R9 Lone Star Park · Trial

9:33 PM ET · 400 Yards Dirt · $10,000 · 9 runners9:33 PM · 1.8f Dirt · 9 runners

Upcoming $10K · Trial

Card modelCard model MediumFormLast 3 figsTier · angles

1HesawthebatsignalG. Linares · J. SanchezLinares · SanchezA91 84 81▲▲+105-1Fair 7-113%▲▲ Big jump +1091 84 81A

Card model 13% · Fair odds 7-1 · Our #4 · Tier A · Form ▲▲ Big jump +10 · Last 3 figs 91 84 81

Jockey Gilberto Linares 33% career 8-for-48 on dirt this meet (17%) · Trainer Jose Luis Iii Sanchez 34% career 5-for-42 on dirt this meet (12%)

Also today · Jockey R1: Rocking Cowboy 6-1, R3: Dracula 20-1, R4: Eagle On The Prey 15-1, R7: Your Flying Dreams 30-1 +4 more · Trainer R2: Jess Sissy Cartel 6-1, R5: Marvelous Marv 3-1, R8: Get Aggressive 5-1, R12: Goldmining 12-1 +1 more

60D LAYOFF

Owns the highest recent figure here at 96. Drops from allowance to stakes nongraded.

PACE CHALLENGE Style isn't established yet, so how it fits this shape is open.

WORKS SHARP Active work pattern for this group, 1 work in 30d and the last 30d back

RECORD Gilberto Linares from post 1 here: 5 wins, 8 top-3 in 17 rides · 15% wins from all posts here

Last three races

Date	Trk	Dist	Class	Finish	Fig	Odds	Eq	Trip
8/22	RET	1.59091f D	Alw n2l	4th/9 -½L	91	3.8-1	b L	No menace
8/7	RET	1.59091f D	FutTrl10000	4th/10 -1½L	84	12-1	b L	Lug is; straighten out
7/2	RET	1.59091f D	sFutTrl10000	2nd/10 -2½L	81	7.1-1	b L	Bid; second best

2King BajaF. Calderon · K. ReedCalderon · ReedC7420-1Fair 30-14%—74C
Card model 4% · Fair odds 30-1 · Our #8 · Tier C · Last 3 figs 74
Jockey Francisco Calderon 37% career 8-for-41 on dirt this meet (20%) · Trainer Kash Reed 31% career ★ 7-for-28 on dirt this meet (25%), #3 of 67 ★ hot
Also today · Jockey R1: Fall Classic 8-5, R2: Unblemished V 5-2, R3: Konklusiv 2-1, R4: Staggeringcowboy 7-2 +9 more · Trainer R2: Flight History 12-1, R5: Im Significant 5-1, R6: Panther Pursuit 20-1, R8: Sweet Pursuit 7-2 +3 more
★ FASTEST WORK
Class relief: maiden special weight last time, stakes nongraded today. 7th last time, 2¾ lengths back, in a field of 10.
PACE CHALLENGE Running style isn't established yet, so the pace read is a blank for this one.
WORKS SHARP 1f in :12.20 on Aug 6 was the best time at that distance that morning; 0 works in 30d
RECORD Francisco Calderon from post 2 here: 11 wins, 26 top-3 in 44 rides · 19% wins from all posts here
Last three races
Date Trk Dist Class Finish Fig Odds Eq Trip
9/26 LS 1.59091f D MSW 7th/10 -2¾L 74 4.0-1 b L Bmp;wknd late
3Swingin PolicyF. Giles · B. BolenGiles · BolenB75 70@trip 7530-1Fair 30-13%—75 70@trip 75B
Card model 3% · Fair odds 30-1 · Our #6 · Tier B · Best fig at today's trip 75 (1 tries) · Last 3 figs 75 70
Jockey Francisco Giles 29% career 3-for-48 on dirt this meet (6%) · Trainer Bradley Bolen 27% career 3-for-40 on dirt this meet (8%)
Also today · Jockey R5: Heroic Attempt 30-1, R8: Latest Crisis 30-1, R12: Pop A Rockz 20-1 · Trainer R5: Heroic Attempt 30-1, R8: Latest Crisis 30-1, R12: Pop A Rockz 20-1, R14: Warp Speed 20-1
Jky 9/50 from post 3
Finished 6th in a 10-horse maiden special weight race at LS, beaten 4¼ lengths. Was running in maiden special weight; today's stakes nongraded is an easier level on paper.
PACE CHALLENGE Style isn't established yet, so how it fits this shape is open.
WORKS LIGHT Thin work schedule next to this field: 0 works in 30d, last one 101d ago
RECORD Francisco Giles from post 3 here: 9 wins, 25 top-3 in 50 rides · 9% wins from all posts here
Last three races
Date Trk Dist Class Finish Fig Odds Eq Trip
10/3 LS 1.81818f D MSW 6th/10 -4¼L 75 35-1 b L Drifted out
8/8 RET 1.13636f D MSW 7th/10 -1¾L 70 36-1 b L Unruly gate; no threat

