1Mounte RushmoreB. Candanosa · J. VazquezCandanosa · VazquezC93 75 76▲▲+16@trip 7620-1Fair 20-15%
▲▲ Big jump +16 · career best93 75 76@trip 76CCard model 5% · Fair odds 20-1 · Our #7 · Tier C · Form ▲▲ Big jump +16 · career best · Best fig at today's trip 76 (1 tries) · Last 3 figs 93 75 76
Jockey Bryan Candanosa 36% career 3-for-18 on dirt this meet (17%) · Trainer Juan L Vazquez 30% career 2-for-6 on dirt this meetAlso today · Jockey R1: Shiny Favorite 20-1, R2: Flight History 12-1, R5: Gunsmoke 123 15-1, R7: Coronainthefastlanes 20-1 +3 more · Trainer R1: Ratically Inspyred 20-1, R3: Konklusiv 2-1, R7: Reddingten 15-1★ FASTEST WORKWas running in allowance; today's stakes nongraded is an easier level on paper. Prime Power, the Brisnet rating, puts it on top of this field.
PACE CHALLENGE No running style on file yet, so the pace shape can't be applied to it.WORKS SHARP Posted the morning's best 1F on Jun 9; 0 works in 30dRECORD Bryan Candanosa from post 1 here: 6 wins, 15 top-3 in 30 rides · 16% wins from all posts hereLast three races
Date Trk Dist Class Finish Fig Odds Eq Trip 10/3 LS 1.13636f D Alw n2l 5th/9 -1¼L 93 10-1 b L Bmp;evenly 8/8 ALB 2f D FutTrl10000 7th/9 -2¼L 75 0.6-1 b L Through early; 6/27 ALB 1.81818f D FutTrl10000 3rd/10 -2½L 76 3.9-1 b L Veered out; no rally 2Kj Money MakerLSR. Ramirez Jr. · M. JungersRamirez Jr. · JungersC82 88 78►@trip 8220-1Fair 20-15%
► Steady82 88 78@trip 82CLSCard model 5% · Fair odds 20-1 · Our #6 · Tier C · Form ► Steady · Best fig at today's trip 82 (2 tries) · Last 3 figs 82 88 78
LSLongshot read: 20-1 on the morning line, and the model has it at 5% against a line of 4%. A read, not a bet.
Jockey Raul Jr Ramirez 33% career 7-for-53 on dirt this meet (13%) · Trainer Marc E Jungers 32% career ★ 11-for-55 on dirt this meet (20%) ★ hotAlso today · Jockey R1: Y It Earp 10-1, R13: Karo Kiss 30-1 · Trainer R1: Y It Earp 10-1, R2: Mondays Best 20-1, R7: Coronas First Cowboy 2-1, R13: Karo Kiss 30-1Last out was 4th, 4 lengths behind the winner, in a 9-horse stakes race at LS. Winless in 7 starts at this distance.
PACE CHALLENGE Style isn't established yet, so how it fits this shape is open.WORKS LIGHT Few works lately, 0 works in 30d and the last 212 days agoLast three races
Date Trk Dist Class Finish Fig Odds Eq Trip 9/19 LS 1.81818f D FutTrl10000 4th/9 -4L 82 12-1 b L Bmp st;lacked rally 8/21 RET 1½f D MSW 3rd/10 -1½L 88 0.5-1 b L Off slow; closed fast 7/31 RET 1.81818f D MSW 2nd/8 -1¾L 78 0.6-1 b L Rallied; up for place 3Tell a ScoutR. Ramirez · S. WoodRamirez · WoodA98 95 79▲+7@trip 798-5Fair 5-227%
▲ Up +7 · career best98 95 79@trip 79A1Card model 27% · Fair odds 5-2 · Our #1 · Tier A · Form ▲ Up +7 · career best · Best fig at today's trip 79 (1 tries) · Last 3 figs 98 95 79
Jockey Ricky Ramirez 33% career 7-for-53 on dirt this meet (13%) · Trainer S Trey Wood 28% career 4-for-28 on dirt this meet (14%)Also today · Jockey R3: Fearless Cowboy 7-2, R6: Agree N Tell 12-1, R7: Allikat Ttu 30-1, R8: A Noble Cowgirl 30-1 +3 more · Trainer R1: Timeto Quit 30-1, R2: Rr Evil Jess 30-1, R3: Fearless Cowboy 7-2, R4: Delightfully Sage 6-1 +11 moreOwns the highest recent figure here at 98. Figures are climbing: 79, 95, 98 over its last three.
