Pick sheet

Race 55:03 PM Clm 12500

1 Mi · Dirt · 9 entered. Our model's top pick, Doo Wop Don, is 33% to win (morning line implies 23%). Pace: fast and contested (6 early types). Helps stalkers and closers.

Top pick #1 Doo Wop Don ML 5-2 Fair 2-1 Model #1 ▲▲ Big jump +11 · career best ▲ Last fig 93 at/above par 85

Jockey J. Hernandez · Trainer J. Mullins · KEE 2: 2-0-0 · Dist 7: 2-2-2 · best fig at 1m dirt 87 · 30 days off

Date	Trk	Dist	Class	Finish	Fig	Odds	Eq	Trip
10/2	SA	5½f D	Clm 8k	Won/8 by hd	93	2.2-1	b L	Inside; hand urging
11/2	DMR	6½f D	Clm 16k c	5th/6 -5L	79	1.5-1	b L	2-3wd;mvd out;no rally
10/19	SA	1m D	Clm 12k c	Won/5	85	1.0-1	b L	Bid2wd1/4;dueled str

Case: Last out won in the Clm8000 at SA. Last Brisnet figures 93-79-85. Best at today's distance 87. 2-for-7 at the distance. 2-for-2 at Santa Anita. J. Mullins / J. Hernandez.

Knock: Nothing glaring on paper.

Contender #5 Brother O' Brien ML 3-1 Fair 9-2 Model #2 Top last-race fig ▲▲ Big jump +10 · career best ▲ Last fig 94 at/above par 85

Jockey K. Kimura · Trainer T. McCanna · KEE 5: 1-1-0 · Dist 14: 5-3-3 · best fig at 1m dirt 85 · 55 days off

Date	Trk	Dist	Class	Finish	Fig	Odds	Eq	Trip
9/7	EMD	1 1/16 D	Alw s	2nd/10 -1½L	94	1.8-1	b L	2-w; strong finish
8/16	EMD	1⅛m D	Alw s	2nd/9 -2½L	87	1.7-1	b L	2;3-w; finished fast
7/19	EMD	1m D	Alw s	Won/8	85	1.2-1	b L	4;5-w; all out

Case: Last out 2nd in the Alw10000s at EMD. Last Brisnet figures 94-87-85. Best at today's distance 85. 5-for-14 at the distance. 1-for-5 at Santa Anita. T. McCanna / K. Kimura.

Knock: Our model rates this one below its morning line.

Use #6 Whiskyginandbrandy ML 7-2 Fair 7-1 Model #3 ▼▼ Big drop -14 ↕ Up and down 76–97 Last out 9th/11 -6L in the Alw20000s at DMR. Last Brisnet figures 76-97-92. Best at today's distance 92. 1-for-4 at the distance. 2-for-6 at Santa Anita. S. Knapp / T. Pereira. Knock: Our model rates this one below its morning line.

Jockey T. Pereira · Trainer S. Knapp · KEE 6: 2-0-1 · Dist 4: 1-0-1 · best fig at 1m dirt 92 · 55 days off

Date	Trk	Dist	Class	Finish	Fig	Odds	Eq	Trip
9/7	DMR	6½f D	Alw s	9th/11 -6L	76	9.1-1	b L	Tracked 3-4wd;weakened
7/5	LRC	7f D	Alw s	4th/6 -4½L	97	7.7-1	b L	Tracked 3-5wd;no rally
6/20	LRC	1m D	sBertrandoB100k	4th/5 -3L	92	16-1	b	Lacked room/checked3/8

Longshot #8 Keep Movin' on ML 12-1 Fair 12-1 Model #6 ► Steady ≡ Steady 75–84 ▼ Age 5+ at a price, figures fall as the distance rises

Jockey J. Rosario · Trainer M. Glatt · KEE 4: 0-0-1 · Dist 9: 1-1-1 · best fig at 1m dirt 85 · 28 days off