Date	Trk	Dist	Class	Finish	Fig	Odds	Eq	Trip
9/26	LS	1.59091f D	MSW	7th/10 -2¾L	74	4.0-1	b L	Bmp;wknd late

Date	Trk	Dist	Class	Finish	Fig	Odds	Eq	Trip
10/3	LS	1.81818f D	MSW	6th/10 -4¼L	75	35-1	b L	Drifted out
8/8	RET	1.13636f D	MSW	7th/10 -1¾L	70	36-1	b L	Unruly gate; no threat

4Cowgirl Lyndi GLSV. Urieta Jr. · H. BaezaUrieta Jr. · BaezaC77 57 64▲▲+1530-1Fair 30-14%▲▲ Big jump +15 · career best77 57 64CLS

Card model 4% · Fair odds 30-1 · Our #5 · Tier C · Form ▲▲ Big jump +15 · career best · Last 3 figs 77 57 64

Longshot read: 30-1 on the morning line, and the model has it at 4% against a line of 3%. A read, not a bet.

Jockey Victor Manuel Jr Urieta 18-for-99 on dirt this meet (18%) · Trainer Harvey Baeza 14% career 2-for-17 on dirt this meet (12%)

Also today · Jockey R3: Jc Canelo 5-2, R7: Dk Bonita Jess 4-1, R8: A Fortunate Cowboy 5-2, R13: Nena C 9-2 +1 more · Trainer R12: Sleepy Chilitos 6-5, R14: Thistrainsrelentless 30-1

0 for 6 at today's distance. Was running in maiden special weight; today's stakes nongraded is an easier level on paper.

PACE CHALLENGE Running style isn't established yet, so the pace read is a blank for this one.

WORKS LIGHT Few works lately, 0 works in 30d and the last 199 days ago

Last three races

Date	Trk	Dist	Class	Finish	Fig	Odds	Eq	Trip
10/15	LS	1.59091f D	MSW	6th/10 -2¾L	77	31-1	b L	Lacked rally
8/16	GIL	1.59091f D	MSW	7th/10 -2½L	57	17-1	b L	Unruly shied inwrd gap
7/5	GIL	1.36364f D	MSW	6th/8 -1¾L	64	11-1	b L	Antsy gate off bit slo

5The Real Mvp ZL. Vivanco · B. OlavesonVivanco · OlavesonB67 88 75▼▼-9↕@trip 6715-1Fair 20-15%▼▼ Big drop -967 88 75 ↕@trip 67B
Card model 5% · Fair odds 20-1 · Our #7 · Tier B · Form ▼▼ Big drop -9 · ↕ Up-and-down figures 66–88 · Best fig at today's trip 67 (1 tries) · Last 3 figs 67 88 75
Jockey Luis L Vivanco 36% career 10-for-70 on dirt this meet (14%) · Trainer Ben Olaveson 14% career 3-for-13 on dirt this meet (23%)
Also today · Jockey R1: Abouta Get Western 5-1, R2: Mondays Best 20-1, R7: Coronas First Cowboy 2-1, R10: Pitching Woo 20-1 +2 more · Trainer R12: Mr Mallard Hocks 8-1
New trainer: Jose Luis Iii Sanchez had it last time, Ben Olaveson now. 2nd of 12 at 1F on May 16, in :12.00.
PACE CHALLENGE No running style on file yet, so the pace shape can't be applied to it.
WORKS LIGHT Few works lately, 0 works in 30d and the last 167 days ago
RECORD Luis L Vivanco from post 5 here: 6 wins, 17 top-3 in 45 rides · 12% wins from all posts here
Last three races
Date Trk Dist Class Finish Fig Odds Eq Trip
9/19 LS 1.81818f D FutTrl10000 8th/10 -4¼L 67 7.1-1 b L No bid
7/24 RET 1½f D MSW 2nd/10 by nk 88 8.2-1 b L Up for place
6/11 HOU 1.13636f D MSW 5th/10 -½L 75 7.5-1 b L No menace