PACE CHALLENGE No style on record, so the setup says little about it.TROUBLED TRIP Chart note from last time: Hopped start; solid bid. A trip worth forgiving, though the number already carries it.WORKS SHARP One of the busier work schedules here: 1 work in 30d, last 21d agoLast three races
Date Trk Dist Class Finish Fig Odds Eq Trip 9/7 ALB 2f D AllAmerJuv200k 2nd/10 -½L 98 6.2-1 b L Hopped start;solid bid 8/7 ALB 2f D FutTrl10000 2nd/10 -½L 95 1.0-1 b L Flew late; 6/27 ALB 1.81818f D FutTrl10000 Won/9 by nk 79 0.5-1 b L Vied throughout; best 4Cr Favorite TequilaN. Villatoro · R. AlmanzaVillatoro · AlmanzaB90 86 80▲+6@trip 8010-1Fair 12-18%
▲ Up +6 · career best90 86 80@trip 80BCard model 8% · Fair odds 12-1 · Our #4 · Tier B · Form ▲ Up +6 · career best · Best fig at today's trip 80 (1 tries) · Last 3 figs 90 86 80
Jockey Noe Villatoro 30% career 9-for-61 on dirt this meet (15%) · Trainer Rolando Almanza 23% career 2-for-13 on dirt this meet (15%)★ FASTEST WORKWON LASTWinner of a 10-horse maiden special weight race at LS last time. Has moved up each time out, 80 to 86 to 90.
PACE CHALLENGE No running style on file yet, so the pace shape can't be applied to it.WORKS SHARP 1.1f in :12.40 on Apr 9 was the best time at that distance that morning; 0 works in 30dRECORD Noe Villatoro from post 4 here: 2 wins, 6 top-3 in 29 rides · 8% wins from all posts hereLast three races
Date Trk Dist Class Finish Fig Odds Eq Trip 9/25 LS 1½f D sMdSpWt Won/10 by ½ 90 2.7-1 b L Closed up late 8/7 ALB 2f D FutTrl10000 6th/10 -3L 86 20-1 b L No final kick; 7/11 ALB 1.81818f D MSW 6th/10 -1¾L 80 2.8-1 b L Even effort 5Whole Lota MachoG. Medrano · W. GilesMedrano · GilesB78 78 86►@trip 7815-1Fair 15-16%
► Steady78 78 86@trip 78BCard model 6% · Fair odds 15-1 · Our #5 · Tier B · Form ► Steady · Best fig at today's trip 78 (2 tries) · Last 3 figs 78 78 86
Also today · Jockey R4: Kj Casanova Cowboy 30-1, R10: Kj Bigbadleroybrown 8-1, R13: Shellys Valiant Boy 15-1 · Trainer R1: Abouta Get Western 5-1, R3: Kj Macho Man 12-1, R4: Kj Casanova Cowboy 30-1, R7: Lethal Wind 9-5 +3 moreMoves up from stakes to stakes nongraded. Finished 3rd in an 8-horse stakes race at ALB, beaten ½ length.