Date	Trk	Dist	Class	Finish	Fig	Odds	Eq	Trip
10/4	SA	1m D	Clm 10k	3rd/7 -2½L	80	2.7-1	b L	Brk in/bpd;3-2w;ins-3w
9/6	DMR	1⅛m T	Clm 25k	12th/12 -8L	75	58-1	b L	3deep;shuffld2nd;tired
8/7	DMR	1m T	Alw s	4th/10 -3½L	84	26-1	b L	2wd;swung 4wd;improved

Case: Last out 3rd in the Clm10000 at SA. Last Brisnet figures 80-75-84. Best at today's distance 85. 1-for-9 at the distance. 0-for-4 at Santa Anita. M. Glatt / J. Rosario.

Knock: Nothing glaring on paper.

★ Distance horse: #7 Del Mar Jerry (5-1) has the best figure in the field at 1m dirt: 97 from 5 tries, record at the distance 6: 2-1-0. Not one of our picks.

Narrowing the field: A #1, #5, #7 · B #2, #6, #9 · C #3, #4, #8

Angles: #1 Last fig 93 at/above par 85 · #5 Last fig 94 at/above par 85 · #8 Age 5+ at a price, figures fall as the distance rises · #9 2nd off a layoff after a poor return (81 vs 91)

R5 Santa Anita Park · Claiming $12,500

5:03 PM ET · 1 Mile Dirt · $24,000 · 8 runners (1 out)5:03 PM · 1m Dirt · 8 runners (1 out)

Official $24K · Claiming $12,500

Card modelCard model MediumFormLast 3 figsTier · angles

★ Distance horse: #7 Del Mar Jerry (5-1) has the best figure in the field at today's distance and surface: 97 from 5 tries. Not in our top three.

1Doo Wop Don▲Ran 4thJ. Hernandez · J. MullinsHernandez · MullinsA93 79 85▲▲+11@trip 875-2Fair 2-133%▲▲ Big jump +11 · career best93 79 85@trip 87A▲ Last fig 93 at/above par 851

Card model 33% · Fair odds 2-1 · Our #1 · Tier A · Form ▲▲ Big jump +11 · career best · Best fig at today's trip 87 (4 tries) · Last 3 figs 93 79 85

▲ Last fig 93 at/above par 85

Jockey Juan J Hernandez 38% career ★ 7-for-35 on dirt this meet (20%) · Trainer Jeff Mullins 34% career 4-for-9 on dirt this meet (44%), #1 of 26 ★ hot

Also today · Jockey R1: Darn Good Dancer 3-2, R4: Path To Power 6-1, R7: Dragon Reign 3-1, R8: Jimmy Winkfield 4-1 +2 more · Trainer R1: Platinum Groove 2-1, R4: Proletariat 3-5

CLASS DROPWON LAST

Winner of an 8-horse $8,000 claiming race at SA last time. A step up in company: $8,000 claiming before, $12,500 claiming today.

PACE HELPS The pocket behind pressure is the useful spot, and this type fits it.

WORKS LIGHT Few works lately, 2 works in 30d and the last 7 days ago

Last three races

Date	Trk	Dist	Class	Finish	Fig	Odds	Eq	Trip
10/2	SA	5½f D	Clm 8k	Won/8 by hd	93	2.2-1	b L	Inside; hand urging
11/2	DMR	6½f D	Clm 16k c	5th/6 -5L	79	1.5-1	b L	2-3wd;mvd out;no rally
10/19	SA	1m D	Clm 12k c	Won/5	85	1.0-1	b L	Bid2wd1/4;dueled str

2City ExileRan 8thT. Baze · S. KnappBaze · KnappB82 86 88▼-5≡15-1Fair 20-14%▼ Down -582 86 88 ≡B

Card model 4% · Fair odds 20-1 · Our #7 · Tier B · Form ▼ Down -5 · ≡ Steady figures 82–88 · Last 3 figs 82 86 88