Date	Trk	Dist	Class	Finish	Fig	Odds	Eq	Trip
9/19	LS	1.81818f D	FutTrl10000	8th/10 -4¼L	67	7.1-1	b L	No bid
7/24	RET	1½f D	MSW	2nd/10 by nk	88	8.2-1	b L	Up for place
6/11	HOU	1.13636f D	MSW	5th/10 -½L	75	7.5-1	b L	No menace

6Raptor StoneG. Pina · W. GarciaPina · GarciaB81 85 87▼-4≡@trip 817-2Fair 4-119%▼ Down -481 85 87 ≡@trip 81B3

Card model 19% · Fair odds 4-1 · Our #3 · Tier B · Form ▼ Down -4 · ≡ Steady figures 81–87 · Best fig at today's trip 81 (1 tries) · Last 3 figs 81 85 87

Jockey Garcia Rosendo E Pina 32% career 3-for-51 on dirt this meet (6%) · Trainer Wendy Alejandra Garcia 32% career 1-for-25 on dirt this meet (4%)

Also today · Jockey R1: Gjr Eaglet 30-1, R6: Sugars Flying 20-1, R13: Cheyenne Stone 30-1, R14: Talego Stone 20-1 · Trainer R6: Sugars Flying 20-1, R13: Cheyenne Stone 30-1, R14: Talego Stone 20-1

Figures have slipped: 87, 85, 81 over its last three. Beaten ½ length for 3rd in a 9-horse stakes race at LS.

PACE CHALLENGE Style isn't established yet, so how it fits this shape is open.

WORKS LIGHT Thin work schedule next to this field: 0 works in 30d, last one 261d ago

Last three races

Date	Trk	Dist	Class	Finish	Fig	Odds	Eq	Trip
9/19	LS	1.81818f D	FutTrl10000	3rd/9 -½L	81	9.2-1	b L	Just needed more
8/13	RET	1.13636f D	Alw n2l	3rd/9 -1¼L	85	3.2-1	b L	Finished well
7/17	RET	1.13636f D	MSW	Won/10	87	0.8-1	b L	Broke sharp; driving

7Cowgirl Eats FireR. Ramirez · S. WoodRamirez · WoodA81 85 81▼-4≡@trip 814-1Fair 9-218%▼ Down -481 85 81 ≡@trip 81A2
Card model 18% · Fair odds 9-2 · Our #2 · Tier A · Form ▼ Down -4 · ≡ Steady figures 81–88 · Best fig at today's trip 81 (2 tries) · Last 3 figs 81 85 81
Jockey Ricky Ramirez 33% career 7-for-53 on dirt this meet (13%) · Trainer S Trey Wood 28% career 4-for-28 on dirt this meet (14%)
Also today · Jockey R3: Fearless Cowboy 7-2, R6: Agree N Tell 12-1, R7: Allikat Ttu 30-1, R8: A Noble Cowgirl 30-1 +3 more · Trainer R1: Timeto Quit 30-1, R2: Rr Evil Jess 30-1, R3: Fearless Cowboy 7-2, R4: Delightfully Sage 6-1 +11 more
Winless in 6 starts at this distance. Class relief: maiden special weight last time, stakes nongraded today.
PACE CHALLENGE Style isn't established yet, so how it fits this shape is open.
WORKS LIGHT Light on works against these rivals (0 works in 30d, last 140d back)
RECORD Ricky Ramirez from post 7 here: 1 win, 6 top-3 in 16 rides · 14% wins from all posts here
Last three races
Date Trk Dist Class Finish Fig Odds Eq Trip
10/3 LS 1.81818f D MSW 3rd/10 81 0.4-1 b L Outfinished
8/8 ALB 2f D FutTrl10000 5th/8 -2½L 85 5.7-1 b L No rally;
6/26 ALB 1.81818f D FutTrl10000 2nd/10 -1½L 81 3.4-1 b L Chased; no match