PACE CHALLENGE Style isn't established yet, so how it fits this shape is open.WORKS SHARP Active work pattern for this group, 1 work in 30d and the last 17d backLast three races
Date Trk Dist Class Finish Fig Odds Eq Trip 9/25 ALB 1.81818f D FutTrl8000 3rd/8 -½L 78 11-1 b L Fought gamely; 6/26 ALB 1.81818f D FutTrl10000 Won/9 78 6.3-1 b L Broke out; drew clear 4/17 SRP 1.59091f D MSW 2nd/9 by hd 86 6.5-1 b L Just missed nod 6Prophets ViewM. Delgado · J. JoinerDelgado · JoinerB93 85 88▲▲+9@trip 8015-1Fair 15-16%
▲▲ Big jump +9 · career best93 85 88@trip 80BCard model 6% · Fair odds 15-1 · Our #8 · Tier B · Form ▲▲ Big jump +9 · career best · Best fig at today's trip 80 (1 tries) · Last 3 figs 93 85 88
Jockey Mario Delgado 32% career 2-for-14 on dirt this meet (14%) · Trainer Justin W Joiner 32% career ★ 5-for-21 on dirt this meet (24%)Also today · Jockey R1: My Special Blood 30-1, R2: The Cowboys A Legend 12-1, R3: Favorite Power Cc 30-1, R8: Thys Kyss 20-1 +2 more · Trainer R1: My Special Blood 30-1, R2: The Cowboys A Legend 12-1, R3: Favorite Power Cc 30-1, R4: Staggeringcowboy 7-2 +6 moreWON LASTA big drop, maiden special weight to stakes nongraded, and worth asking why. Comes in off a victory in a 10-horse maiden special weight race at WRD.
PACE CHALLENGE No style on record, so the setup says little about it.WORKS LIGHT Few works lately, 0 works in 30d and the last 93 days agoLast three races
Date Trk Dist Class Finish Fig Odds Eq Trip 10/5 WRD 1½f D sMdSpWt Won/10 93 0.6-1 b L Took command;dug in 9/14 WRD 1.59091f D sFutTrl5000 3rd/8 -1L 85 6.1-1 b L Chased;outkicked 8/8 ALB 2f D FutTrl10000 3rd/9 -2L 88 10-1 b L Rallied late; 7Lawman 123C. Cardenas · S. GonzalesCardenas · GonzalesC7420-1Fair 20-14%
—74CCard model 4% · Fair odds 20-1 · Our #9 · Tier C · Last 3 figs 74
Jockey Christian Cardenas 32% career 0-for-1 on dirt this meet · Trainer Sebastian Gonzales 27% career60D LAYOFFFreshened 176 days, longer than anything else in the field. Watch how its recent works look. Changes barns, from James J Iii Gonzales to Sebastian Gonzales.
PACE CHALLENGE Style isn't established yet, so how it fits this shape is open.WORKS SHARP Fit-looking prep next to these rivals: 1 work in 30d, last 17d agoLast three races
Date Trk Dist Class Finish Fig Odds Eq Trip 5/7 RP 1.59091f D FutTrl15000 2nd/8 -1½L 74 0.8-1 L Brk inward;gaining 8Cyber PaintG. Linares · Z. StinebaughLinares · StinebaughA96 94 91▲+5≡@trip 915-2Fair 4-120%
▲ Up +5 · career best96 94 91 ≡@trip 91A2Card model 20% · Fair odds 4-1 · Our #2 · Tier A · Form ▲ Up +5 · career best · ≡ Steady figures 87–96 · Best fig at today's trip 91 (2 tries) · Last 3 figs 96 94 91
Jockey Gilberto Linares 33% career 8-for-48 on dirt this meet (17%) · Trainer Zackary Stinebaugh 36% career 0-for-16 on dirt this meet (0%)Also today · Jockey R1: Rocking Cowboy 6-1, R3: Dracula 20-1, R4: Eagle On The Prey 15-1, R7: Your Flying Dreams 30-1 +4 more · Trainer R1: Gjr Eaglet 30-1, R3: Dracula 20-1, R4: Eagle On The Prey 15-1, R7: Mister Sinatra 9-2 +2 moreA 53-day gap since its last race. Runs for $10,000 today after a $200,000 race last time.