Jockey T C Baze 27% career ★ 6-for-26 on dirt this meet (23%) · Trainer Steve Knapp 30% career 2-for-33 on dirt this meet (6%)

Also today · Jockey R3: Miyako Pauma 30-1, R6: Eltonsingsanother 4-1, R8: Frank Bullitt 3-1, R9: Van Gogh Style 5-2 · Trainer R2: Strike A Match 3-1, this race: Whiskyginandbrandy 7-2, R8: Jimmy Winkfield 4-1, R9: Fionello 10-1

Switches from turf to dirt. Drops from $32,000 claiming to $12,500 claiming.

EVEN PACE With the front end pressed, the late run has something to run at.

WORKS LIGHT Few works lately, 1 work in 30d and the last 28 days ago

RECORD 2 wins, 4 on the board from 9 starts here

Last three races

Date	Trk	Dist	Class	Finish	Fig	Odds	Eq	Trip
10/17	SA	1m T	Clm 32k	8th/8 -3¾L	82	2.7-1	L	2wide; no rally
9/6	DMR	1⅛m T	Clm 25k	7th/12 -2½L	86	3.7-1	L	Saved ground;flattened
7/24	DMR	1⅛m T	Clm 40k c	3rd/8 -3L	88	1.0-1	L	Ins;tip out;willingly

3Crypto RideK. Frey · S. HobsonFrey · HobsonC82 80 81▲+3≡@trip 8920-1<1%▲ Up +382 80 81 ≡@trip 89C

Card model <1% · Our #9 · Tier C · Form ▲ Up +3 · ≡ Steady figures 76–82 · Best fig at today's trip 89 (9 tries) · Last 3 figs 82 80 81

Jockey Kyle Frey 28% career ★ 10-for-39 on dirt this meet (26%), #2 of 24 · Trainer Simon Hobson 21% career 1-for-1 on dirt this meet

Also today · Jockey R3: Lovely Maya 20-1, R4: Proletariat 3-5, R7: Vino Vino Vino 5-1, R8: Kerry Gold 30-1 +1 more

CLASS DROP★ FASTEST WORKWON LAST3/6 board here

Last start was a win, in a 7-horse $10,000 claiming race at SA at 4.6-1. Raises its level, $10,000 claiming last time and $12,500 claiming now.

PACE HELPS Stalks an honestly pressed pace from a good spot.

WORKS LIGHT Light on works against these rivals (0 works in 30d, last 100d back)

RECORD 1 win, 3 on the board from 6 starts here

Last three races

Date	Trk	Dist	Class	Finish	Fig	Odds	Eq	Trip
10/4	SA	1m D	Clm 10k	Won/7	82	4.6-1	b L	2-3w;aim btwn;cleared
9/6	DMR	1m D	Clm 16k	4th/9 -8½L	80	45-1	b L	Bid4-3w backstr;tired
8/8	DMR	6f D	sOC20000n1x	6th/8 -9L	81	37-1	b L	Ins;passed tired rvls

4OobubbakakayoRan 3rdH. Berrios · G. VallejoBerrios · VallejoC79 85 72►@trip 8520-1Fair 30-13%► Steady79 85 72@trip 85C

Card model 3% · Fair odds 30-1 · Our #8 · Tier C · Form ► Steady · Best fig at today's trip 85 (5 tries) · Last 3 figs 79 85 72

Jockey Hector Isaac Berrios 34% career 2-for-11 on dirt this meet (18%) · Trainer Genaro Vallejo 24% career 0-for-8 on dirt this meet (0%)

Also today · Jockey R1: Platinum Groove 2-1, R3: Awsome Amy 9-5, R7: Prospect Of Love 6-1, R8: Miles Finch 15-1 +1 more · Trainer R6: Ryan's Girl 3-1

CLASS UP★ FASTEST WORK0/5 board here

Last race was on the turf; today it runs on the dirt. A big drop, optional claiming to $12,500 claiming, and worth asking why.