Date	Trk	Dist	Class	Finish	Fig	Odds	Eq	Trip
10/3	LS	1.81818f D	MSW	3rd/10	81	0.4-1	b L	Outfinished
8/8	ALB	2f D	FutTrl10000	5th/8 -2½L	85	5.7-1	b L	No rally;
6/26	ALB	1.81818f D	FutTrl10000	2nd/10 -1½L	81	3.4-1	b L	Chased; no match

8Cajuns 123N. Duran · B. PenaDuran · PenaA82 81 91▼-7@trip 826-5Fair 2-132%▼ Down -782 81 91@trip 82A1

Card model 32% · Fair odds 2-1 · Our #1 · Tier A · Form ▼ Down -7 · Best fig at today's trip 82 (1 tries) · Last 3 figs 82 81 91

Jockey Nestor Duran 40% career 1-for-19 on dirt this meet (5%) · Trainer Bobby Muniz Pena 22% career 0-for-1 on dirt this meet

Also today · Jockey R3: Ohtani 30-1, R6: Cowboys Flying 2-5, R10: Encinas Legacy 20-1, R12: Sleepy Chilitos 6-5

Jky 7/32 from post 8

Worked 1F in :12.00 on Feb 10, 2nd of 10 at the distance. Last out was 3rd, 1½ lengths behind the winner, in a 9-horse stakes race at LS.

PACE CHALLENGE Style isn't established yet, so how it fits this shape is open.

WORKS LIGHT Few works lately, 0 works in 30d and the last 69 days ago

RECORD Nestor Duran from post 8 here: 7 wins, 15 top-3 in 32 rides · 15% wins from all posts here

Last three races

Date	Trk	Dist	Class	Finish	Fig	Odds	Eq	Trip
9/19	LS	1.81818f D	FutTrl10000	3rd/9 -1½L	82	2.9-1	b	Bmp st;improved
6/13	HOU	1.59091f D	SmHouFutG2 G2	7th/10 -1¼L	81	5.9-1	b	No menace
5/23	HOU	1.59091f D	FutTrl10000	Won/10	91	0.1-1	b	Drew away; much best

9Tha Cash WagonRamirez Jr. · L. HernandezRamirez Jr. · HernandezC73 7530-1Fair 30-13%—73 75C
Card model 3% · Fair odds 30-1 · Our #9 · Tier C · Last 3 figs 73 75
Jockey Jr Jr Ramirez 33% career · Trainer Leonel Hernandez 31% career 0-for-6 on dirt this meet ★ hot
Also today · Trainer R8: First Dashing Cowboy 3-1, R12: A Tres Of Politics 9-2
◆ NOTE · TRIP TROUBLE60D LAYOFF★ FASTEST WORK
Changes barns, from Adalberto Miranda to Leonel Hernandez. Off 63 days since the last start.
PACE CHALLENGE Style isn't established yet, so how it fits this shape is open.
TROUBLED TRIP Broke in; bumped last out; the speed figure already reflects it.
WORKS SHARP 1f in :11.80 on Aug 19 was the best time at that distance that morning; 1 work in 30d
Last three races
Date Trk Dist Class Finish Fig Odds Eq Trip
8/28 DED 1.13636f D MSW 7th/8 -3¼L 73 2.3-1 b Broke in; bumped
5/23 HOU 1.59091f D FutTrl10000 7th/9 -2¾L 75 54-1 b L No threat

Date	Trk	Dist	Class	Finish	Fig	Odds	Eq	Trip
8/28	DED	1.13636f D	MSW	7th/8 -3¼L	73	2.3-1	b	Broke in; bumped
5/23	HOU	1.59091f D	FutTrl10000	7th/9 -2¾L	75	54-1	b L	No threat

▲ / ▼ angle for / against · ★ best figure at the trip · LS longshot read · 1 2 3 = our top three · A B C tiers · ▲ ► ▼ form · ≡ ↕ steady / up-and-down. Tap a row for its notes, a name for the horse's page. Analysis only. Pace: hard to project, too many first-time starters.