PACE CHALLENGE Style isn't established yet, so how it fits this shape is open.WORKS SHARP One of the busier work schedules here: 1 work in 30d, last 15d agoRECORD Gilberto Linares from post 8 here: 4 wins, 9 top-3 in 20 rides · 15% wins from all posts hereLast three races
Date Trk Dist Class Finish Fig Odds Eq Trip 9/7 ALB 2f D AllAmerJuv200k 4th/10 -2L 96 8.3-1 b L Pushed out start 8/7 ALB 2f D FutTrl10000 2nd/10 -1L 94 3.4-1 b L Rallied late; 7/12 ALB 1.81818f D RainbFutG1 G1 6th/10 -1¾L 91 12-1 b L Broke slow; lost path 9Jet Two Is ArmedA. Rivera · J. StinebaughRivera · StinebaughA80 91 90▼▼-8@trip 917-2Fair 5-116%
▼▼ Big drop -880 91 90@trip 91A3Card model 16% · Fair odds 5-1 · Our #3 · Tier A · Form ▼▼ Big drop -8 · Best fig at today's trip 91 (3 tries) · Last 3 figs 80 91 90
Jockey Ali Rivera 34% career 9-for-80 on dirt this meet (11%) · Trainer John A Stinebaugh 36% career 10-for-52 on dirt this meet (19%) ★ hotAlso today · Jockey R1: Cowboys Love Wine 2-1, R2: Tomorrows Dynasty 9-2, R3: Candy In My Arms 6-1, R4: Curls Favorite Jet 2-1 +8 more · Trainer R1: Cowboys Love Wine 2-1, R2: Tomorrows Dynasty 9-2, R3: Candy In My Arms 6-1, R4: Curls Favorite Jet 2-1 +8 moreHas won 4 of 6 going today's distance. Runs for $10,000 today after a $455,310 race last time.
PACE CHALLENGE Style isn't established yet, so how it fits this shape is open.TROUBLED TRIP Chart note from last time: Stumbled; bmpd. A trip worth forgiving, though the number already carries it.WORKS LIGHT Few works lately, 0 works in 30d and the last 101 days agoRECORD Ali Rivera from post 9 here: 6 wins, 19 top-3 in 49 rides · 17% wins from all posts hereLast three races
Date Trk Dist Class Finish Fig Odds Eq Trip 10/10 LS 1.81818f D DshCshFuG2 G2 8th/9 -6L 80 19-1 b L Stumbled;bmpd 9/19 LS 1.81818f D FutTrl10000 Won/9 91 1.7-1 b L Pulled ahead;lil drift 8/7 ALB 2f D FutTrl10000 5th/10 -3L 90 1.6-1 b L Improved position; 10The WalkwayF. Calderon · C. GandarillaCalderon · GandarillaC8130-1Fair 30-13%
—81CCard model 3% · Fair odds 30-1 · Our #10 · Tier C · Last 3 figs 81
Jockey Francisco Calderon 37% career 8-for-41 on dirt this meet (20%) · Trainer Chris Gandarilla 33% career 2-for-13 on dirt this meet (15%) ★ hotAlso today · Jockey R1: Fall Classic 8-5, R2: Unblemished V 5-2, R3: Konklusiv 2-1, R4: Staggeringcowboy 7-2 +9 more · Trainer R1: Shiny Favorite 20-1Francisco Calderon takes over from Ali Rivera in the saddle. Last out was 5th, 2 lengths behind the winner, in a 10-horse maiden special weight race at LS.