PACE HELPS The pocket behind pressure is the useful spot, and this type fits it.

WORKS SHARP Posted the morning's best 4F on Oct 18; 1 work in 30d

RECORD Not on the board in 5 starts here

Last three races

Date	Trk	Dist	Class	Finish	Fig	Odds	Eq	Trip
9/27	SA	1m T	sOC20000n1x	9th/11 -3½L	79	50-1	L	Tight;stdy 7/8;wknd
9/12	LRC	1m D	Clm 12k n2x	Won/5 by ½	85	3.0-1	L	Pulled;2w;3w;cleared
7/26	DMR	1m D	Clm 10k	9th/10 -11L	72	16-1	L	Settled inside; empty

5Brother O' Brien▲Ran 6thK. Kimura · T. McCannaKimura · McCannaA94 87 85▲▲+10@trip 853-1Fair 9-218%▲▲ Big jump +10 · career best94 87 85@trip 85A▲ Last fig 94 at/above par 852
Card model 18% · Fair odds 9-2 · Our #2 · Tier A · Form ▲▲ Big jump +10 · career best · Best fig at today's trip 85 (5 tries) · Last 3 figs 94 87 85
▲ Last fig 94 at/above par 85
Jockey Kazushi Kimura 32% career 4-for-33 on dirt this meet (12%) · Trainer Tim McCanna 1-for-3 on dirt this meet
Also today · Jockey R4: Melismatic 6-1, R6: Ryan's Girl 3-1, R7: Magic World 8-1, R8: Owl 5-1 +1 more
4 WORKS IN 30 DAYS
Has run 94 against a 85 par for the class. Has moved up each time out, 85 to 87 to 94.
EVEN PACE With the front end pressed, the late run has something to run at.
WORKS SHARP Fit-looking prep next to these rivals: 4 works in 30d, last 8d ago
Last three races
Date Trk Dist Class Finish Fig Odds Eq Trip
9/7 EMD 1 1/16 D Alw s 2nd/10 -1½L 94 1.8-1 b L 2-w; strong finish
8/16 EMD 1⅛m D Alw s 2nd/9 -2½L 87 1.7-1 b L 2;3-w; finished fast
7/19 EMD 1m D Alw s Won/8 85 1.2-1 b L 4;5-w; all out

6WhiskyginandbrandyRan 1stT. Pereira · S. KnappPereira · KnappB76 97 92▼▼-14↕@trip 927-2Fair 7-113%▼▼ Big drop -1476 97 92 ↕@trip 92B3

Card model 13% · Fair odds 7-1 · Our #3 · Tier B · Form ▼▼ Big drop -14 · ↕ Up-and-down figures 76–97 · Best fig at today's trip 92 (4 tries) · Last 3 figs 76 97 92

Jockey Tiago Pereira 31% career 7-for-36 on dirt this meet (19%) · Trainer Steve Knapp 30% career 2-for-33 on dirt this meet (6%)

Also today · Jockey R2: Fire Mountain 8-1, R7: Back Burn 4-1, R8: Got'm Cot'm 5-1, R9: Fionello 10-1 +1 more · Trainer R2: Strike A Match 3-1, this race: City Exile 15-1, R8: Jimmy Winkfield 4-1, R9: Fionello 10-1

3 WORKS IN 30 DAYS

Goes a mile after running 6½ furlongs last time. Best Brisnet figure in the field over its last five: 97, with 94 next best.

PACE HELPS The pocket behind pressure is the useful spot, and this type fits it.

