 handicapping angles, nothing did better than the final odds, and the morning-line favourite wins more races than our top-ranked horse. Read them as notes, not as a reason to bet.

Race conditions and our readpace, conditions, story

GULFSTREAM PARK · RACE 11

UPCOMING

Showing Up Stakes

Field

10 runners

Purse

$75,000

Post

5:55 PM ET

Pace

Pressed Pace

Card model top pick

#7 · 35%

Stakes, for 3-year-olds.

Stakes race — the top class. Owners pay entry/nomination fees that build the purse, which draws the best horses available.

● Track record at 1 1/16 Miles: 97.8

The shape is the story here: there's little established early speed, so a tactical horse can control soft fractions up front and prove hard to run down.

Our number tops on #7 Turf Star (a presser/stalker, M/L 2-1). Recent figures: 80 · 86 · 82. Backup is #2 Redland Rebels at 3-1. Use #6 High Lateen in exotic structures.

What would change our mind: a key scratch that reshapes the early pace, a sharp turf-to-dirt or surface switch off the rail, or live money showing up on a horse the board had dismissed. Watch the tote late.

At a glance: model vs the morning line

At a glance

Market favourite #7 TURF STAR (2-1) — our number agrees.
#7 TURF STAR — our top number on the card, and the board's letting him go too cheap — we make him 31.7%, they've got 25.8%.
#2 REDLAND REBELS — our #2 number, and the board's letting him go too cheap — we make him 25.3%, they've got 19.4%.
#6 HIGH LATEEN — our #3 number, and the board's letting him go too cheap — we make him 16.6%, they've got 11.1%.

Model vs the morning line · analysis, not advice

#7 TURF STAR — we make it 31.7%, the morning line works out to 25.8%. That gap is the model's opinion, not a price; pools pay the final odds, and on our records these gaps haven't paid off.
#2 REDLAND REBELS — we make it 25.3%, the morning line works out to 19.4%. That gap is the model's opinion, not a price; pools pay the final odds, and on our records these gaps haven't paid off.
#6 HIGH LATEEN — we make it 16.6%, the morning line works out to 11.1%. That gap is the model's opinion, not a price; pools pay the final odds, and on our records these gaps haven't paid off.
Longshot the model rates above its line: #5 TRELAWNY (8-1) — our fair 11.0% is above the morning line's 8.6%; needs the trip to fall right.

Pacewho goes to the front

Pace

Pressed Pace. Speed under pressure from multiple pressers. Likely honest pace, slight closer benefit.

Likely leader: #2 Redland Rebels; pressure from #5 Trelawny, #9 Behold The King; the shape helps #1 Nickel C, #3 Khozalite, #4 Justin Smiles; and works against #2 Redland Rebels.

Lead

2Redland Rebels77

Press

5Trelawny839Behold The King831Nickel C796High Lateen783Khozalite73

Stalk

10Bourbon Dream864Justin Smiles808Senor Roberto767Turf Star72

none

Number = last-race early-pace figure. Green border = the shape helps; red = it works against.

Early speed and closing figures, horse by horse

Early Pace · E1 figure · front runners

Bourbon Dream

Trelawny

Behold The King

Justin Smiles

Nickel C

High Lateen

Redland Rebels

Senor Roberto

Khozalite

Turf Star

Closing Kick · late-pace figure

Trelawny

Senor Roberto

Redland Rebels

Khozalite

High Lateen

Behold The King

Turf Star

Nickel C

Justin Smiles

Bourbon Dream

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