How to read these marks

1 2 3: Our top three by the card model's win chance. Tap “Our order” to sort by it.
Win %, Fair: The card model's chance to win, and the odds that chance works out to with no takeout. Fair is green when the model rates the horse above its morning line (the line scaled to add up to 100%).
Tier A B C ?: The field ranked on recent speed figures and the morning line together: A = top three, B = next three, C = the rest, ? = no figures yet.
71 60 72: Last three speed figures, newest first. “@trip 75” = best figure at today's distance (within 30 yards) on this surface.
▲▲ ▲ ► ▼ ▼▼: Form: last figure against the average of the three before it. ▲ = up 3 or more, ▲▲ = up 8 or more, ► = within 3, ▼ / ▼▼ = down. The number is the difference.
≡ ↕: ≡ steady: the last four figures sit close together. ↕ up-and-down: they swing widely.
★: Best figure in the field at today's distance and surface, from two or more tries, not tied. When that horse isn't in our top three it gets a “Distance horse” note above the field.
▲ ▼ chips: Handicapping angles for or against the horse. LS = longshot read: 8-1 or more on the morning line and the model rates it higher than that line.

These marks describe the past performances. None of them is proven to beat the odds: in our test of 100 handicapping angles, nothing did better than the final odds, and the morning-line favourite wins more races than our top-ranked horse. Read them as notes, not as a reason to bet.

Race conditions and our readpace, conditions, story

LONE STAR PARK · RACE 9

UPCOMING

Trial

Field

9 runners

Purse

$10,000

Post

9:33 PM ET

Pace

Pace Vacuum

Card model top pick

#8 · 32%

Stakes, for 2-year-olds.

Stakes race — the top class. Owners pay entry/nomination fees that build the purse, which draws the best horses available.

● Breed: Quarter Horse

● Track record at 400 Yards: 19.2

The shape is the story here: the early pace looks honest rather than contested — expect a fairly run race where class and trip decide it, not pace collapse.

Our number tops on #8 Cajuns 123 (a tactical type, M/L 6-5). Recent figures: 82 · 81 · 91. It hit the board last time and stays in form. Backup is #7 Cowgirl Eats Fire at 4-1. Use #6 Raptor Stone in exotic structures.

What would change our mind: a key scratch that reshapes the early pace, a sharp turf-to-dirt or surface switch off the rail, or live money showing up on a horse the board had dismissed. Watch the tote late.

At a glance: model vs the morning line

At a glance

Market favourite #8 CAJUNS 123 (6-5) — our number agrees.
#8 CAJUNS 123 — our top number on the card, about right at the windows (33.4% to their 36.4%).
#6 RAPTOR STONE — our #3 number, about right at the windows (19.2% to their 17.8%).
#7 COWGIRL EATS FIRE — our #2 number, about right at the windows (17.9% to their 16.0%).

Model vs the morning line · analysis, not advice

The model and the morning line roughly agree on this field.

Pacewho goes to the front

Pace

Pace Vacuum. No real early speed. Whoever shows up first is likely uncontested. Pressers benefit.

and works against #1 Hesawthebatsignal, #2 King Baja, #3 Swingin Policy.

Lead

none

Press

none

Stalk

none

No style yet

1Hesawthebatsignal2King Baja3Swingin Policy4Cowgirl Lyndi G5The Real Mvp Z6Raptor Stone7Cowgirl Eats Fire8Cajuns 1239Tha Cash Wagon

Number = last-race early-pace figure. Green border = the shape helps; red = it works against.

Early speed and closing figures, horse by horse

Closing Kick · late-pace figure

Hesawthebatsignal

King Baja

Swingin Policy

Cowgirl Lyndi G

The Real Mvp Z

Raptor Stone

Cowgirl Eats Fire

Cajuns 123

Tha Cash Wagon

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Bet types

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