WORKS Average work schedule for this field (3 works in 30d, last 7d ago)

RECORD 1 win, 3 on the board from 7 starts here

Last three races

Date	Trk	Dist	Class	Finish	Fig	Odds	Eq	Trip
9/7	DMR	6½f D	Alw s	9th/11 -6L	76	9.1-1	b L	Tracked 3-4wd;weakened
7/5	LRC	7f D	Alw s	4th/6 -4½L	97	7.7-1	b L	Tracked 3-5wd;no rally
6/20	LRC	1m D	sBertrandoB100k	4th/5 -3L	92	16-1	b	Lacked room/checked3/8

7Del Mar Jerry★Ran 7thM. Americano · S. MiyadiAmericano · MiyadiA82 83 90▼-4≡@trip 975-1Fair 7-112%▼ Down -482 83 90 ≡@trip 97A★ Best at the trip 97

Card model 12% · Fair odds 7-1 · Our #4 · Tier A · Form ▼ Down -4 · ≡ Steady figures 82–90 · Best fig at today's trip 97 (5 tries) · Last 3 figs 82 83 90

★ Best at the trip 97

Jockey Manuel Americano 33% career 1-for-7 on dirt this meet · Trainer Steven Miyadi 28% career ★ 5-for-17 on dirt this meet (29%)

Also today · Jockey R3: Tiz Lezendary 15-1, R6: Bessie Coleman 3-2, R8: Feeling Lucky 12-1 · Trainer R3: Tiz Lezendary 15-1, R6: Bessie Coleman 3-2

★ FASTEST WORK

Figures have slipped: 90, 83, 82 over its last three. Went to the front early last out (early pace figure 80).

PACE CHALLENGE Leads into real pressure, so it has to earn the front and then hold it. (early-speed points: 6)

WORKS SHARP 4f in :47.20 on Oct 24 was the best time at that distance that morning; 1 work in 30d

RECORD 0 wins, 1 on the board from 5 starts here

Last three races

Date	Trk	Dist	Class	Finish	Fig	Odds	Eq	Trip
10/2	SA	1m D	Clm 20k	5th/6 -2L	82	2.3-1	L	3deep;2wd/btwn;flatten
9/12	LRC	5½f D	OC 25k	5th/7 -8¼L	83	7.4-1	L	5wd turn; 6wd lane
8/21	DMR	6f D	Clm 40k	7th/8 -2¾L	90	12-1	L	Pressed between;weaken

8Keep Movin' on▼LSRan 5thJ. Rosario · M. GlattRosario · GlattC80 75 84►≡@trip 8512-1Fair 12-17%► Steady80 75 84 ≡@trip 85C▼ Age 5+ at a price, figures fall as the distance risesLS

Card model 7% · Fair odds 12-1 · Our #6 · Tier C · Form ► Steady · ≡ Steady figures 75–84 · Best fig at today's trip 85 (6 tries) · Last 3 figs 80 75 84

▼ Age 5+ at a price, figures fall as the distance risesLS

Longshot read: 12-1 on the morning line, and the model has it at 7% against a line of 6%. A read, not a bet.

Jockey Joel Rosario 33% career 6-for-38 on dirt this meet (16%) · Trainer Mark Glatt 34% career 1-for-13 on dirt this meet (8%)

Also today · Jockey R2: Moonlit Sonata 3-2, R4: Unrivaled Time 5-1, R8: Third Beer 9-2, R9: Blame It On Jack 8-1 +1 more · Trainer R4: Essos 12-1

CLASS DROP★ FASTEST WORK

Fastest 5F work of its morning on Oct 25 (:59.20), a sign it is training forwardly. Worked 4F in :47.00 on Sep 19, 2nd of 20 at the distance.

EVEN PACE Real pressure up front should bring the pace back to it.