PACE CHALLENGE No style on record, so the setup says little about it.WORKS LIGHT Few works lately, 0 works in 30d and the last 43 days agoRECORD Francisco Calderon from post 10 here: 8 wins, 15 top-3 in 32 rides · 19% wins from all posts hereLast three races
Date Trk Dist Class Finish Fig Odds Eq Trip 10/9 LS 1.13636f D MSW 5th/10 -2L 81 18-1 b L Drifted out st
▲ / ▼ angle for / against · ★ best figure at the trip · LS longshot read · 1 2 3 = our top three · A B C tiers · ▲ ► ▼ form · ≡ ↕ steady / up-and-down. Tap a row for its notes, a name for the horse's page. Analysis only. Pace: hard to project, too many first-time starters.
How to read these marks
- 1 2 3
- Our top three by the card model's win chance. Tap “Our order” to sort by it.
- Win %, Fair
- The card model's chance to win, and the odds that chance works out to with no takeout. Fair is green when the model rates the horse above its morning line (the line scaled to add up to 100%).
- Tier A B C ?
- The field ranked on recent speed figures and the morning line together: A = top three, B = next three, C = the rest, ? = no figures yet.
- 71 60 72
- Last three speed figures, newest first. “@trip 75” = best figure at today's distance (within 30 yards) on this surface.
- ▲▲ ▲ ► ▼ ▼▼
- Form: last figure against the average of the three before it. ▲ = up 3 or more, ▲▲ = up 8 or more, ► = within 3, ▼ / ▼▼ = down. The number is the difference.
- ≡ ↕
- ≡ steady: the last four figures sit close together. ↕ up-and-down: they swing widely.
- ★
- Best figure in the field at today's distance and surface, from two or more tries, not tied. When that horse isn't in our top three it gets a “Distance horse” note above the field.
- ▲ ▼ chips
- Handicapping angles for or against the horse. LS = longshot read: 8-1 or more on the morning line and the model rates it higher than that line.
These marks describe the past performances. None of them is proven to beat the odds: in our test of 100 handicapping angles, nothing did better than the final odds, and the morning-line favourite wins more races than our top-ranked horse. Read them as notes, not as a reason to bet.
Race conditions and our readpace, conditions, story
LONE STAR PARK · RACE 15
UPCOMINGTrial
Stakes, for 2-year-olds.
Stakes race — the top class. Owners pay entry/nomination fees that build the purse, which draws the best horses available.
● Breed: Quarter Horse
● Track record at 400 Yards: 19.2
The shape is the story here: the early pace looks honest rather than contested — expect a fairly run race where class and trip decide it, not pace collapse.
Our number tops on #3 Tell A Scout (a tactical type, M/L 8-5). Recent figures: 98 · 95 · 79. It hit the board last time and stays in form. Backup is #8 Cyber Paint at 5-2. Use #9 Jet Two Is Armed in exotic structures.
What would change our mind: a key scratch that reshapes the early pace, a sharp turf-to-dirt or surface switch off the rail, or live money showing up on a horse the board had dismissed. Watch the tote late.
At a glance: model vs the morning line
At a glance
- Market favourite #3 TELL A SCOUT (8-5) — our number agrees.
- #3 TELL A SCOUT — our top number on the card, about right at the windows (28.7% to their 30.0%).
- #8 CYBER PAINT — our #2 number, about right at the windows (22.0% to their 22.3%).
- #9 JET TWO IS ARMED — our #3 number, about right at the windows (17.4% to their 17.3%).
Model vs the morning line
- The model and the morning line roughly agree on this field.
Pacewho goes to the front
Pace
Pace Vacuum. No real early speed. Whoever shows up first is likely uncontested. Pressers benefit.
and works against #1 Mounte Rushmore, #2 Kj Money Maker, #3 Tell A Scout.
Number = last-race early-pace figure. Green border = the shape helps; red = it works against.
Early speed and closing figures, horse by horse
Closing Kick · late-pace figure
Bet types offeredwager menu
Bet types
Wagers offered on this race.
EXACTA / $.50 TRIFECTA / $.10 SUPERFECTA / $.20 JACKPOT SUPER HI-FIVE
BET OPTIONS
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