WORKS SHARP Fastest work of the morning on Oct 25 (5F in :59.20), 2 works in 30d

RECORD 0 wins, 1 on the board from 6 starts here

Last three races

Date	Trk	Dist	Class	Finish	Fig	Odds	Eq	Trip
10/4	SA	1m D	Clm 10k	3rd/7 -2½L	80	2.7-1	b L	Brk in/bpd;3-2w;ins-3w
9/6	DMR	1⅛m T	Clm 25k	12th/12 -8L	75	58-1	b L	3deep;shuffld2nd;tired
8/7	DMR	1m T	Alw s	4th/10 -3½L	84	26-1	b L	2wd;swung 4wd;improved

9Mubtadaa▼Ran 2ndA. Ayuso · V. CerinAyuso · CerinB81 91 84▼-68-1Fair 10-18%▼ Down -681 91 84B▼ 2nd off a layoff after a poor return (81 vs 91)

Card model 8% · Fair odds 10-1 · Our #5 · Tier B · Form ▼ Down -6 · Last 3 figs 81 91 84

▼ 2nd off a layoff after a poor return (81 vs 91)

Jockey Armando Ayuso 31% career 6-for-48 on dirt this meet (12%) · Trainer Vladimir Cerin 27% career 1-for-4 on dirt this meet

Also today · Jockey R1: Cyclone Claire 7-2, R2: King Stephen 6-1, R6: Shop Till You Drop 9-2, R8: Moment Of Valor 10-1 +1 more · Trainer R8: Grey's Boy 8-1

A longer trip: 6 furlongs last out, a mile today. Comes off a turf start and tries the dirt here.

PACE HELPS Sits just off the speed with pace in front to run at.

WORKS LIGHT Few works lately, 1 work in 30d and the last 27 days ago

RECORD 0 wins, 2 on the board from 5 starts here

Last three races

Date	Trk	Dist	Class	Finish	Fig	Odds	Eq	Trip
10/18	SA	6f T	OC 32k	9th/10 -6½L	81	35-1	L	3wide turn; weakened
8/14	DMR	1m T	Clm 32k	5th/9 -½L	91	4.5-1	L	Ins;bid btwn7/16;flatn
7/17	DMR	5f T	Clm 40k	5th/8 -2¾L	84	3.8-1	L	Inside; tight 5/16

▲ / ▼ angle for / against · ★ best figure at the trip · LS longshot read · 1 2 3 = our top three · A B C tiers · ▲ ► ▼ form · ≡ ↕ steady / up-and-down. Tap a row for its notes, a name for the horse's page. Analysis only. Pace: fast and contested (6 early types). Helps stalkers and closers.

How to read these marks

1 2 3: Our top three by the card model's win chance. Tap “Our order” to sort by it.
Win %, Fair: The card model's chance to win, and the odds that chance works out to with no takeout. Fair is green when the model rates the horse above its morning line (the line scaled to add up to 100%).
Tier A B C ?: The field ranked on recent speed figures and the morning line together: A = top three, B = next three, C = the rest, ? = no figures yet.
71 60 72: Last three speed figures, newest first. “@trip 75” = best figure at today's distance (within 30 yards) on this surface.
▲▲ ▲ ► ▼ ▼▼: Form: last figure against the average of the three before it. ▲ = up 3 or more, ▲▲ = up 8 or more, ► = within 3, ▼ / ▼▼ = down. The number is the difference.
≡ ↕: ≡ steady: the last four figures sit close together. ↕ up-and-down: they swing widely.
★: Best figure in the field at today's distance and surface, from two or more tries, not tied. When that horse isn't in our top three it gets a “Distance horse” note above the field.
▲ ▼ chips: Handicapping angles for or against the horse. LS = longshot read: 8-1 or more on the morning line and the model rates it higher than that line.

These marks describe the past performances. None of them is proven to beat the odds: in our test of 100 handicapping angles, nothing did better than the final odds, and the morning-line favourite wins more races than our top-ranked horse. Read them as notes, not as a reason to bet.

● Official result

$2 payoffs · our pre-race read is unchanged below

Our top pick, #1 Doo Wop Don, finished 4th.

1st6WhiskyginandbrandyWin$9.20Place$4.40Show$3.20Our #3

2nd9MubtadaaWin—Place$5.20Show$4.60Our #5

3rd4OobubbakakayoWin—Place—Show$11.80Our #8

4th1Doo Wop DonOur #1

Race conditions and our readpace, conditions, story

SANTA ANITA PARK · RACE 5

OFFICIAL

Claiming $12,500

Field

9 runners

Purse

$24,000

Post

5:03 PM ET

Pace

Pressed Pace

Card model top pick

#1 · 33%

Claiming $12,500, for 3-year-olds and up.

Claiming race — every starter can be bought for the claiming price out of the race, so owners risk losing a horse that's clearly best. That keeps the field evenly matched on ability.

● Track record at 1 Mile: 93.4

The shape is the story here: there's little established early speed, so a tactical horse can control soft fractions up front and prove hard to run down.

Our number tops on #1 Doo Wop Don (a presser/stalker, M/L 5-2). Recent figures: 93 · 79 · 85. It exits a win and is clearly doing well. Backup is #5 Brother O' Brien at 3-1. Use #6 Whiskyginandbrandy in exotic structures.

What would change our mind: a key scratch that reshapes the early pace, a sharp turf-to-dirt or surface switch off the rail, or live money showing up on a horse the board had dismissed. Watch the tote late.

● OUTCOME · OUR #3 WON

Whiskyginandbrandy (our #3) won · top pick Doo Wop Don ran 4th

What worked

✓ Winner came from our top 3 (our #3)

What didn't

✗ Top pick off the board (4th)
✗ Our top 3 finished 4th, 6th, 1st

TBredIQ ranking → finish

#1	#1 DOO WOP DON	4th
#2	#5 BROTHER O' BRIEN	6th
#3	#6 WHISKYGINANDBRANDY	1st
#4	#7 DEL MAR JERRY	7th
#5	#9 MUBTADAA	2nd

Actual finish

1st	#6 Whiskyginandbrandy	our #3
2nd	#9 Mubtadaa	our #5
3rd	#4 Oobubbakakayo	our #8
4th	#1 Doo Wop Don	our #1
5th	#8 Keep Movin' On	our #6

At a glance: model vs the morning line

At a glance

Market favourite #1 DOO WOP DON (5-2) — our number agrees.
#1 DOO WOP DON — our top number on the card, about right at the windows (25.3% to their 22.5%).
#5 BROTHER O' BRIEN — our #2 number, about right at the windows (21.3% to their 19.7%).
#6 WHISKYGINANDBRANDY — our #3 number, about right at the windows (16.2% to their 17.5%).

Model vs the morning line · analysis, not advice

The model and the morning line roughly agree on this field.

Pacewho goes to the front

Pace

Pressed Pace. Speed under pressure from multiple pressers. Likely honest pace, slight closer benefit.

Likely leader: #7 Del Mar Jerry; pressure from #6 Whiskyginandbrandy, #1 Doo Wop Don; the shape helps #1 Doo Wop Don, #3 Crypto Ride, #4 Oobubbakakayo; and works against #7 Del Mar Jerry.

Lead

7Del Mar Jerry80

Press

6Whiskyginandbrandy931Doo Wop Don863Crypto Ride869Mubtadaa864Oobubbakakayo81

Stalk

none

2City Exile818Keep Movin' On765Brother O' Brien73

Number = last-race early-pace figure. Green border = the shape helps; red = it works against.

Early speed and closing figures, horse by horse

Early Pace · E1 figure · front runners

Whiskyginandbrandy

Doo Wop Don

Crypto Ride

Mubtadaa

Oobubbakakayo

Del Mar Jerry

Closing Kick · late-pace figure

Keep Movin' On

City Exile

Brother O' Brien

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Bet types

Wagers offered on this race.

WIN ($2) / PLACE ($2) / SHOW ($2) / EXACTA ($1) / TRIFECTA ($1)

SUPERFECTA ($.10) / ROLLINGDOUBLE ($2) / ROLLING PICK 3 ($1)

TBredIQ shows analysis only. We don’t build tickets or suggest amounts.

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